8=======>

2022-03-02 · +1d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 152 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1219
152 of 152 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.97%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
33.6%
in alpha space · 78.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.30%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (152 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7030.701821-0.17%0.714+1.56%0.0533✗1.082.6M2022-03-03
XEMNEMnative0.10640.106206-0.18%0.1029-3.29%0.0010✓0.9740k2022-03-03
XECeCashnative0.000075940.0000758-0.18%0.00007449-1.91%0.0194✗1.104.5M2022-03-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048750.048654-0.20%0.05073+4.06%0.0821✗1.20641k2022-03-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,262.0044,161.29-0.23%42,572.60-3.82%0.0040✓0.9753k2022-03-03
SCSiacoinnative0.009570.009548-0.23%0.00902-5.75%0.0146✓1.26563k2022-03-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37420.373335-0.23%0.3647-2.54%0.0221✗1.368.7M2022-03-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche83.4283.2269-0.23%78.49-5.91%0.0107✓1.43120.2M2022-03-03
KCSKuCoinnative20.35520.3076-0.23%19.526-4.07%0.0061✓0.999.1M2022-03-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07540.075206-0.26%0.072-4.51%0.0103✓0.99157k2022-03-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1641.161-0.26%1.176+1.03%0.0486✗1.071.4M2022-03-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,912.3443,798.80-0.26%42,464.41-3.30%0.0026✓1.00632.3M2022-03-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012350.012318-0.26%0.01236+0.08%0.0282✗0.7413k2022-03-03
XVSVenusEthereum9.789.7545-0.26%9.34-4.50%0.0027✓1.213.5M2022-03-03
TRXTRONTron0.0615050.061338-0.27%0.060032-2.39%0.0043✗0.77307k2022-03-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025910.000025839-0.28%0.00002507-3.24%0.0118✗1.253.9M2022-03-03
QTUMQtumQtum6.48676.4687-0.28%6.3922-1.46%0.0331✗1.34257k2022-03-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.5515.5353-0.28%5.231-5.76%0.0255✓0.9271k2022-03-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.716.691-0.28%6.42-4.32%0.0243✓0.511.2M2022-03-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1936240.193073-0.28%0.187901-2.96%0.0088✗1.0719.8M2022-03-03
DIADIAEthereum1.021.0171-0.29%1.05+2.94%0.0411✗0.28282k2022-03-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.2915.2459-0.29%14.89-2.62%0.0159✗1.1850.8M2022-03-03
AAVEAaveEthereum137.7137.2972-0.29%129.96-5.62%0.0100✓1.346.8M2022-03-03
IMXImmutableEthereum1.4641.4597-0.30%1.46-0.27%0.0356✗1.063.4M2022-03-03
QNTQuantEthereum117.95117.592-0.30%127.04+7.71%0.1105✗0.996.3M2022-03-03
HIVEHivenative0.99880.995734-0.31%0.9796-1.92%0.0234✗1.182.1M2022-03-03
CELLCellframeEthereum1.62261.6176-0.31%1.6497+1.67%0.0622✗1.27293k2022-03-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3080.307051-0.31%0.295-4.22%0.0038✗1.312.2M2022-03-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.6118.5525-0.31%18.03-3.12%0.0121✗1.2128.4M2022-03-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.0910.090708-0.32%0.09337+2.60%0.0644✗1.0643k2022-03-03
GTGateEthereum6.8036.7812-0.32%6.7949-0.12%0.0256✗0.702.8M2022-03-03
STORJStorjEthereum1.07421.0707-0.32%1.0476-2.48%0.0227✗1.33187k2022-03-03
MINAMina Protocolnative2.132.1231-0.32%2.04-4.23%0.0009✓1.16354k2022-03-03
ETHEthereumEthereum2,948.562,939.04-0.32%2,833.66-3.90%0.0015✓1.04581.4M2022-03-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5706110.568758-0.32%0.534619-6.31%0.0240✓1.132.8M2022-03-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.03223.0223-0.33%2.95-2.71%0.0051✗0.873.6M2022-03-03
