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2022-01-06 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1866
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.15%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
88.4%
in alpha space · 91.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.90%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.77860.672625-13.61%0.5202-33.19%0.1873✓1.7535.9M2022-02-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.28110.249551-11.22%0.2088-25.72%0.1261✓1.314.6M2022-02-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.07040.950354-11.22%0.7727-27.81%0.1513✓1.401.6M2022-02-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum41.8437.2251-11.03%29.81-28.75%0.1584✓1.602.8M2022-02-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12150.108354-10.82%0.0869-28.48%0.1775✓1.09304k2022-02-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017060.015218-10.79%0.01113-34.76%0.2617✓1.292.2M2022-02-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.64920.579798-10.69%0.4932-24.03%0.1084✓1.342.8M2022-02-05
MINAMina Protocolnative3.683.2897-10.61%2.9-21.20%0.0856✓1.02626k2022-02-05
HIVEHivenative1.48681.3317-10.43%1.166-21.58%0.0781✓1.385.2M2022-02-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.33460.299927-10.36%0.3148-5.92%0.0888✓1.02293k2022-02-05
MANADecentralandEthereum3.38723.0432-10.16%3.0145-11.00%0.0293✓0.985.6M2022-02-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.95040.855389-10.00%0.9549+0.47%0.1498✗1.00143k2022-02-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07010.063121-9.96%0.0368-47.50%0.4854✓1.361.5M2022-02-05
MOVRMoonriverBase185.613168.0541-9.46%85.8205-53.76%0.6291✓1.08574k2022-02-05
UMAUMAEthereum9.768.8369-9.46%6.4-34.43%0.2846✓0.964.1M2022-02-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0621160.056247-9.45%0.040382-34.99%0.2797✓1.307.4M2022-02-05
RADRadworksEthereum9.598.6857-9.43%5.48-42.86%0.4255✓0.881.2M2022-02-05
ZENHorizenBase57.7952.4545-9.23%45.61-21.08%0.0803✓1.50805k2022-02-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7980090.72446-9.22%0.652675-18.21%0.0592✓1.142.8M2022-02-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.99.913-9.06%6.67-38.81%0.3703✓0.651.2M2022-02-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.30481.1877-8.97%2.054+57.42%0.5919✗1.11922k2022-02-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.5530.50362-8.93%0.6186+11.86%0.2619✗1.42650k2022-02-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.182170.165922-8.92%0.20531+12.70%0.2754✗1.575,9572022-02-05
LRCLoopringEthereum1.8411.6778-8.86%0.9682-47.41%0.4736✓1.921.4M2022-02-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos40.0436.5667-8.67%30.76-23.18%0.1362✓0.9243.4M2022-02-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.111.9704-8.62%8.15-37.79%0.3808✓0.093.5M2022-02-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.63885.1547-8.58%5.1203-9.20%0.0412✓1.20480k2022-02-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin135.9124.3444-8.50%121.8-10.38%0.0331✓1.3536.7M2022-02-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09230.084547-8.40%0.069-25.24%0.1488✓1.371.4M2022-02-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5732.3628-8.17%1.921-25.34%0.1650✓1.061.9M2022-02-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5910.543007-8.12%0.354-40.10%0.3769✓1.282.2M2022-02-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.965.4815-8.03%5.76-3.36%0.0946✗1.133.3M2022-02-05
XVGVergenative0.015760.014499-8.00%0.01122-28.81%0.2088✓1.202.1M2022-02-05
SCSiacoinnative0.01450.013351-7.92%0.01154-20.41%0.1074✓0.97777k2022-02-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum22.5520.8163-7.69%15.3-32.15%0.2670✓1.031.2M2022-02-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.493.2238-7.63%2.21-36.68%0.3254✓1.3110.7M2022-02-05
