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2022-08-01 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1592
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.44%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
45.1%
in alpha space · 84.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.86%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.2847-15.03%1.129-25.33%0.1667✗1.981.7M2022-08-31
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134313.6618-9.73%12.38-18.20%0.0770✓1.1868k2022-08-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3210,686.14-7.97%9,021.07-22.31%0.0390✓1.404.2M2022-08-31
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.163966-7.68%0.1276-28.15%0.0633✓1.263.5M2022-08-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.142476-7.54%0.1324-14.08%0.0742✓0.993.5M2022-08-31
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.143-7.54%4.761-28.34%0.0034✓1.7311.3M2022-08-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.796264-7.52%0.673-21.84%0.0893✗1.735.0M2022-08-31
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.000096914-7.52%0.00022156+111.43%1.1167✗1.94592k2022-08-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.016557-7.50%0.01358-24.13%0.0815✓0.78229k2022-08-31
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.884782-7.35%0.6723-29.60%0.0102✓1.77513k2022-08-31
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.085601-7.32%0.08149-11.77%0.0128✓0.241.1M2022-08-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.217.8155-7.21%17.27-10.05%0.0975✗0.862.2M2022-08-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.0186-6.99%0.030314+51.59%0.5653✗0.51165k2022-08-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.384545-6.84%0.31794-22.98%0.0179✓1.39583k2022-08-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4426.5135-6.77%19.03-33.09%0.1239✓1.39641k2022-08-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.139297-6.76%0.2179+45.85%0.6125✗1.11698k2022-08-31
HIVEHivenative0.77450.722199-6.75%0.5573-28.04%0.0853✓1.171.4M2022-08-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03150.96261-6.68%1.1394+10.46%0.3428✗1.171.1M2022-08-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.7549-6.52%2.012-31.73%0.1016✓1.4349k2022-08-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.6007-6.47%6.047+22.93%0.3556✗0.552.0M2022-08-31
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.0661-6.47%0.9023-20.84%0.0790✗1.65205k2022-08-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.111-6.42%5.61-14.09%0.0068✓0.621.2M2022-08-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.778088-6.37%0.475-42.84%0.2717✓1.493,6872022-08-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.7702-6.34%1.43-24.34%0.0009✓1.42234k2022-08-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.3815-6.20%2.959-17.92%0.1245✗1.735.0M2022-08-31
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.074086-6.20%0.06618-16.21%0.0038✓0.731,1722022-08-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.2339-6.18%5.746-34.53%0.2011✓1.062.4M2022-08-31
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.48722-6.12%0.418-19.46%0.0176✓1.1513k2022-08-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.0858-6.07%6.6294+101.80%0.8979✗0.891.2M2022-08-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.008828-5.89%0.00799-14.82%0.0886✗1.26359k2022-08-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.608003-5.88%0.515-20.28%0.0434✓1.4088k2022-08-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.347.8526-5.84%6.25-25.06%0.0426✓1.246.8M2022-08-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.1378-5.75%1.7939-20.91%0.0088✓1.2329k2022-08-31
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.6927-5.70%1.818+1.28%0.1668✗0.64189k2022-08-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001034-5.70%0.001342+22.42%0.4526✗1.291.4M2022-08-31
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.468369-5.68%0.439-11.60%0.1023✗1.1247k2022-08-31
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.246936-5.68%0.247-5.65%0.0019✓0.0128k2022-08-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.07941-5.68%0.07274-13.60%0.1128✗1.3429k2022-08-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.2938-5.65%8.84-10.25%0.0281✓0.521.7M2022-08-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5922.2588-5.64%19.13-18.91%0.0867✗1.6027.5M2022-08-31
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.509966-5.58%0.3203-40.70%0.2544✓1.41234k2022-08-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0233.0663-5.58%32.41-7.45%0.1904✗1.416.9M2022-08-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.2818-5.55%1.522-37.00%0.1942✓1.41177k2022-08-31
