2022-02-20 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3568

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+21.08%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

66.7%

in alpha space · 33.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+10.39%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03634	0.032078	-11.73%	0.03923	+7.95%	0.1297	✗	0.72	1.9M	2022-03-22
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.96	1.7472	-10.86%	1.54	-21.43%	0.3048	✓	1.81	690k	2022-03-22
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.76	2.4827	-10.05%	2.16	-21.74%	0.2381	✓	1.00	696k	2022-03-22
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.05	6.3506	-9.92%	4.97	-29.50%	0.3335	✓	0.89	682k	2022-03-22
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.97	6.2825	-9.86%	4.907	-29.60%	0.2725	✓	0.26	2.0M	2022-03-22
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5119	0.462693	-9.61%	0.5151	+0.63%	0.0172	✓	0.91	724k	2022-03-22
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01318	0.011939	-9.42%	0.013307	+0.96%	0.0042	✓	1.14	81k	2022-03-22
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3785	0.343906	-9.14%	0.3714	-1.88%	0.0883	✓	1.67	16.9M	2022-03-22
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.8141	1.6492	-9.09%	1.466	-19.19%	0.2672	✓	1.51	189k	2022-03-22
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.95	0.864658	-8.98%	0.78	-17.89%	0.1764	✓	0.74	1.5M	2022-03-22
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.039	1.8727	-8.16%	1.793	-12.06%	0.1423	✓	1.00	84k	2022-03-22
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00465	0.004272	-8.12%	0.00429	-7.74%	0.1879	✓	1.94	13.2M	2022-03-22
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.0176	1.8554	-8.04%	3.292	+63.16%	0.5228	✗	0.51	2.8M	2022-03-22
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000197	0.000001812	-8.02%	0.00000186	-5.58%	0.0727	✓	1.00	14.3M	2022-03-22
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.127	0.11702	-7.86%	0.105	-17.32%	0.2165	✓	1.09	51k	2022-03-22
STX	Stacks	native	1.23	1.1336	-7.84%	1.3	+5.69%	0.0109	✓	1.28	817k	2022-03-22
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.44	1.3354	-7.27%	1.31	-9.03%	0.1407	✓	1.23	1.2M	2022-03-22
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15607	0.144775	-7.24%	0.15608	+0.01%	0.0661	✓	1.43	30k	2022-03-22
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.09	24.2654	-6.99%	28.03	+7.44%	0.0381	✓	1.07	57.6M	2022-03-22
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.051219	0.047695	-6.88%	0.040562	-20.81%	0.2895	✓	1.29	7.5M	2022-03-22
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.94	0.875614	-6.85%	0.95	+1.06%	0.0173	✓	1.00	277k	2022-03-22
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.0929	3.817	-6.74%	4.8022	+17.33%	0.1123	✗	1.19	327k	2022-03-22
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.735	5.3512	-6.69%	6.1887	+7.91%	0.1074	✗	0.38	430k	2022-03-22
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.9319	0.869577	-6.69%	0.9753	+4.66%	0.0042	✓	1.12	97.3M	2022-03-22
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,667.46	19,316.41	-6.54%	20,305.82	-1.75%	0.0509	✓	1.02	6.0M	2022-03-22
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.107	2.9051	-6.50%	4.136	+33.12%	0.2637	✗	0.91	492k	2022-03-22
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.9689	1.8457	-6.26%	2.2499	+14.27%	0.0748	✗	1.25	233k	2022-03-22
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.828	2.6518	-6.23%	2.762	-2.33%	0.0863	✓	1.28	579k	2022-03-22
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.025474	0.023892	-6.21%	0.025067	-1.60%	0.0600	✓	1.09	89k	2022-03-22
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.532	1.4394	-6.05%	1.457	-4.90%	0.1285	✓	1.42	1.0M	2022-03-22
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.091	0.085512	-6.03%	0.0905	-0.55%	0.0926	✓	1.51	807k	2022-03-22
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	49.33	46.388	-5.96%	93.09	+88.71%	0.5598	✗	1.38	5.1M	2022-03-22
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	74.3242	69.9447	-5.89%	66.9272	-9.95%	0.1935	✓	1.51	281k	2022-03-22
SOL	Solana	Solana	90.78	85.4336	-5.89%	90.48	-0.33%	0.0643	✓	1.23	171.7M	2022-03-22
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.49	1.4027	-5.86%	1.547	+3.83%	0.0238	✓	1.23	1.1M	2022-03-22
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7859	0.740056	-5.83%	0.7746	-1.44%	0.0649	✓	1.12	9.9M	2022-03-22
