8=======>

2022-07-15 · +1d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 184 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1960
183 of 184 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.89%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
36.1%
in alpha space · 10.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.74%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (184 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07640.076402+0.00%0.0821+7.46%0.0507✓1.236,9262022-07-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.625.6201+0.00%5.81+3.38%0.0097✓1.36256k2022-07-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46710.467075-0.01%0.4944+5.84%0.0375✗1.12294k2022-07-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1074120.107403-0.01%0.109556+2.00%0.0025✗1.017.4M2022-07-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2080.207958-0.02%0.214+2.88%0.0016✗1.57964k2022-07-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027280.027272-0.03%0.02772+1.61%0.0058✓1.2819k2022-07-16
STXStacksnative0.38290.382792-0.03%0.395+3.16%0.0096✗1.27405k2022-07-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,161.6021,154.38-0.03%21,072.80-0.42%0.0209✓0.9943k2022-07-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17910.179021-0.04%0.179-0.06%0.0255✓1.472,7232022-07-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.90110.900693-0.05%0.9278+2.96%0.0046✗1.451.4M2022-07-16
KCSKuCoinnative9.199.1845-0.06%9.29+1.09%0.0078✓1.112.4M2022-07-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5770.576643-0.06%0.592+2.60%0.0055✗1.21867k2022-07-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2941580.293966-0.07%0.307861+4.66%0.0244✗1.261.7M2022-07-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash106.07105.9945-0.07%109.45+3.19%0.0128✗1.124.3M2022-07-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.128940.128846-0.07%0.13785+6.91%0.0397✗1.62155k2022-07-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.2265.2222-0.07%5.397+3.27%0.0134✗1.131.8M2022-07-16
QTUMQtumQtum2.78182.7797-0.07%2.8867+3.77%0.0189✗1.1026k2022-07-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010840.000010831-0.08%0.00001104+1.85%0.0024✓1.251.1M2022-07-16
STEEMSteemnative0.20010.199936-0.08%0.2194+9.65%0.0722✗1.20705k2022-07-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7946.7883-0.08%7.192+5.86%0.0365✗1.239.6M2022-07-16
MANADecentralandEthereum0.847240.846495-0.09%0.86694+2.33%0.0008✓1.34411k2022-07-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23020.229997-0.09%0.2385+3.61%0.0146✗1.26167k2022-07-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.04781.0469-0.09%1.076+2.69%0.0087✗1.0948k2022-07-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.062970.062913-0.09%0.064309+2.13%0.0010✗1.222.0M2022-07-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026870.026846-0.09%0.02676-0.41%0.0286✓1.471,7332022-07-16
XVGVergenative0.003440.003437-0.10%0.00372+8.14%0.0559✗1.35664k2022-07-16
DASHDashDash43.2443.1977-0.10%44.83+3.68%0.0180✗1.11623k2022-07-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00097060.000969643-0.10%0.001022+5.24%0.0300✗1.281.8M2022-07-16
FISStafiEthereum0.38250.382119-0.10%–pending––1.004832022-07-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.0615.0449-0.10%17.26+14.61%0.1170✗1.181.2M2022-07-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32750.327133-0.11%0.3404+3.94%0.0194✗1.188.3M2022-07-16
MOVRMoonriverBase12.83112.8164-0.11%14.0567+9.55%0.0717✗1.20242k2022-07-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30345.2972-0.12%5.4+1.82%0.0161✗0.18335k2022-07-16
PROPropyEthereum0.810.809046-0.12%0.81+0.00%0.0116✓0.74111k2022-07-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7690.768093-0.12%0.787+2.34%0.0108✗0.781.3M2022-07-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056970.00569-0.12%0.0058+1.81%0.0033✗0.923,0112022-07-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,231.101,229.63-0.12%1,355.70+10.12%0.0770✗1.20326.5M2022-07-16
TRXTRONTron0.0670240.066943-0.12%0.068911+2.82%0.0149✗0.82433k2022-07-16
SCSiacoinnative0.00390.003895-0.12%0.004+2.56%0.0033✗1.35136k2022-07-16
ADACardanoCardano0.44190.441353-0.12%0.4579+3.62%0.0149✗1.2746.2M2022-07-16
XVSVenusEthereum5.165.1534-0.13%5.18+0.39%0.0201✓1.461.2M2022-07-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.23760.237297-0.13%0.2416+1.68%0.0010✓1.1060k2022-07-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.683460.682504-0.14%0.691+1.10%0.0159✓1.64131k2022-07-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.17710.176846-0.14%0.187+5.59%0.0320✗1.382,2022022-07-16
