2022-02-27 · +1d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0897

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-3.17%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

84.1%

in alpha space · 4.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+14.52%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.224	3.1643	-1.85%	3.317	+2.88%	0.1034	✓	1.11	687k	2022-02-28
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.32	6.2277	-1.46%	7.55	+19.46%	0.0829	✗	0.81	435k	2022-02-28
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.541	1.5256	-1.00%	1.6754	+8.72%	0.1016	✓	1.44	262k	2022-02-28
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	72.51	71.7922	-0.99%	91.38	+26.02%	0.0512	✗	1.40	4.5M	2022-02-28
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.379	2.356	-0.97%	2.477	+4.12%	0.0928	✓	1.05	20k	2022-02-28
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	5.53e-7	5.48e-7	-0.88%	6.40e-7	+15.75%	0.0195	✗	1.00	1.3M	2022-02-28
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.647	2.6244	-0.86%	3.115	+17.68%	0.0583	✗	0.83	213k	2022-02-28
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.6	6.5463	-0.81%	7.529	+14.08%	0.0908	✗	0.36	2.2M	2022-02-28
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.8	26.5855	-0.80%	31.38	+17.09%	0.0085	✗	1.16	50.3M	2022-02-28
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.14	0.138937	-0.76%	0.132	-5.71%	0.1776	✓	0.93	44k	2022-02-28
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.179	1.1702	-0.75%	1.236	+4.83%	0.1107	✓	1.22	1.2M	2022-02-28
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0605	0.060057	-0.73%	0.0703	+16.20%	0.1087	✓	1.96	76.7M	2022-02-28
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.8883	2.8675	-0.72%	3.1104	+7.69%	0.0494	✓	0.96	2.3M	2022-02-28
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5151	0.511452	-0.71%	0.5607	+8.85%	0.0406	✓	0.98	643k	2022-02-28
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	19,385.43	19,250.20	-0.70%	21,589.29	+11.37%	0.0240	✓	1.02	5.6M	2022-02-28
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.91	19.7733	-0.69%	21.16	+6.28%	0.1537	✓	1.63	325k	2022-02-28
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.046151	0.045839	-0.68%	0.049264	+6.75%	0.0901	✓	1.20	8.1M	2022-02-28
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.002	2.9818	-0.67%	3.233	+7.69%	0.0462	✓	0.94	477k	2022-02-28
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.99	0.983353	-0.67%	1.07	+8.08%	0.0692	✗	0.11	286k	2022-02-28
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.81	1.7982	-0.65%	1.84	+1.66%	0.1950	✓	1.61	502k	2022-02-28
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01839	0.018281	-0.59%	0.0214	+16.37%	0.0092	✗	1.09	2.2M	2022-02-28
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.65	5.6187	-0.55%	6.6	+16.81%	0.0478	✗	0.83	430k	2022-02-28
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000184	0.00000183	-0.54%	0.00000199	+8.15%	0.0112	✓	0.70	14.0M	2022-02-28
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.897	1.8869	-0.53%	2.4391	+28.58%	0.1634	✗	0.69	2.6M	2022-02-28
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2684	0.266977	-0.53%	0.2945	+9.72%	0.0990	✓	1.45	398k	2022-02-28
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.38	20.2725	-0.53%	21.72	+6.58%	0.1023	✓	1.26	8.6M	2022-02-28
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3355	6.3021	-0.53%	6.71	+5.91%	0.0422	✓	0.77	2.8M	2022-02-28
XMR	Monero	Monero	150.62	149.8322	-0.52%	170.31	+13.07%	0.0086	✓	1.01	960k	2022-02-28
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.64	4.6163	-0.51%	5.51	+18.75%	0.0720	✗	0.77	483k	2022-02-28
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.384	1.377	-0.50%	1.505	+8.74%	0.0767	✓	1.22	939k	2022-02-28
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8849	0.88045	-0.50%	0.9803	+10.78%	0.0641	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-28
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7097	0.706146	-0.50%	0.7967	+12.26%	0.0334	✓	1.14	9.6M	2022-02-28
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.51	41.3048	-0.49%	45.95	+10.70%	0.0493	✓	1.15	19.7M	2022-02-28
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.8286	3.8101	-0.48%	4.2345	+10.60%	0.0598	✓	1.22	269k	2022-02-28
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.24	17.1571	-0.48%	20.13	+16.76%	0.0004	✓	1.18	21.6M	2022-02-28
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0267	0.026573	-0.47%	0.029	+8.61%	0.1116	✓	1.47	479k	2022-02-28
