2022-01-17 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0521

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+2.22%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

89.9%

in alpha space · 82.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+3.97%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	16.64	16.7848	+0.87%	11.22	-32.57%	0.4530	✗	1.29	12.2M	2022-02-16
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.020723	0.02049	-1.12%	0.016969	-18.12%	0.2371	✓	1.25	2.7M	2022-02-16
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	226.66	224.0072	-1.17%	170.44	-24.80%	0.3181	✓	1.15	16.2M	2022-02-16
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,814.50	41,228.15	-1.40%	43,960.80	+5.13%	0.0259	✗	0.98	14k	2022-02-16
XMR	Monero	Monero	214.7	211.6097	-1.44%	179.36	-16.46%	0.2015	✓	0.93	3.1M	2022-02-16
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	25.68	25.2662	-1.61%	19.78	-22.98%	0.2964	✓	1.33	60.5M	2022-02-16
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.2289	1.209	-1.62%	0.9602	-21.87%	0.3043	✓	1.90	1.3M	2022-02-16
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,218.01	41,505.10	-1.69%	43,895.56	+3.97%	0.0170	✓	1.00	636.6M	2022-02-16
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.44	6.3288	-1.73%	4.3	-33.23%	0.4366	✓	1.28	17.7M	2022-02-16
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.8095	0.795315	-1.75%	0.625	-22.79%	0.2820	✓	1.05	2.7M	2022-02-16
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,588.07	31,033.88	-1.75%	23,690.00	-25.00%	0.2968	✓	0.69	22.2M	2022-02-16
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7699	3.7027	-1.78%	5.8668	+55.62%	0.4627	✗	-0.06	361k	2022-02-16
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.170944	0.16782	-1.83%	0.148737	-12.99%	0.1632	✓	1.09	5.6M	2022-02-16
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,210.98	3,144.98	-2.06%	3,124.45	-2.69%	0.0476	✓	1.05	478.4M	2022-02-16
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	181.47	177.6971	-2.08%	136.01	-25.05%	0.3118	✓	1.14	123k	2022-02-16
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	24.33	23.8126	-2.13%	17.65	-27.46%	0.3724	✓	1.87	3.9M	2022-02-16
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.256133	0.250631	-2.15%	0.21874	-14.60%	0.1761	✓	1.03	24.2M	2022-02-16
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.99	28.3636	-2.16%	23.08	-20.39%	0.2483	✓	1.08	15.1M	2022-02-16
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0538	3.9654	-2.18%	4.0382	-0.38%	0.0346	✓	1.35	3.3M	2022-02-16
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.76	3.6749	-2.26%	2.4	-36.17%	0.4826	✓	1.45	2.2M	2022-02-16
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.6	2.541	-2.27%	2.13	-18.08%	0.2274	✓	1.31	3.1M	2022-02-16
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.35	0.341812	-2.34%	0.288	-17.71%	0.2009	✓	0.76	45k	2022-02-16
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.829	1.7848	-2.42%	1.688	-7.71%	0.1003	✓	1.14	2.0M	2022-02-16
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.798	3.7058	-2.43%	3.217	-15.30%	0.1690	✓	0.71	526k	2022-02-16
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	159.74	155.6658	-2.55%	129.55	-18.90%	0.2194	✓	0.92	6.4M	2022-02-16
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.78	4.6496	-2.73%	3.17	-33.68%	0.4368	✓	1.38	32.4M	2022-02-16
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		109.78	106.7431	-2.77%	94.6	-13.83%	0.1574	✓	0.94	1.9M	2022-02-16
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1315	0.12786	-2.77%	0.1052	-20.00%	0.2452	✓	1.29	2.4M	2022-02-16
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.851	20.2713	-2.78%	20.855	+0.02%	0.0337	✓	1.59	10.7M	2022-02-16
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	259.34	251.848	-2.89%	166.77	-35.69%	0.4575	✓	1.16	1.4M	2022-02-16
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002883	0.000027966	-3.00%	0.00003095	+7.35%	0.0484	✗	1.36	1.8M	2022-02-16
XEM	NEM	native	0.1148	0.11121	-3.13%	0.1142	-0.52%	0.0133	✓	1.02	49k	2022-02-16
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.188	4.0554	-3.17%	3.514	-16.09%	0.1737	✓	0.78	1.1M	2022-02-16
