8=======>

2022-06-16 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 173 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0049
171 of 173 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.70%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
24.0%
in alpha space · 12.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.01%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (173 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8220.734588-10.63%0.789-4.01%0.0082✓2.0229.5M2022-07-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.9092.6569-8.67%3.738+28.50%0.3192✗0.564.5M2022-07-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.46920.430296-8.29%0.4797+2.24%0.0693✓1.00162k2022-07-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0782.8422-7.66%3.112+1.10%0.0625✓0.714.9M2022-07-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.5930.548475-7.51%0.932+57.17%0.4604✗1.771.7M2022-07-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008890.008243-7.28%0.00924+3.94%0.0771✗0.9411.4M2022-07-16
OPTIMOptimism0.490.457592-6.61%0.52+6.12%0.0885✗1.006.4M2022-07-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.0000580.000054227-6.51%0.00010569+82.22%0.5817✗2.181.6M2022-07-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3240.303617-6.29%0.678+109.26%0.7579✗1.1615k2022-07-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.35991.2757-6.19%1.4063+3.41%0.0474✓1.271.7M2022-07-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.055.6783-6.14%6.81+12.56%0.1616✗0.512.0M2022-07-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3810.358228-5.98%0.637+67.19%0.5139✗1.573,9802022-07-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017730.016681-5.92%0.01829+3.16%0.0644✗0.70631k2022-07-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12370.116448-5.86%0.0961-22.31%0.2319✓1.01255k2022-07-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.496660.467629-5.85%0.46536-6.30%0.0762✓1.813.6M2022-07-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.25510.240395-5.76%0.2788+9.29%0.0980✗1.285.6M2022-07-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche15.7714.8642-5.74%21.24+34.69%0.2991✗1.4749.3M2022-07-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.34e-73.15e-7-5.62%3.56e-7+6.70%0.0881✗0.88984k2022-07-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.573.371-5.57%3.9+9.24%0.1220✗0.602.1M2022-07-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0119640.011303-5.53%0.012711+6.24%0.0827✗0.882.0M2022-07-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.9781.8697-5.47%2.23+12.74%0.1163✗1.5292k2022-07-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5740.542587-5.47%0.667+16.20%0.1658✗1.03372k2022-07-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08170.077232-5.47%0.091+11.38%0.1085✗1.41346k2022-07-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.12022.0055-5.41%2.2955+8.27%0.0997✗0.903.3M2022-07-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.027.6025-5.21%9.7+20.95%0.1772✗1.692.6M2022-07-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.09220.087519-5.08%0.1106+19.96%0.1855✗1.23852k2022-07-16
DODODODOEthereum0.12190.115766-5.03%0.1648+35.19%0.2967✗1.434.4M2022-07-16
FLOWFlownative1.3911.3217-4.98%1.601+15.10%0.1523✗1.00568k2022-07-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067220.006387-4.98%0.00693+3.09%0.0518✗0.75167k2022-07-16
SOLSolanaSolana30.128.6143-4.94%39.6+31.56%0.2694✗1.41112.7M2022-07-16
ADACardanoCardano0.47560.452254-4.91%0.4579-3.72%0.0433✓1.4271.0M2022-07-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0189880.018057-4.91%0.021122+11.24%0.1096✗1.208,7652022-07-16
ZECZcashZcash58.9456.0537-4.90%63.24+7.30%0.0674✗1.353.4M2022-07-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.620.589929-4.85%0.9435+52.18%0.4123✗1.46192k2022-07-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.7431.6586-4.84%2.804+60.87%0.4568✗1.742.7M2022-07-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.6112.9527-4.83%14.36+5.51%0.0457✓1.462.3M2022-07-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11340.108043-4.72%0.1198+5.64%0.0638✗1.003.3M2022-07-16
MOVRMoonriverBase12.973612.3616-4.72%14.0567+8.35%0.0758✗1.34211k2022-07-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.72941.6483-4.69%2.1124+22.15%0.2126✗0.903.0M2022-07-16
