2022-01-27 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 144 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2731

144 of 144 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+28.06%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

73.6%

in alpha space · 61.5% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+5.24%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (144 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6525	0.573969	-12.04%	0.3507	-46.25%	0.5902	✓	1.91	52.0M	2022-02-26
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.050557	0.045091	-10.81%	0.02263	-55.24%	0.7405	✓	1.00	332k	2022-02-26
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04444	0.03965	-10.78%	0.03453	-22.30%	0.1894	✓	1.00	6.4M	2022-02-26
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	6.617	5.9149	-10.61%	2.581	-60.99%	0.8804	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-26
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2041	1.0833	-10.04%	0.794	-34.06%	0.3617	✓	1.00	3.6M	2022-02-26
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.38	2.1527	-9.55%	1.86	-21.85%	0.1973	✓	1.00	3.8M	2022-02-26
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.093	0.085415	-8.16%	0.141	+51.61%	0.4501	✗	1.00	141k	2022-02-26
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0357	0.032934	-7.75%	0.0274	-23.25%	0.2594	✓	1.48	887k	2022-02-26
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5303	0.490328	-7.54%	0.5505	+3.81%	0.0564	✓	1.16	2.1M	2022-02-26
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8032	0.748642	-6.79%	0.7459	-7.13%	0.0598	✓	1.10	20.0M	2022-02-26
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.04646	0.043381	-6.63%	0.01784	-61.60%	0.9562	✓	1.32	9.5M	2022-02-26
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.482	0.45008	-6.62%	0.438	-9.13%	0.1055	✓	1.53	5.5M	2022-02-26
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.107	2.909	-6.37%	2.874	-7.50%	0.0560	✓	0.86	944k	2022-02-26
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.59	1.489	-6.35%	1.437	-9.62%	0.1005	✓	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-26
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	73.6045	69.1578	-6.04%	64.8155	-11.94%	0.1270	✓	1.22	442k	2022-02-26
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0947	0.089047	-5.97%	0.0854	-9.82%	0.1175	✓	1.48	1.9M	2022-02-26
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9095	2.7367	-5.94%	3.4172	+17.45%	0.1526	✗	1.36	2.6M	2022-02-26
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.23	2.0994	-5.85%	1.24	-44.39%	0.6056	✓	1.55	2.6M	2022-02-26
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.58	1.4891	-5.75%	1.441	-8.80%	0.0988	✓	1.29	1.8M	2022-02-26
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020242	0.019086	-5.71%	0.01882	-7.02%	0.0713	✓	1.12	3.2M	2022-02-26
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2126	3.9734	-5.68%	4.0234	-4.49%	0.0491	✓	1.21	403k	2022-02-26
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8043	1.7023	-5.65%	1.8532	+2.71%	0.0452	✓	0.78	2.6M	2022-02-26
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.9	5.5702	-5.59%	5.7	-3.39%	0.0202	✓	0.85	561k	2022-02-26
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.038232	0.036148	-5.45%	0.048351	+26.47%	0.2285	✗	1.22	10.8M	2022-02-26
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.76	1.665	-5.40%	1.67	-5.11%	0.0666	✓	1.36	2.9M	2022-02-26
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17087	0.161869	-5.27%	0.15626	-8.55%	0.1153	✓	1.57	18k	2022-02-26
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.82	15.9348	-5.26%	14.09	-16.23%	0.2154	✓	1.81	3.9M	2022-02-26
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.05	3.8369	-5.26%	3.25	-19.75%	0.2346	✓	1.34	12.5M	2022-02-26
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	88.89	84.3334	-5.13%	107.8	+21.27%	0.1781	✗	1.32	7.5M	2022-02-26
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.67	5.38	-5.11%	4.934	-12.98%	0.1408	✓	1.06	2.6M	2022-02-26
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4535	0.430715	-5.02%	0.4281	-5.60%	0.0800	✓	1.45	2.1M	2022-02-26
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.21	18.25	-5.00%	19.06	-0.78%	0.0168	✓	1.18	13.6M	2022-02-26
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0464	2.8956	-4.95%	2.7102	-11.04%	0.1221	✓	1.09	3.6M	2022-02-26
