2022-01-22 · +1d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1153

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+0.42%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

55.9%

in alpha space · 64.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+3.47%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04896	0.04915	+0.39%	0.05508	+12.50%	0.0624	✓	1.51	1.9M	2022-01-23
HIVE	Hive	native	0.7987	0.801615	+0.36%	0.839	+5.05%	0.0050	✗	1.48	3.8M	2022-01-23
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.80696	0.809832	+0.36%	0.90224	+11.81%	0.0661	✓	1.23	2.4M	2022-01-23
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.11	16.1654	+0.34%	17.17	+6.58%	0.0020	✓	1.83	4.1M	2022-01-23
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.59	7.6156	+0.34%	8.17	+7.64%	0.0279	✓	1.24	3.0M	2022-01-23
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0376	0.037723	+0.33%	0.0375	-0.27%	0.0746	✗	2.02	24.3M	2022-01-23
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0326	0.032702	+0.31%	0.0335	+2.76%	0.0262	✗	1.48	1.1M	2022-01-23
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7316	0.733867	+0.31%	0.8591	+17.43%	0.0893	✓	2.00	1.1M	2022-01-23
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.9	0.90269	+0.30%	0.85	-5.56%	0.1157	✗	1.63	569k	2022-01-23
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5834	0.585142	+0.30%	0.596	+2.16%	0.0345	✗	1.55	1.4M	2022-01-23
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00793	0.007954	+0.30%	0.00841	+6.05%	0.0279	✗	2.46	23.2M	2022-01-23
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.496	0.497469	+0.30%	0.507	+2.22%	0.0344	✗	1.57	8.0M	2022-01-23
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0381	1.0411	+0.29%	1.0945	+5.43%	0.0152	✓	1.02	402k	2022-01-23
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.641831	+0.29%	0.66	+3.12%	0.0375	✗	1.92	1.3M	2022-01-23
ZEN	Horizen	Base	35.28	35.3806	+0.29%	35.77	+1.39%	0.0424	✗	1.56	613k	2022-01-23
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.06	6.0772	+0.28%	6.52	+7.59%	0.0630	✓	0.21	1.2M	2022-01-23
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.319	0.319867	+0.27%	0.331	+3.76%	0.0138	✗	1.41	1.8M	2022-01-23
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.711	0.712888	+0.27%	0.731	+2.81%	0.0124	✗	1.10	2.0M	2022-01-23
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	83.9941	84.2122	+0.26%	84.9691	+1.16%	0.0349	✗	1.29	486k	2022-01-23
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.46	2.4664	+0.26%	2.49	+1.22%	0.0457	✗	1.62	2.2M	2022-01-23
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.61	5.6245	+0.26%	5.9	+5.17%	0.0164	✓	0.92	1.0M	2022-01-23
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.06	5.0727	+0.25%	5.21	+2.96%	0.0082	✗	1.02	1.1M	2022-01-23
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06237	0.062523	+0.25%	0.06514	+4.44%	0.0126	✓	0.83	60k	2022-01-23
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.01	19.0565	+0.24%	19.51	+2.63%	0.0176	✗	1.20	14.5M	2022-01-23
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.08	2.0851	+0.24%	2.24	+7.69%	0.0217	✓	1.47	6.6M	2022-01-23
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.84	23.8963	+0.24%	24.37	+2.22%	0.0386	✗	1.71	2.7M	2022-01-23
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.42	4.4304	+0.24%	4.66	+5.43%	0.0049	✓	1.34	16.1M	2022-01-23
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	98.78	99.0052	+0.23%	109.75	+11.11%	0.0683	✓	1.02	7.0M	2022-01-23
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0732	0.073364	+0.22%	0.0783	+6.97%	0.0233	✓	1.23	299k	2022-01-23
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.89	2.8964	+0.22%	3.02	+4.50%	0.0098	✗	1.51	32.4M	2022-01-23
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	59.8	59.9324	+0.22%	64.85	+8.44%	0.0343	✓	1.31	87.3M	2022-01-23
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.944	6.959	+0.22%	7.243	+4.31%	0.0279	✓	0.36	38k	2022-01-23
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.96	6.9749	+0.21%	7.33	+5.32%	0.0358	✓	0.41	2.8M	2022-01-23
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	22,897.64	22,943.44	+0.20%	25,099.20	+9.61%	0.0605	✓	0.86	21.5M	2022-01-23
XEC	eCash	native	0.00006839	0.000068526	+0.20%	0.00007477	+9.33%	0.0506	✓	1.08	6.5M	2022-01-23
