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2022-08-16 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0066
188 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.43%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
72.3%
in alpha space · 92.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.41%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.207676+0.33%0.1448-30.05%0.1577✗1.061,7402022-09-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1230.121495-1.22%0.0978-20.49%0.0721✓0.764,2082022-09-15
KCSKuCoinnative10.3910.2369-1.47%9.109-12.33%0.0701✗0.982.0M2022-09-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04450.043777-1.63%0.0367-17.53%0.0019✓0.9111k2022-09-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067670.006607-2.37%0.005941-12.21%0.0291✗0.713,2222022-09-15
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21130.205838-2.59%0.1557-26.31%0.0069✓1.421,3972022-09-15
TRXTRONTron0.0697640.06796-2.59%0.061091-12.43%0.0101✓0.61182k2022-09-15
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.942.863-2.62%1.79-39.12%0.3696✓0.5296k2022-09-15
FISStafiEthereum0.45140.439394-2.66%0.3538-21.62%0.0501✓0.871922022-09-15
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.254217-2.67%0.1245-52.34%0.7114✓0.0159k2022-09-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.25351.2191-2.75%0.977095-22.05%0.0555✓0.8756k2022-09-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.25075.1065-2.75%4.8786-7.09%0.0196✓0.14225k2022-09-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.008280.008051-2.76%0.00541-34.66%0.2760✓0.641.6M2022-09-15
PROPropyEthereum0.810.787605-2.76%0.7-13.58%0.0415✓0.40105k2022-09-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14370.139701-2.78%0.1738+20.95%0.4181✗1.0443k2022-09-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.44640.433918-2.80%0.3559-20.27%0.0417✗1.25255k2022-09-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26450.257038-2.82%0.2063-22.00%0.0284✓1.0091k2022-09-15
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031360.030472-2.83%0.02264-27.81%0.0494✓1.293,2032022-09-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,861.5023,183.80-2.84%19,833.10-16.88%0.0295✗0.977,5932022-09-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7522.6738-2.84%1.962-28.71%0.0886✓1.1564k2022-09-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2440.237002-2.87%0.15592-36.10%0.2001✓1.14696k2022-09-15
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.18830.182693-2.98%0.15985-15.11%0.2937✗2.236712022-09-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.429220.416108-3.05%0.31479-26.66%0.0910✓0.9896k2022-09-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.6958-3.10%1.27-27.43%0.0974✓1.00190k2022-09-15
STEEMSteemnative0.270.261593-3.11%0.2141-20.70%0.0349✓0.86550k2022-09-15
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.082580.080007-3.12%0.06518-21.07%0.0579✓0.778802022-09-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08110.078572-3.12%0.0665-18.00%0.0092✓0.82134k2022-09-15
STXStacksnative0.47620.461202-3.15%0.3436-27.85%0.0838✓1.10808k2022-09-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.38-3.16%1.126-20.98%0.0120✓1.002.5M2022-09-15
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3468.0794-3.19%5.884-29.50%0.0707✓1.2910.1M2022-09-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.11380.110128-3.23%0.0903-20.65%0.0078✓1.00456k2022-09-15
XLMStellarStellar0.121780.117768-3.29%0.102273-16.02%0.0272✓0.887.8M2022-09-15
ELAElastosEthereum2.0611.9926-3.32%1.509-26.78%0.0888✓0.99181k2022-09-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.16859.1229-3.34%51.746-15.40%0.0005✓0.69365k2022-09-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.692520.668164-3.52%0.48387-30.13%0.0765✓1.2951k2022-09-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.408580.394123-3.54%0.3001-26.55%0.0987✓0.91446k2022-09-15
XEMNEMnative0.0519690.050126-3.55%0.040879-21.34%0.0331✓0.8943k2022-09-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06880.066322-3.60%0.0557-19.04%0.0219✓0.80119k2022-09-15
KSMKusamaHydration56.0754.0314-3.64%44.46-20.71%0.0005✓1.02645k2022-09-15
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50470.485931-3.72%0.3922-22.29%0.0031✓1.1460k2022-09-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.027890.026834-3.79%0.01964-29.58%0.1303✓0.9514.3M2022-09-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.411.3563-3.81%1.1128-21.08%0.0427✗1.261.2M2022-09-15
CBKCobakEthereum1.15611.1119-3.83%0.80867-30.05%0.1401✓0.9312k2022-09-15
XVSVenusEthereum5.965.7309-3.84%4.47-25.00%0.0489✓1.041.5M2022-09-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.169550.163018-3.85%0.12968-23.52%0.0099✓1.25250k2022-09-15
