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2022-07-25 · +1d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1216
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.47%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.9%
in alpha space · 52.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.24%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026750.026756+0.02%0.02683+0.30%0.0059✓1.2718k2022-07-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061930.061932+0.00%0.062568+1.03%0.0130✓1.151.8M2022-07-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48880.488812+0.00%0.4887-0.02%0.0026✓1.15350k2022-07-26
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07850.0785+0.00%0.0763-2.80%0.0254✗1.236,7862022-07-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.965.9599-0.00%5.9-1.01%0.0069✓1.31248k2022-07-26
STEEMSteemnative0.23090.230874-0.01%0.2335+1.13%0.0143✗1.21701k2022-07-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010690.000010689-0.01%0.00001087+1.68%0.0199✗1.261.1M2022-07-26
XLMStellarStellar0.1059880.105972-0.02%0.105578-0.39%0.0013✓1.016.7M2022-07-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056290.005628-0.02%0.005867+4.24%0.0439✗0.912,9222022-07-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1930.192956-0.02%0.197+2.07%0.0245✗1.55881k2022-07-26
FISStafiEthereum0.37020.370098-0.03%0.4578+23.66%0.2158✗1.273902022-07-26
STXStacksnative0.40070.400559-0.04%0.3948-1.47%0.0114✓1.28606k2022-07-26
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82490.8246-0.04%0.8158-1.10%0.0072✓1.441.4M2022-07-26
AAVEAaveEthereum81.481.3631-0.05%81.26-0.17%0.0028✗1.668.1M2022-07-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22210.22198-0.05%0.2245+1.08%0.0144✗1.26119k2022-07-26
XVGVergenative0.003450.003448-0.07%0.00342-0.87%0.0048✓1.34566k2022-07-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2814470.281263-0.07%0.289449+2.84%0.0319✗1.301.1M2022-07-26
LSKLiskEthereum1.05261.0518-0.07%1.0569+0.40%0.0075✗1.1045k2022-07-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,619.2021,602.06-0.08%21,133.30-2.25%0.0196✓0.9820k2022-07-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7576.7511-0.09%6.782+0.37%0.0076✗1.248.6M2022-07-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.13160.131478-0.09%0.1344+2.13%0.0251✗1.2681k2022-07-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2810.280733-0.09%0.276-1.78%0.0145✓1.05673k2022-07-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.08625.0812-0.10%5.0946+0.17%0.0031✗0.19214k2022-07-26
KCSKuCoinnative9.469.4505-0.10%9.664+2.16%0.0250✗1.112.1M2022-07-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.008450.008441-0.10%0.00837-0.95%0.0062✓0.931.3M2022-07-26
GLMGolemEthereum0.23210.231863-0.10%0.2369+2.07%0.0242✗1.1161k2022-07-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.2385.2326-0.10%5.321+1.58%0.0195✗1.111.9M2022-07-26
ETHEthereumEthereum1,440.751,439.26-0.10%1,449.63+0.62%0.0102✗1.24344.6M2022-07-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31160.311257-0.11%0.311-0.19%0.0020✗1.187.5M2022-07-26
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025710.025681-0.11%0.02802+8.98%0.0904✗1.351,3002022-07-26
COMPCompoundEthereum50.2450.1821-0.12%48.14-4.18%0.0382✓1.3832k2022-07-26
WOOWOOEthereum0.1740.173795-0.12%0.185+6.32%0.0660✗1.431,7562022-07-26
SGBSongbirdnative0.02490.02487-0.12%0.0242-2.81%0.0261✓0.5245k2022-07-26
STORJStorjEthereum0.597970.597248-0.12%0.60729+1.56%0.0205✗1.5686k2022-07-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00099010.000988871-0.12%0.0009725-1.78%0.0135✓1.311.7M2022-07-26
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06050.060424-0.13%0.0621+2.64%0.0298✗0.98156k2022-07-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.09280.092681-0.13%0.0949+2.26%0.0269✗1.34502k2022-07-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.03117.8725-0.13%118.94+0.77%0.0118✗1.164.2M2022-07-26
TRXTRONTron0.0636630.063576-0.14%0.065339+2.63%0.0293✗0.80373k2022-07-26
ELAElastosEthereum1.5571.5549-0.14%1.545-0.77%0.0048✓0.64223k2022-07-26
SCSiacoinnative0.003970.003965-0.14%0.00396-0.25%0.0021✗1.34106k2022-07-26
API3Api3Ethereum1.5961.5938-0.14%1.581-0.94%0.0049✓1.29606k2022-07-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.3590.358499-0.14%0.36615+1.99%0.0241✗1.23113k2022-07-26
MANADecentralandEthereum0.873470.872251-0.14%0.87877+0.61%0.0107✗1.36423k2022-07-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,273.726,264.77-0.14%6,861.88+9.37%0.0943✗1.354.0M2022-07-26