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.951	5.9235	-0.46%	5.9258	-0.42%	0.0527	✓	0.39	433k	2022-02-28
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1447	0.144032	-0.46%	0.1612	+11.40%	0.0337	✓	1.08	420k	2022-02-28
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.7425	1.7346	-0.46%	1.9381	+11.23%	0.0602	✓	1.26	181k	2022-02-28
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.795	4.7737	-0.44%	7.228	+50.74%	0.2794	✗	1.00	1.8M	2022-02-28
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.17	2.1606	-0.43%	2.44	+12.44%	0.0178	✓	1.03	254k	2022-02-28
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022401	0.022305	-0.43%	0.022655	+1.13%	0.1230	✓	1.02	114k	2022-02-28
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.41	2.3997	-0.43%	2.64	+9.54%	0.0401	✓	1.00	492k	2022-02-28
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	4.682	4.6619	-0.43%	5.63	+20.25%	0.0739	✗	0.85	65k	2022-02-28
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2326	0.231605	-0.43%	0.2454	+5.50%	0.0785	✓	1.01	1.9M	2022-02-28
DASH	Dash	Dash	88.3	87.9243	-0.43%	100.51	+13.83%	0.0251	✓	1.17	1.5M	2022-02-28
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15123	0.150592	-0.42%	0.16639	+10.02%	0.0825	✓	1.34	27k	2022-02-28
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.06	4.0429	-0.42%	4.565	+12.44%	0.0063	✗	0.85	414k	2022-02-28
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	17.5	17.4264	-0.42%	18.95	+8.29%	0.0983	✓	1.34	26.4M	2022-02-28
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	29.13	29.0116	-0.41%	30.9	+6.08%	0.0780	✓	1.04	1.5M	2022-02-28
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.377	1.3714	-0.41%	1.566	+13.73%	0.0771	✓	1.55	897k	2022-02-28
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.081	1.0767	-0.40%	1.164	+7.68%	0.1031	✓	1.34	2.8M	2022-02-28
XYM	Symbol	native	0.141	0.140438	-0.40%	0.1531	+8.58%	0.0283	✓	0.85	299k	2022-02-28
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03182	0.031697	-0.39%	0.03503	+10.09%	0.0199	✓	0.88	1.3M	2022-02-28
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	13.65	13.5974	-0.39%	15.14	+10.92%	0.0641	✓	1.27	52.3M	2022-02-28
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.9359	0.93238	-0.38%	1.0426	+11.40%	0.0836	✓	1.44	165k	2022-02-28
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.14	2.132	-0.37%	2.52	+17.76%	0.0316	✗	1.00	529k	2022-02-28
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0698	0.069541	-0.37%	0.078	+11.75%	0.0779	✓	1.42	1.0M	2022-02-28
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.1219	3.1104	-0.37%	3.5483	+13.66%	0.0533	✓	1.37	2.1M	2022-02-28
STX	Stacks	native	1.12	1.1159	-0.37%	1.25	+11.61%	0.0630	✓	1.30	610k	2022-02-28
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.96	23.873	-0.36%	26.36	+10.02%	0.1073	✓	1.52	1.6M	2022-02-28
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7266	0.724009	-0.36%	0.823	+13.27%	0.0822	✓	1.55	270k	2022-02-28
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	102.66	102.2947	-0.36%	118.68	+15.60%	0.0081	✓	1.16	7.4M	2022-02-28
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.859	2.8489	-0.35%	3.1196	+9.12%	0.0361	✓	0.94	3.3M	2022-02-28
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.31	1.3054	-0.35%	1.36	+3.82%	0.1254	✓	1.23	934k	2022-02-28
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	5.93	5.9092	-0.35%	6.79	+14.50%	0.0642	✓	1.50	1.1M	2022-02-28
SOL	Solana	Solana	85.7	85.4014	-0.35%	99.74	+16.38%	0.0207	✓	1.30	127.4M	2022-02-28
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.741	3.728	-0.35%	4.154	+11.04%	0.0725	✓	1.33	2.3M	2022-02-28
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	75.09	74.8296	-0.35%	84.59	+12.65%	0.0875	✓	1.55	113.8M	2022-02-28
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4116	0.410174	-0.35%	0.504	+22.45%	0.0756	✓	2.08	2.1M	2022-02-28
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.43	1.4251	-0.35%	1.571	+9.86%	0.0703	✓	1.24	1.8M	2022-02-28
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		81.71	81.4299	-0.34%	88.67	+8.52%	0.0357	✓	0.89	908k	2022-02-28
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.4859	0.484235	-0.34%	0.5696	+17.23%	0.0210	✓	1.35	2.2M	2022-02-28
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007235	0.000072104	-0.34%	0.00007869	+8.76%	0.0749	✓	1.20	4.5M	2022-02-28
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.64	14.5902	-0.34%	16.18	+10.52%	0.0055	✗	0.72	2.0M	2022-02-28
