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2022-06-04 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 170 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0732
170 of 170 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.44%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
10.0%
in alpha space · 85.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-32.27%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (170 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8550.743564-13.03%0.862+0.82%0.9554✗2.072.5M2022-07-04
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2171.075-11.67%0.612-49.71%0.1349✓1.101.2M2022-07-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.99781.7787-10.97%1.2945-35.20%0.2150✗1.373.1M2022-07-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3711.2294-10.33%1.29-5.91%0.6481✗1.545.0M2022-07-04
STEEMSteemnative0.25960.23429-9.75%0.219-15.64%0.5538✗1.59585k2022-07-04
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1955.5952-9.68%4.915-20.66%0.7514✗2.2629.0M2022-07-04
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8282.559-9.51%2.168-23.34%0.2239✗1.00124k2022-07-04
LUNATerraTerra 20.000092240.000083686-9.27%0.00012814+38.92%1.6938✗3.252.8M2022-07-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.846760.770758-8.98%0.44407-47.56%0.2885✗2.161.2M2022-07-04
FLOWFlownative2.4762.2639-8.57%1.605-35.18%0.0458✓1.00724k2022-07-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012160.011122-8.53%0.01027-15.54%0.5545✗1.6319.7M2022-07-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05340.048923-8.38%0.047-11.99%0.5207✗1.44593k2022-07-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.029490.027026-8.36%0.02106-28.59%0.0004✓0.64452k2022-07-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.290.265806-8.34%0.313+7.93%0.9070✗1.911.3M2022-07-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0451.8794-8.10%1.309-35.99%0.3798✗1.90338k2022-07-04
PROPropyEthereum0.930.856495-7.90%0.88-5.38%0.3639✗0.86187k2022-07-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.283.0214-7.88%2.993-8.75%0.3446✗0.911.3M2022-07-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.009770.009017-7.70%0.005996-38.63%0.0270✓1.122,4432022-07-04
GMTGMTEthereum0.9990.922253-7.68%0.887-11.21%0.8681✗2.332.8M2022-07-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.860.794823-7.58%1.0068+17.07%0.9022✗1.71240k2022-07-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8812.6725-7.24%3.312+14.96%0.4674✗0.652.1M2022-07-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14070.130784-7.05%0.1186-15.71%0.5619✗1.693.6M2022-07-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06230.057938-7.00%0.0442-29.05%0.3976✗1.7152k2022-07-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6454.3296-6.79%3.75-19.27%0.1124✗0.665.1M2022-07-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.9810.2568-6.59%9.78-10.93%0.6936✗1.904.6M2022-07-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.44852.2885-6.53%1.8788-23.27%0.3373✗1.3768k2022-07-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012740.001192-6.47%0.000991-22.21%0.4537✗1.641.8M2022-07-04
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2951.2118-6.42%1.202-7.18%0.3816✗1.001.3M2022-07-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12980.122227-5.83%0.0983-24.27%0.1653✗0.98295k2022-07-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.99e-76.59e-7-5.77%3.55e-7-49.27%0.2167✓1.03961k2022-07-04
MOVRMoonriverBase20.639619.4534-5.75%12.3539-40.14%0.1623✗1.58239k2022-07-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6110.57594-5.74%0.656+7.36%0.8119✗1.757,0732022-07-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34940.329511-5.69%0.2793-20.06%0.3777✗1.397.0M2022-07-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.360170.339672-5.69%0.25772-28.44%0.2849✗1.44606k2022-07-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6230.588625-5.52%0.52-16.53%0.5071✗1.62170k2022-07-04
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.068250.064502-5.49%0.05111-25.11%0.6352✗2.232.6M2022-07-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.380660.359847-5.47%0.4074+7.02%0.6596✗1.37141k2022-07-04
