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2022-07-09 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0236
181 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.05%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
33.7%
in alpha space · 11.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+10.34%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000110460.000096042-13.05%0.00009929-10.11%0.1588✓1.95766k2022-08-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8590.747002-13.04%0.898+4.54%0.0034✓1.9112.4M2022-08-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.51190.450253-12.04%0.42203-17.56%0.2195✓1.571.6M2022-08-08
DIADIAEthereum0.464260.413652-10.90%0.48293+4.02%0.0838✓0.7255k2022-08-08
OPTIMOptimism0.5730.510816-10.85%1.899+231.41%1.1456✗1.701.5M2022-08-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.3614.5897-10.82%30.04+83.62%0.5581✗1.67463k2022-08-08
GMTGMTEthereum1.0010.897208-10.37%0.944-5.69%0.1277✓1.81635k2022-08-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.823.4438-9.85%5.62+47.12%0.4280✗0.63778k2022-08-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.252.9428-9.45%5.02+54.46%0.4654✗0.70770k2022-08-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.52150.474641-8.99%0.5796+11.14%0.0917✓1.1074k2022-08-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.060880.055481-8.87%0.08557+40.56%0.2975✗1.3827k2022-08-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.6615.1932-8.80%21.84+31.09%0.2620✗1.03501k2022-08-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.103020.094093-8.67%0.08629-16.24%0.1850✓1.00343k2022-08-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011150.010192-8.59%0.01044-6.37%0.0804✓1.065.5M2022-08-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5633.258-8.56%6.031+69.27%0.5579✗0.592.2M2022-08-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4680.428183-8.51%0.553+18.16%0.1463✗1.1111k2022-08-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0342.7767-8.48%4.125+35.96%0.3334✗0.632.5M2022-08-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.23690.217253-8.29%0.3126+31.95%0.2655✗1.00440k2022-08-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.212.9494-8.12%3.05-4.98%0.0047✓0.3982k2022-08-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8013.4994-7.93%4.707+23.84%0.2321✗0.651.8M2022-08-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7510.692157-7.84%0.841+11.98%0.0475✓1.503,2002022-08-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0525910.048722-7.36%0.05725+8.86%0.0975✗0.6515k2022-08-08
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80890.750173-7.26%0.9875+22.08%0.1141✗1.63160k2022-08-08
DODODODOEthereum0.14610.135766-7.07%0.1804+23.48%0.1583✗1.282.8M2022-08-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0164220.015267-7.03%0.018974+15.54%0.1624✗0.56337k2022-08-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0217870.020261-7.00%0.023579+8.23%0.0498✓1.048342022-08-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.42970.400933-6.69%0.561+30.56%0.2375✗1.00202k2022-08-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.19.4246-6.69%16.74+65.74%0.4321✗1.451.1M2022-08-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.00e-73.74e-7-6.48%3.37e-7-15.82%0.2141✓1.11566k2022-08-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.244188-6.44%0.2614+0.15%0.0303✓1.0054k2022-08-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1271.9938-6.26%2.498+17.44%0.0807✗1.47123k2022-08-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.841080.788542-6.25%1.1739+39.57%0.3136✗0.862472022-08-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3862.2441-5.95%2.9+21.54%0.1178✗1.4167k2022-08-08
COMPCompoundEthereum55.5752.2855-5.91%62.01+11.59%0.0302✓1.4328k2022-08-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9626.551-5.90%8.259+18.63%0.0998✗1.345.5M2022-08-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.376.0018-5.78%8.84+38.78%0.3383✗0.50872k2022-08-08
ADACardanoCardano0.47770.450139-5.77%0.5372+12.46%0.0499✓1.2948.1M2022-08-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07520.070862-5.77%0.0737-1.99%0.0677✓1.0999k2022-08-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04140.039024-5.74%0.0454+9.66%0.0264✓1.27134k2022-08-08