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	131.61	131.1672	-0.34%	145.83	+10.80%	0.0931	✓	1.47	6.5M	2022-02-28
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00965	0.009618	-0.33%	0.01099	+13.89%	0.0666	✓	1.48	2.7M	2022-02-28
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01158	0.011542	-0.33%	0.01231	+6.30%	0.0446	✓	0.80	13k	2022-02-28
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.416	0.414619	-0.33%	0.461	+10.82%	0.0804	✓	1.38	4.2M	2022-02-28
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.35	9.3193	-0.33%	10.15	+8.56%	0.0075	✓	0.69	917k	2022-02-28
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.812	0.809338	-0.33%	0.877	+8.00%	0.1132	✓	1.43	2.1M	2022-02-28
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.7935	0.790906	-0.33%	0.7584	-4.42%	0.1160	✓	0.55	1.3M	2022-02-28
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.185	2.1779	-0.33%	2.442	+11.76%	0.0995	✓	1.58	13.2M	2022-02-28
ZEN	Horizen	Base	32.64	32.5346	-0.32%	37.91	+16.15%	0.0502	✓	1.50	280k	2022-02-28
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1719	1.1681	-0.32%	1.3278	+13.30%	0.0703	✓	1.46	2.6M	2022-02-28
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3174	0.316388	-0.32%	0.3657	+15.22%	0.0926	✓	1.75	14.7M	2022-02-28
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	47.98	47.8318	-0.31%	54.42	+13.42%	0.0541	✓	1.35	6.5M	2022-02-28
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.6	1.5951	-0.31%	1.86	+16.25%	0.0298	✓	1.35	1.9M	2022-02-28
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.66823	0.66619	-0.31%	0.74117	+10.92%	0.0978	✓	1.51	211k	2022-02-28
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02689	0.026808	-0.30%	0.02937	+9.22%	0.0175	✓	0.80	4.3M	2022-02-28
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1674	0.166892	-0.30%	0.1925	+14.99%	0.0524	✓	1.44	2.7M	2022-02-28
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0644	0.064207	-0.30%	0.0695	+7.92%	0.0686	✓	1.09	12k	2022-02-28
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.7983	0.795951	-0.29%	0.8684	+8.78%	0.0815	✓	1.24	21.7M	2022-02-28
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03926	0.039146	-0.29%	0.04194	+6.83%	0.0792	✓	1.09	29k	2022-02-28
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0773	0.077075	-0.29%	0.0857	+10.87%	0.1112	✓	1.60	633k	2022-02-28
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		5.854	5.8372	-0.29%	6.75	+15.31%	0.0532	✓	1.46	27k	2022-02-28
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.452	3.4421	-0.29%	3.934	+13.96%	0.0503	✓	1.36	1.9M	2022-02-28
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.5576	2.5503	-0.29%	2.8507	+11.46%	0.0647	✓	1.30	3.1M	2022-02-28
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.011286	0.011254	-0.29%	0.012148	+7.64%	0.0757	✓	1.12	25k	2022-02-28
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,717.08	37,617.06	-0.27%	43,192.66	+14.52%	0.0027	✗	1.00	603.6M	2022-02-28
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	103.05	102.7786	-0.26%	113.82	+10.45%	0.0613	✓	1.21	28.8M	2022-02-28
XVG	Verge	native	0.00923	0.009206	-0.26%	0.01037	+12.35%	0.0599	✓	1.32	1.2M	2022-02-28
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.12	3.1122	-0.25%	3.54	+13.46%	0.0509	✓	1.33	6.8M	2022-02-28
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.036	5.0234	-0.25%	5.875	+16.66%	0.0163	✗	1.03	189k	2022-02-28
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0675	0.067332	-0.25%	0.073	+8.15%	0.0640	✓	1.07	163k	2022-02-28
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08363	0.083423	-0.25%	0.09213	+10.16%	0.0543	✓	1.13	45k	2022-02-28
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.058112	0.057968	-0.25%	0.061786	+6.32%	0.0490	✓	0.83	270k	2022-02-28
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	304.19	303.4677	-0.24%	339.27	+11.53%	0.0266	✓	1.02	7.2M	2022-02-28
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.67	0.668417	-0.24%	0.75	+11.94%	0.1439	✓	1.91	995k	2022-02-28
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5293	1.5258	-0.23%	1.7163	+12.22%	0.0226	✓	1.03	69k	2022-02-28
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3419	0.341117	-0.23%	0.3943	+15.33%	0.0598	✓	1.51	1.3M	2022-02-28
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4426	0.441607	-0.22%	0.5007	+13.13%	0.0716	✓	1.45	521k	2022-02-28
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8569	0.854983	-0.22%	0.964	+12.50%	0.0388	✓	1.17	94.8M	2022-02-28
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.115	0.114755	-0.21%	0.1303	+13.30%	0.0562	✓	1.35	2.9M	2022-02-28
