2022-01-11 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0035

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-0.79%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

84.2%

in alpha space · 82.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+1.81%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6826	0.594334	-12.93%	0.5138	-24.73%	0.1777	✓	1.79	38.7M	2022-02-10
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.766	3.3389	-11.34%	2.821	-25.09%	0.2009	✓	1.80	1.2M	2022-02-10
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	36.84	32.9221	-10.63%	33.86	-8.09%	0.0014	✓	1.64	2.8M	2022-02-10
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3709	1.2279	-10.43%	1.874	+36.70%	0.4072	✗	0.87	922k	2022-02-10
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2641	0.236831	-10.33%	0.2242	-15.11%	0.0785	✓	1.32	4.6M	2022-02-10
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1102	0.098986	-10.18%	0.0919	-16.61%	0.0941	✓	1.10	304k	2022-02-10
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3228	0.290138	-10.12%	0.3045	-5.67%	0.0303	✓	1.00	397k	2022-02-10
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3102	1.1801	-9.93%	1.1096	-15.31%	0.0865	✓	1.39	4.5M	2022-02-10
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9312	2.6418	-9.87%	3.1401	+7.13%	0.1549	✗	1.00	5.4M	2022-02-10
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17303	0.156078	-9.80%	0.2098	+21.25%	0.2678	✗	1.56	5,360	2022-02-10
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.45	3.112	-9.80%	2.76	-20.00%	0.1390	✓	1.05	715k	2022-02-10
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.025	0.926012	-9.66%	0.7205	-29.71%	0.2759	✓	1.39	1.6M	2022-02-10
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5799	0.524066	-9.63%	0.5118	-11.74%	0.0480	✓	1.36	2.7M	2022-02-10
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.064925	0.058724	-9.55%	0.050395	-22.38%	0.1751	✓	1.23	7.3M	2022-02-10
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8921	0.807921	-9.44%	1.3202	+47.99%	0.4764	✗	0.82	122k	2022-02-10
ZEN	Horizen	Base	56.11	50.8244	-9.42%	45.02	-19.76%	0.1481	✓	1.49	736k	2022-02-10
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8424	3.4992	-8.93%	3.5386	-7.91%	0.0023	✓	0.75	3,116	2022-02-10
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.57	3.2553	-8.82%	2.07	-42.02%	0.4754	✓	1.26	9.3M	2022-02-10
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.086423	0.078833	-8.78%	0.035501	-58.92%	0.8157	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-10
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1857	2.9069	-8.75%	3.654	+14.70%	0.2070	✗	1.21	2.5M	2022-02-10
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.73	8.8834	-8.70%	7.67	-21.17%	0.1459	✓	-0.06	1.6M	2022-02-10
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.311	2.1117	-8.62%	1.987	-14.02%	0.0804	✓	1.09	1.9M	2022-02-10
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	38.71	35.5024	-8.29%	29.1	-24.83%	0.2153	✓	0.92	65.3M	2022-02-10
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6261	0.57433	-8.27%	0.5753	-8.11%	0.0244	✓	1.45	736k	2022-02-10
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.328	4.8912	-8.20%	5.0692	-4.86%	0.0142	✓	1.20	446k	2022-02-10
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5924	1.4621	-8.18%	1.2595	-20.91%	0.1646	✓	0.86	610k	2022-02-10
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0135	0.01243	-7.93%	0.01138	-15.70%	0.1059	✓	0.98	756k	2022-02-10
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01475	0.013593	-7.84%	0.01337	-9.36%	0.0400	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-02-10
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.718632	0.662775	-7.77%	0.677039	-5.79%	0.0008	✓	1.14	2.6M	2022-02-10
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.67	8.9254	-7.70%	6.43	-33.51%	0.3402	✓	0.68	1.2M	2022-02-10
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	165.565	152.8343	-7.69%	94.3677	-43.00%	0.5024	✓	1.13	540k	2022-02-10
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	141.38	130.5132	-7.69%	124.85	-11.69%	0.0681	✓	1.32	10.9M	2022-02-10
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	131.67	121.6139	-7.64%	134.59	+2.22%	0.0772	✓	1.35	35.0M	2022-02-10
