8=======>

2022-07-17 · +1d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1581
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.16%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.3%
in alpha space · 3.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+7.87%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5110.50429-1.31%0.53+3.72%0.0426✓1.2211k2022-07-18
OPTIMOptimism0.5820.574505-1.29%0.817+40.38%0.2241✗1.691.1M2022-07-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative19.2219.0146-1.07%25.3+31.63%0.1953✗1.191.2M2022-07-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.913.873-0.95%4.13+5.63%0.0161✗0.64694k2022-07-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.473.4381-0.92%3.88+11.82%0.0652✗0.74597k2022-07-18
QNTQuantEthereum98.8697.962-0.91%103.99+5.19%0.0180✓1.032.7M2022-07-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2233.194-0.90%3.316+2.89%0.0218✓0.78488k2022-07-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.0432.0254-0.86%2.1493+5.20%0.0095✓0.91857k2022-07-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7760.769392-0.85%0.817+5.28%0.0795✓1.847.0M2022-07-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.3917.2437-0.84%17.85+2.65%0.0906✓1.65421k2022-07-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.444410.440733-0.83%0.47782+7.52%0.0339✓1.51862k2022-07-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0212770.021104-0.81%0.022154+4.12%0.0275✓1.001,5692022-07-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0179150.017772-0.80%0.017412-2.81%0.0605✓0.53176k2022-07-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16630.16498-0.79%0.1709+2.77%0.0655✓1.33349k2022-07-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0873.0627-0.79%3.189+3.30%0.0084✓0.641.9M2022-07-18
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.543.513-0.76%3.85+8.76%0.0573✗0.4578k2022-07-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2683.2432-0.76%3.27+0.06%0.0786✓1.15544k2022-07-18
ORCAOrcaSolana0.87550.868899-0.75%0.9376+7.09%0.0459✓1.61209k2022-07-18
LUNATerraTerra 20.00010150.000100741-0.75%0.00010626+4.69%0.0907✓1.90692k2022-07-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.062690.062239-0.72%0.06313+0.70%0.0910✓1.3924k2022-07-18
C98Coin98Ethereum0.48170.478321-0.70%0.5225+8.47%0.0051✓1.1052k2022-07-18
FORTFortaEthereum0.28650.284564-0.68%0.2907+1.47%0.0852✓1.41435k2022-07-18
GMTGMTEthereum0.8960.889972-0.67%1.129+26.00%0.1021✗1.79528k2022-07-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8723.8464-0.66%3.951+2.04%0.0221✓0.651.5M2022-07-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.786310.781318-0.63%0.96529+22.76%0.1456✗0.874662022-07-18
COMPCompoundEthereum54.8654.5123-0.63%57.66+5.10%0.0501✓1.4032k2022-07-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.826.7774-0.62%7+2.64%0.0056✓0.50670k2022-07-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.0710.070562-0.62%0.0733+3.24%0.0716✓1.45312k2022-07-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.324.2934-0.62%4.43+2.55%0.0181✓0.65579k2022-07-18
DIADIAEthereum0.437090.434482-0.60%0.44826+2.56%0.0269✓0.7753k2022-07-18
AVTAventusEthereum1.641.6303-0.59%1.6-2.44%0.0392✓0.27485k2022-07-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5973.5758-0.59%3.852+7.09%0.0325✗0.552.2M2022-07-18
UNIUniswapEthereum6.9436.9021-0.59%7.327+5.53%0.0465✓1.405.7M2022-07-18
DODODODOEthereum0.15320.152302-0.59%0.1628+6.27%0.0337✓1.322.8M2022-07-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.2257.1828-0.58%7.533+4.26%0.0528✓1.335.5M2022-07-18
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.260089-0.58%0.2617+0.04%0.0696✓1.0045k2022-07-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.55e-7-0.54%3.64e-7+1.81%0.0548✓1.03344k2022-07-18
FISStafiEthereum0.40.397848-0.54%0.4483+12.07%0.0437✗1.003902022-07-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.23752.2257-0.53%2.3115+3.31%0.0238✓0.81947k2022-07-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.54742.534-0.53%2.6883+5.53%0.0639✓1.625,9882022-07-18
FLOWFlownative1.5641.556-0.51%1.688+7.93%0.0106✓1.22287k2022-07-18
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38730.385336-0.51%0.4506+16.34%0.0807✗1.00241k2022-07-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0182.0078-0.50%2.094+3.77%0.0719✓1.50116k2022-07-18
ELAElastosEthereum1.5291.5213-0.50%1.594+4.25%0.0291✓1.00180k2022-07-18
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.090820.090364-0.50%0.08878-2.25%0.0934✓1.00432k2022-07-18
