2022-02-12 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2810

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+17.27%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

77.3%

in alpha space · 87.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-6.09%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.37	0.368674	-0.36%	0.421	+13.78%	0.2186	✗	1.37	2.1M	2022-03-14
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.64	10.5839	-0.53%	8.48	-20.30%	0.1376	✓	1.34	12.5M	2022-03-14
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.618	1.6063	-0.72%	1.459	-9.83%	0.0233	✓	1.16	1.9M	2022-03-14
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0857	0.084559	-1.33%	0.0683	-20.30%	0.1359	✓	1.24	201k	2022-03-14
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.111	18.8557	-1.34%	18.087	-5.36%	0.0425	✗	1.34	10.4M	2022-03-14
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.3	2.269	-1.35%	1.651	-28.22%	0.2569	✓	0.97	2.9M	2022-03-14
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.98	8.8588	-1.35%	8.49	-5.46%	0.0398	✗	1.31	2.8M	2022-03-14
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05601	0.055243	-1.37%	0.04611	-17.68%	0.0915	✓	1.42	1.2M	2022-03-14
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063473	0.062562	-1.43%	0.060064	-5.37%	0.0157	✗	0.90	351k	2022-03-14
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,568.00	41,951.65	-1.45%	39,373.20	-7.51%	0.0026	✓	0.97	41k	2022-03-14
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.218218	0.214769	-1.58%	0.180075	-17.48%	0.1110	✓	1.04	24.2M	2022-03-14
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.93	7.804	-1.59%	5.85	-26.23%	0.2691	✓	0.30	1.1M	2022-03-14
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.758	6.649	-1.61%	6.346	-6.10%	0.0102	✓	0.90	4.0M	2022-03-14
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.7389	6.6301	-1.61%	5.7568	-14.57%	0.0504	✓	1.45	145k	2022-03-14
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.745	0.73232	-1.70%	0.622	-16.51%	0.0941	✓	1.10	1.6M	2022-03-14
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1541	1.1338	-1.77%	0.9939	-13.88%	0.0660	✓	1.05	239k	2022-03-14
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.617618	0.606074	-1.87%	0.490244	-20.62%	0.1383	✓	1.18	3.5M	2022-03-14
XEM	NEM	native	0.1086	0.106554	-1.88%	0.0947	-12.80%	0.0515	✓	1.06	36k	2022-03-14
ZEN	Horizen	Base	40.89	40.1159	-1.89%	38.54	-5.75%	0.0582	✗	1.57	420k	2022-03-14
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.144281	0.141458	-1.96%	0.113913	-21.05%	0.1515	✓	1.04	7.0M	2022-03-14
XEC	eCash	native	0.0000823	0.00008066	-1.99%	0.00007592	-7.75%	0.0123	✓	1.16	5.6M	2022-03-14
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	133.7	131.0269	-2.00%	113.5	-15.11%	0.0799	✓	1.02	7.8M	2022-03-14
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	31.67	31.021	-2.05%	25.92	-18.16%	0.1130	✓	1.06	4.9M	2022-03-14
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.942	0.922527	-2.07%	0.768	-18.47%	0.0966	✓	1.38	2.4M	2022-03-14
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.4	6.2666	-2.08%	8.06	+25.94%	0.3038	✗	0.83	428k	2022-03-14
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,244.97	41,346.90	-2.13%	39,674.17	-6.09%	0.0215	✓	1.00	642.7M	2022-03-14
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07609	0.074469	-2.13%	0.0694	-8.79%	0.0232	✓	0.75	86k	2022-03-14
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0443	1.0217	-2.17%	1.1348	+8.66%	0.1812	✗	1.21	2.3M	2022-03-14
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.916	5.786	-2.20%	4.77	-19.37%	0.1371	✓	0.89	72k	2022-03-14
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000292	0.000028553	-2.21%	0.00002203	-24.55%	0.1703	✓	1.42	1.8M	2022-03-14
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01068	0.010437	-2.27%	0.00877	-17.88%	0.1095	✓	1.03	514k	2022-03-14
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09377	0.091614	-2.30%	0.09014	-3.87%	0.0509	✗	1.07	50k	2022-03-14
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0717	0.070045	-2.31%	0.06877	-4.09%	0.0510	✗	1.10	17k	2022-03-14
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2838	0.27699	-2.40%	0.1945	-31.47%	0.2554	✓	1.56	4.2M	2022-03-14
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.7725	1.7299	-2.41%	2.0564	+16.02%	0.2431	✗	1.12	73k	2022-03-14
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01362	0.013291	-2.42%	0.01174	-13.80%	0.0749	✓	0.78	13k	2022-03-14
