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2022-01-18 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2362
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+25.21%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
85.6%
in alpha space · 91.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.33%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.91540.757042-17.30%0.4073-55.51%0.5417✓1.7748.9M2022-02-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0760240.066513-12.51%0.026932-64.57%0.8599✓1.001.1M2022-02-17
HIVEHivenative1.21491.1054-9.01%1.0138-16.55%0.0247✓1.403.7M2022-02-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.064790.05941-8.30%0.02758-57.43%0.7130✓1.2312.4M2022-02-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.04990.04596-7.90%0.0309-38.08%0.3365✓1.371.3M2022-02-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.4110.5754-7.32%7.1-37.77%0.3919✓0.152.8M2022-02-17
CELLCellframeEthereum1.03520.960023-7.26%1.4805+43.02%0.4811✗1.08108k2022-02-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.2735.5855-7.01%28.08-26.63%0.1941✓0.9798.5M2022-02-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum8.798.1796-6.94%7.46-15.13%0.0929✓-0.021.3M2022-02-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.012740.011859-6.91%0.0054-57.61%0.6796✓2.4223.7M2022-02-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.40920.381003-6.89%0.2558-37.49%0.3326✓1.494.1M2022-02-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.197790.184381-6.78%0.16982-14.14%0.0127✓1.576,4462022-02-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.31280.291939-6.67%0.2746-12.21%0.0157✓1.03397k2022-02-17
API3Api3Ethereum4.644.3333-6.61%5+7.76%0.1853✗0.95471k2022-02-17
LUNATerraTerra 280.4975.2613-6.50%50.27-37.55%0.3204✓1.887.6M2022-02-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.08033.8154-6.49%3.4641-15.10%0.0635✓0.752,2572022-02-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum34.0931.8871-6.46%25.54-25.08%0.1484✓1.662.7M2022-02-17
GITCOINGITCOIN11.38210.6674-6.28%7.107-37.56%0.4024✓0.0844k2022-02-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.253.0474-6.23%1.66-48.92%0.5527✓1.242.8M2022-02-17
SUSHISushiEthereum6.215.8262-6.18%3.95-36.39%0.3314✓1.3017.7M2022-02-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.0280.7503-6.13%88.28+2.63%0.1417✗1.19100.4M2022-02-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3783.1736-6.05%2.668-21.02%0.0972✓1.731.2M2022-02-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.543.3282-5.98%1.69-52.26%0.6210✓1.288.5M2022-02-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.60930.573705-5.84%0.4344-28.71%0.2170✓1.382.7M2022-02-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.94295.5975-5.81%4.3951-26.04%0.1880✓1.22457k2022-02-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.12930.121824-5.78%0.0969-25.06%0.1721✓1.282.1M2022-02-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08080.076173-5.73%0.0825+2.10%0.1415✗1.40990k2022-02-17
MOVRMoonriverBase126.385119.2381-5.65%85.9444-32.00%0.2776✓1.13489k2022-02-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.00430.947817-5.62%0.76017-24.31%0.1417✓1.78896k2022-02-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06310.059591-5.56%0.0608-3.65%0.0643✗1.0024.6M2022-02-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.2772.1527-5.46%1.741-23.54%0.1623✓1.132.0M2022-02-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.60270.57002-5.42%0.5558-7.78%0.0361✓1.391.5M2022-02-17
MANADecentralandEthereum2.8592.7044-5.41%3.0801+7.74%0.1756✗1.034.6M2022-02-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.10151.042-5.40%0.8222-25.36%0.1934✓0.9823.2M2022-02-17
DODODODOEthereum0.7390.699301-5.37%0.493-33.29%0.2838✓1.498.0M2022-02-17
MINAMina Protocolnative3.453.2658-5.34%2.56-25.80%0.1954✓1.09811k2022-02-17
ADACardanoCardano1.45891.381-5.34%1.0203-30.06%0.2534✓1.1198.5M2022-02-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.192.0736-5.31%1.65-24.66%0.1812✓1.072.7M2022-02-17
UOSUltraEthereum1.2361.1709-5.27%1.2511+1.22%0.1129✗1.062.6M2022-02-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.817.3999-5.25%6.42-17.80%0.1082✓0.77652k2022-02-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3481.2773-5.25%1.142-15.28%0.0514✓1.373.8M2022-02-17
RADRadworksEthereum7.447.0513-5.22%5.54-25.54%0.2023✓0.881.1M2022-02-17
SOLSolanaSolana141.35134.0249-5.18%93.56-33.81%0.3092✓1.14152.8M2022-02-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4731.397-5.16%2.2781+54.66%0.5266✗0.851.1M2022-02-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.7413.9833-5.13%15.35+4.14%0.1234✗0.68916k2022-02-17
