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2022-01-11 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0048
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.78%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
84.2%
in alpha space · 82.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.81%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UNIUniswapEthereum15.9816.1434+1.02%11.41-28.60%0.3699✗1.2713.1M2022-02-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1537220.152992-0.48%0.151631-1.36%0.0286✓1.105.1M2022-02-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0186970.018559-0.74%0.017169-8.17%0.0999✓1.232.5M2022-02-10
XMRMoneroMonero193.01191.1407-0.97%179.36-7.07%0.0810✓0.973.0M2022-02-10
AAVEAaveEthereum213.29210.9559-1.09%175.4-17.76%0.2048✓1.1317.6M2022-02-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,770.2042,185.78-1.37%43,566.60+1.86%0.0146✗0.9814k2022-02-10
COMPCompoundEthereum188.96186.3664-1.37%132.68-29.78%0.3601✓1.13161k2022-02-10
SUSHISushiEthereum6.996.8893-1.44%4.41-36.91%0.4693✓1.2918.2M2022-02-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV110.22108.5655-1.50%98.35-10.77%0.1156✓0.942.6M2022-02-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.73233.6744-1.55%6.1336+64.34%0.5139✗-0.08371k2022-02-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3610.355346-1.57%0.281-22.16%0.2477✓0.7239k2022-02-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin28.8928.4256-1.61%23.14-19.90%0.2244✓1.0418.5M2022-02-10
TRXTRONTron0.0649340.063869-1.64%0.068608+5.66%0.0548✗0.93552k2022-02-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,753.4442,003.04-1.76%43,527.71+1.81%0.0177✗1.00754.4M2022-02-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8183.749-1.81%3.241-15.11%0.1581✓0.70526k2022-02-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.861.8259-1.83%1.719-7.58%0.0808✓1.142.3M2022-02-10
IMXImmutableEthereum3.613.5438-1.83%2.59-28.25%0.3380✓1.362.4M2022-02-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.5525.0603-1.92%20.51-19.73%0.2235✓1.2970.4M2022-02-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.93890.919538-2.06%0.6635-29.33%0.3430✓0.933.1M2022-02-10
XLMStellarStellar0.2631770.257601-2.12%0.23172-11.95%0.1241✓1.0124.9M2022-02-10
ETHEthereumEthereum3,240.833,167.20-2.27%3,074.85-5.12%0.0483✓1.04591.9M2022-02-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027620.000026985-2.30%0.00003081+11.55%0.1102✗1.241.7M2022-02-10
XTZTezosTezos4.17524.0786-2.31%4.1273-1.15%0.0120✓1.334.6M2022-02-10
QNTQuantEthereum169.57165.2752-2.53%140.08-17.39%0.1821✓0.937.5M2022-02-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.82.7279-2.57%2.16-22.86%0.2569✓1.303.2M2022-02-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,768.9631,913.27-2.61%24,454.91-25.37%0.2779✓0.6526.4M2022-02-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.932.8516-2.68%2.07-29.35%0.3418✓1.193.2M2022-02-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.104960.102134-2.69%0.10255-2.30%0.0159✓1.1123k2022-02-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.960.933952-2.71%1+4.17%0.0372✗1.731.6M2022-02-10
QTUMQtumQtum7.5217.3094-2.81%7.1425-5.03%0.0475✓1.36273k2022-02-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum26.7525.9963-2.82%18.94-29.20%0.3496✓1.835.0M2022-02-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana87.7665-2.92%6.86-14.25%0.1352✓0.62714k2022-02-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3981.3568-2.94%1.323-5.36%0.0493✓1.345.2M2022-02-10
NANOnanopayBase3.03122.9419-2.95%2.3689-21.85%0.2360✓1.08699k2022-02-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.047650.046242-2.95%0.04451-6.59%0.0574✓1.0717k2022-02-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8144.6706-2.98%4.61-4.24%0.0245✓0.64481k2022-02-10
XEMNEMnative0.11450.110998-3.06%0.1139-0.52%0.0077✓1.0167k2022-02-10
KSMKusamaHydration260.77252.296-3.25%179.15-31.30%0.3628✓1.141.3M2022-02-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.614.4566-3.33%3.2-30.59%0.3560✓1.3830.4M2022-02-10
KCSKuCoinnative19.37818.7271-3.36%20.473+5.65%0.0605✗1.5913.0M2022-02-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.014580.01409-3.36%0.00696-52.26%0.7477✓2.3626.8M2022-02-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash369.84357.174-3.42%341.1-7.77%0.0639✓0.998.5M2022-02-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0770.074331-3.47%0.0744-3.38%0.0170✓1.0030.6M2022-02-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.152.0751-3.49%1.8-16.28%0.1609✓1.043.3M2022-02-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.14710.14197-3.49%0.1163-20.94%0.2218✓1.242.1M2022-02-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3824.2275-3.53%3.584-18.21%0.1791✓0.781.1M2022-02-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.361.3116-3.56%1.22-10.29%0.1019✓1.64738k2022-02-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.786.5384-3.56%5.75-15.19%0.1401✓0.65645k2022-02-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17780.171447-3.57%0.1649-7.26%0.0550✓0.89463k2022-02-10
