8=======>

2022-06-13 · +1d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 173 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1511
173 of 173 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.97%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
78.6%
in alpha space · 66.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.52%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (173 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
COMPCompoundEthereum35.7335.9685+0.67%34.25-4.14%0.0267✗1.4630k2022-06-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.58e-73.60e-7+0.66%3.77e-7+5.47%0.0600✓0.881.1M2022-06-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,207.821,215.58+0.64%1,207.58-0.02%0.0104✓1.11344.3M2022-06-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008280.000833134+0.62%0.000824-0.48%0.0101✓1.381.8M2022-06-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.371680.37394+0.61%0.37199+0.08%0.0184✓1.5461k2022-06-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.7180.722363+0.61%0.731+1.81%0.0332✓1.405.1M2022-06-14
UNIUniswapEthereum3.6623.6841+0.60%3.857+5.32%0.0662✓1.332.7M2022-06-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.414.4864+0.60%14.59+1.32%0.0269✓1.292.6M2022-06-14
AAVEAaveEthereum59.7460.0985+0.60%62.11+3.97%0.0590✓1.707.6M2022-06-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash126.93127.6717+0.58%125.88-0.83%0.0040✓1.194.4M2022-06-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.018830.01894+0.58%0.0204+8.34%0.0914✓1.12151k2022-06-14
STXStacksnative0.3470.348998+0.58%0.3431-1.12%0.0035✓1.34165k2022-06-14
XVGVergenative0.003030.003047+0.57%0.00303+0.00%0.0165✓1.45628k2022-06-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.880.884958+0.56%0.82-6.82%0.0593✗1.1168k2022-06-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.450730.453232+0.56%0.46115+2.31%0.0476✓1.983.5M2022-06-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.9121.9225+0.55%1.854-3.03%0.0088✗1.803.0M2022-06-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2551.2619+0.55%1.3+3.59%0.0559✓1.71236k2022-06-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7780.782277+0.55%0.75-3.60%0.0248✗1.131.0M2022-06-14
IMXImmutableEthereum0.70.703803+0.54%0.71+1.43%0.0335✓1.622.7M2022-06-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.1950.196055+0.54%0.1982+1.64%0.0324✓1.41432k2022-06-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.13050.131205+0.54%0.13-0.38%0.0090✓1.192,3482022-06-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.4956.53+0.54%6.357-2.12%0.0067✗1.3215.2M2022-06-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.16070.161566+0.54%0.1768+10.02%0.1130✓1.50196k2022-06-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3320.333755+0.53%0.338+1.81%0.0308✓1.1915k2022-06-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.2968+0.53%1.33+3.10%0.0503✓1.64574k2022-06-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.534.5538+0.53%4.73+4.42%0.0600✓1.44411k2022-06-14
ZECZcashZcash65.4865.8238+0.53%64.06-2.17%0.0061✗1.383.6M2022-06-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0541720.054454+0.52%0.05555+2.54%0.0389✓1.241.3M2022-06-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3295.3566+0.52%5.468+2.61%0.0411✓1.342.5M2022-06-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05610.056389+0.52%0.0559-0.36%0.0106✓1.27153k2022-06-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.4425.4701+0.52%5.558+2.13%0.0378✓1.4310.6M2022-06-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.148.1819+0.51%8.31+2.09%0.0316✓1.05283k2022-06-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.368.4028+0.51%8.06-3.59%0.0239✗1.16502k2022-06-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05080.05106+0.51%0.058+14.17%0.1503✓1.491.6M2022-06-14
SCSiacoinnative0.003590.003608+0.51%0.00359+0.00%0.0186✓1.55213k2022-06-14
MOVRMoonriverBase14.648714.7235+0.51%15.1911+3.70%0.0520✓1.35222k2022-06-14
APEApeCoinEthereum3.4853.5028+0.51%3.615+3.73%0.0608✓1.9117.0M2022-06-14
