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2022-01-07 · +1d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2416
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.04%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
80.4%
in alpha space · 78.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.29%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.08821.0918+0.33%1.07-1.67%0.0229✗0.953.8M2022-01-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.073.076+0.19%3.06-0.33%0.0081✗1.003.2M2022-01-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.015090.015112+0.15%0.01469-2.65%0.0352✗2.4029.0M2022-01-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV109.72109.8053+0.08%107.28-2.22%0.0259✗0.932.8M2022-01-08
UNIUniswapEthereum15.7515.7573+0.05%14.92-5.27%0.0582✗1.2713.8M2022-01-08
XYMSymbolnative0.18050.18056+0.03%0.185+2.49%0.0224✓0.65428k2022-01-08
COMPCompoundEthereum192.9192.9606+0.03%189.37-1.83%0.0220✗1.13195k2022-01-08
AAVEAaveEthereum211.6211.6555+0.03%212.32+0.34%0.0001✓1.1216.2M2022-01-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1548350.154871+0.02%0.15079-2.61%0.0298✗1.094.6M2022-01-08
IMXImmutableEthereum3.773.7704+0.01%3.42-9.28%0.1004✗1.002.5M2022-01-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.646.6406+0.01%6.55-1.36%0.0156✗0.63713k2022-01-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0196250.019625+0.00%0.018696-4.73%0.0521✗1.242.5M2022-01-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,663.1041,646.14-0.04%41,892.20+0.55%0.0031✗0.9810k2022-01-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum30.0129.9972-0.04%27.71-7.66%0.0846✓1.855.4M2022-01-08
SOLSolanaSolana136.37136.2997-0.05%142.17+4.25%0.0392✗1.02203.4M2022-01-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3690.368795-0.06%0.354-4.07%0.0430✓0.7139k2022-01-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5974.5944-0.06%4.613+0.35%0.0023✗0.62489k2022-01-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8113.8087-0.06%3.657-4.04%0.0426✓0.68483k2022-01-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin31.5331.5109-0.06%29.46-6.57%0.0703✓1.0522.1M2022-01-08
ETHEthereumEthereum3,198.823,196.88-0.06%3,080.48-3.70%0.0401✓1.04619.8M2022-01-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum10.999299-0.07%1.01+1.00%0.0056✗1.761.9M2022-01-08
XMRMoneroMonero194.72194.5747-0.07%183.67-5.67%0.0604✓0.963.0M2022-01-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028950.000028928-0.07%0.00002775-4.15%0.0452✓1.251.7M2022-01-08
SUSHISushiEthereum7.177.1644-0.08%6.56-8.51%0.0918✓1.2918.2M2022-01-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum73.4273.359-0.08%70.29-4.26%0.0457✓1.046.3M2022-01-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8571.8554-0.08%1.886+1.56%0.0131✗1.132.4M2022-01-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17630.176141-0.09%0.1747-0.91%0.0108✓0.89490k2022-01-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.57143.5678-0.10%3.7737+5.66%0.0563✗-0.09364k2022-01-08
KSMKusamaHydration250.4250.1487-0.10%240.09-4.12%0.0443✓1.121.3M2022-01-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.15430.154143-0.10%0.1327-14.00%0.1533✓1.232.1M2022-01-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5061.5044-0.11%1.377-8.57%0.0924✓1.355.3M2022-01-08
XEMNEMnative0.11660.116476-0.11%0.1141-2.14%0.0235✓1.0189k2022-01-08
NANOnanopayBase3.09093.0876-0.11%3.0541-1.19%0.0140✓1.08715k2022-01-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.8824.8525-0.11%24-3.54%0.0386✓1.2871.0M2022-01-08
XLMStellarStellar0.2570210.256732-0.11%0.255091-0.75%0.0093✓1.0124.9M2022-01-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.188.1705-0.12%7.85-4.03%0.0418✓0.60801k2022-01-08
XTZTezosTezos4.25644.2511-0.12%4.0005-6.01%0.0646✓1.334.9M2022-01-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.7986.6813-0.13%83.91-3.32%0.0356✓1.09119.5M2022-01-08
LUNATerraTerra 268.6968.5932-0.14%66.84-2.69%0.0288✓1.007.4M2022-01-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8892.8848-0.15%2.815-2.56%0.0290✓1.561.4M2022-01-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,565.1841,504.42-0.15%41,684.84+0.29%0.0015✓1.00748.4M2022-01-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash385.43384.8342-0.15%372.84-3.27%0.0345✓1.009.0M2022-01-08
ADACardanoCardano1.20931.2074-0.16%1.1827-2.20%0.0238✓1.0797.2M2022-01-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.103460.103284-0.17%0.10244-0.99%0.0114✓1.1124k2022-01-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1274.1198-0.17%4.303+4.26%0.0413✗0.77942k2022-01-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0541.0522-0.17%1.04-1.33%0.0143✓0.942.3M2022-01-08