XTZTezosTezos1.50841.5062-0.14%1.5561+3.16%0.0357✗1.28492k2022-07-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.140170.139966-0.15%0.1444+3.02%0.0350✗1.58176k2022-07-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.0590.058914-0.15%0.0586-0.68%0.0019✓1.43328k2022-07-26
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18420.18393-0.15%0.1802-2.17%0.0171✓1.411,0652022-07-26
DASHDashDash44.8844.8125-0.15%43.99-1.98%0.0158✓1.11498k2022-07-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9738.9592-0.15%9.227+2.83%0.0328✗1.3713.0M2022-07-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36240.361837-0.16%0.3668+1.21%0.0169✗1.3670k2022-07-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11450.11432-0.16%0.1126-1.66%0.0127✓1.015,8712022-07-26
XVSVenusEthereum5.085.0717-0.16%4.98-1.97%0.0148✓1.43947k2022-07-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,313.4121,278.47-0.16%21,261.57-0.24%0.0016✓1.00374.5M2022-07-26
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6810.679867-0.17%0.649-4.70%0.0435✓1.21758k2022-07-26
PROPropyEthereum0.790.788685-0.17%0.76-3.80%0.0354✓0.6983k2022-07-26
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3662.3619-0.17%2.329-1.56%0.0098✓1.7587k2022-07-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.9120.8741-0.17%20.71-0.96%0.0040✓1.6027.0M2022-07-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.83960.838154-0.17%0.8489+1.11%0.0157✗1.211.2M2022-07-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.448.4254-0.17%8.28-1.90%0.0146✓1.16243k2022-07-26
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11940.119194-0.17%0.1195+0.08%0.0058✗1.3447k2022-07-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014790.001476-0.17%0.001432-3.18%0.0280✓1.0620k2022-07-26
ZECZcashZcash54.254.1041-0.18%55.75+2.86%0.0331✗1.281.4M2022-07-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08550.085348-0.18%0.0831-2.81%0.0247✓0.84148k2022-07-26
BANDBandEthereum1.41.3975-0.18%1.408+0.57%0.0110✗1.45317k2022-07-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7813.7741-0.18%3.751-0.79%0.0046✓0.621.2M2022-07-26
QTUMQtumQtum3.28363.2776-0.18%3.6881+12.32%0.1206✗1.0725k2022-07-26
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.0710.070869-0.18%0.06869-3.25%0.0294✓0.731,6422022-07-26
ADACardanoCardano0.47490.474015-0.19%0.4683-1.39%0.0090✓1.2741.4M2022-07-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.0253.9184-0.19%53.9-0.22%0.0025✗1.1513.6M2022-07-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.10140.101209-0.19%0.1035+2.07%0.0251✗1.11617k2022-07-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2036.1911-0.19%6.587+6.19%0.0651✗1.285.3M2022-07-26
XMRMoneroMonero144.12143.8411-0.19%151.3+4.98%0.0532✗1.111.1M2022-07-26
NANOnanopayBase0.9137150.911945-0.19%0.897047-1.82%0.0141✓0.9851k2022-07-26
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.78e-7-0.19%8.70e-7-1.14%0.0074✓0.845.9M2022-07-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.039922-0.20%0.0394-1.50%0.0108✓0.992,0302022-07-26
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0477.0332-0.20%6.655-5.56%0.0520✓1.355.6M2022-07-26
SOLSolanaSolana36.6436.5664-0.20%36.29-0.96%0.0043✓1.3680.3M2022-07-26
UOSUltraEthereum0.344430.343737-0.20%0.31739-7.85%0.0768✓1.20400k2022-07-26
GALAGALAEthereum0.04760.047502-0.20%0.0477+0.21%0.0078✗1.48119k2022-07-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03370.033631-0.21%0.0331-1.78%0.0129✓1.2472k2022-07-26
XECeCashnative0.000038290.00003821-0.21%0.0000392+2.38%0.0285✗1.191.9M2022-07-26
FTTFTXEthereum27.0126.9512-0.22%27.07+0.22%0.0067✗0.9510.6M2022-07-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019370.019327-0.22%0.01989+2.68%0.0313✗1.06129k2022-07-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04760.047493-0.22%0.0466-2.10%0.0157✓1.34787k2022-07-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9682.9613-0.23%2.97+0.07%0.0071✗1.693.7M2022-07-26
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2011.1982-0.24%1.183-1.50%0.0097✓1.241.3M2022-07-26
ZENHorizenBase15.2515.214-0.24%15.17-0.52%0.0005✓1.3997k2022-07-26
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5040.502801-0.24%0.472-6.35%0.0603✓1.1811k2022-07-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.252.2446-0.24%2.26+0.44%0.0105✗1.52205k2022-07-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52560.524329-0.24%0.5372+2.21%0.0272✗1.20642k2022-07-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.371.3666-0.25%1.39+1.46%0.0205✗1.44127k2022-07-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013450.013417-0.25%0.014189+5.49%0.0582✗0.911.2M2022-07-26