QNTQuantEthereum8580.131-5.73%128.79+51.52%0.3774✗0.992.4M2022-08-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3411.2644-5.71%1.438+7.23%0.0062✓1.373.0M2022-08-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12650.119307-5.69%0.1674+32.33%0.2407✗1.004.0M2022-08-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16040.151354-5.64%0.1759+9.66%0.0188✓1.34355k2022-08-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.17332.0514-5.61%3.2115+47.77%0.3663✗0.831.2M2022-08-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.4320.407789-5.60%0.42996-0.47%0.0699✓1.25155k2022-08-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.010.954807-5.46%1.1648+15.33%0.0840✗1.171,6262022-08-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.00750.953143-5.40%1.0662+5.83%0.0107✓1.25252k2022-08-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.83021.732-5.36%3.4773+90.00%0.6146✗0.84954k2022-08-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.310730.294299-5.29%0.36941+18.88%0.0920✗1.382,7752022-08-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.451.3748-5.18%1.55+6.90%0.0906✗0.30575k2022-08-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.918.8773-5.14%27.92+40.30%0.2420✗1.5229.2M2022-08-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046980.044581-5.11%0.05269+12.15%0.0740✗0.955,7282022-08-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6890.653929-5.09%0.767+11.32%0.0029✓1.59222k2022-08-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9381.8402-5.04%2.385+23.07%0.1360✗1.2540k2022-08-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.19840.188405-5.04%0.2677+34.93%0.2166✗1.373,2022022-08-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14630.138933-5.04%0.1447-1.09%0.0943✓1.3734k2022-08-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.197120.187238-5.01%0.19653-0.30%0.2420✓2.958572022-08-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80090.760781-5.01%1.1662+45.61%0.3238✗1.054.5M2022-08-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00690.006555-5.00%0.0063-8.70%0.0993✓0.61100k2022-08-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.01854.1751-4.99%62.317+9.29%0.0575✗0.84525k2022-08-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.39211.3235-4.93%1.6087+15.56%0.0636✗1.34727k2022-08-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2720.258734-4.88%0.23-15.44%0.2698✓1.551.1M2022-08-08
ELAElastosEthereum1.6111.5338-4.79%2.06+27.87%0.1965✗1.00180k2022-08-08
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0074.7674-4.78%7.314+46.08%0.2529✗1.7816.6M2022-08-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.68542.557-4.78%3.0082+12.02%0.0009✓1.644,8022022-08-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4190.399073-4.76%0.4659+11.19%0.0053✓1.63208k2022-08-08
STEEMSteemnative0.25450.242459-4.73%0.2624+3.10%0.0384✓1.19682k2022-08-08
ZECZcashZcash61.2158.347-4.68%77.53+26.66%0.1525✗1.341.8M2022-08-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.9482.811-4.65%4.04+37.04%0.2865✗0.78622k2022-08-08
IMXImmutableEthereum0.97090.925962-4.63%1.2133+24.97%0.1248✗1.482.1M2022-08-08
RADRadworksEthereum1.741.6605-4.57%2.74+57.47%0.3876✗1.15114k2022-08-08
METISMetisEthereum22.4721.4466-4.55%45.63+103.07%0.6566✗1.00110k2022-08-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.06630.0633-4.53%0.0607-8.45%0.1854✓1.46325k2022-08-08
MOVRMoonriverBase13.001212.413-4.52%19.4666+49.73%0.3311✗1.21316k2022-08-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09680.092436-4.51%0.1545+59.61%0.4350✗0.80167k2022-08-08
XTZTezosTezos1.62441.5518-4.47%1.894+16.60%0.0740✗1.27582k2022-08-08
FLOWFlownative1.6971.6213-4.46%3.023+78.14%0.5052✗1.20297k2022-08-08
API3Api3Ethereum2.0081.9189-4.44%2.141+6.62%0.0231✓1.35997k2022-08-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28880.276012-4.43%0.3474+20.29%0.1117✗1.203.0M2022-08-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02420.023134-4.41%0.03513+45.17%0.2514✗1.6919.6M2022-08-08
SOLSolanaSolana38.0836.4311-4.33%42.2+10.82%0.0171✓1.3290.8M2022-08-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.732720.701026-4.33%0.69895-4.61%0.1658✓1.66108k2022-08-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04980.047648-4.32%0.068+36.55%0.2218✗1.36922k2022-08-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5570.532973-4.31%0.697+25.13%0.1314✗1.3999k2022-08-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.10310.098712-4.26%0.1526+48.01%0.3243✗1.13540k2022-08-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6980.668761-4.19%0.894+28.08%0.1609✗1.32172k2022-08-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00098870.000947366-4.18%0.001192+20.58%0.1011✗1.312.6M2022-08-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32140.308119-4.13%0.3629+12.91%0.0468✗1.199.4M2022-08-08