UOSUltraEthereum1.3891.3845-0.33%1.4091+1.44%0.0630✗1.352.8M2022-03-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016340.016286-0.33%0.01525-6.67%0.0147✓1.5212.7M2022-03-03
XYMSymbolnative0.1490.148504-0.33%0.146-2.01%0.0102✗0.81294k2022-03-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin110.35109.9779-0.34%111.69+1.21%0.0530✗1.1229.5M2022-03-03
KSMKusamaHydration138.31137.8426-0.34%131.9-4.63%0.0056✓1.151.0M2022-03-03
SUSHISushiEthereum3.413.3984-0.34%3.3-3.23%0.0129✗1.266.8M2022-03-03
CBKCobakEthereum2.2982.2901-0.34%2.212-3.74%0.0041✓0.9123k2022-03-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12990.129452-0.34%0.1221-6.00%0.0150✓1.303.2M2022-03-03
GITCOINGITCOIN6.76.6766-0.35%6.363-5.03%0.0015✓1.3927k2022-03-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.5229.4168-0.35%30.25+2.47%0.0641✗1.085.2M2022-03-03
ZENHorizenBase38.9238.7834-0.35%38.18-1.90%0.0328✗1.45280k2022-03-03
XVGVergenative0.010370.010334-0.35%0.01001-3.47%0.0100✗1.251.3M2022-03-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash320.43319.2999-0.35%315.29-1.60%0.0199✗0.977.3M2022-03-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1410.1041-0.35%10.07-0.69%0.0188✗0.66928k2022-03-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07140.071147-0.35%0.0725+1.54%0.0527✗1.0113k2022-03-03
API3Api3Ethereum7.37.274-0.36%7.315+0.21%0.0224✗0.504.1M2022-03-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25710.25618-0.36%0.249-3.15%0.0021✓0.912.0M2022-03-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.23080.229973-0.36%0.2283-1.08%0.0419✗1.472.5M2022-03-03
ADACardanoCardano0.93940.936033-0.36%0.9021-3.97%0.0008✓1.1296.3M2022-03-03
BANDBandEthereum4.0164.0016-0.36%3.962-1.34%0.0341✗1.311.8M2022-03-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.575.55-0.36%5.38-3.41%0.0025✓0.85540k2022-03-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1330810.132602-0.36%0.129579-2.63%0.0085✗0.943.7M2022-03-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.5626.4634-0.36%25.18-5.20%0.0036✓1.381.5M2022-03-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0210730.020996-0.37%0.020258-3.87%0.0067✓0.87135k2022-03-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3591.354-0.37%1.545+13.69%0.1746✗1.272.0M2022-03-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1615.1041-0.37%14.3-5.67%0.0052✓1.482.4M2022-03-03
UNIUniswapEthereum10.0510.0129-0.37%9.55-4.98%0.0076✓1.1910.4M2022-03-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.02973.0185-0.37%2.9519-2.57%0.0073✗0.882.4M2022-03-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9170.913611-0.37%0.852-7.09%0.0268✓1.282.4M2022-03-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02680.0267-0.37%0.0283+5.60%0.1027✗1.33500k2022-03-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.750.747194-0.37%0.72-4.00%0.0204✗1.721.0M2022-03-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.7320.6517-0.38%20.13-2.89%0.0119✗1.129.1M2022-03-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV86.1185.7838-0.38%83.45-3.09%0.0006✓0.84905k2022-03-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5481.5421-0.38%1.479-4.46%0.0067✗1.45842k2022-03-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2021.1974-0.39%1.174-2.33%0.0201✗1.192.9M2022-03-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.646.6143-0.39%6.34-4.52%0.0050✗1.41942k2022-03-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.78720.784145-0.39%0.7596-3.51%0.0051✗1.109.7M2022-03-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012310.012262-0.39%0.01199-2.60%0.0241✗1.392.8M2022-03-03
