8=======>

2022-03-03 · +1d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 152 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0678
152 of 152 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.43%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
18.4%
in alpha space · 91.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.77%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (152 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UMAUMAEthereum9.5989.4717-1.32%9.216-3.98%0.0854✗1.401.9M2022-03-04
LUNATerraTerra 290.5689.56-1.10%83.49-7.81%0.0448✗1.425.0M2022-03-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80580.797199-1.07%0.7304-9.36%0.0223✗1.362.7M2022-03-04
PROPropyEthereum1.921.9025-0.91%1.76-8.33%0.0159✗1.16411k2022-03-04
FIDABonfidaSolana1.9761.9588-0.87%1.799-8.96%0.0158✓0.8676k2022-03-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos34.0133.7174-0.86%30.51-10.29%0.0017✓1.2150.3M2022-03-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.0950.094203-0.84%0.0851-10.42%0.0187✗1.49613k2022-03-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.88e-76.82e-7-0.84%7.37e-7+7.11%0.1579✗1.001.0M2022-03-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.7732.75-0.83%2.5067-9.60%0.0233✓0.862.9M2022-03-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034350.034066-0.83%0.03451+0.47%0.0823✗0.861.1M2022-03-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.36870.365675-0.82%0.3464-6.05%0.0805✗1.6714.6M2022-03-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2730.270867-0.78%0.24-12.09%0.0541✓0.8366k2022-03-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004560.004525-0.76%0.004-12.28%0.0079✗1.627.7M2022-03-04
LSKLiskEthereum2.10752.0918-0.74%1.9091-9.42%0.0099✓1.0179k2022-03-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.637.5767-0.70%8.51+11.53%0.1915✗0.93480k2022-03-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.8650.859009-0.69%0.7817-9.63%0.0745✓0.241.2M2022-03-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.161470.160396-0.67%0.15063-6.71%0.0247✗1.0821k2022-03-04
NANOnanopayBase1.8681.8556-0.66%1.7529-6.16%0.0394✗1.19177k2022-03-04
STXStacksnative1.211.202-0.66%1.11-8.26%0.0164✗1.19552k2022-03-04
ZECZcashZcash129.17128.3238-0.66%117.05-9.38%0.0038✓1.097.4M2022-03-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.28240.280666-0.61%0.2623-7.12%0.0367✗1.29284k2022-03-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.9719.8474-0.61%17.62-11.77%0.0272✓1.1420.0M2022-03-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.26364.2377-0.61%3.9678-6.94%0.0261✗1.14244k2022-03-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.0843.066-0.58%3.09+0.19%0.1082✗1.24612k2022-03-04
ORCAOrcaSolana2.462.4457-0.58%2.36-4.07%0.0301✗0.81402k2022-03-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.5451.5362-0.57%1.346-12.88%0.0362✓1.192.3M2022-03-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.241.233-0.57%1.17-5.65%0.0311✗1.03782k2022-03-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1180.117335-0.56%0.105-11.02%0.0682✓0.5344k2022-03-04
XTZTezosTezos3.39373.3748-0.56%3.0789-9.28%0.0117✗1.281.8M2022-03-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.382.3668-0.56%2.22-6.72%0.0164✗1.00254k2022-03-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.55010.547107-0.54%0.5292-3.80%0.0382✗0.88561k2022-03-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15590.155058-0.54%0.1472-5.58%0.0314✗1.03366k2022-03-04
