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2022-03-11 · +1d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 157 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0412
157 of 157 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-5.61%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
55.4%
in alpha space · 49.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.21%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (157 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.014890.014886-0.03%0.014171-4.83%0.0507✓0.72143k2022-03-12
XEMNEMnative0.09350.093404-0.10%0.0933-0.21%0.0029✓0.8640k2022-03-12
MOVRMoonriverBase48.759148.703-0.12%48.5533-0.42%0.0059✓1.34193k2022-03-12
COMPCompoundEthereum102.07101.9517-0.12%102.32+0.24%0.0013✗1.1244k2022-03-12
UNIUniswapEthereum8.518.5001-0.12%8.45-0.71%0.0081✓1.056.4M2022-03-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,852.8038,803.69-0.13%39,000.00+0.38%0.0030✗0.9746k2022-03-12
KCSKuCoinnative18.1718.1442-0.14%18.015-0.85%0.0091✓0.958.4M2022-03-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022060.000022025-0.16%0.00002213+0.32%0.0022✗1.213.6M2022-03-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9590.957452-0.16%0.972+1.36%0.0132✗0.921.0M2022-03-12
MINAMina Protocolnative1.751.7471-0.17%1.71-2.29%0.0236✓1.05343k2022-03-12
MANADecentralandEthereum2.30332.2995-0.17%2.3104+0.31%0.0022✗1.212.6M2022-03-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.422.4157-0.18%2.375-1.86%0.0192✓1.06555k2022-03-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.31890.318301-0.19%0.3185-0.13%0.0020✓1.247.9M2022-03-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6360.634803-0.19%0.626-1.57%0.0159✓0.932.5M2022-03-12
UOSUltraEthereum1.15141.1492-0.19%1.1484-0.26%0.0035✓1.352.6M2022-03-12
SCSiacoinnative0.008790.008773-0.19%0.00875-0.46%0.0050✓1.12489k2022-03-12
ETHEthereumEthereum2,556.422,551.46-0.19%2,569.30+0.50%0.0048✗1.05518.1M2022-03-12
KSMKusamaHydration124.19123.9466-0.20%123.75-0.35%0.0040✓1.14671k2022-03-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1835910.183225-0.20%0.18515+0.85%0.0083✗1.0219.8M2022-03-12
QTUMQtumQtum5.87555.8636-0.20%5.817-1.00%0.0104✓1.16153k2022-03-12
RADRadworksEthereum4.444.4307-0.21%4.32-2.70%0.0272✓0.92521k2022-03-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.115390.115145-0.21%0.11473-0.57%0.0054✓0.873.3M2022-03-12
API3Api3Ethereum4.7764.7657-0.22%5.01+4.90%0.0487✗0.627.0M2022-03-12
XVSVenusEthereum8.548.5214-0.22%8.57+0.35%0.0034✗1.073.5M2022-03-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2620.261414-0.22%0.263+0.38%0.0036✗1.181.9M2022-03-12
CBKCobakEthereum2.1142.1092-0.23%2.126+0.57%0.0062✗0.8219k2022-03-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2260.225481-0.23%0.225-0.44%0.0039✓0.8554k2022-03-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.526.438-0.23%26.29-0.79%0.0077✓1.004.8M2022-03-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash287.73287.0538-0.24%290.92+1.11%0.0114✗0.947.2M2022-03-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.21860.218081-0.24%0.2192+0.27%0.0033✗0.861.9M2022-03-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.823.8108-0.24%3.76-1.57%0.0164✓1.45348k2022-03-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.70140.699697-0.24%0.7051+0.53%0.0055✗1.0618.5M2022-03-12
SUSHISushiEthereum2.892.8827-0.25%2.91+0.69%0.0071✗1.096.4M2022-03-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.1571.1541-0.25%1.181+2.07%0.0205✗1.242.2M2022-03-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039060.038957-0.26%0.039-0.15%0.0007✓0.8827k2022-03-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.488410.487113-0.27%0.494996+1.35%0.0139✗1.052.2M2022-03-12
AAVEAaveEthereum116.61116.3002-0.27%120.43+3.28%0.0323✗1.237.3M2022-03-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche71.2571.0591-0.27%70.94-0.44%0.0044✓1.33123.1M2022-03-12
