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2022-08-04 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2242
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.18%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.9%
in alpha space · 83.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.33%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.9181.6021-16.47%1.195-37.70%0.0338✓1.972.8M2022-09-03
MOVRMoonriverBase14.635913.274-9.31%12.6808-13.36%0.1052✗1.1558k2022-09-03
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085410.077524-9.23%0.07801-8.66%0.0419✓0.271.1M2022-09-03
DODODODOEthereum0.17290.15814-8.54%0.1258-27.24%0.0680✓1.223.5M2022-09-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6219.8231-8.31%17.13-20.77%0.0350✓0.842.4M2022-09-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017580.016141-8.19%0.01336-24.00%0.0810✓0.82193k2022-09-03
FLOWFlownative2.62.3887-8.13%1.951-24.96%0.0365✓1.26448k2022-09-03
METISMetisEthereum46.0142.2824-8.10%30.98-32.67%0.0714✓1.82266k2022-09-03
GMTGMTEthereum0.9090.835423-8.09%0.678-25.41%0.0232✓1.76496k2022-09-03
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099250.000091375-7.93%0.00026115+163.12%1.3185✗2.04516k2022-09-03
APEApeCoinEthereum7.4376.8589-7.77%4.756-36.05%0.1383✓1.7313.1M2022-09-03
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56770.524523-7.61%0.4418-22.18%0.0250✓1.1146k2022-09-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.30e-7-7.28%8.93e-7+150.93%1.1253✗0.99164k2022-09-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03390.958635-7.28%1.1337+9.65%0.3188✗1.151.0M2022-09-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.9925.964-7.24%19.02-32.05%0.1327✓1.36946k2022-09-03
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076930.071439-7.14%0.06648-13.58%0.0244✓0.739772022-09-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8460.785766-7.12%0.669-20.92%0.0679✓1.744.6M2022-09-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010890.001012-7.05%0.001326+21.79%0.4334✗1.241.3M2022-09-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0205250.019094-6.97%0.026685+30.01%0.3900✗0.42167k2022-09-03
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7282.5395-6.91%2.045-25.04%0.0285✓1.4349k2022-09-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.419540.390897-6.83%0.36179-13.77%0.1040✗1.38583k2022-09-03
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.519923-6.82%0.412-26.16%0.0821✓1.1414k2022-09-03
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7860.732901-6.76%0.519-33.97%0.1536✓1.463,1392022-09-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.3721.7962-6.73%18.9-19.13%0.0653✓1.5826.1M2022-09-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.2266-6.50%5.78+3.40%0.1812✗0.611.4M2022-09-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.18992.0479-6.49%1.7905-18.24%0.0235✓1.2032k2022-09-03
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9671.8395-6.48%1.482-24.66%0.0304✓1.41266k2022-09-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13920.130185-6.48%0.1363-2.08%0.1706✗0.953.6M2022-09-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7990.747294-6.47%0.688-13.89%0.0515✓1.02377k2022-09-03
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.244348-6.42%0.1834-29.76%0.2854✓0.0129k2022-09-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.1564.8263-6.39%6.609+28.18%0.3835✗0.532.4M2022-09-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2522.1081-6.39%1.543-31.48%0.1294✓1.39172k2022-09-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6860.642667-6.32%0.52-24.20%0.0280✓1.4088k2022-09-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.3599.7079-6.29%12.627+21.89%0.4411✗1.3513.7M2022-09-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.2013-6.27%9.31+6.40%0.1909✗0.491.8M2022-09-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7773.5402-6.27%2.941-22.13%0.0437✓1.745.0M2022-09-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.37213.1618-6.24%7.3234+117.18%0.9570✗0.891.4M2022-09-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.06160.057828-6.12%0.0556-9.74%0.1487✗1.43350k2022-09-03
QNTQuantEthereum103.7497.3898-6.12%93.83-9.55%0.0929✗0.994.2M2022-09-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.987.4922-6.11%6.499-18.56%0.0183✓1.227.0M2022-09-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0155950.014643-6.10%0.013081-16.12%0.0046✓0.892.1M2022-09-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.7516.6681-6.09%15.21-14.31%0.0803✗1.311.3M2022-09-03
