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2022-01-09 · +1d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1695
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.00%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
89.9%
in alpha space · 91.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.13%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.04741.0502+0.27%0.9491-9.39%0.1001✗0.913.4M2022-01-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0150.015007+0.05%0.01395-7.00%0.0700✗2.3927.1M2022-01-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV108.94108.9545+0.01%105.99-2.71%0.0264✗0.952.6M2022-01-10
UNIUniswapEthereum15.7915.7916+0.01%15.11-4.31%0.0425✗1.2913.1M2022-01-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum27.9827.982+0.01%25.38-9.29%0.0953✗1.845.4M2022-01-10
AAVEAaveEthereum209.53209.5111-0.01%199.9-4.60%0.0455✓1.1617.6M2022-01-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1504830.150458-0.02%0.143133-4.88%0.0485✓1.094.7M2022-01-10
COMPCompoundEthereum193.57193.5336-0.02%182.25-5.85%0.0586✓1.16195k2022-01-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0189730.018968-0.03%0.018158-4.30%0.0421✓1.222.5M2022-01-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.361.3592-0.06%1.327-2.43%0.0223✓1.355.2M2022-01-10
XYMSymbolnative0.18380.183687-0.06%0.1815-1.25%0.0112✓0.65428k2022-01-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.556.5448-0.08%6.41-2.14%0.0200✓0.64674k2022-01-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin30.1830.1559-0.08%28.14-6.76%0.0679✓1.0520.1M2022-01-10
IMXImmutableEthereum3.763.7569-0.08%3.79+0.80%0.0106✗1.432.4M2022-01-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3590.358688-0.09%0.343-4.46%0.0438✓0.7238k2022-01-10
XMRMoneroMonero191190.828-0.09%182.5-4.45%0.0433✓1.032.9M2022-01-10
SUSHISushiEthereum6.936.9238-0.09%6.56-5.34%0.0523✓1.3018.2M2022-01-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.773.7664-0.09%3.579-5.07%0.0502✓0.68514k2022-01-10
ETHEthereumEthereum3,151.663,148.07-0.11%3,083.51-2.16%0.0194✓1.06591.9M2022-01-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6174.611-0.13%4.513-2.25%0.0207✓0.64481k2022-01-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028280.000028241-0.14%0.0000267-5.59%0.0545✓1.241.7M2022-01-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.6324.5951-0.14%23.72-3.69%0.0346✓1.3071.0M2022-01-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,503.1042,441.90-0.14%41,624.60-2.07%0.0182✓0.9810k2022-01-10
NANOnanopayBase3.00733.0029-0.15%2.8841-4.10%0.0390✓1.10699k2022-01-10
XEMNEMnative0.11520.115022-0.15%0.1116-3.12%0.0289✓1.0567k2022-01-10
XLMStellarStellar0.2611850.26078-0.16%0.253061-3.11%0.0288✓1.0224.0M2022-01-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.847.8278-0.16%7.57-3.44%0.0327✓0.61760k2022-01-10
KSMKusamaHydration246.6246.2048-0.16%242.17-1.80%0.0151✓1.151.3M2022-01-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.891.8868-0.17%1.785-5.56%0.0540✓1.152.4M2022-01-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.011.0083-0.17%0.94-6.93%0.0679✓1.761.6M2022-01-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum71.8971.7656-0.17%68.4-4.85%0.0467✓1.036.3M2022-01-10
ADACardanoCardano1.17071.1687-0.17%1.1235-4.03%0.0380✓1.1095.6M2022-01-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17590.175592-0.18%0.1739-1.14%0.0085✓0.91484k2022-01-10
XTZTezosTezos4.21644.2089-0.18%4.0324-4.36%0.0412✓1.354.6M2022-01-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.494.482-0.18%4.32-3.79%0.0351✓1.4030.4M2022-01-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.0184.0105-0.19%3.8683-3.73%0.0345✓1.264.2M2022-01-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,876.5241,796.35-0.19%41,824.07-0.13%0.0019✗1.00696.0M2022-01-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash376.94376.218-0.19%363.56-3.55%0.0330✓1.028.5M2022-01-10
QNTQuantEthereum170.38170.0488-0.19%166.33-2.38%0.0209✓0.957.6M2022-01-10
QTUMQtumQtum7.66517.6502-0.19%7.2356-5.60%0.0539✓1.42263k2022-01-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76523.7578-0.20%3.7419-0.62%0.0043✓-0.08364k2022-01-10
TRXTRONTron0.0661210.065987-0.20%0.063485-3.99%0.0375✓0.95552k2022-01-10