TRXTRONTron0.0602030.060038-0.27%0.059631-0.95%0.0082✓0.68282k2022-03-12
XVGVergenative0.009390.009363-0.29%0.00964+2.66%0.0268✗1.151.5M2022-03-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.8413.799-0.30%13.7-1.01%0.0082✓0.463.2M2022-03-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.024680.024606-0.30%0.02468+0.00%0.0014✓0.753.2M2022-03-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01430.014257-0.30%0.01355-5.24%0.0538✓1.4112.7M2022-03-12
ADACardanoCardano0.78840.785995-0.31%0.7897+0.16%0.0025✓1.0373.7M2022-03-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,732.0438,612.34-0.31%38,813.02+0.21%0.0031✓1.00741.9M2022-03-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.971.9639-0.31%1.978+0.41%0.0044✗1.339.7M2022-03-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003530.003519-0.31%0.0035-0.85%0.0085✓1.485.4M2022-03-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11440.114042-0.31%0.1151+0.61%0.0067✗1.202.9M2022-03-12
QNTQuantEthereum113.22112.862-0.32%115.96+2.42%0.0251✗0.945.8M2022-03-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.3717.3144-0.32%17.68+1.78%0.0188✗1.006.7M2022-03-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.19620.195571-0.32%0.1934-1.43%0.0140✓1.362.2M2022-03-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7213.6751-0.33%13.59-0.95%0.0089✓1.282.3M2022-03-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.0115.9569-0.33%16.07+0.37%0.0049✗1.0516.1M2022-03-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV78.0477.7807-0.33%77.75-0.37%0.0020✓0.75899k2022-03-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.023010.022934-0.33%0.0232+0.83%0.0093✗1.09435k2022-03-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.0513.0061-0.34%13.16+0.84%0.0095✗1.1047.1M2022-03-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.590.588009-0.34%0.59+0.00%0.0000✓1.61798k2022-03-12
XYMSymbolnative0.13350.133048-0.34%0.1353+1.35%0.0151✗0.82294k2022-03-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.641.6344-0.34%1.63-0.61%0.0054✓1.281.4M2022-03-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8070.804221-0.34%0.777-3.72%0.0372✓1.342.1M2022-03-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin104.55104.1842-0.35%105.58+0.99%0.0112✗1.0226.6M2022-03-12
BANDBandEthereum3.443.4279-0.35%3.377-1.83%0.0174✓1.161.0M2022-03-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04720.047033-0.35%0.04815+2.01%0.0212✗1.10467k2022-03-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.39240.391014-0.35%0.3897-0.69%0.0074✓1.932.2M2022-03-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011860.011818-0.35%0.01176-0.84%0.0065✓0.7612k2022-03-12
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6621.6561-0.36%1.65-0.72%0.0054✓0.8364k2022-03-12
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1131.109-0.36%1.119+0.54%0.0069✗1.003.0M2022-03-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.29240.29135-0.36%0.2875-1.68%0.0161✓1.33857k2022-03-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.41520.413696-0.36%0.4107-1.08%0.0101✓1.37418k2022-03-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.717.6343-0.37%18.13+2.43%0.0254✗1.1225.2M2022-03-12
XTZTezosTezos2.98892.9776-0.38%3.0195+1.02%0.0116✗1.141.3M2022-03-12
SOLSolanaSolana80.780.3933-0.38%81.44+0.92%0.0103✗1.27106.0M2022-03-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.8922.8021-0.38%22.97+0.35%0.0046✗1.30997k2022-03-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.162.1516-0.39%2.16+0.00%0.0019✓0.98161k2022-03-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.7412.6902-0.39%12.71-0.24%0.0007✓1.09331k2022-03-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06610.06584-0.39%0.0665+0.61%0.0075✗1.18687k2022-03-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.71560.712767-0.40%0.7095-0.85%0.0053✓0.341.0M2022-03-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5910.5481-0.40%11.93+12.65%0.1219✗0.561.1M2022-03-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.061.0557-0.41%1.07+0.94%0.0112✗1.08599k2022-03-12