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047940.047822-0.25%0.04905+2.32%0.0289✗1.46712k2022-07-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12320.122889-0.25%0.1205-2.19%0.0172✓1.013.1M2022-07-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06420.064036-0.25%0.0653+1.71%0.0222✗1.08239k2022-07-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27480.27409-0.26%0.2763+0.55%0.0110✗1.202.7M2022-07-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6230.621383-0.26%0.636+2.09%0.0256✗0.97387k2022-07-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04140.041291-0.26%0.0406-1.93%0.0136✓1.357,5232022-07-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10780.107509-0.27%0.1076-0.19%0.0035✗1.09380k2022-07-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.1312.1252-0.27%2.1128-0.85%0.0037✓0.90971k2022-07-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024480.024413-0.27%0.02507+2.41%0.0304✗1.6013.4M2022-07-26
MOVRMoonriverBase12.677312.6428-0.27%12.1905-3.84%0.0335✓1.2078k2022-07-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.764.747-0.27%4.9+2.94%0.0333✗0.66514k2022-07-26
UMAUMAEthereum2.6292.6218-0.27%2.595-1.29%0.0076✓1.12619k2022-07-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09570.095434-0.28%0.0972+1.57%0.0217✗1.372.4M2022-07-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017920.017869-0.28%0.01741-2.85%0.0242✓0.77354k2022-07-26
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7980.795719-0.29%0.851+6.64%0.0690✗0.751.1M2022-07-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21570.215066-0.29%0.2085-3.34%0.0274✓1.4999k2022-07-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2481.2443-0.30%1.272+1.92%0.0252✗1.322.4M2022-07-26
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.16990.169395-0.30%0.16244-4.39%0.0359✓2.451,1272022-07-26
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1772.1705-0.30%2.204+1.24%0.0188✗1.4237k2022-07-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.4216.4008-0.31%6.344-1.20%0.0058✓1.2816.7M2022-07-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7053.6933-0.32%3.691-0.38%0.0007✓0.552.1M2022-07-26
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5451.5401-0.32%1.521-1.55%0.0089✓1.45212k2022-07-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.946.9179-0.32%7.17+3.31%0.0370✗0.48670k2022-07-26
XEMNEMnative0.0447030.044559-0.32%0.044503-0.45%0.0017✓1.2021k2022-07-26
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.4054-0.32%1.4-0.71%0.0033✓0.23319k2022-07-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.24392.2366-0.32%2.1986-2.02%0.0152✓0.79895k2022-07-26
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.213.1995-0.33%3.17-1.25%0.0080✓0.5382k2022-07-26
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6740.671777-0.33%0.662-1.78%0.0116✓1.25149k2022-07-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006550.006528-0.33%0.00629-3.97%0.0347✓1.01355k2022-07-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030990.003089-0.34%0.003004-3.07%0.0253✓1.011.0M2022-07-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.264.2457-0.34%4.36+2.35%0.0281✗0.62504k2022-07-26
CBKCobakEthereum0.985390.982054-0.34%0.96464-2.11%0.0151✓1.138,4242022-07-26
DODODODOEthereum0.14170.141206-0.35%0.1428+0.78%0.0144✗1.292.8M2022-07-26
SUSHISushiEthereum1.361.3552-0.35%1.27-6.62%0.0614✓1.45856k2022-07-26
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43540.433852-0.36%0.4351-0.07%0.0056✗1.1241k2022-07-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.3515.294-0.36%15.15-1.30%0.0061✓1.381.3M2022-07-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83871.8319-0.37%1.8627+1.31%0.0197✗1.2324k2022-07-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2283.2159-0.37%3.261+1.02%0.0158✗0.77488k2022-07-26
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.2982.2892-0.38%2.315+0.74%0.0136✗1.00863k2022-07-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08160.081287-0.38%0.0788-3.43%0.0281✓1.22172k2022-07-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17631.1718-0.39%1.1686-0.65%0.0009✓1.484.9M2022-07-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.530.527949-0.39%0.553+4.34%0.0499✗1.4384k2022-07-26
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.259986-0.39%0.2618+0.31%0.0070✗0.0135k2022-07-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008430.008397-0.39%0.00868+2.97%0.0355✗0.994.5M2022-07-26
FLOWFlownative1.6271.6206-0.39%1.596-1.91%0.0123✓1.26332k2022-07-26