KCSKuCoinnative11.70611.7654+0.51%11.914+1.78%0.0294✓1.105.3M2022-06-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.0916.1715+0.51%16.54+2.80%0.0451✓1.4849.3M2022-06-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026350.026483+0.51%0.02637+0.08%0.0168✓1.3817k2022-06-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3010.302518+0.50%0.296-1.66%0.0043✓1.71496k2022-06-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3353.3518+0.50%3.625+8.70%0.0900✓0.766.4M2022-06-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8081.8171+0.50%1.909+5.59%0.0734✓1.5797k2022-06-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008020.00000806+0.50%0.00000819+2.12%0.0353✓1.26850k2022-06-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10130.101806+0.50%0.1016+0.30%0.0201✓1.4549k2022-06-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin43.4543.6668+0.50%46.1+6.10%0.0724✓1.1917.5M2022-06-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.000060430.000060731+0.50%0.00006063+0.33%0.0357✓2.441.8M2022-06-14
RADRadworksEthereum1.521.5276+0.50%1.61+5.92%0.0714✓1.24270k2022-06-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.1070.107531+0.50%0.1105+3.27%0.0476✓1.334,0262022-06-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4930.495436+0.49%0.515+4.46%0.0602✓1.40886k2022-06-14
KSMKusamaHydration46.0846.3073+0.49%51.18+11.07%0.1187✓1.221.0M2022-06-14
XEMNEMnative0.0390060.039198+0.49%0.040001+2.55%0.0408✓1.3431k2022-06-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,951.674,975.92+0.49%4,887.88-1.29%0.0017✓1.283.6M2022-06-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06540.06572+0.49%0.0643-1.68%0.0098✗0.79299k2022-06-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.132590.133239+0.49%0.13793+4.03%0.0598✓1.65260k2022-06-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.12720.127814+0.48%0.127-0.16%0.0154✓1.42169k2022-06-14
XTZTezosTezos1.40081.4076+0.48%1.4566+3.98%0.0545✓1.33914k2022-06-14
SOLSolanaSolana28.5828.718+0.48%29.54+3.36%0.0494✓1.39104.0M2022-06-14
OPTIMOptimism0.5450.547617+0.48%0.565+3.67%0.0465✓1.006.8M2022-06-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.1451.1505+0.48%1.177+2.79%0.0455✓1.4973k2022-06-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0182580.018346+0.48%0.018367+0.60%0.0200✓1.239,7572022-06-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2520410.253245+0.48%0.250986-0.42%0.0134✓1.462.3M2022-06-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037240.037418+0.48%0.0391+4.99%0.0607✓1.102,9602022-06-14
STEEMSteemnative0.18350.184373+0.48%0.1927+5.01%0.0642✓1.31585k2022-06-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2560.257216+0.47%0.26+1.56%0.0277✓1.11847k2022-06-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.045620.045837+0.47%0.04722+3.51%0.0507✓1.3760k2022-06-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1890.189893+0.47%0.216+14.29%0.1547✓1.701.1M2022-06-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.258220.259433+0.47%0.24528-5.01%0.0357✗1.34453k2022-06-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.23961.2454+0.47%1.35+8.91%0.0998✓1.251.7M2022-06-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8580.862023+0.47%0.867+1.05%0.0337✓1.83319k2022-06-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.5910.593764+0.47%0.633+7.11%0.0917✓1.811.8M2022-06-14
NANOnanopayBase0.8458840.849837+0.47%0.830219-1.85%0.0050✗1.20120k2022-06-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09140.091826+0.47%0.0982+7.44%0.0852✓1.18733k2022-06-14
DASHDashDash42.5942.788+0.46%43.47+2.07%0.0332✓1.14837k2022-06-14
LSKLiskEthereum0.9390690.943422+0.46%0.963038+2.55%0.0395✓1.2448k2022-06-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0327.0644+0.46%7.349+4.51%0.0594✓1.3013.5M2022-06-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043290.043488+0.46%0.04428+2.29%0.0352✓1.1214k2022-06-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8530.856885+0.46%0.883+3.52%0.0453✓1.001.5M2022-06-14
UMAUMAEthereum1.9972.006+0.45%2.816+41.01%0.3595✓1.331.1M2022-06-14
SUSHISushiEthereum0.970.974329+0.45%1+3.09%0.0502✓1.591.1M2022-06-14
SGBSongbirdnative0.02440.024509+0.45%0.0273+11.89%0.1153✓0.48145k2022-06-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002850.002863+0.44%0.00288+1.05%0.0237✓1.152.1M2022-06-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.19920.200082+0.44%0.2016+1.20%0.0259✓1.2087k2022-06-14
QTUMQtumQtum2.77622.7885+0.44%2.776-0.01%0.0138✓1.1933k2022-06-14