SUSHISushiEthereum1.581.4938-5.45%1.09-31.01%0.3563✗1.721.6M2022-07-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.414870.392243-5.45%0.30445-26.62%0.3738✗1.6118k2022-07-04
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8460.800303-5.40%0.651-23.05%0.4686✗1.73622k2022-07-04
XYMSymbolnative0.0569080.053835-5.40%0.05332-6.30%0.3082✗0.82104k2022-07-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.8611.2212-5.39%19.54+64.76%0.9538✗1.02434k2022-07-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9812.8222-5.33%2.339-21.54%0.4729✗1.70271k2022-07-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.5723.2625-5.32%17.89-27.19%0.3732✗1.6352.5M2022-07-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.4527.0574-5.30%5.545-25.59%0.3557✗1.533.1M2022-07-04
API3Api3Ethereum1.4941.4154-5.26%2.074+38.82%1.0293✗1.66932k2022-07-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7511.6594-5.23%1.893+8.11%0.7769✗1.6682k2022-07-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3131.2454-5.15%0.699-46.76%0.2102✗2.02423k2022-07-04
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4770.452703-5.09%0.396-16.98%0.3528✗1.2519k2022-07-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.51281.4357-5.09%0.82384-45.54%0.2602✓0.764,7612022-07-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6832.5473-5.06%2.839+5.81%0.9132✗2.073.4M2022-07-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.065590.062351-4.94%0.04492-31.51%0.1152✗1.1415k2022-07-04
UMAUMAEthereum3.0912.9384-4.94%2.741-11.32%0.4830✗1.421.5M2022-07-04
ZECZcashZcash90.4386.024-4.87%58.07-35.78%0.1200✗1.324.3M2022-07-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.38830.369389-4.87%0.3193-17.77%0.3919✗1.3816.6M2022-07-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07040.066975-4.87%0.0476-32.39%0.3564✗1.791.9M2022-07-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037910.036069-4.86%0.02829-25.38%0.3221✗1.4521k2022-07-04
ADACardanoCardano0.56620.538932-4.82%0.469-17.17%0.4775✗1.5846.8M2022-07-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.2468.8053-4.77%8.744-5.43%0.5788✗1.5017.0M2022-07-04
SOLSolanaSolana38.9937.1475-4.73%36.69-5.90%0.5925✗1.55114.5M2022-07-04
XTZTezosTezos1.90761.8183-4.68%1.5347-19.55%0.3484✗1.33928k2022-07-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008470.008075-4.66%0.0067-20.90%0.1382✗0.83180k2022-07-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.6860.7212-4.65%52.2-18.03%0.3539✗1.3018.9M2022-07-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.06630.063232-4.63%0.0606-8.60%0.4228✗1.19398k2022-07-04
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.15310.146067-4.59%0.0775-49.38%0.2441✓1.003,0542022-07-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09320.088961-4.55%0.0868-6.87%0.6968✗1.85445k2022-07-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.60780.580276-4.53%0.7819+28.64%0.8680✗1.463.6M2022-07-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.07450.071132-4.52%0.0556-25.37%0.4954✗1.90146k2022-07-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0152220.014543-4.46%0.012271-19.39%0.2951✗1.192.8M2022-07-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.1280.122343-4.42%0.102-20.31%0.3692✗1.41996k2022-07-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.30590.292495-4.38%0.2411-21.18%0.3328✗1.35116k2022-07-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3947260.37746-4.37%0.300211-23.94%0.3455✗1.472.5M2022-07-04
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9630.920883-4.37%0.955-0.83%0.7373✗1.803.4M2022-07-04
ETHEthereumEthereum1,803.351,724.72-4.36%1,149.98-36.23%0.0192✓1.09363.3M2022-07-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.5919.7086-4.28%14.87-27.78%0.3578✗1.643.0M2022-07-04
XECeCashnative0.000048340.000046274-4.27%0.00003971-17.85%0.4082✗1.443.5M2022-07-04
TRXTRONTron0.0803770.076945-4.27%0.067229-16.36%0.2008✗0.861.4M2022-07-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.527.1989-4.27%6.13-18.48%0.0371✓0.511.4M2022-07-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash188.78180.7536-4.25%107.98-42.80%0.0219✓1.274.5M2022-07-04
CTKShentuOsmosis0.790.756428-4.25%0.807+2.15%0.5377✗1.212.4M2022-07-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.17760.170057-4.25%0.1481-16.61%0.4428✗1.49220k2022-07-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.053110.050888-4.18%0.04197-20.98%0.2211✗1.064,6802022-07-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1781.1297-4.10%0.8653-26.54%0.2747✗1.396.3M2022-07-04
