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2022-05-29 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 170 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0421
170 of 170 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.62%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
20.6%
in alpha space · 80.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-31.22%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (170 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
WOOWOOEthereum0.1620.164878+1.78%0.1888+16.54%0.6697✓1.431,7182022-06-28
STXStacksnative0.520.526345+1.22%0.4147-20.25%0.1885✓1.14217k2022-06-28
UNIUniswapEthereum4.944.9934+1.08%4.917-0.47%0.4981✓1.373.0M2022-06-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5210.524135+0.60%0.4373-16.07%0.4993✓1.82785k2022-06-28
COMPCompoundEthereum56.0856.4045+0.58%46.65-16.82%0.3777✓1.5230k2022-06-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.24411.251+0.55%1.1426-8.16%0.3734✓1.2454k2022-06-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.851.8598+0.53%1.49-19.46%0.4757✓1.86602k2022-06-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9662.9807+0.50%2.717-8.40%0.5343✓1.67271k2022-06-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011480.000011517+0.32%0.00000995-13.33%0.3936✓1.441.0M2022-06-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.0910.1137+0.23%10.58+4.86%0.7363✓1.85188k2022-06-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14620.146519+0.22%0.1188-18.74%0.4105✓1.6689k2022-06-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13060.130876+0.21%0.1008-22.82%0.2098✓1.2616k2022-06-28
KCSKuCoinnative16.47416.5051+0.19%10.181-38.20%0.0880✗1.066.6M2022-06-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.206070.206343+0.13%0.13391-35.02%0.2567✓1.84293k2022-06-28
UMAUMAEthereum3.1863.1901+0.13%2.591-18.68%0.3338✓1.452.2M2022-06-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25990.260197+0.11%0.2321-10.70%0.3955✓1.36318k2022-06-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.13635.1415+0.10%5.7501+11.95%0.2252✓0.30289k2022-06-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,435.407,442.70+0.10%5,637.11-24.19%0.2018✓1.283.5M2022-06-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,404.7029,393.16-0.04%20,284.10-31.02%0.0084✓0.9778k2022-06-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1309160.130735-0.14%0.114237-12.74%0.3032✗1.1710.5M2022-06-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.972980.969632-0.34%0.88757-8.78%0.5507✗1.711.2M2022-06-28
XVGVergenative0.004950.004933-0.35%0.00303-38.79%0.0949✗1.56807k2022-06-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.153.1386-0.36%2.51-20.32%0.1715✗1.06660k2022-06-28
XEMNEMnative0.04910.048908-0.39%0.040352-17.82%0.3790✗1.5331k2022-06-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.271.2649-0.40%0.4962-60.93%0.5145✓1.1399k2022-06-28
KSMKusamaHydration71.5571.2515-0.42%50.26-29.76%0.1502✗1.331.6M2022-06-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.372280.370239-0.55%0.3695-0.75%0.5166✗1.39168k2022-06-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.989.9247-0.55%7.301-26.84%0.2518✗1.4913.8M2022-06-28
QNTQuantEthereum66.3665.9797-0.57%57.6-13.20%0.2878✗1.132.6M2022-06-28
SGBSongbirdnative0.03480.034585-0.62%0.0311-10.63%0.0127✓0.25129k2022-06-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.130.129179-0.63%0.1018-21.69%0.2474✗1.30951k2022-06-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.550150.546517-0.66%0.75096+36.50%0.9242✗1.6265k2022-06-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.6612.5736-0.68%9.07-28.36%0.1644✗1.31655k2022-06-28
AAVEAaveEthereum95.3394.6592-0.70%60.04-37.02%0.1723✗1.688.3M2022-06-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.01180.011713-0.74%0.00876-25.76%0.1179✗1.092.1M2022-06-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.11.0917-0.76%1.57+42.73%0.6315✗0.72174k2022-06-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash184.88183.4411-0.78%103.04-44.27%0.1139✓1.244.6M2022-06-28
XMRMoneroMonero185.63184.1804-0.78%117.52-36.69%0.0256✓1.132.5M2022-06-28