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.070851	0.068596	-3.18%	0.066472	-6.18%	0.0681	✓	0.94	511k	2022-02-16
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	23.8	23.0312	-3.23%	17.14	-27.98%	0.3397	✓	1.14	70.4M	2022-02-16
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10718	0.1037	-3.25%	0.09789	-8.67%	0.1013	✓	1.12	27k	2022-02-16
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	137.7719	133.2397	-3.29%	95.5515	-30.65%	0.3714	✓	1.00	489k	2022-02-16
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.13	7.8607	-3.31%	6.53	-19.68%	0.2235	✓	0.98	4.1M	2022-02-16
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5478	0.529299	-3.38%	0.4872	-11.06%	0.1304	✓	1.22	12.2M	2022-02-16
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0676	0.0653	-3.40%	0.0695	+2.81%	0.0234	✓	1.00	25.5M	2022-02-16
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.02	0.985118	-3.42%	1.05	+2.94%	0.0111	✓	1.92	1.5M	2022-02-16
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3888	0.375244	-3.49%	0.285	-26.70%	0.3304	✓	1.42	3.9M	2022-02-16
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	29.62	28.5499	-3.61%	22.08	-25.46%	0.3112	✓	1.39	34.3M	2022-02-16
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.77	7.4887	-3.62%	6.52	-16.09%	0.1629	✓	0.63	720k	2022-02-16
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0126	2.9009	-3.71%	2.2584	-25.04%	0.2942	✓	1.12	665k	2022-02-16
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.984	4.7935	-3.82%	4.803	-3.63%	0.0236	✓	0.66	469k	2022-02-16
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.07	2.9522	-3.84%	2.67	-13.03%	0.1382	✓	0.97	891k	2022-02-16
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.6879	7.3918	-3.85%	7.8678	+2.34%	0.0088	✓	1.38	263k	2022-02-16
XVG	Verge	native	0.01314	0.012625	-3.92%	0.01171	-10.88%	0.1235	✓	1.24	2.0M	2022-02-16
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1906	0.182969	-4.00%	0.1747	-8.34%	0.0729	✓	0.68	536k	2022-02-16
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01358	0.013026	-4.08%	0.00601	-55.74%	0.8686	✓	2.44	24.2M	2022-02-16
SOL	Solana	Solana	139.85	133.9636	-4.21%	101.94	-27.11%	0.3138	✓	1.04	152.8M	2022-02-16
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	28.92	27.7018	-4.21%	24.03	-16.91%	0.2002	✓	1.49	1.0M	2022-02-16
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	380.79	364.6667	-4.23%	334.55	-12.14%	0.1250	✓	1.00	6.6M	2022-02-16
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.96	7.62	-4.27%	6.76	-15.08%	0.1485	✓	0.74	682k	2022-02-16
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.25	2.1532	-4.30%	1.81	-19.56%	0.2139	✓	1.03	2.7M	2022-02-16
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04979	0.047633	-4.33%	0.04466	-10.30%	0.1054	✓	1.05	21k	2022-02-16
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.9968	6.6881	-4.41%	6.8827	-1.63%	0.0028	✓	0.81	4.1M	2022-02-16
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1616	1.1103	-4.42%	0.8933	-23.10%	0.2550	✓	0.96	23.2M	2022-02-16
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.391	1.3268	-4.61%	1.274	-8.41%	0.0935	✓	1.36	4.0M	2022-02-16
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.55	6.2409	-4.72%	5.47	-16.49%	0.1575	✓	0.66	564k	2022-02-16
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.89	7.5162	-4.74%	6.07	-23.07%	0.2482	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-16
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.35	1.2859	-4.75%	1.12	-17.04%	0.2020	✓	1.64	556k	2022-02-16
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1755	0.167129	-4.77%	0.1678	-4.39%	0.0308	✓	0.89	403k	2022-02-16
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.51	0.485419	-4.82%	0.373	-26.86%	0.3136	✓	1.29	1.8M	2022-02-16
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3415	1.2756	-4.92%	0.9791	-27.01%	0.3089	✓	1.14	30.5M	2022-02-16
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	77.06	73.2472	-4.95%	56.02	-27.30%	0.3411	✓	1.87	7.5M	2022-02-16
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.3	5.0308	-5.08%	4.87	-8.11%	0.0746	✓	1.08	2.1M	2022-02-16
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0163	0.963445	-5.20%	0.83537	-17.80%	0.2106	✓	1.74	896k	2022-02-16
