2022-02-01 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1518

145 of 145 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+12.42%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

81.4%

in alpha space · 67.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+9.68%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.11	11.2009	+0.82%	9.55	-14.04%	0.2848	✗	1.36	12.9M	2022-03-03
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.255	0.255899	+0.35%	0.273	+7.06%	0.0238	✗	0.96	67k	2022-03-03
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.142489	0.142875	+0.27%	0.129579	-9.06%	0.1961	✗	1.07	7.1M	2022-03-03
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002176	0.000021797	+0.17%	0.00002507	+15.21%	0.0093	✓	1.41	1.6M	2022-03-03
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.328	0.327413	-0.18%	0.295	-10.06%	0.2305	✓	1.37	1.8M	2022-03-03
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6048	1.6013	-0.21%	2.1075	+31.33%	0.1714	✗	1.12	82k	2022-03-03
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	104.95	104.6741	-0.26%	127.04	+21.05%	0.0956	✗	1.06	7.5M	2022-03-03
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059831	0.059507	-0.54%	0.060032	+0.34%	0.0773	✓	0.93	411k	2022-03-03
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04034	0.040055	-0.71%	0.03967	-1.66%	0.1131	✓	1.12	29k	2022-03-03
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	170.69	169.4032	-0.75%	131.9	-22.73%	0.3598	✓	1.19	1.3M	2022-03-03
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.13	8.0673	-0.77%	9.34	+14.88%	0.0238	✗	1.33	2.8M	2022-03-03
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1797	6.1249	-0.89%	6.3922	+3.44%	0.0924	✓	1.46	174k	2022-03-03
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.202028	0.200201	-0.90%	0.187901	-6.99%	0.1594	✓	1.04	26.2M	2022-03-03
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,691.90	38,287.75	-1.04%	42,572.60	+10.03%	0.0122	✗	1.02	51k	2022-03-03
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03008	0.029765	-1.05%	0.02753	-8.48%	0.1615	✓	0.90	8.7M	2022-03-03
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1518	2.126	-1.20%	1.868	-13.19%	0.2440	✓	1.24	888k	2022-03-03
XVG	Verge	native	0.01018	0.010047	-1.30%	0.01001	-1.67%	0.1272	✓	1.34	1.6M	2022-03-03
DASH	Dash	Dash	97.23	95.9003	-1.37%	96.75	-0.49%	0.1004	✓	1.18	2.9M	2022-03-03
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.88	2.8388	-1.43%	1.46	-49.31%	0.8099	✓	1.57	2.2M	2022-03-03
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08902	0.087711	-1.47%	0.09337	+4.89%	0.0384	✓	1.09	46k	2022-03-03
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1161	0.11436	-1.50%	0.1221	+5.17%	0.0574	✓	1.33	3.8M	2022-03-03
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00684	0.006736	-1.52%	0.00456	-33.33%	0.6052	✓	2.33	23.2M	2022-03-03
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.03834	0.037722	-1.61%	0.046937	+22.42%	0.1032	✗	1.25	9.4M	2022-03-03
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,716.88	38,089.89	-1.62%	42,464.41	+9.68%	0.0163	✗	1.00	717.4M	2022-03-03
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9652	0.948733	-1.71%	0.7864	-18.52%	0.3565	✓	1.83	852k	2022-03-03
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.49	3.4299	-1.72%	3.962	+13.52%	0.0269	✗	1.27	2.5M	2022-03-03
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.1	2.0633	-1.75%	1.24	-40.95%	0.6525	✓	1.55	2.3M	2022-03-03
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.967	0.949757	-1.78%	0.7967	-17.61%	0.2846	✓	1.18	34.5M	2022-03-03
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00957	0.009393	-1.85%	0.01199	+25.29%	0.1242	✗	1.30	2.1M	2022-03-03
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4393	0.430842	-1.93%	0.3647	-16.98%	0.2883	✓	1.32	10.0M	2022-03-03
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0658	0.064521	-1.94%	0.0725	+10.18%	0.0142	✓	1.11	21k	2022-03-03
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	19.58	19.1979	-1.95%	18.03	-7.92%	0.1920	✓	1.40	48.3M	2022-03-03
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	287.95	282.2334	-1.99%	315.29	+9.49%	0.0141	✓	1.05	6.8M	2022-03-03
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	4.2589	4.1697	-2.10%	5.6206	+31.97%	0.2987	✗	-0.00	375k	2022-03-03
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	164.05	160.5896	-2.11%	129.96	-20.78%	0.3409	✓	1.40	12.5M	2022-03-03