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.1462-5.52%2.03-39.04%0.3649✓0.4994k2022-08-31
COMPCompoundEthereum58.955.6593-5.50%47.14-19.97%0.0415✓1.3932k2022-08-31
FLOWFlownative2.0251.914-5.48%2.072+2.32%0.2691✗1.27415k2022-08-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.4895-5.41%1.7276+9.71%0.3626✗1.44589k2022-08-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.2356-5.41%1.1463-12.24%0.1496✗1.515.6M2022-08-31
QNTQuantEthereum103.4697.921-5.35%96.47-6.76%0.1363✗1.014.2M2022-08-31
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.289528-5.35%0.2325-23.99%0.0516✓1.12300k2022-08-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1813.4231-5.34%12.5-11.85%0.1388✗1.411.9M2022-08-31
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.07621-5.33%0.06211-22.84%0.0192✓1.50773k2022-08-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.12e-7-5.26%9.25e-7+181.07%1.2305✗0.96178k2022-08-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.7906-5.25%7.8611+166.92%1.1512✗0.77978k2022-08-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.034888-5.20%0.02026-44.95%0.3162✓1.5212.6M2022-08-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67657.5659-5.13%51.915-14.44%0.0228✓0.85345k2022-08-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.058071-5.11%0.0484-20.92%0.0124✓1.30799k2022-08-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.1416-5.10%13.005+198.01%1.2311✗0.581.2M2022-08-31
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.3483-5.05%1.0347-27.13%0.0501✓1.441.1M2022-08-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.31907-5.04%0.2809-16.40%0.0491✓1.183.1M2022-08-31
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.002308-5.00%0.001503-38.12%0.2796✓1.001.8M2022-08-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.060946-4.92%0.1161+81.12%0.7655✗0.81155k2022-08-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.734129-4.91%0.663-14.12%0.0453✓0.99377k2022-08-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.892827-4.90%0.9535+1.57%0.1994✗0.903.2M2022-08-31
METISMetisEthereum33.6231.986-4.86%31.03-7.70%0.2597✗1.94229k2022-08-31
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.6354-4.81%1.275-25.79%0.0326✓1.45327k2022-08-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8817.022-4.80%14.14-20.92%0.0156✓1.351.3M2022-08-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.0282-4.79%0.91-15.74%0.0176✓0.701.5M2022-08-31
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.14e-7-4.79%8.70e-7-9.37%0.0999✗1.0025k2022-08-31
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.1983-4.79%4.86-25.35%0.0344✓1.401.1M2022-08-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.08175-4.72%0.0595-30.65%0.1421✓1.18137k2022-08-31
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.488694-4.70%0.4458-13.07%0.0946✗1.2541.9M2022-08-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.039369-4.67%0.0349-15.50%0.0627✗1.2371k2022-08-31
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5892.067-4.67%84.85-12.15%0.1663✗1.6610.2M2022-08-31
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.755966-4.67%0.663-16.39%0.0527✗1.23218k2022-08-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.399944-4.63%0.33416-20.32%0.0011✓1.21118k2022-08-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.3999.9181-4.62%11.825+13.71%0.3808✗1.3714.4M2022-08-31
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.464688-4.61%0.3717-23.70%0.1062✓0.7863k2022-08-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.164073-4.61%0.1395-18.90%0.0241✓1.25491k2022-08-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum87.6363-4.55%7.66-4.25%0.2070✗1.37263k2022-08-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.014336-4.53%0.013176-12.26%0.0472✗0.881.6M2022-08-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.7013-4.53%2.922-24.63%0.1045✓0.88754k2022-08-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.6752-4.52%4.449+15.59%0.2797✗0.591.7M2022-08-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2510.7449-4.49%10.1-10.22%0.1193✗1.21243k2022-08-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.057506-4.48%0.0577-4.15%0.2127✗1.40339k2022-08-31
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.67997-4.44%0.55118-22.54%0.0157✓1.5188k2022-08-31
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.054698-4.43%0.043128-24.65%0.1483✓0.6022k2022-08-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.009761-4.40%0.00858-15.96%0.0150✓0.974.7M2022-08-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.264866-4.38%0.2447-11.66%0.0814✗1.0867k2022-08-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.8479-4.38%4.79-5.52%0.0938✗0.711.2M2022-08-31
