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2022-08-07 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2107
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.25%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.3%
in alpha space · 89.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-18.93%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.8994.825-1.51%5.1426+4.97%0.1011✗0.18234k2022-09-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1238730.121335-2.05%0.099872-19.38%0.0098✓0.977.0M2022-09-06
KCSKuCoinnative10.60210.3342-2.53%9.033-14.80%0.0931✗1.091.9M2022-09-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,177.3922,581.17-2.57%18,790.91-18.93%0.0261✓1.00414.2M2022-09-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.068960.067157-2.62%0.058897-14.59%0.1061✗1.131.6M2022-09-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064750.006299-2.71%0.005724-11.60%0.0689✗0.784,5222022-09-06
GTGateEthereum4.76024.6285-2.77%3.9648-16.71%0.0053✓0.76887k2022-09-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,110.7022,421.30-2.98%18,917.90-18.14%0.0357✗0.9812k2022-09-06
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21460.208046-3.05%0.1824-15.00%0.1649✗1.411,1742022-09-06
TRXTRONTron0.0696580.067517-3.07%0.060766-12.77%0.0236✓0.61279k2022-09-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008103-3.19%0.00551-34.17%0.2267✓0.761.6M2022-09-06
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031720.030698-3.22%0.02333-26.45%0.0034✓1.291,3502022-09-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2250.21754-3.32%0.15955-29.09%0.0126✓1.42703k2022-09-06
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.36e-7-3.53%8.70e-7-10.31%0.1014✗0.836.0M2022-09-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4582.3705-3.56%3.885+58.06%0.6803✗0.8992k2022-09-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.21621.1722-3.62%0.977259-19.65%0.0331✓1.0243k2022-09-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063310.006101-3.63%0.006199-2.08%0.1227✗0.5148k2022-09-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05120.049332-3.65%0.0358-30.08%0.0586✓1.2510k2022-09-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.326567-3.67%0.25-26.25%0.0546✓1.011.1M2022-09-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045810.044123-3.68%0.03561-22.27%0.0206✓0.922,3482022-09-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.775.5546-3.73%6.09+5.55%0.1995✗0.51964k2022-09-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6578.3311-3.76%6.874-20.60%0.0538✗1.1711.0M2022-09-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0234910.022604-3.77%0.019706-16.11%0.0621✗0.9512k2022-09-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.06060.058311-3.78%0.0473-21.95%0.0709✗1.34179k2022-09-06
XMRMoneroMonero164.87158.5936-3.81%144.79-12.18%0.1281✗1.041.1M2022-09-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.98842.8743-3.82%4.417+47.80%0.6063✗0.841.2M2022-09-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.8033-3.92%6.26+3.64%0.1989✗0.59887k2022-09-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.811.7389-3.93%1.23-32.04%0.0824✓1.26132k2022-09-06
UNIUniswapEthereum8.7848.4388-3.93%5.829-33.64%0.0810✓1.389.9M2022-09-06
STEEMSteemnative0.25950.249223-3.96%0.2072-20.15%0.0438✗1.09766k2022-09-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.66390.637473-3.98%0.5082-23.45%0.0007✓1.08726k2022-09-06
GITCOINGITCOIN3.05572.9338-3.99%2.136-30.10%0.0072✓1.4813k2022-09-06
XEMNEMnative0.0515510.049485-4.01%0.041181-20.12%0.0442✗1.0937k2022-09-06
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7510.720874-4.01%0.907+20.77%0.4946✗1.26963k2022-09-06
XECeCashnative0.000045320.000043483-4.05%0.00004054-10.55%0.1555✗1.081.8M2022-09-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.16180.155192-4.08%0.1322-18.29%0.0839✗1.16102k2022-09-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35590.341254-4.12%0.2855-19.78%0.0458✗1.078.2M2022-09-06
FTTFTXEthereum30.6729.4018-4.14%25.64-16.40%0.0630✗0.959.1M2022-09-06
STXStacksnative0.49070.470296-4.16%0.3401-30.69%0.0698✓1.21808k2022-09-06
CBKCobakEthereum1.16571.1167-4.20%0.80255-31.15%0.1034✓1.0812k2022-09-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.25510.244377-4.20%0.1524-40.26%0.2068✓1.271,5612022-09-06
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.195980.187689-4.23%0.15332-21.77%0.2777✗2.291,0642022-09-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11241.0653-4.23%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.039.6004-4.28%6.8-32.20%0.0632✓1.34385k2022-09-06
