2022-01-22 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2349

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+38.09%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

81.8%

in alpha space · 67.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+5.58%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	34,807.70	35,147.38	+0.98%	37,080.10	+6.53%	0.0011	✓	1.01	26k	2022-02-21
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.9642	2.9377	-0.90%	2.2241	-24.97%	0.3257	✓	0.87	2,942	2022-02-21
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.0461	2.0268	-0.94%	1.9047	-6.91%	0.1302	✓	1.25	714k	2022-02-21
XEM	NEM	native	0.0944	0.093506	-0.95%	0.0927	-1.80%	0.0666	✓	1.07	41k	2022-02-21
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0594	0.05875	-1.09%	0.0613	+3.20%	0.0187	✓	1.13	21k	2022-02-21
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0732	0.072161	-1.42%	0.0692	-5.46%	0.1085	✓	1.23	299k	2022-02-21
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.133158	0.131245	-1.44%	0.128094	-3.80%	0.0829	✓	1.08	6.7M	2022-02-21
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.16	10.9868	-1.55%	8.52	-23.66%	0.3267	✓	1.33	12.7M	2022-02-21
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	33.44	32.837	-1.80%	39.81	+19.05%	0.1275	✗	1.20	29.0M	2022-02-21
GT	Gate	Ethereum	5.6708	5.5677	-1.82%	6.0829	+7.27%	0.0380	✗	0.93	4.5M	2022-02-21
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0381	1.0179	-1.94%	0.88573	-14.68%	0.1946	✓	1.02	402k	2022-02-21
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.59	7.4387	-1.99%	8.64	+13.83%	0.0822	✗	1.24	3.0M	2022-02-21
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.05675	0.055547	-2.12%	0.059472	+4.80%	0.0159	✓	0.96	486k	2022-02-21
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.567	2.5123	-2.13%	2.321	-9.58%	0.1628	✓	1.54	1.1M	2022-02-21
KCS	KuCoin	native	15.129	14.7936	-2.22%	18.137	+19.88%	0.1163	✗	1.61	10.7M	2022-02-21
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.19237	0.188001	-2.27%	0.17816	-7.39%	0.1120	✓	1.07	24.9M	2022-02-21
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04896	0.047843	-2.28%	0.04508	-7.92%	0.1415	✓	1.51	1.9M	2022-02-21
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.319	0.311712	-2.28%	0.279	-12.54%	0.1874	✓	1.41	1.8M	2022-02-21
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2645	0.258344	-2.33%	0.2042	-22.80%	0.3227	✓	1.61	4.6M	2022-02-21
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.5565	5.4229	-2.40%	5.7431	+3.36%	0.0209	✓	1.44	263k	2022-02-21
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.8	5.6562	-2.48%	5.241	-9.64%	0.1190	✓	0.79	163k	2022-02-21
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7227	2.6547	-2.50%	2.8775	+5.69%	0.0246	✓	1.03	2.2M	2022-02-21
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03631	0.035379	-2.56%	0.03591	-1.10%	0.0465	✓	1.13	25k	2022-02-21
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06237	0.06077	-2.57%	0.05994	-3.90%	0.0590	✓	0.83	60k	2022-02-21
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.518861	0.505193	-2.63%	0.519067	+0.04%	0.0387	✓	1.21	2.3M	2022-02-21
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	98.78	96.1276	-2.69%	106.88	+8.20%	0.0507	✗	1.02	7.0M	2022-02-21
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.804	2.7285	-2.69%	2.583	-7.88%	0.0977	✓	0.79	523k	2022-02-21
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.07873	0.076586	-2.72%	0.0791	+0.47%	0.0321	✓	1.19	41k	2022-02-21
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5039	1.4625	-2.75%	1.7569	+16.82%	0.1387	✗	0.82	1.6M	2022-02-21
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.711	0.691325	-2.77%	0.64	-9.99%	0.1369	✓	1.10	2.0M	2022-02-21
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.23	23.5528	-2.80%	25	+3.18%	0.0001	✓	1.10	3.3M	2022-02-21
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002053	0.000019952	-2.81%	0.00002404	+17.10%	0.1098	✗	1.41	1.7M	2022-02-21
XMR	Monero	Monero	152.34	147.9968	-2.85%	148	-2.85%	0.0549	✓	1.01	2.6M	2022-02-21
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.06	5.8856	-2.88%	6.72	+10.89%	0.1210	✗	0.21	1.2M	2022-02-21
DASH	Dash	Dash	97.07	94.275	-2.88%	87.04	-10.33%	0.1463	✓	1.22	2.8M	2022-02-21
