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2022-07-30 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2474
184 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.08%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
31.0%
in alpha space · 80.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.22%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.8091.4755-18.44%1.174-35.10%0.0740✓1.971.3M2022-08-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,772.2010,599.00-9.97%9,081.72-22.85%0.0583✓1.394.0M2022-08-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.0329.0985-9.15%35+9.27%0.3963✗1.38563k2022-08-29
MOVRMoonriverBase14.700813.4447-8.54%12.6602-13.88%0.1206✗1.1870k2022-08-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8840.808768-8.51%0.684-22.62%0.0965✗1.725.2M2022-08-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.3194.8899-8.07%6.102+14.72%0.3051✗0.552.0M2022-08-29
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.158505-7.31%0.1311-23.33%0.0027✓1.263.1M2022-08-29
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6976.2112-7.25%4.983-25.59%0.0456✓1.7311.0M2022-08-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.431880.401262-7.09%0.33586-22.23%0.0356✓1.39583k2022-08-29
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098120.000091267-6.98%0.0001317+34.22%0.6641✗1.94635k2022-08-29
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0208760.01945-6.83%0.023085+10.58%0.2506✗0.52167k2022-08-29
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018670.017414-6.73%0.0151-19.12%0.0262✓0.76254k2022-08-29
GMTGMTEthereum0.9760.910517-6.71%0.6813-30.19%0.0191✓1.77513k2022-08-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010270.009586-6.66%0.00853-16.94%0.0765✗1.26355k2022-08-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.1916.0683-6.53%17.22+0.17%0.2039✗0.882.2M2022-08-29
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9661.8395-6.44%1.495-23.96%0.0112✓1.42234k2022-08-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.4836.9445-6.42%33.55-15.02%0.1195✗1.412.8M2022-08-29
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.090580.084847-6.33%0.08429-6.94%0.0355✓0.27985k2022-08-29
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8042.6281-6.27%2.089-25.50%0.0112✓1.4243k2022-08-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.980.918909-6.23%1.2628+28.86%0.4971✗1.171.2M2022-08-29
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.084940.079726-6.14%0.06651-21.70%0.0485✓1.50768k2022-08-29
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.840.788944-6.08%0.525-37.50%0.1788✓1.493,1392022-08-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.2534-6.02%5.31-5.01%0.1052✗0.62956k2022-08-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2787.7871-5.93%6.682-19.28%0.0388✓1.255.9M2022-08-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6473.4309-5.93%3.47-4.85%0.2762✗1.734.3M2022-08-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14570.137122-5.89%0.1306-10.36%0.1022✗0.983.5M2022-08-29
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077850.073352-5.78%0.06742-13.40%0.0286✓0.741,1722022-08-29
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5050.476134-5.72%0.441-12.67%0.0998✗1.1513k2022-08-29
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5710.538456-5.70%0.3367-41.03%0.2540✓1.40234k2022-08-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0347.5804-5.65%6.015-25.13%0.0664✓1.082.3M2022-08-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6270.591896-5.60%0.527-15.95%0.0984✗1.4086k2022-08-29
XVSVenusEthereum6.766.3817-5.60%5.12-24.26%0.0064✓1.391.0M2022-08-29
C98Coin98Ethereum0.5070.478686-5.58%0.4238-16.41%0.0503✓1.1245k2022-08-29
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.193.0157-5.46%2.24-29.78%0.2208✓0.5077k2022-08-29
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8020.758189-5.46%0.553-31.05%0.0867✓1.4980k2022-08-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.1218.0757-5.46%13.83-27.67%0.0615✓1.341.3M2022-08-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.2522.9365-5.42%19.33-20.29%0.0736✗1.6027.5M2022-08-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.08972.923-5.40%5.7778+87.00%0.8182✗0.891.1M2022-08-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.081650.077271-5.36%0.07284-10.79%0.1473✗1.3528k2022-08-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3282.2049-5.29%1.615-30.63%0.0942✓1.42169k2022-08-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.158.6667-5.28%8.46-7.54%0.0565✗0.531.2M2022-08-29