SUSHISushiEthereum1.471.3805-6.09%1.1328-22.94%0.0124✓1.411.2M2022-09-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086150.080913-6.08%0.07135-17.18%0.0536✓1.3629k2022-09-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0630.059171-6.08%0.0485-23.02%0.0302✓1.28802k2022-09-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.14470.135944-6.05%0.2171+50.03%0.6106✗1.08907k2022-09-03
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.57760.542828-6.02%0.3093-46.45%0.3816✓1.38234k2022-09-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,646.8210,007.01-6.01%9,785.94-8.09%0.1651✗1.424.5M2022-09-03
FORTFortaEthereum0.3020.284145-5.91%0.2308-23.58%0.0614✓1.11300k2022-09-03
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021890.00206-5.91%0.001655-24.39%0.0872✓1.001.4M2022-09-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32861.251-5.84%1.0729-19.25%0.0429✓1.495.6M2022-09-03
ADACardanoCardano0.49970.470629-5.82%0.4804-3.86%0.1787✗1.2040.5M2022-09-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.26956.7642-5.82%52.516-12.86%0.0318✓0.83321k2022-09-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.832.7855-5.79%32.23-7.39%0.1677✗1.4011.4M2022-09-03
ELAElastosEthereum1.8141.7092-5.78%1.771-2.37%0.1186✗0.63206k2022-09-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7270.68564-5.69%0.527-27.51%0.0696✓1.47121k2022-09-03
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-78.96e-7-5.66%8.70e-7-8.42%0.1019✗1.0025k2022-09-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0090.008491-5.66%0.00798-11.33%0.1062✗1.28387k2022-09-03
BANDBandEthereum1.7551.6565-5.61%1.319-24.84%0.0398✓1.43341k2022-09-03
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.092.9167-5.61%1.93-37.54%0.3480✓0.49109k2022-09-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.080647-5.57%0.0572-33.02%0.1924✓1.15126k2022-09-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16420.155066-5.56%0.1379-16.02%0.0460✓1.24518k2022-09-03
COMPCompoundEthereum5652.8898-5.55%47.89-14.48%0.0836✗1.3935k2022-09-03
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7820.738967-5.50%0.671-14.19%0.0619✗1.20225k2022-09-03
XTZTezosTezos1.82491.726-5.42%1.5227-16.56%0.0415✓1.27530k2022-09-03
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08090.07652-5.41%0.06279-22.39%0.0023✓1.49871k2022-09-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8615.005-5.39%14.03-11.54%0.1177✗1.412.5M2022-09-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12690.120068-5.38%0.102-19.62%0.0320✓1.004,7012022-09-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9823.7678-5.38%2.976-25.26%0.1233✓0.86922k2022-09-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.5721-5.34%4.96+2.69%0.1736✗0.701.3M2022-09-03
AAVEAaveEthereum96.3491.2355-5.30%87.18-9.51%0.1722✗1.6610.2M2022-09-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.14162.9766-5.25%7.5278+139.62%1.0283✗0.761.1M2022-09-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6164.3751-5.22%13.804+199.05%1.2231✗0.561.4M2022-09-03
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06670.063232-5.20%0.0578-13.34%0.0338✓0.94183k2022-09-03
DIADIAEthereum0.457070.433618-5.13%0.3754-17.87%0.0438✓0.7668k2022-09-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0927.6785-5.11%6.507-19.59%0.0282✓1.042.5M2022-09-03
XYMSymbolnative0.0542640.051492-5.11%0.042307-22.03%0.1202✓0.5825k2022-09-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43880.416511-5.08%0.3659-16.61%0.0650✗1.48278k2022-09-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18531.1254-5.05%0.9676-18.37%0.0366✓0.874.1M2022-09-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032310.030689-5.02%0.03443+6.56%0.2770✗1.2314k2022-09-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2141.1536-4.98%1.014-16.47%0.0435✓0.651.9M2022-09-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33060.31422-4.95%0.2804-15.18%0.0394✓1.173.5M2022-09-03
GLMGolemEthereum0.26060.247705-4.95%0.2386-8.44%0.1090✗1.1165k2022-09-03
API3Api3Ethereum2.2232.1131-4.94%1.68-24.43%0.0623✓1.27626k2022-09-03
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5022-4.93%1.49-5.70%0.0310✓0.30242k2022-09-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.833.6415-4.92%4.492+17.28%0.3012✗0.691.5M2022-09-03
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01920.969077-4.92%0.8416-17.43%0.0844✗1.71241k2022-09-03
KSMKusamaHydration61.1258.1145-4.92%48.81-20.14%0.0201✓1.17379k2022-09-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034970.033257-4.90%0.02059-41.12%0.2898✓1.4413.9M2022-09-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5021.4284-4.90%1.7051+13.52%0.3610✗1.40594k2022-09-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04210.040041-4.89%0.0354-15.91%0.0380✓1.2376k2022-09-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07330.069717-4.89%0.0608-17.05%0.0087✓1.111.1M2022-09-03