XYMSymbolnative0.0514280.051173-0.50%0.053178+3.40%0.0092✓0.6314k2022-07-18
ZECZcashZcash59.4359.1382-0.49%65.57+10.33%0.0037✓1.311.5M2022-07-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5371.5296-0.48%1.657+7.81%0.0325✓1.48182k2022-07-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.80141.7929-0.47%1.9281+7.04%0.0211✓1.2427k2022-07-18
KSMKusamaHydration54.4354.177-0.46%63.82+17.25%0.0735✗1.19235k2022-07-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04960.04937-0.46%0.0507+2.22%0.0676✓1.24276k2022-07-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.784.7581-0.46%4.97+3.97%0.0076✓0.68574k2022-07-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.4814.414-0.46%14.75+1.86%0.0520✓0.991.7M2022-07-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33650.334966-0.46%0.3598+6.92%0.0180✓1.188.2M2022-07-18
SUSHISushiEthereum1.41.3936-0.45%1.5+7.14%0.0429✓1.54809k2022-07-18
APEApeCoinEthereum4.9694.9466-0.45%5.992+20.59%0.0587✗1.7611.7M2022-07-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80240.798785-0.45%0.8258+2.92%0.0446✓1.033.5M2022-07-18
CBKCobakEthereum0.98940.984974-0.45%1.0463+5.75%0.0263✓1.144,6812022-07-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03630.036141-0.44%0.0392+7.99%0.0142✓1.2695k2022-07-18
ETHEthereumEthereum1,338.201,332.45-0.43%1,581.34+18.17%0.0796✗1.21326.5M2022-07-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05050.050284-0.43%0.0547+8.32%0.0189✓1.36817k2022-07-18
METISMetisEthereum23.7723.6704-0.42%29.68+24.86%0.1505✗1.00127k2022-07-18
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.184760.183993-0.41%0.18888+2.23%0.1811✓2.747222022-07-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.955.9255-0.41%6.23+4.71%0.0536✓1.37263k2022-07-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.640.637377-0.41%0.691+7.97%0.0333✓1.513,6872022-07-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11050.110047-0.41%0.1174+6.24%0.0187✓1.10380k2022-07-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.50422.494-0.41%2.5947+3.61%0.0370✓1.011.1M2022-07-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.66253.4448-0.40%57.553+7.25%0.0103✗0.84387k2022-07-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1712.1623-0.40%2.375+9.40%0.0141✓1.4343k2022-07-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.10270.102288-0.40%0.1074+4.58%0.0543✓1.36526k2022-07-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0540.053786-0.40%0.0993+83.89%0.5537✗0.78209k2022-07-18
SOLSolanaSolana38.6338.4769-0.40%43.55+12.74%0.0227✗1.3481.1M2022-07-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.288740.2876-0.39%0.30487+5.59%0.0446✓1.363,2792022-07-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006450.006425-0.39%0.00698+8.22%0.0067✗1.01390k2022-07-18
ADACardanoCardano0.44770.445945-0.39%0.49+9.45%0.0022✓1.2743.9M2022-07-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.7455.5216-0.39%58.58+5.10%0.0355✓1.1814.8M2022-07-18
RADRadworksEthereum1.711.7033-0.39%1.81+5.85%0.0245✓1.13127k2022-07-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11680.116344-0.39%0.1322+13.18%0.0516✗1.013.3M2022-07-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash109.99109.5658-0.39%121.21+10.20%0.0163✗1.124.0M2022-07-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20710.206315-0.38%0.2255+8.88%0.0256✓1.51117k2022-07-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07861.0745-0.38%1.3413+24.36%0.1115✗1.464.2M2022-07-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2441.2393-0.38%1.335+7.32%0.0262✓1.332.6M2022-07-18
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.07720.076909-0.38%0.07699-0.27%0.0606✓0.811,9712022-07-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09430.093945-0.38%0.092-2.44%0.0835✓0.83144k2022-07-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018570.0185-0.38%0.01948+4.90%0.0065✓0.77381k2022-07-18
DASHDashDash45.9245.7472-0.38%48.86+6.40%0.0179✓1.11616k2022-07-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6210.618682-0.37%0.69+11.11%0.0050✓1.51108k2022-07-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.17840.177739-0.37%0.2011+12.72%0.0180✗1.392,2022022-07-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.4546-0.37%1.62+10.96%0.0031✓1.46142k2022-07-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3552.3463-0.37%2.536+7.69%0.0080✗0.9288k2022-07-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.35481.3498-0.37%1.4467+6.78%0.0390✓1.43684k2022-07-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.663320.660875-0.37%0.6986+5.32%0.0687✓1.64104k2022-07-18