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015173	0.014847	-2.15%	0.011953	-21.22%	0.3254	✓	1.18	2.7M	2022-03-03
XMR	Monero	Monero	146.32	143.178	-2.15%	172.04	+17.58%	0.0895	✗	1.02	1.8M	2022-03-03
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.496	18.0979	-2.15%	19.526	+5.57%	0.0649	✓	1.52	10.6M	2022-03-03
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	19.38	18.9579	-2.18%	14.3	-26.21%	0.4521	✓	1.84	3.9M	2022-03-03
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.7	0.684635	-2.20%	0.72	+2.86%	0.1230	✓	1.88	1.1M	2022-03-03
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,789.66	2,728.40	-2.20%	2,833.66	+1.58%	0.0646	✓	1.11	560.6M	2022-03-03
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.15	19.7066	-2.20%	19.97	-0.89%	0.1048	✓	1.28	34.3M	2022-03-03
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	76.2874	74.5991	-2.21%	66.5878	-12.71%	0.2314	✓	1.27	383k	2022-03-03
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17	16.6161	-2.26%	14.89	-12.41%	0.2220	✓	1.22	88.8M	2022-03-03
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.27	6.1274	-2.27%	4.42	-29.51%	0.4140	✓	0.95	835k	2022-03-03
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	52.21	50.9967	-2.32%	90.56	+73.45%	0.4181	✗	1.69	8.8M	2022-03-03
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3087	0.301158	-2.44%	0.2283	-26.04%	0.4264	✓	1.62	4.2M	2022-03-03
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.756	0.736945	-2.52%	0.714	-5.56%	0.1306	✓	1.07	1.8M	2022-03-03
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0822	0.080088	-2.57%	0.072	-12.41%	0.2208	✓	1.24	299k	2022-03-03
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4327	0.421498	-2.59%	0.4722	+9.13%	0.0341	✓	1.60	2.0M	2022-03-03
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.98	5.8225	-2.63%	9.598	+60.50%	0.3995	✗	1.09	2.1M	2022-03-03
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0446	0.04341	-2.67%	0.01525	-65.81%	1.1487	✓	1.11	9.1M	2022-03-03
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.6	5.4504	-2.67%	5.51	-1.61%	0.0863	✓	1.05	1.0M	2022-03-03
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1885	0.183462	-2.67%	0.1971	+4.56%	0.0524	✓	1.34	3.7M	2022-03-03
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007722	0.000075154	-2.68%	0.00007449	-3.54%	0.1131	✓	1.13	5.7M	2022-03-03
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.66	14.2677	-2.68%	13.32	-9.14%	0.1600	✓	0.99	795k	2022-03-03
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	53.47	52.0065	-2.74%	53.31	-0.30%	0.0828	✓	1.16	8.0M	2022-03-03
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.582133	0.566121	-2.75%	0.534619	-8.16%	0.1702	✓	1.22	3.3M	2022-03-03
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.98	1.9233	-2.87%	1.85	-6.57%	0.1595	✓	1.31	2.5M	2022-03-03
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01011	0.009817	-2.90%	0.00902	-10.78%	0.1809	✓	1.04	565k	2022-03-03
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.525	1.4802	-2.93%	1.523	-0.13%	0.0830	✓	1.21	1.6M	2022-03-03
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.72	9.4278	-3.01%	10.07	+3.60%	0.0039	✓	0.76	744k	2022-03-03
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07836	0.075974	-3.04%	0.06983	-10.89%	0.1518	✓	0.73	80k	2022-03-03
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.66	6.4548	-3.08%	6.42	-3.60%	0.0266	✓	0.23	1.1M	2022-03-03
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0965	1.0616	-3.18%	0.9021	-17.73%	0.2690	✓	1.15	113.2M	2022-03-03
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.53	2.4481	-3.24%	2.38	-5.93%	0.1222	✓	1.02	697k	2022-03-03
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	98.97	95.7596	-3.24%	129.17	+30.51%	0.1740	✗	1.36	6.6M	2022-03-03
SOL	Solana	Solana	110.1	106.5044	-3.27%	95.61	-13.16%	0.2185	✓	1.20	181.0M	2022-03-03
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.488	0.471855	-3.31%	0.448	-8.20%	0.1937	✓	1.54	4.7M	2022-03-03
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	128.16	123.8701	-3.35%	116.89	-8.79%	0.1796	✓	1.32	59k	2022-03-03
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	28.86	27.8913	-3.36%	34.01	+17.84%	0.0916	✗	1.15	120.6M	2022-03-03
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.932	0.899576	-3.48%	0.852	-8.58%	0.1818	✓	1.38	2.3M	2022-03-03