XVSVenusEthereum6.846.5463-4.29%4.52-33.92%0.1049✓1.271.4M2022-09-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05440.05206-4.30%0.0433-20.40%0.0683✗1.20256k2022-09-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13740.131343-4.41%0.116-15.57%0.1279✗1.2061k2022-09-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053780.051406-4.41%0.04195-22.00%0.0218✓0.8616k2022-09-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.358150.342307-4.42%0.26857-25.01%0.0194✓1.2513k2022-09-06
PROPropyEthereum0.840.802784-4.43%0.71-15.48%0.0015✓0.5878k2022-09-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.062.9226-4.49%2.1-31.37%0.0307✓1.43234k2022-09-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.7411.2061-4.55%9.48-19.25%0.0861✗1.21263k2022-09-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1473.958-4.56%4.174+0.65%0.1525✗0.471.9M2022-09-06
NANOnanopayBase1.05491.0067-4.57%0.84826-19.59%0.0148✓0.8951k2022-09-06
SCSiacoinnative0.004710.004494-4.58%0.00379-19.53%0.0931✗1.26102k2022-09-06
HIVEHivenative0.59910.571373-4.63%0.5213-12.99%0.1436✗1.122.1M2022-09-06
ZENHorizenBase19.1718.2817-4.63%14.54-24.15%0.0435✓1.30118k2022-09-06
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10470.099845-4.64%0.0785-25.02%0.0021✓1.145,6912022-09-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.3589-4.64%1.103-22.60%0.0472✓1.222.5M2022-09-06
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05961.0104-4.64%0.73689-30.45%0.0537✓1.25532k2022-09-06
API3Api3Ethereum2.0891.9919-4.65%1.597-23.55%0.0148✓1.12606k2022-09-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3544730.337968-4.66%0.272462-23.14%0.0378✓1.211.0M2022-09-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.177350.169044-4.68%0.13097-26.15%0.0648✗1.53207k2022-09-06
DASHDashDash53.3550.8489-4.69%42.68-20.00%0.0511✗1.08552k2022-09-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04410.042031-4.69%0.0348-21.09%0.0531✗1.1577k2022-09-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012020.000011453-4.71%0.00001199-0.25%0.2831✗1.13926k2022-09-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1111.0584-4.73%0.94-15.39%0.0073✓0.602.1M2022-09-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017290.001647-4.74%0.001469-15.04%0.0856✗0.958,9342022-09-06
SOLSolanaSolana40.6238.683-4.77%30.87-24.00%0.0571✗1.3579.4M2022-09-06
QTUMQtumQtum4.09193.8963-4.78%2.9851-27.05%0.0397✓1.0853k2022-09-06
IMXImmutableEthereum1.13871.0839-4.81%0.7744-31.99%0.0503✓1.361.7M2022-09-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033020.031427-4.82%0.03333+0.94%0.3054✗1.1814k2022-09-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16631.11-4.83%0.938-19.57%0.0017✓0.814.1M2022-09-06
KSMKusamaHydration65.4262.2585-4.83%45.56-30.36%0.0732✓1.14419k2022-09-06
UMAUMAEthereum3.0332.8856-4.86%2.544-16.12%0.0890✗1.02585k2022-09-06
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.940145-4.89%0.8135-17.70%0.2183✗1.73296k2022-09-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.4924-4.94%1.47-6.37%0.0346✓0.24207k2022-09-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.347.9246-4.98%6.659-20.16%0.0808✗1.2116.7M2022-09-06
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7922.6529-4.98%1.774-36.46%0.0300✓1.78126k2022-09-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034360.032642-5.00%0.01917-44.21%0.2568✓1.3113.9M2022-09-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.688430.653889-5.02%0.5036-26.85%0.0474✓1.4769k2022-09-06
ZECZcashZcash70.2666.7213-5.04%57.93-17.55%0.1158✗1.231.8M2022-09-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7928.345-5.08%5.599-36.32%0.1919✓0.994.0M2022-09-06
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3191.2516-5.11%0.8793-33.34%0.0928✓1.241.1M2022-09-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.11920.113103-5.12%0.0892-25.17%0.0143✓1.20529k2022-09-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6854.445-5.12%11.915+154.32%1.0762✗0.431.2M2022-09-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4660.442058-5.14%0.431-7.51%0.2949✗1.53207k2022-09-06
XVGVergenative0.003740.003547-5.17%0.00295-21.12%0.0819✗1.27534k2022-09-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.316950.300574-5.17%0.33208+4.77%0.3095✗1.00366k2022-09-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48060.455646-5.19%0.3263-32.11%0.0620✓1.30155k2022-09-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08930.084658-5.20%0.0592-33.71%0.1236✓1.12124k2022-09-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59270.56182-5.21%0.4434-25.19%0.0062✓1.16303k2022-09-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23920.226686-5.23%0.2009-16.01%0.1960✗1.5189k2022-09-06
