8=======>

2022-04-18 · +1d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1538
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.57%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
38.9%
in alpha space · 13.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.72%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.9752.919-1.88%3.099+4.17%0.0427✗1.014.0M2022-04-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011870.000001172-1.19%0.00000123+3.66%0.0520✗-0.24596k2022-04-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6760.668395-1.13%0.662-2.07%0.0286✓1.115.9M2022-04-19
APEApeCoinEthereum11.87411.7471-1.07%13.39+12.77%0.0953✗2.0945.4M2022-04-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.29844.2582-0.93%4.3291+0.71%0.0036✓0.764.5M2022-04-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,850.2040,494.66-0.87%41,490.50+1.57%0.0082✓0.9526k2022-04-19
PROPropyEthereum1.861.8442-0.85%1.88+1.08%0.0035✓0.92179k2022-04-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.22541.2158-0.79%1.2147-0.87%0.0222✓1.2511.9M2022-04-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2280.226216-0.78%0.22-3.51%0.0393✓0.67122k2022-04-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11740.116513-0.76%0.1168-0.51%0.0154✓1.051.3M2022-04-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.71514.6796-0.75%4.8096+2.00%0.0106✗0.98275k2022-04-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.5452.5262-0.74%2.497-1.89%0.0247✓0.7712k2022-04-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.1744.1432-0.74%4.212+0.91%0.0083✓1.45741k2022-04-19
XMRMoneroMonero265.87263.9849-0.71%254.39-4.32%0.0531✓0.941.7M2022-04-19
UMAUMAEthereum6.3186.2735-0.70%6.397+1.25%0.0053✓1.462.8M2022-04-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.4614.3616-0.68%15.02+3.87%0.0379✗0.412.0M2022-04-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.034420.034205-0.63%0.034926+1.47%0.0021✓1.114.5M2022-04-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0263320.026168-0.62%0.026467+0.51%0.0001✓0.67199k2022-04-19
LUNATerraTerra 290.9890.4159-0.62%95.57+5.05%0.0333✗1.308.2M2022-04-19
ZECZcashZcash156.2155.2471-0.61%158.67+1.58%0.0039✓1.058.5M2022-04-19
FTTFTXEthereum43.3743.1068-0.61%43.48+0.25%0.0083✓0.9917.2M2022-04-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.41935.3869-0.60%5.3111-2.00%0.0228✓0.515.7M2022-04-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.815140.810452-0.58%0.81992+0.59%0.0054✓1.00166k2022-04-19
RADRadworksEthereum4.624.5936-0.57%4.76+3.03%0.0193✗0.96820k2022-04-19
GTGateEthereum6.57546.5381-0.57%6.5237-0.79%0.0122✓0.594.6M2022-04-19
BANDBandEthereum3.7833.7616-0.57%3.962+4.73%0.0307✗1.25745k2022-04-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0144170.014336-0.56%0.014582+1.14%0.0015✓0.9147k2022-04-19
DIADIAEthereum0.870.865181-0.55%0.93+6.90%0.0643✗0.47154k2022-04-19
API3Api3Ethereum4.2854.2614-0.55%4.632+8.10%0.0727✗0.633.3M2022-04-19
STXStacksnative1.211.2034-0.54%1.22+0.83%0.0036✓1.01440k2022-04-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.2626.1174-0.54%26.84+2.21%0.0120✗0.90609k2022-04-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.0685.0405-0.54%5.752+13.50%0.1154✗0.9872k2022-04-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.99390.988521-0.54%0.8912-10.33%0.1277✓1.41231k2022-04-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4411.4333-0.54%1.518+5.34%0.0351✗1.32555k2022-04-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.75.6699-0.53%5.76+1.05%0.0036✓0.721.2M2022-04-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.22970.228501-0.52%0.2299+0.09%0.0141✓1.193.2M2022-04-19
BTTCBTTC0.000001910.0000019-0.52%0.00000193+1.05%0.0035✓0.7110.2M2022-04-19