DIADIAEthereum0.380090.381769+0.44%0.39753+4.59%0.0507✓0.67271k2022-06-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1067610.107229+0.44%0.112638+5.50%0.0658✓1.0810.3M2022-06-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.22050.221461+0.44%0.2234+1.32%0.0288✓1.3131k2022-06-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10660.107064+0.44%0.1042-2.25%0.0048✗1.465.4M2022-06-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37650.378137+0.43%0.3815+1.33%0.0322✓1.53160k2022-06-14
XMRMoneroMonero132.56133.1262+0.43%118.2-10.83%0.1016✗1.131.7M2022-06-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.048970.049177+0.42%0.05078+3.70%0.0569✓1.621.9M2022-06-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5990.601498+0.42%0.593-1.00%0.0022✓1.08365k2022-06-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.4913.5462+0.42%14.07+4.30%0.0601✓1.452.3M2022-06-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,471.7022,565.28+0.42%22,084.60-1.72%0.0064✗0.9929k2022-06-14
HIVEHivenative0.35840.359889+0.42%0.3572-0.33%0.0146✓1.451.1M2022-06-14
FLOWFlownative1.5861.5926+0.41%1.595+0.57%0.0168✓1.00608k2022-06-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.09260.09298+0.41%0.0951+2.70%0.0459✓1.531.2M2022-06-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30390.305144+0.41%0.3083+1.45%0.0290✓1.2214.4M2022-06-14
API3Api3Ethereum1.1491.1537+0.41%1.173+2.09%0.0386✓1.44826k2022-06-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.257190.258233+0.41%0.27244+5.93%0.0762✓1.4811k2022-06-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006320.006346+0.41%0.00658+4.11%0.0527✓1.08607k2022-06-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.009050.009086+0.40%0.00972+7.40%0.0836✓1.061.5M2022-06-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.284930.28606+0.40%0.29215+2.53%0.0403✓1.26105k2022-06-14
CBKCobakEthereum0.809710.812904+0.39%0.81622+0.80%0.0236✓1.285,7412022-06-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0422.0499+0.39%2.061+0.93%0.0280✓1.48126k2022-06-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02910.02921+0.38%0.0291+0.00%0.0170✓1.36247k2022-06-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.60.602245+0.37%0.62+3.33%0.0458✓1.1060k2022-06-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6620.664463+0.37%0.655-1.06%0.0071✓1.40578k2022-06-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019670.019743+0.37%0.01919-2.44%0.0179✗0.69646k2022-06-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16110.161691+0.37%0.1597-0.87%0.0097✓1.45805k2022-06-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3920.393423+0.36%0.402+2.55%0.0462✓1.614,2732022-06-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.08212.0896+0.36%2.283+9.65%0.1170✓1.8715k2022-06-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003310.003322+0.36%0.0032-3.32%0.0192✗1.194,6932022-06-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0129610.013008+0.36%0.014658+13.09%0.1273✓0.52375k2022-06-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.72111.7273+0.36%1.8133+5.36%0.0633✓0.963.2M2022-06-14
BTTCBTTC8.10e-78.13e-7+0.35%8.10e-7+0.00%0.0101✓0.895.5M2022-06-14
QNTQuantEthereum49.6649.8324+0.35%47.79-3.77%0.0268✗0.982.0M2022-06-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum5.9175.9375+0.35%6.713+13.45%0.1429✓1.3237.2M2022-06-14
ZENHorizenBase14.1214.1681+0.34%14.65+3.75%0.0556✓1.4565k2022-06-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3132.3208+0.34%2.6493+14.54%0.1498✓1.143.0M2022-06-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09910.099428+0.33%0.0988-0.30%0.0106✓1.117,2892022-06-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4470.44846+0.33%0.454+1.57%0.0347✓1.47116k2022-06-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03580.035916+0.32%0.0375+4.75%0.0650✓1.43383k2022-06-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.05190.052068+0.32%0.0577+11.18%0.1243✓1.41405k2022-06-14
DODODODOEthereum0.1360.136436+0.32%0.1351-0.66%0.0124✓1.453.8M2022-06-14
TRXTRONTron0.0637010.063903+0.32%0.055589-12.73%0.1248✗0.95715k2022-06-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,460.9722,531.38+0.31%22,120.25-1.52%0.0031✗1.00582.4M2022-06-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.05990.060085+0.31%0.0609+1.67%0.0378✓1.59141k2022-06-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.88461.8904+0.31%1.9235+2.06%0.0380✓1.3558k2022-06-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.012810.012848+0.30%0.012422-3.03%0.0197✗0.922.0M2022-06-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.09450.09478+0.30%0.0943-0.21%0.0137✓1.23795k2022-06-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.192.1963+0.29%2.28+4.11%0.0644✓1.76294k2022-06-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.752.7579+0.29%2.79+1.45%0.0286✓1.11686k2022-06-14