DIADIAEthereum0.475240.450374-5.23%0.36615-22.95%0.0663✓0.6770k2022-09-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07350.069644-5.25%0.0558-24.08%0.0247✓0.94158k2022-09-06
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.247641-5.26%0.1539-41.12%0.4730✓0.0131k2022-09-06
XYMSymbolnative0.0550550.052156-5.27%0.040185-27.01%0.1366✓0.5926k2022-09-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07940.0752-5.29%0.0605-23.80%0.0203✓1.131.3M2022-09-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25950.245734-5.30%0.1963-24.35%0.0180✓1.1698k2022-09-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0583.8421-5.32%3.962-2.37%0.1522✗0.581.6M2022-09-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12640.119664-5.33%0.1014-19.78%0.0445✓1.00398k2022-09-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.1257.8409-5.37%54.12-11.45%0.1661✗1.1113.5M2022-09-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009060.008568-5.43%0.00747-17.55%0.1180✗1.22421k2022-09-06
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.3453-5.43%2.26-8.87%0.1888✗1.08507k2022-09-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12830.121333-5.43%0.0977-23.85%0.0685✗1.362.9M2022-09-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21833.0429-5.45%7.2344+124.79%0.9997✗0.641.2M2022-09-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12940.122334-5.46%0.0961-25.73%0.0213✓1.054,5002022-09-06
AAVEAaveEthereum101.3195.7347-5.50%83.58-17.50%0.2061✗1.639.9M2022-09-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17580.16608-5.53%0.1307-25.65%0.0042✓1.16529k2022-09-06
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8580.810508-5.54%0.624-27.27%0.0155✓1.17246k2022-09-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.0123.7889-5.56%2.889-27.99%0.0938✓0.85976k2022-09-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.47363.2802-5.57%6.6193+90.56%0.8569✗0.741.7M2022-09-06
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.25e-7-5.59%8.70e-7-11.22%0.0894✗0.7225k2022-09-06
BANDBandEthereum1.8091.7078-5.59%1.182-34.66%0.0749✓1.40371k2022-09-06
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56360.531878-5.63%0.3016-46.49%0.2912✓1.32232k2022-09-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57481.4857-5.66%1.6782+6.57%0.4148✗1.40619k2022-09-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.43380.409218-5.67%0.31421-27.57%0.0254✓1.14124k2022-09-06
COMPCompoundEthereum63.8560.1688-5.77%45.35-28.97%0.0050✓1.3738k2022-09-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.7738-5.84%4.37-13.81%0.0395✓0.611.3M2022-09-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.8815.8936-5.84%14.19-15.94%0.1731✗1.372.6M2022-09-06
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.122.9373-5.86%1.96-37.18%0.2991✓0.50116k2022-09-06
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022850.002151-5.88%0.001603-29.85%0.0841✓1.001.2M2022-09-06
FORTFortaEthereum0.3080.289769-5.92%0.2418-21.49%0.0488✓1.10300k2022-09-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,438.5410,760.09-5.93%8,612.34-24.71%0.0726✗1.415.2M2022-09-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.27110.255017-5.93%0.2232-17.67%0.0915✗1.0765k2022-09-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.87858.1585-6.01%49.549-19.92%0.0061✓0.79306k2022-09-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.40241.3176-6.05%1.0359-26.13%0.0776✗1.526.4M2022-09-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash140.98132.4188-6.07%112.17-20.44%0.0812✗1.184.7M2022-09-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06430.060393-6.08%0.0453-29.55%0.0266✓1.24799k2022-09-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010460.009822-6.10%0.00852-18.55%0.0512✓0.925.1M2022-09-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034230.003214-6.10%0.002767-19.16%0.0506✓0.961.0M2022-09-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.15130.14204-6.12%0.185+22.27%0.4768✗1.011.1M2022-09-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34310.321919-6.17%0.2593-24.42%0.0213✓1.133.6M2022-09-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2497.7366-6.21%6.22-24.60%0.0333✓1.206.8M2022-09-06
FISStafiEthereum0.39040.366127-6.22%0.3-23.16%0.0023✓0.941492022-09-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.083860.078611-6.26%0.06801-18.90%0.1291✗1.3129k2022-09-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33262.1858-6.30%1.6996-27.14%0.0070✓1.1738k2022-09-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7590.711079-6.31%0.475-37.42%0.1007✓1.44135k2022-09-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4917.3219-6.32%13.11-29.10%0.0055✓1.301.4M2022-09-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.372.2202-6.32%1.457-38.52%0.1484✓1.30160k2022-09-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.083.8204-6.36%2.791-31.59%0.0406✓1.695.2M2022-09-06
