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2022-07-27 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1832
183 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.10%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
28.4%
in alpha space · 74.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.85%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.0510.908312-13.58%1.019-3.04%0.3506✗1.871.1M2022-08-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7280.651949-10.45%0.67-7.97%0.2451✗1.735.2M2022-08-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011090.009971-10.09%0.00765-31.02%0.1043✓1.27352k2022-08-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.403090.369231-8.40%0.33161-17.73%0.0720✓1.42592k2022-08-26
APEApeCoinEthereum6.8266.2934-7.80%4.774-30.06%0.0600✓1.7111.5M2022-08-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199960.018454-7.71%0.023198+16.01%0.2926✗0.51163k2022-08-26
DODODODOEthereum0.15260.141059-7.56%0.1273-16.58%0.0586✓1.282.8M2022-08-26
RADRadworksEthereum3.042.8124-7.49%2.25-25.99%0.0817✓1.12175k2022-08-26
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098920.000091886-7.11%0.00012306+24.40%0.5324✗1.90692k2022-08-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.134.7691-7.03%5.23+1.95%0.1714✗0.63713k2022-08-26
GMTGMTEthereum0.9670.899457-6.98%0.7053-27.06%0.0218✓1.75551k2022-08-26
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5492.3746-6.84%2.035-20.16%0.0267✓1.4343k2022-08-26
MOVRMoonriverBase13.215612.3508-6.54%12.1201-8.29%0.1313✗1.1970k2022-08-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.753.5083-6.45%2.723-27.39%0.0326✓1.753.8M2022-08-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.8515.781-6.34%17.22+2.20%0.1983✗0.882.4M2022-08-26
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8150.763705-6.29%0.517-36.56%0.1992✓1.513,1392022-08-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9133.6668-6.29%5.692+45.46%0.5087✗0.552.0M2022-08-26
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.095510.089641-6.15%0.08526-10.73%0.0761✗1.00785k2022-08-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018050.016941-6.14%0.01586-12.13%0.0295✓0.76284k2022-08-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.9430.9228-6.12%33.91+2.94%0.2672✗1.391.3M2022-08-26
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47060.442394-5.99%0.3879-17.57%0.0091✓1.1142k2022-08-26
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4880.459134-5.92%0.431-11.68%0.0826✗1.1612k2022-08-26
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.12.9178-5.88%2.49-19.68%0.0980✓0.4877k2022-08-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.076490.072022-5.84%0.07015-8.29%0.1403✗1.3227k2022-08-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.997.5327-5.72%8.31+4.01%0.1628✗0.51808k2022-08-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5950.561527-5.63%0.509-14.45%0.0814✗1.4283k2022-08-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.2620.0761-5.57%37.39+75.87%0.8056✗1.46482k2022-08-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.88880.839936-5.50%1.2489+40.52%0.5462✗1.191.2M2022-08-26
COMPCompoundEthereum54.9251.9046-5.49%45.92-16.39%0.0542✓1.4032k2022-08-26
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073320.06931-5.47%0.06625-9.64%0.0478✓0.741,4882022-08-26
FISStafiEthereum0.39580.374361-5.42%–pending––0.863902022-08-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.55e-73.36e-7-5.27%7.57e-7+113.21%0.9307✗0.95212k2022-08-26
FORTFortaEthereum0.29940.283627-5.27%0.2645-11.66%0.0762✗1.16331k2022-08-26
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.247864-5.25%0.2611-0.19%0.0533✓0.0131k2022-08-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1516.7758-5.25%5.748-19.62%0.0033✓1.285.5M2022-08-26
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97490.924123-5.21%0.8001-17.93%0.0637✗1.65209k2022-08-26
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6391.5539-5.19%1.386-15.44%0.0653✗1.42212k2022-08-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2862.1676-5.18%1.632-28.61%0.1021✓1.44144k2022-08-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.4814.6839-5.14%12.27-20.74%0.0041✓1.461.4M2022-08-26
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.4560.432862-5.07%0.3983-12.65%0.0430✓1.00222k2022-08-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32511.2588-5.00%1.0529-20.54%0.0093✓1.495.2M2022-08-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12930.122853-4.99%0.1246-3.63%0.1417✗1.013.1M2022-08-26