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.16	14.7913	-2.43%	12.66	-16.49%	0.0887	✓	1.06	535k	2022-03-14
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	28.49	27.7688	-2.53%	23.42	-17.80%	0.0749	✓	1.52	2.0M	2022-03-14
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	166.09	161.7837	-2.59%	120.47	-27.47%	0.2183	✓	1.22	930k	2022-03-14
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.781	7.5773	-2.62%	5.436	-30.14%	0.3099	✓	0.35	38k	2022-03-14
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.12	1.0904	-2.64%	0.942	-15.89%	0.0583	✓	1.40	655k	2022-03-14
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	44.18	43.008	-2.65%	41.47	-6.13%	0.0379	✗	1.18	32.3M	2022-03-14
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.19	29.3493	-2.78%	27.37	-9.34%	0.0094	✓	0.96	830k	2022-03-14
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	59.18	57.5285	-2.79%	47.89	-19.08%	0.1058	✓	1.24	8.8M	2022-03-14
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4604	0.447364	-2.83%	0.3223	-30.00%	0.2332	✓	1.51	2.0M	2022-03-14
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.48	5.3243	-2.84%	6.81	+24.27%	0.2960	✗	0.79	377k	2022-03-14
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.562	0.545848	-2.87%	0.6427	+14.36%	0.2465	✗	1.32	2.5M	2022-03-14
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1672	0.162358	-2.90%	0.1527	-8.67%	0.0045	✓	1.05	470k	2022-03-14
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.82	18.2666	-2.94%	17.69	-6.00%	0.0538	✗	1.37	36.1M	2022-03-14
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4191	0.406748	-2.95%	0.3655	-12.79%	0.0228	✓	1.34	8.7M	2022-03-14
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03125	0.030321	-2.97%	0.02467	-21.06%	0.1517	✓	0.87	6.4M	2022-03-14
HIVE	Hive	native	1.052	1.0206	-2.98%	0.8427	-19.90%	0.0996	✓	1.47	1.9M	2022-03-14
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.98	5.8005	-3.00%	3.73	-37.63%	0.3715	✓	1.12	645k	2022-03-14
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.267	1.2277	-3.10%	1.144	-9.71%	0.0082	✓	1.25	3.2M	2022-03-14
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04235	0.04103	-3.12%	0.03912	-7.63%	0.0232	✓	1.13	30k	2022-03-14
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,919.99	2,826.57	-3.20%	2,590.23	-11.29%	0.0167	✓	1.13	572.6M	2022-03-14
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	330.64	320.0398	-3.21%	289.43	-12.46%	0.0363	✓	1.02	8.9M	2022-03-14
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.97	15.4542	-3.23%	13.41	-16.03%	0.0658	✓	1.21	72.0M	2022-03-14
DASH	Dash	Dash	104.19	100.7903	-3.26%	98.24	-5.71%	0.0460	✗	1.14	2.1M	2022-03-14
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.86	20.1747	-3.29%	17.46	-16.30%	0.0684	✓	1.21	10.8M	2022-03-14
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.514	0.497106	-3.29%	0.369	-28.21%	0.2066	✓	1.46	4.9M	2022-03-14
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2514	0.24313	-3.29%	0.2384	-5.17%	0.0490	✗	1.09	1.6M	2022-03-14
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6501	0.628658	-3.30%	0.3858	-40.66%	0.3909	✓	1.55	743k	2022-03-14
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.162	3.0575	-3.31%	3.453	+9.20%	0.1727	✗	0.81	212k	2022-03-14
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.34	5.1634	-3.31%	4.39	-17.79%	0.0964	✓	1.05	682k	2022-03-14
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.34	78.5849	-3.39%	68.98	-15.20%	0.0452	✓	1.36	98.5M	2022-03-14
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	126.78	122.456	-3.41%	105.58	-16.72%	0.0669	✓	1.30	35.7M	2022-03-14
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.939	6.699	-3.46%	4.522	-34.83%	0.3285	✓	1.03	407k	2022-03-14
XMR	Monero	Monero	173.82	167.7987	-3.46%	185.79	+6.89%	0.1676	✗	1.05	1.3M	2022-03-14
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9401	0.907492	-3.47%	0.6963	-25.93%	0.1680	✓	1.54	672k	2022-03-14
XVG	Verge	native	0.01149	0.011089	-3.49%	0.00916	-20.28%	0.1032	✓	1.40	1.2M	2022-03-14
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1393	0.134415	-3.51%	0.1186	-14.86%	0.0402	✓	1.35	3.2M	2022-03-14
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.04	16.429	-3.59%	13.52	-20.66%	0.0851	✓	1.75	3.8M	2022-03-14
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.354	2.2694	-3.60%	2.098	-10.88%	0.0114	✓	1.07	22k	2022-03-14
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.80694	0.777925	-3.60%	0.72186	-10.54%	0.0196	✓	1.50	311k	2022-03-14
