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2022-01-19 · +1d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0664
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.29%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
71.2%
in alpha space · 90.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.41%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.75920.760565+0.18%0.6721-11.47%0.0981✗1.052.5M2022-01-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05750.057572+0.13%0.0529-8.00%0.0603✗1.0024.3M2022-01-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum22.1422.1538+0.06%21.12-4.61%0.0023✗1.873.9M2022-01-20
LRCLoopringEthereum1.18351.1837+0.02%1.0653-9.99%0.0588✗1.911.3M2022-01-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.011720.011722+0.02%0.01207+2.99%0.0887✓2.4423.2M2022-01-20
UNIUniswapEthereum15.1215.1205+0.00%14.49-4.17%0.0105✗1.3212.4M2022-01-20
MOVRMoonriverBase120.5322120.522-0.01%119.9355-0.50%0.0226✗1.13489k2022-01-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,724.0041,707.15-0.04%41,418.10-0.73%0.0171✗0.9916k2022-01-20
AAVEAaveEthereum210.15210.033-0.06%198.37-5.61%0.0277✓1.2117.6M2022-01-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.11910.119019-0.07%0.1141-4.20%0.0107✓1.292.1M2022-01-20
COMPCompoundEthereum172.8172.6599-0.08%162.17-6.15%0.0341✓1.1795k2022-01-20
SUSHISushiEthereum6.056.0434-0.11%5.81-3.97%0.0078✓1.3017.7M2022-01-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.018950.018927-0.12%0.018378-3.02%0.0005✓1.232.7M2022-01-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.0624.0298-0.13%23-4.41%0.0108✓1.3658.5M2022-01-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.194.1842-0.14%3.97-5.25%0.0181✓1.4132.4M2022-01-20
XMRMoneroMonero201.62201.3408-0.14%188.73-6.39%0.0406✓0.992.9M2022-01-20
QNTQuantEthereum135.59135.3953-0.14%132.32-2.41%0.0001✓0.946.7M2022-01-20
ETHEthereumEthereum3,085.273,080.72-0.15%3,000.94-2.73%0.0000✓1.08485.8M2022-01-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1617050.161445-0.16%0.155509-3.83%0.0107✓1.106.4M2022-01-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin27.5927.5455-0.16%26.19-5.07%0.0239✓1.0914.5M2022-01-20
XTZTezosTezos3.88493.8785-0.16%3.715-4.37%0.0095✓1.383.2M2022-01-20
XLMStellarStellar0.2455670.245162-0.16%0.231498-5.73%0.0321✓1.0423.9M2022-01-20
KSMKusamaHydration243.71243.2718-0.18%239.61-1.68%0.0139✗1.191.3M2022-01-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,674.2741,596.81-0.19%40,670.97-2.41%0.0019✓1.00636.6M2022-01-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.472.4653-0.19%2.35-4.86%0.0157✓1.323.2M2022-01-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum21.5621.5187-0.19%20.18-6.40%0.0349✓1.2072.8M2022-01-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.65463.6475-0.19%3.7088+1.48%0.0151✗-0.06371k2022-01-20
XEMNEMnative0.11260.112379-0.20%0.1095-2.75%0.0002✓1.0641k2022-01-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,142.2932,079.08-0.20%31,414.30-2.26%0.0043✓0.6821.5M2022-01-20
IMXImmutableEthereum3.563.5529-0.20%3.36-5.62%0.0204✓1.452.2M2022-01-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7091.7054-0.21%1.679-1.76%0.0127✗1.161.9M2022-01-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6273.6193-0.21%3.583-1.21%0.0072✗0.71523k2022-01-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.52440.523273-0.21%0.5001-4.63%0.0134✓1.3111.3M2022-01-20
QTUMQtumQtum7.40327.3872-0.22%7.057-4.68%0.0105✓1.44263k2022-01-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum26.5326.4715-0.22%24.98-5.84%0.0233✓1.4234.3M2022-01-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.930.92794-0.22%0.89-4.30%0.0050✗1.921.4M2022-01-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.171.1673-0.23%1.11-5.13%0.0096✓1.67556k2022-01-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027260.000027195-0.24%0.00002648-2.86%0.0064✗1.351.7M2022-01-20
XYMSymbolnative0.17860.178161-0.25%0.1782-0.22%0.0168✗0.68573k2022-01-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.04860.04848-0.25%0.0452-7.00%0.0367✓1.371.3M2022-01-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4690.46783-0.25%0.428-8.74%0.0570✓1.311.8M2022-01-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.046920.046803-0.25%0.04537-3.30%0.0044✓1.1023k2022-01-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV109.45109.1725-0.25%104.32-4.69%0.0223✓0.951.8M2022-01-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.100440.10018-0.26%0.0964-4.02%0.0106✓1.1431k2022-01-20
