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2022-07-03 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0200
181 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.94%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
53.6%
in alpha space · 17.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+19.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000129950.000108989-16.13%0.00010013-22.95%0.4066✓1.83951k2022-08-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6620.561314-15.21%0.816+23.26%0.1021✓1.552,8402022-08-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.1815.0399-12.46%21.17+23.22%0.1573✗1.05238k2022-08-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8410.740522-11.95%0.823-2.14%0.2515✓2.0418.4M2022-08-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04530.040678-10.20%0.0531+17.22%0.0343✓1.32253k2022-08-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.05570.957451-9.31%0.9992-5.35%0.1972✓1.37224k2022-08-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0513020.046695-8.98%0.05605+9.25%0.0661✓0.6625k2022-08-02
DIADIAEthereum0.376290.345192-8.26%0.45527+20.99%0.1512✗0.7276k2022-08-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2252.9613-8.18%5.16+60.00%0.4472✗0.622.9M2022-08-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.8090.745294-7.87%0.908+12.24%0.1217✓1.82813k2022-08-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09060.084116-7.16%0.0857-5.41%0.2295✓1.42166k2022-08-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.056490.052665-6.77%0.08676+53.58%0.2543✗1.4032k2022-08-02
XEMNEMnative0.0426770.039973-6.34%0.048695+14.10%0.0213✓1.2515k2022-08-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.744610.699957-6.00%1.0569+41.94%0.2655✗0.842912022-08-02
OPTIMOptimism0.520.490146-5.74%1.635+214.42%0.9023✗1.722.2M2022-08-02
ORCAOrcaSolana0.73290.692091-5.57%1.0822+47.66%0.2617✗1.0684k2022-08-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0209440.019785-5.54%0.024372+16.37%0.0155✓1.101,5412022-08-02
APEApeCoinEthereum4.5644.3247-5.24%6.638+45.44%0.1096✗1.8216.0M2022-08-02
API3Api3Ethereum1.8441.7523-4.97%1.966+6.62%0.1204✓1.34997k2022-08-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.25190.23964-4.87%0.3039+20.64%0.0622✗1.00739k2022-08-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044770.042598-4.85%0.04946+10.48%0.0264✓1.008,5732022-08-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.6315.8618-4.62%22.85+37.40%0.0975✗1.5330.5M2022-08-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47560.454128-4.51%0.4841+1.79%0.1115✓1.0098k2022-08-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5842.468-4.49%3.801+47.10%0.1086✗1.843.1M2022-08-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.54762.4361-4.38%2.7482+7.87%0.1857✓1.759,9282022-08-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021870.020955-4.18%0.01794-17.97%0.2969✓0.81417k2022-08-02
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.251113-4.08%0.2618+0.00%0.1337✓1.0068k2022-08-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009390.009018-3.97%0.00965+2.77%0.1069✓1.006.2M2022-08-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.593.4524-3.83%6.51+81.34%0.5209✗0.651.1M2022-08-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.295670.28453-3.77%0.34832+17.81%0.0493✓1.433,4912022-08-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6583.5217-3.73%4.526+23.73%0.1315✗0.682.3M2022-08-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37660.36296-3.62%0.4462+18.48%0.0942✓1.71202k2022-08-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.422920.408067-3.51%0.3926-7.17%0.3240✓1.632.0M2022-08-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.2351.192-3.48%1.4894+20.60%0.0043✓1.29767k2022-08-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0411.0049-3.47%1.27+22.00%0.0355✗1.131.6M2022-08-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5581.5048-3.42%2.285+46.66%0.1583✗1.4893k2022-08-02
CBKCobakEthereum0.913160.882102-3.40%1.126+23.31%0.0325✓1.212,6312022-08-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03760.036333-3.37%0.0396+5.32%0.1456✓1.32168k2022-08-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1613.6995-3.25%17.22+21.61%0.0185✓1.411.5M2022-08-02
ADACardanoCardano0.45550.440741-3.24%0.4966+9.02%0.1158✓1.3463.0M2022-08-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6190.599265-3.19%0.774+25.04%0.0237✓1.32169k2022-08-02
SOLSolanaSolana33.3632.3016-3.17%39.81+19.33%0.0261✓1.3492.9M2022-08-02
HIVEHivenative0.44730.433235-3.14%0.5942+32.84%0.0808✗1.341.2M2022-08-02