ZECZcashZcash131.97125.2324-5.11%113.58-13.93%0.0406✓1.2910.6M2022-02-17
XTZTezosTezos4.11623.9082-5.05%3.6686-10.87%0.0025✓1.373.3M2022-02-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin28.4827.0488-5.03%20.54-27.88%0.2271✓1.0915.1M2022-02-17
ZENHorizenBase52.3249.6942-5.02%36.74-29.78%0.2361✓1.49642k2022-02-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.2590.246061-5.00%0.2015-22.20%0.1408✓1.334.0M2022-02-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum8.788.3434-4.97%5.45-37.93%0.3939✓0.72995k2022-02-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0271640.025839-4.88%0.020359-25.05%0.1929✓1.035.2M2022-02-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17490.166468-4.82%0.1536-12.18%0.0401✓0.91397k2022-02-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.2625.956-4.78%26.61-2.38%0.0563✗0.71353k2022-02-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin141.53134.8899-4.69%116.39-17.76%0.0878✓1.3531.1M2022-02-17
SCSiacoinnative0.01330.012677-4.68%0.00987-25.79%0.2062✓1.00654k2022-02-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,596.4131,077.98-4.66%22,441.70-31.15%0.2954✓0.6822.2M2022-02-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.8426.5446-4.65%21.3-23.49%0.1517✓1.551.0M2022-02-17
LRCLoopringEthereum1.16121.1075-4.63%0.883-23.96%0.1418✓1.921.3M2022-02-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.034.7977-4.62%4.59-8.75%0.0086✓1.203.2M2022-02-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.31290.298499-4.60%0.2525-19.30%0.1107✓1.282.0M2022-02-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016790.016019-4.59%0.01258-25.07%0.2089✓0.7423k2022-02-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum23.422.3341-4.56%15.78-32.56%0.2649✓1.863.9M2022-02-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash381.47364.1142-4.55%313.15-17.91%0.1059✓1.027.0M2022-02-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.95930.916-4.51%0.6239-34.96%0.3221✓1.401.5M2022-02-17
COMPCompoundEthereum178.35170.3679-4.48%123.7-30.64%0.2684✓1.17100k2022-02-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1173.9332-4.46%3.268-20.62%0.1502✓0.791.1M2022-02-17
ETHEthereumEthereum3,160.813,020.20-4.45%2,893.56-8.46%0.0047✓1.07496.9M2022-02-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.86480.82662-4.41%0.5382-37.77%0.3836✓1.032.6M2022-02-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV108.41103.6444-4.40%87.71-19.09%0.1247✓0.961.9M2022-02-17
XVGVergenative0.013220.012643-4.37%0.0107-19.06%0.1118✓1.242.0M2022-02-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.68160.651861-4.36%0.542-20.48%0.1278✓1.283.5M2022-02-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.281.2243-4.35%1.07-16.41%0.0611✓1.66556k2022-02-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15410.147527-4.27%0.1568+1.75%0.1168✗1.264.2M2022-02-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.31791.2617-4.26%0.8983-31.84%0.2876✓1.1830.5M2022-02-17
UMAUMAEthereum7.947.6052-4.22%6.03-24.06%0.1893✓0.973.9M2022-02-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2731.2201-4.16%0.894-29.77%0.2505✓1.372.4M2022-02-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.552.4442-4.15%1.9-25.49%0.1934✓1.323.2M2022-02-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum19.5618.7509-4.14%14.58-25.46%0.2047✓1.06841k2022-02-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014250.013664-4.11%0.01178-17.33%0.0903✓1.312.1M2022-02-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.3557.0551-4.08%6.1-17.06%0.1146✓0.70170k2022-02-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.436.1708-4.03%5.36-16.64%0.1117✓0.66564k2022-02-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.22333.0938-4.02%3.3132+2.79%0.1207✗1.182.3M2022-02-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum73.8670.948-3.94%56.37-23.68%0.1823✓1.086.4M2022-02-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.11973.9613-3.85%3.227-21.67%0.1493✓1.264.1M2022-02-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7941.725-3.84%1.541-14.10%0.0617✓1.162.0M2022-02-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.349.9473-3.80%10.24-0.97%0.0622✗0.75872k2022-02-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.564.3875-3.78%2.91-36.18%0.3486✓1.4032.4M2022-02-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.980.942971-3.78%0.94-4.08%0.0813✗1.911.5M2022-02-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.53090.511071-3.73%0.4369-17.71%0.0988✓1.3111.7M2022-02-17
