8=======>

2022-08-24 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1062
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.72%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.6%
in alpha space · 85.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.74%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.062010.047096-24.05%–pending––0.8612k2022-09-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain14.33912.1589-15.20%19.032+32.73%0.4919✗0.433.0M2022-09-23
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.05e-77.10e-7-11.77%5.09e-7-36.69%0.2527✓0.77180k2022-09-23
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084250.074382-11.71%0.07819-7.19%0.0592✓0.09737k2022-09-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.3333.2124-11.03%15.34-58.91%0.6820✓0.881.8M2022-09-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.3416.3899-10.63%15.28-16.68%0.0016✓0.701.5M2022-09-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.536279-10.62%0.467-22.17%0.0271✓1.09102k2022-09-23
OPTIMOptimism1.2261.0961-10.60%0.949-22.59%0.0330✓1.733.6M2022-09-23
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5481.3922-10.06%1.367-11.69%0.1020✓1.17138k2022-09-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.24240.218509-9.86%0.2705+11.59%0.2974✗0.822.3M2022-09-23
DODODODOEthereum0.14080.126974-9.82%0.1288-8.52%0.1136✗0.971.9M2022-09-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.8312.4774-9.78%13.99+1.16%0.2296✗1.122.0M2022-09-23
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.40980.370624-9.56%0.3044-25.72%0.0665✓1.27152k2022-09-23
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.56794.1339-9.50%6.0773+33.04%0.4878✗1.00173k2022-09-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.96541.784-9.23%1.7684-10.02%0.0998✗1.0633k2022-09-23
MOVRMoonriverBase13.867112.5999-9.14%10.7456-22.51%0.0612✓0.9640k2022-09-23
QTUMQtumQtum3.47983.1627-9.11%2.913-16.29%0.0193✓0.9934k2022-09-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.61725.1059-9.10%7.2387+28.87%0.3678✗0.182.6M2022-09-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.01911.8459-9.01%14.215+9.19%0.2958✗1.1110.4M2022-09-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.4532.2624-8.99%28.88-18.53%0.0352✓1.4216.0M2022-09-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.87695.3552-8.88%6.3531+8.10%0.1873✗0.164.5M2022-09-23
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.071010.064735-8.84%0.06473-8.84%0.1138✗1.112.4M2022-09-23
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7270.663256-8.77%0.595-18.16%0.0187✓0.88253k2022-09-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,349.198,541.81-8.64%8,416.07-9.98%0.1242✗1.367.3M2022-09-23
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2642.0693-8.60%1.774-21.64%0.0366✓1.1560k2022-09-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10520.096208-8.55%0.092-12.55%0.0264✓0.69247k2022-09-23
APEApeCoinEthereum5.3124.8606-8.50%5.681+6.95%0.2947✗1.3510.1M2022-09-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5620.514263-8.49%0.485-13.70%0.0570✓1.1388k2022-09-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0143020.013089-8.48%0.011863-17.05%0.0335✓0.631.5M2022-09-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13280.121596-8.44%0.116-12.65%0.0094✓0.553.9M2022-09-23
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4520.41402-8.40%0.403-10.84%0.0749✓0.998,8922022-09-23
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81510.746917-8.36%0.8521+4.54%0.2821✗1.47205k2022-09-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.34119.4788-8.33%120.12-7.84%0.1197✗1.124.9M2022-09-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006680.006127-8.28%0.00634-5.09%0.0795✓0.4457k2022-09-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17661.0791-8.28%0.9427-19.88%0.0172✓1.494.9M2022-09-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7661.6204-8.24%1.283-27.35%0.1113✓1.19114k2022-09-23
ZECZcashZcash67.6962.1194-8.23%56.05-17.20%0.0117✓1.122.0M2022-09-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4065.879-8.23%6.21-3.06%0.1494✗0.925.2M2022-09-23
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8860.813508-8.18%0.894+0.90%0.1379✗0.434.3M2022-09-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0342.7859-8.18%2.471-18.56%0.0413✓1.574.0M2022-09-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06690.061458-8.13%0.0569-14.95%0.0478✓1.221.0M2022-09-23