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.67	17.7549	-4.90%	21.2	+13.55%	0.0983	✗	1.55	841k	2022-02-26
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,910.78	22,754.91	-4.83%	20,876.08	-12.69%	0.1334	✓	0.93	19.5M	2022-02-26
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01041	0.009912	-4.78%	0.00997	-4.23%	0.0596	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-02-26
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0541	0.051517	-4.77%	0.0712	+31.61%	0.2133	✗	2.16	22.4M	2022-02-26
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.75	12.1416	-4.77%	14.7	+15.29%	0.1564	✗	0.68	801k	2022-02-26
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.57	4.3525	-4.76%	3.874	-15.23%	0.1800	✓	1.24	3.1M	2022-02-26
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.61	18.6846	-4.72%	17.73	-9.59%	0.1163	✓	1.25	34.3M	2022-02-26
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1754	0.16714	-4.71%	0.1751	-0.17%	0.0231	✓	1.36	4.0M	2022-02-26
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.83214	0.792964	-4.71%	0.69949	-15.94%	0.2134	✓	1.72	681k	2022-02-26
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	121.94	116.2608	-4.66%	113.35	-7.04%	0.0905	✓	1.28	74k	2022-02-26
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	64.73	61.7308	-4.63%	81.79	+26.36%	0.2138	✗	1.32	92.3M	2022-02-26
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.79	2.6611	-4.62%	2.394	-14.19%	0.1772	✓	1.40	26.3M	2022-02-26
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.2527	2.149	-4.60%	2.6813	+19.02%	0.1732	✗	0.94	3.1M	2022-02-26
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0428	0.995041	-4.58%	0.8873	-14.91%	0.1724	✓	1.13	113.2M	2022-02-26
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.95	1.8612	-4.55%	1.276	-34.56%	0.4526	✓	1.47	4.6M	2022-02-26
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.26	2.1573	-4.54%	2.05	-9.29%	0.1116	✓	1.19	626k	2022-02-26
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00534	0.005098	-4.53%	0.00431	-19.29%	0.2839	✓	2.27	21.3M	2022-02-26
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1127	0.107603	-4.52%	0.1212	+7.54%	0.0524	✗	1.30	3.9M	2022-02-26
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.75	6.4451	-4.52%	6.27	-7.11%	0.0417	✓	0.28	2.0M	2022-02-26
XVG	Verge	native	0.00965	0.009216	-4.50%	0.00985	+2.07%	0.0013	✓	1.33	1.6M	2022-02-26
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	26.76	25.5634	-4.47%	30.18	+12.78%	0.1258	✗	0.79	377k	2022-02-26
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.12	4.8946	-4.40%	4.68	-8.59%	0.0820	✓	0.73	457k	2022-02-26
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.65	0.621572	-4.37%	0.7	+7.69%	0.0229	✓	1.88	1.2M	2022-02-26
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	54.08	51.721	-4.36%	78.15	+44.51%	0.3260	✗	1.70	8.6M	2022-02-26
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9364	0.895621	-4.35%	0.8598	-8.18%	0.1003	✓	1.16	37.9M	2022-02-26
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.3	2.2003	-4.33%	2.3	+0.00%	0.0076	✓	1.02	800k	2022-02-26
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.38	3.2357	-4.27%	3.6	+6.51%	0.0435	✓	1.24	2.5M	2022-02-26
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8838	0.846084	-4.27%	0.9533	+7.86%	0.0421	✓	1.51	3.2M	2022-02-26
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5781	0.553633	-4.23%	0.4599	-20.45%	0.2638	✓	1.53	1.4M	2022-02-26
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.065	0.062275	-4.19%	0.073	+12.31%	0.0854	✗	1.44	605k	2022-02-26
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.42	1.3607	-4.18%	1.148	-19.15%	0.2359	✓	1.29	3.6M	2022-02-26
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2343	0.224529	-4.17%	0.226	-3.54%	0.0568	✓	1.24	1.8M	2022-02-26
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.62	5.3874	-4.14%	4.46	-20.64%	0.2375	✓	0.95	960k	2022-02-26
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	47.47	45.5258	-4.10%	50.44	+6.26%	0.0431	✗	1.16	7.5M	2022-02-26
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4054	0.388892	-4.07%	0.3486	-14.01%	0.1750	✓	1.28	10.9M	2022-02-26
SOL	Solana	Solana	89.55	85.9389	-4.03%	90.32	+0.86%	0.0106	✓	1.18	164.2M	2022-02-26
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00962	0.009241	-3.93%	0.00906	-5.82%	0.0733	✓	1.05	611k	2022-02-26
