8=======>

2022-03-04 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 152 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1466
152 of 152 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.93%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
17.1%
in alpha space · 3.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+18.53%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (152 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034510.030451-11.76%0.04199+21.67%0.1939✗0.751.1M2022-04-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.37e-76.53e-7-11.37%8.75e-7+18.71%0.1222✗1.001.0M2022-04-03
ORCAOrcaSolana2.362.1008-10.98%2.42+2.54%0.0122✓0.76393k2022-04-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34640.311144-10.18%0.4797+38.48%0.1582✗1.6214.3M2022-04-03
LUNATerraTerra 283.4975.1482-9.99%112.95+35.29%0.1696✗1.405.0M2022-04-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.150630.135649-9.95%0.16861+11.94%0.0594✓0.9321k2022-04-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0113910.010306-9.52%0.01674+46.96%0.3157✗1.0013k2022-04-03
FIDABonfidaSolana1.7991.6304-9.37%2.097+16.56%0.0998✗0.8968k2022-04-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06920.062902-9.10%0.0912+31.79%0.1604✗1.241.0M2022-04-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.73262.4917-8.81%6.9113+152.92%0.8502✗1.0012.7M2022-04-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.5127.8864-8.60%31.97+4.79%0.0650✓1.1952.8M2022-04-03
PROPropyEthereum1.761.6104-8.50%1.62-7.95%0.1891✓1.15411k2022-04-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0040.003661-8.47%0.00586+46.50%0.1960✗1.616.6M2022-04-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0441480.040455-8.36%0.042776-3.11%0.1207✓1.048.1M2022-04-03
NANOnanopayBase1.75291.6117-8.06%2.7226+55.32%0.3341✗1.12171k2022-04-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.50672.3112-7.80%3.2752+30.66%0.2109✗0.812.9M2022-04-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.416.0469-7.78%14.88-14.48%0.1769✓0.602.8M2022-04-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.78170.723251-7.48%1.0868+39.03%0.3551✗0.311.2M2022-04-03
UMAUMAEthereum9.2168.5274-7.47%8.243-10.56%0.2635✓1.352.0M2022-04-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.171.0826-7.47%1.66+41.88%0.2569✗1.00770k2022-04-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.26230.242849-7.42%0.3838+46.32%0.2491✗1.23284k2022-04-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.73540.6815-7.33%1.1852+61.16%0.3061✗1.45227k2022-04-03
STXStacksnative1.111.0291-7.28%1.54+38.74%0.2050✗1.17517k2022-04-03
MOVRMoonriverBase60.232755.86-7.26%84.4145+40.15%0.1809✗1.37223k2022-04-03
DODODODOEthereum0.4120.382225-7.23%0.567+37.62%0.1946✗1.184.1M2022-04-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014430.01341-7.07%0.02998+107.76%0.5547✗1.4712.7M2022-04-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.53795.1509-6.99%6.0109+8.54%0.0905✗0.38300k2022-04-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos54.6535-6.93%6.929+38.58%0.2343✗0.96166k2022-04-03
BTTCBTTC0.000001830.000001703-6.93%0.00000223+21.86%0.1611✗0.6413.7M2022-04-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.6826.7156-6.85%31.41+9.52%0.0024✓0.941.5M2022-04-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.52920.493206-6.80%0.625+18.10%0.0979✗0.82545k2022-04-03