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82580.822513-0.40%0.8122-1.65%0.0087✓1.61214k2022-07-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.2523.1567-0.40%25.16+8.22%0.0861✗1.291.3M2022-07-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066890.006662-0.41%0.006894+3.06%0.0356✗0.5546k2022-07-26
XYMSymbolnative0.0534050.053184-0.41%0.052442-1.80%0.0125✓0.6218k2022-07-26
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27570.274557-0.41%0.2798+1.49%0.0217✗1.1465k2022-07-26
GTGateEthereum3.96963.9531-0.42%4.0166+1.18%0.0177✗0.72919k2022-07-26
KSMKusamaHydration58.4958.2435-0.42%58.13-0.62%0.0010✓1.20227k2022-07-26
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.00e-78.96e-7-0.42%8.70e-7-3.33%0.0272✓1.0025k2022-07-26
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.420.418209-0.43%0.4225+0.60%0.0126✗1.00234k2022-07-26
METISMetisEthereum27.3727.2516-0.43%27.76+1.42%0.0209✗1.00151k2022-07-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.1353.8958-0.43%54.585+0.84%0.0147✗0.84369k2022-07-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044030.043837-0.44%0.04431+0.64%0.0130✗0.9315k2022-07-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0187260.018644-0.44%0.018606-0.64%0.0009✓0.48163k2022-07-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.56e-7-0.44%3.43e-7-4.08%0.0348✓0.99234k2022-07-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4172.406-0.45%2.301-4.80%0.0424✓0.92105k2022-07-26
QNTQuantEthereum87.8787.4656-0.46%92.96+5.79%0.0634✗1.023.2M2022-07-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.084.0611-0.46%4.03-1.23%0.0058✓0.75597k2022-07-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0913.0766-0.47%3.178+2.81%0.0340✗0.631.5M2022-07-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04810.047875-0.47%0.0473-1.66%0.0091✓1.22263k2022-07-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.90170.89746-0.47%0.9495+5.30%0.0587✗0.943.5M2022-07-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9341.9247-0.48%2.077+7.39%0.0797✗1.45132k2022-07-26
GMTGMTEthereum0.9150.910402-0.50%0.901-1.53%0.0060✓1.79591k2022-07-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.30961.3028-0.52%1.3512+3.18%0.0400✗1.46561k2022-07-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6630.659533-0.52%0.651-1.81%0.0093✓1.5179k2022-07-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.5112.4407-0.55%12.8+2.32%0.0320✗1.461.2M2022-07-26
LUNATerraTerra 20.000092210.000091696-0.56%0.00009206-0.16%0.0086✗1.90735k2022-07-26
FORTFortaEthereum0.27410.272556-0.56%0.2901+5.84%0.0653✗1.21335k2022-07-26
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26452.2508-0.60%2.2693+0.21%0.0120✗1.579,0562022-07-26
BORABORAKlay Token0.293060.291274-0.61%0.29285-0.07%0.0087✗1.349,2162022-07-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0204790.020351-0.63%0.020152-1.60%0.0074✓1.006,1832022-07-26
DIADIAEthereum0.404070.40151-0.63%0.39822-1.45%0.0064✓0.7551k2022-07-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.067820.067383-0.64%0.0658-2.98%0.0206✓1.2928k2022-07-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.406710.403916-0.69%0.40399-0.67%0.0038✓1.47602k2022-07-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.334.3001-0.69%4.61+6.47%0.0711✗0.60694k2022-07-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6930.688173-0.70%0.678-2.16%0.0106✓1.765.3M2022-07-26
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093290.092634-0.70%0.0904-3.10%0.0220✓1.00706k2022-07-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42880.425746-0.71%0.4154-3.12%0.0210✓1.50208k2022-07-26
HIVEHivenative0.5190.515258-0.72%0.5006-3.55%0.0260✓1.191.4M2022-07-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14720.14613-0.73%0.1487+1.02%0.0206✗1.28379k2022-07-26
OPTIMOptimism0.7940.788166-0.73%0.826+4.03%0.0512✗1.781.1M2022-07-26
RADRadworksEthereum1.881.8655-0.77%2.65+40.96%0.3537✗1.08157k2022-07-26
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7890.782795-0.79%0.752-4.69%0.0364✓1.544,1662022-07-26
APEApeCoinEthereum5.9965.9459-0.83%5.758-3.97%0.0279✓1.7211.9M2022-07-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.7817.6301-0.84%16.1-9.45%0.0886✓0.882.1M2022-07-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.5520.3662-0.89%21.78+5.99%0.0708✗1.53440k2022-07-26
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.953570.943337-1.07%0.90441-5.16%0.0397✓0.998,9622022-07-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.0154.9067-2.16%3.911-22.01%0.2245✓0.96584k2022-07-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.