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.65	8.0021	-7.49%	6.28	-27.40%	0.2595	✓	0.95	4.4M	2022-02-10
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	39.78	36.8325	-7.41%	44.55	+11.99%	0.1706	✗	1.10	20.7M	2022-02-10
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6511	0.603283	-7.34%	0.6038	-7.26%	0.0216	✓	1.25	4.4M	2022-02-10
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.221	7.6253	-7.25%	6.466	-21.35%	0.1768	✓	0.66	221k	2022-02-10
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.39	18.9429	-7.10%	16.26	-20.26%	0.1714	✓	1.04	1.0M	2022-02-10
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.69	27.6257	-6.95%	34.39	+15.83%	0.2002	✗	1.05	3.2M	2022-02-10
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.203	10.4265	-6.93%	8.495	-24.17%	0.2061	✓	0.07	56k	2022-02-10
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.029265	0.027238	-6.93%	0.023319	-20.32%	0.1738	✓	1.03	6.3M	2022-02-10
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.08	4.7349	-6.79%	5.23	+2.95%	0.0787	✗	1.15	3.3M	2022-02-10
DASH	Dash	Dash	141.85	132.3552	-6.69%	111.66	-21.28%	0.1920	✓	1.22	2.2M	2022-02-10
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2365	1.1564	-6.48%	1.2095	-2.18%	0.0265	✓	1.02	3.3M	2022-02-10
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07976	0.074623	-6.44%	0.05799	-27.29%	0.2778	✓	1.43	2.6M	2022-02-10
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0824	0.077099	-6.43%	0.1041	+26.33%	0.2756	✗	1.38	1.2M	2022-02-10
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04184	0.039166	-6.39%	0.03045	-27.22%	0.2680	✓	0.91	8.4M	2022-02-10
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009356	0.000087986	-5.96%	0.0000925	-1.13%	0.0321	✓	1.00	6.7M	2022-02-10
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.094	6.6749	-5.91%	7.756	+9.33%	0.1270	✗	1.29	271k	2022-02-10
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01644	0.015485	-5.81%	0.01369	-16.73%	0.1357	✓	0.70	27k	2022-02-10
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	89.66	84.4799	-5.78%	91.18	+1.70%	0.0555	✓	1.16	115.7M	2022-02-10
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.78	13.9327	-5.73%	18.01	+21.85%	0.2447	✗	0.67	1.1M	2022-02-10
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	73.57	69.417	-5.64%	52.32	-28.88%	0.3007	✓	1.00	7.4M	2022-02-10
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.747	0.705143	-5.60%	0.562	-24.77%	0.2528	✓	1.44	7.7M	2022-02-10
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.1025	1.9859	-5.55%	1.8836	-10.42%	0.0729	✓	1.12	83k	2022-02-10
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.765	2.6124	-5.52%	2.505	-9.40%	0.0582	✓	0.90	29k	2022-02-10
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.54	3.345	-5.51%	4.48	+26.55%	0.2799	✗	0.68	486k	2022-02-10
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0548	0.997286	-5.45%	0.88264	-16.32%	0.1540	✓	1.78	1.0M	2022-02-10
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	11.23	10.619	-5.44%	8.52	-24.13%	0.2225	✓	0.13	2.8M	2022-02-10
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.42	26.884	-5.40%	28.06	-1.27%	0.0302	✓	0.70	363k	2022-02-10
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.14	4.8639	-5.37%	3.9	-24.12%	0.2408	✓	1.11	2.2M	2022-02-10
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.273	1.2053	-5.31%	1.029	-19.17%	0.1822	✓	1.34	2.9M	2022-02-10
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.71	12.9819	-5.31%	9.7	-29.25%	0.3119	✓	1.14	3.3M	2022-02-10
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09134	0.086568	-5.22%	0.0828	-9.35%	0.0570	✓	0.70	52k	2022-02-10
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.516	0.489124	-5.21%	0.408	-20.93%	0.2045	✓	1.29	2.1M	2022-02-10
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.19	9.6641	-5.16%	10.6	+4.02%	0.0790	✗	0.75	994k	2022-02-10
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.01	7.5999	-5.12%	5.69	-28.96%	0.3055	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-10
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3101	0.294471	-5.04%	0.2774	-10.54%	0.0824	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-10