XVGVergenative0.004690.004498-4.10%0.00317-32.41%0.2861✗1.63753k2022-07-04
BANDBandEthereum1.6411.5739-4.09%1.356-17.37%0.5151✗1.70353k2022-07-04
ZENHorizenBase19.919.0894-4.07%15.02-24.52%0.4021✗1.6581k2022-07-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.16460.157913-4.06%0.0979-40.52%0.1825✗1.706.4M2022-07-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0816670.07835-4.06%0.069304-15.14%0.3579✗1.231.7M2022-07-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00920.008828-4.05%0.00685-25.54%0.1767✗1.10917k2022-07-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.028270.027144-3.98%0.021046-25.55%0.1975✗1.1611k2022-07-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.011490.01104-3.92%0.00937-18.45%0.2725✗1.121.7M2022-07-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12760.122707-3.84%0.1064-16.61%0.3396✗1.2413k2022-07-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5010.481973-3.80%0.3928-21.60%0.5031✗1.82683k2022-07-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8680.835108-3.79%0.636-26.73%0.1810✗1.16566k2022-07-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.9621.1442-3.71%15.39-29.92%0.1973✗1.323.1M2022-07-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32110.309199-3.71%0.2667-16.94%0.4668✗1.5835k2022-07-04
MANADecentralandEthereum0.980250.94435-3.66%0.90515-7.66%0.6488✗1.77855k2022-07-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.4111.9602-3.62%8.5-31.51%0.1530✗1.27551k2022-07-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13110.126357-3.62%0.1052-19.76%0.3248✗1.30951k2022-07-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08630.083203-3.59%0.0503-41.71%0.2119✓0.75274k2022-07-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.31920.307757-3.58%0.1968-38.35%0.0780✗1.35345k2022-07-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.51620.497778-3.57%0.4015-22.22%0.4280✗1.65159k2022-07-04
BTTCBTTC0.000001070.000001032-3.53%8.70e-7-18.69%0.1744✗0.897.2M2022-07-04
QTUMQtumQtum3.8573.7231-3.47%2.9094-24.57%0.2406✗1.2557k2022-07-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.99814.8253-3.46%5.7295+14.63%0.3054✗0.34279k2022-07-04
QNTQuantEthereum65.5363.2684-3.45%60.53-7.63%0.4140✗1.182.4M2022-07-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.12240.118182-3.45%0.0947-22.63%0.4479✗1.721.2M2022-07-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.194.0474-3.40%3.65-12.89%0.1909✗0.761.2M2022-07-04
DASHDashDash58.6656.6774-3.38%44.19-24.67%0.2392✗1.25976k2022-07-04
CBKCobakEthereum1.27251.2295-3.37%0.93041-26.88%0.1813✗1.186,7502022-07-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004680.004523-3.35%0.001687-63.95%0.4900✓1.278,3852022-07-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.27852.2023-3.34%1.7975-21.11%0.1919✗1.013.7M2022-07-04
COMPCompoundEthereum56.3554.4709-3.33%49.19-12.71%0.4952✗1.5331k2022-07-04
NANOnanopayBase1.1661.1274-3.31%0.840623-27.90%0.2246✗1.33170k2022-07-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.53642.4537-3.26%2.1545-15.06%0.2765✗1.043.1M2022-07-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV56.93955.0835-3.26%55.633-2.29%0.4193✗1.051.2M2022-07-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.23093.1264-3.24%2.4791-23.27%0.3943✗1.615.6M2022-07-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004460.004316-3.23%0.00265-40.58%0.0192✓1.202.2M2022-07-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.231.1904-3.22%0.4989-59.44%0.4246✓1.1484k2022-07-04
FTTFTXEthereum25.9925.1657-3.17%25.91-0.31%0.4157✗0.999.6M2022-07-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.485.3072-3.15%4.52-17.52%0.1499✗0.802.3M2022-07-04
SCSiacoinnative0.005470.005302-3.08%0.0039-28.70%0.3520✗1.69261k2022-07-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.6793.566-3.07%2.858-22.32%0.1391✗0.921.8M2022-07-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.321.2795-3.06%1.05-20.45%0.2737✗1.2150k2022-07-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.7377.5062-2.98%5.585-27.81%0.3652✗1.709.4M2022-07-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,843.1828,955.85-2.97%20,211.35-32.27%0.0302✗1.00674.4M2022-07-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010860.000010538-2.97%0.00001048-3.50%0.5520✗1.43957k2022-07-04