APEApeCoinEthereum3.3723.2148-4.66%4.769+41.43%0.3210✗1.8617.0M2022-07-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum7.917.5451-4.61%14.78+86.85%0.6322✗1.02281k2022-07-16
XTZTezosTezos1.3551.2932-4.56%1.6007+18.13%0.1613✗1.32914k2022-07-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.919950.878114-4.55%0.75449-17.99%0.1844✓0.838792022-07-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.61430.586604-4.51%0.8133+32.39%0.2806✗1.172.8M2022-07-16
XYMSymbolnative0.05010.047912-4.37%0.052325+4.44%0.0610✗0.6965k2022-07-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.63.443-4.36%3.957+9.92%0.1126✗0.676.7M2022-07-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047180.045125-4.36%0.05205+10.32%0.0799✗1.601.7M2022-07-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.480.459206-4.33%0.8342+73.79%0.5505✗1.1856k2022-07-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30180.288845-4.29%0.3404+12.79%0.1154✗1.2414.6M2022-07-16
DIADIAEthereum0.379660.363386-4.29%0.42764+12.64%0.1358✗0.69276k2022-07-16
SUSHISushiEthereum0.960.919068-4.26%1.45+51.04%0.3937✗1.581.1M2022-07-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.061110.058516-4.24%0.07438+21.71%0.2005✗1.001,6002022-07-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02750.026336-4.23%0.0368+33.82%0.2823✗1.33221k2022-07-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05260.050373-4.23%0.0516-1.90%0.0339✓1.471.7M2022-07-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006410.006139-4.23%0.00669+4.37%0.0443✗1.06557k2022-07-16
COMPCompoundEthereum30.1628.8848-4.23%55.1+82.69%0.5882✗1.4627k2022-07-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.20520.196563-4.21%0.2416+17.74%0.1605✗1.16100k2022-07-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.275750.264193-4.19%0.29418+6.68%0.0489✗1.4914k2022-07-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.3296.0638-4.19%9.237+45.95%0.3682✗1.3414.5M2022-07-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.043.8721-4.16%4.83+19.55%0.1923✗0.731.5M2022-07-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.6640.63644-4.15%1.1736+76.75%0.5573✗1.395.0M2022-07-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative13.8213.2464-4.15%17.26+24.89%0.2131✗1.312.3M2022-07-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.112.9819-4.12%3.52+13.18%0.1345✗0.801.7M2022-07-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3620.3471-4.12%0.3872+6.96%0.0492✗1.53160k2022-07-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09280.088992-4.10%0.1088+17.24%0.1547✗1.18721k2022-07-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09730.093316-4.09%0.1013+4.11%0.0245✓1.465.2M2022-07-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.5930.568758-4.09%0.687+15.85%0.1348✗1.37556k2022-07-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.79411.7212-4.07%1.8316+2.09%0.0090✓1.3568k2022-07-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0520.0499-4.04%0.0721+38.65%0.3219✗1.17132k2022-07-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7850.75371-3.99%0.787+0.25%0.0057✓0.951.7M2022-07-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.125180.12019-3.99%0.13785+10.12%0.0743✗1.60247k2022-07-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin44.7442.9704-3.96%55.09+23.13%0.2010✗1.2117.5M2022-07-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0007830.000752035-3.95%0.001022+30.46%0.2520✗1.382.0M2022-07-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3025.0932-3.94%5.397+1.79%0.0055✓1.332.6M2022-07-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028010.002691-3.92%0.002859+2.07%0.0156✓1.142.2M2022-07-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.2780.267123-3.91%0.4097+47.37%0.3667✗1.55383k2022-07-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.8452.7347-3.88%3.406+19.72%0.1858✗0.861.8M2022-07-16
CBKCobakEthereum0.841230.808698-3.87%1.0257+21.93%0.1889✗1.246,0082022-07-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8070.77595-3.85%0.616-23.67%0.3002✓1.76303k2022-07-16