SOLSolanaSolana140.83140.5441-0.20%135.89-3.51%0.0323✓1.11198.8M2022-01-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8232.8172-0.20%2.704-4.22%0.0391✓1.561.2M2022-01-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.103460.10324-0.21%0.09834-4.95%0.0472✓1.1223k2022-01-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.0720.071831-0.24%0.06891-4.29%0.0400✓1.2318.4M2022-01-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.049470.049353-0.24%0.0467-5.60%0.0538✓1.1316k2022-01-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.817.7915-0.24%7.61-2.56%0.0226✓0.76741k2022-01-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.872.8632-0.24%2.73-4.88%0.0460✓1.323.2M2022-01-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.07121.0686-0.24%1.1115+3.76%0.0406✗0.9821.2M2022-01-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche89.3489.1228-0.24%84.46-5.46%0.0523✓1.15115.7M2022-01-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.08970.089467-0.26%0.0772-13.94%0.1462✓1.0030.6M2022-01-10
GITCOINGITCOIN11.30111.2717-0.26%10.645-5.80%0.0571✓0.0661k2022-01-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,662.9232,576.05-0.27%32,010.24-2.00%0.0167✓0.6425.2M2022-01-10
KCSKuCoinnative19.3219.2685-0.27%19.007-1.62%0.0116✓1.6313.0M2022-01-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.2824.2703-0.27%4.203-1.84%0.0149✓0.781.1M2022-01-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.152.1441-0.27%2.07-3.72%0.0338✓1.083.5M2022-01-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2611.2575-0.28%1.188-5.79%0.0552✓1.333.1M2022-01-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.33330.332357-0.28%0.3129-6.12%0.0585✓1.493.8M2022-01-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0750.074783-0.29%0.0707-5.73%0.0548✓1.0716k2022-01-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.16980.1693-0.29%0.1582-6.83%0.0663✓1.244.3M2022-01-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.7597.7359-0.30%7.507-3.25%0.0292✓0.64231k2022-01-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.8136.7926-0.30%6.4-6.06%0.0580✓1.26271k2022-01-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0651.0618-0.30%1.031-3.19%0.0282✓0.962.2M2022-01-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.03471.0315-0.31%0.99938-3.41%0.0294✓1.781.0M2022-01-10
API3Api3Ethereum3.823.8082-0.31%3.57-6.54%0.0637✓0.70646k2022-01-10
LRCLoopringEthereum1.57571.5708-0.31%1.468-6.84%0.0653✓1.931.3M2022-01-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.163.1499-0.32%3.13-0.95%0.0051✓0.99949k2022-01-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.0727.9771-0.33%27.36-2.53%0.0214✓0.69370k2022-01-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.31610.315048-0.33%0.299-5.41%0.0507✓1.262.2M2022-01-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.58410.582086-0.34%0.5425-7.12%0.0688✓1.3012.2M2022-01-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.40091.3959-0.36%1.3624-2.75%0.0228✓1.1430.5M2022-01-10
GTGateEthereum6.28546.2627-0.36%6.1496-2.16%0.0172✓0.843.5M2022-01-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.859.8141-0.36%9.84-0.10%0.0036✓0.741.0M2022-01-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.092820.092481-0.36%0.08602-7.33%0.0716✓0.6948k2022-01-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.7429.6311-0.37%28.48-4.24%0.0383✓1.043.2M2022-01-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08320.082894-0.37%0.0794-4.57%0.0413✓1.381.1M2022-01-10
LSKLiskEthereum2.0532.0454-0.37%2.0021-2.48%0.0200✓1.1190k2022-01-10
LUNATerraTerra 274.4874.2018-0.37%69.46-6.74%0.0648✓1.007.4M2022-01-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.3811.3374-0.37%10.7-5.98%0.0577✓0.122.8M2022-01-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.2714.2164-0.38%14.26-0.07%0.0039✗0.661.1M2022-01-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.461.4544-0.38%1.34-8.22%0.0798✓1.68790k2022-01-10
XVSVenusEthereum14.0914.0352-0.39%13.18-6.46%0.0614✓1.143.4M2022-01-10
UOSUltraEthereum1.25031.2454-0.39%1.1319-9.47%0.0943✓1.013.3M2022-01-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06180.061557-0.39%0.0556-10.03%0.1001✓1.351.5M2022-01-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.095.0698-0.40%4.88-4.13%0.0367✓1.153.3M2022-01-10
DODODODOEthereum0.7490.745946-0.41%0.704-6.01%0.0561✓1.447.6M2022-01-10
XVGVergenative0.014030.013972-0.41%0.01312-6.49%0.0614✓1.212.1M2022-01-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016430.016359-0.43%0.0154-6.27%0.0596✓0.6829k2022-01-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.80393.7873-0.44%3.7258-2.05%0.0154✓0.753,8202022-01-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5260.523655-0.45%0.497-5.51%0.0506✓1.292.1M2022-01-10
BANDBandEthereum5.325.2962-0.45%5.04-5.26%0.0482✓1.112.1M2022-01-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum29.9429.8049-0.45%28.01-6.45%0.0602✓1.521.0M2022-01-10
