2022-01-26 · +1d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0667

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-3.83%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

42.7%

in alpha space · 46.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+0.94%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16532	0.163573	-1.06%	0.17087	+3.36%	0.0289	✗	1.57	16k	2022-01-27
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8612	0.854368	-0.79%	0.8569	-0.50%	0.0112	✓	1.51	107k	2022-01-27
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.333	1.3228	-0.76%	1.42	+6.53%	0.0589	✗	1.27	3.6M	2022-01-27
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6029	0.598658	-0.70%	0.6525	+8.23%	0.0684	✗	1.88	52.0M	2022-01-27
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.7265	1.7152	-0.66%	1.8043	+4.51%	0.0432	✗	0.80	2.4M	2022-01-27
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.78	3.7568	-0.61%	3.97	+5.03%	0.0531	✗	0.23	493k	2022-01-27
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.48	2.4652	-0.60%	2.38	-4.03%	0.0446	✓	1.00	4.3M	2022-01-27
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5301	0.527233	-0.54%	0.5303	+0.04%	0.0051	✓	1.16	2.1M	2022-01-27
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.8665	2.8518	-0.51%	2.7225	-5.02%	0.0545	✓	0.86	4,332	2022-01-27
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	7.333	7.3015	-0.43%	6.617	-9.76%	0.1078	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-01-27
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.051	6.0276	-0.39%	5.873	-2.94%	0.0336	✓	0.81	156k	2022-01-27
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.63	4.6121	-0.39%	4.57	-1.30%	0.0210	✓	1.26	3.1M	2022-01-27
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.052469	0.052268	-0.38%	0.050557	-3.64%	0.0427	✓	1.00	363k	2022-01-27
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.63	12.5853	-0.35%	12.75	+0.95%	0.0066	✗	0.68	801k	2022-01-27
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.6906	2.6817	-0.33%	2.7628	+2.68%	0.0202	✗	1.02	1.9M	2022-01-27
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0645	0.06429	-0.33%	0.065	+0.78%	0.0028	✓	1.47	605k	2022-01-27
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3615	6.3408	-0.32%	6.5312	+2.67%	0.0208	✗	0.94	4.3M	2022-01-27
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	36.48	36.3726	-0.29%	38.35	+5.13%	0.0417	✗	1.20	33.0M	2022-01-27
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		90.62	90.3557	-0.29%	89.31	-1.45%	0.0206	✓	0.95	1.7M	2022-01-27
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.86	8.837	-0.26%	8.93	+0.79%	0.0035	✗	0.74	744k	2022-01-27
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2547	1.2516	-0.24%	1.2041	-4.03%	0.0481	✓	1.00	3.7M	2022-01-27
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,840.63	36,757.40	-0.23%	37,188.37	+0.94%	0.0023	✗	1.00	734.4M	2022-01-27
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.876	5.8635	-0.21%	5.722	-2.62%	0.0337	✓	0.98	320k	2022-01-27
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0784	1.0761	-0.21%	1.0428	-3.30%	0.0421	✓	1.13	113.2M	2022-01-27
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	107	106.7793	-0.21%	106.92	-0.07%	0.0112	✓	1.34	35.8M	2022-01-27
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	32.35	32.2852	-0.20%	30	-7.26%	0.0843	✓	1.15	125.9M	2022-01-27
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0283	1.0263	-0.20%	0.99692	-3.05%	0.0410	✓	1.27	2.4M	2022-01-27
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01218	0.012158	-0.18%	0.01439	+18.14%	0.1602	✗	0.89	19k	2022-01-27
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.80993	0.808589	-0.17%	0.83214	+2.74%	0.0120	✗	1.78	698k	2022-01-27
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.594	3.5881	-0.16%	3.4851	-3.03%	0.0291	✓	-0.01	375k	2022-01-27
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1625	0.162261	-0.15%	0.1614	-0.68%	0.0114	✓	0.65	570k	2022-01-27
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2234	4.2174	-0.14%	4.2126	-0.25%	0.0125	✓	1.21	403k	2022-01-27
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.086	2.0832	-0.14%	2.121	+1.68%	0.0077	✗	1.10	23k	2022-01-27