MOVRMoonriverBase66.587866.2286-0.54%60.2327-9.54%0.0166✗1.38231k2022-03-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0119530.011889-0.53%0.011391-4.70%0.0410✗1.0414k2022-03-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.62065.5908-0.53%5.5379-1.47%0.0154✗0.31335k2022-03-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07250.072121-0.52%0.0692-4.55%0.0641✗1.301.0M2022-03-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.5845.5551-0.52%5-10.46%0.0201✓1.05179k2022-03-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,698.8621,586.58-0.52%19,859.01-8.48%0.0044✓0.986.1M2022-03-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8732.8582-0.52%3.317+15.45%0.2132✗0.80864k2022-03-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018770.018674-0.51%0.01761-6.18%0.0306✗1.102.2M2022-03-04
AVTAventusEthereum2.382.368-0.51%2.72+14.29%0.2195✗1.00443k2022-03-04
BTTCBTTC0.00000190.00000189-0.51%0.00000183-3.68%0.0214✗0.6713.5M2022-03-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0469370.046701-0.50%0.044148-5.94%0.0281✗1.048.1M2022-03-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.78640.782455-0.50%0.7354-6.49%0.0538✗1.43238k2022-03-04
COMPCompoundEthereum116.89116.3061-0.50%108.79-6.93%0.0323✗1.2364k2022-03-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06370.063389-0.49%0.0566-11.15%0.0286✗1.7568.8M2022-03-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.7719.6759-0.48%18.21-7.89%0.0393✗1.44325k2022-03-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.012.9957-0.48%2.7326-9.22%0.0111✓1.0014.1M2022-03-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.19710.196165-0.47%0.1952-0.96%0.1045✗1.352.7M2022-03-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.28992.2792-0.47%2.0304-11.33%0.0605✓0.6826k2022-03-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.47220.470011-0.46%0.438-7.24%0.0922✗2.012.2M2022-03-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.851.8414-0.46%1.72-7.03%0.0433✗1.382.0M2022-03-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.069830.069513-0.45%0.06438-7.80%0.0228✗1.2364k2022-03-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.4216.3467-0.45%17.4+5.97%0.1198✗0.712.6M2022-03-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.71130.708126-0.45%0.65401-8.05%0.0296✗1.35200k2022-03-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.79670.793161-0.44%0.7605-4.54%0.0485✗1.1219.9M2022-03-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4371.4307-0.44%1.348-6.19%0.0288✗1.09931k2022-03-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.0529.9194-0.43%28.68-4.56%0.0343✗0.951.5M2022-03-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.336.3025-0.43%6.27-0.95%0.0669✗0.89486k2022-03-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum53.3153.0797-0.43%49.7-6.77%0.0396✗1.306.5M2022-03-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.424.401-0.43%4.05-8.37%0.0368✗1.48471k2022-03-04
FTTFTXEthereum44.8644.6684-0.43%40.5-9.72%0.0116✓1.0720.8M2022-03-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.9412.9285-0.43%2.877-2.18%0.0521✗0.86457k2022-03-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.5082.4973-0.42%2.252-10.21%0.0141✗1.4513.2M2022-03-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.3810.379406-0.42%0.35-8.14%0.0375✗1.461.3M2022-03-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5231.5167-0.41%1.413-7.22%0.0231✗1.162.0M2022-03-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07250.072204-0.41%0.0679-6.34%0.0186✗0.9914k2022-03-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039670.039509-0.41%0.03781-4.69%0.0348✗0.9729k2022-03-04
DASHDashDash96.7596.3594-0.40%89.59-7.40%0.0188✗1.131.5M2022-03-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.027530.02742-0.40%0.0266-3.38%0.0315✗0.774.0M2022-03-04
DODODODOEthereum0.4480.446206-0.40%0.412-8.04%0.0242✗1.294.2M2022-03-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.3213.2678-0.39%12.38-7.06%0.0248✗1.16312k2022-03-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02830.028191-0.39%0.0277-2.12%0.0888✗1.32503k2022-03-04