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.60e-73.41e-7-5.27%8.65e-7+140.30%1.0765✗0.95188k2022-08-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83142.6826-5.26%6.0774+114.64%0.9365✗0.77978k2022-08-29
FISStafiEthereum0.43520.412571-5.20%–pending––0.902142022-08-29
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0591.004-5.19%0.946-10.67%0.0471✓0.691.3M2022-08-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.25462.1377-5.19%1.8412-18.34%0.0400✓1.2324k2022-08-29
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1871.126-5.14%0.8693-26.76%0.0432✓1.401.4M2022-08-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.58661.5054-5.12%1.7099+7.77%0.3489✗1.44609k2022-08-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.067.6491-5.10%7.74-3.97%0.2205✗1.36256k2022-08-29
COMPCompoundEthereum58.2355.2776-5.07%48.57-16.59%0.0840✗1.3932k2022-08-29
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.248017-5.05%0.2615+0.11%0.0547✗0.0129k2022-08-29
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.033190.03152-5.03%0.02267-31.70%0.0955✓1.5311.5M2022-08-29
SUSHISushiEthereum1.491.4156-4.99%1.1021-26.03%0.0300✓1.441.1M2022-08-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.611.0212-4.99%10.28-11.38%0.1164✗1.21241k2022-08-29
QNTQuantEthereum106.35101.0536-4.98%101.16-4.88%0.1563✗1.014.2M2022-08-29
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97430.926229-4.93%0.7824-19.70%0.0822✗1.64202k2022-08-29
FORTFortaEthereum0.29690.282271-4.93%0.2566-13.57%0.0785✗1.13309k2022-08-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.6859.5976-4.92%54.194-13.54%0.0346✓0.84386k2022-08-29
BANDBandEthereum1.7951.7074-4.88%1.263-29.64%0.0798✓1.45316k2022-08-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156130.014859-4.83%0.013701-12.25%0.0546✗0.881.2M2022-08-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.244.0374-4.78%12.777+201.34%1.2421✗0.591.3M2022-08-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.35861.2941-4.74%1.0799-20.51%0.0491✗1.506.4M2022-08-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.12670.120692-4.74%0.2159+70.40%0.7499✗1.10617k2022-08-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010970.001046-4.68%0.001401+27.70%0.4893✗1.281.5M2022-08-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.7614.0806-4.60%12.6-14.63%0.1074✗1.421.7M2022-08-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7110.218-4.59%11.438+6.80%0.3231✗1.3715.0M2022-08-29
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0023420.002235-4.59%0.001636-30.15%0.1584✓1.001.8M2022-08-29
FLOWFlownative1.9231.8349-4.58%1.919-0.21%0.2401✗1.27413k2022-08-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95050.907125-4.56%0.9656+1.59%0.1995✗0.893.6M2022-08-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash145.47138.8357-4.56%119.61-17.78%0.0335✓1.193.9M2022-08-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7660.73119-4.54%0.672-12.27%0.0668✗0.99360k2022-08-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7493.5804-4.50%4.266+13.79%0.2662✗0.591.5M2022-08-29
ELAElastosEthereum1.821.7382-4.49%1.768-2.86%0.1145✗0.64219k2022-08-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13190.12606-4.43%0.1063-19.41%0.0402✓1.372.5M2022-08-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08930.085347-4.43%0.0637-28.67%0.1122✓1.18155k2022-08-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.405530.387701-4.40%0.3476-14.29%0.0762✗1.21118k2022-08-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16840.161073-4.35%0.1447-14.07%0.0840✗1.25446k2022-08-29
METISMetisEthereum34.4932.9919-4.34%32.49-5.80%0.2843✗1.95213k2022-08-29
ADACardanoCardano0.52670.503968-4.32%0.4505-14.47%0.0793✗1.2543.2M2022-08-29
DIADIAEthereum0.461420.441884-4.23%0.3855-16.45%0.0163✓0.7857k2022-08-29
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.759523-4.22%0.698-11.98%0.1046✗1.23210k2022-08-29
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.20e-7-4.19%8.80e-7-8.33%0.1092✗1.0024k2022-08-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.534.3412-4.17%4.53+0.00%0.1518✗0.71912k2022-08-29
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.837-4.16%2.856-3.51%0.1774✗1.11619k2022-08-29
KSMKusamaHydration63.160.4868-4.14%50.12-20.57%0.0062✓1.19257k2022-08-29
AAVEAaveEthereum95.2691.3273-4.13%85.76-9.97%0.1923✗1.6610.0M2022-08-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.7913.6367-4.07%3.276-13.58%0.0319✓0.89754k2022-08-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069720.00669-4.04%0.006696-3.96%0.0835✗0.5439k2022-08-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.6843.5361-4.01%4.177+13.38%0.2774✗0.721.1M2022-08-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05860.05625-4.01%0.0491-16.21%0.0638✗1.30787k2022-08-29