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.63	5.4656	-2.92%	5.27	-6.39%	0.0777	✓	0.76	645k	2022-02-21
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.19	12.8042	-2.92%	12.48	-5.38%	0.0864	✓	1.12	841k	2022-02-21
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.944	6.7395	-2.94%	6.04	-13.02%	0.1289	✓	0.36	38k	2022-02-21
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.06	4.9107	-2.95%	5.07	+0.20%	0.0237	✓	1.02	1.1M	2022-02-21
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.46	2.387	-2.97%	1.58	-35.77%	0.5005	✓	1.62	2.2M	2022-02-21
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.424	6.2318	-2.99%	5.32	-17.19%	0.2170	✓	1.08	301k	2022-02-21
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	190.08	184.3551	-3.01%	125.92	-33.75%	0.4468	✓	1.21	1.3M	2022-02-21
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.244	0.236622	-3.02%	0.248	+1.64%	0.0035	✓	0.93	67k	2022-02-21
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.7106	0.689036	-3.03%	1.646	+131.64%	0.7965	✗	1.37	108k	2022-02-21
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4385	0.425128	-3.05%	0.3661	-16.51%	0.2265	✓	1.42	2.6M	2022-02-21
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.6015	3.4911	-3.06%	5.8395	+62.14%	0.5137	✗	0.01	371k	2022-02-21
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	147.18	142.6188	-3.10%	128.58	-12.64%	0.1723	✓	1.26	17.6M	2022-02-21
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0094	0.009104	-3.15%	0.00847	-9.89%	0.1313	✓	1.09	641k	2022-02-21
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.87	0.842364	-3.18%	0.739	-15.06%	0.2072	✓	1.40	2.3M	2022-02-21
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.61	5.4316	-3.18%	4.2	-25.13%	0.3073	✓	0.92	1.0M	2022-02-21
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	35,066.43	33,931.35	-3.24%	37,023.00	+5.58%	0.0329	✓	1.00	648.0M	2022-02-21
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	1.979	1.9147	-3.25%	1.933	-2.32%	0.0496	✓	1.09	24k	2022-02-21
ZEN	Horizen	Base	35.28	34.1328	-3.25%	32.14	-8.90%	0.1451	✓	1.56	613k	2022-02-21
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.665	3.5456	-3.26%	4.021	+9.71%	0.0837	✗	0.78	445k	2022-02-21
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02985	0.028876	-3.26%	0.0257	-13.90%	0.1699	✓	0.98	8.3M	2022-02-21
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.366	1.3212	-3.28%	1.34	-1.90%	0.0507	✓	1.19	1.8M	2022-02-21
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.68	8.3952	-3.28%	9.06	+4.38%	0.0355	✗	0.75	800k	2022-02-21
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.80696	0.780477	-3.28%	1.1385	+41.09%	0.3107	✗	1.23	2.4M	2022-02-21
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.84	23.0569	-3.29%	21.87	-8.26%	0.1456	✓	1.71	2.7M	2022-02-21
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.86	15.3327	-3.32%	13.51	-14.82%	0.1939	✓	1.24	75.4M	2022-02-21
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2179	0.210454	-3.42%	0.2293	+5.23%	0.0248	✓	1.12	440k	2022-02-21
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0376	0.036295	-3.47%	0.0474	+26.06%	0.1575	✗	2.02	24.3M	2022-02-21
XEC	eCash	native	0.00006839	0.000066004	-3.49%	0.00006783	-0.82%	0.0311	✓	1.08	6.5M	2022-02-21
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.9	0.868593	-3.49%	0.92	+2.22%	0.0310	✓	1.63	569k	2022-02-21
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014961	0.014436	-3.51%	0.012214	-18.36%	0.2331	✓	1.22	2.7M	2022-02-21
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.08	2.0049	-3.61%	1.3	-37.50%	0.5128	✓	1.47	6.6M	2022-02-21
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.65	1.5902	-3.62%	1.6127	-2.26%	0.0467	✓	1.12	95k	2022-02-21
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	22,897.64	22,064.11	-3.64%	19,642.84	-14.21%	0.1629	✓	0.86	21.5M	2022-02-21
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00998	0.009611	-3.70%	0.01004	+0.60%	0.0252	✓	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-21
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.26	17.5779	-3.74%	16.19	-11.34%	0.1574	✓	1.38	58.5M	2022-02-21
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.96	6.6987	-3.75%	5.95	-14.51%	0.1405	✓	0.41	2.8M	2022-02-21
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.54	19.7619	-3.79%	17.77	-13.49%	0.1789	✓	1.34	34.9M	2022-02-21