QTUMQtumQtum7.86797.854-0.18%7.5972-3.44%0.0372✓1.37268k2022-01-08
QNTQuantEthereum177.7177.3825-0.18%172.86-2.72%0.0285✓0.937.9M2022-01-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.049460.049371-0.18%0.04885-1.23%0.0137✓1.0816k2022-01-08
TRXTRONTron0.0681280.068004-0.18%0.065402-4.00%0.0417✓0.94589k2022-01-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.038.0151-0.19%7.81-2.74%0.0280✓0.73771k2022-01-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.832.8247-0.19%2.75-2.83%0.0306✓1.313.2M2022-01-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.19284.1849-0.19%3.9971-4.67%0.0495✓1.264.5M2022-01-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.33780.337157-0.19%0.3151-6.72%0.0718✓1.433.4M2022-01-08
API3Api3Ethereum3.793.7825-0.20%3.81+0.53%0.0044✗1.00929k2022-01-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.11441.1121-0.21%1.0756-3.48%0.0361✓0.9622.3M2022-01-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.182.1752-0.22%2.12-2.75%0.0287✓1.043.6M2022-01-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1730.17262-0.22%0.164-5.20%0.0547✓1.214.6M2022-01-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.9427.8784-0.22%27.94+0.00%0.0003✓0.66385k2022-01-08
KCSKuCoinnative19.1919.1474-0.22%18.946-1.27%0.0152✓1.6113.6M2022-01-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.078950.078771-0.23%0.1003+27.04%0.2375✗1.442.5M2022-01-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0760.075828-0.23%0.0739-2.76%0.0287✓1.0316k2022-01-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.269.2389-0.23%9.47+2.27%0.0249✗-0.071.8M2022-01-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3061.303-0.23%1.23-5.82%0.0615✓1.323.3M2022-01-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07490.074723-0.24%0.07317-2.31%0.0245✓1.2220.3M2022-01-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.9896.9717-0.25%6.84-2.13%0.0226✓1.22315k2022-01-08
GITCOINGITCOIN12.09812.0671-0.26%10.839-10.41%0.1076✓0.0974k2022-01-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum54.987-0.26%4.61-7.80%0.0826✓1.3930.4M2022-01-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.113.1019-0.26%3.07-1.29%0.0131✓0.96995k2022-01-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.1838.1606-0.27%8.088-1.16%0.0109✓0.68251k2022-01-08
XVSVenusEthereum13.9213.8816-0.28%13.92+0.00%0.0005✓1.133.5M2022-01-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.31920.318285-0.29%0.3129-1.97%0.0207✓1.262.6M2022-01-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.019.981-0.29%9.77-2.40%0.0235✓0.741.2M2022-01-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.09420.093924-0.29%0.09231-2.01%0.0193✓0.6955k2022-01-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.59360.591824-0.30%0.5732-3.44%0.0354✓1.2011.8M2022-01-08
ZECZcashZcash139.74139.315-0.30%143.63+2.78%0.0269✗1.269.6M2022-01-08
UOSUltraEthereum1.26221.2583-0.31%1.1998-4.95%0.0505✓1.013.5M2022-01-08
GTGateEthereum6.17376.1543-0.31%6.1789+0.08%0.0017✓0.793.9M2022-01-08
CBKCobakEthereum2.6612.6523-0.33%2.604-2.14%0.0209✓0.8934k2022-01-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.4530.3493-0.33%29.37-3.55%0.0357✓1.003.4M2022-01-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0915.04-0.33%14.24-5.63%0.0566✓0.661.1M2022-01-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.4451.44-0.35%1.3854-4.12%0.0418✓1.1030.5M2022-01-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.920.8265-0.35%20.95+0.24%0.0038✗0.731.2M2022-01-08
LSKLiskEthereum2.13922.1316-0.36%2.0509-4.13%0.0415✓1.0494k2022-01-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08550.085189-0.36%0.0811-5.15%0.0532✓1.391.2M2022-01-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.90993.8956-0.36%3.7251-4.73%0.0468✓0.698,5232022-01-08
LRCLoopringEthereum1.6681.6618-0.37%1.5246-8.60%0.0917✓1.921.4M2022-01-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0295570.029446-0.38%0.029005-1.87%0.0180✓1.036.8M2022-01-08
BANDBandEthereum5.275.2496-0.39%4.93-6.45%0.0659✓1.082.1M2022-01-08
STORJStorjEthereum1.56361.5576-0.39%1.515-3.11%0.0302✓0.86663k2022-01-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.043490.04332-0.39%0.04346-0.07%0.0006✓0.908.2M2022-01-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01690.016833-0.39%0.01623-3.96%0.0383✓0.6230k2022-01-08