METISMetisEthereum35.7632.8536-8.13%24.57-31.29%0.0986✓1.87365k2022-09-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0121.1427-8.12%17.97-21.90%0.0304✓1.2924.5M2022-09-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7210.662696-8.09%0.608-15.67%0.0075✓0.91322k2022-09-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11460.105387-8.04%0.103-10.12%0.0866✗1.073.7M2022-09-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5513.3845-8.01%13.17-9.48%0.1095✗1.231.3M2022-09-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.15.6194-7.88%5.7-6.56%0.0514✓0.363.1M2022-09-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0234390.021602-7.84%0.025913+10.56%0.1934✗0.11239k2022-09-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074280.068473-7.82%0.06183-16.76%0.0198✓1.1929k2022-09-23
FLOWFlownative2.1471.9794-7.81%1.708-20.45%0.0137✓1.311.2M2022-09-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7270.670566-7.76%0.576-20.77%0.0145✓1.345.0M2022-09-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.298.5743-7.70%8.65-6.89%0.0526✓0.432.6M2022-09-23
FORTFortaEthereum0.270.249209-7.70%0.1633-39.52%0.3221✓0.98112k2022-09-23
UOSUltraEthereum0.340780.314575-7.69%0.39482+15.86%0.3217✗0.92321k2022-09-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum32.772-7.60%2.966-1.13%0.1324✗0.63693k2022-09-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.53831.4223-7.54%1.2661-17.69%0.0207✓0.931.4M2022-09-23
GALAGALAEthereum0.05490.050843-7.39%0.042-23.50%0.0893✓0.99256k2022-09-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034260.003173-7.38%0.002176-36.49%0.2893✓0.861.1M2022-09-23
BORABORAKlay Token0.29790.275927-7.38%0.24767-16.86%0.0010✓1.0412k2022-09-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.059377-7.37%0.0481-24.96%0.0924✓1.15266k2022-09-23
ETHEthereumEthereum1,656.741,535.77-7.30%1,326.82-19.91%0.0098✓1.33608.4M2022-09-23
RADRadworksEthereum2.342.1697-7.28%1.97-15.81%0.0136✓0.81636k2022-09-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38710.359115-7.23%0.3065-20.82%0.0461✓1.10174k2022-09-23
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37370.34684-7.19%0.2839-24.03%0.0827✓1.15111k2022-09-23
XTZTezosTezos1.60061.4858-7.17%1.5171-5.22%0.1323✗1.09388k2022-09-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017340.016109-7.10%0.01061-38.81%0.3485✓0.67167k2022-09-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.048129-7.09%0.0388-25.10%0.1175✓0.96827k2022-09-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15090.140251-7.06%0.1397-7.42%0.0950✗0.97614k2022-09-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2745.8318-7.05%5.695-9.23%0.0630✓0.8510.1M2022-09-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.421.3204-7.01%1.2-15.49%0.0018✓0.95182k2022-09-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3088440.2872-7.01%0.279195-9.60%0.0822✗1.08778k2022-09-23
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.46e-7-7.00%8.00e-7-12.09%0.0255✓0.802.6M2022-09-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.047.4811-6.95%6.75-16.04%0.0117✓1.12638k2022-09-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015350.001429-6.91%0.001069-30.38%0.2109✓0.782.0M2022-09-23
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099910.000093069-6.85%0.00025656+156.79%1.0959✗0.80329k2022-09-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.49551.7179-6.81%49.795-10.27%0.0379✓0.74332k2022-09-23
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9560.89097-6.80%0.969+1.36%0.2090✗1.221.3M2022-09-23
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017290.001611-6.80%0.001612-6.77%0.0914✗0.89653k2022-09-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00820.00765-6.71%0.00707-13.78%0.0380✓1.14513k2022-09-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.365710.341266-6.68%0.41152+12.53%0.2880✗0.98435k2022-09-23
HIVEHivenative0.55770.520441-6.68%0.5079-8.93%0.0665✓0.891.8M2022-09-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141860.1325-6.60%0.12632-10.95%0.0782✗1.23223k2022-09-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.194.849-6.57%4.69-9.63%0.0080✓0.401.4M2022-09-23
KSMKusamaHydration48.9945.7936-6.52%42.17-13.92%0.0189✓0.99606k2022-09-23
XYMSymbolnative0.0482590.045145-6.45%0.038148-20.95%0.1136✓0.5330k2022-09-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.3865.0397-6.43%4.2279-21.50%0.1604✓0.15169k2022-09-23
