2022-02-09 · +1d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2431

148 of 148 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+3.01%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

82.4%

in alpha space · 91.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-2.00%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.159048	0.158867	-0.11%	0.151631	-4.66%	0.0259	✓	1.03	7.1M	2022-02-10
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.81	2.8063	-0.13%	2.59	-7.83%	0.0615	✓	0.92	2.6M	2022-02-10
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	192.22	191.9622	-0.13%	179.15	-6.80%	0.0447	✓	1.20	1.0M	2022-02-10
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2042	7.1943	-0.14%	7.1425	-0.86%	0.0220	✗	1.45	156k	2022-02-10
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	12.33	12.313	-0.14%	11.41	-7.46%	0.0495	✓	1.32	12.5M	2022-02-10
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.4	2.3956	-0.18%	2.3689	-1.29%	0.0128	✗	1.19	845k	2022-02-10
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	188.2	187.8479	-0.19%	175.4	-6.80%	0.0404	✓	1.39	9.5M	2022-02-10
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.069943	0.069808	-0.19%	0.068608	-1.91%	0.0008	✓	0.90	362k	2022-02-10
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.83	2.8244	-0.20%	2.7	-4.59%	0.0245	✓	1.02	489k	2022-02-10
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.238854	0.238384	-0.20%	0.23172	-2.99%	0.0077	✓	1.02	24.9M	2022-02-10
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0312	0.031138	-0.20%	0.03045	-2.40%	0.0044	✓	0.89	6.6M	2022-02-10
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1429	0.142613	-0.20%	0.1482	+3.71%	0.0662	✗	1.38	3.2M	2022-02-10
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.21	2.2055	-0.20%	2.07	-6.33%	0.0396	✓	1.18	1.7M	2022-02-10
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3218	0.321135	-0.21%	0.3093	-3.88%	0.0062	✓	1.55	4.0M	2022-02-10
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	21.97	21.9233	-0.21%	20.51	-6.65%	0.0394	✓	1.35	37.4M	2022-02-10
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.94	2.9337	-0.21%	2.76	-6.12%	0.0353	✓	1.28	401k	2022-02-10
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4877	0.486655	-0.21%	0.4615	-5.37%	0.0265	✓	1.32	9.2M	2022-02-10
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0371	1.0349	-0.21%	0.9822	-5.29%	0.0301	✓	1.10	29.2M	2022-02-10
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	21.27	21.2244	-0.21%	18.94	-10.95%	0.0790	✓	1.72	3.8M	2022-02-10
DASH	Dash	Dash	114.95	114.7007	-0.22%	111.66	-2.86%	0.0040	✓	1.13	2.2M	2022-02-10
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0468	0.046698	-0.22%	0.04451	-4.89%	0.0254	✓	1.12	30k	2022-02-10
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05941	0.059275	-0.23%	0.05799	-2.39%	0.0070	✗	1.43	1.2M	2022-02-10
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0976	1.095	-0.24%	1.0404	-5.21%	0.0199	✓	1.54	672k	2022-02-10
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00744	0.007422	-0.24%	0.00696	-6.45%	0.0239	✓	2.00	19.8M	2022-02-10
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.17	4.1593	-0.26%	3.9	-6.47%	0.0388	✓	1.26	1.9M	2022-02-10
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.705	20.6513	-0.26%	20.473	-1.12%	0.0184	✗	1.34	10.4M	2022-02-10
XMR	Monero	Monero	185.83	185.3473	-0.26%	179.36	-3.48%	0.0118	✓	1.04	1.5M	2022-02-10
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		101.5	101.2359	-0.26%	98.35	-3.10%	0.0107	✓	0.90	1.4M	2022-02-10
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1947	1.1916	-0.26%	1.1515	-3.62%	0.0118	✓	1.11	109.8M	2022-02-10
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	16.51	16.4668	-0.26%	16.26	-1.51%	0.0085	✗	1.05	590k	2022-02-10
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.28	2.274	-0.26%	2.16	-5.26%	0.0252	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-02-10
XVG	Verge	native	0.01253	0.012497	-0.26%	0.01219	-2.71%	0.0027	✗	1.36	1.3M	2022-02-10
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.827	0.824805	-0.27%	0.845	+2.18%	0.0462	✗	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-10
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	7.06	7.0412	-0.27%	6.43	-8.92%	0.0685	✓	1.10	733k	2022-02-10
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	57.56	57.4062	-0.27%	52.32	-9.10%	0.0644	✓	1.41	8.8M	2022-02-10
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.017007	0.016961	-0.27%	0.017169	+0.95%	0.0359	✗	1.18	1.6M	2022-02-10