SOLSolanaSolana102.39101.8708-0.51%108.55+6.02%0.0423✗1.25147.4M2022-04-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.23590.234708-0.51%0.2435+3.22%0.0137✗1.36356k2022-04-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017290.017204-0.50%0.01792+3.64%0.0239✗0.992.0M2022-04-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash340.48338.7878-0.50%340.62+0.04%0.0115✓0.998.3M2022-04-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.1765.1504-0.49%6.167+19.15%0.1580✗1.307.1M2022-04-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.18670.185787-0.49%0.2015+7.93%0.0606✗1.219.4M2022-04-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4961.4888-0.48%1.541+3.01%0.0172✗1.02983k2022-04-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.35625.3305-0.48%5.4567+1.88%0.0030✓1.2011.3M2022-04-19
GITCOINGITCOIN5.9825.9534-0.48%6.219+3.96%0.0180✗1.5018k2022-04-19
DASHDashDash108.7108.1817-0.48%109.73+0.95%0.0035✓1.042.4M2022-04-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.763580.759953-0.48%0.77569+1.59%0.0026✓1.05201k2022-04-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.11610.11555-0.47%0.1165+0.34%0.0113✓1.14988k2022-04-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.991.9806-0.47%2.07+4.02%0.0215✗1.331.6M2022-04-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.7224.6999-0.47%4.862+2.96%0.0047✗1.722.5M2022-04-19
ORCAOrcaSolana1.871.8613-0.47%1.93+3.21%0.0242✗0.71214k2022-04-19
LSKLiskEthereum2.12012.1102-0.47%2.2396+5.64%0.0447✗0.8799k2022-04-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.5416.5106-0.46%6.787+3.76%0.0226✗1.11331k2022-04-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.975.9423-0.46%6.19+3.69%0.0150✗1.52615k2022-04-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.97395.9463-0.46%5.8627-1.86%0.0222✓0.47186k2022-04-19
COMPCompoundEthereum139.03138.3893-0.46%142.4+2.42%0.0085✗1.1876k2022-04-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.19520.194304-0.46%0.2+2.46%0.0095✗1.14262k2022-04-19
KSMKusamaHydration167.23166.4628-0.46%176.41+5.49%0.0403✗1.041.2M2022-04-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33850.336954-0.46%0.3525+4.14%0.0202✗1.469.2M2022-04-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.95963.9418-0.45%3.9891+0.75%0.0006✓0.664.7M2022-04-19
ZENHorizenBase37.8937.7213-0.45%38.77+2.32%0.0044✓1.35397k2022-04-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8550.85122-0.44%0.882+3.16%0.0123✗1.362.5M2022-04-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011010.010961-0.44%0.01096-0.45%0.0201✓1.183.2M2022-04-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.1296.102-0.44%6.045-1.37%0.0207✓0.671.8M2022-04-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.0613.9984-0.44%14.25+1.35%0.0016✓1.1426.2M2022-04-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin111.24110.7554-0.44%113.81+2.31%0.0096✗1.0321.8M2022-04-19
UOSUltraEthereum1.08551.0807-0.44%1.061-2.25%0.0412✓1.341.6M2022-04-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.637244-0.43%0.64+0.00%0.0211✓1.49435k2022-04-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.141430.140822-0.43%0.14532+2.75%0.0180✗0.7918k2022-04-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.93020.926206-0.43%0.9604+3.25%0.0128✗1.38824k2022-04-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2131.2078-0.43%1.265+4.29%0.0287✗1.031.4M2022-04-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.4120.3252-0.42%21.36+4.65%0.0266✗1.36220k2022-04-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana14.7214.659-0.41%14.97+1.70%0.0127✗0.492.9M2022-04-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.423.3032-0.41%24.1+2.99%0.0113✗1.31720k2022-04-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum46.2246.0289-0.41%47.4+2.55%0.0076✗1.288.8M2022-04-19
NANOnanopayBase2.14272.1339-0.41%2.1529+0.47%0.0100✓1.11231k2022-04-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034940.034799-0.40%0.03461-0.94%0.0167✓0.66942k2022-04-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025270.000025168-0.40%0.00002543+0.63%0.0090✓1.142.7M2022-04-19
XECeCashnative0.000090560.000090198-0.40%0.00009242+2.05%0.0073✗1.009.5M2022-04-19
