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2022-08-14 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0040
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-6.79%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
69.4%
in alpha space · 90.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.03%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.441.274-11.52%1.182-17.92%0.2830✗1.923.7M2022-09-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085720.076923-10.26%0.06913-19.35%0.0627✓0.241.1M2022-09-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.26e-73.86e-7-9.18%6.96e-7+63.55%0.7159✗0.68150k2022-09-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12750.116251-8.82%0.1104-13.41%0.1129✗0.88220k2022-09-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.2735.867-8.67%15.2-61.29%0.6511✓1.111.7M2022-09-13
APEApeCoinEthereum6.3685.8235-8.55%5.136-19.35%0.1275✗1.3612.8M2022-09-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.424.9636-8.42%5.72+5.54%0.1921✗0.272.0M2022-09-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.978.2171-8.39%8.75-2.45%0.0841✓0.111.8M2022-09-13
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.156672-8.38%0.1253-26.73%0.0352✓1.012.6M2022-09-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16410.150515-8.28%0.1243-24.25%0.0661✓0.674.4M2022-09-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9443.6335-7.87%4.212+6.80%0.3091✗0.86124k2022-09-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5313.3947-7.81%14.53+0.00%0.3108✗1.232.6M2022-09-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.45881.3457-7.75%1.2429-14.80%0.1073✗1.001.0M2022-09-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.2419.6064-7.69%16.8-20.90%0.0247✓0.702.2M2022-09-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8213.533-7.54%2.719-28.84%0.0349✓1.595.3M2022-09-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative41.5738.4961-7.39%35.29-15.11%0.1713✗1.3816.5M2022-09-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000016880.000015637-7.36%0.00001209-28.38%0.0778✓0.96679k2022-09-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048790.045213-7.33%0.03367-30.99%0.1046✓1.0220k2022-09-13
MOVRMoonriverBase16.201915.017-7.31%11.9339-26.34%0.0451✓0.9959k2022-09-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.18110.167906-7.29%0.1934+6.79%0.3013✗0.861.1M2022-09-13
FISStafiEthereum0.49050.454836-7.27%0.35-28.64%0.1027✓0.851382022-09-13
ADACardanoCardano0.57010.528678-7.27%0.4637-18.66%0.0667✓1.0642.0M2022-09-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014320.001328-7.24%0.001236-13.64%0.0889✗0.861.5M2022-09-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.41180.382511-7.11%0.298-27.63%0.0433✓1.10100k2022-09-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche28.1926.207-7.03%18.87-33.06%0.0713✓1.3830.5M2022-09-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.9810.912544-6.98%0.6606-32.66%0.0508✓1.46407k2022-09-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.58810.7817-6.96%13.897+19.93%0.4721✗1.1713.2M2022-09-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100140.000093272-6.86%0.00035806+257.56%1.5355✗1.02336k2022-09-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.064.7146-6.83%4.5-11.07%0.0278✓0.401.3M2022-09-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.07650.071279-6.82%0.0496-35.16%0.1349✓1.22350k2022-09-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9391.8074-6.79%1.455-24.96%0.0025✓1.15203k2022-09-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1872.0407-6.69%1.41-35.53%0.1564✓1.14169k2022-09-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5340.498606-6.63%0.434-18.73%0.0489✓1.0014k2022-09-13
FLOWFlownative2.8322.6463-6.56%1.864-34.18%0.1124✓1.27754k2022-09-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156770.014653-6.53%0.012152-22.49%0.0663✓0.652.1M2022-09-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.0017.4798-6.51%6.4-20.01%0.0350✓1.025.5M2022-09-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,935.851,810.65-6.47%1,574.71-18.66%0.1078✗1.32522.8M2022-09-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08830.082599-6.46%0.0679-23.10%0.0151✓1.1329k2022-09-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7530.70463-6.42%0.449-40.37%0.2203✓1.232,7912022-09-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8390.785243-6.41%0.595-29.08%0.1033✓0.93370k2022-09-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6990.654758-6.33%0.493-29.47%0.0590✓1.20115k2022-09-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004190.003925-6.33%0.002827-32.53%0.1782✓0.801.0M2022-09-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.31222.1668-6.29%1.7866-22.73%0.0081✓1.0838k2022-09-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.5617.3963-6.27%13.18-28.99%0.0554✓1.191.6M2022-09-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.376550.35297-6.26%0.42001+11.54%0.3380✗0.88439k2022-09-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08090.075838-6.26%0.059-27.07%0.0372✓1.151.4M2022-09-13