AVTAventusEthereum2.722.5353-6.79%2.57-5.51%0.1564✓1.00443k2022-04-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14720.137499-6.59%0.1674+13.72%0.0243✓1.01330k2022-04-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.03041.8967-6.59%2.686+32.29%0.2233✗0.7325k2022-04-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.96783.7147-6.38%5.9944+51.08%0.2941✗1.09244k2022-04-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum49.746.5858-6.27%66.65+34.10%0.1364✗1.306.3M2022-04-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.650.609822-6.18%0.87+33.85%0.0700✗1.68988k2022-04-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.654010.613925-6.13%0.95188+45.55%0.2140✗1.32180k2022-04-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3173.1157-6.07%6.175+86.16%0.5953✗0.52955k2022-04-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.517.9961-6.04%9.56+12.34%0.0458✓0.78480k2022-04-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.08510.079969-6.03%0.1306+53.47%0.2359✗1.50592k2022-04-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3581.2766-5.99%1.882+38.59%0.1347✗1.49797k2022-04-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3481.2687-5.88%1.982+47.03%0.2715✗1.03917k2022-04-03
ADACardanoCardano0.8450.795894-5.81%1.1865+40.41%0.2137✗1.0992.2M2022-04-03
CELLCellframeEthereum1.42431.3416-5.81%1.8876+32.53%0.1228✗1.29293k2022-04-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1050.099002-5.71%0.216+105.71%0.6789✗0.6044k2022-04-03
XTZTezosTezos3.07892.9049-5.65%4.0439+31.34%0.1193✗1.241.7M2022-04-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.19520.18426-5.60%0.2839+45.44%0.2188✗1.262.7M2022-04-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.088930.083964-5.58%0.12336+38.72%0.2203✗0.9742k2022-04-03
DIADIAEthereum0.970.915991-5.57%1.15+18.56%0.1719✗0.33277k2022-04-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73040.690312-5.49%1.3064+78.86%0.4179✗1.292.7M2022-04-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.222.0984-5.48%2.79+25.68%0.1148✗1.00242k2022-04-03
ZECZcashZcash117.05110.6668-5.45%179.62+53.46%0.2981✗1.107.4M2022-04-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.350.331072-5.41%0.5002+42.91%0.1780✗1.381.2M2022-04-03
BANDBandEthereum3.723.5188-5.41%5.398+45.11%0.2239✗1.201.7M2022-04-03
IMXImmutableEthereum1.321.2498-5.32%2.612+97.88%0.5599✗1.043.4M2022-04-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.6216.6831-5.32%22.64+28.49%0.1183✗1.1019.5M2022-04-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02770.026235-5.29%0.03659+32.09%0.1278✗1.21503k2022-04-03
API3Api3Ethereum6.3115.987-5.13%5.42-14.12%0.1980✓0.587.0M2022-04-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.710.673826-5.09%0.9011+26.92%0.1166✗1.029.6M2022-04-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.092.9351-5.01%5.278+70.81%0.3976✗1.11660k2022-04-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.825.5289-5.00%8.24+41.58%0.1665✗1.37829k2022-04-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,859.0118,875.99-4.95%25,227.83+27.03%0.1257✗0.975.8M2022-04-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.721.6353-4.92%2.55+48.26%0.2195✗1.321.9M2022-04-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11690.111201-4.88%0.2643+126.09%0.6604✗1.213.2M2022-04-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.90911.8185-4.74%2.6869+40.74%0.2264✗0.9682k2022-04-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.76050.724502-4.73%0.9353+22.98%0.0651✗1.1219.7M2022-04-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.064380.06134-4.72%0.09761+51.62%0.2654✗1.1760k2022-04-03