XMRMoneroMonero138.94138.7306-0.15%139.03+0.06%0.0174✓1.141.3M2022-07-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.388830.388208-0.16%0.39774+2.29%0.0028✗1.25128k2022-07-16
BANDBandEthereum1.3661.3638-0.16%1.421+4.03%0.0160✗1.46385k2022-07-16
NANOnanopayBase0.8882140.886761-0.16%0.922382+3.85%0.0218✗1.0268k2022-07-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.28453-0.16%0.291+2.11%0.0047✗1.03575k2022-07-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.4276-0.17%1.47+2.80%0.0040✗1.47153k2022-07-16
XTZTezosTezos1.57431.5716-0.17%1.6007+1.68%0.0037✓1.28555k2022-07-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,827.5520,792.13-0.17%21,189.68+1.74%0.0017✓1.00447.1M2022-07-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3519.3171-0.17%21.24+9.77%0.0683✗1.5425.2M2022-07-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.009010.008995-0.17%0.00905+0.44%0.0097✓0.921.2M2022-07-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,152.706,142.16-0.17%6,261.84+1.77%0.0038✓1.344.2M2022-07-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10810.107914-0.17%0.1114+3.05%0.0150✗0.986,6852022-07-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074630.0745-0.17%0.07438-0.33%0.0159✓0.831,9712022-07-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin51.7651.6691-0.18%55.09+6.43%0.0439✗1.1715.4M2022-07-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023470.023428-0.18%0.02384+1.58%0.0109✓1.6416.9M2022-07-16
AAVEAaveEthereum90.4190.2497-0.18%92.83+2.68%0.0008✓1.6810.2M2022-07-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.43352.34-0.18%54.299+3.56%0.0223✗0.84410k2022-07-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.10080.100619-0.18%0.1011+0.30%0.0189✓1.37547k2022-07-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.568.5445-0.18%8.77+2.45%0.0055✗1.19288k2022-07-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5452.5403-0.18%2.804+10.18%0.0688✗1.743.7M2022-07-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09070.090533-0.18%0.0961+5.95%0.0456✗0.82145k2022-07-16
ELAElastosEthereum1.4841.4813-0.18%1.556+4.85%0.0320✗1.00180k2022-07-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.13990.139641-0.19%0.1421+1.57%0.0042✓1.2593k2022-07-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.0589.0411-0.19%9.237+1.98%0.0019✓1.3512.7M2022-07-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0360.035932-0.19%0.0368+2.22%0.0022✗1.2695k2022-07-16
ZECZcashZcash58.3758.2586-0.19%63.24+8.34%0.0592✗1.331.6M2022-07-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.04950.049405-0.19%0.0509+2.83%0.0044✗1.48102k2022-07-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05310.052998-0.19%0.0537+1.13%0.0003✓0.78204k2022-07-16
XECeCashnative0.000039220.000039144-0.19%0.00004029+2.73%0.0080✗1.211.9M2022-07-16
SOLSolanaSolana37.3737.2969-0.20%39.6+5.97%0.0371✗1.3383.9M2022-07-16
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.68e-7-0.20%9.00e-7+3.45%0.0213✗0.855.7M2022-07-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.332.3253-0.20%2.45+5.15%0.0254✗1.56216k2022-07-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6130.61173-0.21%0.616+0.49%0.0194✓1.53112k2022-07-16
HIVEHivenative0.43260.431701-0.21%0.4543+5.02%0.0293✗1.261.2M2022-07-16
UNIUniswapEthereum6.7816.7668-0.21%7.375+8.76%0.0622✗1.385.6M2022-07-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19830.197875-0.21%0.2279+14.93%0.1160✗1.47117k2022-07-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49540.494337-0.21%0.5194+4.84%0.0287✗1.21491k2022-07-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.58e-73.58e-7-0.22%3.56e-7-0.59%0.0224✓1.08392k2022-07-16
FTTFTXEthereum26.7826.7201-0.22%28.01+4.59%0.0309✗0.9410.7M2022-07-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.5932.5871-0.23%2.664+2.74%0.0099✗1.12830k2022-07-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37650.375646-0.23%0.3872+2.84%0.0073✗1.3382k2022-07-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11940.119123-0.23%0.1198+0.34%0.0118✓1.013.9M2022-07-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.050590.050472-0.23%0.05205+2.89%0.0054✗1.47778k2022-07-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3960.395071-0.23%0.678+71.21%0.5210✗1.119,9052022-07-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1772.1719-0.23%2.267+4.13%0.0137✗1.6984k2022-07-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.7342.7275-0.24%3.177+16.20%0.1332✗1.12534k2022-07-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3216.306-0.24%6.596+4.35%0.0233✗1.2619.3M2022-07-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0122360.012206-0.25%0.012711+3.88%0.0264✗0.821