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0594	0.059516	+0.20%	0.0613	+3.20%	0.0089	✗	1.13	21k	2022-01-23
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	50.17	50.2668	+0.19%	54.81	+9.25%	0.0454	✓	1.21	6.3M	2022-01-23
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.036765	0.036835	+0.19%	0.039977	+8.74%	0.0372	✓	1.31	10.3M	2022-01-23
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.76	18.7952	+0.19%	19.45	+3.68%	0.0187	✗	1.55	944k	2022-01-23
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2179	0.218303	+0.19%	0.2245	+3.03%	0.0103	✗	1.12	440k	2022-01-23
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0799	0.080047	+0.18%	0.1069	+33.79%	0.2422	✓	1.38	2.0M	2022-01-23
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0094	0.009417	+0.18%	0.00983	+4.57%	0.0059	✓	1.09	641k	2022-01-23
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0543	0.054392	+0.17%	0.0576	+6.08%	0.0072	✓	1.47	684k	2022-01-23
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.27	29.3161	+0.16%	34.65	+18.38%	0.1324	✓	1.02	109.3M	2022-01-23
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.244	0.244376	+0.15%	0.278	+13.93%	0.0972	✓	0.93	67k	2022-01-23
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00998	0.009995	+0.15%	0.01032	+3.41%	0.0113	✗	1.27	2.3M	2022-01-23
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	147.18	147.4013	+0.15%	158.72	+7.84%	0.0309	✓	1.26	17.6M	2022-01-23
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.1	2.1031	+0.15%	2.57	+22.38%	0.1514	✓	1.44	2.6M	2022-01-23
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.49	3.495	+0.14%	3.59	+2.87%	0.0140	✗	1.20	2.4M	2022-01-23
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	34,807.70	34,857.32	+0.14%	36,274.40	+4.21%	0.0056	✓	1.01	26k	2022-01-23
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.19	13.2083	+0.14%	14.05	+6.52%	0.0236	✓	1.12	841k	2022-01-23
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.506	1.5079	+0.13%	1.611	+6.97%	0.0228	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-01-23
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.87	0.871114	+0.13%	0.881	+1.26%	0.0366	✗	1.40	2.3M	2022-01-23
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1764	0.176624	+0.13%	0.1855	+5.16%	0.0010	✓	1.41	4.3M	2022-01-23
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.059	3.0627	+0.12%	3.138	+2.58%	0.0054	✗	0.87	1.1M	2022-01-23
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4454	0.445917	+0.12%	0.5018	+12.66%	0.0751	✓	1.26	2.4M	2022-01-23
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.5565	5.5629	+0.12%	5.815	+4.65%	0.0049	✗	1.44	263k	2022-01-23
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.71467	0.715483	+0.11%	0.76101	+6.48%	0.0021	✓	1.75	848k	2022-01-23
XVG	Verge	native	0.00935	0.00936	+0.11%	0.00969	+3.64%	0.0111	✗	1.34	1.8M	2022-01-23
SOL	Solana	Solana	94.78	94.8838	+0.11%	99.82	+5.32%	0.0096	✓	1.21	142.2M	2022-01-23
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.77	1.7719	+0.11%	1.82	+2.82%	0.0201	✗	1.37	3.1M	2022-01-23
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.86	15.8755	+0.10%	16.67	+5.11%	0.0065	✓	1.24	75.4M	2022-01-23
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.78	0.780763	+0.10%	0.8156	+4.56%	0.0060	✓	1.10	22.7M	2022-01-23
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.0461	2.0481	+0.10%	2.227	+8.84%	0.0410	✓	1.25	714k	2022-01-23
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.54	20.5589	+0.09%	21.28	+3.60%	0.0112	✗	1.34	34.9M	2022-01-23
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.518861	0.519316	+0.09%	0.54463	+4.97%	0.0063	✓	1.21	2.3M	2022-01-23
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	33.44	33.4687	+0.09%	35.99	+7.63%	0.0318	✓	1.20	29.0M	2022-01-23
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.11	6.1148	+0.08%	6.38	+4.42%	0.0065	✓	1.05	3.9M	2022-01-23
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1135	0.113586	+0.08%	0.1139	+0.35%	0.0430	✗	1.34	4.3M	2022-01-23
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4385	0.438801	+0.07%	0.4546	+3.67%	0.0130	✗	1.42	2.6M	2022-01-23
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03631	0.036333	+0.06%	0.0379	+4.38%	0.0037	✓	1.13	25k	2022-01-23