MANADecentralandEthereum1.02990.990089-3.86%0.71924-30.16%0.1387✓0.95623k2022-09-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0246040.023649-3.88%0.020113-18.25%0.0075✓0.8113k2022-09-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069370.006667-3.89%0.006336-8.66%0.0362✓0.4655k2022-09-15
IMXImmutableEthereum1.02210.981391-3.98%0.7977-21.95%0.0200✓1.192.3M2022-09-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5450.523103-4.02%0.453-16.88%0.0437✗0.9811k2022-09-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56770.544768-4.04%0.4691-17.37%0.0628✗1.11388k2022-09-15
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.4106-4.04%1.41-4.08%0.0033✓-0.01124k2022-09-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3620390.34739-4.05%0.28088-22.42%0.0134✓1.04962k2022-09-15
NANOnanopayBase1.02260.981143-4.06%0.788148-22.93%0.0775✓0.7477k2022-09-15
QTUMQtumQtum4.01273.8495-4.07%2.9863-25.58%0.0678✓0.9750k2022-09-15
XVGVergenative0.004010.003847-4.07%0.00326-18.70%0.0317✓1.03554k2022-09-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.30010.287866-4.08%0.3312+10.36%0.3159✗0.9281k2022-09-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017530.016809-4.11%0.01216-30.63%0.1717✓0.79153k2022-09-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35260.337925-4.16%0.295-16.34%0.0409✓0.928.3M2022-09-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017610.001688-4.17%0.001455-17.38%0.0064✓0.749,4152022-09-15
UMAUMAEthereum3.3343.1935-4.21%2.546-23.64%0.0666✓0.84696k2022-09-15
COMPCompoundEthereum61.0958.5113-4.22%56.91-6.84%0.2071✗1.2323k2022-09-15
SCSiacoinnative0.004760.004557-4.26%0.00375-21.22%0.0004✓1.02158k2022-09-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04260.04075-4.34%0.0355-16.67%0.0475✗0.9776k2022-09-15
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6512.5356-4.35%1.72-35.12%0.0572✓1.73144k2022-09-15
SGBSongbirdnative0.02950.028215-4.36%0.0246-16.61%0.0146✓0.6436k2022-09-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,857.9322,812.78-4.38%19,703.67-17.41%0.0448✓1.00482.6M2022-09-15
XECeCashnative0.000044980.000043006-4.39%0.00004321-3.94%0.1716✗0.872.0M2022-09-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.623.4607-4.40%2.988-17.46%0.0152✓0.69976k2022-09-15
XTZTezosTezos1.88871.8051-4.43%1.5204-19.50%0.0403✓1.11488k2022-09-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12650.120874-4.45%0.1042-17.63%0.0169✓0.86317k2022-09-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0161.9251-4.51%1.313-34.87%0.1571✓1.18157k2022-09-15
AAVEAaveEthereum109.79104.7921-4.55%78.51-28.49%0.0043✓1.536.4M2022-09-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.145.8588-4.58%6.06-1.30%0.1115✗0.411.1M2022-09-15
XMRMoneroMonero169.61161.8152-4.60%145.86-14.00%0.0802✗0.961.2M2022-09-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash136.34130.048-4.61%117.54-13.79%0.1092✗1.105.1M2022-09-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.353420.336991-4.65%0.40594+14.86%0.3537✗0.88402k2022-09-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.45590.434657-4.66%0.3228-29.19%0.0862✓1.10190k2022-09-15
DASHDashDash52.4649.9769-4.73%43.87-16.37%0.0552✗0.97595k2022-09-15
BANDBandEthereum1.6751.5946-4.80%1.206-28.00%0.0315✓1.30520k2022-09-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025390.024166-4.82%0.02027-20.17%0.0120✓0.86271k2022-09-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.58970.561216-4.83%0.4585-22.25%0.0455✓0.82784k2022-09-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0870410.082832-4.84%0.058603-32.67%0.1526✓1.011.8M2022-09-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3160.300667-4.85%0.259-18.04%0.0065✓0.751.0M2022-09-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.70.666009-4.86%0.485-30.71%0.0861✓1.21135k2022-09-15
RARESuperRareEthereum0.26360.250784-4.86%0.1907-27.66%0.0826✓1.00111k2022-09-15
MOVRMoonriverBase15.077914.3426-4.88%11.3056-25.02%0.0549✓0.9658k2022-09-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046810.044525-4.88%0.03582-23.48%0.0658✓0.792,5822022-09-15
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9670.919484-4.91%0.92-4.86%0.0927✗0.484.4M2022-09-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.8398.4034-4.93%6.934-21.55%0.0031✓1.0214.8M2022-09-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.14891.0914-5.00%0.9834-14.41%0.0155✓0.633.9M2022-09-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.7737.3832-5.01%6.13-21.14%0.0011✓0.985.4M2022-09-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159660.015165-5.02%0.012048-24.54%0.1118✓0.622.1M2022-09-15
RADRadworksEthereum2.362.2415-5.02%2.24-5.08%0.1748✗0.92520k2022-09-15