ADACardanoCardano1.33661.3331-0.26%1.2589-5.81%0.0298✓1.1399.0M2022-01-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.072180.07198-0.28%0.06885-4.61%0.0097✓1.432.3M2022-01-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.912.9018-0.28%2.8-3.78%0.0115✓0.99855k2022-01-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche82.6482.407-0.28%79.35-3.98%0.0087✓1.1992.3M2022-01-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3490.348011-0.28%0.328-6.02%0.0401✓0.7951k2022-01-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum26.1326.0541-0.29%24.39-6.66%0.0281✓1.551.0M2022-01-20
KCSKuCoinnative19.95119.8919-0.30%19.429-2.62%0.0157✗1.6110.6M2022-01-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.94.8855-0.30%4.78-2.45%0.0073✗1.203.2M2022-01-20
XVGVergenative0.012670.012632-0.30%0.01234-2.60%0.0070✗1.251.9M2022-01-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9563.9441-0.30%3.861-2.40%0.0019✓0.801.1M2022-01-20
ZECZcashZcash125.87125.4821-0.31%118.84-5.59%0.0228✓1.309.5M2022-01-20
RADRadworksEthereum7.016.9884-0.31%6.89-1.71%0.0074✗0.891.1M2022-01-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.26591.262-0.31%1.1614-8.25%0.0542✓1.1830.5M2022-01-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.677.6456-0.32%7.38-3.78%0.0199✓0.63660k2022-01-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.3660.364821-0.32%0.3693+0.90%0.0488✗1.504.1M2022-01-20
TRXTRONTron0.0691920.068969-0.32%0.067694-2.16%0.0044✗0.95489k2022-01-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.08530.085024-0.32%0.08157-4.37%0.0236✓0.7355k2022-01-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash369.1367.8951-0.33%357.74-3.08%0.0032✓1.026.6M2022-01-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum19.0318.9671-0.33%18.34-3.63%0.0078✓1.06841k2022-01-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.956760.953563-0.33%0.90658-5.24%0.0070✓1.79866k2022-01-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7934.777-0.33%4.731-1.29%0.0067✗0.67457k2022-01-20
DODODODOEthereum0.7010.698639-0.34%0.682-2.71%0.0122✗1.498.0M2022-01-20
SOLSolanaSolana135.33134.8717-0.34%127.52-5.77%0.0283✓1.14147.7M2022-01-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1510.150482-0.34%0.1484-1.72%0.0168✗1.264.2M2022-01-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.960.956698-0.34%0.939-2.19%0.0052✗0.982.1M2022-01-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.366.338-0.35%6.14-3.46%0.0157✓0.66524k2022-01-20
BANDBandEthereum4.914.8924-0.36%4.68-4.68%0.0173✓1.112.2M2022-01-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.04921.0454-0.36%1.0173-3.04%0.0032✓0.9923.2M2022-01-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17120.170587-0.36%0.1666-2.69%0.0014✓0.91380k2022-01-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.037180.037046-0.36%0.03533-4.98%0.0252✓0.918.4M2022-01-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum71.8271.5581-0.36%69.09-3.80%0.0088✓1.086.4M2022-01-20
UMAUMAEthereum8.268.2297-0.37%7.75-6.17%0.0367✓0.964.1M2022-01-20
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2941.2892-0.37%1.272-1.70%0.0200✗1.373.8M2022-01-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.577.5419-0.37%7.4-2.25%0.0003✓0.77638k2022-01-20
DASHDashDash126.8126.3275-0.37%121.15-4.46%0.0127✓1.192.8M2022-01-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6849680.68239-0.38%0.655547-4.30%0.0120✓1.152.3M2022-01-20
LUNATerraTerra 281.2780.9591-0.38%77.41-4.75%0.0006✓1.867.7M2022-01-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.092.082-0.38%2.03-2.87%0.0009✓1.072.7M2022-01-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.8126.7047-0.39%25.43-5.15%0.0316✓0.71353k2022-01-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07740.077095-0.39%0.0736-4.91%0.0123✓1.40949k2022-01-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07610.075794-0.40%0.0723-4.99%0.0205✓1.1021k2022-01-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain43.9837-0.41%3.9838-0.40%0.0307✗1.264.0M2022-01-20
XVSVenusEthereum12.5212.4685-0.41%11.36-9.27%0.0652✓1.142.7M2022-01-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.2110.166-0.43%9.52-6.76%0.0617✓0.162.8M2022-01-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.2210.1751-0.44%10.09-1.27%0.0099✗0.75808k2022-01-20
GTGateEthereum7.17.0685-0.44%7.0322-0.95%0.0157✗0.864.3M2022-01-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos37.0736.905-0.45%38.97+5.13%0.0781✗0.9798.5M2022-01-20
CBKCobakEthereum2.6232.6105-0.48%2.539-3.20%0.0057✓0.9125k2022-01-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0266240.026497-0.48%0.026039-2.20%0.0076✗1.034.4M2022-01-20