RARESuperRareEthereum0.28540.267663-6.21%0.1898-33.50%0.1570✓1.00108k2022-09-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51990.487662-6.20%0.3105-40.28%0.2036✓1.33213k2022-09-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.38921.3039-6.14%1.0525-24.24%0.0527✓1.436.4M2022-09-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.092810.087115-6.14%0.05951-35.88%0.1539✓1.222.2M2022-09-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash139.45130.9312-6.11%117.6-15.67%0.1017✗1.125.1M2022-09-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34670.325641-6.07%0.2679-22.73%0.0045✓1.023.6M2022-09-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1543.9022-6.06%4.082-1.73%0.1064✗0.331.7M2022-09-13
METISMetisEthereum43.2640.6649-6.00%27.9-35.51%0.0123✓1.95385k2022-09-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8870.833897-5.99%0.61-31.23%0.1333✓0.96280k2022-09-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.404750.380735-5.93%0.30966-23.49%0.0265✓0.96479k2022-09-13
SOLSolanaSolana44.8942.2309-5.92%33.01-26.46%0.0200✓1.2178.8M2022-09-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010370.009756-5.92%0.00851-17.94%0.0194✓0.845.6M2022-09-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.70.658605-5.91%0.52-25.71%0.0049✓1.29137k2022-09-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017620.016582-5.89%0.01252-28.94%0.1485✓0.71155k2022-09-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.07030.066184-5.85%0.0479-31.86%0.1232✓1.07225k2022-09-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.552.4007-5.85%2.32-9.02%0.1396✗0.93636k2022-09-13
XTZTezosTezos1.82261.7161-5.84%1.5348-15.79%0.0999✗1.13467k2022-09-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0670.063097-5.83%0.0441-34.18%0.1543✓1.09877k2022-09-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.29960.282155-5.82%0.2103-29.81%0.0915✓1.08189k2022-09-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.1759.5204-5.78%59.1-6.44%0.1886✗1.0513.6M2022-09-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9325.5895-5.77%12.092+103.84%0.8113✗0.211.1M2022-09-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.2357.7635-5.73%5.871-28.71%0.1184✓0.868.3M2022-09-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8653.6454-5.68%3.055-20.96%0.0453✓0.701.1M2022-09-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7732.6156-5.67%2.022-27.08%0.0378✓1.1862k2022-09-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.64811.5546-5.67%1.9586+18.84%0.4676✗1.27540k2022-09-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.481.3963-5.66%1.1703-20.93%0.0655✗1.301.2M2022-09-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0198460.018728-5.63%0.024692+24.42%0.3089✗0.17230k2022-09-13
QTUMQtumQtum4.19063.9556-5.61%3.0233-27.86%0.0819✓1.0053k2022-09-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,226.8310,598.13-5.60%9,017.07-19.68%0.0871✗1.336.5M2022-09-13
ZECZcashZcash73.7169.5905-5.59%58.92-20.07%0.0486✓1.152.3M2022-09-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.081150.076626-5.57%0.06468-20.30%0.0258✓0.778802022-09-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021020.001985-5.57%0.001519-27.74%0.0808✓1.001.0M2022-09-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.53783.3419-5.54%7.2349+104.50%0.8339✗0.331.6M2022-09-13
AAVEAaveEthereum107.44101.526-5.50%82.97-22.78%0.0899✗1.567.1M2022-09-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13930.131646-5.49%0.1082-22.33%0.0121✓1.123.9M2022-09-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3546.0059-5.48%6.134-3.46%0.0404✓0.103.5M2022-09-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.39159.048-5.36%51.566-17.35%0.0006✓0.73354k2022-09-13
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0080.954099-5.35%0.913-9.42%0.1831✗1.221.3M2022-09-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.69323.4962-5.33%6.58+78.17%0.7171✗0.451.9M2022-09-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8740.827556-5.31%0.622-28.83%0.0122✓1.464.4M2022-09-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001019.56e-7-5.30%8.60e-7-14.85%0.0386✓0.785.7M2022-09-13
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00190.949178-5.26%0.8463-15.53%0.1811✗1.58296k2022-09-13
HIVEHivenative0.62130.588675-5.25%0.5504-11.41%0.1174✗0.992.4M2022-09-13
