8=======>

2022-02-16 · +1d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0958
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.92%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
32.0%
in alpha space · 95.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.65%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
IMXImmutableEthereum2.42.4009+0.04%2.13-11.25%0.0395✗1.013.2M2022-02-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6881.6877-0.02%1.541-8.71%0.0010✗1.162.1M2022-02-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3730.372901-0.03%0.334-10.46%0.0020✓1.362.3M2022-02-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.3128.2996-0.04%26.61-6.00%0.0144✗0.951.2M2022-02-17
XECeCashnative0.000085390.000085325-0.08%0.00007849-8.08%0.0073✗1.144.7M2022-02-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.121.1191-0.08%1.07-4.46%0.0657✗1.39694k2022-02-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.247.2322-0.11%7.46+3.04%0.0525✗0.271.2M2022-02-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06950.069421-0.11%0.0608-12.52%0.0078✗1.7664.3M2022-02-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,960.8043,909.62-0.12%40,651.20-7.53%0.0004✓0.9751k2022-02-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6770910.67621-0.13%0.62107-8.27%0.0064✗1.153.6M2022-02-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.097890.097753-0.14%0.0902-7.86%0.0077✗1.1150k2022-02-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7870.785881-0.14%0.742-5.72%0.0308✗1.111.9M2022-02-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.057590.057504-0.15%0.05215-9.45%0.0130✗1.391.2M2022-02-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum63.4263.3251-0.15%56.37-11.12%0.0157✓1.269.2M2022-02-17
STORJStorjEthereum1.19151.1895-0.17%1.0731-9.94%0.0164✓1.09193k2022-02-17
HIVEHivenative1.11251.1106-0.17%1.0138-8.87%0.0355✗1.591.9M2022-02-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum28.6328.5803-0.17%25.54-10.79%0.0079✗1.512.0M2022-02-17
SCSiacoinnative0.010780.01076-0.18%0.00987-8.44%0.0030✓1.05483k2022-02-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.081170.081022-0.18%0.07416-8.64%0.0287✓0.7589k2022-02-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.7516.7195-0.18%15.35-8.36%0.0326✓0.661.5M2022-02-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08510.084935-0.19%0.0849-0.24%0.0960✗1.21194k2022-02-17
GTGateEthereum6.88276.8691-0.20%6.58-4.40%0.0255✗0.863.8M2022-02-17
ZENHorizenBase40.6240.5394-0.20%36.74-9.55%0.0274✗1.58364k2022-02-17
DODODODOEthereum0.5390.537908-0.20%0.493-8.53%0.0267✗1.434.5M2022-02-17
UNIUniswapEthereum11.2211.1965-0.21%10.41-7.22%0.0338✗1.3412.2M2022-02-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.6517.6129-0.21%15.78-10.59%0.0279✗1.733.4M2022-02-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.2532.1821-0.21%29.43-8.74%0.0047✓1.065.5M2022-02-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,895.5643,802.31-0.21%40,536.73-7.65%0.0021✓1.00642.7M2022-02-17
QNTQuantEthereum129.55129.2743-0.21%119.39-7.84%0.0011✓1.017.8M2022-02-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.4582-0.22%5.36-2.01%0.0449✗0.79407k2022-02-17
KCSKuCoinnative20.85520.8098-0.22%19.71-5.49%0.0472✗1.2710.1M2022-02-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.82411.8201-0.22%1.6695-8.47%0.0041✗1.1469k2022-02-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.2850.284375-0.22%0.2558-10.25%0.0164✗1.544.0M2022-02-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16780.16743-0.22%0.1536-8.46%0.0040✓1.03470k2022-02-17