XEM	NEM	native	0.104	0.100047	-3.80%	0.1029	-1.06%	0.0660	✓	1.02	43k	2022-03-03
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05811	0.055886	-3.83%	0.05073	-12.70%	0.2287	✓	1.43	1.6M	2022-03-03
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2456	0.236167	-3.84%	0.249	+1.38%	0.0554	✓	1.17	1.9M	2022-03-03
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.228	4.0642	-3.87%	4.418	+4.49%	0.0085	✓	0.81	351k	2022-03-03
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1512	1.1058	-3.94%	1.0476	-9.00%	0.1483	✓	1.02	346k	2022-03-03
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.94	20.1086	-3.97%	19.77	-5.59%	0.1637	✓	1.59	465k	2022-03-03
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1825	0.175203	-4.00%	0.146	-20.00%	0.2449	✓	0.68	472k	2022-03-03
ZEN	Horizen	Base	39.21	37.6299	-4.03%	38.18	-2.63%	0.1353	✓	1.62	626k	2022-03-03
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.247	2.1554	-4.08%	2.212	-1.56%	0.0747	✓	1.09	22k	2022-03-03
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4737	0.45393	-4.17%	0.381	-19.57%	0.3045	✓	1.40	2.2M	2022-03-03
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.9364	6.6465	-4.18%	6.7949	-2.04%	0.0656	✓	0.95	4.3M	2022-03-03
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1868	3.0532	-4.19%	2.9519	-7.37%	0.1380	✓	1.13	2.7M	2022-03-03
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.03	1.9444	-4.22%	1.545	-23.89%	0.3713	✓	1.53	4.2M	2022-03-03
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.92	20.0132	-4.33%	20.13	-3.78%	0.1063	✓	1.21	12.4M	2022-03-03
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.65	2.5341	-4.37%	2.04	-23.02%	0.3294	✓	1.22	577k	2022-03-03
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.35	4.1596	-4.38%	3.3	-24.14%	0.3609	✓	1.40	8.9M	2022-03-03
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.7	1.6243	-4.46%	1.437	-15.47%	0.2425	✓	1.30	2.1M	2022-03-03
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.979	5.7125	-4.46%	5.584	-6.61%	0.1192	✓	1.04	341k	2022-03-03
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	45.2	43.1758	-4.48%	44.86	-0.75%	0.0760	✓	1.24	39.5M	2022-03-03
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.46	3.3029	-4.54%	2.508	-27.51%	0.4101	✓	1.46	24.0M	2022-03-03
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5296	0.505534	-4.54%	0.3687	-30.38%	0.4894	✓	1.88	48.9M	2022-03-03
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.125	2.9792	-4.66%	2.882	-7.78%	0.1085	✓	0.81	299k	2022-03-03
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.46	13.782	-4.69%	16.42	+13.55%	0.1104	✗	0.70	841k	2022-03-03
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.565	0.538202	-4.74%	0.8058	+42.62%	0.2800	✗	1.34	2.7M	2022-03-03
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1425	0.135582	-4.85%	0.1559	+9.40%	0.0484	✓	0.99	337k	2022-03-03
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04829	0.045896	-4.96%	0.03435	-28.87%	0.3822	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-03-03
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.958	5.6607	-4.99%	5.231	-12.20%	0.1576	✓	0.85	118k	2022-03-03
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01283	0.012181	-5.06%	0.01236	-3.66%	0.0676	✓	0.89	13k	2022-03-03
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.28	5.9596	-5.10%	6.33	+0.80%	0.0200	✓	0.87	529k	2022-03-03
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.7479	3.5556	-5.13%	3.3937	-9.45%	0.1765	✓	1.41	2.5M	2022-03-03
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.24	5.9134	-5.23%	7.63	+22.28%	0.1813	✗	0.80	504k	2022-03-03
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.683	2.5409	-5.30%	2.873	+7.08%	0.0183	✓	1.53	986k	2022-03-03
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	26.8	25.3757	-5.31%	30.25	+12.87%	0.0747	✗	1.09	3.3M	2022-03-03
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8391	0.793988	-5.38%	0.7596	-9.47%	0.1484	✓	1.13	16.8M	2022-03-03
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	26.67	25.2344	-5.38%	25.18	-5.59%	0.1553	✓	1.66	2.6M	2022-03-03
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	25,472.18	24,097.00	-5.40%	21,698.86	-14.81%	0.1922	✓	0.95	15.1M	2022-03-03
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5575	0.527356	-5.41%	0.5501	-1.33%	0.0660	✓	1.17	1.8M	2022-03-03