SOLSolanaSolana88.3284.1753-4.69%136.94+55.05%0.2702✗1.27121.6M2022-04-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.2117.3644-4.64%28.7+57.61%0.2702✗1.37325k2022-04-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8772.7438-4.63%4.271+48.45%0.3068✗0.80457k2022-04-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.8621.8156-4.57%29.52+29.13%0.0722✗1.351.4M2022-04-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin101.0596.4648-4.54%128.77+27.43%0.1076✗1.0729.3M2022-04-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.240.229341-4.44%0.315+31.25%0.1832✗0.7966k2022-04-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4131.3502-4.44%2.108+49.19%0.2618✗1.081.8M2022-04-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05660.054109-4.40%0.0703+24.20%0.0316✓1.7366.8M2022-04-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6183.4588-4.40%7.318+102.27%0.5439✗1.212.1M2022-04-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash290.67278.0127-4.35%378.78+30.31%0.1492✗0.947.3M2022-04-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06790.06497-4.32%0.0934+37.56%0.2069✗0.9213k2022-04-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.8218.0107-4.30%25.44+35.18%0.1721✗1.029.1M2022-04-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.15.839-4.28%7.36+20.66%0.0995✗0.781.1M2022-04-03
SUSHISushiEthereum3.042.9117-4.22%4.45+46.38%0.2197✗1.206.5M2022-04-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.2614.6189-4.20%20.95+37.29%0.1270✗1.372.4M2022-04-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.053.881-4.17%6.04+49.14%0.1909✗1.48458k2022-04-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.037810.036246-4.14%0.05648+49.38%0.2888✗0.9129k2022-04-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017610.016886-4.11%0.02267+28.73%0.1163✗1.052.2M2022-04-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.2090.200483-4.08%0.2867+37.18%0.1107✗1.452.5M2022-04-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche75.8272.7778-4.01%98.06+29.33%0.0626✗1.39123.1M2022-04-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.02660.025554-3.93%0.02779+4.47%0.0474✓0.774.0M2022-04-03
XYMSymbolnative0.14050.135014-3.90%0.1466+4.34%0.0550✓0.81299k2022-04-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.4380.421084-3.86%0.5992+36.80%0.0049✓2.052.3M2022-04-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.276.0279-3.86%6.66+6.22%0.0393✓0.82518k2022-04-03
MANADecentralandEthereum2.47812.3832-3.83%2.7228+9.88%0.0828✓1.273.1M2022-04-03
UOSUltraEthereum1.25761.2095-3.82%1.3337+6.06%0.1387✓1.393.1M2022-04-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.7413.2265-3.74%18.08+31.59%0.1165✗1.1550.1M2022-04-03
ETHEthereumEthereum2,623.072,525.64-3.71%3,522.78+34.30%0.1485✗1.08561.7M2022-04-03
COMPCompoundEthereum108.79104.7584-3.71%171.15+57.32%0.2914✗1.1757k2022-04-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2522.1686-3.70%2.95+30.99%0.0654✗1.4312.7M2022-04-03
DASHDashDash89.5986.2725-3.70%132.72+48.14%0.2481✗1.071.5M2022-04-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45040.433766-3.69%0.727+61.41%0.2779✗1.40452k2022-04-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.340.327457-3.69%0.5174+52.18%0.2356✗1.318.7M2022-04-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4951140.476879-3.68%0.913+84.40%0.4655✗1.082.8M2022-04-03
FTTFTXEthereum40.539.0163-3.66%50.42+24.49%0.0698✗1.1019.7M2022-04-03
MINAMina Protocolnative2.021.9468-3.63%2.79+38.12%0.1697✗1.12354k2022-04-03
XECeCashnative0.000070610.000068093-3.56%0.00011601+64.30%0.3545✗1.054.5M2022-04-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV79.3676.545-3.55%100.38+26.49%0.1319✗0.82908k2022-04-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011110.010721-3.50%0.01493+34.38%0.1028✗1.342.9M2022-04-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4384.2836-3.48%8.603+93.85%0.5641✗0.78463k2022-04-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.6326.6843-3.42%46.7+69.02%0.3829✗1.045.2M2022-04-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000023530.000022735-3.38%0.00002678+13.81%0.0462✓1.243.9M2022-04-03
GITCOINGITCOIN5.8515.6562-3.33%8.262+41.21%0.1493✗1.3525k2022-04-03