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5015	0.500823	-0.13%	0.5092	+1.54%	0.0039	✗	1.35	2.9M	2022-01-27
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3	2.9961	-0.13%	2.65	-11.67%	0.1374	✓	1.56	2.2M	2022-01-27
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05048	0.050414	-0.13%	0.04444	-11.97%	0.1355	✓	1.00	9.1M	2022-01-27
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0722	1.0709	-0.12%	0.9645	-10.04%	0.1232	✓	1.98	1.2M	2022-01-27
XEM	NEM	native	0.0977	0.097585	-0.12%	0.0984	+0.72%	0.0016	✓	1.05	43k	2022-01-27
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.63	1.6281	-0.11%	1.59	-2.45%	0.0355	✓	1.26	2.3M	2022-01-27
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.541	2.5381	-0.11%	2.637	+3.78%	0.0239	✗	1.52	1.0M	2022-01-27
KCS	KuCoin	native	16.167	16.1508	-0.10%	16.064	-0.64%	0.0197	✓	1.53	10.9M	2022-01-27
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020906	0.020888	-0.09%	0.020242	-3.18%	0.0420	✓	1.13	3.4M	2022-01-27
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6506	1.6494	-0.07%	1.5616	-5.39%	0.0650	✓	1.11	93k	2022-01-27
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.056164	0.056127	-0.07%	0.056453	+0.51%	0.0031	✓	0.95	491k	2022-01-27
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.34	24.3243	-0.06%	24.33	-0.04%	0.0099	✓	1.08	4.1M	2022-01-27
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.887	2.8853	-0.06%	2.955	+2.36%	0.0164	✗	0.79	478k	2022-01-27
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.143059	0.142975	-0.06%	0.141443	-1.13%	0.0204	✓	1.03	7.1M	2022-01-27
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3802	2.3789	-0.06%	2.3156	-2.71%	0.0390	✓	1.29	841k	2022-01-27
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007183	0.000071791	-0.05%	0.00007022	-2.24%	0.0325	✓	1.11	5.9M	2022-01-27
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	65.89	65.8552	-0.05%	64.73	-1.76%	0.0296	✓	1.31	92.3M	2022-01-27
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.235	0.234891	-0.05%	0.2343	-0.30%	0.0141	✓	1.23	1.9M	2022-01-27
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.788	3.7865	-0.04%	3.89	+2.69%	0.0195	✗	0.79	396k	2022-01-27
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.68	5.6781	-0.03%	5.9	+3.87%	0.0305	✗	0.84	561k	2022-01-27
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.401	1.4006	-0.03%	1.399	-0.14%	0.0122	✓	1.18	1.8M	2022-01-27
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08331	0.08329	-0.02%	0.08437	+1.27%	0.0018	✗	1.18	45k	2022-01-27
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0618	0.061787	-0.02%	0.0638	+3.24%	0.0216	✗	1.12	21k	2022-01-27
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0799	0.079884	-0.02%	0.0794	-0.63%	0.0177	✓	1.24	342k	2022-01-27
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,465.00	2,464.50	-0.02%	2,425.82	-1.59%	0.0262	✓	1.11	569.1M	2022-01-27
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	289.23	289.1802	-0.02%	289.64	+0.14%	0.0082	✓	1.04	8.5M	2022-01-27
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.1607	2.1606	-0.01%	2.2527	+4.26%	0.0317	✗	1.08	3.1M	2022-01-27
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	58.8	58.7964	-0.01%	54.08	-8.03%	0.1000	✓	1.75	8.6M	2022-01-27
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01035	0.01035	-0.00%	0.01041	+0.58%	0.0061	✓	1.27	2.3M	2022-01-27
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.91	4.9103	+0.01%	5.12	+4.28%	0.0350	✓	0.72	457k	2022-01-27
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8673	0.86738	+0.01%	0.8838	+1.90%	0.0046	✓	1.50	3.5M	2022-01-27
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.62	5.6206	+0.01%	5.84	+3.91%	0.0310	✓	0.78	531k	2022-01-27
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4503	0.450357	+0.01%	0.4474	-0.64%	0.0195	✗	1.38	2.6M	2022-01-27
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	20.41	20.4139	+0.02%	26.76	+31.11%	0.2638	✓	0.74	377k	2022-01-27
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,190.20	24,195.69	+0.02%	23,910.78	-1.16%	0.0206	✗	0.93	20.9M	2022-01-27
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8025	0.802696	+0.02%	0.8032	+0.09%	0.0097	✗	1.10	20.8M	2022-01-27
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9426	2.9434	+0.03%	2.9095	-1.12%	0.0245	✗	1.37	2.6M	2022-01-27
