8=======>

2022-02-16 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2989
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+20.92%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.0%
in alpha space · 83.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.83%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UNIUniswapEthereum11.2211.1252-0.84%9.62-14.26%0.0790✓1.3412.2M2022-03-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3730.369691-0.89%0.616+65.15%0.5779✗1.362.3M2022-03-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,960.8043,472.12-1.11%41,510.70-5.57%0.0021✓0.9751k2022-03-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.247.1541-1.19%6.14-15.19%0.1395✓0.271.2M2022-03-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7870.775684-1.44%0.64-18.68%0.1374✓1.111.9M2022-03-18
TRXTRONTron0.0664720.065442-1.55%0.061738-7.12%0.0162✓0.85344k2022-03-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08510.083724-1.62%0.0717-15.75%0.0950✓1.21194k2022-03-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.057590.05664-1.65%0.04977-13.58%0.0604✓1.391.2M2022-03-18
XLMStellarStellar0.218740.215129-1.65%0.192891-11.82%0.0581✓1.0321.9M2022-03-18
GTGateEthereum6.88276.76-1.78%6.34-7.88%0.0216✓0.863.8M2022-03-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6881.6575-1.81%1.574-6.75%0.0055✓1.162.1M2022-03-18
KCSKuCoinnative20.85520.4744-1.82%18.259-12.45%0.0514✓1.2710.1M2022-03-18
IMXImmutableEthereum2.42.3559-1.84%1.645-31.46%0.3093✓1.013.2M2022-03-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1487370.145887-1.92%0.119322-19.78%0.1508✓1.016.1M2022-03-18
SCSiacoinnative0.010780.010567-1.98%0.00919-14.75%0.0877✓1.05483k2022-03-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07570.074204-1.98%0.0728-3.83%0.0342✗1.0817k2022-03-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.526.3909-1.98%8.18+25.46%0.2877✗0.83463k2022-03-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9830.961446-2.19%0.836-14.95%0.0721✓1.372.4M2022-03-18
KSMKusamaHydration166.77163.0686-2.22%148.53-10.94%0.0341✓1.20973k2022-03-18
ZENHorizenBase40.6239.7084-2.24%41.26+1.58%0.1166✗1.58364k2022-03-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.081170.07934-2.25%0.07318-9.84%0.0436✓0.7589k2022-03-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,895.5642,897.40-2.27%41,774.98-4.83%0.0230✗1.00642.7M2022-03-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.2531.5046-2.31%28.05-13.02%0.0635✓1.065.5M2022-03-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6770910.660913-2.39%0.537425-20.63%0.1500✓1.153.6M2022-03-18
XEMNEMnative0.11420.111469-2.39%0.1-12.43%0.0583✓1.0137k2022-03-18
XECeCashnative0.000085390.00008334-2.40%0.00008127-4.82%0.0313✗1.144.7M2022-03-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2880.281086-2.40%0.233-19.10%0.1416✓0.9373k2022-03-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.82411.7792-2.46%2.1269+16.60%0.2348✗1.1469k2022-03-18
QNTQuantEthereum129.55126.3253-2.49%116.39-10.16%0.0318✓1.017.8M2022-03-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.19151.1616-2.51%1.0729-9.96%0.0255✓1.09193k2022-03-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.3309-2.54%6.43+17.55%0.2267✗0.79407k2022-03-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum28.6327.9015-2.54%25.79-9.92%0.0038✓1.512.0M2022-03-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013890.013535-2.56%0.01224-11.88%0.0619✓0.7814k2022-03-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030950.000030153-2.58%0.00002236-27.75%0.2296✓1.402.8M2022-03-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.097890.095325-2.62%0.0956-2.34%0.0577✗1.1150k2022-03-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.48720.473935-2.72%0.4108-15.68%0.0736✓1.408.9M2022-03-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.2850.277222-2.73%0.2119-25.65%0.1926✓1.544.0M2022-03-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.121.0893-2.74%1.515+35.27%0.3987✗1.39694k2022-03-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.3586.1826-2.76%5.34-16.01%0.1049✓0.8472k2022-03-18
XVSVenusEthereum11.7811.4544-2.76%8.77-25.55%0.2029✓1.303.1M2022-03-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.9115.4622-2.81%13.65-14.20%0.0734✓1.04483k2022-03-18
QTUMQtumQtum7.86787.6424-2.86%6.123-22.18%0.1488✓1.47153k2022-03-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26930.261505-2.89%0.2478-7.98%0.0029✓1.031.8M2022-03-18
GITCOINGITCOIN8.2397.9942-2.97%5.917-28.18%0.2876✓0.2737k2022-03-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.3127.4613-3.00%28.09-0.78%0.0699✗0.951.2M2022-03-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.032160.031192-3.01%0.02515-21.80%0.1731✓0.856.2M2022-03-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.085.8942-3.06%4.24-30.26%0.2777✓1.04555k2022-03-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56830.550648-3.11%0.8733+53.67%0.5285✗1.362.4M2022-03-18