DODODODOEthereum0.3850.383413-0.41%0.377-2.08%0.0192✓1.133.4M2022-03-12
GITCOINGITCOIN5.5565.533-0.41%5.344-3.82%0.0375✓1.3425k2022-03-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06960.06931-0.42%0.0679-2.44%0.0226✓0.96151k2022-03-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.8245.7997-0.42%5.812-0.21%0.0000✓1.00523k2022-03-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0400590.039891-0.42%0.039692-0.92%0.0071✓0.995.8M2022-03-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.9127.7929-0.42%27.62-1.04%0.0081✓0.91959k2022-03-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.8117.735-0.42%17.7-0.62%0.0048✓1.35280k2022-03-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.3264.3078-0.42%4.45+2.87%0.0310✗0.73498k2022-03-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.855.8251-0.43%5.85+0.00%0.0027✓0.751.0M2022-03-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.67060.667746-0.43%0.6724+0.27%0.0043✗1.273.1M2022-03-12
DIADIAEthereum0.930.926018-0.43%0.9-3.23%0.0292✓0.35274k2022-03-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.655840.652948-0.44%0.66287+1.07%0.0126✗1.17127k2022-03-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.286.2523-0.44%6.54+4.14%0.0434✗0.78625k2022-03-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.068310.068001-0.45%0.06846+0.22%0.0049✗0.8613k2022-03-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.091150.090736-0.45%0.09108-0.08%0.0019✓0.9237k2022-03-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.83625.8096-0.45%5.8489+0.22%0.0059✗0.40201k2022-03-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.495.4649-0.46%5.69+3.64%0.0388✗0.75604k2022-03-12
BTTCBTTC0.000001780.000001772-0.46%0.00000178+0.00%0.0033✓0.6213.3M2022-03-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017140.017061-0.46%0.01679-2.04%0.0181✓0.991.5M2022-03-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.71110.707802-0.46%0.7-1.56%0.0132✓1.007.9M2022-03-12
DASHDashDash94.9594.5088-0.46%99.09+4.36%0.0452✗1.001.5M2022-03-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7784.7556-0.47%4.691-1.82%0.0157✓0.9676k2022-03-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.575.5438-0.47%5.31-4.67%0.0459✓1.36610k2022-03-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3071.3008-0.48%1.318+0.84%0.0102✗1.41596k2022-03-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011510.011455-0.48%0.01145-0.52%0.0030✓1.243.2M2022-03-12
HIVEHivenative0.86610.861898-0.49%0.8661+0.00%0.0025✓1.141.9M2022-03-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.69780.694378-0.49%0.69-1.12%0.0092✓1.37120k2022-03-12
FTTFTXEthereum40.8140.6097-0.49%40.93+0.29%0.0057✗1.0517.0M2022-03-12
XMRMoneroMonero170.68169.838-0.49%184.77+8.26%0.0824✗0.921.5M2022-03-12
SGBSongbirdnative0.06660.066269-0.50%0.0644-3.30%0.0307✓1.00374k2022-03-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.25850.257211-0.50%0.2576-0.35%0.0009✓1.15220k2022-03-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.07870.078305-0.50%0.0788+0.13%0.0034✓1.40494k2022-03-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum45.945.6684-0.50%46.61+1.55%0.0178✗1.265.4M2022-03-12
XECeCashnative0.00007310.000072729-0.51%0.00007339+0.40%0.0070✗1.004.2M2022-03-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3211.3142-0.51%1.329+0.61%0.0092✗0.98739k2022-03-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.966520.961503-0.52%1.0261+6.17%0.0626✗1.16112k2022-03-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.071180.070806-0.53%0.07134+0.22%0.0052✓1.1054k2022-03-12
PROPropyEthereum1.511.502-0.53%1.47-2.65%0.0239✓1.13317k2022-03-12