DODODODOEthereum0.12330.119495-3.09%0.1716+39.17%0.1270✗1.343.0M2022-08-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.13.0074-2.99%5.05+62.90%0.3908✗0.731.0M2022-08-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25440.246862-2.96%0.318+25.00%0.0411✗1.2127k2022-08-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.0827.8434-2.95%9.92+22.74%0.0033✓1.3615.0M2022-08-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.028.7544-2.94%14.94+65.63%0.2712✗1.501.1M2022-08-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81061.7574-2.94%2.1689+19.79%0.0189✓1.3162k2022-08-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.09492.0337-2.92%3.0467+45.43%0.2551✗0.851.8M2022-08-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10040.097509-2.88%0.073-27.29%0.4408✓0.86188k2022-08-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3090.300116-2.88%0.212-31.39%0.6452✓1.701.1M2022-08-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9512.8664-2.87%3.883+31.58%0.1864✗0.674.8M2022-08-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin50.8649.434-2.80%58.09+14.22%0.0516✓1.2118.7M2022-08-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.400020.388855-2.79%0.39795-0.52%0.2080✓1.32150k2022-08-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04250.041323-2.77%0.0463+8.94%0.1335✓1.4112k2022-08-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.883.7732-2.75%5.73+47.68%0.3014✗0.661.2M2022-08-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11350.110378-2.75%0.1435+26.43%0.0836✗1.024.0M2022-08-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.216.0403-2.73%7.179+15.60%0.0584✓1.3229.0M2022-08-02
GTGateEthereum4.10993.9984-2.71%4.3491+5.82%0.0498✓0.761.2M2022-08-02
FLOWFlownative1.5471.5052-2.70%1.874+21.14%0.0040✓1.23312k2022-08-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0026370.002566-2.70%0.003157+19.72%0.0178✓1.081.4M2022-08-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.8432.7665-2.69%3.985+40.17%0.2212✗0.821.0M2022-08-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.79540.774023-2.69%1.3359+67.95%0.3002✗1.403.7M2022-08-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006740.00656-2.68%0.006716-0.36%0.0946✓0.67123k2022-08-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.281.2464-2.62%2.017+57.58%0.2141✗1.52170k2022-08-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3382.2769-2.61%2.419+3.46%0.1121✓0.98157k2022-08-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.74191.6965-2.61%3.3336+91.38%0.5252✗0.861.3M2022-08-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.31e-73.22e-7-2.59%3.39e-7+2.49%0.1268✓1.01603k2022-08-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006790.00662-2.50%0.00928+36.67%0.1574✗1.03412k2022-08-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14750.143833-2.49%0.1596+8.20%0.1447✓1.42574k2022-08-02
FTTFTXEthereum24.3923.7984-2.43%29.4+20.54%0.0460✗0.9412.2M2022-08-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.042.9663-2.42%3.18+4.61%0.1058✓1.0088k2022-08-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26980.26328-2.42%0.3198+18.53%0.0243✓1.253.1M2022-08-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00096520.000941994-2.40%0.001085+12.40%0.0961✓1.353.0M2022-08-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.2385.1164-2.32%8+52.73%0.2117✗1.346.7M2022-08-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.47720.46626-2.29%0.6132+28.50%0.0500✗1.28662k2022-08-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.048070.046973-2.28%0.08648+79.90%0.3460✗1.511.1M2022-08-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09450.092344-2.28%0.1168+23.60%0.0089✓1.393.3M2022-08-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.055.9121-2.28%9.54+57.69%0.3894✗0.511.0M2022-08-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6260.611829-2.26%0.744+18.85%0.0240✗0.98419k2022-08-02
BTTCBTTC8.00e-77.82e-7-2.25%9.70e-7+21.25%0.0678✗0.845.3M2022-08-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0142320.013918-2.21%0.021484+50.96%0.3400✗0.54383k2022-08-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.142120.138991-2.20%0.18917+33.11%0.1329✗1.008392022-08-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.04870.047667-2.12%0.0745+52.98%0.3097✗0.78222k2022-08-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73750.721973-2.11%0.9732+31.96%0.1083✗1.094.0M2022-08-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0120610.01181-2.08%0.015628+29.57%0.1300✗0.861.6M2022-08-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4790.469064-2.07%0.608+26.93%0.0082✓1.4392k2022-08-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.44482.3943-2.07%2.8083+14.87%0.0345✓1.111.7M2022-08-02