MOVRMoonriverBase160.3372159.6121-0.45%155.6792-2.91%0.0236✓1.11540k2022-01-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0292960.029163-0.45%0.027645-5.64%0.0522✓1.026.3M2022-01-10
ZECZcashZcash144.28143.6017-0.47%141.24-2.11%0.0149✓1.3310.6M2022-01-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.920.8015-0.47%20.09-3.88%0.0335✓1.041.2M2022-01-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.93262.9186-0.48%2.8409-3.13%0.0255✓1.162.6M2022-01-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos34.9934.8213-0.48%37.83+8.12%0.0840✗0.9149.1M2022-01-10
CBKCobakEthereum2.872.8561-0.48%2.717-5.33%0.0488✓0.9132k2022-01-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin130.91130.2749-0.49%126.52-3.35%0.0276✓1.3535.1M2022-01-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.04280.042589-0.49%0.04207-1.71%0.0111✓0.928.0M2022-01-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum27.5427.4022-0.50%27.98+1.60%0.0224✗1.2169.2M2022-01-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7240630.720389-0.51%0.689086-4.83%0.0430✓1.142.6M2022-01-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.683.6613-0.51%3.13-14.95%0.1552✓1.303.2M2022-01-10
STORJStorjEthereum1.55811.5501-0.51%1.5156-2.73%0.0215✓0.85647k2022-01-10
XECeCashnative0.000096170.000095663-0.53%0.00009039-6.01%0.0554✓1.006.7M2022-01-10
SCSiacoinnative0.013480.013407-0.54%0.01297-3.78%0.0319✓0.98756k2022-01-10
DASHDashDash153.16152.3128-0.55%148.17-3.26%0.0260✓1.251.9M2022-01-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.35375.3237-0.56%5.1021-4.70%0.0410✓1.19446k2022-01-10
FTTFTXEthereum37.1536.9373-0.57%38.11+2.58%0.0326✗1.0919.4M2022-01-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.16760.16664-0.57%0.1409-15.93%0.1662✓1.252.1M2022-01-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum36.1435.932-0.58%34.29-5.12%0.0450✓1.4125.8M2022-01-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64730.643446-0.60%0.6318-2.39%0.0167✓1.254.4M2022-01-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.653.6275-0.62%3.48-4.66%0.0400✓1.259.8M2022-01-10
RADRadworksEthereum8.568.5068-0.62%7.85-8.29%0.0792✓0.901.1M2022-01-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.599.5301-0.62%8.92-6.99%0.0653✓0.671.1M2022-01-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.98060.97416-0.66%1.0287+4.91%0.0562✗1.401.5M2022-01-10
MANADecentralandEthereum2.93692.9176-0.66%2.818-4.05%0.0335✓1.005.5M2022-01-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.2982.2829-0.66%2.167-5.70%0.0507✓1.081.8M2022-01-10
ZENHorizenBase55.9355.5557-0.67%53.33-4.65%0.0390✓1.49772k2022-01-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum10.019.9402-0.70%9.5-5.09%0.0454✓-0.061.8M2022-01-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.176350.175114-0.70%0.17081-3.14%0.0229✓1.574,9922022-01-10
MINAMina Protocolnative3.353.3252-0.74%3.2-4.48%0.0371✓1.04715k2022-01-10
UMAUMAEthereum8.988.913-0.75%8.37-6.79%0.0617✓0.954.4M2022-01-10
HIVEHivenative1.33311.3231-0.75%1.2679-4.89%0.0409✓1.394.5M2022-01-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.88480.878093-0.76%0.8077-8.71%0.0823✓1.00133k2022-01-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.58560.581144-0.76%0.55-6.08%0.0534✓1.352.7M2022-01-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015420.015302-0.76%0.01401-9.14%0.0866✓1.302.2M2022-01-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.086150.085474-0.78%0.07934-7.90%0.0727✓1.442.5M2022-01-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11260.111701-0.80%0.108-4.09%0.0323✓1.11280k2022-01-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.32240.319824-0.80%0.3128-2.98%0.0210✓1.00340k2022-01-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.2610.258809-0.84%0.251-3.83%0.0290✓1.324.5M2022-01-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum37.0236.704-0.85%33.37-9.86%0.0932✓1.632.8M2022-01-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0986650.097739-0.94%0.08637-12.46%0.1224✓1.003.3M2022-01-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.66070.654474-0.94%0.6017-8.93%0.0819✓1.7740.0M2022-01-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0647490.064131-0.95%0.081082+25.23%0.2362✗1.317.1M2022-01-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.48471.4669-1.20%1.3749-7.40%0.0637✓0.88922k2022-01-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.65390.641768-1.86%0.6249-4.43%0.0248✓1.48650k2022-01-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.