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2022-03-15 · +1d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 157 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0389
157 of 157 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.63%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.9%
in alpha space · 3.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.66%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (157 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
MINAMina Protocolnative1.641.6376-0.15%1.86+13.41%0.0814✗1.01336k2022-03-16
XEMNEMnative0.09450.094358-0.15%0.099+4.76%0.0102✗0.8339k2022-03-16
KCSKuCoinnative18.0818.0501-0.17%18.299+1.21%0.0275✓0.917.5M2022-03-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1125620.112352-0.19%0.116967+3.91%0.0034✗0.812.8M2022-03-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.2372.2328-0.19%2.572+14.98%0.0924✗1.08534k2022-03-16
UNIUniswapEthereum8.728.7029-0.20%9.09+4.24%0.0023✓1.016.1M2022-03-16
MANADecentralandEthereum2.27292.2682-0.21%2.4922+9.65%0.0409✗1.172.1M2022-03-16
COMPCompoundEthereum104.05103.8344-0.21%110+5.72%0.0079✗1.0946k2022-03-16
SCSiacoinnative0.008670.008652-0.21%0.00895+3.23%0.0159✓1.09472k2022-03-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6110.609663-0.22%0.635+3.93%0.0009✓0.912.4M2022-03-16
UOSUltraEthereum1.12061.1182-0.22%1.174+4.76%0.0099✓1.292.4M2022-03-16
XVGVergenative0.008720.0087-0.22%0.009+3.21%0.0190✓1.161.5M2022-03-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2210.220502-0.23%0.228+3.17%0.0039✓0.8242k2022-03-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1826270.182203-0.23%0.18936+3.69%0.0067✓0.9918.9M2022-03-16
KSMKusamaHydration125.47125.1729-0.24%130.7+4.17%0.0072✓1.11664k2022-03-16
ETHEthereumEthereum2,619.152,612.88-0.24%2,774.89+5.95%0.0133✗1.03501.7M2022-03-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.920.917706-0.25%1.186+28.91%0.2187✗0.831.0M2022-03-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,353.6039,254.68-0.25%41,103.10+4.45%0.0025✓0.9652k2022-03-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021620.000021565-0.26%0.00002273+5.13%0.0006✓1.172.9M2022-03-16
QTUMQtumQtum5.7215.7064-0.26%6.0075+5.01%0.0001✓1.13102k2022-03-16
API3Api3Ethereum4.6754.663-0.26%4.743+1.45%0.0108✓0.617.0M2022-03-16
MOVRMoonriverBase49.27149.1425-0.26%51.8123+5.16%0.0072✓1.32160k2022-03-16
CBKCobakEthereum2.1062.1005-0.26%2.135+1.38%0.0189✓0.7721k2022-03-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.3413.3041-0.27%14.44+8.25%0.0245✗1.262.2M2022-03-16
AAVEAaveEthereum122.06121.7308-0.27%141.71+16.10%0.0968✗1.217.0M2022-03-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.8225.7497-0.27%27.36+5.96%0.0165✗0.974.3M2022-03-16
SUSHISushiEthereum2.922.9118-0.28%3.12+6.85%0.0164✗1.165.7M2022-03-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.37550.374444-0.28%0.4194+11.69%0.0564✗1.25397k2022-03-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche69.8369.6325-0.28%74.12+6.14%0.0050✗1.26116.5M2022-03-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash289.44288.6103-0.29%299.84+3.59%0.0041✓0.936.6M2022-03-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4906420.489223-0.29%0.511443+4.24%0.0026✓1.031.9M2022-03-16
RADRadworksEthereum4.344.3273-0.29%4.47+3.00%0.0069✓0.86521k2022-03-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.71630.714196-0.29%0.7371+2.90%0.0143✓1.0118.1M2022-03-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040090.039972-0.29%0.04049+1.00%0.0257✓0.8526k2022-03-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana12.7712.7317-0.30%13.13+2.82%0.0113✗0.433.1M2022-03-16