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.5079	3.3811	-3.62%	4.315	+23.01%	0.3143	✗	1.12	2.5M	2022-03-14
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.5	2.4091	-3.64%	1.67	-33.20%	0.2847	✓	1.30	390k	2022-03-14
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.89	4.7096	-3.69%	3.965	-18.92%	0.0944	✓	1.24	2.6M	2022-03-14
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2852	0.274359	-3.80%	0.2584	-9.40%	0.0100	✓	1.11	538k	2022-03-14
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.91	1.8373	-3.81%	1.236	-35.29%	0.3092	✓	1.39	2.9M	2022-03-14
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01276	0.012274	-3.81%	0.01143	-10.42%	0.0259	✓	1.55	1.7M	2022-03-14
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	162.52	156.328	-3.81%	118.38	-27.16%	0.1895	✓	1.41	9.3M	2022-03-14
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.021888	0.021051	-3.82%	0.01619	-26.03%	0.1856	✓	1.23	2.4M	2022-03-14
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.02	1.9428	-3.82%	1.69	-16.34%	0.0572	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-03-14
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	117.83	113.3042	-3.84%	149.64	+27.00%	0.3578	✗	1.27	7.2M	2022-03-14
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	127.26	122.3307	-3.87%	99.59	-21.74%	0.1249	✓	1.29	59k	2022-03-14
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2064	0.198351	-3.90%	0.1955	-5.28%	0.0746	✗	1.42	3.7M	2022-03-14
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.27	4.1017	-3.94%	3.366	-21.17%	0.1194	✓	1.25	1.9M	2022-03-14
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		94.11	90.391	-3.95%	75.63	-19.64%	0.1215	✓	0.90	1.3M	2022-03-14
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.78	7.4716	-3.96%	5.44	-30.08%	0.2940	✓	0.37	1.7M	2022-03-14
SOL	Solana	Solana	95.95	92.1447	-3.97%	81.24	-15.33%	0.0469	✓	1.26	179.7M	2022-03-14
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1781	2.0917	-3.97%	1.7056	-21.69%	0.1286	✓	1.20	547k	2022-03-14
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0682	0.065483	-3.98%	0.0558	-18.18%	0.0503	✓	1.75	57.0M	2022-03-14
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.527	3.3832	-4.08%	2.033	-42.36%	0.4539	✓	0.88	30k	2022-03-14
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.786	4.5892	-4.11%	4.541	-5.12%	0.0422	✗	0.84	348k	2022-03-14
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.338	0.32397	-4.15%	0.228	-32.54%	0.2920	✓	0.94	76k	2022-03-14
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9188	0.880548	-4.16%	0.7063	-23.13%	0.1495	✓	1.13	27.1M	2022-03-14
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1736	0.166345	-4.18%	0.1322	-23.85%	0.1847	✓	0.72	406k	2022-03-14
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.56	2.4523	-4.21%	2.18	-14.84%	0.0529	✓	1.03	431k	2022-03-14
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	11.03	10.5636	-4.23%	11.32	+2.63%	0.1141	✗	0.72	660k	2022-03-14
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.2471	1.1918	-4.43%	1.4082	+12.92%	0.2666	✗	1.59	119k	2022-03-14
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.67	6.3726	-4.46%	6.85	+2.70%	0.1285	✗	0.90	406k	2022-03-14
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.109	3.9236	-4.51%	3.0001	-26.99%	0.1862	✓	1.31	2.4M	2022-03-14
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.7	2.5781	-4.51%	2.3	-14.81%	0.0514	✓	1.00	779k	2022-03-14
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.07	3.8853	-4.54%	4.765	+17.08%	0.2252	✗	0.34	1.8M	2022-03-14
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.9446	5.6735	-4.56%	5.8951	-0.83%	0.0578	✗	0.31	447k	2022-03-14
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.32	6.0295	-4.60%	7.574	+19.84%	0.2894	✗	0.98	1.9M	2022-03-14
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9115	2.777	-4.62%	2.3068	-20.77%	0.1222	✓	1.01	2.8M	2022-03-14
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	51.96	49.5256	-4.69%	94.79	+82.43%	0.7388	✗	1.43	7.4M	2022-03-14
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.812	1.7267	-4.71%	1.327	-26.77%	0.1810	✓	1.31	1.1M	2022-03-14
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.7989	4.5668	-4.84%	4.0362	-15.89%	0.0459	✓	1.24	399k	2022-03-14
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.07	19.0946	-4.86%	16.18	-19.38%	0.0923	✓	1.17	25.0M	2022-03-14
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1035	0.098432	-4.90%	0.0894	-13.62%	0.0029	✓	1.58	1.2M	2022-03-14