XVGVergenative0.009440.00913-3.28%0.01411+49.47%0.2346✗1.181.4M2022-04-03
QTUMQtumQtum5.92545.7361-3.20%8.544+44.19%0.1835✗1.26226k2022-04-03
KSMKusamaHydration120.67116.841-3.17%201.73+67.17%0.3552✗1.12910k2022-04-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.780.755296-3.17%1.266+62.31%0.3048✗1.252.4M2022-04-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.00932.915-3.13%4.356+44.75%0.2751✗0.742.4M2022-04-03
CBKCobakEthereum2.1342.0683-3.08%2.888+35.33%0.1916✗0.8423k2022-04-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.7916.2744-3.07%23.21+38.24%0.1560✗1.1726.4M2022-04-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012110.01174-3.06%0.01334+10.16%0.0007✓0.7613k2022-04-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.3710.0535-3.05%17.59+69.62%0.4589✗0.59984k2022-04-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2350.227885-3.03%0.3141+33.66%0.1682✗0.902.0M2022-04-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2740.265827-2.98%0.605+120.80%0.6101✗1.252.1M2022-04-03
HIVEHivenative0.90480.877937-2.97%1.1996+32.58%0.1068✗1.212.1M2022-04-03
XMRMoneroMonero159.78155.0986-2.93%216.72+35.64%0.1663✗0.991.4M2022-04-03
ZENHorizenBase33.6132.629-2.92%49.61+47.60%0.1789✗1.41280k2022-04-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1141.0817-2.90%1.528+37.16%0.1669✗1.053.0M2022-04-03
QNTQuantEthereum118.5115.1247-2.85%140.03+18.17%0.0235✓1.016.3M2022-04-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.01772.934-2.77%5.0595+67.66%0.4189✗0.743.6M2022-04-03
SCSiacoinnative0.008470.008236-2.76%0.01401+65.41%0.3327✗1.17546k2022-04-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1223920.119108-2.68%0.146332+19.56%0.0523✗0.903.7M2022-04-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8832.8077-2.61%3.961+37.39%0.2026✗0.83276k2022-04-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.3812.0576-2.60%16.85+36.11%0.1483✗1.10312k2022-04-03
STORJStorjEthereum0.949430.925406-2.53%1.4552+53.27%0.2374✗1.27162k2022-04-03
AAVEAaveEthereum124.3121.191-2.50%243.27+95.71%0.4756✗1.307.2M2022-04-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.047350.046169-2.49%0.05655+19.43%0.0078✓1.15605k2022-04-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0391.0136-2.44%1.714+64.97%0.3567✗0.991.2M2022-04-03
GTGateEthereum6.68186.5214-2.40%6.9988+4.74%0.0473✓0.692.8M2022-04-03
XLMStellarStellar0.176060.172157-2.22%0.237085+34.66%0.1414✗1.0519.8M2022-04-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,166.5138,314.42-2.18%46,422.16+18.53%0.0220✓1.00706.4M2022-04-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06710.06572-2.06%0.1561+132.64%0.6972✗0.99159k2022-04-03
XVSVenusEthereum8.588.4145-1.93%12.8+49.18%0.2184✗1.183.6M2022-04-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.385.2843-1.78%7.92+47.21%0.2655✗0.82584k2022-04-03
TRXTRONTron0.0582640.05723-1.77%0.073061+25.40%0.1185✗0.74307k2022-04-03
UNIUniswapEthereum8.818.6667-1.63%11.88+34.85%0.1252✗1.129.2M2022-04-03
KCSKuCoinnative18.23817.9426-1.62%21.35+17.06%0.0035✓1.009.1M2022-04-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.690.679007-1.59%0.954+38.26%0.1763✗0.962.6M2022-04-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,591.9039,045.22-1.38%46,759.40+18.10%0.0168✗0.9659k2022-04-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0185940.018337-1.38%0.028607+53.85%0.3022✗0.84143k2022-04-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3461.3289-1.27%1.893+40.64%0.1463✗1.222.4M2022-04-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.974.9086-1.24%5.866+18.03%0.0177✗0.9472k2022-04-03
XEMNEMnative0.0960.095077-0.96%0.1227+27.81%0.1034✗0.8940k2022-04-03
RADRadworksEthereum5.075.0254-0.88%6.05+19.33%0.0184✗0.98862k2022-04-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.