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2022-08-01 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0911
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.93%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
43.2%
in alpha space · 82.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.86%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.6378+0.48%1.31-19.63%0.0188✗1.37114k2022-08-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.21129+0.33%0.1531-27.30%0.1194✗1.361,6972022-08-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.048327+0.06%0.0357-26.09%0.1022✗1.347,6872022-08-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.006316-0.08%0.005668-10.32%0.0261✗0.909,1592022-08-31
SGBSongbirdnative0.02450.024407-0.38%0.0257+4.90%0.1284✗0.5143k2022-08-31
KCSKuCoinnative9.9639.9222-0.41%9.001-9.66%0.0643✗1.082.1M2022-08-31
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.069675-0.42%0.063428-9.35%0.0220✗0.78373k2022-08-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.220058-0.43%0.168-23.98%0.0439✓1.51821k2022-08-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.2402-0.46%1.0708-14.06%0.0117✗1.0643k2022-08-31
PROPropyEthereum0.780.774532-0.70%0.73-6.41%0.0311✗0.6179k2022-08-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.26115-0.74%0.2112-19.73%0.0289✓1.23101k2022-08-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7022,966.92-0.89%19,990.40-13.73%0.0075✓0.9814k2022-08-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.163232-0.89%0.1445-12.26%0.0635✗1.2494k2022-08-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.1363-1.04%5.8014+11.78%0.1529✗0.21210k2022-08-31
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.094101-1.05%0.0821-13.67%0.0434✗1.216,7862022-08-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.067984-1.07%0.061277-10.83%0.0675✗1.151.7M2022-08-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.008323-1.15%0.00619-26.48%0.1597✓0.911.6M2022-08-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006571-1.19%0.006495-2.33%0.0688✗0.5438k2022-08-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.03166-1.19%0.03519+9.83%0.2907✗1.2414k2022-08-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.123826-1.33%0.1003-20.08%0.0630✓0.994,9522022-08-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.116726-1.33%0.104365-11.78%0.0365✗0.996.8M2022-08-31
XVGVergenative0.003750.003694-1.50%0.00335-10.67%0.0974✗1.31559k2022-08-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.000011771-1.66%0.00001208+0.92%0.2099✗1.23986k2022-08-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.547915-1.70%0.4594-17.58%0.0061✓1.14341k2022-08-31
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.303511-1.81%0.35+13.22%0.3169✗1.17398k2022-08-31
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.029443-1.89%0.02455-18.19%0.0131✓1.311,2932022-08-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.23e-7-1.89%9.25e-7+181.07%1.1956✗0.96178k2022-08-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.062847-1.95%0.1161+81.12%0.7348✗0.81155k2022-08-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.410885-2.03%0.33416-20.32%0.0259✓1.21118k2022-08-31
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.712013-2.06%1.078+48.28%0.5959✗1.21806k2022-08-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67659.3896-2.12%51.915-14.44%0.0084✓0.85345k2022-08-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.271118-2.12%0.2447-11.66%0.0581✗1.0867k2022-08-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.354891-2.17%0.29809-17.83%0.0192✓1.301.0M2022-08-31
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.2025-2.17%0.1824-11.88%0.1038✗1.401,1792022-08-31
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.2599-2.18%0.2291-13.77%0.0422✗1.13768k2022-08-31
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.077244-2.20%0.06618-16.21%0.0455✓0.731,1722022-08-31
STXStacksnative0.46130.451059-2.22%0.365-20.88%0.0259✓1.25778k2022-08-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.058857-2.23%0.0577-4.15%0.1895✗1.40339k2022-08-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.2662-2.24%13.005+198.01%1.2015✗0.581.2M2022-08-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.113477-2.34%0.0899-22.63%0.0390✓1.30472k2022-08-31
NANOnanopayBase1.01850.993955-2.41%0.894603-12.16%0.0378✗0.9660k2022-08-31
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.8881-2.43%2.728-7.84%0.1098✗1.12619k2022-08-31
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.255402-2.44%0.247-5.65%0.0318✓0.0128k2022-08-31