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.87	2.7281	-4.94%	1.952	-31.99%	0.2455	✓	1.42	19.1M	2022-03-14
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.044288	0.042079	-4.99%	0.039855	-10.01%	0.0224	✓	1.22	8.4M	2022-03-14
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0956	0.090802	-5.02%	0.0663	-30.65%	0.2270	✓	1.39	585k	2022-03-14
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.7974	3.6057	-5.05%	3.6677	-3.42%	0.0777	✗	0.97	2.2M	2022-03-14
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.76	2.62	-5.07%	5.312	+92.46%	0.7918	✗	1.35	1.1M	2022-03-14
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8744	0.828322	-5.27%	0.7121	-18.56%	0.0842	✓	1.07	12.7M	2022-03-14
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0596	1.0035	-5.29%	0.8028	-24.24%	0.1526	✓	1.12	115.7M	2022-03-14
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0322	0.030473	-5.36%	0.0228	-29.19%	0.1978	✓	1.47	490k	2022-03-14
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.69	1.5993	-5.37%	1.336	-20.95%	0.1006	✓	1.26	1.4M	2022-03-14
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.94	0.889312	-5.39%	0.58	-38.30%	0.3043	✓	1.96	1.1M	2022-03-14
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	22.54	21.3057	-5.48%	18.64	-17.30%	0.0347	✓	1.58	383k	2022-03-14
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	27.07	25.5711	-5.54%	26.83	-0.89%	0.1196	✗	1.14	71.8M	2022-03-14
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.03381	0.031915	-5.60%	0.01958	-42.09%	0.4178	✓	1.13	9.7M	2022-03-14
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	18.05	17.014	-5.74%	13.26	-26.54%	0.2044	✓	0.71	984k	2022-03-14
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.92	1.806	-5.94%	1.04	-45.83%	0.4774	✓	1.19	1.4M	2022-03-14
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.15	3.9027	-5.96%	2.9	-30.12%	0.2099	✓	1.39	8.0M	2022-03-14
STX	Stacks	native	1.52	1.4294	-5.96%	1.28	-15.79%	0.0476	✓	1.00	1.1M	2022-03-14
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.404	2.2572	-6.10%	1.61	-33.03%	0.2751	✓	1.00	68k	2022-03-14
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.312	3.101	-6.37%	4.071	+22.92%	0.3284	✗	0.90	502k	2022-03-14
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.116	0.108591	-6.39%	0.104	-10.34%	0.0196	✓	1.00	72k	2022-03-14
ORCA	Orca	Solana	3.03	2.8324	-6.52%	2	-33.99%	0.2852	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-14
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18496	0.172883	-6.53%	0.1444	-21.93%	0.0781	✓	1.62	40k	2022-03-14
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00616	0.005756	-6.55%	0.00363	-41.07%	0.3340	✓	2.02	18.8M	2022-03-14
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000217	0.000002026	-6.62%	0.00000175	-19.35%	0.0838	✓	1.00	14.3M	2022-03-14
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8422	1.7197	-6.65%	2.9	+57.42%	0.5612	✗	0.62	2.9M	2022-03-14
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.96	0.894622	-6.81%	0.89	-7.29%	0.0576	✓	1.00	277k	2022-03-14
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	85.8439	79.8584	-6.97%	46.9295	-45.33%	0.4412	✓	1.44	315k	2022-03-14
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.6015	0.559441	-6.99%	0.3874	-35.59%	0.2483	✓	1.90	1.8M	2022-03-14
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5785	0.535695	-7.40%	0.4889	-15.49%	0.0251	✓	1.06	1.1M	2022-03-14
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015897	0.01464	-7.91%	0.01177	-25.96%	0.1447	✓	1.17	630k	2022-03-14
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,131.85	21,179.19	-8.44%	18,523.08	-19.92%	0.0740	✓	0.96	7.8M	2022-03-14
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.028632	0.025958	-9.34%	0.021474	-25.00%	0.1086	✓	1.29	111k	2022-03-14
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4544	0.408647	-10.07%	0.3117	-31.40%	0.1583	✓	1.79	32.6M	2022-03-14
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.22	1.989	-10.41%	1.43	-35.59%	0.2049	✓	1.99	1.1M	2022-03-14
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	4.904	4.3446	-11.41%	2.368	-51.71%	0.5492	✓	0.92	909k	2022-03-14
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2939	1.143	-11.66%	0.7046	-45.54%	0.4275	✓	0.90	1.8M	2022-03-14
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04741	0.041291	-12.91%	0.03625	-23.54%	0.0847	✓	0.72	4.4M	2022-03-14

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.