COMPCompoundEthereum51.1747.8845-6.42%63.56+24.21%0.4088✗1.2315k2022-09-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50890.476409-6.38%0.4301-15.48%0.0197✓0.81625k2022-09-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7244.4224-6.38%4.075-13.74%0.0167✓0.96172k2022-09-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11040.103362-6.37%0.1008-8.70%0.0643✓0.87255k2022-09-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8764.5655-6.37%4.236-13.13%0.0419✓0.321.9M2022-09-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29830.279413-6.33%0.2841-4.76%0.1135✗0.953.4M2022-09-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.8166.3846-6.33%5.77-15.35%0.0707✓0.305.3M2022-09-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.267031-6.30%0.253-11.23%0.0193✓0.72826k2022-09-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.0990.092765-6.30%0.1073+8.38%0.2417✗0.94430k2022-09-23
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.20e-78.62e-7-6.27%8.00e-7-13.04%0.0089✓0.8217k2022-09-23
SUSHISushiEthereum1.19711.1223-6.24%1.0827-9.56%0.0909✗1.24981k2022-09-23
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070090.065722-6.23%0.06346-9.46%0.0485✓0.818802022-09-23
AAVEAaveEthereum88.4182.9276-6.20%77.03-12.87%0.0841✗1.546.5M2022-09-23
LSKLiskEthereum1.11721.0484-6.16%0.957295-14.32%0.0037✓0.8553k2022-09-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0910.4089-6.14%9.52-14.16%0.0315✓1.18439k2022-09-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1226.6872-6.11%7.446+4.55%0.2166✗1.0619.5M2022-09-23
ELAElastosEthereum1.8271.7157-6.09%1.424-22.06%0.0882✓0.96147k2022-09-23
GMTGMTEthereum0.78610.738209-6.09%0.6373-18.93%0.0032✓1.40267k2022-09-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03010.967714-6.06%0.917-10.98%0.0023✓0.553.7M2022-09-23
RARESuperRareEthereum0.22010.206793-6.05%0.1731-21.35%0.0754✓1.00152k2022-09-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.85031.7388-6.03%1.2188-34.13%0.2461✓1.07862k2022-09-23
ADACardanoCardano0.45770.430252-6.00%0.4617+0.87%0.1773✗1.0442.0M2022-09-23
SCSiacoinnative0.004090.003846-5.97%0.00359-12.22%0.0325✓0.99152k2022-09-23
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1762.0466-5.95%1.654-23.99%0.0356✓1.73114k2022-09-23
QNTQuantEthereum108101.6439-5.89%110.81+2.60%0.1729✗0.853.5M2022-09-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.040160.037808-5.86%0.03075-23.43%0.1059✓0.9825k2022-09-23
MANADecentralandEthereum0.83270.783978-5.85%0.72024-13.51%0.0092✓0.92507k2022-09-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0222610.020981-5.75%0.019843-10.86%0.0275✓0.8113k2022-09-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.367940.346778-5.75%0.31522-14.33%0.0032✓0.9687k2022-09-23
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.162674-5.70%0.1415-17.97%0.0298✓1.071,7802022-09-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11180.105438-5.69%0.0927-17.08%0.0567✓0.703,6712022-09-23
GITCOINGITCOIN2.44032.3016-5.68%1.8779-23.05%0.0801✓1.2013k2022-09-23
GLMGolemEthereum0.25570.241174-5.68%0.2785+8.92%0.2409✗0.9584k2022-09-23
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.772.6134-5.65%1.93-30.32%0.2520✓0.5093k2022-09-23
IMXImmutableEthereum0.85810.809911-5.62%0.7708-10.17%0.0604✗1.072.2M2022-09-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046560.043952-5.60%0.04111-11.71%0.0035✓0.6916k2022-09-23
DIADIAEthereum0.403120.380542-5.60%0.38048-5.62%0.0961✗0.9462k2022-09-23
XVSVenusEthereum5.725.4028-5.54%4.61-19.41%0.0724✓0.841.6M2022-09-23
UMAUMAEthereum2.9322.7696-5.54%2.361-19.47%0.0737✓0.84749k2022-09-23
CBKCobakEthereum0.946690.895133-5.45%0.79781-15.73%0.0161✓0.9713k2022-09-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.241.1726-5.44%1.104-10.97%0.0404✓0.982.1M2022-09-23
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.25990.245798-5.43%0.12-53.83%0.7160✓0.0187k2022-09-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00910.008608-5.41%0.00719-20.99%0.1033✓0.756.4M2022-09-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.14810.140132-5.38%0.1314-11.28%0.0379✓1.00149k2022-09-23
STXStacksnative0.38670.366037-5.34%0.3371-12.83%0.0359✓1.15487k2022-09-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22390.212051-5.29%0.1776-20.68%0.0387✓1.35124k2022-09-23
DASHDashDash49.1346.5326-5.29%42.1-14.31%0.0009✓0.97504k2022-09-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04020.038077-5.28%0.0398-1.00%0.1312✗0.8511k2022-09-23
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.34224.1134-5.27%3.8939-10.32%0.0001✓0.532.5M2022-09-23
BANDBandEthereum1.3641.2925-5.24%1.172-14.08%0.0278✓1.23534k2022-09-23
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0456.6759-5.24%5.913-16.07%0.0113✓1.2910.3M2022-09-23
PROPropyEthereum0.740.701383-5.22%0.63-14.86%0.0684✓0.38105k2022-09-23
NANOnanopayBase0.9351460.886578-5.19%0.8-14.45%0.0216✓0.7977k2022-09-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.94.6482-5.14%4.117-15.98%0.1127✓0.082.4M2022-09-23