QNTQuantEthereum110.23109.8964-0.30%117.28+6.40%0.0233✗0.924.6M2022-03-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.045530.045391-0.30%0.04945+8.61%0.0374✗1.06440k2022-03-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.813.798-0.31%4.14+8.66%0.0241✗1.37341k2022-03-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin16.8116.7572-0.31%17.42+3.63%0.0054✓0.976.2M2022-03-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.19170.191082-0.32%0.2051+6.99%0.0124✗1.281.9M2022-03-16
XVSVenusEthereum8.498.4625-0.32%8.55+0.71%0.0372✓1.043.2M2022-03-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum15.8415.7885-0.32%16.49+4.10%0.0027✓1.0114.4M2022-03-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9521.9456-0.33%2.091+7.12%0.0141✗1.279.4M2022-03-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,298.1039,167.77-0.33%41,127.97+4.66%0.0033✗1.00645.2M2022-03-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.1991.195-0.34%1.322+10.26%0.0446✗1.242.5M2022-03-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.37340.372142-0.34%0.3835+2.70%0.0585✓1.952.1M2022-03-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.024520.024437-0.34%0.02522+2.85%0.0020✓0.743.0M2022-03-16
ADACardanoCardano0.79920.796497-0.34%0.8393+5.02%0.0068✗1.0066.9M2022-03-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7710.768342-0.34%0.819+6.23%0.0042✗1.311.9M2022-03-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.612.5555-0.35%13.23+5.00%0.0031✓1.08388k2022-03-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV75.8475.572-0.35%78.23+3.15%0.0008✓0.74974k2022-03-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.8117.7463-0.36%19.04+6.91%0.0213✗1.0824.2M2022-03-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011850.011808-0.36%0.01185+0.00%0.0285✓0.719,6662022-03-16
FIDABonfidaSolana1.5961.5903-0.36%1.611+0.94%0.0246✓0.8255k2022-03-16
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1341.1299-0.36%1.181+4.14%0.0008✓0.962.9M2022-03-16
XYMSymbolnative0.13170.131216-0.37%0.1357+3.04%0.0022✓0.79296k2022-03-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.021.0162-0.37%1.08+5.88%0.0160✗0.99553k2022-03-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1010.100622-0.37%0.105+3.96%0.0188✗0.5239k2022-03-16
XTZTezosTezos2.97672.9653-0.38%3.1013+4.19%0.0050✓1.101.2M2022-03-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.192.1816-0.38%2.32+5.94%0.0177✗0.96140k2022-03-16
TRXTRONTron0.0605530.06032-0.38%0.061066+0.85%0.0177✓0.66282k2022-03-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06820.067937-0.39%0.0705+3.37%0.0050✓0.92151k2022-03-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin106.94106.5172-0.40%111.35+4.12%0.0011✓1.0025.9M2022-03-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.6990.696139-0.41%0.7108+1.69%0.0059✗0.33799k2022-03-16
BTTCBTTC0.000001760.000001753-0.41%0.00000185+5.11%0.0266✗0.6013.2M2022-03-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.713.6431-0.42%14.68+7.15%0.0250✗1.0642.8M2022-03-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4524.4335-0.42%4.679+5.10%0.0236✗0.67522k2022-03-16
HIVEHivenative0.83410.830607-0.42%0.8746+4.86%0.0010✓1.111.8M2022-03-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.711.7028-0.42%1.81+5.85%0.0034✓1.271.3M2022-03-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.091710.091322-0.42%0.09466+3.22%0.0038✓0.8730k2022-03-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.016170.016102-0.42%0.01695+4.82%0.0061✗0.991.3M2022-03-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.0622.9622-0.42%24.32+5.46%0.0006✓1.25749k2022-03-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11950.118993-0.42%0.128+7.11%0.0195✗1.172.5M2022-03-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003450.003435-0.43%0.00348+0.87%0.0532✓1.455.3M2022-03-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.590.587469-0.43%0.62+5.08%0.0137✓1.48550k2022-03-16