MANADecentralandEthereum2.63682.6267-0.38%2.4781-6.02%0.0369✗1.183.2M2022-03-04
SOLSolanaSolana95.6195.2434-0.38%88.32-7.62%0.0253✗1.25127.4M2022-03-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.720.717278-0.38%0.65-9.72%0.0396✗1.71988k2022-03-04
XMRMoneroMonero172.04171.3955-0.37%159.78-7.13%0.0104✗1.001.3M2022-03-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.346.3162-0.37%5.82-8.20%0.0305✗1.39909k2022-03-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.49430.492449-0.37%0.4504-8.88%0.0241✗1.40465k2022-03-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.093370.093024-0.37%0.08893-4.76%0.0389✗1.0442k2022-03-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.75960.756798-0.37%0.71-6.53%0.0248✗1.109.7M2022-03-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4791.4736-0.37%1.358-8.18%0.0344✗1.44797k2022-03-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.22830.227462-0.37%0.209-8.45%0.0333✗1.462.5M2022-03-04
BANDBandEthereum3.9623.9475-0.37%3.72-6.11%0.0454✗1.301.7M2022-03-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011990.011946-0.36%0.01111-7.34%0.0383✗1.372.9M2022-03-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.2530.1406-0.36%27.63-8.66%0.0008✓1.075.3M2022-03-04
QNTQuantEthereum127.04126.5829-0.36%118.5-6.72%0.0118✗0.966.3M2022-03-04
UOSUltraEthereum1.40911.404-0.36%1.2576-10.75%0.0026✓1.333.1M2022-03-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4184.4022-0.36%4.438+0.45%0.0767✗0.85453k2022-03-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV83.4583.1547-0.35%79.36-4.90%0.0211✗0.84908k2022-03-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8822.8718-0.35%2.883+0.03%0.0762✗0.89239k2022-03-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1295790.129121-0.35%0.122392-5.55%0.0226✗0.943.7M2022-03-04
ADACardanoCardano0.90210.898916-0.35%0.845-6.33%0.0276✗1.1194.8M2022-03-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8083.7947-0.35%3.618-4.99%0.0533✗1.252.1M2022-03-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1741.1699-0.35%1.114-5.11%0.0463✗1.182.9M2022-03-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash315.29314.2078-0.34%290.67-7.81%0.0002✓0.977.3M2022-03-04
GITCOINGITCOIN6.3636.3412-0.34%5.851-8.05%0.0305✗1.3726k2022-03-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.1320.0611-0.34%18.82-6.51%0.0257✗1.119.1M2022-03-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.314.2512-0.34%15.26+6.71%0.1863✗1.462.2M2022-03-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.1825.0944-0.34%22.86-9.21%0.0165✗1.361.4M2022-03-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin111.69111.3134-0.34%101.05-9.53%0.0081✓1.1029.3M2022-03-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12210.121689-0.34%0.1169-4.26%0.0648✗1.303.2M2022-03-04
UNIUniswapEthereum9.559.5182-0.33%8.81-7.75%0.0169✗1.179.6M2022-03-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8520.849167-0.33%0.78-8.45%0.0262✗1.382.4M2022-03-04
ZENHorizenBase38.1838.0535-0.33%33.61-11.97%0.0084✓1.43280k2022-03-04
GTGateEthereum6.79496.7724-0.33%6.6818-1.66%0.0423✗0.692.8M2022-03-04
XVGVergenative0.010010.009978-0.32%0.00944-5.69%0.0457✗1.251.4M2022-03-04
XYMSymbolnative0.1460.14553-0.32%0.1405-3.77%0.0293✗0.80296k2022-03-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.0710.0377-0.32%10.37+2.98%0.0853✗0.65928k2022-03-04
API3Api3Ethereum7.3157.2915-0.32%6.311-13.73%0.1044✓0.505.7M2022-03-04
KSMKusamaHydration131.9131.4805-0.32%120.67-8.51%0.0075✗1.15953k2022-03-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95192.9426-0.32%3.0093+1.94%0.0938✗0.882.4M2022-03-04