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.4467	1.3763	-4.87%	0.9822	-32.11%	0.3580	✓	1.15	32.1M	2022-02-10
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.45	32.775	-4.86%	21.59	-37.33%	0.4425	✓	1.39	29.9M	2022-02-10
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.045	0.99433	-4.85%	0.845	-19.14%	0.1799	✓	0.95	2.2M	2022-02-10
XVG	Verge	native	0.01386	0.01321	-4.69%	0.01219	-12.05%	0.1022	✓	1.22	2.1M	2022-02-10
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	29.43	28.0525	-4.68%	23.69	-19.50%	0.1964	✓	1.52	1.0M	2022-02-10
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3363	0.320748	-4.62%	0.3093	-8.03%	0.0633	✓	1.50	3.8M	2022-02-10
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.141	1.0885	-4.60%	0.9488	-16.84%	0.1549	✓	0.98	23.2M	2022-02-10
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	72.75	69.4139	-4.59%	63.35	-12.92%	0.1102	✓	1.05	6.4M	2022-02-10
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.2	3.0536	-4.57%	2.7	-15.62%	0.1408	✓	0.98	977k	2022-02-10
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0574	0.054793	-4.54%	0.035	-39.02%	0.4723	✓	1.34	1.5M	2022-02-10
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5691	0.543801	-4.45%	0.4615	-18.91%	0.1875	✓	1.30	12.5M	2022-02-10
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	26.6	25.4411	-4.36%	17.51	-34.17%	0.3949	✓	1.19	70.9M	2022-02-10
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2062	0.197289	-4.32%	0.1806	-12.42%	0.1007	✓	0.69	428k	2022-02-10
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.4915	1.4284	-4.23%	1.0404	-30.24%	0.3512	✓	1.91	1.4M	2022-02-10
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1605	0.153755	-4.20%	0.1482	-7.66%	0.0589	✓	1.23	4.2M	2022-02-10
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.1768	4.0016	-4.19%	3.5527	-14.94%	0.1420	✓	1.28	4.2M	2022-02-10
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.076	0.072894	-4.09%	0.076	+0.00%	0.0223	✓	1.08	19k	2022-02-10
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07076	0.067895	-4.05%	0.0397	-43.89%	0.5586	✓	1.22	16.9M	2022-02-10
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4129	6.1582	-3.97%	6.9043	+7.66%	0.0992	✗	0.85	3.7M	2022-02-10
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.1	7.7836	-3.91%	6.84	-15.56%	0.1431	✓	0.77	741k	2022-02-10
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1879	1.143	-3.78%	1.1515	-3.06%	0.0124	✓	1.11	95.6M	2022-02-10
SOL	Solana	Solana	140.27	135.1565	-3.65%	106.25	-24.25%	0.2606	✓	1.11	194.0M	2022-02-10
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1778	0.171447	-3.57%	0.1649	-7.26%	0.0553	✓	0.91	463k	2022-02-10
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.78	6.5384	-3.56%	5.75	-15.19%	0.1402	✓	0.65	645k	2022-02-10
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.36	1.3117	-3.55%	1.22	-10.29%	0.1025	✓	1.67	738k	2022-02-10
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.382	4.2288	-3.50%	3.584	-18.21%	0.1797	✓	0.79	1.1M	2022-02-10
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1471	0.14197	-3.49%	0.1163	-20.94%	0.2218	✓	1.24	2.1M	2022-02-10
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.15	2.0752	-3.48%	1.8	-16.28%	0.1617	✓	1.08	3.3M	2022-02-10
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.077	0.074331	-3.47%	0.0744	-3.38%	0.0170	✓	1.00	30.6M	2022-02-10
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	369.84	357.1767	-3.42%	341.1	-7.77%	0.0642	✓	1.01	8.5M	2022-02-10
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01458	0.01409	-3.36%	0.00696	-52.26%	0.7477	✓	2.36	26.8M	2022-02-10
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.61	4.4555	-3.35%	3.2	-30.59%	0.3562	✓	1.41	30.4M	2022-02-10
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.378	18.7303	-3.34%	20.473	+5.65%	0.0600	✗	1.61	13.0M	2022-02-10
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	260.77	252.303	-3.25%	179.15	-31.30%	0.3634	✓	1.17	1.3M	2022-02-10
XEM	NEM	native	0.1145	0.110994	-3.06%	0.1139	-0.52%	0.0070	✓	1.05	67k	2022-02-10
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.814	4.6708	-2.97%	4.61	-4.24%	0.0248	✓	0.65	481k	2022-02-10