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.2624	3.0753	-5.73%	3.302	+1.21%	0.0552	✓	1.28	2.1M	2022-03-22
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.55	2.4053	-5.67%	2.268	-11.06%	0.2159	✓	1.59	14.5M	2022-03-22
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.471	0.444617	-5.60%	0.446	-5.31%	0.1337	✓	1.38	4.5M	2022-03-22
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8239	0.778088	-5.56%	0.8086	-1.86%	0.1121	✓	1.52	417k	2022-03-22
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.06	3.8363	-5.51%	5.175	+27.46%	0.1778	✗	1.23	2.3M	2022-03-22
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	52.1	49.2426	-5.48%	52.46	+0.69%	0.0638	✓	1.29	8.7M	2022-03-22
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	18.7	17.6754	-5.48%	18.02	-3.64%	0.0960	✓	1.17	23.0M	2022-03-22
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1863	0.176136	-5.46%	0.2091	+12.24%	0.0352	✓	1.38	3.2M	2022-03-22
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.28	2.1559	-5.44%	2.44	+7.02%	0.0228	✓	1.02	299k	2022-03-22
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.57	2.4306	-5.43%	2.21	-14.01%	0.1940	✓	1.00	681k	2022-03-22
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8455	0.800781	-5.29%	0.8268	-2.21%	0.0909	✓	1.24	24.6M	2022-03-22
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2525	0.239282	-5.23%	0.31	+22.77%	0.1483	✗	1.12	518k	2022-03-22
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.70618	0.670035	-5.12%	0.80946	+14.63%	0.0414	✓	1.49	298k	2022-03-22
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0744	0.070592	-5.12%	0.0724	-2.69%	0.1083	✓	1.35	1.1M	2022-03-22
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.697	5.4057	-5.11%	5.07	-11.01%	0.1672	✓	1.04	327k	2022-03-22
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.63	3.4475	-5.03%	3.45	-4.96%	0.1352	✓	1.38	7.2M	2022-03-22
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.73	1.6432	-5.02%	1.93	+11.56%	0.0293	✓	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-22
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	110.69	105.229	-4.93%	122.81	+10.95%	0.0351	✓	1.21	30.0M	2022-03-22
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.23	14.495	-4.83%	17.58	+15.43%	0.0249	✓	1.70	3.0M	2022-03-22
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3961	0.377018	-4.82%	0.3622	-8.56%	0.1816	✓	1.43	1.6M	2022-03-22
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	302.87	288.3943	-4.78%	375.54	+23.99%	0.1675	✗	0.98	8.0M	2022-03-22
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	108.11	103.0166	-4.71%	174.59	+61.49%	0.4096	✗	1.19	7.6M	2022-03-22
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.46	80.5282	-4.66%	91.76	+8.64%	0.0430	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-03-22
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,622.47	2,501.04	-4.63%	2,970.51	+13.27%	0.0616	✗	1.12	581.4M	2022-03-22
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.02116	0.020181	-4.63%	0.03998	+88.94%	0.5246	✗	1.61	10.9M	2022-03-22
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.79	17.9253	-4.60%	20.78	+10.59%	0.0047	✓	1.54	350k	2022-03-22
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	77.39	73.836	-4.59%	83.98	+8.52%	0.0145	✓	1.45	106.7M	2022-03-22
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.82	18.9134	-4.57%	18.31	-7.62%	0.1540	✓	1.23	10.5M	2022-03-22
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5079	0.484842	-4.54%	0.758	+49.24%	0.3063	✗	1.42	610k	2022-03-22
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.41	1.3468	-4.48%	1.582	+12.20%	0.0251	✓	1.37	2.2M	2022-03-22
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2213	0.211483	-4.44%	0.218	-1.49%	0.1217	✓	1.54	3.6M	2022-03-22
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	16.92	16.1819	-4.36%	20.22	+19.50%	0.0904	✗	1.34	31.3M	2022-03-22
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.028	0.026782	-4.35%	0.026	-7.14%	0.1743	✓	1.46	499k	2022-03-22
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.14	5.8741	-4.33%	6.43	+4.72%	0.0045	✓	0.87	430k	2022-03-22
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.36	5.128	-4.33%	7.622	+42.20%	0.2984	✗	0.99	1.8M	2022-03-22
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	137.55	131.601	-4.32%	152.91	+11.17%	0.0079	✓	1.44	6.8M	2022-03-22
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1362	0.130354	-4.29%	0.1543	+13.29%	0.0670	✗	1.03	470k	2022-03-22
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.57	6.2905	-4.25%	6.98	+6.24%	0.0638	✗	0.41	1.4M	2022-03-22