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	44,492.60	44,372.67	-0.27%	43,566.60	-2.08%	0.0012	✓	0.97	41k	2022-02-10
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.288	0.287219	-0.27%	0.281	-2.43%	0.0026	✓	0.95	70k	2022-02-10
XEM	NEM	native	0.1212	0.120868	-0.27%	0.1139	-6.02%	0.0382	✓	1.05	35k	2022-02-10
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.5	3.4903	-0.28%	3.2	-8.57%	0.0588	✓	1.39	20.5M	2022-02-10
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	107.0699	106.7698	-0.28%	94.3677	-11.86%	0.0948	✓	1.42	320k	2022-02-10
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.94117	0.938497	-0.28%	0.88264	-6.22%	0.0315	✓	1.48	311k	2022-02-10
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,246.22	3,236.94	-0.29%	3,074.85	-5.28%	0.0289	✓	1.11	544.5M	2022-02-10
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08573	0.085483	-0.29%	0.0828	-3.42%	0.0166	✓	0.76	89k	2022-02-10
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1868	0.186253	-0.29%	0.1806	-3.32%	0.0164	✓	0.71	423k	2022-02-10
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.7	18.6444	-0.30%	17.51	-6.36%	0.0387	✓	1.19	75.4M	2022-02-10
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0794	0.079162	-0.30%	0.076	-4.28%	0.0188	✓	1.09	21k	2022-02-10
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.706728	0.704612	-0.30%	0.677039	-4.20%	0.0167	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-02-10
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.9982	1.992	-0.31%	1.8836	-5.74%	0.0337	✓	1.10	79k	2022-02-10
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	44,416.35	44,278.44	-0.31%	43,527.71	-2.00%	0.0031	✗	1.00	642.7M	2022-02-10
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	23.1	23.0266	-0.32%	21.59	-6.54%	0.0412	✓	1.15	26.1M	2022-02-10
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	10.06	10.028	-0.32%	9.7	-3.58%	0.0071	✓	1.29	2.5M	2022-02-10
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10785	0.1075	-0.32%	0.10255	-4.91%	0.0257	✓	1.06	49k	2022-02-10
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.347	3.336	-0.33%	3.241	-3.17%	0.0125	✓	0.81	206k	2022-02-10
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.609	2.6004	-0.33%	2.505	-3.99%	0.0161	✓	1.05	22k	2022-02-10
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.406	0.404659	-0.33%	0.408	+0.49%	0.0356	✗	1.36	1.8M	2022-02-10
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	346.21	345.0646	-0.33%	341.1	-1.48%	0.0090	✗	1.02	7.9M	2022-02-10
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.801	4.785	-0.33%	4.61	-3.98%	0.0204	✓	0.83	346k	2022-02-10
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	144.23	143.7429	-0.34%	132.68	-8.01%	0.0544	✓	1.27	65k	2022-02-10
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.041	0.040861	-0.34%	0.0397	-3.17%	0.0062	✓	1.12	9.1M	2022-02-10
STX	Stacks	native	1.72	1.7139	-0.35%	1.62	-5.81%	0.0361	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-10
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	24.32	24.2339	-0.35%	23.14	-4.85%	0.0221	✓	1.19	10.4M	2022-02-10
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	126.05	125.5948	-0.36%	124.85	-0.95%	0.0195	✗	1.26	6.6M	2022-02-10
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.93	1.923	-0.36%	1.8	-6.74%	0.0408	✓	1.25	1.5M	2022-02-10
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1237	0.123247	-0.37%	0.1163	-5.98%	0.0266	✓	1.55	1.5M	2022-02-10
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6233	0.62098	-0.37%	0.6038	-3.13%	0.0016	✓	1.31	2.6M	2022-02-10
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01205	0.012005	-0.38%	0.01138	-5.56%	0.0331	✓	1.01	572k	2022-02-10
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.832	1.8251	-0.38%	1.719	-6.17%	0.0367	✓	1.15	1.6M	2022-02-10
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2907	1.2858	-0.38%	1.2095	-6.29%	0.0373	✓	1.18	2.3M	2022-02-10
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.14	7.1126	-0.38%	6.86	-3.92%	0.0198	✓	0.81	463k	2022-02-10
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3519	1.3467	-0.38%	1.2595	-6.83%	0.0461	✓	1.03	279k	2022-02-10
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.66	6.6341	-0.39%	6.28	-5.71%	0.0351	✓	0.98	1.9M	2022-02-10
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003298	0.00003285	-0.40%	0.00003081	-6.58%	0.0358	✓	1.40	1.4M	2022-02-10