XEMNEMnative0.11420.113946-0.22%0.1047-8.32%0.0039✓1.0137k2022-02-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2880.287352-0.23%0.268-6.94%0.0043✗0.9373k2022-02-17
FTTFTXEthereum46.3846.2747-0.23%43.72-5.74%0.0381✗1.1930.4M2022-02-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.47540.474309-0.23%0.4344-8.62%0.0303✗1.481.9M2022-02-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56830.566986-0.23%0.542-4.63%0.0632✗1.362.4M2022-02-17
TRXTRONTron0.0664720.066317-0.23%0.062402-6.12%0.0067✗0.85344k2022-02-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.74023.7314-0.24%3.4641-7.38%0.0001✓0.9330k2022-02-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.1417.0993-0.24%15.6-8.98%0.0038✗1.2070.2M2022-02-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.94.8883-0.24%4.59-6.33%0.0366✗1.252.6M2022-02-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9830.980611-0.24%0.894-9.05%0.0163✗1.372.4M2022-02-17
XLMStellarStellar0.218740.21819-0.25%0.202261-7.53%0.0062✗1.0321.9M2022-02-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash334.55333.7003-0.25%313.15-6.40%0.0154✗0.998.9M2022-02-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.7819.7289-0.26%18.16-8.19%0.0257✗1.3633.6M2022-02-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07570.075502-0.26%0.0698-7.79%0.0071✗1.0817k2022-02-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.3586.3412-0.26%6.1-4.06%0.0281✗0.8472k2022-02-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013890.013853-0.27%0.01258-9.43%0.0342✓0.7814k2022-02-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4547.4339-0.27%6.499-12.81%0.0576✓0.96407k2022-02-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.48720.485876-0.27%0.4369-10.32%0.0053✗1.408.9M2022-02-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche95.3995.1297-0.27%88.28-7.45%0.0410✗1.45104.0M2022-02-17
ETHEthereumEthereum3,124.453,115.92-0.27%2,893.56-7.39%0.0163✗1.13581.4M2022-02-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.526.5021-0.27%6.03-7.52%0.0096✓0.83463k2022-02-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin23.0823.0162-0.28%20.54-11.01%0.0172✓1.2110.5M2022-02-17
CBKCobakEthereum2.4522.4452-0.28%2.231-9.01%0.0082✓1.0520k2022-02-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.30670.305846-0.28%0.2746-10.47%0.0181✓1.13538k2022-02-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.9115.8656-0.28%14.58-8.36%0.0020✓1.04483k2022-02-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin127.84127.4791-0.28%116.39-8.96%0.0071✗1.2332.4M2022-02-17
MINAMina Protocolnative2.652.6424-0.29%2.56-3.40%0.0688✗1.26390k2022-02-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2741.2703-0.29%1.142-10.36%0.0083✓1.233.4M2022-02-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030950.00003086-0.29%0.00002821-8.85%0.0219✗1.402.8M2022-02-17
SOLSolanaSolana101.94101.6403-0.29%93.56-8.22%0.0181✗1.27179.7M2022-02-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.835370.832893-0.30%0.76017-9.00%0.0290✗1.51334k2022-02-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.22020.219541-0.30%0.2015-8.49%0.0252✗1.393.7M2022-02-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96020.957316-0.30%0.883-8.04%0.0398✗1.52552k2022-02-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.086.0614-0.31%5.45-10.36%0.0232✓1.04555k2022-02-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV94.694.3101-0.31%87.71-7.28%0.0017✓0.891.1M2022-02-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1487370.148281-0.31%0.138407-6.95%0.0119✗1.016.1M2022-02-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.69890.696751-0.31%0.6239-10.73%0.0086✗1.50665k2022-02-17
KSMKusamaHydration166.77166.2562-0.31%155.14-6.97%0.0261✗1.20973k2022-02-17