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.2471-2.49%2.03-39.04%0.3965✓0.4994k2022-08-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.017434-2.60%0.01358-24.13%0.1332✓0.78229k2022-08-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.33334-2.65%0.2885-15.74%0.0256✓1.147.7M2022-08-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.001652-2.67%0.00156-8.07%0.0953✗1.0211k2022-08-31
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004652-2.67%0.00404-15.48%0.0552✗1.32112k2022-08-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.187.9582-2.71%7.033-14.02%0.0614✗1.2410.0M2022-08-31
XECeCashnative0.000045140.00004388-2.79%0.00004452-1.37%0.1876✗1.161.9M2022-08-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8622,623.95-2.79%20,048.26-13.86%0.0283✗1.00414.2M2022-08-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.3826-2.84%1.205-15.32%0.0521✗1.272.5M2022-08-31
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.0467-2.99%0.8327-22.82%0.0179✓1.411.4M2022-08-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.7741-3.00%2.15-24.83%0.0283✓1.52192k2022-08-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.411109-3.02%0.3513-17.13%0.0409✗1.33127k2022-08-31
DASHDashDash49.7548.2345-3.05%44.55-10.45%0.0856✗1.11574k2022-08-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.139414-3.05%0.1236-14.05%0.0712✗1.2859k2022-08-31
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.7401-3.06%1.818+1.28%0.1392✗0.64189k2022-08-31
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01630.984367-3.14%0.77191-24.05%0.0458✓1.32525k2022-08-31
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.7624-3.16%1.5108-16.98%0.0343✗1.26492k2022-08-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001061-3.19%0.001342+22.42%0.4264✗1.291.4M2022-08-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.00315-3.26%0.002994-8.05%0.1011✗1.021.0M2022-08-31
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.5092-3.26%1.52-2.56%0.0394✗0.22268k2022-08-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.223165-3.27%0.2184-5.33%0.1997✗1.4897k2022-08-31
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.4807-3.29%1.915-25.34%0.0030✓1.7595k2022-08-31
ZECZcashZcash62.8760.788-3.31%59.88-4.76%0.1717✗1.251.5M2022-08-31
XMRMoneroMonero160.69155.208-3.41%149.22-7.14%0.1264✗1.111.3M2022-08-31
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.687171-3.43%0.55118-22.54%0.0051✓1.5188k2022-08-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.04457-3.49%0.03845-16.74%0.0043✓0.962,3002022-08-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.116415-3.55%0.1033-14.42%0.0402✗1.07352k2022-08-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.039808-3.61%0.0349-15.50%0.0516✗1.2371k2022-08-31
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.478612-3.62%0.439-11.60%0.0807✗1.1247k2022-08-31
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.055152-3.64%0.043128-24.65%0.1566✓0.6022k2022-08-31
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.50011-3.64%0.418-19.46%0.0085✓1.1513k2022-08-31
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.6539-3.73%1.275-25.79%0.0438✓1.45327k2022-08-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87132.7211-3.73%115.16-16.47%0.0358✓1.194.3M2022-08-31
COMPCompoundEthereum58.956.6907-3.75%47.14-19.97%0.0231✓1.3932k2022-08-31
KSMKusamaHydration64.2361.8104-3.77%47.42-26.17%0.0883✓1.18354k2022-08-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.322173-3.83%0.282-15.82%0.0207✓1.03959k2022-08-31
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5892.8763-3.83%84.85-12.15%0.1576✗1.6610.2M2022-08-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.058848-3.84%0.0484-20.92%0.0009✓1.30799k2022-08-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.742233-3.86%0.663-14.12%0.0343✓0.99377k2022-08-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.396778-3.88%0.31794-22.98%0.0135✓1.39583k2022-08-31
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.185012-3.89%0.15568-19.13%0.1727✗2.311,2222022-08-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.067753-3.90%0.0622-11.77%0.0750✗1.08567k2022-08-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.158796-4.00%0.13698-17.19%0.0824✗1.54212k2022-08-31
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.248-4.02%4.86-25.35%0.0424✓1.401.1M2022-08-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum87.6752-4.06%7.66-4.25%0.2020✗1.37263k2022-08-31
API3Api3Ethereum2.0221.9367-4.22%1.65-18.40%0.0305✓1.28637k2022-08-31
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,562.03-4.22%1,554.00-4.71%0.1822✗1.26387.0M2022-08-31
FTTFTXEthereum30.7529.4524-4.22%26.73-13.07%0.0450✗0.9510.2M2022-08-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.014382-4.23%0.013176-12.26%0.0439✗0.881.6M2022-08-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4756.9493-4.24%53.84-9.47%0.1163✗1.1613.6M2022-08-31
