8=======>

2022-06-05 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 171 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0643
171 of 171 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.38%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
15.2%
in alpha space · 83.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-32.60%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (171 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
WOOWOOEthereum0.16010.164402+2.69%0.1853+15.74%0.7124✓1.502,3482022-07-05
STXStacksnative0.53290.537834+0.93%0.4007-24.81%0.1643✓1.16165k2022-07-05
UNIUniswapEthereum5.0925.1353+0.85%5.295+3.99%0.5988✓1.442.6M2022-07-05
KCSKuCoinnative16.33116.4605+0.79%8.821-45.99%0.2113✗1.056.9M2022-07-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.721.7318+0.68%1.43-16.86%0.5642✓1.92580k2022-07-05
COMPCompoundEthereum58.4558.8051+0.61%46.7-20.10%0.3743✓1.5331k2022-07-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8132.8263+0.47%2.221-21.05%0.4264✓1.69271k2022-07-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2940.295265+0.43%0.2231-24.12%0.2639✓1.38330k2022-07-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.310.3319+0.31%11.11+7.86%0.8586✓1.99197k2022-07-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.202060.202442+0.19%0.12055-40.34%0.2133✓1.85298k2022-07-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010780.000010787+0.07%0.00001032-4.27%0.5196✓1.43957k2022-07-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5040.503865-0.03%0.3805-24.50%0.4362✗1.82683k2022-07-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,431.127,421.02-0.14%6,140.60-17.37%0.3250✗1.303.9M2022-07-05
MANADecentralandEthereum0.976430.973699-0.28%0.87377-10.51%0.5915✗1.77855k2022-07-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12740.127026-0.29%0.1037-18.60%0.2843✗1.2313k2022-07-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,859.6029,729.59-0.44%20,328.40-31.92%0.0044✗0.9775k2022-07-05
XVGVergenative0.004930.004908-0.44%0.00303-38.54%0.1617✗1.63753k2022-07-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.383.3636-0.48%2.6-23.08%0.1726✗1.09663k2022-07-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1433260.142626-0.49%0.107769-24.81%0.1955✗1.2111.2M2022-07-05
UMAUMAEthereum3.0773.0605-0.53%2.633-14.43%0.4072✗1.411.4M2022-07-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.3399.2846-0.58%6.845-26.71%0.2893✗1.5113.7M2022-07-05
KSMKusamaHydration67.6967.2399-0.66%50.3-25.69%0.2399✗1.341.4M2022-07-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.10915.0732-0.70%5.7325+12.20%0.2580✗0.34270k2022-07-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0880.087341-0.75%0.0507-42.39%0.2486✓0.75299k2022-07-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.425.3773-0.79%4.44-18.08%0.1229✗0.801.9M2022-07-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash179.67178.2398-0.80%103.95-42.14%0.0412✓1.264.6M2022-07-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12940.128316-0.84%0.1039-19.71%0.3020✗1.30951k2022-07-05
MOVRMoonriverBase20.915320.733-0.87%12.0365-42.45%0.0796✗1.58239k2022-07-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.38491.3721-0.92%1.0387-25.00%0.1970✗1.2054k2022-07-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.261.2483-0.93%0.4872-61.33%0.4903✓1.1477k2022-07-05
NANOnanopayBase1.16471.1533-0.98%0.836041-28.22%0.2019✗1.33170k2022-07-05
AAVEAaveEthereum103.57102.5277-1.01%60.57-41.52%0.1784✗1.798.9M2022-07-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.347.2653-1.02%5.504-25.01%0.3908✗1.6910.1M2022-07-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.06460.06393-1.04%0.0598-7.43%0.4031✗1.19386k2022-07-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.14830.146758-1.04%0.0744-49.83%0.0426✗1.832,8332022-07-05
XTZTezosTezos1.95031.9297-1.06%1.4657-24.85%0.2497✗1.33928k2022-07-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.533.4917-1.09%2.828-19.89%0.1530✗0.921.6M2022-07-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.028410.028101-1.09%0.01956-31.15%0.0348✗1.01184k2022-07-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.014820.014654-1.12%0.015798+6.60%0.3486✗0.69212k2022-07-05
XVSVenusEthereum4.534.4792-1.12%4.93+8.83%0.8417✗1.891.6M2022-07-05