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7316	0.70368	-3.82%	0.7421	+1.44%	0.0555	✓	2.00	1.1M	2022-02-21
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.27	28.1525	-3.82%	23.83	-18.59%	0.2221	✓	1.02	109.3M	2022-02-21
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.615487	-3.83%	0.72	+12.50%	0.0526	✗	1.92	1.3M	2022-02-21
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01275	0.012261	-3.83%	0.01284	+0.71%	0.0017	✓	0.88	21k	2022-02-21
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4163	0.400343	-3.83%	0.3572	-14.20%	0.1850	✓	1.31	10.8M	2022-02-21
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.76	18.0356	-3.86%	17.63	-6.02%	0.1071	✓	1.55	944k	2022-02-21
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,411.90	2,317.14	-3.93%	2,569.00	+6.51%	0.0422	✗	1.12	502.4M	2022-02-21
XVG	Verge	native	0.00935	0.008983	-3.93%	0.00929	-0.64%	0.0391	✓	1.34	1.8M	2022-02-21
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5076	0.487171	-4.02%	0.4728	-6.86%	0.1015	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-02-21
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9512	0.91262	-4.06%	0.7852	-17.45%	0.2161	✓	1.21	34.7M	2022-02-21
HIVE	Hive	native	0.7987	0.766299	-4.06%	0.8148	+2.02%	0.0193	✓	1.48	3.8M	2022-02-21
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.11	15.4559	-4.06%	13.9	-13.72%	0.2053	✓	1.83	4.1M	2022-02-21
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.89	2.7725	-4.07%	2.34	-19.03%	0.2518	✓	1.51	32.4M	2022-02-21
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.34	2.2418	-4.20%	2.16	-7.69%	0.1016	✓	1.19	737k	2022-02-21
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.8	4.5982	-4.20%	4.83	+0.63%	0.0102	✓	0.72	491k	2022-02-21
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1135	0.108705	-4.23%	0.1229	+8.28%	0.0498	✗	1.34	4.3M	2022-02-21
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	50.17	48.0472	-4.23%	47.35	-5.62%	0.0802	✓	1.21	6.3M	2022-02-21
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.11	5.8514	-4.23%	4.92	-19.48%	0.2306	✓	1.05	3.9M	2022-02-21
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2331	0.223196	-4.25%	0.2206	-5.36%	0.0804	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-21
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1498	0.143409	-4.27%	0.1488	-0.67%	0.0014	✓	0.70	536k	2022-02-21
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5834	0.5584	-4.29%	0.4442	-23.86%	0.3131	✓	1.55	1.4M	2022-02-21
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.49	3.3387	-4.34%	3.77	+8.02%	0.0565	✗	1.20	2.4M	2022-02-21
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1764	0.168737	-4.34%	0.1686	-4.42%	0.0773	✓	1.41	4.3M	2022-02-21
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	62.89	60.1227	-4.40%	50.13	-20.29%	0.2796	✓	1.80	7.8M	2022-02-21
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.0434	1.9526	-4.44%	2.4827	+21.50%	0.1774	✗	1.16	4.3M	2022-02-21
SOL	Solana	Solana	94.78	90.5673	-4.44%	82.97	-12.46%	0.1532	✓	1.21	142.2M	2022-02-21
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.036765	0.035108	-4.51%	0.050288	+36.78%	0.2882	✗	1.31	10.3M	2022-02-21
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0543	0.051849	-4.51%	0.0681	+25.41%	0.1929	✗	1.47	684k	2022-02-21
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	291.88	278.563	-4.56%	283.16	-2.99%	0.0408	✓	1.05	7.0M	2022-02-21
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.161	1.1079	-4.57%	1.003	-13.61%	0.1687	✓	1.27	4.0M	2022-02-21
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	120.3	114.7397	-4.62%	106.4	-11.55%	0.1433	✓	1.25	88k	2022-02-21
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.33	2.222	-4.64%	2.17	-6.87%	0.0793	✓	1.03	819k	2022-02-21
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020108	0.019175	-4.64%	0.018035	-10.31%	0.1220	✓	1.12	3.7M	2022-02-21
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.42	4.2147	-4.65%	3.28	-25.79%	0.3233	✓	1.34	16.1M	2022-02-21
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.01	18.1236	-4.66%	18.64	-1.95%	0.0373	✓	1.20	14.5M	2022-02-21
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	108.41	103.3472	-4.67%	102.78	-5.19%	0.0778	✓	1.33	30.5M	2022-02-21