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	144.54	138.9042	-3.90%	136.67	-5.44%	0.0855	✓	1.36	14.3M	2022-02-26
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5092	0.489521	-3.86%	0.504	-1.02%	0.0405	✓	1.36	2.8M	2022-02-26
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1614	0.155188	-3.85%	0.1441	-10.72%	0.1076	✓	0.66	573k	2022-02-26
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.13	17.4333	-3.84%	18.04	-0.50%	0.0362	✓	1.38	54.6M	2022-02-26
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.84	5.6162	-3.83%	5.38	-7.88%	0.0830	✓	0.78	504k	2022-02-26
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.861	0.828297	-3.80%	0.895	+3.95%	0.0076	✓	1.37	2.4M	2022-02-26
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014097	0.013562	-3.80%	0.01194	-15.30%	0.1880	✓	1.19	2.7M	2022-02-26
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007022	0.000067555	-3.80%	0.00007538	+7.35%	0.0531	✗	1.11	5.8M	2022-02-26
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9645	0.928875	-3.69%	0.7651	-20.67%	0.2946	✓	1.97	1.1M	2022-02-26
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.23	14.668	-3.69%	14.72	-3.35%	0.0583	✓	1.21	81.3M	2022-02-26
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30	28.9008	-3.66%	29.89	-0.37%	0.0245	✓	1.14	130.3M	2022-02-26
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02909	0.028025	-3.66%	0.02842	-2.30%	0.0334	✓	0.93	8.7M	2022-02-26
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	106.92	103.0143	-3.65%	108.29	+1.28%	0.0182	✓	1.33	35.7M	2022-02-26
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.89	3.7479	-3.65%	4.058	+4.32%	0.0395	✗	0.78	396k	2022-02-26
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	289.64	279.1111	-3.64%	315.57	+8.95%	0.0696	✗	1.04	8.5M	2022-02-26
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.121	2.044	-3.63%	2.285	+7.73%	0.0564	✗	1.08	23k	2022-02-26
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.07	4.8872	-3.61%	4.47	-11.83%	0.1395	✓	0.98	1.1M	2022-02-26
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04978	0.047994	-3.59%	0.04782	-3.94%	0.0761	✓	1.42	1.7M	2022-02-26
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.3	23.4339	-3.56%	24.45	+0.62%	0.0429	✓	1.67	2.7M	2022-02-26
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.955	2.851	-3.52%	2.576	-12.83%	0.1420	✓	0.79	431k	2022-02-26
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,425.82	2,340.68	-3.51%	2,780.71	+14.63%	0.1160	✗	1.10	569.1M	2022-02-26
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4474	0.431907	-3.46%	0.3655	-18.31%	0.2375	✓	1.38	2.5M	2022-02-26
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.81	0.782089	-3.45%	1.139	+40.62%	0.2989	✗	1.51	532k	2022-02-26
XMR	Monero	Monero	144.6	139.6958	-3.39%	157.91	+9.20%	0.0712	✗	1.00	2.2M	2022-02-26
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.99692	0.963122	-3.39%	1.2108	+21.46%	0.1633	✗	1.28	2.4M	2022-02-26
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.97	3.8366	-3.36%	6.528	+64.43%	0.5190	✗	0.25	570k	2022-02-26
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.65	2.5612	-3.35%	1.5	-43.40%	0.6126	✓	1.52	2.2M	2022-02-26
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.725	0.70177	-3.20%	0.679	-6.34%	0.0895	✓	1.11	1.9M	2022-02-26
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01439	0.013932	-3.18%	0.01217	-15.43%	0.1829	✓	0.93	19k	2022-02-26
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1146	0.11097	-3.17%	0.1506	+31.41%	0.2569	✗	0.95	349k	2022-02-26
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		89.31	86.4905	-3.16%	84.76	-5.09%	0.0685	✓	0.94	1.7M	2022-02-26
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2367	0.22939	-3.09%	0.2767	+16.90%	0.1305	✗	1.12	469k	2022-02-26
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.5654	5.3947	-3.07%	6.1323	+10.19%	0.0553	✗	1.43	227k	2022-02-26
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.243	0.235761	-2.98%	0.232	-4.53%	0.0650	✓	0.96	67k	2022-02-26
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.873	5.7031	-2.89%	5.009	-14.71%	0.1723	✓	0.83	145k	2022-02-26
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.745	6.55	-2.89%	6.245	-7.41%	0.0597	✓	0.24	38k	2022-02-26
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.93	8.6729	-2.88%	9.33	+4.48%	0.0349	✗	0.75	724k	2022-02-26