DASHDashDash95.1494.7291-0.43%98.4+3.43%0.0076✓1.001.6M2022-03-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06530.065018-0.43%0.0703+7.66%0.0257✗1.15402k2022-03-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.039170.038999-0.44%0.040705+3.92%0.0006✓0.955.1M2022-03-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.9373.9197-0.44%4.216+7.09%0.0162✗1.242.3M2022-03-16
SGBSongbirdnative0.06060.060332-0.44%0.0647+6.77%0.0244✗1.00303k2022-03-16
GITCOINGITCOIN5.3635.3392-0.44%5.736+6.96%0.0132✗1.2825k2022-03-16
BANDBandEthereum3.4463.4307-0.44%3.642+5.69%0.0102✗1.09658k2022-03-16
SOLSolanaSolana82.8582.4826-0.44%87.82+6.00%0.0065✗1.2496.5M2022-03-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.43220.430272-0.45%0.4984+15.32%0.1015✗1.004,6242022-03-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.70310.699949-0.45%0.7237+2.93%0.0111✓0.987.4M2022-03-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011060.01101-0.45%0.01117+0.99%0.0410✓1.223.1M2022-03-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.62073.6044-0.45%4.0815+12.73%0.0974✗0.593.9M2022-03-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.2211.1693-0.45%11.83+5.44%0.0337✗0.521.2M2022-03-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.718.6151-0.45%19.73+5.51%0.0011✓1.30291k2022-03-16
LSKLiskEthereum2.0192.0098-0.46%2.0762+2.83%0.0046✓0.81117k2022-03-16
PROPropyEthereum1.421.4134-0.47%1.46+2.82%0.0156✓1.06242k2022-03-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.25360.252407-0.47%0.2713+6.98%0.0208✗1.13192k2022-03-16
DODODODOEthereum0.3770.375226-0.47%0.399+5.84%0.0121✗1.082.8M2022-03-16
FTTFTXEthereum41.0240.8267-0.47%42.72+4.14%0.0020✓1.0415.5M2022-03-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.9055.8769-0.48%6.0499+2.45%0.0104✗0.41186k2022-03-16
DIADIAEthereum0.890.885745-0.48%0.92+3.37%0.0217✗0.36271k2022-03-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.126.9703-0.48%28.13+3.80%0.0014✓0.90846k2022-03-16
STORJStorjEthereum10.995141-0.49%1.053+5.30%0.0064✗1.10112k2022-03-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.365.3339-0.49%5.8+8.21%0.0246✗1.30534k2022-03-16
ZENHorizenBase35.9335.7543-0.49%38.67+7.63%0.0205✗1.27244k2022-03-16
XMRMoneroMonero183.37182.4714-0.49%189.66+3.43%0.0037✓0.931.7M2022-03-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.7735.7446-0.49%6.154+6.60%0.0233✗1.00460k2022-03-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.9414.9167-0.49%5.005+1.30%0.0242✓0.9276k2022-03-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.023950.023832-0.49%0.02474+3.30%0.0103✓1.05319k2022-03-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23480.233612-0.51%0.2435+3.71%0.0040✓0.822.0M2022-03-16
AVTAventusEthereum2.312.2983-0.51%2.28-1.30%0.0279✓0.44288k2022-03-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.67740.673878-0.52%0.7151+5.57%0.0004✓1.31106k2022-03-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072110.071733-0.52%0.07308+1.35%0.0297✓1.0660k2022-03-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3251.3179-0.53%1.428+7.77%0.0186✗1.35565k2022-03-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0196930.019587-0.54%0.017177-12.78%0.1697✓0.84143k2022-03-16
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5111.5029-0.54%1.646+8.93%0.0487✗0.933.4M2022-03-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3541.3466-0.55%1.51+11.52%0.0708✗0.96593k2022-03-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4811.4728-0.55%1.529+3.24%0.0069✓0.971.7M2022-03-16
ZECZcashZcash136.27135.5044-0.56%154.1+13.08%0.0865✗0.928.6M2022-03-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,500.0418,394.96-0.57%19,215.35+3.87%0.0016✓0.925.0M2022-03-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5024.4763-0.57%4.733+5.13%0.0137✗0.93107k2022-03-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05440.054088-0.57%0.0619+13.79%0.0580✗1.6942.5M2022-03-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.9126.7553-0.58%28.97+7.66%0.0281✗1.1341.1M2022-03-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.855.8163-0.58%6.02+2.91%0.0020✓0.71927k2022-03-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.49960.4967-0.58%0.5055+1.18%0.0164✓0.75436k2022-03-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.19140.190279-0.59%0.2037+6.43%0.0154✗1.162.3M2022-03-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.074590.074151-0.59%0.0732-1.86%0.0498✓0.819,6412022-03-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.08630.085791-0.59%0.0882+2.20%0.0282✓1.23522k2022-03-16