QNTQuantEthereum118.61112.3836-5.25%97.87-17.49%0.0239✓0.873.8M2022-09-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008650.008196-5.25%0.00796-7.98%0.1801✗1.12463k2022-09-13
UMAUMAEthereum3.4463.2658-5.23%2.618-24.03%0.0594✓0.87640k2022-09-13
COMPCompoundEthereum63.0459.7717-5.18%55.83-11.44%0.1701✗1.2835k2022-09-13
IMXImmutableEthereum1.09621.0397-5.15%0.8066-26.42%0.0266✓1.222.3M2022-09-13
DIADIAEthereum0.492650.467499-5.11%0.38116-22.63%0.1165✓0.4770k2022-09-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12840.121845-5.11%0.1076-16.20%0.0457✓0.91328k2022-09-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.444750.422262-5.06%0.32139-27.74%0.0841✓1.01109k2022-09-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.12121.0646-5.05%1.0223-8.82%0.0869✗0.683.9M2022-09-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18420.174904-5.05%0.1444-21.61%0.0141✓1.10586k2022-09-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.029260.027784-5.05%0.02043-30.18%0.1206✓1.0014.3M2022-09-13
KSMKusamaHydration58.8755.9117-5.03%46.38-21.22%0.0069✓1.04524k2022-09-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001019.59e-7-5.02%8.70e-7-13.86%0.0460✓0.7721k2022-09-13
XVGVergenative0.004030.003829-5.00%0.00337-16.38%0.0736✗1.08517k2022-09-13
ELAElastosEthereum2.0391.9372-4.99%1.553-23.84%0.0348✓1.00189k2022-09-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.367520.349327-4.95%0.26692-27.37%0.0655✓1.0913k2022-09-13
XYMSymbolnative0.0564530.053677-4.92%0.03987-29.37%0.2030✓0.5136k2022-09-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.28680.272708-4.91%0.3444+20.08%0.4065✗0.9370k2022-09-13
MANADecentralandEthereum1.07351.0211-4.88%0.73147-31.86%0.1474✓1.00574k2022-09-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8082.6721-4.84%1.785-36.43%0.0768✓1.75144k2022-09-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.778.3463-4.83%7.025-19.90%0.0345✓1.1119.3M2022-09-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48370.460483-4.80%0.3308-31.61%0.1197✓1.13190k2022-09-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47930.456317-4.80%0.4008-16.38%0.1175✗1.32242k2022-09-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59470.566285-4.78%0.4625-22.23%0.0073✓1.12365k2022-09-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1023.9065-4.77%4.142+0.98%0.1031✗0.242.2M2022-09-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.2071.1498-4.74%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.11660.111132-4.69%0.0924-20.75%0.0103✓1.04499k2022-09-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.269.7808-4.67%6.97-32.07%0.1308✓1.11638k2022-09-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36420.347283-4.64%0.2966-18.56%0.0229✓0.978.3M2022-09-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.17730.169105-4.62%0.13476-23.99%0.0121✓1.28243k2022-09-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.982.8431-4.59%1.81-39.26%0.3538✓0.52102k2022-09-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3741170.357114-4.54%0.289387-22.65%0.0088✓1.08916k2022-09-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055380.052873-4.53%0.04273-22.84%0.0769✓0.7316k2022-09-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13080.124917-4.50%0.0968-25.99%0.1066✓0.793,9702022-09-13
GITCOINGITCOIN3.0772.9386-4.50%2.0329-33.93%0.1187✓1.3413k2022-09-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.040879-4.49%0.0361-15.65%0.0651✗1.0176k2022-09-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25550.244087-4.47%0.199-22.11%0.0477✗1.35132k2022-09-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3411.2817-4.42%0.8796-34.41%0.1462✓1.231.1M2022-09-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.175.8971-4.42%6.47+4.86%0.1558✗0.341.0M2022-09-13
ZENHorizenBase20.1419.2502-4.42%14.84-26.32%0.0392✓1.18124k2022-09-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.17160.164072-4.39%0.1392-18.88%0.0278✓1.03131k2022-09-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.8111.3023-4.30%9.73-17.61%0.0632✗1.14305k2022-09-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.16083.0257-4.28%4.1321+30.73%0.4063✗0.511.3M2022-09-13
BANDBandEthereum1.7321.6582-4.26%1.244-28.18%0.0397✓1.33460k2022-09-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017920.001716-4.24%0.001531-14.56%0.0274✓0.769,0932022-09-13
XVSVenusEthereum6.426.1479-4.24%4.66-27.41%0.0796✓1.061.4M2022-09-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26930.258025-4.19%0.2085-22.58%0.0260✓1.0091k2022-09-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4451.3848-4.16%1.152-20.28%0.0055✓1.022.6M2022-09-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9558.5863-4.12%7.07-21.05%0.0046✓1.0713.7M2022-09-13