.2M2022-07-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.311360.310594-0.25%0.34099+9.52%0.0716✗1.26411k2022-07-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27060.269921-0.25%0.2788+3.03%0.0118✗1.193.0M2022-07-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1972.1914-0.25%2.23+1.50%0.0071✓1.4247k2022-07-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.9713.933-0.26%14.36+2.79%0.0068✗1.361.3M2022-07-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10640.106118-0.27%0.1088+2.26%0.0060✗1.10380k2022-07-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2691.2656-0.27%1.306+2.92%0.0087✗1.312.5M2022-07-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.10580.105513-0.27%0.1106+4.54%0.0280✗1.10549k2022-07-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09860.098327-0.28%0.1013+2.74%0.0065✗1.352.5M2022-07-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.8361.8309-0.28%1.837+0.05%0.0192✓1.31816k2022-07-16
COMPCompoundEthereum55.2955.1347-0.28%55.1-0.34%0.0244✓1.3829k2022-07-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006420.006402-0.28%0.00669+4.21%0.0269✗0.99390k2022-07-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8136.7936-0.28%7.116+4.45%0.0235✗1.335.5M2022-07-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.76811.763-0.29%1.8316+3.60%0.0168✗1.2434k2022-07-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067390.006719-0.29%0.00693+2.83%0.0210✗0.5772k2022-07-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2061.2025-0.29%1.253+3.90%0.0210✗1.171.4M2022-07-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019390.019333-0.30%0.02058+6.14%0.0443✗1.0699k2022-07-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80140.799022-0.30%0.8133+1.48%0.0001✓1.024.1M2022-07-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04090.040777-0.30%0.0429+4.89%0.0274✗1.357,6892022-07-16
SGBSongbirdnative0.0260.02592-0.31%0.0264+1.54%0.0101✗0.4862k2022-07-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6530.650974-0.31%0.667+2.14%0.0079✗0.95405k2022-07-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027970.002788-0.31%0.002859+2.22%0.0071✗1.041.2M2022-07-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3332.3256-0.32%2.554+9.47%0.0779✗0.9188k2022-07-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12790.127484-0.33%0.131+2.42%0.0041✗1.3434k2022-07-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04950.049334-0.34%0.0516+4.24%0.0215✗1.36837k2022-07-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0170930.017034-0.35%0.017372+1.63%0.0107✗0.52179k2022-07-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174570.173957-0.35%0.18385+5.32%0.0079✗2.758962022-07-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.10671.1027-0.37%1.1736+6.04%0.0376✗1.434.2M2022-07-16
FLOWFlownative1.5461.5402-0.37%1.601+3.56%0.0178✗1.21287k2022-07-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.41.3948-0.37%1.45+3.57%0.0124✗1.53768k2022-07-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47310.471245-0.39%0.4797+1.40%0.0013✓1.1052k2022-07-16
KSMKusamaHydration54.3754.1568-0.39%56.39+3.72%0.0201✗1.18235k2022-07-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.07170.071418-0.39%0.0733+2.23%0.0013✓1.43299k2022-07-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.259958-0.40%0.2617+0.27%0.0106✓1.0037k2022-07-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5010.49898-0.40%0.513+2.40%0.0037✓1.3985k2022-07-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.5437-0.40%1.58+1.94%0.0188✗0.26485k2022-07-16
DODODODOEthereum0.14630.145706-0.41%0.1648+12.65%0.1006✗1.312.8M2022-07-16
XEMNEMnative0.0404450.04028-0.41%0.041793+3.33%0.0170✗1.1515k2022-07-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018090.018016-0.41%0.01829+1.11%0.0018✓0.77381k2022-07-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.613.5952-0.41%3.738+3.55%0.0296✗0.542.1M2022-07-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.84.7799-0.42%4.83+0.63%0.0011✓0.67609k2022-07-16
GTGateEthereum4.00673.9899-0.42%4.1277+3.02%0.0216✗0.711.0M2022-07-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.89880.89497-0.43%0.9435+4.97%0.0314✗1.24838k2022-07-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6670.664148-0.43%0.687+3.00%0.0120✗1.27120k2022-07-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.219.1706-0.43%9.7+5.32%0.0310✗1.461.1M2022-07-16
ZENHorizenBase16.0315.9606-0.43%16.91+5.49%0.0333✗1.4274k2022-07-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.24030.239245-0.44%0.2597+8.07%0.0624✗1.1433k2022-07-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4511.444-0.48%1.528+5.31%0.0309✗1.49182k2022-07-16