COMPCompoundEthereum49.9748.9428-2.06%56.33+12.73%0.1193✓1.4828k2022-08-02
KSMKusamaHydration49.4648.4529-2.04%60.95+23.23%0.0189✓1.20526k2022-08-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.651.6165-2.03%1.55-6.06%0.1069✓0.37648k2022-08-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,291.3318,900.57-2.03%22,989.40+19.17%0.0205✗1.00500.8M2022-08-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.09850.096543-1.99%0.1359+37.97%0.1337✗1.19583k2022-08-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,072.881,051.76-1.97%1,631.28+52.05%0.2343✗1.17342.2M2022-08-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30940.303311-1.97%0.3267+5.59%0.1416✓1.2310.0M2022-08-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023420.02297-1.92%0.03854+64.56%0.2088✗1.7625.4M2022-08-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.0530.051991-1.90%0.0595+12.26%0.1353✓1.54134k2022-08-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.649760.637469-1.89%0.65971+1.53%0.2594✓1.6799k2022-08-02
RADRadworksEthereum1.561.5313-1.84%2.46+57.69%0.2710✗1.16177k2022-08-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,833.855,726.84-1.83%10,752.27+84.31%0.3990✗1.324.1M2022-08-02
ZECZcashZcash54.4653.4849-1.79%61.49+12.91%0.0977✓1.352.0M2022-08-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6730.661177-1.76%0.709+5.35%0.2245✓1.68242k2022-08-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.100906-1.75%0.1155+12.46%0.0669✓1.15478k2022-08-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0450.044232-1.71%0.0581+29.11%0.0248✗1.411.1M2022-08-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38050.374092-1.68%0.4029+5.89%0.1776✓1.4495k2022-08-02
XTZTezosTezos1.44641.4222-1.68%1.7139+18.49%0.0436✓1.31654k2022-08-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.532.4892-1.61%2.72+7.51%0.2016✓1.66301k2022-08-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.3931.3706-1.61%1.796+28.93%0.0949✗1.00175k2022-08-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.198.0642-1.54%11.02+34.55%0.0996✗1.21374k2022-08-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.269871-1.51%0.328+19.71%0.0108✓1.05713k2022-08-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.7914.5716-1.48%36.59+147.40%0.7031✗1.242.0M2022-08-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023880.023536-1.44%0.0314+31.49%0.1129✗1.002,1122022-08-02
BANDBandEthereum1.2911.2728-1.41%1.635+26.65%0.0135✓1.50453k2022-08-02
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7990.787768-1.41%1.218+52.44%0.2806✗0.881.6M2022-08-02
XECeCashnative0.000038210.000037694-1.35%0.00004282+12.06%0.0989✓1.292.5M2022-08-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18430.18191-1.30%0.2308+25.23%0.0182✓1.46155k2022-08-02
PROPropyEthereum0.850.83902-1.29%0.76-10.59%0.2285✓0.74159k2022-08-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2962750.292683-1.21%0.34061+14.96%0.0816✓1.332.5M2022-08-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.72975.6611-1.20%5.0698-11.52%0.1483✓0.22285k2022-08-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.610.4755-1.17%27.79+162.17%0.6912✗1.62448k2022-08-02
ZENHorizenBase13.6813.5279-1.11%17.17+25.51%0.0108✓1.4261k2022-08-02
DASHDashDash42.6742.1986-1.10%48.53+13.73%0.0592✓1.13739k2022-08-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.542.5122-1.09%3.951+55.55%0.2526✗1.14605k2022-08-02
XVSVenusEthereum4.724.6684-1.09%6.57+39.19%0.0729✗1.531.4M2022-08-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8446.7706-1.07%7.928+15.84%0.0659✓1.2813.1M2022-08-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.009150.009054-1.05%0.00839-8.31%0.2499✓0.991.2M2022-08-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.05910.058485-1.04%0.0612+3.55%0.2172✓1.50367k2022-08-02
IMXImmutableEthereum0.89530.886123-1.02%1.0451+16.73%0.1067✓1.552.6M2022-08-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash105.93104.8463-1.02%133.77+26.28%0.0393✗1.166.0M2022-08-02
NANOnanopayBase0.8144970.806696-0.96%1.0235+25.66%0.0498✗1.0797k2022-08-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3015.2504-0.95%8.196+54.61%0.2348✗1.202.3M2022-08-02
MOVRMoonriverBase11.810111.6987-0.94%14.5774+23.43%0.0003✓1.26316k2022-08-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3750.371572-0.91%0.519+38.40%0.1326✗1.1511k2022-08-02