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.29e-7-4.25%8.80e-7-9.28%0.0700✗0.836.4M2022-08-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2510.7674-4.29%10.1-10.22%0.1172✗1.21243k2022-08-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.15.8371-4.31%6.7+9.84%0.2367✗0.66623k2022-08-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.2439-4.36%6.628-12.49%0.0997✗1.2616.9M2022-08-31
GTGateEthereum4.41644.2238-4.36%4.3008-2.62%0.1269✗0.73916k2022-08-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.082042-4.38%0.0595-30.65%0.1456✓1.18137k2022-08-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.118158-4.40%0.1026-16.99%0.0648✗1.382.8M2022-08-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.064425-4.41%0.0574-14.84%0.0275✓0.96229k2022-08-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.897017-4.45%0.9535+1.57%0.1947✗0.903.2M2022-08-31
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.2635-4.50%0.9427-28.75%0.1077✓1.241.2M2022-08-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.591288-4.57%0.5054-18.43%0.0154✓1.16642k2022-08-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.009743-4.57%0.00858-15.96%0.0169✓0.974.7M2022-08-31
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.355-4.58%1.0347-27.13%0.0550✓1.441.1M2022-08-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.061831-4.58%0.0503-22.38%0.0081✓1.44154k2022-08-31
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.756422-4.61%0.663-16.39%0.0521✗1.23218k2022-08-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.1631-4.63%1.7939-20.91%0.0029✓1.2329k2022-08-31
ZENHorizenBase18.1617.3134-4.66%15.53-14.48%0.0957✗1.37116k2022-08-31
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.488803-4.68%0.4458-13.07%0.0944✗1.2541.9M2022-08-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.3208-4.69%3.743+53.72%0.6151✗0.92105k2022-08-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.8087-4.69%2.012-31.73%0.1209✓1.4349k2022-08-31
SOLSolanaSolana41.6739.7099-4.70%31.5-24.41%0.0288✓1.3681.1M2022-08-31
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.13e-7-4.85%8.70e-7-9.37%0.1005✗1.0025k2022-08-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.020513-4.86%0.02304+6.86%0.2701✗1.03159k2022-08-31
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.048941-4.87%0.043941-14.59%0.0692✗1.1938k2022-08-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.019023-4.88%0.030314+51.59%0.5428✗0.51165k2022-08-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.3999.8905-4.89%11.825+13.71%0.3836✗1.3714.4M2022-08-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.694369-5.01%0.528-27.77%0.0515✓1.4980k2022-08-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.6518-5.12%4.449+15.59%0.2861✗0.591.7M2022-08-31
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3657.9212-5.31%6.142-26.58%0.0453✓1.408.5M2022-08-31
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.168122-5.34%0.1276-28.15%0.0884✓1.263.5M2022-08-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.724-5.34%4.337+10.24%0.2596✗0.721.4M2022-08-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.347.8947-5.34%6.25-25.06%0.0479✓1.246.8M2022-08-31
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.002299-5.37%0.001503-38.12%0.2756✓1.001.8M2022-08-31
QTUMQtumQtum4.14613.92-5.45%3.149-24.05%0.0558✓1.0939k2022-08-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.162588-5.47%0.1395-18.90%0.0332✓1.25491k2022-08-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.7838-5.48%7.8611+166.92%1.1536✗0.77978k2022-08-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03150.97461-5.52%1.1394+10.46%0.3304✗1.171.1M2022-08-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.6624-5.54%2.922-24.63%0.0939✓0.88754k2022-08-31
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.90148-5.60%0.6723-29.60%0.0289✓1.77513k2022-08-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.6431-5.61%6.047+22.93%0.3465✗0.552.0M2022-08-31
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.288734-5.61%0.2325-23.99%0.0489✓1.12300k2022-08-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.6386-5.66%4.0516+44.87%0.5745✗0.981.0M2022-08-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.048671-5.84%0.04593-11.14%0.0766✗0.9015k2022-08-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.608003-5.88%0.515-20.28%0.0434✓1.4088k2022-08-31
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134314.2422-5.89%12.38-18.20%0.0354✓1.1868k2022-08-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.442975-5.95%0.3462-26.50%0.0272✓1.47273k2022-08-31