KSMKusamaHydration62.359.253-4.89%44.52-28.54%0.1348✓1.20244k2022-08-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97510.928051-4.83%0.9592-1.63%0.1497✗0.923.6M2022-08-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.183.9786-4.82%4.47+6.94%0.2076✗0.72612k2022-08-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.97355.1832-4.81%52.147-10.05%0.0492✓0.84369k2022-08-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.313.1512-4.80%4.149+25.35%0.3519✗0.611.5M2022-08-26
QNTQuantEthereum97.192.4595-4.78%98.23+1.16%0.1885✗1.014.0M2022-08-26
DIADIAEthereum0.432810.412481-4.70%0.36828-14.91%0.0159✓0.7752k2022-08-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067640.006447-4.68%0.006665-1.46%0.1010✗0.5442k2022-08-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15770.150327-4.68%0.1396-11.48%0.0857✗1.27395k2022-08-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03570.03404-4.65%0.0358+0.28%0.2052✗1.2368k2022-08-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.422.3157-4.63%20.68-11.62%0.1271✗1.6127.5M2022-08-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.393570.375471-4.60%0.33605-14.61%0.0438✓1.23118k2022-08-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010660.001018-4.58%0.001375+28.91%0.4657✗1.311.6M2022-08-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.24532.1426-4.57%5.0866+126.54%0.9769✗0.89971k2022-08-26
METISMetisEthereum33.6432.1194-4.52%31.1-7.55%0.0939✗1.00172k2022-08-26
ADACardanoCardano0.51130.488218-4.51%0.4317-15.57%0.0371✓1.2743.2M2022-08-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.00571.9175-4.40%1.7741-11.55%0.0764✗1.2222k2022-08-26
AAVEAaveEthereum94.790.5931-4.34%82.72-12.65%0.1202✗1.678.3M2022-08-26
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.20e-78.80e-7-4.32%8.60e-7-6.52%0.1029✗1.0025k2022-08-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00910.008709-4.30%0.00848-6.81%0.0974✗0.984.4M2022-08-26
ELAElastosEthereum1.5931.5253-4.25%1.773+11.30%0.2266✗0.60229k2022-08-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4223.278-4.21%4.124+20.51%0.3177✗0.70488k2022-08-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.44261.3822-4.19%1.7235+19.47%0.4013✗1.43561k2022-08-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.44910.430305-4.19%0.3397-24.36%0.0492✓1.48220k2022-08-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.34412.2461-4.18%4.7881+104.26%0.8555✗0.78884k2022-08-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.733.5744-4.17%2.681-28.12%0.1755✓0.89711k2022-08-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02690.025784-4.15%0.02186-18.74%0.0323✓1.5611.5M2022-08-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6950.666202-4.14%0.662-4.75%0.1174✗0.98360k2022-08-26
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.3615-4.12%1.36-4.23%0.0297✓0.24283k2022-08-26
QTUMQtumQtum4.12693.9574-4.11%3.1205-24.39%0.0997✓1.0926k2022-08-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9093.7508-4.05%11.744+200.43%1.2178✗0.611.1M2022-08-26
STORJStorjEthereum0.650330.62439-3.99%0.55641-14.44%0.0789✗1.5479k2022-08-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7120.684068-3.92%0.546-23.31%0.0341✓1.5280k2022-08-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06890.066229-3.88%0.0626-9.14%0.0784✗1.07284k2022-08-26
XYMSymbolnative0.0541580.052071-3.85%0.045497-15.99%0.0572✓0.6220k2022-08-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08230.079217-3.75%0.0634-22.96%0.0694✓1.22157k2022-08-26
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7272.6259-3.71%1.942-28.79%0.0794✓1.7692k2022-08-26
UMAUMAEthereum2.7412.6394-3.71%2.7-1.50%0.1625✗1.11597k2022-08-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05020.04834-3.71%0.0433-13.75%0.0431✗1.21256k2022-08-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001431-3.68%0.001486+0.00%0.1683✗1.0420k2022-08-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030990.002986-3.65%0.00312+0.68%0.1701✗1.001.0M2022-08-26
SUSHISushiEthereum1.381.3299-3.63%1.0685-22.57%0.0368✓1.44966k2022-08-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0145970.014072-3.60%0.01333-8.68%0.0579✗0.891.2M2022-08-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.7916.1865-3.59%13.3-20.79%0.0214✓1.391.3M2022-08-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.3169.9457-3.59%11.554+12.00%0.3237✗1.3813.7M2022-08-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11970.115409-3.58%0.1012-15.46%0.0046✓1.015,4502022-08-26