NANOnanopayBase1.12051.1117-0.78%0.810935-27.63%0.1878✗1.34167k2022-06-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.06310.062598-0.79%0.0607-3.80%0.4480✗1.28406k2022-06-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.375.3263-0.81%4.63-13.78%0.1498✗0.772.8M2022-06-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0870.086257-0.85%0.0526-39.54%0.2078✓0.77239k2022-06-28
DASHDashDash57.6957.1896-0.87%46.27-19.80%0.2454✗1.221.2M2022-06-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.127.0506-0.97%5.472-23.15%0.3349✗1.578.0M2022-06-28
MOVRMoonriverBase21.929521.7059-1.02%11.0131-49.78%0.0794✓1.60247k2022-06-28
ZECZcashZcash92.391.3454-1.03%58.81-36.28%0.0641✗1.354.9M2022-06-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2531.2394-1.08%0.6951-44.53%0.0551✓1.406.8M2022-06-28
SCSiacoinnative0.00540.005339-1.12%0.00393-27.22%0.3268✗1.69329k2022-06-28
XVSVenusEthereum4.664.6072-1.13%4.68+0.43%0.7217✗1.891.9M2022-06-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.11360.112292-1.15%0.1024-9.86%0.4301✗1.40998k2022-06-28
HIVEHivenative0.47270.467208-1.16%0.6213+31.44%0.7965✗1.371.3M2022-06-28
XTZTezosTezos1.98461.9615-1.16%1.5132-23.75%0.2396✗1.331.1M2022-06-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,811.101,788.49-1.25%1,142.65-36.91%0.0462✓1.07383.9M2022-06-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.37860.373833-1.26%0.3124-17.49%0.3150✗1.3217.7M2022-06-28
TRXTRONTron0.0804590.079384-1.34%0.065755-18.28%0.1423✗0.881.5M2022-06-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3323.287-1.35%2.859-14.20%0.2361✗1.001.7M2022-06-28
QTUMQtumQtum3.85673.8045-1.35%2.8847-25.20%0.1857✗1.2463k2022-06-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.27840.27453-1.39%0.1952-29.89%0.1554✗1.33420k2022-06-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,447.0729,033.95-1.40%20,252.89-31.22%0.0141✗1.00676.2M2022-06-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.25730.253687-1.40%0.2406-6.49%0.4617✗1.37105k2022-06-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.522.4842-1.42%2.7+7.14%0.8141✗1.95354k2022-06-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.16350.161169-1.43%0.1434-12.29%0.4512✗1.52314k2022-06-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.11470.113064-1.43%0.0971-15.34%0.4905✗1.721.3M2022-06-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.716.6129-1.45%6.303-6.07%0.4914✗1.4419.8M2022-06-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008450.008328-1.45%0.006893-18.43%0.1071✗0.79146k2022-06-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.90e-76.80e-7-1.48%3.70e-7-46.35%0.2787✓0.881.5M2022-06-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14230.140149-1.51%0.0999-29.80%0.2720✗1.637.2M2022-06-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009290.009146-1.55%0.00669-27.99%0.0956✗1.09997k2022-06-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.065480.064439-1.59%0.06235-4.78%0.3971✗1.1516k2022-06-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0143290.014098-1.61%0.015124+5.55%0.3494✗0.75176k2022-06-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19960.196266-1.67%0.1502-24.75%0.3398✗1.62493k2022-06-28
BANDBandEthereum1.5471.5205-1.72%1.367-11.64%0.4997✗1.62418k2022-06-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8880.871839-1.82%0.656-26.13%0.3302✗1.64749k2022-06-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004220.004143-1.82%0.002893-31.45%0.0959✗1.222.1M2022-06-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6470.635207-1.82%0.5306-17.99%0.4253✗1.621.7M2022-06-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.32790.321801-1.86%0.2751-16.10%0.3612✗1.388.2M2022-06-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.626.4939-1.90%5.12-22.66%0.3064✗1.45535k2022-06-28
FTTFTXEthereum27.2826.7582-1.91%25.63-6.05%0.3311✗1.0010.2M2022-06-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.029950.029376-1.92%0.02025-32.39%0.0256✗1.06188k2022-06-28
BTTCBTTC0.000001030.00000101-1.92%9.20e-7-10.68%0.2255✗0.857.6M2022-06-28
GTGateEthereum5.41485.3095-1.94%4.1715-22.96%0.0413✓0.534.4M2022-06-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.599.4033-1.95%7.34-23.46%0.2978✗1.4618.8M2022-06-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7571.7223-1.98%1.365-22.31%0.3702✗1.61110k2022-06-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3720.364438-2.03%0.285-23.39%0.2088✗1.21970k2022-06-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.49440.484202-2.06%0.3874-21.64%0.3702✗1.58217k2022-06-28