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.94	30.8173	-0.40%	29.1	-5.95%	0.0349	✓	1.11	96.8M	2022-02-10
SOL	Solana	Solana	114.04	113.587	-0.40%	106.25	-6.83%	0.0418	✓	1.24	179.7M	2022-02-10
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	150.18	149.5821	-0.40%	140.08	-6.73%	0.0454	✓	1.00	7.6M	2022-02-10
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1678	0.167131	-0.40%	0.1649	-1.73%	0.0077	✗	1.04	412k	2022-02-10
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	25.8	25.6969	-0.40%	23.69	-8.18%	0.0497	✓	1.57	398k	2022-02-10
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.591	0.58858	-0.41%	0.562	-4.91%	0.0172	✓	1.44	4.6M	2022-02-10
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0943	0.093907	-0.42%	0.0919	-2.55%	0.0033	✓	1.23	219k	2022-02-10
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	90.18	89.8033	-0.42%	91.18	+1.11%	0.0424	✗	1.35	87.1M	2022-02-10
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.91	10.8643	-0.42%	10.6	-2.84%	0.0104	✓	0.71	660k	2022-02-10
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	33.92	33.7777	-0.42%	33.86	-0.18%	0.0329	✗	1.51	2.0M	2022-02-10
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01324	0.013183	-0.43%	0.01369	+3.40%	0.0538	✗	0.79	12k	2022-02-10
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0216	1.0172	-0.43%	0.9488	-7.13%	0.0485	✓	1.04	13.5M	2022-02-10
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	67.62	67.3297	-0.43%	63.35	-6.31%	0.0363	✓	1.22	8.4M	2022-02-10
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5665	0.56406	-0.43%	0.5138	-9.30%	0.0571	✓	1.79	40.2M	2022-02-10
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.086	1.0813	-0.43%	1.029	-5.25%	0.0219	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-10
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.3415	3.3271	-0.43%	3.1401	-6.03%	0.0383	✓	0.97	2.8M	2022-02-10
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.128	0.127443	-0.44%	0.124	-3.12%	0.0072	✓	1.00	72k	2022-02-10
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.46	2.4491	-0.44%	2.64	+7.32%	0.0953	✗	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-10
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.31	9.2687	-0.44%	8.52	-8.49%	0.0772	✓	0.35	1.6M	2022-02-10
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.8968	3.8793	-0.45%	3.5527	-8.83%	0.0657	✓	1.10	2.5M	2022-02-10
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.083	3.0691	-0.45%	2.821	-8.50%	0.0570	✓	1.35	1.1M	2022-02-10
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.351	1.3449	-0.45%	1.3101	-3.03%	0.0060	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-10
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6017	0.598971	-0.45%	0.5753	-4.39%	0.0187	✓	1.07	1.2M	2022-02-10
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04699	0.046776	-0.46%	0.04637	-1.32%	0.0115	✗	1.00	4.9M	2022-02-10
ZEN	Horizen	Base	47.83	47.612	-0.46%	45.02	-5.87%	0.0249	✓	1.54	461k	2022-02-10
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009721	0.000096765	-0.46%	0.0000925	-4.85%	0.0220	✓	1.14	5.6M	2022-02-10
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.09	1.085	-0.46%	1	-8.26%	0.0424	✓	1.94	1.1M	2022-02-10
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.4429	4.4223	-0.46%	4.1273	-7.10%	0.0425	✓	1.31	2.3M	2022-02-10
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.18	7.1465	-0.47%	6.84	-4.74%	0.0260	✓	0.88	416k	2022-02-10
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	140.21	139.5549	-0.47%	134.59	-4.01%	0.0099	✓	1.30	32.4M	2022-02-10
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	33.84	33.6799	-0.47%	34.39	+1.63%	0.0423	✗	1.06	4.0M	2022-02-10
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	26,293.98	26,168.89	-0.48%	24,454.91	-6.99%	0.0486	✓	0.94	11.3M	2022-02-10
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2412	0.240046	-0.48%	0.2242	-7.05%	0.0401	✓	1.39	3.7M	2022-02-10
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.43	1.4231	-0.48%	1.323	-7.48%	0.0480	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-02-10
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.07	1.0648	-0.48%	1.01	-5.61%	0.0326	✓	1.00	286k	2022-02-10
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.84	5.8117	-0.49%	5.23	-10.45%	0.0808	✓	1.22	2.6M	2022-02-10
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01509	0.015017	-0.49%	0.01337	-11.40%	0.0860	✓	1.49	1.7M	2022-02-10
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3185	0.316913	-0.50%	0.3045	-4.40%	0.0175	✓	1.11	518k	2022-02-10