QNTQuantEthereum55.6955.1907-0.90%103.43+85.72%0.4575✗0.972.1M2022-08-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9421.9254-0.85%2.6+33.88%0.0065✓1.68101k2022-08-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019230.019067-0.85%0.02154+12.01%0.0556✓1.0198k2022-08-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010030.000009948-0.82%0.00001175+17.15%0.0572✓1.28952k2022-08-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2691.2591-0.78%1.364+7.49%0.1735✓1.453.8M2022-08-02
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5830.578711-0.74%0.742+27.27%0.0368✗1.21952k2022-08-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.021.0126-0.72%1.36+33.33%0.0213✗1.56749k2022-08-02
SCSiacoinnative0.003860.003833-0.69%0.00462+19.69%0.0659✓1.44176k2022-08-02
XMRMoneroMonero116.22115.4172-0.69%156.99+35.08%0.1027✗1.171.2M2022-08-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.063290.062858-0.68%0.0777+22.77%0.0710✗0.802,1062022-08-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.13920.138271-0.67%0.1674+20.26%0.0453✓1.35124k2022-08-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.424.3917-0.64%6.03+36.43%0.1981✗0.68973k2022-08-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.09060.090062-0.59%0.1134+25.17%0.0229✓1.44762k2022-08-02
MANADecentralandEthereum0.836820.832299-0.54%0.95943+14.65%0.1000✓1.38611k2022-08-02
STEEMSteemnative0.2090.207892-0.53%0.2502+19.71%0.0270✓1.21731k2022-08-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2032.1927-0.47%2.716+23.29%0.0399✓1.4570k2022-08-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0672160.066924-0.43%0.066529-1.02%0.2274✓1.262.0M2022-08-02
AAVEAaveEthereum57.5757.3662-0.35%93.42+62.27%0.1978✗1.657.7M2022-08-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05040.050223-0.35%0.068+34.92%0.0999✗1.1696k2022-08-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1090090.108679-0.30%0.115136+5.62%0.1278✓1.069.9M2022-08-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.481.477-0.20%1.57+6.08%0.2094✓1.54386k2022-08-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,258.8019,229.66-0.15%23,023.60+19.55%0.0075✗0.9843k2022-08-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04250.042444-0.13%0.044+3.53%0.1508✓1.073,4202022-08-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17990.179686-0.12%0.202+12.28%0.0583✓1.003,1472022-08-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.15.0963-0.07%8.1+58.82%0.2307✗1.33300k2022-08-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.6572.6555-0.06%2.934+10.43%0.1197✓1.25907k2022-08-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.23080.230676-0.05%0.2636+14.21%0.0755✓1.1978k2022-08-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.251280.251221-0.02%0.30205+20.20%0.0416✓1.29480k2022-08-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11510.115088-0.01%0.1378+19.72%0.0646✓1.4032k2022-08-02
QTUMQtumQtum2.82752.8281+0.02%3.9681+40.34%0.1341✓1.1732k2022-08-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22250.222622+0.05%0.2502+12.45%0.1190✗1.34236k2022-08-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027620.027636+0.06%0.03144+13.83%0.1111✗1.3726k2022-08-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.08853.1323+0.08%60.953+14.82%0.0135✗0.86957k2022-08-02
XVGVergenative0.002960.002964+0.14%0.00371+25.34%0.0191✗1.39664k2022-08-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058030.005818+0.27%0.006204+6.92%0.1175✗1.043,8612022-08-02
TRXTRONTron0.0662470.066463+0.33%0.06831+3.11%0.1298✗0.90662k2022-08-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07660.076864+0.34%0.0936+22.19%0.0269✗1.287,1822022-08-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.16360.164228+0.38%0.225+37.53%0.0759✓1.363,4882022-08-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.12190.122423+0.43%0.1626+33.39%0.0072✗1.66181k2022-08-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.03251.0388+0.61%1.163+12.64%0.0900✗1.1659k2022-08-02
STXStacksnative0.38470.387457+0.72%0.4398+14.32%0.1049✗1.32318k2022-08-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1040.104869+0.84%0.1238+19.04%0.0151✗1.037,0862022-08-02
UNIUniswapEthereum4.9124.959+0.96%8.248+67.92%0.2673✓1.385.5M2022-08-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48860.493342+0.97%0.5396+10.44%0.1124✗1.15173k2022-08-02
FISStafiEthereum0.27930.282792+1.25%0.381+36.41%0.1227✓1.008122022-08-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017720.001797+1.38%0.001664-6.09%0.2646✗1.078,9762022-08-02
KCSKuCoinnative8.3048.4542+1.81%9.938+19.68%0.0371✗1.133.1M2022-08-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.