BANDBandEthereum1.5231.469-3.55%1.223-19.70%0.0020✓1.44316k2022-08-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.11420.110167-3.53%0.2077+81.87%0.7745✗1.11617k2022-08-26
HIVEHivenative0.53420.515398-3.52%0.5343+0.02%0.1842✗1.171.5M2022-08-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08560.082588-3.52%0.1006+17.52%0.3048✗0.85153k2022-08-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.0456.9736-3.50%52.71-10.72%0.0676✗1.1513.5M2022-08-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32870.317224-3.49%0.2831-13.87%0.0327✓1.167.7M2022-08-26
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.029990.02896-3.44%0.0246-17.97%0.0038✓1.321,3002022-08-26
XVGVergenative0.003560.003438-3.42%0.00303-14.89%0.0400✗1.32505k2022-08-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash127.39123.0587-3.40%116.16-8.82%0.0874✗1.153.9M2022-08-26
API3Api3Ethereum1.7531.6939-3.37%1.683-3.99%0.1566✗1.29626k2022-08-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046220.044663-3.37%0.04458-3.55%0.1135✗0.9115k2022-08-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.64.4455-3.36%5.97+29.78%0.3727✗0.62579k2022-08-26
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7190.694855-3.36%0.647-10.01%0.0863✗1.25149k2022-08-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29810.288096-3.36%0.2792-6.34%0.1196✗1.202.7M2022-08-26
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.17550.169646-3.34%0.15418-12.15%0.2000✗2.341,1272022-08-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0212740.020565-3.33%0.020726-2.58%0.1325✗0.997,5982022-08-26
ZECZcashZcash61.7559.7141-3.30%61.1-1.05%0.1862✗1.291.4M2022-08-26
SOLSolanaSolana40.2438.918-3.29%31.74-21.12%0.0314✓1.3781.8M2022-08-26
PROPropyEthereum0.780.754593-3.26%0.73-6.41%0.0448✗0.6279k2022-08-26
XTZTezosTezos1.64341.5903-3.23%1.4828-9.77%0.0891✗1.26492k2022-08-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05210.05043-3.20%0.0472-9.40%0.1010✗1.33765k2022-08-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3551.3116-3.20%1.151-15.06%0.0334✗1.302.4M2022-08-26
WOOWOOEthereum0.18470.178799-3.20%0.1562-15.43%0.0387✗1.381,5612022-08-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.06330.061283-3.19%0.0599-5.37%0.1570✗1.43337k2022-08-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041010.039718-3.15%0.03783-7.75%0.0733✗0.971,9372022-08-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.054.893-3.11%6.04+19.60%0.2924✗0.65514k2022-08-26
FLOWFlownative1.7761.721-3.10%1.851+4.22%0.2332✗1.27413k2022-08-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028670.027785-3.09%0.03689+28.67%0.4421✗1.2614k2022-08-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11380.110293-3.08%0.1029-9.58%0.0667✗1.08362k2022-08-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.51.4541-3.06%1.29-14.00%0.0563✗1.39114k2022-08-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23750.230287-3.04%0.2082-12.34%0.0562✗1.24117k2022-08-26
ETHEthereumEthereum1,636.401,587.29-3.00%1,508.02-7.85%0.1076✗1.26371.8M2022-08-26
UNIUniswapEthereum8.0357.7977-2.95%6.154-23.41%0.0609✓1.396.2M2022-08-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.276.085-2.95%7.32+16.75%0.3489✗1.30248k2022-08-26
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06540.063475-2.94%0.0574-12.23%0.0231✓0.98183k2022-08-26
XVSVenusEthereum5.315.157-2.88%5.13-3.39%0.1729✗1.41939k2022-08-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,170.146,967.17-2.83%8,981.54+25.26%0.4217✗1.334.0M2022-08-26
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03091.0018-2.82%–pending––1.0211k2022-08-26
NANOnanopayBase0.9637440.936577-2.82%0.8801-8.68%0.0616✗0.9851k2022-08-26
MANADecentralandEthereum0.9560.929277-2.80%0.77813-18.61%0.0066✓1.35392k2022-08-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.19815.0552-2.75%5.1494-0.94%0.0440✗0.20214k2022-08-26
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3161.2799-2.75%0.9578-27.22%0.1324✓1.251.2M2022-08-26
CBKCobakEthereum1.0190.991515-2.69%0.86751-14.86%0.0073✓1.129,1202022-08-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.8646.68-2.68%6.504-5.24%0.1335✗1.2716.2M2022-08-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011540.000011236-2.63%0.00001243+7.71%0.2587✗1.25986k2022-08-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3078530.299789-2.62%0.289082-6.10%0.1263✗1.291.0M2022-08-26
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18960.184833-2.51%0.1619-14.61%0.0380✗1.351,0652022-08-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2070.201802-2.51%0.17-17.87%0.0206✓1.52803k2022-08-26