AVTAventusEthereum2.192.1784-0.53%2.18-0.46%0.0001✓0.40288k2022-03-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5944.5695-0.53%4.615+0.46%0.0079✗0.94123k2022-03-12
UMAUMAEthereum7.0757.0366-0.54%7.768+9.80%0.0961✗1.323.7M2022-03-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1110.110385-0.55%0.109-1.80%0.0138✓0.5444k2022-03-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50090.498079-0.56%0.4939-1.40%0.0101✓0.80456k2022-03-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4641.4557-0.56%1.467+0.20%0.0056✓1.021.8M2022-03-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.7412.7255-0.56%2.927+6.79%0.0696✗0.80330k2022-03-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.48160.478824-0.58%0.479-0.54%0.0017✓1.004,8972022-03-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.05292.0409-0.58%1.9953-2.81%0.0242✓0.7520k2022-03-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1654.1405-0.59%4.182+0.41%0.0073✗1.272.2M2022-03-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0118620.011792-0.59%0.01151-2.97%0.0263✓1.0011k2022-03-12
LSKLiskEthereum2.11552.1027-0.60%2.1318+0.77%0.0119✗0.85109k2022-03-12
GTGateEthereum6.3286.2891-0.61%6.4519+1.96%0.0242✗0.672.8M2022-03-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14890.147984-0.62%0.1478-0.74%0.0034✓1.04267k2022-03-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.21360.212284-0.62%0.2139+0.14%0.0055✓1.00168k2022-03-12
ZENHorizenBase37.8637.6228-0.63%37.48-1.00%0.0065✓1.31280k2022-03-12
ORCAOrcaSolana2.092.0768-0.63%2.06-1.44%0.0096✓0.69213k2022-03-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.19310.191874-0.64%0.2006+3.88%0.0420✗1.202.3M2022-03-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,538.1118,420.16-0.64%18,392.25-0.79%0.0035✓0.955.4M2022-03-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05760.057216-0.67%0.0539-6.42%0.0633✓1.7352.1M2022-03-12
NANOnanopayBase1.68741.6758-0.69%1.7181+1.82%0.0227✗1.08139k2022-03-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.4727.281-0.69%27.21-0.95%0.0050✓1.1646.0M2022-03-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.31520.312984-0.70%0.2995-4.98%0.0470✓1.4210.7M2022-03-12
CELLCellframeEthereum1.48671.476-0.72%1.3548-8.87%0.0885✓1.32289k2022-03-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.4982.4798-0.73%2.65+6.08%0.0643✗1.0052k2022-03-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8692.8478-0.74%3.05+6.31%0.0670✗0.75427k2022-03-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.46083.4351-0.74%4.1135+18.86%0.1788✗0.683.4M2022-03-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.57492.555-0.77%2.7465+6.66%0.0706✗0.813.6M2022-03-12
LUNATerraTerra 288.2887.5956-0.78%86.03-2.55%0.0210✓1.427.0M2022-03-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.06284.031-0.78%3.9946-1.68%0.0111✓0.97207k2022-03-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.155360.154123-0.80%0.14642-5.75%0.0531✓0.8816k2022-03-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.847.7775-0.80%8.14+3.83%0.0440✗0.74807k2022-03-12
IMXImmutableEthereum1.7051.6911-0.81%1.865+9.38%0.0958✗0.973.3M2022-03-12
ZECZcashZcash153.51152.2162-0.84%151.6-1.24%0.0062✓1.017.4M2022-03-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.040780.04043-0.86%0.04102+0.59%0.0129✗0.741.1M2022-03-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011640.000001153-0.99%0.000001086-6.71%0.0615✓1.001.4M2022-03-12
STXStacksnative1.361.3433-1.23%1.32-2.94%0.0194✓0.90419k2022-03-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7073.6527-1.47%5.032+35.74%0.3188✗0.732.4M2022-03-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.7615.6091-2.64%6.597+14.51%0.1612✗0.491.5M2022-03-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain8.89288.5883-3.42%9.5289+7.15%0.1018✗1.0014.1M2022-03-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.