RADRadworksEthereum5.515.4926-0.32%5.07-7.99%0.0008✓0.98828k2022-03-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2490.248216-0.31%0.235-5.62%0.0197✗0.922.0M2022-03-04
MINAMina Protocolnative2.042.0337-0.31%2.02-0.98%0.0885✗1.18354k2022-03-04
CBKCobakEthereum2.2122.2052-0.31%2.134-3.53%0.0420✗0.9326k2022-03-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5346190.532974-0.31%0.495114-7.39%0.0183✗1.142.8M2022-03-04
SUSHISushiEthereum3.33.29-0.30%3.04-7.88%0.0224✗1.256.6M2022-03-04
ETHEthereumEthereum2,833.662,825.15-0.30%2,623.07-7.43%0.0098✗1.04561.7M2022-03-04
IMXImmutableEthereum1.461.4558-0.29%1.32-9.59%0.0138✓1.043.4M2022-03-04
CELLCellframeEthereum1.64971.645-0.28%1.4243-13.66%0.0429✓1.25293k2022-03-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.0317.9791-0.28%16.79-6.88%0.0297✗1.2127.0M2022-03-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.952.9417-0.28%3.0177+2.29%0.0957✗0.873.6M2022-03-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.8914.8482-0.28%13.74-7.72%0.0178✗1.1850.4M2022-03-04
HIVEHivenative0.97960.97687-0.28%0.9048-7.64%0.0161✗1.152.1M2022-03-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.426.4021-0.28%6.1-4.98%0.0015✓0.581.2M2022-03-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2950.294179-0.28%0.274-7.12%0.0355✗1.322.2M2022-03-04
DIADIAEthereum1.051.0471-0.28%0.97-7.62%0.0563✓0.25279k2022-03-04
STORJStorjEthereum1.04761.0447-0.28%0.94943-9.37%0.0097✗1.30175k2022-03-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1879010.187388-0.27%0.17606-6.30%0.0248✗1.0819.8M2022-03-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.050730.050594-0.27%0.04735-6.66%0.0305✗1.20641k2022-03-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2315.217-0.27%4.97-4.99%0.0300✗0.9771k2022-03-04
QTUMQtumQtum6.39226.3751-0.27%5.9254-7.30%0.0346✗1.33257k2022-03-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012360.012327-0.26%0.01211-2.02%0.0458✗0.7913k2022-03-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025070.000025006-0.25%0.00002353-6.14%0.0411✗1.263.9M2022-03-04
AAVEAaveEthereum129.96129.6312-0.25%124.3-4.36%0.0663✗1.346.8M2022-03-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0720.071819-0.25%0.0671-6.81%0.0149✗1.02157k2022-03-04
TRXTRONTron0.0600320.059882-0.25%0.058264-2.95%0.0349✗0.77307k2022-03-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202580.020208-0.25%0.018594-8.21%0.0140✓0.86135k2022-03-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1761.1732-0.24%1.039-11.65%0.0369✓1.051.3M2022-03-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,464.4142,364.82-0.23%39,166.51-7.77%0.0023✗1.00645.2M2022-03-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.385.3675-0.23%5.38+0.00%0.0725✗0.87566k2022-03-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36470.363902-0.22%0.34-6.77%0.0424✗1.378.7M2022-03-04
XEMNEMnative0.10290.102679-0.21%0.096-6.71%0.0114✗0.9740k2022-03-04
KCSKuCoinnative19.52619.4861-0.20%18.238-6.60%0.0142✗0.999.1M2022-03-04
SCSiacoinnative0.009020.009002-0.20%0.00847-6.10%0.0391✗1.24563k2022-03-04
XVSVenusEthereum9.349.3215-0.20%8.58-8.14%0.0168✗1.233.6M2022-03-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche78.4978.3374-0.19%75.82-3.40%0.0860✗1.47120.2M2022-03-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.015250.015221-0.19%0.01443-5.38%0.0702✗1.5312.7M2022-03-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,572.6042,495.66-0.18%39,591.90-7.00%0.0078✗0.9759k2022-03-04
XECeCashnative0.000074490.000074357-0.18%0.00007061-5.21%0.0366✗1.094.5M2022-03-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7140.712911-0.15%0.69-3.36%0.0526✗1.062.6M2022-03-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.