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.6	13.9814	-4.24%	15.43	+5.68%	0.0199	✓	1.20	63.5M	2022-03-22
XVG	Verge	native	0.00962	0.009213	-4.23%	0.00999	+3.85%	0.0473	✓	1.30	1.2M	2022-03-22
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.063	1.0182	-4.21%	1.26	+18.53%	0.0896	✗	1.25	3.0M	2022-03-22
XYM	Symbol	native	0.154	0.147554	-4.19%	0.1371	-10.97%	0.1482	✓	0.76	350k	2022-03-22
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.48	2.3767	-4.17%	2.15	-13.31%	0.2177	✓	1.19	359k	2022-03-22
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6921	2.5822	-4.08%	2.4316	-9.68%	0.1825	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-03-22
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.98	12.4524	-4.06%	16.17	+24.58%	0.1592	✗	1.03	448k	2022-03-22
DASH	Dash	Dash	98.1	94.1289	-4.05%	130.57	+33.10%	0.2177	✗	1.11	1.5M	2022-03-22
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.796	0.763778	-4.05%	0.91	+14.32%	0.0399	✓	1.37	2.2M	2022-03-22
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.84	39.1897	-4.04%	45.28	+10.87%	0.0293	✓	1.16	27.9M	2022-03-22
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02715	0.026056	-4.03%	0.02633	-3.02%	0.0746	✓	0.86	5.0M	2022-03-22
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.02	2.8986	-4.02%	4.2393	+40.37%	0.2823	✗	0.99	2.4M	2022-03-22
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.71	14.129	-3.95%	13.32	-9.45%	0.1292	✓	0.71	1.8M	2022-03-22
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06754	0.064876	-3.94%	0.07561	+11.95%	0.0762	✗	0.78	84k	2022-03-22
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.019255	0.018497	-3.94%	0.01899	-1.38%	0.0873	✓	1.15	2.4M	2022-03-22
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	107.71	103.5215	-3.89%	127.12	+18.02%	0.1059	✗	1.01	6.6M	2022-03-22
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007437	0.000071513	-3.84%	0.00008348	+12.25%	0.0428	✗	1.13	4.7M	2022-03-22
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3917	0.376683	-3.83%	0.4105	+4.80%	0.0518	✓	1.39	8.7M	2022-03-22
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.63	22.7244	-3.83%	27.98	+18.41%	0.0590	✗	1.51	1.8M	2022-03-22
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.65	4.4728	-3.81%	4.5	-3.23%	0.1011	✓	1.08	510k	2022-03-22
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08575	0.082484	-3.81%	0.09728	+13.45%	0.0578	✗	1.08	49k	2022-03-22
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0531	0.051085	-3.79%	0.0657	+23.73%	0.0786	✗	1.75	64.3M	2022-03-22
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.38	4.2155	-3.76%	3.81	-13.01%	0.2243	✓	1.25	1.9M	2022-03-22
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.5	2.4079	-3.68%	6.234	+149.36%	0.8258	✗	1.27	845k	2022-03-22
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	116.98	112.7117	-3.65%	114.7	-1.95%	0.1085	✓	1.27	66k	2022-03-22
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.570834	0.55034	-3.59%	0.561881	-1.57%	0.0917	✓	1.14	3.5M	2022-03-22
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	27.23	26.2696	-3.53%	51.65	+89.68%	0.5699	✗	1.07	5.2M	2022-03-22
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1375	2.0623	-3.52%	2.6489	+23.93%	0.1569	✗	0.94	28k	2022-03-22
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03914	0.037766	-3.51%	0.04222	+7.87%	0.0031	✓	1.10	32k	2022-03-22
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	138.87	134.0244	-3.49%	158.4	+14.06%	0.0509	✗	1.17	930k	2022-03-22
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.24	0.231703	-3.46%	0.253	+5.42%	0.0050	✓	0.94	68k	2022-03-22
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.75	33.5519	-3.45%	45.47	+30.85%	0.1499	✗	1.56	364k	2022-03-22
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4602	0.444663	-3.38%	0.4064	-11.69%	0.2821	✓	1.94	2.0M	2022-03-22
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.454	1.4053	-3.35%	1.626	+11.83%	0.0327	✓	1.14	2.1M	2022-03-22
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,389.03	37,110.33	-3.33%	42,378.26	+10.39%	0.0339	✓	1.00	633.0M	2022-03-22
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.798	2.7049	-3.33%	4.168	+48.96%	0.3527	✗	0.81	206k	2022-03-22
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9158	0.885912	-3.26%	0.9224	+0.72%	0.1142	✓	1.56	1.8M	2022-03-22
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.82	1.7609	-3.25%	2.315	+27.20%	0.1693	✗	1.06	3.2M	2022-03-22