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10690.10152-5.03%0.0912-14.69%0.0867✗1.0110k2022-09-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0383.8345-5.04%3.815-5.52%0.0414✓0.242.1M2022-09-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.052050.049398-5.09%0.04198-19.35%0.0281✓0.7016k2022-09-15
FTTFTXEthereum30.6729.0929-5.14%24.08-21.49%0.0123✓0.929.2M2022-09-15
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.0000019.48e-7-5.21%8.30e-7-17.00%0.0133✓0.7621k2022-09-15
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2711.2031-5.34%0.8579-32.50%0.1018✓1.241.1M2022-09-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8180.774081-5.37%0.591-27.75%0.0926✓0.93357k2022-09-15
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002020.001911-5.40%0.0022+8.91%0.3322✗1.00901k2022-09-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000015810.000014954-5.41%0.00001167-26.19%0.0678✓0.94827k2022-09-15
XYMSymbolnative0.0548020.051816-5.45%0.039421-28.07%0.1794✓0.4936k2022-09-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06420.060623-5.57%0.0408-36.45%0.1980✓1.04877k2022-09-15
GTGateEthereum4.89324.6198-5.59%4.1854-14.46%0.0395✓0.72912k2022-09-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.710.670116-5.62%0.421-40.70%0.2375✓1.192,7912022-09-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.28531.213-5.63%1.0528-18.09%0.1290✗1.416.4M2022-09-15
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.47490.448072-5.65%0.3195-32.72%0.0796✓1.35211k2022-09-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.27012.1418-5.65%1.7321-23.70%0.0109✓1.0538k2022-09-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6720.633848-5.68%0.489-27.23%0.0363✓1.17115k2022-09-15
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.15e-7-5.70%8.30e-7-14.43%0.0523✓0.785.4M2022-09-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008540.008053-5.71%0.00782-8.43%0.1781✗1.08463k2022-09-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13010.122666-5.71%0.1085-16.60%0.0846✗1.083.9M2022-09-15
HIVEHivenative0.61150.576488-5.73%0.5477-10.43%0.1282✗0.942.1M2022-09-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05390.050807-5.74%0.0441-18.18%0.0471✓0.99220k2022-09-15
DODODODOEthereum0.16760.15798-5.74%0.1202-28.28%0.0900✓0.962.3M2022-09-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.3611.6501-5.74%9.29-24.84%0.0125✓1.12313k2022-09-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.3357.7897-5.77%56.34-8.14%0.1693✗1.0213.5M2022-09-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.07340.069159-5.78%0.0505-31.20%0.0927✓1.16331k2022-09-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33920.319202-5.90%0.2622-22.70%0.0120✓0.973.6M2022-09-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.8895.534-6.03%11.656+97.93%0.7973✗0.271.2M2022-09-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.39610.7083-6.03%14.912+30.85%0.5491✗1.1413.2M2022-09-15
MINAMina Protocolnative0.840.789246-6.04%0.603-28.21%0.0916✓0.93280k2022-09-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17980.168923-6.05%0.1496-16.80%0.0835✗1.07616k2022-09-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25560.24007-6.08%0.1903-25.55%0.0235✓1.34131k2022-09-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.6351.5356-6.08%2.0023+22.46%0.5083✗1.27598k2022-09-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.12122.9283-6.18%3.7372+19.74%0.3438✗0.521.3M2022-09-15
QNTQuantEthereum116.11108.9084-6.20%103.96-10.46%0.1104✗0.823.6M2022-09-15
SOLSolanaSolana43.0940.4155-6.21%33.07-23.25%0.0247✓1.1881.1M2022-09-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.263.0576-6.21%1.94-40.49%0.2212✓1.22269k2022-09-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9241.8042-6.23%1.388-27.86%0.0473✓1.12170k2022-09-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum1514.0622-6.25%14.21-5.27%0.2317✗1.162.6M2022-09-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07840.073482-6.27%0.0585-25.38%0.0051✓1.171.4M2022-09-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.4537.9206-6.30%7.563-10.53%0.1598✗1.0820.0M2022-09-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.18610.174378-6.30%0.1336-28.21%0.0736✓1.01140k2022-09-15
API3Api3Ethereum2.4092.2566-6.33%1.578-34.50%0.1784✓0.94680k2022-09-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.898.3255-6.35%8.14-8.44%0.0389✓0.321.8M2022-09-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.199.5429-6.35%6.64-34.84%0.1545✓1.09592k2022-09-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.9516.8068-6.37%12.71-29.19%0.0503✓1.201.7M2022-09-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.193.9224-6.39%3.752-10.45%0.0236✓0.361.6M2022-09-15
ZENHorizenBase20.1218.8334-6.39%14.5-27.93%0.0449✓1.13121k2022-09-15