NANOnanopayBase3.05553.0408-0.48%2.8203-7.70%0.0477✓1.13665k2022-01-20
UOSUltraEthereum1.16931.1637-0.48%1.1313-3.25%0.0023✓1.062.4M2022-01-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum8.438.3881-0.50%7.96-5.58%0.0347✓0.73995k2022-01-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.8514.7749-0.51%14.59-1.75%0.0039✓0.68862k2022-01-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.333.313-0.51%3.06-8.11%0.0481✓1.298.5M2022-01-20
LSKLiskEthereum2.05092.0404-0.51%1.8707-8.79%0.0597✓1.1189k2022-01-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013940.013868-0.52%0.01227-11.98%0.0905✓1.312.1M2022-01-20
STORJStorjEthereum1.4621.4543-0.52%1.3945-4.61%0.0203✓0.89423k2022-01-20
MANADecentralandEthereum2.73462.7202-0.52%2.6385-3.51%0.0053✓1.044.5M2022-01-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.29820.296619-0.53%0.2832-5.03%0.0150✓1.292.0M2022-01-20
FTTFTXEthereum46.6746.4212-0.53%45.17-3.21%0.0003✓1.1124.3M2022-01-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum8.358.3054-0.53%7.97-4.55%0.0415✓-0.011.3M2022-01-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2221.2154-0.54%1.143-6.46%0.0281✓1.372.4M2022-01-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.015850.015765-0.54%0.01551-2.15%0.0019✓0.7522k2022-01-20
HIVEHivenative1.13861.1325-0.54%1.0699-6.03%0.0226✓1.413.7M2022-01-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.92710.92192-0.56%0.8682-6.35%0.0259✓1.401.5M2022-01-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.075110.07468-0.57%0.07094-5.55%0.0270✓1.00719k2022-01-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum32.4332.244-0.57%30.25-6.72%0.0232✓1.672.7M2022-01-20
SCSiacoinnative0.01270.012623-0.61%0.01217-4.17%0.0121✓1.00641k2022-01-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin136.2135.3514-0.62%129.8-4.70%0.0089✓1.3531.1M2022-01-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0511150.050794-0.63%0.050637-0.94%0.0262✗1.208.4M2022-01-20
MINAMina Protocolnative3.393.3687-0.63%3.35-1.18%0.0209✗1.09808k2022-01-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57010.566522-0.63%0.5776+1.32%0.0533✗1.391.5M2022-01-20
XECeCashnative0.000092270.000091691-0.63%0.00009053-1.89%0.0121✗1.026.5M2022-01-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.0096.9643-0.64%7.481+6.73%0.1031✗1.29271k2022-01-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.29830.296397-0.64%0.2825-5.30%0.0228✓1.03397k2022-01-20
ZENHorizenBase49.9349.6091-0.64%47.6-4.67%0.0049✓1.49636k2022-01-20
GITCOINGITCOIN10.27410.2075-0.65%9.432-8.20%0.0766✓0.1040k2022-01-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10120.100541-0.65%0.1002-0.99%0.0241✗1.13240k2022-01-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.14213.1216-0.65%3.1598+0.56%0.0409✗1.182.1M2022-01-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.13.0798-0.65%2.79-10.00%0.0684✓1.252.7M2022-01-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.071620.071148-0.66%0.06785-5.26%0.0179✓1.2112.4M2022-01-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.2727.2237-0.66%6.92-4.84%0.0260✓0.70170k2022-01-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2823.26-0.67%3.095-5.70%0.0099✓1.721.2M2022-01-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.2192.2041-0.67%2.111-4.87%0.0156✓1.131.9M2022-01-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.2731.0597-0.67%29.37-6.08%0.0297✓1.083.2M2022-01-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.24630.244589-0.69%0.2346-4.75%0.0091✓1.344.0M2022-01-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.68380.678964-0.71%0.6442-5.79%0.0214✓1.283.3M2022-01-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5371.5257-0.74%1.5815+2.90%0.0564✗0.841.2M2022-01-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.57840.573217-0.90%0.5606-3.08%0.0116✗1.392.7M2022-01-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.44865.3996-0.90%5.2113-4.36%0.0056✓1.23446k2022-01-20
API3Api3Ethereum4.354.3074-0.98%4.19-3.68%0.0038✓0.98471k2022-01-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.84660.838098-1.00%0.757-10.58%0.0584✓1.7846.2M2022-01-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.199130.19709-1.02%0.18914-5.02%0.0030✓1.576,5192022-01-20
CELLCellframeEthereum1.04571.0349-1.03%1.0839+3.65%0.0722✗1.07108k2022-01-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.99393.9423-1.29%3.8114-4.57%0.0155✓0.752,2572022-01-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.