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2022-08-03 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1872
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-5.86%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
41.8%
in alpha space · 84.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.58%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.9931.6393-17.74%1.234-38.08%0.0192✓1.972.4M2022-09-02
MOVRMoonriverBase14.622113.2913-9.10%12.8342-12.23%0.1195✗1.1563k2022-09-02
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.088010.08049-8.54%0.0801-8.99%0.0303✓0.261.1M2022-09-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.9820.1515-8.32%17.08-22.29%0.0512✓0.852.2M2022-09-02
DODODODOEthereum0.17080.156748-8.23%0.1232-27.87%0.0767✓1.223.5M2022-09-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017680.016274-7.95%0.01324-25.11%0.0954✓0.82207k2022-09-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.9050.833084-7.95%0.6722-25.72%0.0231✓1.77513k2022-09-02
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099970.000092334-7.64%0.00024148+141.55%1.2353✗2.04536k2022-09-02
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1686.6233-7.60%4.706-34.35%0.1087✓1.7312.2M2022-09-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8160.756892-7.24%0.668-18.14%0.1089✗1.744.8M2022-09-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199490.018552-7.00%0.025779+29.22%0.3857✗0.42165k2022-09-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01780.946658-6.99%1.1047+8.54%0.3087✗1.151.1M2022-09-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.6425.7447-6.86%19.34-30.03%0.1036✓1.36773k2022-09-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078280.072931-6.83%0.0671-14.28%0.0150✓0.731,0202022-09-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14480.134996-6.77%0.1352-6.63%0.1288✗0.953.6M2022-09-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5170.482047-6.76%0.423-18.18%0.0237✓1.1513k2022-09-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.6952.513-6.75%2.034-24.53%0.0194✓1.4349k2022-09-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.49e-73.26e-7-6.69%8.64e-7+147.55%1.1084✗0.99170k2022-09-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.001014-6.67%0.001355+24.69%0.4563✗1.241.3M2022-09-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.436.0043-6.62%5.99-6.84%0.0796✗0.611.4M2022-09-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405920.379295-6.56%0.35346-12.92%0.1150✗1.38583k2022-09-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.780.729248-6.51%0.479-38.59%0.2248✓1.453,6872022-09-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0241.8927-6.49%1.488-26.48%0.0509✓1.41255k2022-09-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9814.6616-6.41%6.365+27.79%0.3825✗0.532.2M2022-09-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.7991.6862-6.27%1.76-2.17%0.1282✗0.64189k2022-09-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.35773.1473-6.26%7.5477+124.79%0.9941✗0.891.3M2022-09-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.7310.0588-6.26%7.59-29.26%0.0957✓1.38334k2022-09-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.558.9544-6.24%9.58+0.31%0.1329✗0.491.7M2022-09-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.713.4805-6.19%3.028-18.38%0.0947✗1.745.0M2022-09-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,725.0410,066.89-6.14%10,076.20-6.05%0.1924✗1.424.4M2022-09-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.31830.298783-6.13%0.2313-27.33%0.1067✓1.11294k2022-09-02
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.245294-6.09%0.1972-24.50%0.2167✓0.0129k2022-09-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087710.082424-6.03%0.07182-18.12%0.0457✓1.3629k2022-09-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6330.594939-6.01%0.508-19.75%0.0302✓1.4088k2022-09-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2462.1114-5.99%1.534-31.70%0.1334✓1.38177k2022-09-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0421.6603-5.99%18.87-18.10%0.0747✗1.5827.5M2022-09-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8617.3924-5.96%6.292-19.96%0.0030✓1.227.0M2022-09-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.17592.0464-5.95%1.788-17.83%0.0264✓1.2032k2022-09-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47440.446312-5.92%0.436-8.09%0.1273✗1.1246k2022-09-02
QNTQuantEthereum105.1898.9565-5.92%92.78-11.79%0.0686✗0.994.2M2022-09-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.13380.125956-5.86%0.2187+63.45%0.6977✗1.09779k2022-09-02