METISMetisEthereum23.4923.3735-0.50%24.59+4.68%0.0335✗1.00127k2022-07-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.66e-7-0.50%9.10e-7+4.60%0.0327✗1.0033k2022-07-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.7214.6452-0.51%14.78+0.41%0.0078✓0.981.7M2022-07-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.2522.2404-0.52%2.2955+1.93%0.0104✗0.80922k2022-07-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.193.1735-0.52%3.27+2.51%0.0221✗0.4678k2022-07-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009190.009141-0.53%0.00924+0.54%0.0070✓1.034.9M2022-07-16
RADRadworksEthereum1.71.6905-0.56%1.78+4.71%0.0323✗1.12117k2022-07-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39680.39459-0.56%0.4097+3.25%0.0105✗1.57197k2022-07-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5316.4372-0.56%16.75+1.33%0.0098✓1.66421k2022-07-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08630.085812-0.57%0.091+5.45%0.0369✗1.26171k2022-07-16
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6014.5748-0.57%4.769+3.65%0.0114✗1.7512.2M2022-07-16
OPTIMOptimism0.4830.480225-0.57%0.52+7.66%0.0504✗1.701.2M2022-07-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.43932.4252-0.58%2.5538+4.69%0.0344✗1.001.1M2022-07-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.823.7978-0.58%3.957+3.59%0.0303✗0.631.6M2022-07-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0362.0241-0.59%2.13+4.62%0.0253✗1.49112k2022-07-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0519240.051614-0.60%0.052325+0.77%0.0029✓0.6214k2022-07-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.92251.911-0.60%2.1124+9.88%0.0852✗0.87845k2022-07-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7790.774287-0.60%0.789+1.28%0.0131✓1.857.5M2022-07-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.374.3433-0.61%4.39+0.46%0.0004✓0.64555k2022-07-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.288960.287175-0.62%0.29418+1.81%0.0008✓1.353,2762022-07-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30132.2865-0.64%2.4213+5.21%0.0294✗1.624,8022022-07-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.4070.404342-0.65%0.4018-1.28%0.0235✓1.00202k2022-07-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1560.154951-0.67%0.1588+1.79%0.0014✓1.34349k2022-07-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.26450.262709-0.68%0.2819+6.58%0.0463✗1.40439k2022-07-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.01881.0117-0.69%1.0257+0.69%0.0060✓1.144,5462022-07-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.83940.833601-0.69%0.8342-0.62%0.0271✓1.61192k2022-07-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045240.044912-0.73%0.04627+2.28%0.0139✗0.925,7282022-07-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07350.072963-0.73%0.0721-1.90%0.0293✓1.01181k2022-07-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2563.2322-0.73%3.112-4.42%0.0489✓0.642.1M2022-07-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.41591.4052-0.76%1.4063-0.68%0.0238✓1.43651k2022-07-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.766.7084-0.76%6.81+0.74%0.0064✓0.50657k2022-07-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.463960.460416-0.76%0.46536+0.30%0.0154✓1.52945k2022-07-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.920.912959-0.77%0.932+1.30%0.0103✓1.80528k2022-07-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04810.047716-0.80%0.0489+1.66%0.0030✓1.25257k2022-07-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093970.09321-0.81%0.09397+0.00%0.0091✓1.00394k2022-07-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.060290.059771-0.86%0.06043+0.23%0.0129✓1.3925k2022-07-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6350.629296-0.90%0.637+0.31%0.0136✓1.503,6872022-07-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0208250.020635-0.91%0.021122+1.43%0.0060✓1.011,2172022-07-16
DIADIAEthereum0.406450.402689-0.93%0.42764+5.21%0.0471✗0.7654k2022-07-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000107430.000106416-0.94%0.00010569-1.62%0.0404✓1.95682k2022-07-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.913.8626-1.21%3.9-0.26%0.0013✓0.64672k2022-07-16
QNTQuantEthereum104.42103.1478-1.22%102.74-1.61%0.0216✓1.022.6M2022-07-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.812210.800575-1.43%0.75449-7.11%0.0745✓0.883642022-07-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.563.508-1.46%3.52-1.12%0.0092✓0.73572k2022-07-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8313.7739-1.49%3.406-11.09%0.1163✓0.80488k2022-07-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.