ZENHorizenBase20.2519.8234-2.11%13.58-32.94%0.2423✗1.6696k2022-06-28
SOLSolanaSolana44.9143.9608-2.11%35.3-21.40%0.3520✗1.53104.0M2022-06-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.5862.235-2.12%52.65-17.19%0.3091✗1.2719.8M2022-06-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.363020.355335-2.12%0.268-26.17%0.2752✗1.49751k2022-06-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.62180.608451-2.15%0.7367+18.48%0.7528✗1.504.8M2022-06-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03770.036879-2.18%0.0423+12.20%0.7322✗1.59269k2022-06-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2513.1755-2.32%2.5339-22.06%0.4074✗1.696.5M2022-06-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10830.105781-2.33%0.1012-6.56%0.6590✗1.88501k2022-06-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.2711.9806-2.36%9.27-24.45%0.1089✗0.98473k2022-06-28
ADACardanoCardano0.48170.469814-2.47%0.469-2.64%0.5415✗1.4544.7M2022-06-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5030.490578-2.47%0.348-30.82%0.1383✗1.2930k2022-06-28
DIADIAEthereum0.45460.443289-2.49%0.37305-17.94%0.0561✗0.61121k2022-06-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0171580.016731-2.49%0.011804-31.20%0.0897✗1.173.2M2022-06-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.15780.153846-2.51%0.0762-51.71%0.3283✓1.003,0542022-06-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.617.4178-2.53%5.516-27.52%0.2596✗1.494.6M2022-06-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.149.8837-2.53%8.81-13.12%0.5086✗1.676.1M2022-06-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.07860.076595-2.55%0.0563-28.37%0.4022✗1.90173k2022-06-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.023830.023203-2.63%0.01995-16.28%0.0625✗0.57582k2022-06-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02250.021902-2.66%0.02343+4.13%0.9584✗2.3826.5M2022-06-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6120.595636-2.67%0.531-13.24%0.4842✗1.60210k2022-06-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004480.00436-2.67%0.002688-40.00%0.0262✓1.229,8712022-06-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036650.035667-2.68%0.02843-22.43%0.3231✗1.4736k2022-06-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.15930.154743-2.86%0.1286-19.27%0.1349✗0.85313k2022-06-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08710.084594-2.88%0.0556-36.17%0.1841✗1.61162k2022-06-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.7532.6732-2.90%2.463-10.53%0.3236✗1.0884k2022-06-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.000103280.000100239-2.94%0.00010791+4.48%1.1839✗2.974.9M2022-06-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2050.198814-3.02%0.271+32.20%0.9779✗1.791.4M2022-06-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4817.9208-3.03%15.29-17.26%0.3913✗1.473.1M2022-06-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06630.06423-3.12%0.0529-20.21%0.4799✗1.802.2M2022-06-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.850.823237-3.15%0.8133-4.32%0.4138✗1.1487k2022-06-28
CBKCobakEthereum1.16931.1324-3.15%0.98938-15.39%0.3059✗1.187,1582022-06-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9180.888899-3.17%0.74-19.39%0.2560✗1.17658k2022-06-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche26.1325.2908-3.21%18.08-30.81%0.2576✗1.5852.8M2022-06-28
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4962.411-3.41%2.7158+8.81%0.8643✗1.9916k2022-06-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4485-3.43%1.09-27.33%0.3242✗1.632.3M2022-06-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2281.1856-3.45%0.648-47.23%0.0870✗1.85478k2022-06-28
XECeCashnative0.000047790.00004614-3.45%0.00003938-17.60%0.3750✗1.434.7M2022-06-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.58250.6013-3.77%57.136+8.66%0.5144✗1.051.2M2022-06-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.6522.7577-3.77%15.41-34.84%0.1085✗1.333.9M2022-06-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.631.5671-3.86%1.657+1.66%0.6915✗1.701.6M2022-06-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.55842.4542-4.07%1.855-27.49%0.2267✗1.3588k2022-06-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001290.001237-4.12%0.0008908-30.95%0.3119✗1.712.2M2022-06-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1340.128407-4.17%0.1264-5.67%0.6297✗1.725.4M2022-06-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.05450.052196-4.23%0.04874-10.57%0.3587✗1.1414k2022-06-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06550.06262-4.40%0.05048-22.93%0.6470✗2.302.9M2022-06-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8460.808285-4.46%0.772-8.75%0.4078✗1.212.5M2022-06-28