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	94.59	94.649	+0.06%	97.58	+3.16%	0.0151	✗	1.34	8.4M	2022-01-23
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.34	2.3413	+0.06%	2.44	+4.27%	0.0008	✓	1.19	737k	2022-01-23
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0068	3.0083	+0.05%	3.1436	+4.55%	0.0020	✓	1.23	3.8M	2022-01-23
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.8	4.8022	+0.05%	5.02	+4.58%	0.0199	✓	0.72	491k	2022-01-23
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	120.3	120.342	+0.03%	128.28	+6.63%	0.0213	✓	1.25	88k	2022-01-23
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.07873	0.078756	+0.03%	0.08478	+7.68%	0.0333	✓	1.19	41k	2022-01-23
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4163	0.416415	+0.03%	0.4151	-0.29%	0.0477	✗	1.31	10.8M	2022-01-23
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.26	18.2641	+0.02%	18.82	+3.07%	0.0172	✗	1.38	58.5M	2022-01-23
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9512	0.951413	+0.02%	0.9895	+4.03%	0.0020	✗	1.21	34.7M	2022-01-23
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020108	0.020112	+0.02%	0.022662	+12.70%	0.0812	✓	1.12	3.7M	2022-01-23
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.16	11.1621	+0.02%	11.43	+2.42%	0.0217	✗	1.33	12.7M	2022-01-23
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.63	5.6307	+0.01%	5.92	+5.15%	0.0242	✓	0.76	645k	2022-01-23
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.0434	2.0435	+0.01%	2.1145	+3.48%	0.0053	✗	1.16	4.3M	2022-01-23
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.804	2.804	-0.00%	2.945	+5.03%	0.0221	✗	0.79	523k	2022-01-23
DASH	Dash	Dash	97.07	97.0681	-0.00%	99.58	+2.59%	0.0162	✓	1.22	2.8M	2022-01-23
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02985	0.029848	-0.01%	0.02905	-2.68%	0.0606	✓	0.98	8.3M	2022-01-23
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	190.08	190.0632	-0.01%	191.51	+0.75%	0.0336	✓	1.21	1.3M	2022-01-23
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.78	3.7796	-0.01%	3.94	+4.23%	0.0001	✓	1.22	3.2M	2022-01-23
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.05051	0.050505	-0.01%	0.05184	+2.63%	0.0199	✓	1.35	12.0M	2022-01-23
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.567	2.5666	-0.02%	2.649	+3.19%	0.0209	✓	1.54	1.1M	2022-01-23
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002053	0.000020527	-0.02%	0.0000225	+9.60%	0.0437	✗	1.41	1.7M	2022-01-23
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	1.979	1.9785	-0.03%	2.095	+5.86%	0.0201	✗	1.09	24k	2022-01-23
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.8	5.7982	-0.03%	6.129	+5.67%	0.0286	✗	0.79	163k	2022-01-23
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,411.90	2,411.04	-0.04%	2,541.19	+5.36%	0.0143	✗	1.12	502.4M	2022-01-23
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9521	2.9507	-0.05%	3.0753	+4.17%	0.0052	✓	1.37	3.1M	2022-01-23
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5039	1.5032	-0.05%	1.4593	-2.97%	0.0576	✓	0.82	1.6M	2022-01-23
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.665	3.6624	-0.07%	3.844	+4.88%	0.0219	✗	0.78	445k	2022-01-23
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.054184	0.054141	-0.08%	0.057846	+6.76%	0.0321	✗	1.00	575k	2022-01-23
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.366	1.3648	-0.09%	1.421	+4.03%	0.0004	✓	1.19	1.8M	2022-01-23
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1498	0.149662	-0.09%	0.1617	+7.94%	0.0533	✗	0.70	536k	2022-01-23
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.66	5.6547	-0.09%	5.85	+3.36%	0.0052	✗	0.84	616k	2022-01-23
XMR	Monero	Monero	152.34	152.1786	-0.11%	156.73	+2.88%	0.0050	✓	1.01	2.6M	2022-01-23
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7227	2.7195	-0.12%	2.7981	+2.77%	0.0067	✓	1.03	2.2M	2022-01-23
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.62	1.6181	-0.12%	1.7	+4.94%	0.0126	✗	1.08	2.6M	2022-01-23
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2331	0.232813	-0.12%	0.2414	+3.56%	0.0069	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-01-23
KCS	KuCoin	native	15.129	15.1099	-0.13%	15.88	+4.96%	0.0052	✓	1.61	10.7M	2022-01-23