ETHEthereumEthereum1,700.421,591.79-6.39%1,559.28-8.30%0.2558✗1.32407.7M2022-09-06
METISMetisEthereum44.2241.3909-6.40%28.84-34.78%0.0316✓1.87293k2022-09-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.815178-6.41%0.614-29.51%0.0736✗1.704.3M2022-09-06
XTZTezosTezos1.8881.7667-6.42%1.433-24.10%0.0426✓1.20530k2022-09-06
C98Coin98Ethereum0.58870.550813-6.44%0.3885-34.01%0.1130✓1.1346k2022-09-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.7135.2738-6.46%34.44-8.67%0.2761✗1.4313.0M2022-09-06
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4028-6.48%1.1464-23.57%0.0888✗1.391.2M2022-09-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6820.637717-6.49%0.482-29.33%0.0027✓1.3590k2022-09-06
ELAElastosEthereum2.1832.04-6.55%1.727-20.89%0.0681✗1.12225k2022-09-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.06050.05652-6.58%0.052-14.05%0.2136✗1.42339k2022-09-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8070.753902-6.58%0.608-24.66%0.0221✓0.92380k2022-09-06
ADACardanoCardano0.52770.492796-6.61%0.4626-12.34%0.1790✗1.1539.5M2022-09-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0198730.018558-6.62%0.025115+26.38%0.3651✗0.30173k2022-09-06
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.079690.074388-6.65%0.06355-20.25%0.0042✓0.738502022-09-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.427190.398747-6.66%0.31667-25.87%0.0379✓1.28507k2022-09-06
FLOWFlownative2.6242.4461-6.78%1.772-32.47%0.0562✓1.27505k2022-09-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7982.6076-6.80%1.947-30.41%0.0022✓1.3848k2022-09-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9981.8615-6.83%1.395-30.18%0.0002✓1.38234k2022-09-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159520.014849-6.91%0.012145-23.87%0.0265✓0.832.1M2022-09-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.107270.099813-6.95%0.05773-46.18%0.2371✓1.481.2M2022-09-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.2552-6.99%5.2-7.96%0.1001✗0.532.1M2022-09-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.37410.5749-7.03%11.775+3.53%0.3815✗1.3113.7M2022-09-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.42e-73.18e-7-7.10%7.89e-7+130.63%1.0948✗0.88150k2022-09-06
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5510.511837-7.11%0.399-27.59%0.0152✓1.1114k2022-09-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.925.9003-7.17%18.21-34.73%0.0261✓1.5529.2M2022-09-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.948.2989-7.17%8.6-3.80%0.1084✗0.351.8M2022-09-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.04390.966653-7.40%1.0186-2.42%0.2808✗1.09933k2022-09-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8110.750553-7.45%0.439-45.87%0.2432✓1.402,7022022-09-06
QNTQuantEthereum126.46116.7615-7.67%90.03-28.81%0.0669✓0.924.5M2022-09-06
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099560.000091706-7.89%0.00037885+280.52%1.7939✗1.79466k2022-09-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.4829.8998-7.94%15.93-50.95%0.3212✓1.471.1M2022-09-06
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2086.6259-8.08%4.301-40.33%0.0973✓1.6011.9M2022-09-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum22.1920.3523-8.28%16.78-24.38%0.0345✓0.762.6M2022-09-06
GMTGMTEthereum0.9310.853361-8.34%0.6322-32.09%0.0380✓1.61462k2022-09-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15880.145408-8.43%0.1271-19.96%0.0412✓0.843.6M2022-09-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017880.016367-8.46%0.01183-33.84%0.1620✓0.78175k2022-09-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011930.001091-8.53%0.001265+6.09%0.3961✗1.181.3M2022-09-06
DODODODOEthereum0.18190.166336-8.56%0.1191-34.52%0.0833✓1.203.3M2022-09-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1090.099641-8.59%0.1124+3.12%0.2813✗0.77163k2022-09-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.8296.1946-9.29%5.919-13.33%0.0455✓0.432.7M2022-09-06
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085320.076948-9.81%0.07402-13.24%0.0178✓0.271.1M2022-09-06
MOVRMoonriverBase18.297316.3882-10.43%12.1746-33.46%0.0656✓1.1053k2022-09-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.46930.420294-10.44%0.296-36.93%0.1127✓1.1380k2022-09-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.040570.0354-12.74%0.02171-46.49%0.2746✓1.02159k2022-09-06
OPTIMOptimism1.9121.6151-15.53%1.095-42.73%0.0202✓1.953.1M2022-09-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.