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.1906	3.9693	-5.28%	3.6017	-14.05%	0.1463	✓	1.26	4.1M	2022-02-16
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.47	9.9112	-5.34%	10.78	+2.96%	0.0547	✓	0.75	808k	2022-02-16
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0533	0.050451	-5.34%	0.0335	-37.15%	0.4632	✓	1.38	1.4M	2022-02-16
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.98	4.7121	-5.38%	4.9	-1.61%	0.0069	✓	1.18	3.2M	2022-02-16
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08878	0.084003	-5.38%	0.08117	-8.57%	0.0628	✓	0.73	45k	2022-02-16
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.6027	1.5161	-5.40%	1.0833	-32.41%	0.3789	✓	1.10	97.1M	2022-02-16
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06638	0.06279	-5.41%	0.03198	-51.82%	0.7221	✓	1.22	13.3M	2022-02-16
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.95	26.4341	-5.42%	28.31	+1.29%	0.0420	✓	0.68	353k	2022-02-16
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.016	0.9599	-5.52%	0.787	-22.54%	0.2358	✓	0.96	2.2M	2022-02-16
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	86.68	81.7682	-5.67%	95.39	+10.05%	0.1101	✗	1.13	100.4M	2022-02-16
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04011	0.037834	-5.67%	0.03216	-19.82%	0.1972	✓	0.89	8.4M	2022-02-16
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	19.46	18.351	-5.70%	15.91	-18.24%	0.1721	✓	0.75	841k	2022-02-16
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1595	0.150308	-5.76%	0.1562	-2.07%	0.0096	✓	1.23	4.2M	2022-02-16
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.735	2.5774	-5.76%	2.452	-10.35%	0.0849	✓	0.90	25k	2022-02-16
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.03	14.1583	-5.80%	16.75	+11.44%	0.1418	✗	0.68	998k	2022-02-16
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07748	0.072958	-5.84%	0.05759	-25.67%	0.2922	✓	1.43	2.4M	2022-02-16
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0826	0.07777	-5.85%	0.0757	-8.35%	0.0684	✓	1.06	20k	2022-02-16
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.768	0.72272	-5.90%	0.539	-29.82%	0.3500	✓	1.45	8.0M	2022-02-16
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	76.55	72.0347	-5.90%	63.42	-17.15%	0.1696	✓	1.08	6.4M	2022-02-16
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	12.58	11.8332	-5.94%	8.24	-34.50%	0.3692	✓	0.19	2.6M	2022-02-16
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	44.38	41.7103	-6.02%	46.38	+4.51%	0.0645	✗	1.07	22.8M	2022-02-16
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.59	12.7641	-6.08%	11.78	-13.32%	0.1245	✓	1.14	2.9M	2022-02-16
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0079	1.8855	-6.10%	1.8241	-9.15%	0.0735	✓	1.04	89k	2022-02-16
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01652	0.015472	-6.34%	0.01389	-15.92%	0.1339	✓	0.67	24k	2022-02-16
DASH	Dash	Dash	135.73	126.9834	-6.44%	115.33	-15.03%	0.1418	✓	1.17	2.8M	2022-02-16
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	8.77	8.1946	-6.56%	6.08	-30.67%	0.3261	✓	0.71	995k	2022-02-16
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.246	1.1639	-6.59%	0.983	-21.11%	0.2217	✓	1.35	2.4M	2022-02-16
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.02786	0.025973	-6.77%	0.021773	-21.85%	0.2166	✓	1.03	5.7M	2022-02-16
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.312	0.290856	-6.78%	0.2693	-13.69%	0.1269	✓	1.28	2.1M	2022-02-16
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.0145	0.013497	-6.92%	0.01344	-7.31%	0.0545	✓	1.29	2.2M	2022-02-16
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0824	0.076643	-6.99%	0.09	+9.22%	0.1059	✗	1.40	990k	2022-02-16
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2267	1.139	-7.15%	1.4263	+16.27%	0.1840	✗	1.05	2.7M	2022-02-16
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.727776	0.675233	-7.22%	0.677091	-6.96%	0.0402	✓	1.10	2.4M	2022-02-16
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	39.15	36.2599	-7.38%	28.51	-27.18%	0.2781	✓	0.97	98.5M	2022-02-16
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	138.84	128.0812	-7.75%	125.58	-9.55%	0.0675	✓	1.23	10.6M	2022-02-16