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2963	0.294814	-0.50%	0.2774	-6.38%	0.0390	✓	1.08	1.7M	2022-02-10
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5406	0.537879	-0.50%	0.5118	-5.33%	0.0198	✓	1.48	2.2M	2022-02-10
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.48	28.3332	-0.52%	28.06	-1.47%	0.0098	✗	0.97	566k	2022-02-10
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	47.97	47.7205	-0.52%	44.55	-7.13%	0.0451	✓	1.17	32.3M	2022-02-10
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	6.08	6.0483	-0.52%	5.69	-6.41%	0.0402	✓	1.04	773k	2022-02-10
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7609	0.756906	-0.52%	0.7205	-5.31%	0.0183	✓	1.53	938k	2022-02-10
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1728	1.1666	-0.53%	1.1096	-5.39%	0.0206	✓	1.46	1.9M	2022-02-10
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0423	7.0048	-0.53%	6.9043	-1.96%	0.0036	✓	0.89	4.1M	2022-02-10
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000232	0.000002308	-0.54%	0.00000223	-3.88%	0.0140	✓	1.00	15.1M	2022-02-10
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.48	7.4399	-0.54%	7.67	+2.54%	0.0370	✗	0.32	1.0M	2022-02-10
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.04	4.0182	-0.54%	4.48	+10.89%	0.1154	✗	0.33	1.5M	2022-02-10
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6	5.967	-0.55%	5.75	-4.17%	0.0212	✓	0.78	377k	2022-02-10
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.3633	5.3335	-0.55%	5.0692	-5.48%	0.0261	✓	1.22	442k	2022-02-10
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.897	6.858	-0.57%	6.466	-6.25%	0.0406	✓	0.90	81k	2022-02-10
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.16	2.1476	-0.57%	1.987	-8.01%	0.0518	✓	1.28	1.2M	2022-02-10
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.885	3.8627	-0.57%	3.654	-5.95%	0.0361	✓	0.96	2.2M	2022-02-10
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.263	8.2155	-0.57%	7.756	-6.14%	0.0371	✓	1.01	460k	2022-02-10
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.03747	0.03725	-0.59%	0.035501	-5.25%	0.0222	✓	1.28	114k	2022-02-10
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		9.329	9.2733	-0.60%	8.495	-8.94%	0.0811	✓	0.33	38k	2022-02-10
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.76	4.731	-0.61%	4.41	-7.35%	0.0427	✓	1.37	8.0M	2022-02-10
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.796	3.7719	-0.64%	3.584	-5.58%	0.0334	✓	0.87	536k	2022-02-10
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.908	5.8702	-0.64%	5.533	-6.35%	0.0389	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-10
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.28	2.265	-0.66%	2.07	-9.21%	0.0622	✓	1.38	3.1M	2022-02-10
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0337	0.033477	-0.66%	0.035	+3.86%	0.0748	✗	1.50	490k	2022-02-10
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0867	0.086123	-0.67%	0.1041	+20.07%	0.2174	✗	1.38	548k	2022-02-10
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.024233	0.024068	-0.68%	0.023319	-3.77%	0.0071	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-02-10
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.086	0.08539	-0.71%	0.0744	-13.49%	0.1039	✓	1.67	27.8M	2022-02-10
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9679	1.9533	-0.74%	1.874	-4.77%	0.0290	✓	0.62	2.8M	2022-02-10
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.43	1.4191	-0.76%	1.22	-14.69%	0.1240	✓	1.35	523k	2022-02-10
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.05819	0.05774	-0.77%	0.050395	-13.40%	0.1119	✓	1.19	8.8M	2022-02-10
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8694	3.8346	-0.90%	3.5386	-8.55%	0.0625	✓	0.88	28k	2022-02-10
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.23058	0.228504	-0.90%	0.2098	-9.01%	0.0533	✓	1.59	36k	2022-02-10
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.3852	1.372	-0.95%	1.3202	-4.69%	0.0072	✓	1.55	107k	2022-02-10
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	18.16	17.9736	-1.03%	18.01	-0.83%	0.0162	✗	0.70	919k	2022-02-10
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.8052	6.733	-1.06%	6.1336	-9.87%	0.0873	✓	0.29	407k	2022-02-10
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.8202	0.810878	-1.14%	0.6635	-19.11%	0.1635	✓	1.84	1.8M	2022-02-10
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	3.269	3.2143	-1.67%	2.908	-11.04%	0.0799	✓	1.00	67k	2022-02-10

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.