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54110.509503-5.84%0.3186-41.12%0.2810✓1.40222k2022-09-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.0633.9836-5.76%32.45-10.01%0.1426✗1.409.4M2022-09-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.3486-5.69%1.1131-22.16%0.0024✓1.411.1M2022-09-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157850.014894-5.64%0.01333-15.55%0.0094✓0.892.1M2022-09-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.172.9911-5.64%1.98-37.54%0.3462✓0.49102k2022-09-02
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022550.002128-5.64%0.001603-28.91%0.1488✓1.001.5M2022-09-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008680.008193-5.61%0.00814-6.22%0.1655✗1.28375k2022-09-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.31156.954-5.57%53.741-10.89%0.0540✓0.83330k2022-09-02
COMPCompoundEthereum55.7652.6615-5.56%45.81-17.84%0.0476✓1.3934k2022-09-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3341.2599-5.55%1.0939-18.00%0.0599✗1.506.4M2022-09-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15880.149987-5.55%0.1381-13.04%0.0844✗1.24508k2022-09-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7670.725294-5.44%0.713-7.04%0.1196✗1.02377k2022-09-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.4415.5485-5.42%13.76-16.30%0.0668✗1.412.3M2022-09-02
METISMetisEthereum35.333.3903-5.41%31.7-10.20%0.2061✗1.92251k2022-09-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.26543.0912-5.34%7.9584+143.72%1.0481✗0.761.1M2022-09-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08610.081512-5.33%0.057-33.80%0.2030✓1.15128k2022-09-02
BANDBandEthereum1.6891.5992-5.31%1.31-22.44%0.0072✓1.43341k2022-09-02
ADACardanoCardano0.50090.474375-5.30%0.4544-9.28%0.1186✗1.2041.9M2022-09-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.081210.076914-5.29%0.06497-20.00%0.0312✓1.49786k2022-09-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.790.748392-5.27%0.657-16.84%0.0313✓1.20225k2022-09-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.05870.055616-5.25%0.0558-4.94%0.1952✗1.43350k2022-09-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05850.055456-5.20%0.0486-16.92%0.0407✓1.28799k2022-09-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4784.2458-5.19%14.875+232.18%1.3297✗0.561.3M2022-09-02
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.29e-7-5.19%8.90e-7-9.18%0.0914✗1.0025k2022-09-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0877.668-5.18%5.831-27.90%0.1335✓1.042.4M2022-09-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0620.058791-5.18%0.1196+92.90%0.8091✗0.74159k2022-09-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12880.122159-5.16%0.1-22.36%0.0663✓1.004,9522022-09-02
FLOWFlownative1.841.7456-5.13%1.965+6.79%0.2900✗1.28430k2022-09-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9053.7049-5.13%2.96-24.20%0.1093✓0.86922k2022-09-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.084.8253-5.01%4.95-2.56%0.1197✗0.701.3M2022-09-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.037490.035612-5.01%0.02024-46.01%0.3715✓1.4413.9M2022-09-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1716.3148-4.98%14.03-18.29%0.0249✓1.311.3M2022-09-02
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00270.952885-4.97%0.889-11.34%0.1613✗1.72211k2022-09-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0557310.052966-4.96%0.043204-22.48%0.1257✓0.5824k2022-09-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.1659.6619-4.95%12.614+24.09%0.4488✗1.3514.4M2022-09-02
AAVEAaveEthereum94.9790.279-4.94%88.39-6.93%0.2015✗1.6610.2M2022-09-02
DIADIAEthereum0.465640.442775-4.91%0.3771-19.01%0.0578✓0.7668k2022-09-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1251.07-4.89%1.008-10.40%0.0280✓0.651.8M2022-09-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06820.064886-4.86%0.0568-16.72%0.0068✓0.94229k2022-09-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03430.984298-4.83%0.9679-6.42%0.1010✗0.883.9M2022-09-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43990.418753-4.81%0.3489-20.69%0.0161✓1.48278k2022-09-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.039321-4.79%0.035-15.25%0.0484✓1.2376k2022-09-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017040.001623-4.76%0.001528-10.33%0.0786✗1.039,4962022-09-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8263.6456-4.72%4.612+20.54%0.3141✗0.591.9M2022-09-02
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.129-4.68%4.86-24.42%0.0452✓1.391.2M2022-09-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07730.073702-4.65%0.0619-19.92%0.0259✓1.11952k2022-09-02
KSMKusamaHydration61.3158.4671-4.64%47.83-21.99%0.0431✓1.17379k2022-09-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066980.006391-4.58%0.006468-3.43%0.0813✗0.5239k2022-09-02