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4454	0.424439	-4.71%	0.4311	-3.21%	0.0529	✓	1.26	2.4M	2022-02-21
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		89.24	84.9963	-4.76%	80.87	-9.38%	0.1015	✓	0.95	1.8M	2022-02-21
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.059	2.9125	-4.79%	2.889	-5.56%	0.0554	✓	0.87	1.1M	2022-02-21
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.78	3.5975	-4.83%	3.73	-1.32%	0.0302	✓	1.22	3.2M	2022-02-21
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.77	1.6824	-4.95%	1.57	-11.30%	0.1438	✓	1.37	3.1M	2022-02-21
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0068	2.8577	-4.96%	2.8682	-4.61%	0.0633	✓	1.23	3.8M	2022-02-21
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0713	1.0178	-4.99%	0.8572	-19.99%	0.2332	✓	1.13	104.1M	2022-02-21
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0799	0.07587	-5.04%	0.0877	+9.76%	0.0699	✗	1.38	2.0M	2022-02-21
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1394	0.132267	-5.12%	0.1283	-7.96%	0.0818	✓	0.95	362k	2022-02-21
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	94.59	89.7241	-5.14%	100.47	+6.22%	0.0405	✓	1.34	8.4M	2022-02-21
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00793	0.00752	-5.17%	0.00451	-43.13%	0.6446	✓	2.46	23.2M	2022-02-21
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.78	0.739284	-5.22%	0.7113	-8.81%	0.0985	✓	1.10	22.7M	2022-02-21
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.66	5.3619	-5.27%	5.83	+3.00%	0.0379	✓	0.84	616k	2022-02-21
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9521	2.7942	-5.35%	2.9731	+0.71%	0.0121	✓	1.37	3.1M	2022-02-21
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.496	0.469364	-5.37%	0.444	-10.48%	0.1406	✓	1.57	8.0M	2022-02-21
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	21.51	20.3497	-5.39%	26.51	+23.25%	0.2240	✗	0.75	353k	2022-02-21
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	83.9941	79.4359	-5.43%	68.7997	-18.09%	0.2135	✓	1.29	486k	2022-02-21
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.62	11.9343	-5.43%	13.77	+9.11%	0.1050	✗	0.70	813k	2022-02-21
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.71467	0.675715	-5.45%	0.64579	-9.64%	0.1401	✓	1.75	848k	2022-02-21
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	59.8	56.4704	-5.57%	70.08	+17.19%	0.1449	✗	1.31	87.3M	2022-02-21
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2394	3.9974	-5.71%	3.7534	-11.46%	0.1283	✓	1.20	443k	2022-02-21
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.62	1.5262	-5.79%	1.37	-15.43%	0.1666	✓	1.08	2.6M	2022-02-21
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.05051	0.04754	-5.88%	0.01937	-61.65%	0.9711	✓	1.35	12.0M	2022-02-21
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.1	1.9746	-5.97%	1.25	-40.48%	0.5353	✓	1.44	2.6M	2022-02-21
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.506	1.4155	-6.01%	1.384	-8.10%	0.0915	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-21
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.82	4.5296	-6.03%	5.72	+18.67%	0.2122	✗	0.39	471k	2022-02-21
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5658	0.530929	-6.16%	0.481	-14.99%	0.1649	✓	1.22	1.8M	2022-02-21
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0326	0.03056	-6.26%	0.0263	-19.33%	0.2302	✓	1.48	1.1M	2022-02-21
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15638	0.146231	-6.49%	0.15154	-3.10%	0.0476	✓	1.53	7,011	2022-02-21
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.15	1.9404	-9.75%	1.99	-7.44%	0.0291	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-02-21
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	7.392	6.6511	-10.02%	2.332	-68.45%	1.1023	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-21
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.054184	0.048712	-10.10%	0.023018	-57.52%	0.8039	✓	1.00	575k	2022-02-21
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.4442	1.2974	-10.16%	0.8883	-38.49%	0.4331	✓	1.00	4.1M	2022-02-21
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5482	0.487948	-10.99%	0.3401	-37.96%	0.4608	✓	1.84	48.9M	2022-02-21
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.07202	0.062751	-12.87%	0.03362	-53.32%	0.6783	✓	1.00	12.6M	2022-02-21

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.