XMRMoneroMonero177.46176.7666-0.39%172.04-3.05%0.0065✗1.001.2M2022-03-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.9763.9602-0.40%3.808-4.23%0.0023✓1.242.2M2022-03-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.3970.395406-0.40%0.381-4.03%0.0106✗1.421.3M2022-03-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.028320.028205-0.40%0.02753-2.79%0.0016✓0.774.0M2022-03-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040780.040613-0.41%0.03967-2.72%0.0097✗0.9929k2022-03-03
DASHDashDash100.9100.4812-0.42%96.75-4.11%0.0000✓1.131.5M2022-03-03
MANADecentralandEthereum2.75322.7417-0.42%2.6368-4.23%0.0013✓1.203.3M2022-03-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2470.245969-0.42%0.273+10.53%0.1329✗0.8566k2022-03-03
SOLSolanaSolana100.73100.3091-0.42%95.61-5.08%0.0058✓1.26131.2M2022-03-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5054.4861-0.42%4.418-1.93%0.0129✗0.84453k2022-03-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.23112.2217-0.42%2.2899+2.64%0.0540✗0.7126k2022-03-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.3730.2423-0.42%30.05-1.05%0.0248✗0.931.5M2022-03-03
DODODODOEthereum0.4680.466031-0.42%0.448-4.27%0.0038✓1.294.2M2022-03-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.730470.727302-0.43%0.7113-2.62%0.0237✗1.37200k2022-03-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.591.5831-0.43%1.523-4.21%0.0001✓1.152.0M2022-03-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.1516.0794-0.44%16.42+1.67%0.0446✗0.702.3M2022-03-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4961.4894-0.44%1.437-3.94%0.0014✓1.11939k2022-03-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum55.5955.3439-0.44%53.31-4.10%0.0061✗1.306.5M2022-03-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.51440.512107-0.45%0.4943-3.91%0.0107✗1.37484k2022-03-03
FTTFTXEthereum46.1645.954-0.45%44.86-2.82%0.0117✗1.0722.8M2022-03-03
AVTAventusEthereum2.352.3392-0.46%2.38+1.28%0.0508✗1.00422k2022-03-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.82040.816637-0.46%0.7967-2.89%0.0132✗1.1319.9M2022-03-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.6913.6265-0.46%13.32-2.70%0.0141✗1.10331k2022-03-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.046790.04657-0.47%0.046937+0.31%0.0437✗1.078.1M2022-03-03
COMPCompoundEthereum122.45121.87-0.47%116.89-4.54%0.0008✓1.2258k2022-03-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2923.2763-0.48%3.01-8.57%0.0512✓1.0019.7M2022-03-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.654.6276-0.48%4.42-4.95%0.0048✗1.51471k2022-03-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.1970.19604-0.49%0.1971+0.05%0.0511✗1.362.8M2022-03-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.982.9653-0.49%2.882-3.29%0.0013✓0.89223k2022-03-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.931.9205-0.49%1.85-4.15%0.0072✗1.332.0M2022-03-03
BTTCBTTC0.000001960.00000195-0.50%0.0000019-3.06%0.0038✓0.6613.7M2022-03-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1143.0985-0.50%2.941-5.56%0.0239✓0.84477k2022-03-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.80820.804161-0.50%0.7864-2.70%0.0262✗1.45270k2022-03-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.7620.6547-0.51%19.77-4.77%0.0046✓1.44328k2022-03-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072580.072208-0.51%0.06983-3.79%0.0085✗1.2569k2022-03-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.50290.500306-0.52%0.4722-6.10%0.0096✗2.012.2M2022-03-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.0386.0066-0.52%5.584-7.52%0.0378✓1.05166k2022-03-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15950.158668-0.52%0.1559-2.26%0.0168✗1.03420k2022-03-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.94245.9113-0.52%5.6206-5.42%0.0400✓0.31385k2022-03-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.6472.633-0.53