FTTFTXEthereum46.3844.9215-3.14%44.58-3.88%0.0514✗1.1930.4M2022-03-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.7819.1574-3.15%18.96-4.15%0.0571✗1.3633.6M2022-03-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8034.6506-3.17%4.828+0.52%0.0784✗0.83379k2022-03-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044660.04324-3.18%0.04078-8.69%0.0038✓1.1131k2022-03-18
XMRMoneroMonero179.36173.5675-3.23%195+8.72%0.1666✗1.011.2M2022-03-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.1416.586-3.23%15.02-12.37%0.0397✓1.2070.2M2022-03-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.47540.459994-3.24%0.3288-30.84%0.2622✓1.481.9M2022-03-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.7810.4273-3.27%12.43+15.31%0.2087✗0.67821k2022-03-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2741.2322-3.28%1.216-4.55%0.0478✗1.233.4M2022-03-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013440.012989-3.35%0.0115-14.43%0.0442✓1.571.8M2022-03-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum63.4261.2818-3.37%50.47-20.42%0.1315✓1.269.2M2022-03-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2173.1083-3.38%3.346+4.01%0.1132✗0.80215k2022-03-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.6517.053-3.38%15.01-14.96%0.0419✓1.733.4M2022-03-18
ETHEthereumEthereum3,124.453,017.87-3.41%2,939.17-5.93%0.0297✓1.13581.4M2022-03-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash334.55323.089-3.43%305.71-8.62%0.0062✓0.998.9M2022-03-18
HIVEHivenative1.11251.0737-3.48%0.9186-17.43%0.0773✓1.591.9M2022-03-18
RADRadworksEthereum6.075.8584-3.49%4.31-29.00%0.2567✓1.02701k2022-03-18
XYMSymbolnative0.17470.168397-3.61%0.133-23.87%0.2034✓0.66388k2022-03-18
XVGVergenative0.011710.011286-3.62%0.00928-20.75%0.1296✓1.331.2M2022-03-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.60173.4686-3.70%4.3273+20.15%0.2712✗1.012.5M2022-03-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.835370.804084-3.75%0.84294+0.91%0.1220✗1.51334k2022-03-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin127.84123.038-3.76%111.9-12.47%0.0339✓1.2332.4M2022-03-18
MINAMina Protocolnative2.652.5494-3.80%2.26-14.72%0.0580✓1.26390k2022-03-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16780.161376-3.83%0.1516-9.65%0.0113✓1.03470k2022-03-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.4522.3576-3.85%2.189-10.73%0.0222✓1.0520k2022-03-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin23.0822.1832-3.89%17.61-23.70%0.1707✓1.2110.5M2022-03-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0217730.020917-3.93%0.01673-23.16%0.1618✓1.242.4M2022-03-18
DASHDashDash115.33110.7774-3.95%98.87-14.27%0.0589✓1.111.9M2022-03-18
COMPCompoundEthereum136.01130.636-3.95%119.38-12.23%0.0255✓1.3058k2022-03-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15620.150002-3.97%0.1214-22.28%0.1448✓1.353.2M2022-03-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.766.4903-3.99%6.37-5.77%0.0246✓0.88430k2022-03-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.94.7034-4.01%5.029+2.63%0.1289✗1.252.6M2022-03-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4547.1547-4.02%4.924-33.94%0.3259✓0.96407k2022-03-18
AAVEAaveEthereum170.44163.5888-4.02%160.34-5.93%0.0498✗1.418.0M2022-03-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche95.3991.5387-4.04%85.76-10.10%0.0067✓1.45104.0M2022-03-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06950.066671-4.07%0.0633-8.92%0.0355✓1.7664.3M2022-03-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.30670.294147-4.09%0.3002-2.12%0.0761✗1.13538k2022-03-18
DODODODOEthereum0.5390.516819-4.12%0.402-25.42%0.1804✓1.434.5M2022-03-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.132.0423-4.12%1.85-13.15%0.0327✓1.342.1M2022-03-18
SOLSolanaSolana101.9497.7424-4.12%89.87-11.84%0.0212✓1.27179.7M2022-03-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.69890.669895-4.15%0.4424-36.70%0.3408✓1.50665k2022-03-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV94.690.6277-4.20%80.59-14.81%0.0733✓0.891.1M2022-03-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.97910.937727-4.23%0.7552-22.87%0.1555✓1.2326.7M2022-03-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.090.086149-4.28%0.0711-21.00%0.1247✓1.36868k2022-03-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.74023.5795-4.30%2.1916-41.40%0.4444✓0.9330k2022-03-18
API3Api3Ethereum4.584.3814-4.34%4.609+0.63%0.0686✗0.361.8M2022-03-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.22020.210379-4.46%0.2087-5.22%0.0610✗1.393.7M2022-03-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8092.6836-4.46%6.275+123.39%0.9159✗1.341.0M2022-03-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.247.8689-4.50%5.95-27.79%0.2653✓0.291.7M2022-03-18
ZECZcashZcash125.58119.8784-4.54%172.57+37.42%0.4244✗1.217.4M2022-03-18