XEM	NEM	native	0.1	0.099788	-0.21%	0.1081	+8.10%	0.0624	✓	1.05	38k	2022-02-28
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	1.97	1.9658	-0.21%	2.21	+12.18%	0.0515	✓	1.24	343k	2022-02-28
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.77	9.7495	-0.21%	10.53	+7.78%	0.1004	✓	1.31	10.8M	2022-02-28
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04436	0.044272	-0.20%	0.04871	+9.81%	0.0814	✓	1.31	703k	2022-02-28
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.035	18.9985	-0.19%	20.677	+8.63%	0.0614	✓	1.08	9.3M	2022-02-28
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	105.8	105.5982	-0.19%	115.74	+9.40%	0.0509	✓	1.05	6.3M	2022-02-28
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.648	0.646768	-0.19%	0.697	+7.56%	0.0854	✓	1.18	2.4M	2022-02-28
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	108.08	107.876	-0.19%	120.75	+11.72%	0.0617	✓	1.29	64k	2022-02-28
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00867	0.008654	-0.19%	0.00968	+11.65%	0.0710	✓	1.35	546k	2022-02-28
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.06	6.0489	-0.18%	6.6	+8.91%	0.0240	✗	0.47	1.1M	2022-02-28
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,618.01	2,613.24	-0.18%	2,923.08	+11.65%	0.0350	✓	1.08	525.4M	2022-02-28
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	61.5448	61.4331	-0.18%	67.763	+10.10%	0.1088	✓	1.53	211k	2022-02-28
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.3	4.2922	-0.18%	4.85	+12.79%	0.0146	✓	1.01	696k	2022-02-28
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.521555	0.520642	-0.18%	0.575051	+10.26%	0.0662	✓	1.22	2.9M	2022-02-28
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.8667	5.8564	-0.17%	6.4925	+10.67%	0.0930	✓	1.45	184k	2022-02-28
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	27.37	27.3241	-0.17%	30.53	+11.55%	0.0436	✓	1.14	5.1M	2022-02-28
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.123115	0.122914	-0.16%	0.133451	+8.40%	0.0550	✓	1.01	3.7M	2022-02-28
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12	11.981	-0.16%	14.2	+18.33%	0.0251	✗	1.07	331k	2022-02-28
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3363	0.335785	-0.15%	0.3772	+12.16%	0.0832	✓	1.47	8.3M	2022-02-28
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.21	4.2039	-0.14%	4.86	+15.44%	0.0737	✓	1.61	432k	2022-02-28
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	13.22	13.2012	-0.14%	15.37	+16.26%	0.0568	✓	1.54	2.5M	2022-02-28
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.681	1.6788	-0.13%	1.836	+9.22%	0.0451	✓	0.99	76k	2022-02-28
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06333	0.063249	-0.13%	0.07201	+13.71%	0.0462	✓	1.30	64k	2022-02-28
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.181008	0.1808	-0.11%	0.197675	+9.21%	0.0668	✓	1.15	19.2M	2022-02-28
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.23	2.2275	-0.11%	2.1929	-1.66%	0.1318	✓	0.86	26k	2022-02-28
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00404	0.004036	-0.11%	0.00439	+8.66%	0.1651	✓	1.84	11.3M	2022-02-28
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.4	8.3927	-0.09%	9.33	+11.07%	0.0712	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-02-28
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,686.70	37,656.03	-0.08%	43,136.20	+14.46%	0.0043	✗	0.97	42k	2022-02-28
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.1985	0.198362	-0.07%	0.2321	+16.93%	0.0521	✓	1.54	2.6M	2022-02-28
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	117.66	117.5842	-0.06%	130.28	+10.73%	0.0604	✓	1.20	930k	2022-02-28
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.28	0.279848	-0.05%	0.308	+10.00%	0.0963	✓	1.42	2.1M	2022-02-28
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.197	1.1966	-0.04%	1.352	+12.95%	0.0638	✓	1.37	2.0M	2022-02-28
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002342	0.000023417	-0.01%	0.00002579	+10.12%	0.0862	✓	1.35	3.8M	2022-02-28
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.217	0.216996	-0.00%	0.236	+8.76%	0.0370	✓	0.89	59k	2022-02-28
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.358	2.3641	+0.26%	2.664	+12.98%	0.0716	✗	1.41	584k	2022-02-28
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01609	0.016139	+0.30%	0.01796	+11.62%	0.1191	✗	1.67	12.7M	2022-02-28
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.412	1.4166	+0.32%	1.564	+10.76%	0.0500	✗	1.10	3.4M	2022-02-28

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.