KSMKusamaHydration53.150.9087-4.13%64.6+21.66%0.1217✗1.18396k2022-08-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash111.36106.882-4.02%143.54+28.90%0.1829✗1.145.7M2022-08-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029320.002814-4.02%0.003433+17.09%0.0959✗1.041.4M2022-08-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,216.781,168.02-4.01%1,777.36+46.07%0.3048✗1.17342.2M2022-08-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.69635.4689-3.99%4.8-15.73%0.1512✓0.21291k2022-08-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10550.10131-3.97%0.1491+41.33%0.2540✗1.352.8M2022-08-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.133.9683-3.92%5.71+38.26%0.3002✗0.65721k2022-08-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053220.051144-3.90%0.11272+111.80%0.6438✗1.49902k2022-08-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11430.109883-3.86%0.1267+10.85%0.0337✓1.10401k2022-08-08
BANDBandEthereum1.4721.4152-3.86%1.875+27.38%0.1382✗1.45453k2022-08-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131180.012612-3.85%0.016131+22.97%0.1642✗0.831.4M2022-08-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.1414.5611-3.82%18.67+23.32%0.1146✗1.361.5M2022-08-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.571.5109-3.76%1.85+17.83%0.0573✗1.48338k2022-08-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.0552.0276-3.74%62.61+15.84%0.0692✗1.1818.8M2022-08-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04960.047753-3.72%0.0543+9.48%0.0071✓1.23266k2022-08-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.486.2391-3.72%8.607+32.82%0.1953✗1.2921.1M2022-08-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6950.669186-3.71%0.835+20.14%0.1307✗0.92419k2022-08-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05310.051135-3.70%0.0826+55.56%0.4026✗0.78213k2022-08-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.15090.145406-3.64%0.163+8.02%0.0123✓1.29105k2022-08-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.072640.07002-3.61%0.08965+23.42%0.1683✗0.802,3812022-08-08
MANADecentralandEthereum0.906390.874045-3.57%1.0855+19.76%0.0837✗1.35557k2022-08-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4491.3973-3.57%2.058+42.03%0.2411✗1.48169k2022-08-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.25260.243596-3.56%0.2733+8.19%0.0024✓1.1463k2022-08-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.09660.093279-3.44%0.1199+24.12%0.1164✗1.37701k2022-08-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.8515.3093-3.41%38.06+140.13%0.7946✗1.181.8M2022-08-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.652.5598-3.40%3.02+13.96%0.0101✓1.58255k2022-08-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.988.676-3.39%11.817+31.59%0.1765✗1.3513.7M2022-08-08
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4486.2307-3.37%8.791+36.34%0.2106✗1.365.4M2022-08-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.7092.6183-3.35%3.052+12.66%0.0369✗1.181.0M2022-08-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019530.01888-3.33%0.01763-9.73%0.1431✓0.76414k2022-08-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7965.6094-3.22%8.73+50.62%0.3274✗1.172.3M2022-08-08
XVGVergenative0.003440.003331-3.18%0.00377+9.59%0.0115✓1.38670k2022-08-08
PROPropyEthereum0.870.842725-3.14%0.79-9.20%0.1354✓0.72133k2022-08-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6740.65289-3.13%0.774+14.84%0.0506✗1.22952k2022-08-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.241.2012-3.13%1.56+25.81%0.1122✗1.52755k2022-08-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.44752.3714-3.11%2.9975+22.47%0.1306✗1.051.3M2022-08-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40620.393653-3.09%0.4704+15.81%0.0427✗1.3895k2022-08-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.624.4793-3.04%6.04+30.74%0.2342✗0.66836k2022-08-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4892.4133-3.04%2.889+16.07%0.0142✓1.6890k2022-08-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028310.027463-2.99%0.03333+17.73%0.0329✗1.632,0362022-08-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5952.5175-2.99%4.095+57.80%0.3131✗1.763.4M2022-08-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.05540.053753-2.97%0.062+11.91%0.0046✓1.50131k2022-08-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04530.043968-2.94%0.0517+14.13%0.0249✓1.3910k2022-08-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2497.0398-2.89%9.276+27.96%0.1530✗1.2511.8M2022-08-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,583.9920,968.07-2.85%23,815.65+10.34%0.0290✗1.00493.8M2022-08-08
XVSVenusEthereum5.255.1015-2.83%6.92+31.81%0.1580✗1.491.4M2022-08-08