DODODODOEthereum0.16760.162661-2.95%0.1287-23.21%0.4097✗1.652.6M2022-07-04
GTGateEthereum5.40215.2444-2.92%4.0796-24.48%0.0256✓0.583.9M2022-07-04
XVSVenusEthereum4.694.5544-2.89%5+6.61%0.8303✗1.891.7M2022-07-04
ORCAOrcaSolana0.820.797327-2.76%0.8742+6.61%0.5313✗1.1383k2022-07-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.449.1808-2.75%7.16-24.15%0.3389✗1.5113.8M2022-07-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.6210.3351-2.68%12.02+13.18%0.9260✗1.99197k2022-07-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.28190.274381-2.67%0.2288-18.84%0.3552✗1.38318k2022-07-04
STXStacksnative0.52810.514186-2.63%0.3939-25.41%0.1870✗1.16165k2022-07-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6920.674194-2.57%0.5052-26.99%0.3744✗1.701.1M2022-07-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,564.987,373.80-2.53%6,353.47-16.01%0.3586✗1.303.9M2022-07-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,796.6029,051.37-2.50%20,210.10-32.17%0.0177✓0.9875k2022-07-04
KSMKusamaHydration68.6766.9538-2.50%51.64-24.80%0.2634✗1.341.6M2022-07-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.731.6876-2.45%1.52-12.14%0.6400✗1.91580k2022-07-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.832.7608-2.44%2.64-6.71%0.7666✗2.08282k2022-07-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.052.9763-2.42%2.63-13.77%0.2993✗1.09642k2022-07-04
AAVEAaveEthereum106.84104.2882-2.39%63.06-40.98%0.1932✗1.798.9M2022-07-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020350.019889-2.26%0.02501+22.90%1.1557✗2.3837.4M2022-07-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6942.6341-2.22%2.424-10.02%0.3597✗1.1463k2022-07-04
XMRMoneroMonero189.06184.9519-2.17%123.81-34.51%0.0228✗1.092.4M2022-07-04
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8192.759-2.13%2.6032-7.66%0.7710✗2.1314k2022-07-04
RADRadworksEthereum2.041.9974-2.09%1.65-19.12%0.3011✗1.26233k2022-07-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.2010.196809-2.08%0.1508-24.98%0.3340✗1.54501k2022-07-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0159020.015571-2.08%0.016387+3.05%0.3231✗0.70198k2022-07-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.199690.195644-2.03%0.12447-37.67%0.2714✗1.86298k2022-07-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.556.4182-2.01%5.33-18.63%0.3987✗1.50414k2022-07-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.370.362594-2.00%0.284-23.24%0.2385✗1.24970k2022-07-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.16060.157395-2.00%0.1242-22.67%0.3711✗1.5676k2022-07-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.4067.2596-1.98%6.427-13.22%0.4590✗1.4927.1M2022-07-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1434410.140765-1.87%0.111116-22.54%0.2337✗1.2111.8M2022-07-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.023.9493-1.76%3.17-21.14%0.1339✗0.911.1M2022-07-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.564.48-1.75%4-12.28%0.2058✗0.82830k2022-07-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.561610.551916-1.73%0.67171+19.60%0.8148✗1.5968k2022-07-04
AVTAventusEthereum1.051.0323-1.69%1.49+41.90%0.7243✗0.92160k2022-07-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03470.034114-1.69%0.0381+9.80%0.7320✗1.59257k2022-07-04
KCSKuCoinnative16.77916.5433-1.40%9.013-46.28%0.1990✓1.056.9M2022-07-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.09160.090444-1.26%0.0504-44.98%0.0130✗1.53172k2022-07-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.069050.068296-1.09%0.05624-18.55%0.2841✗1.2318k2022-07-04
HIVEHivenative0.53630.53054-1.07%0.4548-15.20%0.3911✗1.401.4M2022-07-04
UNIUniswapEthereum5.1195.0671-1.01%5.345+4.41%0.6149✗1.442.6M2022-07-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027380.027171-0.76%0.01995-27.14%0.0831✗1.01184k2022-07-04
DIADIAEthereum0.457670.455413-0.49%0.39145-14.47%0.0997✗0.64190k2022-07-04
XEMNEMnative0.0505770.050359-0.43%0.041725-17.50%0.4103✗1.5437k2022-07-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.1580.157632-0.23%0.1831+15.89%0.7348✗1.501,8812022-07-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.