RADRadworksEthereum2.412.3134-4.01%2.13-11.62%0.0829✗1.08207k2022-08-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03850.036965-3.99%0.0365-5.19%0.1740✗1.2268k2022-08-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009610.009228-3.97%0.00891-7.28%0.1133✗0.974.7M2022-08-29
API3Api3Ethereum1.9311.8547-3.95%1.729-10.46%0.1246✗1.27637k2022-08-29
XTZTezosTezos1.81721.7463-3.90%1.5357-15.49%0.0642✗1.26492k2022-08-29
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0720.069192-3.90%0.0606-15.83%0.0140✓0.96183k2022-08-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12710.122173-3.88%0.101-20.54%0.0384✓0.995,2722022-08-29
STORJStorjEthereum0.676430.650581-3.82%0.55401-18.10%0.0713✗1.5181k2022-08-29
XYMSymbolnative0.0578340.05563-3.81%0.044446-23.15%0.1325✓0.6022k2022-08-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016440.001582-3.78%0.001529-7.00%0.1232✗1.0216k2022-08-29
ETHEthereumEthereum1,698.011,633.86-3.78%1,551.65-8.62%0.1413✗1.26387.0M2022-08-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.061695-3.75%0.0576-10.14%0.1457✗1.40339k2022-08-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45870.441509-3.75%0.3499-23.72%0.0069✓1.47242k2022-08-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031720.003055-3.68%0.003238+2.08%0.2133✗1.01999k2022-08-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31650.304988-3.64%0.291-8.06%0.1349✗1.192.9M2022-08-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11790.113629-3.62%0.1045-11.37%0.0794✗1.06337k2022-08-29
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0780.075201-3.59%0.1032+32.31%0.4430✗0.82148k2022-08-29
HIVEHivenative0.52750.508667-3.57%0.5461+3.53%0.2487✗1.161.4M2022-08-29
QTUMQtumQtum4.32124.1674-3.56%3.1823-26.36%0.1025✓1.0933k2022-08-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8237.5461-3.54%6.7-14.36%0.0746✗1.2616.2M2022-08-29
WOOWOOEthereum0.22930.221207-3.53%0.164-28.48%0.0896✓1.371,5612022-08-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047250.045584-3.53%0.04816+1.93%0.1932✗0.9015k2022-08-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05350.051641-3.48%0.0441-17.57%0.0351✓1.26263k2022-08-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.034.8557-3.47%6.29+25.05%0.3527✗0.61605k2022-08-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.645.448-3.40%6.38+13.12%0.2595✗0.66554k2022-08-29
SOLSolanaSolana43.8442.3603-3.38%32.41-26.07%0.0596✓1.3681.8M2022-08-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.641.5851-3.34%1.33-18.90%0.0348✗1.37114k2022-08-29
AVTAventusEthereum1.511.4597-3.33%1.44-4.64%0.0200✓0.22268k2022-08-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3781.3325-3.30%1.189-13.72%0.0818✗1.282.4M2022-08-29
XVGVergenative0.003630.003513-3.22%0.00301-17.08%0.0458✗1.31566k2022-08-29
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.192340.186242-3.17%0.15839-17.65%0.1937✗2.321,1512022-08-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.4758.592-3.11%55.79-7.74%0.1283✗1.1613.5M2022-08-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3380.327523-3.10%0.2981-11.80%0.0792✗1.137.7M2022-08-29
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3381.2966-3.10%0.987-26.23%0.0826✓1.241.2M2022-08-29
GLMGolemEthereum0.25650.248623-3.07%0.2484-3.16%0.1644✗1.0863k2022-08-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0221980.021517-3.07%0.020994-5.42%0.1255✗0.989,2332022-08-29
MANADecentralandEthereum1.00880.977931-3.06%0.79536-21.16%0.0043✓1.32431k2022-08-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011930.000011567-3.04%0.00001248+4.61%0.2646✗1.23951k2022-08-29
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.71372.6317-3.02%3.8811+43.02%0.5384✗0.981.0M2022-08-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24350.23628-2.97%0.2102-13.68%0.0718✗1.23101k2022-08-29
UNIUniswapEthereum8.788.5199-2.96%6.339-27.80%0.0814✓1.407.7M2022-08-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3487630.338486-2.95%0.305285-12.47%0.0974✗1.311.0M2022-08-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043020.041804-2.83%0.03792-11.85%0.0503✗0.961,9372022-08-29
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6272.5538-2.79%1.955-25.58%0.0021✓1.7692k2022-08-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,608.2023,950.79-2.67%20,303.80-17.49%0.0149✓0.9817k2022-08-29
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11121.0815-2.67%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-29
NANOnanopayBase1.01460.988054-2.61%0.918733-9.44%0.0745✗0.9658k2022-08-29