DASHDashDash47.7946.4718-2.76%56.22+17.64%0.0823✗1.10698k2022-08-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007110.006914-2.76%0.00911+28.13%0.1768✗1.01412k2022-08-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20280.197218-2.75%0.2285+12.67%0.0006✓1.49151k2022-08-08
AAVEAaveEthereum82.0679.818-2.73%102.58+25.01%0.0888✗1.658.5M2022-08-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.290220.282323-2.72%0.33107+14.08%0.0335✗1.28465k2022-08-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.331050.322113-2.70%0.363104+9.68%0.0049✓1.272.3M2022-08-08
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8510.828268-2.67%1.084+27.38%0.1887✗0.821.6M2022-08-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.01420.987559-2.63%1.4281+40.81%0.2323✗1.394.5M2022-08-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19510.19003-2.60%0.2282+16.97%0.0325✗1.532,7942022-08-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030170.029392-2.58%0.0332+10.04%0.0068✓1.3124k2022-08-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24640.240235-2.50%0.2624+6.49%0.0393✓1.30220k2022-08-08
NANOnanopayBase0.9117270.889211-2.47%1.0843+18.93%0.0952✗1.0597k2022-08-08
XEMNEMnative0.0420820.041057-2.43%0.052476+24.70%0.1299✗1.1712k2022-08-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11260.110074-2.24%0.1317+16.96%0.0802✗1.017,0862022-08-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.009130.008934-2.14%0.00837-8.32%0.1591✓0.951.2M2022-08-08
SCSiacoinnative0.004150.004063-2.10%0.00474+14.22%0.0191✓1.37169k2022-08-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.59.3017-2.09%11.72+23.37%0.1160✗1.17316k2022-08-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09320.091257-2.09%0.0896-3.86%0.1476✓1.31179k2022-08-08
QTUMQtumQtum3.0292.9663-2.07%4.1656+37.53%0.2300✗1.1132k2022-08-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2241.1989-2.05%1.351+10.38%0.0050✓1.161.7M2022-08-08
XECeCashnative0.000041620.000040774-2.03%0.00004589+10.26%0.0044✓1.252.5M2022-08-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0820.080334-2.03%0.1038+26.59%0.1323✗1.267,1372022-08-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.892.8314-2.03%3.99+38.06%0.2339✗1.11560k2022-08-08
FTTFTXEthereum27.1326.6097-1.92%31.49+16.07%0.0760✗0.9411.6M2022-08-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,497.216,375.30-1.88%11,448.81+76.21%0.4554✗1.324.5M2022-08-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.278677-1.87%0.339+19.37%0.0949✗1.03663k2022-08-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.975.8598-1.85%10.19+70.69%0.4228✗1.33278k2022-08-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5272.4807-1.83%2.626+3.92%0.0337✓0.92148k2022-08-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011610.000011401-1.80%0.00001229+5.86%0.0492✓1.261.2M2022-08-08
XMRMoneroMonero127.29124.9967-1.80%167.1+31.28%0.1774✗1.151.3M2022-08-08
TRXTRONTron0.0697990.068554-1.78%0.070047+0.36%0.0611✓0.84531k2022-08-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1126510.110656-1.77%0.130156+15.54%0.0626✗1.019.3M2022-08-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.12151.1026-1.68%1.2304+9.71%0.0009✓1.1065k2022-08-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51980.511315-1.63%0.6657+28.07%0.1429✗1.23642k2022-08-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.132720.13078-1.46%0.17585+32.50%0.1361✗1.63186k2022-08-08
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.97e-7-1.45%9.90e-7+8.79%0.0148✗0.855.7M2022-08-08
STXStacksnative0.41460.40878-1.40%0.5085+22.65%0.0931✗1.27345k2022-08-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0694940.068647-1.22%0.070056+0.81%0.0994✓1.222.2M2022-08-08
GTGateEthereum3.94633.8993-1.19%4.9055+24.31%0.1585✗0.721.2M2022-08-08
KCSKuCoinnative9.6379.5256-1.16%10.767+11.73%0.0128✗1.113.1M2022-08-08
ZENHorizenBase16.8816.7075-1.02%19.15+13.45%0.0033✓1.4272k2022-08-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059060.005847-1.00%0.006716+13.72%0.0409✗0.993,1492022-08-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25940.256837-0.99%0.5111+97.03%0.5725✗1.1831k2022-08-08
HIVEHivenative0.48780.483408-0.90%0.6064+24.31%0.1009✗1.281.2M2022-08-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.020945-0.87%0.029+37.25%0.2196✗1.0796k2022-08-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,554.3021,446.14-0.50%23,846.60+10.64%0.0087✗0.9946k2022-08-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50550.506301+0.16%0.6088+20.44%0.0732✓1.13249k2022-08-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.