HIVEHivenative0.3450.331764-3.84%0.4543+31.68%0.2584✗1.421.2M2022-07-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4250.408924-3.78%0.513+20.71%0.1697✗1.45116k2022-07-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.642.5404-3.77%2.664+0.91%0.0018✓1.251.1M2022-07-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.045580.04387-3.75%0.06043+32.58%0.2675✗1.3470k2022-07-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05810.055945-3.71%0.0537-7.57%0.0721✓0.79313k2022-07-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.271.2231-3.69%1.47+15.75%0.1197✗1.63596k2022-07-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.311.2618-3.68%1.306-0.31%0.0248✓1.505.1M2022-07-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.3115.1162-3.67%7.116+33.99%0.2739✗1.4311.1M2022-07-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020590.019837-3.65%0.02384+15.78%0.1079✗1.9340.1M2022-07-16
XEMNEMnative0.0380320.036662-3.60%0.041793+9.89%0.0794✗1.3126k2022-07-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.231.1859-3.58%1.528+24.23%0.1885✗1.65231k2022-07-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03450.033285-3.52%0.0489+41.74%0.3292✗1.41368k2022-07-16
XECeCashnative0.000037020.000035732-3.48%0.00004029+8.83%0.0676✗1.332.9M2022-07-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.1240.119685-3.48%0.1421+14.60%0.1176✗1.37166k2022-07-16
MANADecentralandEthereum0.808330.780378-3.46%0.86694+7.25%0.0504✗1.39743k2022-07-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6670.644188-3.42%0.592-11.24%0.1310✓1.18979k2022-07-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.572.4821-3.42%3.177+23.62%0.2028✗1.12663k2022-07-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50.483074-3.39%0.5194+3.88%0.0194✓1.35771k2022-07-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019050.01841-3.36%0.02058+8.03%0.0688✗1.08144k2022-07-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash109.37105.715-3.34%109.45+0.07%0.0130✓1.214.4M2022-07-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.008770.008479-3.31%0.00905+3.19%0.0236✓1.061.5M2022-07-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.321270.310674-3.30%0.39774+23.80%0.1962✗1.29105k2022-07-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0430.041587-3.29%0.0429-0.23%0.0299✓1.5518k2022-07-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,066.871,031.84-3.28%1,355.70+27.07%0.2287✗1.13386.3M2022-07-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.05580.053971-3.28%0.0733+31.36%0.2450✗1.55418k2022-07-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum7.136.8979-3.25%8.77+23.00%0.1931✗1.20502k2022-07-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.1580.152883-3.24%0.2279+44.24%0.3412✗1.47191k2022-07-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,598.444,450.68-3.21%6,261.84+36.17%0.2903✗1.303.6M2022-07-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.344.2031-3.15%5.81+33.87%0.2682✗1.41400k2022-07-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2530.24504-3.15%0.291+15.02%0.1297✗1.07847k2022-07-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0148960.01443-3.13%0.017372+16.62%0.1615✗0.61469k2022-07-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045770.044372-3.05%0.04627+1.09%0.0014✓1.0315k2022-07-16
XVSVenusEthereum4.053.9278-3.02%5.18+27.90%0.2106✗1.681.6M2022-07-16
XVGVergenative0.002860.002775-2.98%0.00372+30.07%0.2351✗1.47648k2022-07-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.6850.664876-2.94%0.9278+35.45%0.2700✗1.613.2M2022-07-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3526.1677-2.90%6.596+3.84%0.0153✓1.3241.5M2022-07-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.19590.190216-2.90%0.2385+21.75%0.1712✗1.40480k2022-07-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.05384.9072-2.90%5.4+6.85%0.0861✗0.24235k2022-07-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2120.205888-2.88%0.214+0.94%0.0257✓1.631.2M2022-07-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26192.1967-2.88%2.4213+7.05%0.0271✓1.7817k2022-07-16
QNTQuantEthereum44.4243.1464-2.87%102.74+131.29%0.8279✗1.012.0M2022-07-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10160.098693-2.86%0.131+28.94%0.2275✗1.4149k2022-07-16
RADRadworksEthereum1.521.4765-2.86%1.78+17.11%0.1396✗1.20270k2022-07-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.6991.6505-2.85%2.267+33.43%0.2551✗1.5892k2022-07-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV50.90149.4569-2.84%54.299+6.68%0.0587✗0.881.2M2022-07-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10490.101931-2.83%0.1114+6.20%0.0465✗1.087,2892022-07-16