MOVRMoonriverBase163.2907162.637-0.40%156.3963-4.22%0.0419✓0.98574k2022-01-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.10040.099996-0.40%0.0944-5.98%0.0605✓1.0034.7M2022-01-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.45.3778-0.41%5.02-7.04%0.0721✓1.143.3M2022-01-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum30.2230.0918-0.42%32.9+8.87%0.0853✗1.3724.4M2022-01-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum35,821.0835,669.13-0.42%33,111.98-7.56%0.0763✓0.6621.5M2022-01-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.551.5433-0.43%1.44-7.10%0.0740✓1.66862k2022-01-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.9725.8566-0.44%25.31-2.54%0.0247✓1.1469.2M2022-01-08
DASHDashDash134.68134.0853-0.44%141.79+5.28%0.0524✗1.201.9M2022-01-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.1212.0662-0.44%10.76-11.22%0.1150✓0.153.0M2022-01-08
FTTFTXEthereum35.5135.3491-0.45%35.22-0.82%0.0066✓1.0420.0M2022-01-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.9730.8272-0.46%28.84-6.88%0.0708✓1.461.1M2022-01-08
SCSiacoinnative0.013580.013517-0.47%0.01326-2.36%0.0220✓0.97777k2022-01-08
XVGVergenative0.014540.014472-0.47%0.01392-4.26%0.0424✓1.212.1M2022-01-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.02723.0129-0.47%2.875-5.03%0.0502✓1.162.7M2022-01-08
DODODODOEthereum0.8020.798192-0.47%0.742-7.48%0.0770✓1.418.1M2022-01-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5460.54336-0.48%0.515-5.68%0.0573✓1.272.2M2022-01-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin131.34130.6974-0.49%129.51-1.39%0.0129✓1.3336.7M2022-01-08
XECeCashnative0.000098550.000098067-0.49%0.00009632-2.26%0.0208✓0.996.9M2022-01-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.623.6018-0.50%3.52-2.76%0.0265✓1.2310.6M2022-01-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.6380.634785-0.50%0.6366-0.22%0.0007✓1.234.5M2022-01-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.07121.0658-0.51%1.0197-4.81%0.0492✓1.751.1M2022-01-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.172550.171669-0.51%0.17662+2.36%0.0240✗1.555,9572022-01-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7525580.748649-0.52%0.708399-5.87%0.0584✓1.102.8M2022-01-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.49475.4645-0.55%5.3573-2.50%0.0231✓1.14480k2022-01-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06690.066527-0.56%0.0592-11.51%0.1206✓1.361.5M2022-01-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3442.3307-0.57%2.257-3.71%0.0352✓1.071.9M2022-01-08
ZENHorizenBase55.5755.2405-0.59%54.36-2.18%0.0201✓1.41805k2022-01-08
MANADecentralandEthereum3.053.0298-0.66%2.933-3.84%0.0354✓1.015.6M2022-01-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.1510.0823-0.67%9.44-7.00%0.0677✓0.661.2M2022-01-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11110.110357-0.67%0.1115+0.36%0.0071✗1.11304k2022-01-08
RADRadworksEthereum8.98.8393-0.68%8.4-5.62%0.0536✓0.901.2M2022-01-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.00670.999809-0.68%0.9606-4.58%0.0440✓1.401.7M2022-01-08
HIVEHivenative1.36121.3517-0.70%1.3208-2.97%0.0271✓1.385.0M2022-01-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.5438.2719-0.70%35.87-6.93%0.0675✓0.9343.4M2022-01-08
MINAMina Protocolnative3.363.3362-0.71%3.24-3.57%0.0322✓1.01715k2022-01-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51620.512525-0.71%0.4941-4.28%0.0407✓1.42650k2022-01-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.59990.595551-0.73%0.5755-4.07%0.0381✓1.352.8M2022-01-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015620.015506-0.73%0.01495-4.29%0.0402✓1.282.2M2022-01-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0593080.058858-0.76%0.059866+0.94%0.0133✗1.277.3M2022-01-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.92150.914398-0.77%0.8854-3.92%0.0351✓1.00141k2022-01-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.33090.328261-0.80%0.3125-5.56%0.0521✓1.01293k2022-01-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum37.0236.7205-0.81%35-5.46%0.0527✓1.632.8M2022-01-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.26380.261641-0.82%0.2557-3.07%0.0267✓1.304.6M2022-01-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.69830.691687-0.95%0.6336-9.27%0.0928✓1.7635.9M2022-01-08
UMAUMAEthereum9.419.3205-0.95%8.86-5.84%0.0535✓0.974.1M2022-01-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.051.9935-2.76%1.6022-21.84%0.2211✓0.91922k2022-01-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.