CBKCobakEthereum1.20581.1565-4.09%0.82473-31.60%0.1573✓0.9712k2022-09-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14770.141668-4.08%0.1963+32.90%0.5301✗1.0946k2022-09-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.53440.512604-4.08%0.4014-24.89%0.0328✓1.1359k2022-09-13
DASHDashDash55.0852.8374-4.07%43.77-20.53%0.0051✓0.98574k2022-09-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0255820.024556-4.01%0.020191-21.07%0.0380✓0.8413k2022-09-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07210.069229-3.98%0.0572-20.67%0.0350✓0.83119k2022-09-13
API3Api3Ethereum2.3872.2922-3.97%1.68-29.62%0.1290✓0.97607k2022-09-13
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8828.5297-3.97%6.034-32.06%0.1008✓1.3110.0M2022-09-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.26061.2115-3.89%1.0027-20.45%0.0182✓0.9256k2022-09-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9320.895779-3.89%0.921-1.18%0.1257✗0.524.4M2022-09-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.125.8823-3.88%6.12+0.00%0.1036✗0.341.4M2022-09-13
STXStacksnative0.49170.472649-3.87%0.3497-28.88%0.0900✓1.13808k2022-09-13
FTTFTXEthereum30.8429.6603-3.83%25.89-16.05%0.0384✓0.939.8M2022-09-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60940.586301-3.79%0.4865-20.17%0.0443✓0.76784k2022-09-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05410.052062-3.77%0.0452-16.45%0.0437✗0.99237k2022-09-13
XECeCashnative0.000046140.000044403-3.76%0.00004395-4.75%0.1583✗0.902.1M2022-09-13
STEEMSteemnative0.27230.262062-3.76%0.2161-20.64%0.0196✓0.93551k2022-09-13
XEMNEMnative0.0538060.051812-3.71%0.042163-21.64%0.0317✓0.9343k2022-09-13
XMRMoneroMonero168.04161.8633-3.68%145.44-13.45%0.0788✗0.991.2M2022-09-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.062.9487-3.64%2.03-33.66%0.1353✓1.27244k2022-09-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.51.4463-3.58%1.41-6.00%0.0239✓0.01132k2022-09-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19170.184849-3.57%0.16738-12.69%0.3180✗2.236712022-09-13
SCSiacoinnative0.004990.004813-3.55%0.00381-23.65%0.0355✓1.06145k2022-09-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3270.315739-3.44%0.263-19.57%0.0316✓0.811.1M2022-09-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.007967-3.43%0.00563-31.76%0.2269✓0.641.6M2022-09-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.6902-3.42%1.3-25.71%0.0679✓1.04190k2022-09-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.08170.078914-3.41%0.059635-27.01%0.0881✓1.031.8M2022-09-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.096167-3.35%0.0848-14.77%0.0673✗1.039,7202022-09-13
NANOnanopayBase1.05681.022-3.29%0.846269-19.92%0.0450✓0.7777k2022-09-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.082633-3.24%0.0594-30.44%0.1637✓0.89130k2022-09-13
TRXTRONTron0.0703490.068134-3.15%0.060682-13.74%0.0025✓0.61192k2022-09-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2250.218002-3.11%0.16284-27.63%0.0648✓1.22657k2022-09-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.710150.688196-3.09%0.50798-28.47%0.0547✓1.3349k2022-09-13
GTGateEthereum5.05494.8987-3.09%4.1432-18.04%0.0312✓0.73882k2022-09-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049420.047915-3.05%0.03648-26.18%0.1209✓0.812,5822022-09-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006720.006518-3.01%0.006216-7.50%0.0362✗0.4555k2022-09-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.22840.221908-2.84%0.1561-31.65%0.1478✓1.091,7402022-09-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,316.7123,629.27-2.83%20,174.78-17.03%0.0287✓1.00472.7M2022-09-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04720.045927-2.70%0.0403-14.62%0.0498✗0.9711k2022-09-13
KCSKuCoinnative10.64610.3656-2.63%9.254-13.08%0.0689✗0.982.0M2022-09-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025730.02506-2.60%0.02007-22.00%0.0628✓0.85209k2022-09-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067130.006539-2.60%0.005899-12.12%0.0314✗0.723,2222022-09-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21120.205785-2.56%0.165-21.88%0.0451✗1.421,3132022-09-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.032290.031475-2.52%0.02317-28.24%0.0646✓1.292,9912022-09-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.12745.004-2.41%4.9699-3.07%0.0183✓0.13233k2022-09-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,209.7023,631.20-2.39%20,237.10-16.41%0.0257✗0.977,5932022-09-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.254981-2.34%0.1365-47.72%0.6224✓0.0155k2022-09-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1256460.1229-2.19%0.104654-16.71%0.0085✓0.917.2M2022-09-13
PROPropyEthereum0.810.796062-1.72%0.71-12.35%0.0371✓0.41105k2022-09-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.