QNTQuantEthereum64.7664.0327-1.12%59.71-7.80%0.3943✗1.182.3M2022-07-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.051.0381-1.13%1.51+43.81%0.7371✗0.92152k2022-07-05
DASHDashDash58.5357.8562-1.15%43.13-26.31%0.2009✗1.25948k2022-07-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.577980.571306-1.15%0.63801+10.39%0.7366✗1.5965k2022-07-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.011460.011323-1.19%0.00911-20.51%0.2236✗1.121.7M2022-07-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.3820.377383-1.21%0.44014+15.22%0.6963✗1.37141k2022-07-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009020.008909-1.23%0.006866-23.88%0.0699✗0.84184k2022-07-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.3312.1777-1.24%8.35-32.28%0.1242✗1.27546k2022-07-05
SCSiacoinnative0.005590.00552-1.24%0.00379-32.20%0.2927✗1.70259k2022-07-05
XEMNEMnative0.0510070.050359-1.27%0.040319-20.95%0.3835✗1.5445k2022-07-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,901.5429,499.11-1.35%20,153.51-32.60%0.0135✓1.00638.2M2022-07-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2091.1925-1.37%0.9543-21.07%0.3250✗1.396.2M2022-07-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0152520.015043-1.37%0.011942-21.70%0.2398✗1.192.6M2022-07-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,804.701,779.64-1.39%1,131.26-37.32%0.0237✓1.09344.3M2022-07-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.11880.117126-1.41%0.093-21.72%0.4474✗1.721.2M2022-07-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.39140.385712-1.45%0.3075-21.44%0.3176✗1.3815.6M2022-07-05
SGBSongbirdnative0.03750.036937-1.50%0.0292-22.13%0.1095✓0.32133k2022-07-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.732.6888-1.51%2.48-9.16%0.7408✗2.08271k2022-07-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1560.153634-1.52%0.0965-38.14%0.2035✗1.696.4M2022-07-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03410.033551-1.61%0.0364+6.74%0.7103✗1.59224k2022-07-05
BANDBandEthereum1.6291.6025-1.62%1.325-18.66%0.4809✗1.70342k2022-07-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.019830.0195-1.67%0.02445+23.30%1.1659✗2.3837.4M2022-07-05
ZECZcashZcash90.3688.8418-1.68%57.05-36.86%0.0773✗1.324.3M2022-07-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.49e-76.37e-7-1.76%3.46e-7-46.72%0.2085✓1.02961k2022-07-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.647.4979-1.86%6.305-17.47%0.4144✗1.4927.1M2022-07-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004190.004111-1.89%0.002587-38.26%0.0121✓1.202.2M2022-07-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008950.00878-1.90%0.00659-26.37%0.1486✗1.10917k2022-07-05
HIVEHivenative0.5510.540245-1.95%0.4418-19.82%0.3507✗1.401.6M2022-07-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.476.3383-2.04%5.31-17.93%0.4151✗1.50414k2022-07-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.50590.495502-2.06%0.4041-20.12%0.4468✗1.65159k2022-07-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8370.819652-2.07%0.65-22.34%0.4507✗1.73622k2022-07-05
XMRMoneroMonero187.77183.8613-2.08%122.3-34.87%0.0215✗1.092.4M2022-07-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3870.378867-2.10%0.279-27.91%0.1835✗1.241.0M2022-07-05
BTTCBTTC0.000001090.000001067-2.11%8.70e-7-20.18%0.1461✗0.897.0M2022-07-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.12620.123494-2.14%0.0986-21.87%0.3310✗1.41996k2022-07-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.161.7223-2.18%49.65-21.32%0.2931✗1.2918.2M2022-07-05
TRXTRONTron0.0813680.079563-2.22%0.068129-16.27%0.1848✗0.861.2M2022-07-05
FTTFTXEthereum26.1325.5449-2.24%25.16-3.71%0.3766✗0.999.5M2022-07-05
SOLSolanaSolana38.4937.6189-2.26%35.37-8.11%0.5500✗1.55112.7M2022-07-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7421.7018-2.31%1.85+6.20%0.7372✗1.6679k2022-07-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08690.084883-2.32%0.0817-5.98%0.5660✗1.53172k2022-07-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.1668.9524-2.33%8.91-2.79%0.5892✗1.5116.5M2022-07-05
DIADIAEthereum0.443670.432995-2.41%0.38098-14.13%0.1255✗0.64190k2022-07-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06660.064997-2.41%0.05704-14.35%0.3543✗1.2323k2022-07-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34870.340275-2.42%0.2713-22.20%0.3239✗1.406.7M2022-07-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4770.465308-2.45%0.394-17.40%0.3260✗1.2519k2022-07-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.821.2406-2.57%14.91-31.61%0.1671✗1.323.1M2022-07-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3711.3355-2.59%0.674-50.84%0.1135✗2.02399k2022-07-05