STORJStorjEthereum0.665910.633424-4.88%0.54122-18.72%0.0414✓1.5188k2022-09-03
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12731.073-4.82%0.8243-26.88%0.0835✓1.371.4M2022-09-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.404330.384857-4.82%0.33497-17.15%0.0178✓1.19107k2022-09-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8443.6593-4.81%4.797+24.79%0.3475✗0.581.9M2022-09-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.34127.9639-4.75%117.83-12.29%0.0751✗1.204.6M2022-09-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.28.7634-4.75%7.65-16.85%0.0465✓1.39334k2022-09-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11680.111258-4.74%0.1012-13.36%0.0467✓1.08370k2022-09-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3991.3328-4.73%1.159-17.16%0.0280✓1.282.6M2022-09-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3290.313544-4.70%0.3208-2.49%0.1710✗1.1377k2022-09-03
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.128-4.70%4.84-24.73%0.0531✓1.391.2M2022-09-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001579-4.69%0.001499-9.54%0.0836✗1.039,0682022-09-03
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188870.180026-4.68%0.15784-16.43%0.1727✗2.311,1512022-09-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00670.006388-4.66%0.006407-4.37%0.0707✗0.5140k2022-09-03
QTUMQtumQtum3.95923.7748-4.66%3.1511-20.41%0.0378✓1.0945k2022-09-03
WOOWOOEthereum0.21750.20742-4.63%0.1524-29.93%0.1363✓1.311,5612022-09-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04910.046829-4.63%0.04477-8.82%0.0716✗0.8915k2022-09-03
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5962.4767-4.60%1.881-27.54%0.0446✓1.75109k2022-09-03
UMAUMAEthereum2.9822.8462-4.55%2.744-7.98%0.1105✗1.12591k2022-09-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.104669-4.50%0.0949-13.41%0.0669✗1.25505k2022-09-03
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.161,535.80-4.50%1,557.70-3.14%0.1820✗1.28407.7M2022-09-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0710.574-4.48%10.12-8.58%0.1140✗1.20263k2022-09-03
XVGVergenative0.003770.003601-4.47%0.00311-17.51%0.0237✓1.30551k2022-09-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009790.009357-4.43%0.00869-11.24%0.0420✓0.885.1M2022-09-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12020.11488-4.43%0.1018-15.31%0.0594✗1.372.9M2022-09-03
HIVEHivenative0.58130.555756-4.39%0.5434-6.52%0.1333✗1.181.8M2022-09-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22630.216374-4.39%0.212-6.32%0.1724✗1.4787k2022-09-03
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2971.2403-4.37%0.9295-28.33%0.1251✓1.241.1M2022-09-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24850.237653-4.36%0.2102-15.41%0.0379✓1.22101k2022-09-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.71.626-4.36%1.29-24.12%0.0580✓1.32122k2022-09-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.122.9848-4.33%2.25-27.88%0.0830✓1.52211k2022-09-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05370.051408-4.27%0.0443-17.50%0.0196✓1.28284k2022-09-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07310.069991-4.25%0.119+62.79%0.6267✗0.73159k2022-09-03
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.3748-4.24%2.26-8.87%0.0920✗1.08507k2022-09-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3647.0539-4.21%6.861-6.83%0.1368✗1.2516.9M2022-09-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030690.00294-4.19%0.002948-3.94%0.1329✗0.991.0M2022-09-03
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.12915-4.12%0.1211-10.10%0.1027✗1.2761k2022-09-03
SCSiacoinnative0.004540.004358-4.02%0.00397-12.56%0.0787✗1.31112k2022-09-03
MANADecentralandEthereum0.992450.952585-4.02%0.78775-20.63%0.0193✓1.30532k2022-09-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043860.042101-4.01%0.03762-14.23%0.0110✓0.942,0262022-09-03
XEMNEMnative0.050210.048224-3.95%0.043496-13.37%0.0542✗1.2035k2022-09-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54540.524023-3.92%0.4583-15.97%0.0155✓1.14333k2022-09-03
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09750.093679-3.92%0.0824-15.49%0.0300✓1.207,1482022-09-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011386-3.92%0.0000123+3.80%0.2413✗1.25951k2022-09-03