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.000098543-5.96%0.00022156+111.43%1.1001✗1.94592k2022-08-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.0153-5.99%0.91-15.74%0.0049✓0.701.5M2022-08-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.31564-6.06%0.2809-16.40%0.0599✓1.183.1M2022-08-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5922.1548-6.08%19.13-18.91%0.0913✗1.6027.5M2022-08-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8816.7916-6.09%14.14-20.92%0.0292✓1.351.3M2022-08-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.144672-6.12%0.1324-14.08%0.0589✓0.993.5M2022-08-31
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.1247-6.20%0.89656-25.23%0.0628✓1.1010k2022-08-31
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.455877-6.42%0.3717-23.70%0.0871✓0.7863k2022-08-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.7621-6.77%1.43-24.34%0.0037✓1.42234k2022-08-31
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.2237-6.96%2.13-10.88%0.1165✗1.07301k2022-08-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.4649-6.97%1.7276+9.71%0.3792✗1.44589k2022-08-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.008715-7.09%0.00799-14.82%0.1014✗1.26359k2022-08-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.3868-7.28%6.4+10.15%0.2634✗0.61732k2022-08-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.049312-7.31%0.044-17.29%0.0726✓1.25269k2022-08-31
FLOWFlownative2.0251.8752-7.40%2.072+2.32%0.2896✗1.27415k2022-08-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.2359-7.45%1.522-37.00%0.1739✓1.41177k2022-08-31
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.499156-7.58%0.3203-40.70%0.2329✓1.41234k2022-08-31
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.318501-7.81%0.31172-9.77%0.1747✗1.3112k2022-08-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.0339-7.88%0.02026-44.95%0.2874✓1.5212.6M2022-08-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1813.0501-7.97%12.5-11.85%0.1670✗1.411.9M2022-08-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.202-7.98%1.1463-12.24%0.1771✗1.515.6M2022-08-31
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.6309-7.98%2.1594-24.47%0.0359✓1.5612k2022-08-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.021721-8.04%0.02152-8.89%0.1364✗0.989,6292022-08-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.6602-8.08%4.79-5.52%0.1333✗0.711.2M2022-08-31
QNTQuantEthereum103.4695.0381-8.14%96.47-6.76%0.1662✗1.014.2M2022-08-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.137128-8.21%0.2179+45.85%0.6282✗1.11698k2022-08-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.790153-8.23%0.673-21.84%0.0970✗1.735.0M2022-08-31
METISMetisEthereum33.6230.7891-8.42%31.03-7.70%0.2978✗1.94229k2022-08-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.296002-8.59%0.3041-6.08%0.1979✗1.1576k2022-08-31
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.084357-8.67%0.08149-11.77%0.0018✓0.241.1M2022-08-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.75826-8.75%0.475-42.84%0.2459✓1.493,6872022-08-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.0004-8.84%5.746-34.53%0.1723✓1.062.4M2022-08-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.2862-8.84%2.959-17.92%0.1531✗1.735.0M2022-08-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28522.9942-8.86%6.6294+101.80%0.9280✗0.891.2M2022-08-31
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.073318-8.92%0.06211-22.84%0.0579✓1.50773k2022-08-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.858.9616-9.02%8.84-10.25%0.0645✓0.521.7M2022-08-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.076574-9.05%0.07274-13.60%0.1491✗1.3429k2022-08-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3210,550.79-9.13%9,021.07-22.31%0.0518✓1.404.2M2022-08-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.217.3107-9.84%17.27-10.05%0.1263✗0.862.2M2022-08-31
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.0274-9.86%0.9023-20.84%0.1160✗1.65205k2022-08-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4425.5661-10.11%19.03-33.09%0.0875✓1.39641k2022-08-31
HIVEHivenative0.77450.692973-10.53%0.5573-28.04%0.0440✓1.171.4M2022-08-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.535.8236-10.82%5.61-14.09%0.0550✓0.621.2M2022-08-31
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6445.9141-10.99%4.761-28.34%0.0414✓1.7311.3M2022-08-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07790.957607-11.16%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0231.064-11.30%32.41-7.45%0.2529✗1.416.9M2022-08-31
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.3262-12.29%1.129-25.33%0.1349✗1.981.7M2022-08-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.