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.7403-4.37%1.5108-16.98%0.0470✗1.26492k2022-08-31
API3Api3Ethereum2.0221.9344-4.33%1.65-18.40%0.0317✓1.28637k2022-08-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.003115-4.33%0.002994-8.05%0.1123✗1.021.0M2022-08-31
KSMKusamaHydration64.2361.4847-4.27%47.42-26.17%0.0830✓1.18354k2022-08-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.699797-4.27%0.528-27.77%0.0593✓1.4980k2022-08-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.7661-4.27%4.337+10.24%0.2484✗0.721.4M2022-08-31
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.4946-4.19%1.52-2.56%0.0492✗0.22268k2022-08-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.111345-4.18%0.0899-22.63%0.0200✓1.30472k2022-08-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.067559-4.17%0.0622-11.77%0.0779✗1.08567k2022-08-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.252148-4.16%0.2112-19.73%0.0061✓1.23101k2022-08-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.064603-4.15%0.0574-14.84%0.0247✓0.96229k2022-08-31
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.0342-4.15%0.8327-22.82%0.0058✓1.411.4M2022-08-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.120312-4.13%0.1003-20.08%0.0342✓0.994,9522022-08-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006375-4.13%0.006495-2.33%0.0990✗0.5438k2022-08-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.001627-4.13%0.00156-8.07%0.1104✗1.0211k2022-08-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.115733-4.12%0.1033-14.42%0.0461✗1.07352k2022-08-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.571-4.11%6.4+10.15%0.2298✗0.61732k2022-08-31
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.8389-4.09%2.728-7.84%0.1270✗1.12619k2022-08-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.451829-4.07%0.3462-26.50%0.0470✓1.47273k2022-08-31
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.2932-4.05%2.13-10.88%0.0858✗1.07301k2022-08-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87132.3238-4.02%115.16-16.47%0.0388✓1.194.3M2022-08-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.366-4.00%1.205-15.32%0.0642✗1.272.5M2022-08-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.348267-4.00%0.29809-17.83%0.0381✓1.301.0M2022-08-31
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004594-3.90%0.00404-15.48%0.0678✗1.32112k2022-08-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.051145-3.86%0.044-17.29%0.0361✓1.25269k2022-08-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.044421-3.81%0.03845-16.74%0.0010✓0.962,3002022-08-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.049735-3.78%0.04593-11.14%0.0550✗0.9015k2022-08-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.030829-3.78%0.03519+9.83%0.3173✗1.2414k2022-08-31
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,569.19-3.78%1,554.00-4.71%0.1776✗1.26387.0M2022-08-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.202676-3.76%0.1531-27.30%0.0778✓1.361,6972022-08-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.291-3.74%6.628-12.49%0.0933✗1.2616.9M2022-08-31
XVGVergenative0.003750.00361-3.73%0.00335-10.67%0.1203✗1.31559k2022-08-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.138526-3.67%0.1236-14.05%0.0775✗1.2859k2022-08-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.119119-3.63%0.1026-16.99%0.0568✗1.382.8M2022-08-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.15.8795-3.62%6.7+9.84%0.2295✗0.66623k2022-08-31
SOLSolanaSolana41.6740.1654-3.61%31.5-24.41%0.0402✓1.3681.1M2022-08-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.5718-3.57%1.31-19.63%0.0224✓1.37114k2022-08-31
QTUMQtumQtum4.14613.9984-3.56%3.149-24.05%0.0756✓1.0939k2022-08-31
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.185695-3.54%0.15568-19.13%0.1690✗2.311,2222022-08-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.312371-3.53%0.3041-6.08%0.1441✗1.1576k2022-08-31
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01630.980971-3.48%0.77191-24.05%0.0423✓1.32525k2022-08-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.6999-3.46%4.0516+44.87%0.5516✗0.981.0M2022-08-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7022,383.51-3.41%19,990.40-13.73%0.0332✓0.9814k2022-08-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.000011572-3.33%0.00001208+0.92%0.2270✗1.23986k2022-08-31
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.2793-3.31%0.9427-28.75%0.1201✓1.241.2M2022-08-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4757.5228-3.27%53.84-9.47%0.1063✗1.1613.6M2022-08-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.331443-3.20%0.2885-15.74%0.0313✓1.147.7M2022-08-31