BANDBandEthereum1.3181.3216+0.28%1.453+10.24%0.1187✓1.56342k2022-06-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV46.67746.8046+0.27%53.965+15.61%0.1560✓0.891.2M2022-06-14
XVSVenusEthereum3.883.8906+0.27%4.19+7.99%0.1000✓1.691.5M2022-06-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13350.133855+0.27%0.1366+2.32%0.0352✓0.97258k2022-06-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.038.0513+0.27%8.22+2.37%0.0463✓1.682.7M2022-06-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.25740.258072+0.26%0.2666+3.57%0.0519✓1.276.2M2022-06-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.06892.074+0.24%2.1251+2.72%0.0391✓0.973.1M2022-06-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.04261.0451+0.24%1.0032-3.78%0.0288✗0.809702022-06-14
ADACardanoCardano0.46360.464692+0.24%0.4828+4.14%0.0598✓1.4152.0M2022-06-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.0923.0992+0.23%2.992-3.23%0.0218✗0.881.8M2022-06-14
MANADecentralandEthereum0.828490.830376+0.23%0.82109-0.89%0.0100✓1.39789k2022-06-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.018290.01833+0.22%0.02014+10.11%0.1233✓1.9137.4M2022-06-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08330.08348+0.22%0.0896+7.56%0.0931✓1.46402k2022-06-14
XECeCashnative0.000038270.000038351+0.21%0.00003807-0.52%0.0132✓1.343.0M2022-06-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.523.5266+0.19%3.49-0.85%0.0014✓0.771.7M2022-06-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0480.048087+0.18%0.0475-1.04%0.0112✓1.5323k2022-06-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.007330.007343+0.18%0.00686-6.41%0.0558✗0.80153k2022-06-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.544.5477+0.17%4.42-2.64%0.0173✗0.731.6M2022-06-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.680.680856+0.13%0.69+1.47%0.0355✓1.45198k2022-06-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.24.2051+0.12%4.03-4.05%0.0315✗0.721.7M2022-06-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.796.7968+0.10%6.53-3.83%0.0325✗0.492.0M2022-06-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.06470.064745+0.07%0.05585-13.68%0.1325✗1.001,7292022-06-14
GTGateEthereum4.24454.2474+0.07%4.4459+4.74%0.0559✓0.672.1M2022-06-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.174.1713+0.03%3.96-5.04%0.0439✗0.531.9M2022-06-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4142.414+0.00%2.441+1.12%0.0264✓1.0063k2022-06-14
XYMSymbolnative0.04860.048593-0.01%0.050449+3.80%0.0486✗0.7357k2022-06-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009710.009708-0.02%0.00934-3.81%0.0215✓1.1213.3M2022-06-14
FTTFTXEthereum24.5124.4832-0.11%23.96-2.24%0.0076✓0.919.1M2022-06-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.7111.694-0.14%11.75+0.34%0.0308✗1.70284k2022-06-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56490.563953-0.17%0.6004+6.28%0.0808✗1.192.8M2022-06-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.007630.007616-0.19%0.00656-14.02%0.1332✓1.052,4432022-06-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2253.2132-0.37%3.264+1.21%0.0271✗0.753.9M2022-06-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2863.2732-0.39%3.195-2.77%0.0157✓0.564.5M2022-06-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30885.2873-0.41%5.4+1.72%0.0255✗0.29235k2022-06-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7760.772448-0.46%0.822+5.93%0.0776✗1.011.7M2022-06-14
PROPropyEthereum0.90.89501-0.55%0.93+3.33%0.0501✗0.77186k2022-06-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9410.933697-0.78%0.926-1.59%0.0228✗2.0312.5M2022-06-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4581.4459-0.83%1.429-1.99%0.0111✗1.495.1M2022-06-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.611.5925-1.09%1.63+1.24%0.0335✗0.67166k2022-06-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1490.147046-1.31%0.1259-15.50%0.1405✓0.973.2M2022-06-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.