GTGateEthereum5.4015.2571-2.66%4.0529-24.96%0.0317✓0.583.9M2022-07-05
ADACardanoCardano0.56690.550697-2.86%0.4567-19.44%0.4363✗1.5844.7M2022-07-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.07460.072452-2.88%0.0532-28.69%0.4430✗1.91142k2022-07-05
QTUMQtumQtum3.86883.7573-2.88%2.8613-26.04%0.2209✗1.2553k2022-07-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.7211.3811-2.89%17.9+52.73%0.8567✗1.02396k2022-07-05
XECeCashnative0.000048170.000046775-2.90%0.00004156-13.72%0.4498✗1.443.4M2022-07-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.18783.0951-2.91%2.415-24.24%0.3841✗1.605.2M2022-07-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.02550.024751-2.94%0.02034-20.24%0.0538✗0.63516k2022-07-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8580.832128-3.02%0.621-27.62%0.1659✗1.16487k2022-07-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.730.707841-3.04%0.4874-33.23%0.3004✗1.711.1M2022-07-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.7222.6371-3.12%2.326-14.55%0.3211✗1.1363k2022-07-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.14030.135754-3.24%0.0973-30.65%0.0565✗0.99285k2022-07-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.18220.17627-3.25%0.1431-21.46%0.3801✗1.49199k2022-07-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.60640.586596-3.27%0.7492+23.55%0.8214✗1.463.6M2022-07-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.0819.4167-3.30%14.47-27.94%0.3519✗1.643.0M2022-07-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.3587.1141-3.31%5.479-25.54%0.3425✗1.532.9M2022-07-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.850.821698-3.33%0.02292-97.30%3.1330✓1.1381k2022-07-05
ZENHorizenBase19.7219.0536-3.38%14.6-25.96%0.3844✗1.6579k2022-07-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.1523.3259-3.41%18.03-25.34%0.3864✗1.6352.5M2022-07-05
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7960.768509-3.45%0.781-1.88%0.4954✗1.212.3M2022-07-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.32970.318162-3.50%0.1943-41.07%0.0386✗1.35311k2022-07-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004870.004698-3.54%0.00161-66.94%0.5673✓1.287,3792022-07-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.0000790.00007616-3.59%0.00011635+47.28%1.7119✗3.262.7M2022-07-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.367170.353842-3.63%0.25813-29.70%0.2537✗1.44546k2022-07-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.16550.159208-3.80%0.1261-23.81%0.3829✗1.5676k2022-07-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.630.605164-3.94%0.536-14.92%0.5176✗1.62163k2022-07-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.11290.108432-3.96%0.0904-19.93%0.5522✗1.86451k2022-07-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.21920.210259-4.08%0.1479-32.53%0.2577✗1.54572k2022-07-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0680.065215-4.10%0.0466-31.47%0.3701✗1.791.8M2022-07-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038550.036965-4.11%0.0276-28.40%0.2812✗1.4520k2022-07-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.541.4739-4.29%1.08-29.87%0.3686✗1.721.5M2022-07-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.0510.5251-4.75%9.3-15.84%0.6264✗1.904.3M2022-07-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14080.134084-4.77%0.1149-18.39%0.5135✗1.693.6M2022-07-05
GITCOINGITCOIN2.7312.5985-4.85%2.5475-6.72%0.8199✗2.1313k2022-07-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0810390.077021-4.96%0.06703-17.29%0.3468✗1.231.6M2022-07-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.48972.3628-5.10%1.8084-27.36%0.2736✗1.3759k2022-07-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.30010.284458-5.21%0.2401-19.99%0.3625✗1.35107k2022-07-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012620.001196-5.25%0.000955-24.33%0.4230✗1.641.8M2022-07-05