SOLSolanaSolana140.27135.1571-3.65%106.25-24.25%0.2589✓1.02194.0M2022-02-10
ADACardanoCardano1.18791.143-3.78%1.1515-3.06%0.0119✓1.0895.6M2022-02-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.17.7817-3.93%6.84-15.56%0.1423✓0.74741k2022-02-10
GTGateEthereum6.41296.1582-3.97%6.9043+7.66%0.1001✗0.793.7M2022-02-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.070760.06789-4.06%0.0397-43.89%0.5582✓1.2116.9M2022-02-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0760.072914-4.06%0.076+0.00%0.0227✓1.0519k2022-02-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.17684.0016-4.19%3.5527-14.94%0.1420✓1.284.2M2022-02-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.16050.153754-4.20%0.1482-7.66%0.0583✓1.204.2M2022-02-10
LRCLoopringEthereum1.49151.4282-4.25%1.0404-30.24%0.3505✓1.881.4M2022-02-10
XYMSymbolnative0.20620.197257-4.34%0.1806-12.42%0.1007✓0.69428k2022-02-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum26.625.4426-4.35%17.51-34.17%0.3938✓1.1270.9M2022-02-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.56910.543796-4.45%0.4615-18.91%0.1857✓1.2012.5M2022-02-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05740.054793-4.54%0.035-39.02%0.4723✓1.341.5M2022-02-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum72.7569.4174-4.58%63.35-12.92%0.1103✓1.056.4M2022-02-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.33630.320876-4.59%0.3093-8.03%0.0625✓1.443.8M2022-02-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.23.0532-4.59%2.7-15.62%0.1402✓0.96977k2022-02-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.1411.0886-4.60%0.9488-16.84%0.1545✓0.9523.2M2022-02-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum29.4328.0534-4.68%23.69-19.50%0.1953✓1.461.0M2022-02-10
XVGVergenative0.013860.01321-4.69%0.01219-12.05%0.1020✓1.212.1M2022-02-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0450.99432-4.85%0.845-19.14%0.1795✓0.942.2M2022-02-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum34.4532.7772-4.86%21.59-37.33%0.4422✓1.3729.9M2022-02-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.44671.3761-4.88%0.9822-32.11%0.3571✓1.1132.1M2022-02-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.31010.294471-5.04%0.2774-10.54%0.0823✓1.262.2M2022-02-10
RADRadworksEthereum8.017.6005-5.11%5.69-28.96%0.3055✓0.891.1M2022-02-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.199.6641-5.16%10.6+4.02%0.0790✗0.75994k2022-02-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5160.48905-5.22%0.408-20.93%0.2040✓1.272.1M2022-02-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.091340.08656-5.23%0.0828-9.35%0.0570✓0.7052k2022-02-10
XVSVenusEthereum13.7112.9824-5.31%9.7-29.25%0.3118✓1.133.3M2022-02-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2731.2054-5.31%1.029-19.17%0.1821✓1.332.9M2022-02-10
BANDBandEthereum5.144.864-5.37%3.9-24.12%0.2402✓1.082.2M2022-02-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.4226.8841-5.40%28.06-1.27%0.0308✓0.67363k2022-02-10
API3Api3Ethereum3.543.345-5.51%4.48+26.55%0.2799✗0.68486k2022-02-10
CBKCobakEthereum2.7652.6123-5.52%2.505-9.40%0.0580✓0.8929k2022-02-10
LSKLiskEthereum2.10251.9858-5.55%1.8836-10.42%0.0715✓1.0483k2022-02-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.2310.6063-5.55%8.52-24.13%0.2219✓0.162.8M2022-02-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.05480.996035-5.57%0.88264-16.32%0.1520✓1.741.0M2022-02-10
DODODODOEthereum0.7470.705143-5.60%0.562-24.77%0.2522✓1.417.7M2022-02-10
LUNATerraTerra 273.5769.417-5.64%52.32-28.88%0.3007✓1.007.4M2022-02-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.7813.9329-5.73%18.01+21.85%0.2448✗0.661.1M2022-02-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche89.6684.4566-5.80%91.18+1.70%0.0569✓1.10115.7M2022-02-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016440.015485-5.81%0.01369-16.73%0.1345✓0.6327k2022-02-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.0946.6778-5.87%7.756+9.33%0.1273✗1.25271k2022-02-10