CELLCellframeEthereum1.63051.5563-4.55%1.578-3.22%0.0909✗1.55140k2022-03-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96020.916265-4.58%0.7275-24.23%0.1557✓1.52552k2022-03-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.861.7741-4.62%1.365-26.61%0.1933✓1.392.9M2022-03-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.95143.768-4.64%3.8721-2.01%0.0711✗0.892.3M2022-03-18
UMAUMAEthereum6.536.2192-4.76%7.638+16.97%0.2556✗1.011.9M2022-03-18
NANOnanopayBase2.25842.1507-4.77%2.3491+4.02%0.1506✗1.26367k2022-03-18
XTZTezosTezos4.03823.8427-4.84%3.1614-21.71%0.1315✓1.292.4M2022-03-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.672.5405-4.85%2.4-10.11%0.0058✓1.03373k2022-03-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.86685.58-4.89%6.0844+3.71%0.1037✗0.35441k2022-03-18
LUNATerraTerra 256.0253.2754-4.90%88.61+58.18%0.5790✗1.426.3M2022-03-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.0820.9658-5.05%16.88-23.55%0.1596✓1.1524.2M2022-03-18
AVTAventusEthereum3.313.1421-5.07%2.07-37.46%0.3678✓1.00681k2022-03-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.7515.8947-5.11%13.06-22.03%0.1636✓0.661.5M2022-03-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.9521.8509-5.18%1.451-25.67%0.1743✓1.401.1M2022-03-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.173.0034-5.26%2.251-28.99%0.2141✓1.5016.5M2022-03-18
BANDBandEthereum4.874.6109-5.32%3.723-23.55%0.1521✓1.251.9M2022-03-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.89330.845183-5.39%0.7285-18.45%0.0956✓1.0711.9M2022-03-18
MANADecentralandEthereum3.26323.0833-5.51%2.4451-25.07%0.1724✓1.203.3M2022-03-18
ADACardanoCardano1.08331.023-5.56%0.852-21.35%0.1265✓1.14106.9M2022-03-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.811.7093-5.56%1.591-12.10%0.0100✓1.251.3M2022-03-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.10520.099296-5.61%0.0868-17.49%0.0579✓1.55996k2022-03-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.031980.030182-5.62%0.04379+36.93%0.4383✗1.3410.7M2022-03-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.050.990902-5.63%0.68-35.24%0.2763✓2.021.1M2022-03-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.42631.3459-5.64%1.1296-20.80%0.1121✓1.272.4M2022-03-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.82924.5556-5.66%4.289-11.19%0.0009✓1.20335k2022-03-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.5126.8919-5.68%28.63+0.42%0.1172✗1.1066.4M2022-03-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum24.0322.6516-5.74%20.21-15.90%0.0377✓1.54387k2022-03-18
STXStacksnative1.551.4599-5.81%1.3-16.13%0.0665✓1.00980k2022-03-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.861.7507-5.88%1.05-43.55%0.4514✓1.211.3M2022-03-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1160.109161-5.90%0.105-9.48%0.0107✓1.0064k2022-03-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.6250.58785-5.94%0.4549-27.22%0.1617✓1.911.8M2022-03-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5143.2997-6.10%3.671+4.47%0.1506✗0.89481k2022-03-18
BTTCBTTC0.000002180.000002047-6.11%0.00000186-14.68%0.0462✓1.0014.3M2022-03-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03350.031387-6.31%0.0271-19.10%0.0723✓1.50499k2022-03-18
ORCAOrcaSolana3.172.964-6.50%2.19-30.91%0.2531✓1.00829k2022-03-18
DIADIAEthereum0.970.906828-6.51%0.94-3.09%0.0854✗1.00269k2022-03-18
FIDABonfidaSolana2.3482.1939-6.56%1.639-30.20%0.2421✓1.0084k2022-03-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.6020.558765-7.18%0.512-14.95%0.0431✓0.89840k2022-03-18
SUSHISushiEthereum4.33.9894-7.22%3.31-23.02%0.1178✓1.397.9M2022-03-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.176240.163444-7.26%0.1531-13.13%0.0142✓1.6132k2022-03-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.28222.1117-7.47%3.3831+48.24%0.5002✗0.582.9M2022-03-18
MOVRMoonriverBase95.551588.135-7.76%54.2608-43.21%0.4093✓1.53315k2022-03-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0560840.051624-7.95%0.0395-29.57%0.2062✓1.247.6M2022-03-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,690.0021,733.27-8.26%20,575.06-13.15%0.0047✓1.017.2M2022-03-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006010.005483-8.77%0.00358-40.43%0.3267✓2.0117.9M2022-03-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0169690.015466-8.86%0.011938-29.65%0.2028✓1.13450k2022-03-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0282840.025517-9.78%0.017275-38.92%0.3261✓1.2989k2022-03-18
PROPropyEthereum2.342.1023-10.16%1.4-40.17%0.3103✓1.94812k2022-03-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.20191.0738-10.66%0.74-38.43%0.3256✓0.941.5M2022-03-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.0464.4655-11.50%2.369-53.05%0.5834✓1.02664k2022-03-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.44820.394827-11.91%0.3368-24.85%0.0731✓1.7321.4M2022-03-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.045830.039901-12.94%0.03367-26.53%0.1300✓0.802.2M2022-03-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.