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.038	3.0389	+0.03%	3.107	+2.27%	0.0140	✓	0.87	993k	2022-01-27
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0743	3.0753	+0.03%	3.0464	-0.91%	0.0199	✗	1.12	3.7M	2022-01-27
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.041779	0.041793	+0.03%	0.038232	-8.49%	0.1009	✗	1.26	10.8M	2022-01-27
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.196933	0.197	+0.03%	0.194019	-1.48%	0.0251	✗	1.05	27.5M	2022-01-27
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.32	2.3209	+0.04%	2.3	-0.86%	0.0186	✗	1.02	800k	2022-01-27
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0991	0.09914	+0.04%	0.0947	-4.44%	0.0598	✗	1.49	1.9M	2022-01-27
ZEN	Horizen	Base	36.62	36.6379	+0.05%	36.7	+0.22%	0.0130	✗	1.57	626k	2022-01-27
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.552	1.5528	+0.05%	1.58	+1.80%	0.0052	✓	1.30	1.8M	2022-01-27
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2561	0.25624	+0.05%	0.2772	+8.24%	0.0642	✓	1.53	4.3M	2022-01-27
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.746	0.746418	+0.06%	0.725	-2.82%	0.0395	✗	1.11	2.0M	2022-01-27
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.3	2.3015	+0.07%	2.23	-3.04%	0.0462	✗	1.56	2.6M	2022-01-27
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02988	0.029905	+0.08%	0.02909	-2.64%	0.0364	✗	0.93	9.2M	2022-01-27
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4047	0.405051	+0.09%	0.4054	+0.17%	0.0112	✗	1.28	11.7M	2022-01-27
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014587	0.0146	+0.09%	0.014097	-3.36%	0.0462	✗	1.19	2.7M	2022-01-27
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0472	0.047242	+0.09%	0.04646	-1.57%	0.0292	✗	1.33	9.9M	2022-01-27
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.530813	0.531289	+0.09%	0.530399	-0.08%	0.0132	✗	1.23	3.4M	2022-01-27
XMR	Monero	Monero	148.42	148.5548	+0.09%	144.6	-2.57%	0.0364	✗	1.00	2.3M	2022-01-27
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.05	18.0666	+0.09%	18.13	+0.44%	0.0095	✗	1.39	58.4M	2022-01-27
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00956	0.009569	+0.10%	0.00962	+0.63%	0.0046	✗	1.06	630k	2022-01-27
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.87	5.8759	+0.10%	5.67	-3.41%	0.0457	✗	1.06	2.6M	2022-01-27
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06885	0.068925	+0.11%	0.07195	+4.50%	0.0355	✓	0.79	60k	2022-01-27
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.034	0.034038	+0.11%	0.0357	+5.00%	0.0339	✓	1.47	927k	2022-01-27
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	36,316.90	36,358.27	+0.11%	37,269.30	+2.62%	0.0152	✓	1.01	53k	2022-01-27
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.501	0.501571	+0.11%	0.482	-3.79%	0.0544	✗	1.56	6.4M	2022-01-27
XVG	Verge	native	0.00978	0.009792	+0.12%	0.00965	-1.33%	0.0270	✗	1.32	1.7M	2022-01-27
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.03	7.0384	+0.12%	6.75	-3.98%	0.0447	✗	0.30	2.2M	2022-01-27
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03832	0.038369	+0.13%	0.0403	+5.17%	0.0386	✓	1.12	30k	2022-01-27
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.856	0.857125	+0.13%	0.861	+0.58%	0.0084	✗	1.38	2.4M	2022-01-27
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.91	18.935	+0.13%	18.67	-1.27%	0.0287	✗	1.55	871k	2022-01-27
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1184	0.118559	+0.13%	0.1127	-4.81%	0.0631	✗	1.32	4.1M	2022-01-27
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.982	6.9914	+0.13%	6.745	-3.39%	0.0383	✗	0.26	38k	2022-01-27
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	49.62	49.6894	+0.14%	47.47	-4.33%	0.0570	✗	1.21	7.8M	2022-01-27
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.1	24.1356	+0.15%	24.3	+0.83%	0.0088	✗	1.66	2.7M	2022-01-27
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.068	1.0697	+0.15%	1.0754	+0.69%	0.0040	✗	0.99	402k	2022-01-27
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1727	0.172973	+0.16%	0.1754	+1.56%	0.0009	✓	1.38	4.1M	2022-01-27
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002111	0.000021144	+0.16%	0.00002125	+0.66%	0.0083	✗	1.42	1.8M	2022-01-27
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.115	0.115188	+0.16%	0.1146	-0.35%	0.0140	✗	0.95	349k	2022-01-27