XECeCashnative0.000093560.000087988-5.96%0.0000925-1.13%0.0322✓0.996.7M2022-02-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.041840.039185-6.34%0.03045-27.22%0.2681✓0.888.4M2022-02-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08240.077099-6.43%0.1041+26.33%0.2754✗1.381.2M2022-02-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.079760.074623-6.44%0.05799-27.29%0.2778✓1.432.6M2022-02-10
UOSUltraEthereum1.23651.1561-6.50%1.2095-2.18%0.0269✓1.023.3M2022-02-10
DASHDashDash141.85132.3569-6.69%111.66-21.28%0.1914✓1.192.2M2022-02-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.084.735-6.79%5.23+2.95%0.0790✗1.143.3M2022-02-10
GITCOINGITCOIN11.20310.4264-6.93%8.495-24.17%0.2067✓0.1056k2022-02-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0292650.027236-6.93%0.023319-20.32%0.1738✓1.036.3M2022-02-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.6927.626-6.95%34.39+15.83%0.2009✗1.013.2M2022-02-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.3918.9449-7.09%16.26-20.26%0.1659✓0.731.0M2022-02-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.2217.6256-7.24%6.466-21.35%0.1774✓0.69221k2022-02-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.65110.603266-7.35%0.6038-7.26%0.0212✓1.234.4M2022-02-10
UMAUMAEthereum8.658.0078-7.42%6.28-27.40%0.2603✓0.964.4M2022-02-10
FTTFTXEthereum39.7836.8163-7.45%44.55+11.99%0.1719✗1.0520.7M2022-02-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin131.67121.6149-7.64%134.59+2.22%0.0775✓1.3335.0M2022-02-10
MOVRMoonriverBase165.565152.8317-7.69%94.3677-43.00%0.4999✓0.99540k2022-02-10
ZECZcashZcash141.38130.4665-7.72%124.85-11.69%0.0664✓1.2510.9M2022-02-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.678.9227-7.73%6.43-33.51%0.3397✓0.671.2M2022-02-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7186320.662879-7.76%0.677039-5.79%0.0015✓1.092.6M2022-02-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014750.013593-7.84%0.01337-9.36%0.0396✓1.282.2M2022-02-10
SCSiacoinnative0.01350.012428-7.94%0.01138-15.70%0.1055✓0.97756k2022-02-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.3284.8915-8.19%5.0692-4.86%0.0152✓1.14446k2022-02-10
STORJStorjEthereum1.59241.4615-8.22%1.2595-20.91%0.1642✓0.86610k2022-02-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62610.57433-8.27%0.5753-8.11%0.0244✓1.45736k2022-02-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.7135.5014-8.29%29.1-24.83%0.2153✓0.9265.3M2022-02-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3112.1103-8.69%1.987-14.02%0.0794✓1.071.9M2022-02-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.738.8836-8.70%7.67-21.17%0.1460✓-0.051.6M2022-02-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.18572.9069-8.75%3.654+14.70%0.2070✗1.212.5M2022-02-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0864230.078833-8.78%0.035501-58.92%0.8157✓1.002.8M2022-02-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.573.2553-8.82%2.07-42.02%0.4754✓1.269.3M2022-02-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.84243.4994-8.93%3.5386-7.91%0.0013✓0.693,1162022-02-10
ZENHorizenBase56.1150.8194-9.43%45.02-19.76%0.1465✓1.41736k2022-02-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.89210.807921-9.44%1.3202+47.99%0.4764✗0.82122k2022-02-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0649250.05873-9.54%0.050395-22.38%0.1746✓1.207.3M2022-02-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.57990.524238-9.60%0.5118-11.74%0.0482✓1.352.7M2022-02-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.0250.926012-9.66%0.7205-29.71%0.2759✓1.391.6M2022-02-10
MINAMina Protocolnative3.453.112-9.80%2.76-20.00%0.1385✓1.03715k2022-02-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.173030.156078-9.80%0.2098+21.25%0.2682✗1.545,3602022-02-10
MANADecentralandEthereum2.93122.6404-9.92%3.1401+7.13%0.1554✗1.005.4M2022-02-10
HIVEHivenative1.31021.1801-9.93%1.1096-15.31%0.0861✓1.364.5M2022-02-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.32280.290138-10.12%0.3045-5.67%0.0303✓1.00397k2022-02-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11020.098986-10.18%0.0919-16.61%0.0941✓1.10304k2022-02-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.26410.236809-10.33%0.2242-15.11%0.0781✓1.304.6M2022-02-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.37091.2281-10.42%1.874+36.70%0.4072✗0.86922k2022-02-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.8432.9233-10.63%33.86-8.09%0.0014✓1.642.8M2022-02-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7663.3389-11.34%2.821-25.09%0.2009✓1.801.2M2022-02-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.68260.594319-12.93%0.5138-24.73%0.1772✓1.7638.7M2022-02-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.