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	151.19	139.3757	-7.81%	127.84	-15.44%	0.1386	✓	1.34	31.1M	2022-02-16
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.6018	1.4751	-7.91%	1.1915	-25.62%	0.2481	✓	0.89	445k	2022-02-16
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009954	0.000091654	-7.92%	0.00008539	-14.22%	0.1101	✓	1.01	6.5M	2022-02-16
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.359	6.7735	-7.96%	6.358	-13.60%	0.0915	✓	0.72	178k	2022-02-16
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6214	0.571681	-8.00%	0.602	-3.12%	0.0026	✓	1.39	1.5M	2022-02-16
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.53	3.2446	-8.09%	1.86	-47.31%	0.6062	✓	1.28	8.5M	2022-02-16
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4	3.6737	-8.16%	4.58	+14.50%	0.1846	✗	0.92	471k	2022-02-16
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6916	0.634424	-8.27%	0.5683	-17.83%	0.1592	✓	1.26	3.5M	2022-02-16
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01352	0.012386	-8.39%	0.01078	-20.27%	0.1773	✓	0.99	654k	2022-02-16
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.405	6.7813	-8.42%	7.454	+0.66%	0.0453	✓	1.27	271k	2022-02-16
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.054069	0.049482	-8.48%	0.056084	+3.73%	0.0794	✓	1.18	7.9M	2022-02-16
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0077	0.9222	-8.48%	0.6989	-30.64%	0.3321	✓	1.41	1.5M	2022-02-16
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.078972	0.072245	-8.52%	0.028284	-64.18%	0.9767	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-16
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	31	28.3377	-8.59%	32.25	+4.03%	0.0893	✓	1.03	2.9M	2022-02-16
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.38	8.5684	-8.65%	7.24	-22.81%	0.1681	✓	-0.01	1.4M	2022-02-16
HIVE	Hive	native	1.2561	1.1472	-8.67%	1.1125	-11.43%	0.0845	✓	1.38	3.7M	2022-02-16
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.3409	3.0507	-8.69%	3.9514	+18.27%	0.2126	✗	1.18	2.3M	2022-02-16
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9053	2.6489	-8.83%	3.2632	+12.32%	0.1685	✗	1.03	4.9M	2022-02-16
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.41	3.109	-8.83%	2.65	-22.29%	0.2010	✓	1.06	808k	2022-02-16
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	34.44	31.3849	-8.87%	28.63	-16.87%	0.1565	✓	1.66	2.7M	2022-02-16
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.325	2.1153	-9.02%	1.952	-16.04%	0.1237	✓	1.11	2.0M	2022-02-16
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.294	2.9965	-9.03%	2.809	-14.72%	0.1316	✓	1.72	1.1M	2022-02-16
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2569	0.233207	-9.22%	0.2202	-14.29%	0.1086	✓	1.32	3.9M	2022-02-16
ZEN	Horizen	Base	53.27	48.2551	-9.41%	40.62	-23.75%	0.2272	✓	1.41	642k	2022-02-16
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3204	0.289786	-9.56%	0.3067	-4.28%	0.0165	✓	1.03	397k	2022-02-16
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.36	3.0375	-9.60%	1.86	-44.64%	0.5390	✓	1.25	2.9M	2022-02-16
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.6076	1.4529	-9.62%	2.2822	+41.96%	0.4184	✗	0.85	1.1M	2022-02-16
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1064	0.096059	-9.72%	0.0851	-20.02%	0.1650	✓	1.13	269k	2022-02-16
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		12.477	11.2235	-10.05%	8.239	-33.97%	0.3139	✓	0.12	44k	2022-02-16
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.9802	0.877302	-10.50%	1.6305	+66.34%	0.5784	✗	1.06	108k	2022-02-16
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.195	3.7385	-10.88%	3.7402	-10.84%	0.0265	✓	0.69	2,257	2022-02-16
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6191	0.54877	-11.36%	0.4754	-23.21%	0.1972	✓	1.38	2.7M	2022-02-16
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.2731	5.5343	-11.78%	4.8292	-23.02%	0.1817	✓	1.17	457k	2022-02-16
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20625	0.18086	-12.31%	0.17624	-14.55%	0.0865	✓	1.56	6,350	2022-02-16
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.9432	0.817798	-13.30%	0.4482	-52.48%	0.6696	✓	1.75	46.2M	2022-02-16

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.