STEEMSteemnative0.24660.235514-4.50%0.219-11.19%0.5682✗1.71782k2022-06-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0825980.078785-4.62%0.065943-20.16%0.2807✗1.232.8M2022-06-28
GMTGMTEthereum1.0781.0246-4.95%0.876-18.74%0.7362✗2.393.8M2022-06-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047910.045331-5.38%0.0434-9.41%0.3540✗1.064,9292022-06-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3140.296909-5.44%0.2323-26.02%0.3101✗1.4845k2022-06-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0268990.025435-5.44%0.02148-20.15%0.2539✗1.1313k2022-06-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5932.4503-5.50%1.957-24.53%0.1495✗1.00132k2022-06-28
IMXImmutableEthereum1.0110.95498-5.54%0.8635-14.59%0.5559✗1.754.2M2022-06-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9051.7946-5.79%1.224-35.75%0.3419✗1.94508k2022-06-28
PROPropyEthereum0.980.922121-5.91%0.89-9.18%0.2787✗0.84246k2022-06-28
APEApeCoinEthereum6.2325.8597-5.97%4.897-21.42%0.6926✗2.3341.9M2022-06-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012390.011645-6.01%0.00936-24.46%0.3779✗1.5922.3M2022-06-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3900590.366559-6.02%0.317444-18.62%0.4069✗1.473.6M2022-06-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.34812.1992-6.34%2.2052-6.09%0.4067✗1.083.0M2022-06-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.62.4343-6.37%2.488-4.31%0.7365✗1.914.0M2022-06-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.009240.008644-6.45%0.005802-37.21%0.0257✓1.135,3132022-06-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6170.57683-6.51%0.647+4.86%0.7422✗1.6811k2022-06-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3161.2271-6.76%1.308-0.61%0.6466✗1.567.3M2022-06-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05730.053407-6.79%0.0466-18.67%0.4797✗1.6573k2022-06-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.48631.3845-6.85%0.78691-47.06%0.2676✓0.795,6992022-06-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.172.0193-6.94%1.76-18.89%0.3247✗1.23247k2022-06-28
FLOWFlownative2.4312.2584-7.10%1.608-33.85%0.0346✓1.001.1M2022-06-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.21712.0556-7.28%1.81-18.36%0.2407✗0.984.2M2022-06-28
XYMSymbolnative0.0560.05191-7.30%0.052599-6.07%0.3145✗0.81119k2022-06-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.617.0386-7.51%6.25-17.87%0.0322✓0.401.3M2022-06-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.840.776731-7.53%0.7251-13.68%0.5510✗1.66329k2022-06-28
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2471.1523-7.59%0.621-50.20%0.1937✓1.131.8M2022-06-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.2773.9518-7.60%3.8-11.15%0.1644✗0.544.3M2022-06-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.444.0906-7.87%3.93-11.49%0.2530✗0.78829k2022-06-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.94911.7783-8.76%1.3393-31.29%0.1968✗1.285.5M2022-06-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04930.044888-8.95%0.0448-9.13%0.5265✗1.411.0M2022-06-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.723.3779-9.20%3.06-17.74%0.2538✗0.94741k2022-06-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.6042.3597-9.38%3.055+17.32%0.5358✗0.741.3M2022-06-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.4362.2053-9.47%3.039+24.75%0.7070✗1.03811k2022-06-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.283.8613-9.78%3.64-14.95%0.2223✗0.75921k2022-06-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.428760.382721-10.74%0.30824-28.11%0.4192✗1.7021k2022-06-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.616560.550337-10.74%0.49508-19.70%0.6056✗1.90397k2022-06-28
DODODODOEthereum0.1780.158494-10.96%0.1208-32.13%0.3929✗1.782.6M2022-06-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9720.759797-21.83%0.989+1.75%1.0978✗2.232.0M2022-06-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.