GMTGMTEthereum1.0721.0031-6.43%0.6666-37.82%0.1373✓1.42469k2022-09-15
ADACardanoCardano0.55710.521055-6.47%0.466-16.35%0.0842✗1.0243.6M2022-09-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.954.6246-6.57%4.21-14.95%0.0110✓0.431.2M2022-09-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.870.812097-6.66%0.593-31.84%0.0429✓1.424.6M2022-09-15
ZECZcashZcash75.9570.893-6.66%58.33-23.20%0.0152✓1.102.1M2022-09-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011540.01077-6.67%0.00833-27.82%0.1136✓0.755.8M2022-09-15
FORTFortaEthereum0.30190.281585-6.73%0.2059-31.80%0.1074✓1.07178k2022-09-15
DIADIAEthereum0.471920.439977-6.77%0.36772-22.08%0.0334✓0.7670k2022-09-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.355270.331195-6.78%0.25784-27.42%0.0503✓1.0514k2022-09-15
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009710.000090494-6.80%0.00025952+167.27%1.2355✗0.95336k2022-09-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0185.6046-6.87%5.586-7.18%0.0161✓0.103.4M2022-09-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.445.0573-7.03%5.19-4.60%0.0959✗0.372.0M2022-09-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,010.1910,224.98-7.13%8,520.47-22.61%0.0707✓1.326.5M2022-09-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10240.095029-7.20%0.1102+7.62%0.3073✗0.83220k2022-09-15
ETHEthereumEthereum1,876.571,738.76-7.34%1,472.68-21.52%0.0861✗1.32534.1M2022-09-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.683.4079-7.40%2.583-29.81%0.0213✓1.565.3M2022-09-15
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9590.88791-7.41%0.883-7.92%0.2274✗1.221.3M2022-09-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15460.143078-7.45%0.1206-21.99%0.0532✓0.624.4M2022-09-15
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9670.89465-7.48%0.8518-11.91%0.2487✗1.56244k2022-09-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.72393.4436-7.53%5.7604+54.69%0.6072✗0.481.9M2022-09-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.3218.7671-7.64%16.28-19.88%0.0128✓0.682.2M2022-09-15
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1975.721-7.68%4.909-20.78%0.1015✗1.3312.6M2022-09-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0041010.003777-7.89%0.002756-32.80%0.1652✓0.781.0M2022-09-15
METISMetisEthereum38.935.7977-7.98%25.7-33.93%0.0475✓1.98408k2022-09-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.091210.08382-8.10%0.06499-28.75%0.0354✓1.1529k2022-09-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.06960.063874-8.23%0.0471-32.33%0.1074✓1.03253k2022-09-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5143.2236-8.26%6.1741+75.70%0.7126✗0.331.7M2022-09-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015870.001455-8.27%0.00116-26.91%0.0729✓0.811.6M2022-09-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.1124.8553-8.32%18.2-32.87%0.0552✓1.3430.5M2022-09-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.051130.046839-8.39%0.03257-36.30%0.1783✓0.9721k2022-09-15
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085780.078356-8.65%0.06724-21.61%0.1084✓0.231.1M2022-09-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.4267.6943-8.68%5.726-32.04%0.1376✓0.839.5M2022-09-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.295.7309-8.89%5.59-11.13%0.0468✓0.371.4M2022-09-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256380.023343-8.95%0.025135-1.96%0.1097✗0.19232k2022-09-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.47061.336-9.15%1.2148-17.39%0.0884✓0.961.0M2022-09-15
FLOWFlownative2.6852.4297-9.51%1.753-34.71%0.0822✓1.28873k2022-09-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.089960.081297-9.63%0.05919-34.20%0.0993✓1.142.4M2022-09-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.18751.0716-9.76%–pending––1.1313k2022-09-15
OPTIMOptimism1.4541.3079-10.05%1.131-22.21%0.2212✗1.923.7M2022-09-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.20970.187241-10.71%0.1909-8.97%0.1831✗0.861.2M2022-09-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.6136.2236-10.80%15.76-61.19%0.6244✓1.091.8M2022-09-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.39850.355015-10.91%0.2861-28.21%0.0062✓1.10101k2022-09-15
GITCOINGITCOIN3.30122.9382-10.99%1.9299-41.54%0.1826✓1.2413k2022-09-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.8835.4892-11.01%35.67-10.56%0.2678✗1.3716.5M2022-09-15
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.09874.5293-11.17%4.4233-13.25%0.1676✗1.00111k2022-09-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8763.4319-11.46%4.046+4.39%0.3267✗0.85124k2022-09-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.44e-76.50e-7-12.58%5.79e-7-22.16%0.0077✓0.65164k2022-09-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.