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	115.11	108.6865	-5.58%	111.69	-2.97%	0.0979	✓	1.35	33.8M	2022-03-03
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0959	2.9203	-5.67%	2.95	-4.71%	0.0866	✓	1.05	2.0M	2022-03-03
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	73.37	69.1517	-5.75%	78.49	+6.98%	0.0022	✓	1.35	87.3M	2022-03-03
STX	Stacks	native	1.5	1.4132	-5.78%	1.21	-19.33%	0.2477	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-03-03
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		91.69	86.3132	-5.86%	83.45	-8.99%	0.1213	✓	0.95	1.6M	2022-03-03
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.337	3.1372	-5.99%	2.941	-11.87%	0.1437	✓	0.86	819k	2022-03-03
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.052	7.5669	-6.03%	6.363	-20.98%	0.1957	✓	0.24	41k	2022-03-03
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.365	5.035	-6.15%	3.084	-42.52%	0.5826	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-03
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.23	2.0918	-6.20%	1.92	-13.90%	0.1781	✓	1.00	3.1M	2022-03-03
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.84367	0.791307	-6.21%	0.7113	-15.69%	0.2666	✓	1.73	458k	2022-03-03
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1189	0.111261	-6.42%	0.095	-20.10%	0.2963	✓	1.50	1.7M	2022-03-03
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9549	0.893474	-6.43%	0.9796	+2.59%	0.0495	✓	1.53	1.9M	2022-03-03
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.837	1.717	-6.53%	1.479	-19.49%	0.2638	✓	1.24	1.4M	2022-03-03
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.06	7.5325	-6.55%	6.34	-21.34%	0.1987	✓	0.29	1.8M	2022-03-03
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.37	5.0184	-6.55%	5.38	+0.19%	0.0014	✓	0.74	429k	2022-03-03
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020954	0.019534	-6.78%	0.01877	-10.42%	0.1341	✓	1.02	3.0M	2022-03-03
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0358	0.033347	-6.85%	0.0283	-20.95%	0.3000	✓	1.47	540k	2022-03-03
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1475	1.0684	-6.90%	1.4091	+22.80%	0.1632	✗	1.23	2.4M	2022-03-03
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.062	0.057475	-7.30%	0.0725	+16.94%	0.1108	✗	1.31	556k	2022-03-03
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.042617	0.039485	-7.35%	0.020258	-52.46%	0.8041	✓	1.48	163k	2022-03-03
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	25.47	23.5369	-7.59%	30.05	+17.98%	0.1721	✗	0.78	462k	2022-03-03
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.2962	-7.67%	7.315	+104.90%	0.7786	✗	0.20	1.4M	2022-03-03
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.8991	4.5196	-7.75%	4.2636	-12.97%	0.1740	✓	1.25	406k	2022-03-03
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7231	0.666263	-7.86%	0.4943	-31.64%	0.4427	✓	1.56	1.2M	2022-03-03
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.316	1.2119	-7.91%	1.174	-10.79%	0.1481	✓	1.26	3.5M	2022-03-03
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.37	4.9332	-8.13%	3.808	-29.09%	0.3786	✓	1.30	3.0M	2022-03-03
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2826	0.259235	-8.27%	0.2824	-0.07%	0.0207	✓	1.15	557k	2022-03-03
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6803	2.4579	-8.30%	2.6368	-1.62%	0.0191	✓	0.97	3.1M	2022-03-03
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2044	1.101	-8.59%	0.865	-28.18%	0.3336	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-03-03
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8834	0.806203	-8.74%	1.6497	+86.74%	0.5757	✗	1.52	103k	2022-03-03
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8742	1.709	-8.81%	2.773	+47.96%	0.4170	✗	0.73	3.1M	2022-03-03
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.17	1.054	-9.92%	1.176	+0.51%	0.0359	✓	1.57	490k	2022-03-03
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.133	0.119472	-10.17%	0.118	-11.28%	0.1048	✓	1.00	133k	2022-03-03
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.2091	2.8598	-10.89%	2.2899	-28.64%	0.3059	✓	0.91	23k	2022-03-03
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20659	0.182383	-11.72%	0.16147	-21.84%	0.2718	✓	1.62	25k	2022-03-03
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0861	0.075914	-11.83%	0.0637	-26.02%	0.4147	✓	2.59	25.7M	2022-03-03

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.