UMAUMAEthereum7.6387.5926-0.59%7.808+2.23%0.0316✓1.316.0M2022-03-16
STXStacksnative1.211.2028-0.60%1.28+5.79%0.0202✗0.92444k2022-03-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14510.144221-0.61%0.1519+4.69%0.0050✓1.03244k2022-03-16
GTGateEthereum6.3056.2667-0.61%6.5078+3.22%0.0082✗0.653.0M2022-03-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.31170.309771-0.62%0.3185+2.18%0.0319✓1.31857k2022-03-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum46.8646.5699-0.62%50.45+7.66%0.0235✗1.244.9M2022-03-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.927.8707-0.62%8.59+8.46%0.0554✗0.701.4M2022-03-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.04682.0339-0.63%2.1072+2.95%0.0035✓0.7016k2022-03-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.21510.213717-0.64%0.2394+11.30%0.0680✗1.00168k2022-03-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017620.017506-0.65%0.02106+19.52%0.1138✗1.5612.7M2022-03-16
ORCAOrcaSolana2.011.9968-0.66%2.1+4.48%0.0204✗0.66192k2022-03-16
CELLCellframeEthereum1.351.3411-0.66%1.413+4.67%0.0115✓1.40289k2022-03-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.011450.011374-0.67%0.011683+2.03%0.0163✓0.9511k2022-03-16
LUNATerraTerra 288.5787.9653-0.68%89.17+0.68%0.0506✓1.418.4M2022-03-16
XECeCashnative0.000079530.000078982-0.69%0.00008028+0.94%0.0273✓0.964.5M2022-03-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.71260.707543-0.71%0.7347+3.10%0.0182✓1.233.4M2022-03-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.02643.9977-0.71%4.1763+3.72%0.0016✓0.93198k2022-03-16
NANOnanopayBase1.71271.7004-0.72%2.3037+34.51%0.2543✗1.09118k2022-03-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.42590.422826-0.72%0.455+6.83%0.0192✗1.198.4M2022-03-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.88733.8592-0.72%4.461+14.76%0.1165✗0.622.6M2022-03-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.866.8103-0.72%6.49-5.39%0.0824✓0.75764k2022-03-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.4022.3843-0.74%2.488+3.58%0.0029✓1.0052k2022-03-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.035420.035154-0.75%0.03622+2.26%0.0027✓0.71979k2022-03-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.143610.142512-0.76%0.1473+2.57%0.0044✓0.8215k2022-03-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2333.2078-0.78%3.572+10.49%0.0751✗0.71344k2022-03-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33440.331757-0.79%0.3368+0.72%0.0538✓1.5110.5M2022-03-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011290.000001119-0.94%0.00000129+14.22%0.0969✗1.001.7M2022-03-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.536.4673-0.96%6.66+1.99%0.0048✓0.75789k2022-03-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5593.5229-1.02%3.975+11.69%0.0930✗0.61457k2022-03-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.784470.776432-1.02%0.82098+4.65%0.0051✓1.11111k2022-03-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.05543.0217-1.10%3.0607+0.17%0.0247✓0.834.7M2022-03-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.3595.2986-1.13%6.401+19.44%0.1687✗0.453.4M2022-03-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain8.2328.1268-1.28%8.8556+7.58%0.0404✗1.0031.1M2022-03-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4620.453882-1.76%0.447-3.25%0.0668✓1.131.8M2022-03-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.