SOLSolanaSolana38.8237.3-3.92%31.12-19.84%0.0015✓1.3781.1M2022-09-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.6557.3179-3.91%60.19+0.91%0.2007✗1.1513.6M2022-09-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.825.5935-3.89%6.87+18.04%0.2945✗0.68746k2022-09-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.91752.8043-3.88%4.8007+64.55%0.6666✗0.981.2M2022-09-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05051.0098-3.88%–pending––1.0513k2022-09-03
STEEMSteemnative0.25220.24267-3.78%0.2228-11.66%0.0673✗1.16768k2022-09-03
UOSUltraEthereum0.313380.301664-3.74%0.35+11.69%0.2964✗1.12396k2022-09-03
GITCOINGITCOIN3.18543.0664-3.74%2.2636-28.94%0.0980✓1.5612k2022-09-03
PROPropyEthereum0.740.712813-3.67%0.73-1.35%0.1025✗0.6079k2022-09-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.545.3373-3.66%6.85+23.65%0.3273✗0.59873k2022-09-03
CBKCobakEthereum1.11291.0727-3.62%0.86852-21.96%0.0658✓1.1111k2022-09-03
BORABORAKlay Token0.362810.349801-3.59%0.29127-19.72%0.0116✓1.3013k2022-09-03
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8198.5068-3.54%6.305-28.51%0.1163✓1.399.9M2022-09-03
NANOnanopayBase1.01510.979256-3.54%0.885648-12.76%0.0234✓0.9460k2022-09-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0224480.021661-3.51%0.020633-8.09%0.0781✗0.9611k2022-09-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3402110.328331-3.49%0.292785-13.94%0.0524✗1.271.0M2022-09-03
XECeCashnative0.000042940.000041445-3.48%0.00004471+4.12%0.2279✗1.161.9M2022-09-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.324407-3.48%0.303-9.85%0.0806✗1.138.2M2022-09-03
DASHDashDash49.447.6828-3.48%46.77-5.32%0.1249✗1.10574k2022-09-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4152.3315-3.46%4.026+66.71%0.6635✗0.89110k2022-09-03
ZECZcashZcash64.3862.1753-3.42%62.7-2.61%0.1728✗1.251.6M2022-09-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160.154521-3.42%0.13707-14.33%0.0819✗1.53212k2022-09-03
XMRMoneroMonero159.25153.9017-3.36%154.44-3.02%0.1492✗1.111.2M2022-09-03
ZENHorizenBase17.3216.7418-3.34%15.52-10.39%0.1062✗1.38116k2022-09-03
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030380.029389-3.26%0.02472-18.63%0.0018✓1.301,4012022-09-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41620.402748-3.23%0.354-14.94%0.0439✗1.31127k2022-09-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04820.046699-3.11%0.0358-25.73%0.0946✓1.307,5232022-09-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.579123-2.91%0.5007-16.06%0.0047✓1.14690k2022-09-03
GALAGALAEthereum0.05930.057606-2.86%0.05-15.68%0.0418✗1.39172k2022-09-03
FTTFTXEthereum29.1428.3432-2.73%26.2-10.09%0.0462✗0.9510.0M2022-09-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.020556-2.72%0.02203+4.26%0.2028✗1.02159k2022-09-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.008220.007997-2.72%0.00602-26.76%0.1651✓0.901.6M2022-09-03
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19950.194131-2.69%0.1738-12.88%0.0731✗1.401,2762022-09-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.15610.151919-2.68%0.1418-9.16%0.0928✗1.23107k2022-09-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,495.2021,896.12-2.66%19,875.80-11.64%0.0321✗0.9813k2022-09-03
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7380.718617-2.63%1.037+40.51%0.5263✗1.21968k2022-09-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2180.212347-2.59%0.17-22.02%0.0235✓1.51782k2022-09-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.324834-2.45%0.269-19.22%0.0521✓1.041.1M2022-09-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.15021.122-2.45%1.0572-8.08%0.0787✗1.0543k2022-09-03
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.37e-7-2.42%8.80e-7-8.33%0.0476✗0.846.4M2022-09-03
STXStacksnative0.47370.462952-2.27%0.361-23.79%0.0858✓1.24808k2022-09-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,623.9422,112.97-2.26%19,835.47-12.33%0.0228✗1.00427.9M2022-09-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061460.006017-2.09%0.005893-4.11%0.0906✗0.857,1222022-09-03
TRXTRONTron0.0689810.067573-2.04%0.06311-8.51%0.0230✗0.69345k2022-09-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0927.9286-2.02%7.29-9.91%0.0765✗1.2211.0M2022-09-03
GTGateEthereum4.554.4605-1.97%4.2494-6.61%0.0497✗0.75920k2022-09-03
KCSKuCoinnative10.0359.8527-1.82%9.192-8.40%0.0758✗1.102.0M2022-09-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0673530.066199-1.71%0.062675-6.94%0.0994✗1.171.7M2022-09-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum54.9159-1.68%5.1775+3.55%0.0749✗0.17219k2022-09-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1139210.112222-1.49%0.105238-7.62%0.0661✗0.996.9M2022-09-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.