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6020.599788-0.37%0.657+9.14%0.0001✓1.20858k2022-07-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00910.009067-0.36%0.00954+4.84%0.0269✓1.034.9M2022-07-18
MOVRMoonriverBase13.242813.1953-0.36%14.3354+8.25%0.0089✓1.21242k2022-07-18
XTZTezosTezos1.57311.5675-0.35%1.7336+10.20%0.0041✗1.27519k2022-07-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0124040.01236-0.35%0.012981+4.65%0.0141✓0.831.2M2022-07-18
API3Api3Ethereum1.7781.7718-0.35%1.949+9.62%0.0036✓1.31668k2022-07-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.05070.050524-0.35%0.0561+10.65%0.0074✓1.48106k2022-07-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39460.393229-0.35%0.427+8.21%0.0372✓1.58191k2022-07-18
UMAUMAEthereum2.6242.6151-0.34%2.737+4.31%0.0397✓1.13729k2022-07-18
MANADecentralandEthereum0.837550.834701-0.34%0.92106+9.97%0.0033✓1.34399k2022-07-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068380.006815-0.34%0.00707+3.39%0.0072✓0.5869k2022-07-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6895.6699-0.34%5.939+4.39%0.0392✓1.131.9M2022-07-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5114.4617-0.33%16.35+12.68%0.0197✗1.361.3M2022-07-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045020.044871-0.33%0.04751+5.53%0.0127✓0.926,5622022-07-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6440.641877-0.33%0.72+11.80%0.0427✗0.95425k2022-07-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6220.5525-0.33%23.97+16.25%0.0360✗1.5625.2M2022-07-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10960.109242-0.33%0.1131+3.19%0.0401✓0.996,1432022-07-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.051940.051771-0.33%0.05685+9.45%0.0178✓1.47773k2022-07-18
NANOnanopayBase0.903560.900619-0.33%0.979062+8.36%0.0062✗1.0263k2022-07-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.10550.105159-0.32%0.1146+8.63%0.0021✓1.11560k2022-07-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93770.934668-0.32%0.9815+4.67%0.0451✓1.241.0M2022-07-18
BANDBandEthereum1.3821.3776-0.32%1.512+9.41%0.0169✓1.45380k2022-07-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.382620.381398-0.32%0.41424+8.26%0.0113✓1.24128k2022-07-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027910.002782-0.32%0.003004+7.63%0.0016✓1.031.2M2022-07-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.13860.138162-0.32%0.1512+9.09%0.0047✓1.2587k2022-07-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00099010.000986984-0.31%0.001042+5.26%0.0439✓1.301.8M2022-07-18
XVGVergenative0.003530.003519-0.31%0.00383+8.50%0.0191✓1.37635k2022-07-18
PROPropyEthereum0.810.807459-0.31%0.8-1.23%0.0660✓0.75111k2022-07-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.522.5121-0.31%2.7+7.14%0.0460✓1.56205k2022-07-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2730.272182-0.30%0.2963+8.53%0.0055✓1.192.9M2022-07-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3456.326-0.30%7.038+10.92%0.0110✗1.2617.9M2022-07-18
AAVEAaveEthereum88.2788.0071-0.30%96.23+9.02%0.0389✓1.6910.8M2022-07-18
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6670.665015-0.30%0.72+7.95%0.0161✓1.26127k2022-07-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.9196.8985-0.30%7.654+10.62%0.0101✗1.249.0M2022-07-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07060.070391-0.30%0.0756+7.08%0.0044✓1.00253k2022-07-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1066250.106315-0.29%0.114184+7.09%0.0045✓1.007.2M2022-07-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.008920.008894-0.29%0.00926+3.81%0.0302✓0.931.2M2022-07-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4970.49556-0.29%0.572+15.09%0.0377✗1.4084k2022-07-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0629840.062802-0.29%0.06754+7.23%0.0198✓1.222.0M2022-07-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.23075.2156-0.29%5.4359+3.92%0.0272✗0.19358k2022-07-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.321850.320924-0.29%0.36013+11.89%0.0212✗1.24411k2022-07-18
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7770.774768-0.29%0.83+6.82%0.0098✗0.781.1M2022-07-18
STXStacksnative0.38590.3848-0.28%0.4256+10.29%0.0055✗1.26381k2022-07-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04160.041482-0.28%0.0441+6.01%0.0412✓1.357,2812022-07-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07960.079374-0.28%0.0841+5.65%0.0364✓1.246,7832022-07-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,791.7420,732.67-0.28%22,427.56+7.87%0.0028✓1.00398.7M2022-07-18