SCSiacoinnative0.010420.010379-0.39%0.01087+4.32%0.0260✗1.19565k2022-04-19
XVSVenusEthereum10.1710.1301-0.39%10.76+5.80%0.0406✗1.164.6M2022-04-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.34950.348134-0.39%0.3628+3.81%0.0190✗1.311.6M2022-04-19
SUSHISushiEthereum3.293.2772-0.39%3.36+2.13%0.0037✓1.256.7M2022-04-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5734.5552-0.39%5.024+9.86%0.0804✗1.03120k2022-04-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06720.066938-0.39%0.0695+3.42%0.0173✗1.19471k2022-04-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.6219.5442-0.39%20.41+4.03%0.0245✗1.1110.8M2022-04-19
XVGVergenative0.010430.01039-0.38%0.01091+4.60%0.0292✗1.151.6M2022-04-19
HIVEHivenative0.89220.888796-0.38%0.93+4.24%0.0271✗1.071.9M2022-04-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.42060.419006-0.38%0.4338+3.14%0.0104✗1.43403k2022-04-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.55050.548424-0.38%0.5999+8.97%0.0687✗1.24967k2022-04-19
DODODODOEthereum0.390.388566-0.37%0.408+4.62%0.0288✗1.177.7M2022-04-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.20110.200361-0.37%0.2086+3.73%0.0019✓2.26576k2022-04-19
QTUMQtumQtum6.69966.6751-0.37%6.8299+1.94%0.0031✓1.17216k2022-04-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.7377.4455-0.37%80.32+3.33%0.0150✗1.2692.9M2022-04-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.5233.5102-0.36%3.583+1.70%0.0079✗0.742.2M2022-04-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.66520.662795-0.36%0.6867+3.23%0.0176✗1.059.8M2022-04-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,803.5840,656.39-0.36%41,503.85+1.72%0.0036✗1.00544.9M2022-04-19
XTZTezosTezos3.17433.1629-0.36%3.2342+1.89%0.0045✗1.051.0M2022-04-19
TRXTRONTron0.06160.061378-0.36%0.063223+2.63%0.0183✗0.67254k2022-04-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.0823.9938-0.36%24.67+2.45%0.0090✗1.1031.7M2022-04-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.022550.022469-0.36%0.02344+3.95%0.0229✗1.14398k2022-04-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.825.7992-0.36%5.91+1.55%0.0066✗0.731.1M2022-04-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05020.050021-0.36%0.0548+9.16%0.0625✗1.6938.1M2022-04-19
MOVRMoonriverBase57.977757.773-0.35%60.1688+3.78%0.0157✗1.47223k2022-04-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.061.0563-0.35%1.12+5.66%0.0384✗1.18761k2022-04-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36230.361032-0.35%0.3612-0.30%0.0196✓1.1810.3M2022-04-19
ADACardanoCardano0.93670.933431-0.35%0.9524+1.68%0.0024✓1.0468.9M2022-04-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7121570.70968-0.35%0.730876+2.63%0.0105✗1.113.2M2022-04-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.76.6774-0.34%6.71+0.15%0.0078✓0.741.8M2022-04-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.9716.9131-0.34%17.43+2.71%0.0125✗1.0418.4M2022-04-19
KCSKuCoinnative20.2620.1924-0.33%20.958+3.45%0.0226✗0.865.4M2022-04-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.34.2856-0.33%4.52+5.12%0.0293✗1.41670k2022-04-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.0752.0682-0.33%2.069-0.29%0.0162✓0.9794k2022-04-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5513.5394-0.33%3.62+1.94%0.0113✗0.662.2M2022-04-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,131.9719,069.82-0.32%19,429.29+1.55%0.0002✓1.115.0M2022-04-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24040.239623-0.32%0.2438+1.41%0.0028✓0.851.6M2022-04-19
CBKCobakEthereum2.2422.2348-0.32%2.379+6.11%0.0489✗0.8026k2022-04-19
MANADecentralandEthereum2.08662.08-0.32%2.1654+3.78%0.0210✗1.131.6M2022-04-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3161.3118-0.32%1.368+3.95%0.0203✗1.273.3M2022-04-19
STORJStorjEthereum1.061.0566-0.31%1.2566+18.55%0.1538✗1.15143k2022-04-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.73690.734586-0.31%0.7593+3.04%0.0170✗0.9418.3M2022-04-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13720.136773-0.31%0.1386+1.02%0.0040✓1.02224k2022-04-19