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04765	0.046236	-2.97%	0.04451	-6.59%	0.0582	✓	1.12	17k	2022-02-10
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.398	1.3567	-2.95%	1.323	-5.36%	0.0495	✓	1.36	5.2M	2022-02-10
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0312	2.9426	-2.92%	2.3689	-21.85%	0.2366	✓	1.10	699k	2022-02-10
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8	7.7664	-2.92%	6.86	-14.25%	0.1353	✓	0.62	714k	2022-02-10
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	26.75	25.9963	-2.82%	18.94	-29.20%	0.3496	✓	1.83	5.0M	2022-02-10
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.521	7.3103	-2.80%	7.1425	-5.03%	0.0488	✓	1.42	273k	2022-02-10
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.96	0.933952	-2.71%	1	+4.17%	0.0372	✗	1.73	1.6M	2022-02-10
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10496	0.10213	-2.70%	0.10255	-2.30%	0.0163	✓	1.14	23k	2022-02-10
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.93	2.8516	-2.68%	2.07	-29.35%	0.3418	✓	1.19	3.2M	2022-02-10
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,768.96	31,912.92	-2.61%	24,454.91	-25.37%	0.2777	✓	0.64	26.4M	2022-02-10
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.8	2.728	-2.57%	2.16	-22.86%	0.2572	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-02-10
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	169.57	165.2736	-2.53%	140.08	-17.39%	0.1824	✓	0.95	7.5M	2022-02-10
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.1752	4.0789	-2.31%	4.1273	-1.15%	0.0124	✓	1.35	4.6M	2022-02-10
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002762	0.000026985	-2.30%	0.00003081	+11.55%	0.1102	✗	1.24	1.7M	2022-02-10
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,240.83	3,167.20	-2.27%	3,074.85	-5.12%	0.0487	✓	1.06	591.9M	2022-02-10
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.263177	0.257594	-2.12%	0.23172	-11.95%	0.1242	✓	1.02	24.9M	2022-02-10
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9389	0.91956	-2.06%	0.6635	-29.33%	0.3424	✓	0.89	3.1M	2022-02-10
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	25.55	25.0603	-1.92%	20.51	-19.73%	0.2240	✓	1.32	70.4M	2022-02-10
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.61	3.5438	-1.83%	2.59	-28.25%	0.3380	✓	1.36	2.4M	2022-02-10
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.86	1.826	-1.83%	1.719	-7.58%	0.0810	✓	1.15	2.3M	2022-02-10
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.818	3.749	-1.81%	3.241	-15.11%	0.1581	✓	0.70	526k	2022-02-10
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,753.44	42,002.89	-1.76%	43,527.71	+1.81%	0.0177	✗	1.00	754.4M	2022-02-10
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.064934	0.063866	-1.64%	0.068608	+5.66%	0.0546	✗	0.95	552k	2022-02-10
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.89	28.4255	-1.61%	23.14	-19.90%	0.2246	✓	1.05	18.5M	2022-02-10
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.361	0.355347	-1.57%	0.281	-22.16%	0.2479	✓	0.73	39k	2022-02-10
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7323	3.6744	-1.55%	6.1336	+64.34%	0.5138	✗	-0.08	371k	2022-02-10
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		110.22	108.5662	-1.50%	98.35	-10.77%	0.1159	✓	0.95	2.6M	2022-02-10
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.99	6.8892	-1.44%	4.41	-36.91%	0.4696	✓	1.31	18.2M	2022-02-10
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,770.20	42,165.25	-1.41%	43,566.60	+1.86%	0.0150	✗	0.98	14k	2022-02-10
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	188.96	186.3695	-1.37%	132.68	-29.78%	0.3607	✓	1.17	161k	2022-02-10
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	213.29	210.9479	-1.10%	175.4	-17.76%	0.2055	✓	1.17	17.6M	2022-02-10
XMR	Monero	Monero	193.01	191.1183	-0.98%	179.36	-7.07%	0.0821	✓	1.03	3.0M	2022-02-10
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018697	0.018563	-0.72%	0.017169	-8.17%	0.0999	✓	1.22	2.5M	2022-02-10
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.153722	0.152987	-0.48%	0.151631	-1.36%	0.0288	✓	1.11	5.1M	2022-02-10
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.98	16.1431	+1.02%	11.41	-28.60%	0.3703	✗	1.30	13.1M	2022-02-10

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.