ZENHorizenBase17.0116.1362-5.14%14.19-16.58%0.0155✓1.10130k2022-09-23
XEMNEMnative0.0462280.043879-5.08%0.041508-10.21%0.0306✓0.8432k2022-09-23
C98Coin98Ethereum0.41070.38984-5.08%0.369-10.15%0.0589✗1.1189k2022-09-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023820.02262-5.04%0.02356-1.09%0.1297✗0.8713.4M2022-09-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30230.287171-5.00%0.3992+32.05%0.4235✗0.928.2M2022-09-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.291-4.94%1.86-22.82%0.0843✓1.21299k2022-09-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48610.462314-4.89%0.4363-10.24%0.0561✗1.11400k2022-09-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.4653.7194-4.85%55.23-2.18%0.1293✗0.9913.5M2022-09-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5657.2036-4.78%6.433-14.96%0.0086✓1.0214.0M2022-09-23
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12490.118947-4.77%0.132+5.68%0.2075✗1.0135k2022-09-23
SOLSolanaSolana34.8833.2319-4.72%33.66-3.50%0.1310✗1.1575.2M2022-09-23
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0910.086704-4.72%0.0859-5.60%0.0904✗0.9713k2022-09-23
XECeCashnative0.000038750.000036937-4.68%0.00003923+1.24%0.1507✗0.881.7M2022-09-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057610.005494-4.65%0.005038-12.56%0.0182✓0.672,6422022-09-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040140.038283-4.63%0.03513-12.48%0.0020✓0.822,7072022-09-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013050.000012447-4.62%0.00001108-15.10%0.0229✓0.91864k2022-09-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.006980.006659-4.60%0.00501-28.22%0.2185✓0.641.3M2022-09-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00160.001527-4.58%0.001487-7.06%0.0456✓0.709,9742022-09-23
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5880.561164-4.56%0.408-30.61%0.1934✓1.221,8732022-09-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04640.044292-4.54%0.0424-8.62%0.0564✗0.98184k2022-09-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.856.5392-4.54%6.37-7.01%0.0112✓0.372.7M2022-09-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03770.036003-4.50%0.0337-10.61%0.0289✓0.9381k2022-09-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21970.209813-4.50%0.1977-10.01%0.0429✓1.0067k2022-09-23
API3Api3Ethereum1.9361.849-4.49%1.627-15.96%0.0350✓0.91782k2022-09-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06760.064573-4.48%0.0596-11.83%0.0133✓0.91113k2022-09-23
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06060.057996-4.30%0.0538-11.22%0.0184✓0.91120k2022-09-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.946.6476-4.21%6.74-2.88%0.0527✗0.382.1M2022-09-23
XVGVergenative0.003210.003077-4.15%0.00331+3.12%0.1787✗1.03537k2022-09-23
STEEMSteemnative0.23530.225667-4.09%0.2263-3.82%0.0948✗0.90510k2022-09-23
AVTAventusEthereum1.381.3238-4.08%1.44+4.35%0.0782✗-0.06105k2022-09-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1860.178585-3.99%0.15984-14.06%0.0018✓1.06519k2022-09-23
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026920.025857-3.95%0.02202-18.20%0.0307✓1.273,2032022-09-23
FTTFTXEthereum27.5526.4633-3.94%23.88-13.32%0.0050✓0.957.6M2022-09-23
TRXTRONTron0.064820.062274-3.93%0.060491-6.68%0.0305✓0.58164k2022-09-23
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.04441.0044-3.83%0.9226-11.66%0.0391✗1.211.0M2022-09-23
XMRMoneroMonero150.55144.7967-3.82%141.47-6.03%0.0787✗1.001.2M2022-09-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37380.359707-3.77%0.3197-14.47%0.0092✓1.24215k2022-09-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023590.02272-3.69%0.01977-16.19%0.0556✓0.81444k2022-09-23
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.166880.160799-3.64%0.16406-1.69%0.2371✗2.126042022-09-23
KCSKuCoinnative9.6319.2825-3.62%8.985-6.71%0.0651✗0.951.8M2022-09-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0678370.065405-3.59%0.063375-6.58%0.0730✗1.021.7M2022-09-23
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1710.165386-3.28%0.157-8.19%0.0865✗1.352,1742022-09-23
STORJStorjEthereum0.587630.568848-3.20%0.46747-20.45%0.0649✓1.2845k2022-09-23
GTGateEthereum4.49224.3494-3.18%4.233-5.77%0.0523✗0.78827k2022-09-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,367.1220,808.67-2.61%19,286.01-9.74%0.0265✗1.00485.5M2022-09-23
XLMStellarStellar0.1094820.106889-2.37%0.123119+12.46%0.2292✗0.867.8M2022-09-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,418.4020,995.35-1.98%19,121.60-10.72%0.0041✓0.9511k2022-09-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.