GLMGolemEthereum0.24850.242338-2.48%0.2433-2.09%0.1420✗1.0962k2022-08-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.51540.502783-2.45%0.4491-12.86%0.0297✗1.13350k2022-08-26
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053020.051726-2.44%0.06321+19.22%0.3837✗1.45766k2022-08-26
XEMNEMnative0.0481960.047025-2.43%0.043805-9.11%0.0798✗1.1926k2022-08-26
BORABORAKlay Token0.30820.300885-2.37%0.28099-8.83%0.0987✗1.3210k2022-08-26
XECeCashnative0.00004190.000040906-2.37%0.00003668-12.46%0.0396✗1.181.7M2022-08-26
DASHDashDash48.0646.9447-2.32%44.3-7.82%0.0821✗1.11570k2022-08-26
GITCOINGITCOIN2.54152.4833-2.29%2.1662-14.77%0.0616✗1.579,9702022-08-26
UOSUltraEthereum0.337650.329921-2.29%0.34+0.70%0.1817✗1.20407k2022-08-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.008540.008348-2.25%0.00657-23.07%0.1247✓0.911.6M2022-08-26
IMXImmutableEthereum0.88990.869927-2.24%0.7751-12.90%0.0652✗1.431.4M2022-08-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.552.4934-2.22%2.16-15.29%0.0486✗1.52192k2022-08-26
SCSiacoinnative0.004260.004169-2.14%0.00391-8.22%0.1038✗1.33106k2022-08-26
LSKLiskEthereum1.10751.0838-2.14%1.0508-5.12%0.1055✗1.0843k2022-08-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11120.108929-2.04%0.1024-7.91%0.1129✗1.392.5M2022-08-26
FTTFTXEthereum29.4328.8389-2.01%25.97-11.76%0.0159✓0.9610.5M2022-08-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6555.5421-2.00%5.671+0.28%0.1618✗1.101.9M2022-08-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.14450.141629-1.99%0.143-1.04%0.1673✗1.2587k2022-08-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.88.6275-1.96%10.53+19.66%0.3437✗1.14241k2022-08-26
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8350.81864-1.96%0.928+11.14%0.2151✗0.711.2M2022-08-26
XMRMoneroMonero161.72158.6038-1.93%142.81-11.69%0.0349✗1.111.3M2022-08-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22570.22136-1.92%0.2245-0.53%0.2017✗1.4999k2022-08-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.10290.100949-1.90%0.0887-13.80%0.0381✗1.33491k2022-08-26
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.43062.3846-1.89%3.69+51.81%0.5612✗0.99806k2022-08-26
GALAGALAEthereum0.05140.050451-1.85%0.0498-3.11%0.1721✗1.47109k2022-08-26
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31340.307623-1.84%0.3323+6.03%0.2253✗1.1773k2022-08-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6877.5456-1.84%6.922-9.95%0.0734✗1.279.0M2022-08-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04330.042507-1.83%0.0378-12.70%0.0532✗1.357,1312022-08-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,962.5922,545.20-1.82%20,240.72-11.85%0.0183✗1.00414.2M2022-08-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,891.5022,478.11-1.81%20,587.80-10.06%0.0355✗0.9819k2022-08-26
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7080.695482-1.77%0.925+30.65%0.4380✗1.21776k2022-08-26
BTTCBTTC9.20e-79.04e-7-1.69%8.70e-7-5.43%0.0668✗0.845.9M2022-08-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57560.566008-1.67%0.4773-17.08%0.0207✓1.19624k2022-08-26
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08090.079766-1.40%0.0857+5.93%0.2244✗1.215,6912022-08-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39580.390364-1.37%0.3556-10.16%0.0766✗1.3586k2022-08-26
STEEMSteemnative0.24490.241553-1.37%0.2213-9.64%0.0596✗1.17701k2022-08-26
GTGateEthereum4.19394.1367-1.36%4.3799+4.44%0.1474✗0.72930k2022-08-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0671380.066326-1.21%0.063531-5.37%0.1025✗1.151.7M2022-08-26
XLMStellarStellar0.1126680.11131-1.21%0.103859-7.82%0.0572✗1.006.8M2022-08-26
ZENHorizenBase16.0815.8987-1.13%15.52-3.48%0.1480✗1.3697k2022-08-26
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1260.124589-1.12%0.1207-4.21%0.1328✗1.3054k2022-08-26
KCSKuCoinnative10.22410.1186-1.03%9.232-9.70%0.0472✗1.102.1M2022-08-26
TRXTRONTron0.0687480.068164-0.85%0.061552-10.47%0.0023✓0.79376k2022-08-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.153390.152159-0.80%0.13148-14.28%0.0505✗1.56191k2022-08-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4412.4237-0.71%4.225+73.08%0.6723✗0.9293k2022-08-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020290.02018-0.54%0.02334+15.03%0.2755✗1.03136k2022-08-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2940.292841-0.39%0.274-6.80%0.0656✗1.05620k2022-08-26
STXStacksnative0.41350.411873-0.39%0.3612-12.65%0.0272✗1.26606k2022-08-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059330.005945+0.21%0.005538-6.65%0.0406✓0.883,8542022-08-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.