ETHEthereumEthereum3,056.193,046.68-0.31%3,102.26+1.51%0.0002✓1.05482.4M2022-04-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044460.044322-0.31%0.04512+1.48%0.0028✓0.8867k2022-04-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2650.26418-0.31%0.27+1.89%0.0074✗0.8536k2022-04-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011490.011454-0.31%0.01153+0.35%0.0039✓0.6235k2022-04-19
MINAMina Protocolnative2.392.3827-0.31%2.45+2.51%0.0092✗1.101.2M2022-04-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7370.734749-0.31%0.751+1.90%0.0069✗0.882.9M2022-04-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.39220.391003-0.31%0.3979+1.45%0.0134✓1.822.3M2022-04-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048940.048791-0.30%0.04893-0.02%0.0144✓1.01526k2022-04-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1852.1784-0.30%2.311+5.77%0.0364✗1.347.3M2022-04-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07570.075471-0.30%0.0768+1.45%0.0033✗0.8350k2022-04-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.2714.227-0.30%14.91+4.48%0.0246✗1.312.3M2022-04-19
XLMStellarStellar0.2051140.204497-0.30%0.203903-0.59%0.0200✓1.0119.4M2022-04-19
IMXImmutableEthereum1.7511.7458-0.30%1.975+12.79%0.1054✗1.067.8M2022-04-19
AVTAventusEthereum2.512.5025-0.30%2.53+0.80%0.0026✓0.49546k2022-04-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.936.7906-0.30%37.81+2.47%0.0087✗1.0914.9M2022-04-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.271.2662-0.30%1.288+1.42%0.0006✓0.963.5M2022-04-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.1618.107-0.29%18.88+3.96%0.0238✗1.0619.0M2022-04-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1403550.139951-0.29%0.142753+1.71%0.0052✗0.865.0M2022-04-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.68540.683455-0.28%0.678-1.08%0.0154✓0.44814k2022-04-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.093910.093645-0.28%0.09588+2.10%0.0088✗0.8735k2022-04-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.24190.241227-0.28%0.2531+4.63%0.0251✗1.353.3M2022-04-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004040.004029-0.28%0.00425+5.20%0.0326✗1.239.6M2022-04-19
QNTQuantEthereum111.58111.274-0.27%114.35+2.48%0.0116✗0.923.8M2022-04-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.29110.290309-0.27%0.3014+3.54%0.0176✗1.17495k2022-04-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50150.50014-0.27%0.5231+4.31%0.0314✗0.79490k2022-04-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.32.2939-0.27%2.3+0.00%0.0146✓1.02163k2022-04-19
AAVEAaveEthereum169.22168.7729-0.26%183+8.14%0.0587✗1.3112.8M2022-04-19
XYMSymbolnative0.11020.109915-0.26%0.1098-0.36%0.0129✓0.69823k2022-04-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.48250.481251-0.26%0.4965+2.90%0.0274✗0.225,8622022-04-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5994.5879-0.24%4.665+1.44%0.0105✗0.363.7M2022-04-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV84.6784.4683-0.24%86.17+1.77%0.0064✗0.803.5M2022-04-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.074820.074652-0.22%0.07664+2.43%0.0083✗1.05124k2022-04-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.4213.3901-0.22%13.73+2.31%0.0059✗1.131.5M2022-04-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.021620.021573-0.22%0.0222+2.68%0.0152✗0.794.7M2022-04-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.215.1993-0.20%5.33+2.30%0.0122✗0.741.5M2022-04-19
XEMNEMnative0.09790.097701-0.20%0.1013+3.47%0.0205✗0.9267k2022-04-19
UNIUniswapEthereum9.399.3721-0.19%9.54+1.60%0.0003✓1.068.8M2022-04-19
FIDABonfidaSolana1.461.4572-0.19%1.443-1.16%0.0266✓0.9963k2022-04-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018210.01821-0.00%0.02273+24.82%0.1968✗1.4748.3M2022-04-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.