QTUMQtumQtum2.95052.9422-0.28%3.2012+8.50%0.0014✓1.1026k2022-07-18
XVSVenusEthereum5.155.1357-0.28%5.47+6.21%0.0472✓1.461.2M2022-07-18
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1870.186494-0.27%0.2055+9.89%0.0131✓1.452,5392022-07-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.379.3448-0.27%11.39+21.56%0.0872✗1.461.1M2022-07-18
TRXTRONTron0.0674370.067257-0.27%0.069093+2.46%0.0351✓0.82405k2022-07-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09790.097639-0.27%0.1101+12.46%0.0179✗1.352.4M2022-07-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6532.6461-0.26%2.949+11.16%0.0245✓1.763.7M2022-07-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001070.000010673-0.26%0.00001196+11.78%0.0195✗1.251.1M2022-07-18
XMRMoneroMonero135.99135.6476-0.25%147.68+8.60%0.0002✓1.121.3M2022-07-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.05111.0485-0.25%1.1185+6.41%0.0182✓1.0948k2022-07-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91240.910138-0.25%1.0287+12.75%0.0122✗1.461.4M2022-07-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.23710.236513-0.25%0.2526+6.54%0.0180✓1.1160k2022-07-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022990.022934-0.24%0.02637+14.70%0.0150✗1.6514.6M2022-07-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.132790.132471-0.24%0.14623+10.12%0.0241✓1.62176k2022-07-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2820.281325-0.24%0.313+10.99%0.0276✗1.04599k2022-07-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50720.505998-0.24%0.553+9.03%0.0037✓1.22456k2022-07-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9158.8939-0.24%9.579+7.45%0.0283✓1.3512.5M2022-07-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37740.376527-0.23%0.4332+14.79%0.0402✗1.3282k2022-07-18
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1821.1793-0.23%1.389+17.51%0.0743✗1.181.4M2022-07-18
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02730.027237-0.23%0.02896+6.08%0.0488✓1.451,4722022-07-18
GTGateEthereum4.09154.0821-0.23%4.2854+4.74%0.0057✓0.72930k2022-07-18
FTTFTXEthereum27.6127.5476-0.23%29.86+8.15%0.0075✗0.9610.6M2022-07-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08570.085511-0.22%0.0882+2.92%0.0647✓1.26167k2022-07-18
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.00e-78.98e-7-0.22%9.40e-7+4.44%0.0301✓1.0025k2022-07-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2945960.293961-0.22%0.320943+8.94%0.0081✓1.271.4M2022-07-18
SCSiacoinnative0.003940.003932-0.21%0.00428+8.63%0.0174✓1.35127k2022-07-18
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.98e-7-0.21%9.30e-7+3.33%0.0296✓0.855.8M2022-07-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23160.231114-0.21%0.2476+6.91%0.0271✓1.27160k2022-07-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027360.027305-0.20%0.02926+6.94%0.0275✓1.2821k2022-07-18
KCSKuCoinnative9.079.0524-0.19%9.854+8.64%0.0004✓1.112.2M2022-07-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,069.876,058.18-0.19%6,611.88+8.93%0.0143✓1.344.2M2022-07-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.059.0326-0.19%9.61+6.19%0.0275✓1.18272k2022-07-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.202631-0.18%0.22+8.37%0.0366✓1.57881k2022-07-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1642.1601-0.18%2.661+22.97%0.0801✗1.7084k2022-07-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,043.2021,009.24-0.16%21,641.50+2.84%0.0454✓0.9935k2022-07-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1260.125821-0.14%0.1331+5.63%0.0458✓1.3534k2022-07-18
ZENHorizenBase16.5516.527-0.14%17.74+7.19%0.0368✓1.4289k2022-07-18
XEMNEMnative0.0405550.040501-0.13%0.044928+10.78%0.0160✗1.1616k2022-07-18
XECeCashnative0.000040040.000039988-0.13%0.00004216+5.29%0.0389✓1.211.9M2022-07-18
STEEMSteemnative0.21230.212039-0.12%0.22+3.63%0.0549✓1.21705k2022-07-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47870.478132-0.12%0.5296+10.63%0.0165✗1.13311k2022-07-18
HIVEHivenative0.44040.439955-0.10%0.4706+6.86%0.0290✓1.271.2M2022-07-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25370.253453-0.10%0.2632+3.74%0.0488✓1.1440k2022-07-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056480.005643-0.09%0.005922+4.85%0.0213✓0.922,9622022-07-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020090.020077-0.06%0.02116+5.33%0.0289✓1.08112k2022-07-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.