API3Api3Ethereum1.9971.9057-4.57%1.701-14.82%0.0573✗1.27626k2022-09-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9783.7967-4.56%4.42+11.11%0.2453✗0.691.5M2022-09-02
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08341.034-4.56%0.829-23.48%0.0365✓1.371.4M2022-09-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3591.2977-4.51%1.181-13.10%0.0775✗1.282.5M2022-09-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4521-4.47%1.48-2.63%0.0599✗0.30221k2022-09-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031270.029886-4.43%0.03437+9.91%0.3056✗1.2314k2022-09-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23110.220935-4.40%0.2219-3.98%0.2020✗1.4789k2022-09-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6722.5555-4.36%1.899-28.93%0.0613✓1.75109k2022-09-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.25980.248524-4.34%0.2409-7.27%0.1190✗1.1265k2022-09-02
HIVEHivenative0.5960.570133-4.34%0.5541-7.03%0.1305✗1.181.5M2022-09-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048340.046243-4.34%0.04476-7.41%0.0866✗0.8915k2022-09-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6860.656415-4.31%0.538-21.57%0.0007✓1.47106k2022-09-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.648990.621146-4.29%0.53972-16.84%0.0626✗1.5188k2022-09-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.8210.3562-4.29%10.18-5.91%0.1440✗1.20259k2022-09-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031410.003007-4.28%0.002989-4.84%0.1270✗0.991.0M2022-09-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.821,550.45-4.22%1,575.69-2.66%0.1877✗1.28404.0M2022-09-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.9642.8393-4.21%2.743-7.46%0.1152✗1.11597k2022-09-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.198313-4.20%0.1524-26.38%0.0879✓1.311,6972022-09-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.7128.0947-4.19%116.4-12.94%0.0653✗1.204.5M2022-09-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.45891.3978-4.19%1.798+23.24%0.4398✗1.40675k2022-09-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1160.11119-4.15%0.1007-13.19%0.0453✗1.07370k2022-09-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009760.009357-4.13%0.00875-10.35%0.0513✗0.885.0M2022-09-02
QTUMQtumQtum3.89863.7381-4.12%3.1377-19.52%0.0292✓1.0945k2022-09-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.106372-4.08%0.0931-16.05%0.0352✓1.25505k2022-09-02
XVGVergenative0.003730.003578-4.08%0.00313-16.09%0.0403✓1.29551k2022-09-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05460.052374-4.08%0.0438-19.78%0.0067✓1.28284k2022-09-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.394220.378156-4.07%0.33413-15.24%0.0364✓1.19118k2022-09-02
RADRadworksEthereum2.472.3704-4.03%2.25-8.91%0.0928✗1.08398k2022-09-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24610.236248-4.00%0.2088-15.16%0.0408✓1.22110k2022-09-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188040.180581-3.97%0.15905-15.42%0.1841✗2.311,1512022-09-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.320.307322-3.96%0.281-12.19%0.0672✗1.173.5M2022-09-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31820.305755-3.91%0.3031-4.75%0.1431✗1.1377k2022-09-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.812.7012-3.87%2.19-22.06%0.0058✓1.52198k2022-09-02
XTZTezosTezos1.72041.6538-3.87%1.4907-13.35%0.0666✗1.27530k2022-09-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.995.7626-3.80%7.11+18.70%0.3013✗0.68725k2022-09-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.2857.0098-3.78%6.93-4.87%0.1567✗1.2518.3M2022-09-02
PROPropyEthereum0.740.71212-3.77%0.72-2.70%0.0909✗0.5983k2022-09-02
SOLSolanaSolana38.5537.0994-3.76%31.24-18.96%0.0119✓1.3781.8M2022-09-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03720.998326-3.75%–pending––1.0513k2022-09-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043450.041822-3.75%0.03809-12.34%0.0329✓0.942,3002022-09-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.84852.7423-3.73%5.1574+81.06%0.7636✗0.981.2M2022-09-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.61.5404-3.72%1.31-18.13%0.0155✓1.32122k2022-09-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.825.6078-3.65%6.91+18.73%0.2883✗0.59873k2022-09-02
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.004394-3.63%0.00396-13.16%0.0716✗1.31112k2022-09-02
XEMNEMnative0.0492910.047506-3.62%0.044071-10.59%0.0858✗1.2035k2022-09-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09720.093682-3.62%0.0821-15.53%0.0299✓1.206,5342022-09-02