IMXImmutableEthereum3.723.5817-3.72%2.13-42.74%0.4557✓1.452.2M2022-02-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0520760.050182-3.64%0.051055-1.96%0.0705✗1.209.0M2022-02-17
CBKCobakEthereum2.6912.594-3.60%2.231-17.09%0.1107✓0.9125k2022-02-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4990.481119-3.58%0.334-33.07%0.3072✓1.311.8M2022-02-17
XVSVenusEthereum13.0412.5728-3.58%11.44-12.27%0.0439✓1.142.7M2022-02-17
BANDBandEthereum5.054.8697-3.57%4.44-12.08%0.0434✓1.112.1M2022-02-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos76.7512-3.55%6.499-7.16%0.0193✓1.30271k2022-02-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.038870.037498-3.53%0.02995-22.95%0.1846✓0.918.4M2022-02-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.6431.498-3.50%29.43-9.83%0.0205✓1.073.0M2022-02-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.022.9145-3.49%2.47-18.21%0.1217✓0.99891k2022-02-17
LSKLiskEthereum2.08162.009-3.48%1.6695-19.80%0.1359✓1.1189k2022-02-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.1524.2786-3.46%18.16-27.79%0.2306✓1.3560.5M2022-02-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0080.97353-3.42%0.742-26.39%0.2285✓0.972.2M2022-02-17
STORJStorjEthereum1.55021.4973-3.41%1.0731-30.78%0.2941✓0.88423k2022-02-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum29.3828.3963-3.35%19.86-32.40%0.2951✓1.4134.3M2022-02-17
XECeCashnative0.000095650.000092561-3.23%0.00007849-17.94%0.1200✓1.016.5M2022-02-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.088430.085587-3.22%0.07416-16.14%0.1110✓0.7350k2022-02-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7200570.697439-3.14%0.62107-13.75%0.0652✓1.152.4M2022-02-17
QNTQuantEthereum146.04141.513-3.10%119.39-18.25%0.1289✓0.936.7M2022-02-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7273.6121-3.08%3.08-17.36%0.1281✓0.71526k2022-02-17
AAVEAaveEthereum232.45225.2994-3.08%152.99-34.18%0.3342✓1.1917.6M2022-02-17
NANOnanopayBase2.92482.8396-2.91%2.1008-28.17%0.2509✓1.14665k2022-02-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,369.7441,160.56-2.85%40,536.73-4.33%0.0290✗1.00636.6M2022-02-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.9822.3283-2.84%15.6-32.11%0.3057✓1.2072.8M2022-02-17
XYMSymbolnative0.18640.181115-2.84%0.1642-11.91%0.0681✓0.68577k2022-02-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028110.00002732-2.81%0.00002821+0.36%0.0919✗1.351.8M2022-02-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9364.7991-2.77%4.567-7.48%0.0199✓0.67469k2022-02-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.67093.5728-2.67%5.5502+51.19%0.4376✗-0.06361k2022-02-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3760.36627-2.59%0.268-28.72%0.2780✓0.7847k2022-02-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.797.5898-2.57%6.03-22.59%0.2020✓0.63680k2022-02-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1050.102401-2.48%0.0849-19.14%0.1377✓1.12244k2022-02-17
QTUMQtumQtum7.83077.6392-2.45%7.015-10.42%0.0216✓1.44263k2022-02-17
DASHDashDash130.54127.4004-2.41%104.76-19.75%0.1429✓1.192.8M2022-02-17
KSMKusamaHydration253.4247.3976-2.37%155.14-38.78%0.4140✓1.191.4M2022-02-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.048140.047014-2.34%0.04103-14.77%0.0877✓1.1023k2022-02-17
KCSKuCoinnative20.37119.9343-2.14%19.71-3.24%0.0598✗1.6110.7M2022-02-17
GTGateEthereum7.04646.9006-2.07%6.58-6.62%0.0096✓0.864.1M2022-02-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,495.4041,647.57-2.00%40,651.20-4.34%0.0195✓0.9914k2022-02-17
XMRMoneroMonero204.44200.4753-1.94%163.89-19.83%0.1578✓0.993.1M2022-02-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0194690.019107-1.86%0.015816-18.76%0.1348✓1.232.7M2022-02-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.105410.103473-1.84%0.0902-14.43%0.0869✓1.1430k2022-02-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.075140.073775-1.82%0.05215-30.60%0.2838✓1.432.3M2022-02-17
XLMStellarStellar0.2539950.249469-1.78%0.202261-20.37%0.1640✓1.0324.4M2022-02-17
TRXTRONTron0.0684190.067262-1.69%0.062402-8.79%0.0330✓0.95494k2022-02-17
XEMNEMnative0.11420.112311-1.65%0.1047-8.32%0.0234✓1.0643k2022-02-17
UNIUniswapEthereum15.9815.761-1.37%10.41-34.86%0.3568✓1.3112.4M2022-02-17
FTTFTXEthereum44.9744.3879-1.29%43.72-2.78%0.0342✗1.1223.6M2022-02-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1651550.163876-0.77%0.138407-16.20%0.1204✓1.106.0M2022-02-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07960.079257-0.43%0.0698-12.31%0.0787✓1.0921k2022-02-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.