XEMNEMnative0.049120.047841-2.60%0.044565-9.27%0.1116✗1.1935k2022-08-29
ZECZcashZcash65.1363.4754-2.54%63.75-2.12%0.1967✗1.251.5M2022-08-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029780.029037-2.50%0.03677+23.47%0.4263✗1.2414k2022-08-29
CBKCobakEthereum1.04951.0235-2.48%0.87542-16.59%0.0125✓1.109,9742022-08-29
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21860.213202-2.47%0.1725-21.09%0.0017✓1.391,0652022-08-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23560.229872-2.43%0.2219-5.81%0.1923✗1.4892k2022-08-29
DASHDashDash50.7149.5062-2.37%47.46-6.41%0.1276✗1.11574k2022-08-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.7924-2.37%2.15-24.83%0.0277✓1.52192k2022-08-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.10980.107208-2.36%0.0924-15.85%0.0504✗1.30491k2022-08-29
PROPropyEthereum0.750.732516-2.33%0.74-1.33%0.1031✗0.6179k2022-08-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06710.06554-2.32%0.0617-8.05%0.1045✗1.08351k2022-08-29
FTTFTXEthereum31.1130.3898-2.32%27.34-12.12%0.0404✗0.9510.8M2022-08-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.05164.9347-2.31%5.2836+4.59%0.1007✗0.21210k2022-08-29
BORABORAKlay Token0.317750.310602-2.25%0.30106-5.25%0.1701✗1.3111k2022-08-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.570.557276-2.23%0.4607-19.18%0.0157✓1.14350k2022-08-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.009010.008809-2.23%0.00649-27.97%0.1649✓0.921.6M2022-08-29
STEEMSteemnative0.25120.245608-2.23%0.2257-10.15%0.0894✗1.13681k2022-08-29
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8162.754-2.20%2.1453-23.82%0.0090✓1.5711k2022-08-29
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.029750.029095-2.20%0.02554-14.15%0.0708✗1.311,3342022-08-29
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13140.128632-2.11%0.123-6.39%0.1522✗1.2850k2022-08-29
XECeCashnative0.000044180.000043259-2.08%0.00004993+13.01%0.3209✗1.161.9M2022-08-29
SCSiacoinnative0.004370.004286-1.92%0.00407-6.86%0.1501✗1.32103k2022-08-29
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7240.710107-1.92%0.989+36.60%0.5181✗1.22776k2022-08-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.211952-1.87%0.174-19.44%0.0346✗1.51786k2022-08-29
UOSUltraEthereum0.32150.315588-1.84%0.36085+12.24%0.3132✗1.17400k2022-08-29
ZENHorizenBase17.7217.4066-1.77%16.44-7.22%0.1535✗1.37108k2022-08-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,650.1323,243.07-1.72%20,286.97-14.22%0.0174✗1.00427.9M2022-08-29
BTTCBTTC9.40e-79.24e-7-1.71%8.90e-7-5.32%0.0903✗0.836.0M2022-08-29
XMRMoneroMonero155.85153.2195-1.69%152.71-2.01%0.1658✗1.101.3M2022-08-29
LSKLiskEthereum1.14191.1239-1.58%1.0621-6.99%0.1066✗1.0643k2022-08-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02150.021164-1.56%0.02336+8.65%0.2573✗1.03149k2022-08-29
GTGateEthereum4.44444.3755-1.55%4.397-1.07%0.1165✗0.73947k2022-08-29
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08740.086112-1.47%0.0843-3.55%0.1649✗1.216,3652022-08-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.2128.0928-1.45%7.276-11.40%0.0843✗1.249.4M2022-08-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.166140.163772-1.43%0.13956-16.00%0.0773✗1.55207k2022-08-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59140.583215-1.38%0.523-11.57%0.0685✗1.16624k2022-08-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.14780.145805-1.35%0.148+0.14%0.2055✗1.2488k2022-08-29
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04520.044634-1.25%0.0373-17.48%0.0259✗1.347,5232022-08-29
GALAGALAEthereum0.05570.055036-1.19%0.0525-5.75%0.1725✗1.43140k2022-08-29
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43120.426165-1.17%0.3664-15.03%0.0525✗1.33104k2022-08-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0695750.068819-1.09%0.063828-8.26%0.1005✗1.151.7M2022-08-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.28810.285224-1.00%0.3223+11.87%0.2966✗1.1475k2022-08-29
XLMStellarStellar0.1196680.118528-0.95%0.105918-11.49%0.0398✗0.996.8M2022-08-29
KCSKuCoinnative10.18310.0893-0.92%9.1-10.64%0.0630✗1.082.6M2022-08-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4672.4458-0.86%4.203+70.37%0.6825✗0.92105k2022-08-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3090.307653-0.44%0.283-8.41%0.0760✗1.04766k2022-08-29
TRXTRONTron0.0690340.068751-0.41%0.063437-8.11%0.0376✗0.77376k2022-08-29
STXStacksnative0.43030.429847-0.11%0.3701-13.99%0.0414✗1.25613k2022-08-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061490.006201+0.85%0.005874-4.47%0.0836✓0.909,1592022-08-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.