STEEMSteemnative0.24950.240511-3.60%0.2233-10.50%0.0824✗1.17768k2022-09-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011830.000011405-3.59%0.00001218+2.96%0.2333✗1.25986k2022-09-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54530.52599-3.54%0.466-14.54%0.0315✓1.14335k2022-09-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.7855.7415-3.53%61.02+5.61%0.2457✗1.1513.7M2022-09-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13490.130157-3.52%0.1218-9.71%0.1044✗1.2761k2022-09-02
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9078.6009-3.44%6.406-28.08%0.1078✓1.399.8M2022-09-02
NANOnanopayBase1.02430.989186-3.43%0.876412-14.44%0.0051✓0.9460k2022-09-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1180.113963-3.42%0.103-12.71%0.0832✗1.372.9M2022-09-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.03080.029752-3.40%0.0246-20.13%0.0151✓1.301,3502022-09-02
CBKCobakEthereum1.10561.0683-3.38%0.87122-21.20%0.0552✓1.1111k2022-09-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.349220.337467-3.37%0.29376-15.88%0.0369✗1.3113k2022-09-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32670.315898-3.31%0.3024-7.44%0.1076✗1.138.1M2022-09-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4752.3934-3.30%3.82+54.34%0.5874✗0.89110k2022-09-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.73812.6489-3.26%2.2074-19.38%0.0279✓1.5612k2022-09-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0230560.022308-3.24%0.020785-9.85%0.0589✗0.9611k2022-09-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.309310.299287-3.24%0.34352+11.06%0.2894✗1.13398k2022-09-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2591.2182-3.24%0.93-26.13%0.1028✓1.241.2M2022-09-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.163040.157787-3.22%0.13722-15.84%0.0667✗1.53212k2022-09-02
MANADecentralandEthereum0.960.929123-3.22%0.77622-19.14%0.0052✓1.30532k2022-09-02
DASHDashDash48.7747.3084-3.00%45.69-6.32%0.1125✗1.10574k2022-09-02
ZECZcashZcash61.8560.0047-2.98%60.36-2.41%0.1740✗1.251.5M2022-09-02
XMRMoneroMonero157.11152.4559-2.96%153.67-2.19%0.1563✗1.101.2M2022-09-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3358930.326081-2.92%0.292616-12.88%0.0625✗1.271.1M2022-09-02
XECeCashnative0.000042440.000041205-2.91%0.00004622+8.91%0.2703✗1.161.9M2022-09-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,844.1022,201.68-2.81%20,019.30-12.37%0.0283✓0.9814k2022-09-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40220.391487-2.66%0.3535-12.11%0.0748✗1.32127k2022-09-02
ZENHorizenBase17.1516.6966-2.64%15.53-9.45%0.1121✗1.37116k2022-09-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19990.194652-2.63%0.1768-11.56%0.0916✗1.401,1742022-09-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60360.588143-2.56%0.4979-17.51%0.0133✓1.14690k2022-09-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.020761-2.53%0.02248+5.54%0.2161✗1.02159k2022-09-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.008190.007985-2.50%0.00602-26.50%0.1612✓0.901.6M2022-09-02
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7440.725404-2.50%1.084+45.70%0.5652✗1.22895k2022-09-02
FTTFTXEthereum29.128.4117-2.37%26.31-9.59%0.0507✗0.9510.8M2022-09-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,825.0022,315.56-2.23%19,953.74-12.58%0.0226✗1.00427.9M2022-09-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.15520.151805-2.19%0.141-9.15%0.0917✗1.23102k2022-09-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.05830.057031-2.18%0.0499-14.41%0.0535✗1.39167k2022-09-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.208371-2.17%0.168-21.13%0.0120✓1.51786k2022-09-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3320.325473-1.97%0.27-18.67%0.0474✓1.041.1M2022-09-02
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.41e-7-1.95%8.90e-7-7.29%0.0565✗0.846.4M2022-09-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.13851.1163-1.94%1.0393-8.71%0.0697✗1.0547k2022-09-02
TRXTRONTron0.0677990.066541-1.85%0.062628-7.63%0.0315✗0.69364k2022-09-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.044951-1.85%0.0367-19.87%0.0278✓1.309,0132022-09-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01514.9226-1.85%5.402+7.71%0.1160✗0.17219k2022-09-02
GTGateEthereum4.50944.4277-1.81%4.2655-5.41%0.0630✗0.75920k2022-09-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062080.006098-1.78%0.005767-7.11%0.0572✗0.848,9962022-09-02
KCSKuCoinnative10.0289.8613-1.66%9.161-8.65%0.0748✗1.102.0M2022-09-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0037.8715-1.64%7.3-8.78%0.0887✗1.2211.0M2022-09-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.06620.065234-1.46%0.061662-6.86%0.1011✗1.171.7M2022-09-02
STXStacksnative0.46630.459707-1.41%0.3635-22.05%0.0681✓1.24892k2022-09-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1141840.112656-1.34%0.104596-8.40%0.0589✗0.997.0M2022-09-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.