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.591	6.3776	-3.24%	6.962	+5.63%	0.0505	✗	0.38	35k	2022-03-22
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2401	0.232362	-3.22%	0.253	+5.37%	0.0143	✓	1.01	1.9M	2022-03-22
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.3	0.290363	-3.21%	0.693	+131.00%	0.7388	✗	1.33	2.2M	2022-03-22
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.9539	2.8608	-3.15%	3.8754	+31.20%	0.2062	✗	0.98	2.5M	2022-03-22
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.067	2.0034	-3.08%	2.255	+9.10%	0.0151	✓	1.04	20k	2022-03-22
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01078	0.010449	-3.07%	0.01179	+9.37%	0.0339	✓	1.56	2.2M	2022-03-22
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1343	0.130203	-3.05%	0.1349	+0.45%	0.0930	✓	1.30	3.3M	2022-03-22
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.516	0.500279	-3.05%	1.1707	+126.88%	0.7199	✗	1.32	2.3M	2022-03-22
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00912	0.008846	-3.00%	0.0096	+5.26%	0.0199	✓	1.03	504k	2022-03-22
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.516	5.353	-2.96%	5.986	+8.52%	0.0331	✗	0.80	65k	2022-03-22
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01266	0.012293	-2.90%	0.01287	+1.66%	0.0347	✓	0.82	15k	2022-03-22
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1176	1.0854	-2.88%	1.1525	+3.12%	0.0727	✓	1.34	2.5M	2022-03-22
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.98512	0.956748	-2.88%	1.1249	+14.19%	0.0570	✗	1.06	180k	2022-03-22
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.78	0.757715	-2.86%	0.67	-14.10%	0.3177	✓	1.97	1.2M	2022-03-22
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.136714	0.132899	-2.79%	0.122365	-10.50%	0.1819	✓	1.00	4.7M	2022-03-22
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.9	0.875256	-2.75%	1.719	+91.00%	0.5486	✗	1.28	878k	2022-03-22
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.211	4.096	-2.73%	5.543	+31.63%	0.2197	✗	0.84	395k	2022-03-22
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6203	1.5761	-2.73%	2.188	+35.04%	0.2157	✗	1.14	75k	2022-03-22
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.93	27.1782	-2.69%	29.9	+7.05%	0.0000	✓	0.97	1.4M	2022-03-22
XMR	Monero	Monero	153.87	149.8893	-2.59%	193.89	+26.01%	0.1582	✗	1.00	1.0M	2022-03-22
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.36	9.1235	-2.53%	9.76	+4.27%	0.0629	✓	1.32	11.4M	2022-03-22
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0487	0.047479	-2.51%	0.05567	+14.31%	0.0223	✓	1.38	903k	2022-03-22
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.2563	6.103	-2.45%	6.4277	+2.74%	0.0320	✓	0.85	3.5M	2022-03-22
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.194647	0.189968	-2.40%	0.20689	+6.29%	0.0170	✓	1.04	21.8M	2022-03-22
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.7	5.5638	-2.39%	8.37	+46.84%	0.3250	✗	0.84	398k	2022-03-22
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.77	9.542	-2.33%	13.41	+37.26%	0.2741	✗	0.67	821k	2022-03-22
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.962	18.5302	-2.28%	18.261	-3.70%	0.1328	✓	1.20	9.8M	2022-03-22
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0654	0.063921	-2.26%	0.07627	+16.62%	0.0712	✗	1.07	15k	2022-03-22
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.06201	0.060715	-2.09%	0.063447	+2.32%	0.0386	✓	0.84	307k	2022-03-22
XEM	NEM	native	0.0988	0.096844	-1.98%	0.1082	+9.51%	0.0112	✓	1.01	38k	2022-03-22
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.01	4.9168	-1.86%	6.75	+34.73%	0.2399	✗	0.78	431k	2022-03-22
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.7	0.688114	-1.70%	0.722	+3.14%	0.0567	✓	1.06	2.0M	2022-03-22
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,642.80	37,988.74	-1.69%	42,512.10	+10.01%	0.0170	✓	0.97	42k	2022-03-22
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002547	0.00002504	-1.69%	0.00002344	-7.97%	0.2032	✓	1.39	3.7M	2022-03-22
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0729	0.071842	-1.45%	0.0759	+4.12%	0.0569	✓	1.13	194k	2022-03-22
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.2326	6.1582	-1.19%	7.6005	+21.95%	0.0655	✗	1.47	172k	2022-03-22
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.17	7.1015	-0.95%	6.67	-6.97%	0.0825	✓	0.20	1.4M	2022-03-22
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.95	8.8661	-0.94%	9.38	+4.80%	0.0728	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-03-22

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.