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.5942	5.604	+0.18%	5.5654	-0.51%	0.0203	✗	1.42	229k	2022-01-27
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2242	0.224603	+0.18%	0.2367	+5.58%	0.0421	✓	1.11	469k	2022-01-27
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.31	2.3142	+0.18%	2.26	-2.16%	0.0348	✗	1.18	667k	2022-01-27
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.26	4.2679	+0.18%	4.05	-4.93%	0.0651	✗	1.36	13.0M	2022-01-27
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.13	6.1417	+0.19%	6.37	+3.92%	0.0345	✓	0.21	1.2M	2022-01-27
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.05	5.0597	+0.19%	5.07	+0.40%	0.0072	✗	0.98	1.1M	2022-01-27
DASH	Dash	Dash	93.16	93.3403	+0.19%	91.73	-1.53%	0.0285	✗	1.18	3.1M	2022-01-27
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.73	1.7334	+0.20%	1.76	+1.73%	0.0024	✓	1.36	2.9M	2022-01-27
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.67	0.671353	+0.20%	0.65	-2.99%	0.0501	✗	1.89	1.2M	2022-01-27
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.24	15.271	+0.20%	15.23	-0.07%	0.0141	✗	1.21	84.2M	2022-01-27
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.44	3.447	+0.20%	3.38	-1.74%	0.0313	✗	1.24	2.5M	2022-01-27
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.28	19.3215	+0.22%	19.21	-0.36%	0.0169	✗	1.18	14.0M	2022-01-27
SOL	Solana	Solana	92.18	92.3859	+0.22%	89.55	-2.85%	0.0423	✗	1.19	164.2M	2022-01-27
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.86	19.9046	+0.22%	19.61	-1.26%	0.0268	✗	1.26	34.9M	2022-01-27
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	125.05	125.3321	+0.23%	121.94	-2.49%	0.0395	✗	1.29	80k	2022-01-27
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9233	0.925428	+0.23%	0.9364	+1.42%	0.0009	✓	1.16	38.4M	2022-01-27
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.247	0.247605	+0.24%	0.243	-1.62%	0.0278	✗	0.96	70k	2022-01-27
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.02	17.0624	+0.25%	16.82	-1.18%	0.0314	✗	1.81	4.0M	2022-01-27
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	146.64	147.0182	+0.26%	144.54	-1.43%	0.0295	✗	1.34	14.8M	2022-01-27
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13	13.0357	+0.27%	13.95	+7.31%	0.0583	✓	1.01	841k	2022-01-27
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0439	0.044022	+0.28%	0.0541	+23.23%	0.1872	✓	2.02	22.4M	2022-01-27
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5576	0.559254	+0.30%	0.5781	+3.68%	0.0188	✓	1.53	1.4M	2022-01-27
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	89.84	90.1071	+0.30%	88.89	-1.06%	0.0260	✗	1.32	7.8M	2022-01-27
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	165.32	165.8118	+0.30%	164.64	-0.41%	0.0183	✗	1.19	1.3M	2022-01-27
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.58	10.6136	+0.32%	10.32	-2.46%	0.0405	✗	1.33	12.5M	2022-01-27
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	97.63	97.9432	+0.32%	93.16	-4.58%	0.0597	✗	1.03	7.5M	2022-01-27
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.322	0.323065	+0.33%	0.314	-2.48%	0.0418	✗	1.42	1.6M	2022-01-27
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.87	2.8797	+0.34%	2.79	-2.79%	0.0446	✗	1.38	27.8M	2022-01-27
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.91	1.9168	+0.36%	1.95	+2.09%	0.0034	✓	1.46	5.2M	2022-01-27
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.8	0.802869	+0.36%	0.81	+1.25%	0.0061	✗	1.59	538k	2022-01-27
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.64	5.6603	+0.36%	5.62	-0.35%	0.0159	✗	0.94	990k	2022-01-27
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0491	0.049284	+0.38%	0.04978	+1.38%	0.0042	✗	1.51	1.8M	2022-01-27
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.92	7.9499	+0.38%	8.39	+5.93%	0.0416	✓	1.31	3.0M	2022-01-27
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	78.4855	78.7844	+0.38%	73.6045	-6.22%	0.0795	✗	1.22	445k	2022-01-27
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4593	0.461131	+0.40%	0.4535	-1.26%	0.0311	✗	1.53	2.2M	2022-01-27
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.0078	0.007835	+0.44%	0.00534	-31.54%	0.4059	✗	2.40	21.3M	2022-01-27

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.