%2.508-5.25%0.0001✓1.4513.6M2022-03-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06550.065154-0.53%0.0637-2.75%0.0368✗1.7772.8M2022-03-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.436.3959-0.53%6.33-1.56%0.0192✗0.88478k2022-03-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0122160.012151-0.53%0.011953-2.15%0.0183✗1.0414k2022-03-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum22,346.9422,227.45-0.53%21,698.86-2.90%0.0087✗0.985.9M2022-03-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018920.018817-0.55%0.01877-0.79%0.0341✗1.092.2M2022-03-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07750.077076-0.55%0.0725-6.45%0.0176✓1.301.0M2022-03-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56650.563395-0.55%0.5501-2.89%0.0068✗0.92607k2022-03-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.8952.879-0.55%3.084+6.53%0.1125✗1.30584k2022-03-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.72420.720112-0.56%0.865+19.44%0.1948✗0.341.2M2022-03-03
RADRadworksEthereum5.595.5583-0.57%5.51-1.43%0.0246✗1.00828k2022-03-03
XTZTezosTezos3.4943.4741-0.57%3.3937-2.87%0.0195✗1.281.9M2022-03-03
MOVRMoonriverBase71.5571.141-0.57%66.5878-6.94%0.0198✓1.38231k2022-03-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.3119.199-0.57%19.97+3.42%0.0781✗1.1520.0M2022-03-03
ZECZcashZcash125.91125.177-0.58%129.17+2.59%0.0690✗1.127.4M2022-03-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.432.4158-0.59%2.38-2.06%0.0186✗1.00268k2022-03-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1160.115314-0.59%0.118+1.72%0.0415✗0.5544k2022-03-03
ORCAOrcaSolana2.522.505-0.59%2.46-2.38%0.0154✗1.00445k2022-03-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.271.2624-0.60%1.24-2.36%0.0171✗1.04824k2022-03-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.95921.9473-0.61%2.1075+7.57%0.1139✗1.0477k2022-03-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.165420.164417-0.61%0.16147-2.39%0.0216✗1.1822k2022-03-03
NANOnanopayBase1.87821.8666-0.62%1.868-0.54%0.0402✗1.18179k2022-03-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.29450.292639-0.63%0.2824-4.11%0.0085✗1.32317k2022-03-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.4134.3847-0.64%4.2636-3.39%0.0101✗1.14244k2022-03-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.992.9705-0.65%2.873-3.91%0.0019✓0.94792k2022-03-03
STXStacksnative1.251.2418-0.66%1.21-3.20%0.0143✗1.20585k2022-03-03
PROPropyEthereum1.821.807-0.71%1.92+5.49%0.1011✗1.21411k2022-03-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.2532.0117-0.74%34.01+5.46%0.0990✗1.1550.3M2022-03-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.29e-76.24e-7-0.78%6.88e-7+9.33%0.1305✗1.001.1M2022-03-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.033970.033695-0.81%0.03435+1.12%0.0492✗0.891.1M2022-03-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004690.004649-0.87%0.00456-2.77%0.0355✗1.649.6M2022-03-03
FIDABonfidaSolana2.2372.2174-0.88%1.976-11.67%0.0889✓0.7976k2022-03-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.77512.7497-0.91%2.773-0.08%0.0378✗0.882.7M2022-03-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.947.8635-0.96%7.63-3.90%0.0007✓0.92461k2022-03-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72910.722004-0.97%0.8058+10.52%0.1568✗1.402.5M2022-03-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.40330.399133-1.03%0.3687-8.58%0.0243✓1.6414.7M2022-03-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.09910.098051-1.06%0.095-4.14%0.0183✗1.49613k2022-03-03
UMAUMAEthereum8.4218.3255-1.13%9.598+13.98%0.1900✗1.421.9M2022-03-03
LUNATerraTerra 292.4391.3076-1.21%90.56-2.02%0.0397✗1.434.8M2022-03-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.