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.7106	0.70968	-0.13%	0.8434	+18.69%	0.1260	✗	1.37	108k	2022-01-23
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014961	0.014942	-0.13%	0.015019	+0.39%	0.0363	✓	1.22	2.7M	2022-01-23
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.133158	0.132985	-0.13%	0.141702	+6.42%	0.0267	✗	1.08	6.7M	2022-01-23
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2645	0.264141	-0.14%	0.2697	+1.97%	0.0341	✓	1.61	4.6M	2022-01-23
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01275	0.012733	-0.14%	0.01258	-1.33%	0.0421	✓	0.88	21k	2022-01-23
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.19237	0.192081	-0.15%	0.201066	+4.52%	0.0091	✗	1.07	24.9M	2022-01-23
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.65	1.6475	-0.15%	1.6289	-1.28%	0.0495	✓	1.12	95k	2022-01-23
GT	Gate	Ethereum	5.6708	5.6615	-0.16%	6.1111	+7.76%	0.0447	✗	0.93	4.5M	2022-01-23
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5658	0.564874	-0.16%	0.5547	-1.96%	0.0597	✓	1.22	1.8M	2022-01-23
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.9642	2.9593	-0.16%	2.9942	+1.01%	0.0181	✓	0.87	2,942	2022-01-23
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5076	0.506732	-0.17%	0.5301	+4.43%	0.0002	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-01-23
XEM	NEM	native	0.0944	0.094234	-0.18%	0.0976	+3.39%	0.0013	✓	1.07	41k	2022-01-23
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.33	2.3253	-0.20%	2.41	+3.43%	0.0008	✓	1.03	819k	2022-01-23
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5482	0.547042	-0.21%	0.609	+11.09%	0.0446	✗	1.84	48.9M	2022-01-23
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.05675	0.056627	-0.22%	0.057499	+1.32%	0.0176	✓	0.96	486k	2022-01-23
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	35,066.43	34,988.22	-0.22%	36,282.47	+3.47%	0.0022	✓	1.00	648.0M	2022-01-23
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.62	12.5896	-0.24%	12.97	+2.77%	0.0059	✗	0.70	813k	2022-01-23
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.68	8.6589	-0.24%	8.96	+3.23%	0.0086	✗	0.75	800k	2022-01-23
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	291.88	291.17	-0.24%	302.74	+3.72%	0.0031	✗	1.05	7.0M	2022-01-23
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		89.24	89.0108	-0.26%	93.79	+5.10%	0.0198	✗	0.95	1.8M	2022-01-23
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	21.51	21.4544	-0.26%	22.3	+3.67%	0.0132	✗	0.75	353k	2022-01-23
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	7.392	7.372	-0.27%	8.018	+8.47%	0.0499	✗	1.00	1.6M	2022-01-23
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2394	4.2277	-0.28%	4.4346	+4.60%	0.0068	✗	1.20	443k	2022-01-23
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.23	24.1593	-0.29%	25.17	+3.88%	0.0036	✗	1.10	3.3M	2022-01-23
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	108.41	108.078	-0.31%	112.35	+3.63%	0.0066	✓	1.33	30.5M	2022-01-23
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	62.89	62.6937	-0.31%	69.73	+10.88%	0.0449	✗	1.80	7.8M	2022-01-23
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1394	0.138963	-0.31%	0.1477	+5.95%	0.0287	✗	0.95	362k	2022-01-23
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.424	6.4031	-0.33%	6.033	-6.09%	0.0964	✓	1.08	301k	2022-01-23
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.161	1.1572	-0.33%	1.154	-0.60%	0.0462	✓	1.27	4.0M	2022-01-23
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0713	1.0677	-0.33%	1.1249	+5.00%	0.0136	✗	1.13	104.1M	2022-01-23
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.6015	3.5893	-0.34%	3.5571	-1.23%	0.0095	✓	0.01	371k	2022-01-23
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15638	0.155803	-0.37%	0.16077	+2.81%	0.0209	✓	1.53	7,011	2022-01-23
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.4442	1.4382	-0.41%	1.3242	-8.31%	0.1167	✓	1.00	4.1M	2022-01-23
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.15	2.1396	-0.48%	3.23	+50.23%	0.3778	✗	1.00	5.4M	2022-01-23
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.07202	0.071478	-0.75%	0.06498	-9.78%	0.1294	✓	1.00	12.6M	2022-01-23
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.82	4.7667	-1.11%	4.37	-9.34%	0.1001	✓	0.39	471k	2022-01-23

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.