BTTCBTTC7.60e-77.39e-7-2.82%9.00e-7+18.42%0.1629✗0.885.5M2022-07-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000007950.000007726-2.82%0.00001104+38.87%0.3074✗1.26850k2022-07-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.116.9124-2.78%7.192+1.15%0.0135✓1.3513.5M2022-07-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.05520.053682-2.75%0.0509-7.79%0.1159✓1.59142k2022-07-16
AAVEAaveEthereum56.5154.9639-2.74%92.83+64.27%0.4583✗1.677.7M2022-07-16
SCSiacoinnative0.003410.003317-2.71%0.004+17.30%0.1268✗1.53239k2022-07-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.243440.236852-2.71%0.34099+40.07%0.3142✗1.28453k2022-07-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23140.225263-2.65%0.2597+12.23%0.0932✗1.2531k2022-07-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2610840.254285-2.60%0.307861+17.92%0.1357✗1.412.4M2022-07-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.39262.3313-2.56%2.5538+6.74%0.0483✗1.093.0M2022-07-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0032620.003179-2.55%–pending––1.114,6932022-07-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038380.037425-2.49%–pending––1.102,9602022-07-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14480.14124-2.46%0.1588+9.67%0.0599✗1.46917k2022-07-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.863.767-2.41%4.39+13.73%0.1257✗0.691.7M2022-07-16
NANOnanopayBase0.7981180.779088-2.38%0.922382+15.57%0.1250✗1.11119k2022-07-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.08690.084843-2.37%0.1011+16.34%0.1161✗1.511.2M2022-07-16
DASHDashDash41.8640.8748-2.35%44.83+7.10%0.0479✗1.13837k2022-07-16
ZENHorizenBase13.4813.1665-2.33%16.91+25.45%0.1924✗1.4760k2022-07-16
BANDBandEthereum1.3481.317-2.30%1.421+5.42%0.0145✓1.56402k2022-07-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8330.813905-2.29%1.253+50.42%0.3921✗1.001.6M2022-07-16
KCSKuCoinnative11.08710.8432-2.20%9.29-16.21%0.1973✓1.085.1M2022-07-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.025550.024999-2.15%0.02772+8.49%0.0494✗1.3719k2022-07-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0850.083216-2.10%0.0821-3.41%0.0686✓1.404,0262022-07-16
PROPropyEthereum0.860.842082-2.08%0.81-5.81%0.0686✓0.76187k2022-07-16
XLMStellarStellar0.109050.106786-2.08%0.109556+0.46%0.0175✓1.0911.1M2022-07-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.2841.2576-2.06%1.837+43.07%0.3191✗1.52879k2022-07-16
FTTFTXEthereum23.2822.8131-2.01%28.01+20.32%0.1690✗0.929.9M2022-07-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.14940.146418-2.00%0.187+25.17%0.1965✗1.223,2642022-07-16
XMRMoneroMonero106.33104.208-2.00%139.03+30.75%0.2437✗1.131.7M2022-07-16
GTGateEthereum3.95083.8722-1.99%4.1277+4.48%0.0368✗0.692.0M2022-07-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.4414-1.95%1.58+7.48%0.0647✗0.69166k2022-07-16
KSMKusamaHydration49.248.2534-1.92%56.39+14.61%0.1067✗1.251.0M2022-07-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,372.0019,982.69-1.91%21,189.68+4.01%0.0193✓1.00620.3M2022-07-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.60.588973-1.84%0.4944-17.60%0.2211✓1.1771k2022-07-16
LSKLiskEthereum0.9544320.937565-1.77%1.076+12.74%0.0908✗1.1949k2022-07-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.292.2496-1.76%2.45+6.99%0.0193✗1.68311k2022-07-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0551660.054247-1.67%0.064309+16.57%0.1202✗1.271.3M2022-07-16
STEEMSteemnative0.18540.182399-1.62%0.2194+18.34%0.1359✗1.24656k2022-07-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.8110.6787-1.21%16.75+54.95%0.3840✗1.68333k2022-07-16
STXStacksnative0.32860.32484-1.14%0.395+20.21%0.1435✗1.32175k2022-07-16
QTUMQtumQtum2.64612.6196-1.00%2.8867+9.10%0.0502✗1.1942k2022-07-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.1051.0943-0.97%2.13+92.76%0.6072✗1.4979k2022-07-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.006230.006215-0.24%0.0058-6.90%0.1111✓1.072,5622022-07-16
TRXTRONTron0.0589940.058853-0.24%0.068911+16.81%0.1192✗0.98887k2022-07-16
UNIUniswapEthereum3.8293.833+0.10%7.375+92.61%0.6012✓1.353.3M2022-07-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.427820.428939+0.26%0.691+61.52%0.4218✓1.4063k2022-07-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3442.3519+0.34%2.554+8.96%0.0432✓1.0075k2022-07-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,300.7020,461.96+0.79%21,072.80+3.80%0.0096✗0.9929k2022-07-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.