API3Api3Ethereum1.5081.4283-5.28%2.125+40.92%1.0522✗1.66900k2022-07-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV56.44353.3305-5.51%54.116-4.12%0.4287✗1.051.1M2022-07-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.111.9934-5.53%1.59-24.64%0.2701✗1.26233k2022-07-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5960.562425-5.63%0.675+13.26%0.8719✗1.755,9962022-07-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.9360.883023-5.66%0.903-3.53%0.9375✗2.322.6M2022-07-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.066660.062683-5.97%0.04963-25.55%0.6445✗2.232.5M2022-07-05
FLOWFlownative2.4372.2856-6.21%1.602-34.26%0.0392✓1.00721k2022-07-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.436.956-6.38%6.12-17.63%0.0726✗0.511.4M2022-07-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5374.2458-6.42%3.68-18.89%0.1156✗0.665.1M2022-07-05
CBKCobakEthereum1.31041.2246-6.55%0.91331-30.31%0.1731✗1.186,7502022-07-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0096850.00905-6.56%0.006187-36.12%0.0593✓1.112,4432022-07-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8252.6325-6.81%2.104-25.52%0.5059✗1.85124k2022-07-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06070.056509-6.90%0.0425-29.98%0.3917✗1.7244k2022-07-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.35232.1896-6.92%1.7642-25.00%0.1837✗1.013.7M2022-07-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.514.191-7.07%4.06-9.98%0.2915✗0.82830k2022-07-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2991.2069-7.09%1.184-8.85%0.3754✗1.001.0M2022-07-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4074480.377892-7.25%0.301121-26.10%0.3550✗1.482.5M2022-07-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.052120.048274-7.38%0.04112-21.11%0.2584✗1.064,6802022-07-05
DODODODOEthereum0.16520.152958-7.41%0.1219-26.21%0.4243✗1.652.6M2022-07-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0288590.02671-7.45%0.020598-28.63%0.1985✗1.1612k2022-07-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6092.4126-7.53%2.649+1.53%0.9088✗2.073.3M2022-07-05
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9770.902212-7.65%0.9895+1.28%0.8126✗1.833.0M2022-07-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9461.797-7.66%1.291-33.66%0.4190✗1.90303k2022-07-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012110.01118-7.68%0.00988-18.41%0.5175✗1.6317.8M2022-07-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.34230.314477-8.13%0.2658-22.35%0.4545✗1.5835k2022-07-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.064240.058949-8.24%0.04396-31.57%0.1553✗1.1415k2022-07-05
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2071.1072-8.27%0.602-50.12%0.1756✓1.101.2M2022-07-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.7542.518-8.57%3.307+20.08%0.5279✗0.652.3M2022-07-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.53792.3196-8.60%2.0787-18.09%0.3013✗1.043.1M2022-07-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.123.7645-8.63%3.7-10.19%0.2805✗0.751.3M2022-07-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.870.794081-8.73%1.0407+19.62%0.9451✗1.71237k2022-07-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4241.2984-8.82%1.252-12.08%0.5717✗1.545.0M2022-07-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.411620.37495-8.91%0.29801-27.60%0.4050✗1.6118k2022-07-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9232.6611-8.96%2.936+0.44%0.4545✗0.901.7M2022-07-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.073.6879-9.39%3.11-23.59%0.1876✗0.911.2M2022-07-05
STEEMSteemnative0.30160.272989-9.49%0.2136-29.18%0.3913✗1.61585k2022-07-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.95831.7689-9.67%1.3742-29.83%0.2900✗1.382.8M2022-07-05
XYMSymbolnative0.056810.051293-9.71%0.051-10.23%0.3160✗0.8292k2022-07-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2730.246186-9.82%0.286+4.76%0.9015✗1.911.2M2022-07-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.48741.3304-10.55%0.78762-47.05%0.2275✓0.754,7612022-07-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05340.047683-10.71%0.0461-13.67%0.5334✗1.44556k2022-07-05
APEApeCoinEthereum6.0925.4389-10.72%4.911-19.39%0.7891✗2.2627.5M2022-07-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.824310.731909-11.21%0.43936-46.70%0.3405✗2.161.9M2022-07-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8040.707102-12.05%0.839+4.35%0.9873✗2.072.8M2022-07-05
PROPropyEthereum1.231.0736-12.72%0.83-32.52%0.0877✓0.87187k2022-07-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.