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.25729-3.17%0.2291-13.77%0.0523✗1.13768k2022-08-31
PROPropyEthereum0.780.755593-3.13%0.73-6.41%0.0558✗0.6179k2022-08-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.022893-3.08%0.02152-8.89%0.0839✗0.989,6292022-08-31
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3658.1083-3.07%6.142-26.58%0.0687✓1.408.5M2022-08-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.223633-3.06%0.2184-5.33%0.1976✗1.4897k2022-08-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07791.045-3.06%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-31
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.335037-3.03%0.31172-9.77%0.1240✗1.3112k2022-08-31
XMRMoneroMonero160.69155.8711-3.00%149.22-7.14%0.1222✗1.111.3M2022-08-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.2086-3.00%1.0708-14.06%0.0375✗1.0643k2022-08-31
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.4894-2.95%1.915-25.34%0.0005✓1.7595k2022-08-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.062895-2.94%0.0503-22.38%0.0089✓1.44154k2022-08-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.7774-2.89%2.15-24.83%0.0295✓1.52192k2022-08-31
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.049962-2.88%0.043941-14.59%0.0486✗1.1938k2022-08-31
XECeCashnative0.000045140.000043881-2.79%0.00004452-1.37%0.1876✗1.161.9M2022-08-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.160108-2.79%0.1445-12.26%0.0828✗1.2494k2022-08-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.542002-2.76%0.4594-17.58%0.0047✓1.14341k2022-08-31
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.029202-2.69%0.02455-18.19%0.0213✓1.311,2932022-08-31
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.7829-2.66%2.1594-24.47%0.0203✓1.5612k2022-08-31
NANOnanopayBase1.01850.991413-2.66%0.894603-12.16%0.0403✗0.9660k2022-08-31
DASHDashDash49.7548.4412-2.63%44.55-10.45%0.0813✗1.11574k2022-08-31
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.201646-2.59%0.1824-11.88%0.1080✗1.401,1792022-08-31
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.708349-2.57%1.078+48.28%0.6010✗1.21806k2022-08-31
ZECZcashZcash62.8761.2882-2.52%59.88-4.76%0.1635✗1.251.5M2022-08-31
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.30135-2.51%0.35+13.22%0.3241✗1.17398k2022-08-31
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.1692-2.50%0.89656-25.23%0.1016✓1.1010k2022-08-31
FTTFTXEthereum30.7529.984-2.49%26.73-13.07%0.0271✗0.9510.2M2022-08-31
ZENHorizenBase18.1617.7161-2.44%15.53-14.48%0.0728✗1.37116k2022-08-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.008215-2.43%0.00619-26.48%0.1467✓0.911.6M2022-08-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.3759-2.43%3.743+53.72%0.5917✗0.92105k2022-08-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.604679-2.41%0.5054-18.43%0.0070✓1.16642k2022-08-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.161613-2.30%0.13698-17.19%0.0648✗1.54212k2022-08-31
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.09292-2.29%0.0821-13.67%0.0560✗1.216,7862022-08-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.0716-2.28%5.8014+11.78%0.1656✗0.21210k2022-08-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8622,775.63-2.14%20,048.26-13.86%0.0216✗1.00414.2M2022-08-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.047272-2.13%0.0357-26.09%0.0802✓1.347,6872022-08-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.021119-2.04%0.02304+6.86%0.2410✗1.03159k2022-08-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.216604-1.99%0.168-23.98%0.0281✓1.51821k2022-08-31
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.53e-7-1.79%8.80e-7-9.28%0.0447✗0.836.4M2022-08-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.188.0484-1.61%7.033-14.02%0.0501✗1.2410.0M2022-08-31
GTGateEthereum4.41644.3456-1.60%4.3008-2.62%0.0984✗0.73916k2022-08-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.417473-1.52%0.3513-17.13%0.0256✗1.33127k2022-08-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.067767-1.39%0.061277-10.83%0.0707✗1.151.7M2022-08-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.330425-1.37%0.282-15.82%0.0046✓1.03959k2022-08-31
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.069051-1.32%0.063428-9.35%0.0310✗0.78373k2022-08-31
KCSKuCoinnative9.9639.8365-1.27%9.001-9.66%0.0730✗1.082.1M2022-08-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.116916-1.17%0.104365-11.78%0.0349✗0.996.8M2022-08-31
STXStacksnative0.46130.45943-0.41%0.365-20.88%0.0442✓1.25778k2022-08-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.006297-0.37%0.005668-10.32%0.0290✗0.909,1592022-08-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.