RADRadworksEthereum6.076.0512-0.31%5.54-8.73%0.0074✓1.02701k2022-02-17
XVGVergenative0.011710.011674-0.31%0.0107-8.63%0.0191✗1.331.2M2022-02-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.861.8541-0.32%1.69-9.14%0.0180✗1.392.9M2022-02-17
FIDABonfidaSolana2.3482.3406-0.32%2.105-10.35%0.0265✓1.0084k2022-02-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26930.268438-0.32%0.2525-6.24%0.0206✗1.031.8M2022-02-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.86685.8477-0.33%5.5502-5.40%0.0247✓0.35441k2022-02-17
AAVEAaveEthereum170.44169.8769-0.33%152.99-10.24%0.0077✗1.418.0M2022-02-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.60173.5898-0.33%3.227-10.40%0.0261✓1.012.5M2022-02-17
XTZTezosTezos4.03824.0248-0.33%3.6686-9.15%0.0097✗1.292.4M2022-02-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2173.2063-0.33%3.08-4.26%0.0233✗0.80215k2022-02-17
ADACardanoCardano1.08331.0797-0.33%1.0203-5.82%0.0341✗1.14106.9M2022-02-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.9521.9454-0.34%1.741-10.81%0.0001✓1.401.1M2022-02-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.090.089694-0.34%0.0825-8.33%0.0245✗1.36868k2022-02-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.5128.4128-0.34%28.08-1.51%0.0759✗1.1066.4M2022-02-17
GITCOINGITCOIN8.2398.2106-0.34%7.107-13.74%0.1229✓0.2737k2022-02-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.032160.032048-0.35%0.02995-6.87%0.0002✓0.856.2M2022-02-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8034.7861-0.35%4.567-4.91%0.0190✗0.83379k2022-02-17
API3Api3Ethereum4.584.5636-0.36%5+9.17%0.1202✗0.361.8M2022-02-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.132.1223-0.36%1.9-10.80%0.0042✓1.342.1M2022-02-17
XYMSymbolnative0.17470.174063-0.36%0.1642-6.01%0.0059✓0.66388k2022-02-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.7810.7404-0.37%10.24-5.01%0.0053✗0.67821k2022-02-17
NANOnanopayBase2.25842.2501-0.37%2.1008-6.98%0.0316✗1.26367k2022-02-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044660.044495-0.37%0.04103-8.13%0.0071✗1.1131k2022-02-17
XMRMoneroMonero179.36178.6903-0.37%163.89-8.63%0.0057✓1.011.2M2022-02-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.176240.175576-0.38%0.16982-3.64%0.0946✗1.6132k2022-02-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.89330.889915-0.38%0.8222-7.96%0.0059✗1.0711.9M2022-02-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013440.013389-0.38%0.01178-12.35%0.0033✓1.571.8M2022-02-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.031980.031855-0.39%0.02758-13.76%0.0378✓1.3410.7M2022-02-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.173.1575-0.39%2.91-8.20%0.0378✗1.5016.5M2022-02-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.248.2076-0.39%7.1-13.83%0.1221✓0.291.7M2022-02-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.861.8527-0.39%1.66-10.75%0.0135✓1.211.3M2022-02-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.97910.975183-0.40%0.8983-8.25%0.0158✗1.2326.7M2022-02-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.766.7329-0.40%6.42-5.03%0.0221✗0.88430k2022-02-17
DASHDashDash115.33114.8613-0.41%104.76-9.17%0.0039✓1.111.9M2022-02-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15620.155546-0.42%0.1568+0.38%0.1154✗1.353.2M2022-02-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.672.6587-0.42%2.47-7.49%0.0085✗1.03373k2022-02-17
LUNATerraTerra 256.0255.7835-0.42%50.27-10.26%0.0089✗1.426.3M2022-02-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8092.7971-0.43%2.668-5.02%0.0597✗1.341.0M2022-02-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.811.802-0.44%1.65-8.84%0.0111✗1.251.3M2022-02-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006010.005983-0.44%0.0054-10.15%0.0575✗2.0117.9M2022-02-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.82924.8077-0.44%4.3951-8.99%0.0058✗1.20335k2022-02-17