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5616	1.5169	-2.87%	1.5733	+0.74%	0.0202	✓	1.11	89k	2022-02-26
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	164.64	159.9917	-2.82%	124.78	-24.21%	0.3098	✓	1.20	1.3M	2022-02-26
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7628	2.6855	-2.80%	2.7384	-0.88%	0.0330	✓	1.03	1.9M	2022-02-26
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.637	2.5651	-2.73%	2.305	-12.59%	0.1854	✓	1.54	1.0M	2022-02-26
ZEN	Horizen	Base	36.7	35.7151	-2.68%	33.26	-9.37%	0.1514	✓	1.57	626k	2022-02-26
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0403	0.039227	-2.66%	0.04014	-0.40%	0.0350	✓	1.14	30k	2022-02-26
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.399	1.3626	-2.61%	1.524	+8.93%	0.0519	✗	1.18	1.6M	2022-02-26
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8569	0.834717	-2.59%	1.6235	+89.46%	0.5884	✗	1.50	107k	2022-02-26
DASH	Dash	Dash	91.73	89.3976	-2.54%	93.68	+2.13%	0.0134	✓	1.18	3.0M	2022-02-26
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.314	0.306017	-2.54%	0.29	-7.64%	0.1243	✓	1.38	1.6M	2022-02-26
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.37	6.2125	-2.47%	6.27	-1.57%	0.0017	✓	0.21	1.2M	2022-02-26
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.722	5.5816	-2.45%	5.391	-5.78%	0.0848	✓	0.98	320k	2022-02-26
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.95	13.609	-2.44%	12.91	-7.46%	0.1034	✓	0.99	841k	2022-02-26
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	93.16	90.893	-2.43%	110.79	+18.92%	0.1453	✗	1.03	7.5M	2022-02-26
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,188.37	36,288.74	-2.42%	39,137.80	+5.24%	0.0245	✓	1.00	734.4M	2022-02-26
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08437	0.082434	-2.29%	0.08727	+3.44%	0.0038	✓	1.19	46k	2022-02-26
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.4851	3.4059	-2.27%	6.0612	+73.92%	0.5775	✗	-0.02	371k	2022-02-26
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.33	23.7794	-2.26%	28.91	+18.82%	0.1405	✗	1.07	3.8M	2022-02-26
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0754	1.053	-2.08%	0.99036	-7.90%	0.1116	✓	0.98	387k	2022-02-26
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07195	0.070508	-2.00%	0.06611	-8.12%	0.1044	✓	0.78	60k	2022-02-26
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.530399	0.519909	-1.98%	0.544581	+2.67%	0.0157	✓	1.21	3.7M	2022-02-26
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.194019	0.190295	-1.92%	0.192899	-0.58%	0.0392	✓	1.03	26.2M	2022-02-26
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.35	37.6233	-1.89%	43.29	+12.88%	0.0786	✗	1.21	35.1M	2022-02-26
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2772	0.272011	-1.87%	0.2129	-23.20%	0.3238	✓	1.54	4.2M	2022-02-26
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002125	0.000020863	-1.82%	0.00002435	+14.59%	0.0822	✗	1.42	1.8M	2022-02-26
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0638	0.062716	-1.70%	0.0674	+5.64%	0.0147	✓	1.12	21k	2022-02-26
KCS	KuCoin	native	16.064	15.8029	-1.63%	19.708	+22.68%	0.1438	✗	1.51	10.9M	2022-02-26
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.39	8.2598	-1.55%	8.98	+7.03%	0.0161	✗	1.32	2.9M	2022-02-26
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.056453	0.055604	-1.50%	0.059459	+5.32%	0.0191	✗	0.94	478k	2022-02-26
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.32	10.1703	-1.45%	9.06	-12.21%	0.1833	✓	1.33	12.5M	2022-02-26
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.5312	6.438	-1.43%	6.4106	-1.85%	0.0518	✓	0.93	4.2M	2022-02-26
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3156	2.2867	-1.25%	1.8651	-19.46%	0.2672	✓	1.24	841k	2022-02-26
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.141443	0.139778	-1.18%	0.127595	-9.79%	0.1449	✓	1.05	7.1M	2022-02-26
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0794	0.078536	-1.09%	0.0685	-13.73%	0.1998	✓	1.24	352k	2022-02-26
XEM	NEM	native	0.0984	0.098027	-0.38%	0.101	+2.64%	0.0235	✓	1.04	43k	2022-02-26
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.7225	2.7142	-0.30%	2.2359	-17.87%	0.2371	✓	0.85	8,523	2022-02-26
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,269.30	37,253.83	-0.04%	39,589.70	+6.23%	0.0090	✗	1.01	47k	2022-02-26

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.