QTUMQtumQtum7.86787.8328-0.44%7.015-10.84%0.0069✗1.47153k2022-02-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.95143.9338-0.45%3.3132-16.15%0.1012✓0.892.3M2022-02-17
DIADIAEthereum0.970.965665-0.45%1.2+23.71%0.2969✗1.00269k2022-02-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0217730.021676-0.45%0.020359-6.49%0.0363✗1.242.4M2022-02-17
UMAUMAEthereum6.536.5003-0.46%6.03-7.66%0.0054✗1.011.9M2022-02-17
ZECZcashZcash125.58125.005-0.46%113.58-9.56%0.0007✓1.217.4M2022-02-17
ORCAOrcaSolana3.173.1554-0.46%2.92-7.89%0.0021✓1.00829k2022-02-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.0821.9772-0.47%19.86-10.05%0.0094✓1.1524.2M2022-02-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0169690.016888-0.48%0.015816-6.79%0.0246✗1.13450k2022-02-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1160.115445-0.48%0.124+6.90%0.1511✗1.0064k2022-02-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.10520.104694-0.48%0.0969-7.89%0.0458✗1.55996k2022-02-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5143.4971-0.48%3.268-7.00%0.0029✓0.89481k2022-02-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03350.033334-0.49%0.0309-7.76%0.0439✗1.50499k2022-02-17
BANDBandEthereum4.874.8459-0.50%4.44-8.83%0.0119✗1.251.9M2022-02-17
COMPCompoundEthereum136.01135.3322-0.50%123.7-9.05%0.0139✗1.3058k2022-02-17
SUSHISushiEthereum4.34.2785-0.50%3.95-8.14%0.0308✗1.397.9M2022-02-17
BTTCBTTC0.000002180.000002169-0.51%0.00000206-5.50%0.0281✗1.0014.3M2022-02-17
CELLCellframeEthereum1.63051.6219-0.52%1.4805-9.20%0.0325✗1.55140k2022-02-17
UOSUltraEthereum1.42631.4186-0.54%1.2511-12.28%0.0242✓1.272.4M2022-02-17
MANADecentralandEthereum3.26323.2456-0.54%3.0801-5.61%0.0433✗1.203.3M2022-02-17
AVTAventusEthereum3.313.2919-0.55%2.89-12.69%0.0506✓1.00681k2022-02-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum24.0323.8961-0.56%21.3-11.36%0.0077✗1.54387k2022-02-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,690.0023,553.46-0.58%22,441.70-5.27%0.0321✗1.017.2M2022-02-17
STXStacksnative1.551.5411-0.58%1.4-9.68%0.0164✓1.00980k2022-02-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.6020.598502-0.58%0.5558-7.67%0.0028✓0.89840k2022-02-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.44820.445559-0.59%0.4073-9.13%0.0482✗1.7321.4M2022-02-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0282840.028114-0.60%0.026932-4.78%0.0598✗1.2989k2022-02-17
XVSVenusEthereum11.7811.7091-0.60%11.44-2.89%0.0799✗1.303.1M2022-02-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.6250.62092-0.65%0.5382-13.89%0.0092✗1.911.8M2022-02-17
MOVRMoonriverBase95.551594.8935-0.69%85.9444-10.05%0.0228✗1.53315k2022-02-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.28222.2661-0.70%2.2781-0.18%0.0518✗0.582.9M2022-02-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.051.0426-0.70%0.94-10.48%0.0575✗2.021.1M2022-02-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.0465.0082-0.75%4.316-14.47%0.0675✓1.02664k2022-02-17
PROPropyEthereum2.342.3217-0.78%2.17-7.26%0.0872✗1.94812k2022-02-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.20191.1922-0.81%1.2327+2.56%0.1085✗0.941.5M2022-02-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.045830.045422-0.89%0.04378-4.47%0.0271✗0.802.2M2022-02-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0560840.055525-1.00%0.051055-8.97%0.0149✗1.247.6M2022-02-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.