XECeCashnative0.000103440.000095766-7.42%0.0000839-18.89%0.0927✓1.007.0M2022-02-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.1630.7362-7.31%22.45-32.30%0.2537✓1.521.1M2022-02-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0306510.028419-7.28%0.02206-28.03%0.2126✓1.027.0M2022-02-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.6729.3841-7.22%29.42-7.10%0.0427✓1.043.4M2022-02-05
LUNATerraTerra 278.3972.8054-7.12%55.39-29.34%0.2336✓1.007.2M2022-02-05
FTTFTXEthereum38.6435.9295-7.01%46.16+19.46%0.2929✗1.0620.0M2022-02-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum10.329.6018-6.96%7.24-29.84%0.2870✓-0.121.9M2022-02-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.043.7589-6.96%3.4881-13.66%0.0450✓0.7514k2022-02-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.651.539-6.73%1.21-26.67%0.1733✓1.69881k2022-02-05
DODODODOEthereum0.8220.76719-6.67%0.533-35.16%0.3064✓1.468.1M2022-02-05
GITCOINGITCOIN13.0912.2368-6.52%8.166-37.62%0.4033✓0.0378k2022-02-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum33.1130.9581-6.50%20.04-39.47%0.3620✓1.835.4M2022-02-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.3410.318939-6.47%0.2627-22.96%0.1441✓1.252.9M2022-02-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.10190.095425-6.35%0.1089+6.87%0.1718✗1.0033.0M2022-02-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.63850.598111-6.33%0.5995-6.11%0.0528✓1.274.7M2022-02-05
STORJStorjEthereum1.64761.5444-6.27%1.3221-19.75%0.1218✓0.84663k2022-02-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.18710.175644-6.12%0.1293-30.89%0.2575✓1.234.6M2022-02-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.018160.017052-6.10%0.01353-25.50%0.2049✓0.6730k2022-02-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.415.0915-5.89%3.42-36.78%0.3423✓1.4029.4M2022-02-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.100880.094978-5.85%0.085-15.74%0.0844✓0.6755k2022-02-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.00212.8288-5.77%3.2266+7.48%0.1791✗1.202.7M2022-02-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.017050.016066-5.77%0.00674-60.47%0.7753✓2.3529.0M2022-02-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.63650.600635-5.63%0.4481-29.60%0.2417✓1.2911.8M2022-02-05
DASHDashDash124.32117.346-5.61%103.6-16.67%0.0735✓1.291.9M2022-02-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.0460.043462-5.52%0.03104-32.52%0.3005✓0.918.2M2022-02-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.6867.2636-5.50%6.514-15.25%0.0594✓1.25315k2022-02-05
API3Api3Ethereum43.781-5.47%3.57-10.75%0.0177✓1.00957k2022-02-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.16620.157157-5.44%0.1181-28.94%0.2373✓1.222.0M2022-02-05
ZECZcashZcash137.22129.8119-5.40%116.08-15.41%0.0579✓1.368.6M2022-02-05
CBKCobakEthereum2.8162.6641-5.39%2.562-9.02%0.0038✓0.8936k2022-02-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.1631.1007-5.36%0.778-33.10%0.3100✓0.932.3M2022-02-05
UOSUltraEthereum1.40751.3325-5.33%1.1381-19.14%0.1188✓0.983.6M2022-02-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.5088.0549-5.33%6.059-28.78%0.2593✓0.64272k2022-02-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche95.1490.1999-5.19%77.09-18.97%0.1122✓1.13114.6M2022-02-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.421.3476-5.10%0.976-31.27%0.2702✓1.323.4M2022-02-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.56311.4838-5.07%1.0021-35.89%0.3477✓1.1330.0M2022-02-05
BANDBandEthereum5.835.5389-4.99%3.9-33.10%0.3076✓1.092.1M2022-02-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum79.0275.1087-4.95%56.8-28.12%0.2388✓1.026.3M2022-02-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.0642.9139-4.90%2.728-10.97%0.0034✓1.571.5M2022-02-05
QTUMQtumQtum8.36217.9526-4.90%6.9281-17.15%0.0813✓1.42268k2022-02-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.080650.076737-4.85%0.05888-26.99%0.2074✓1.452.7M2022-02-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.18021.1244-4.73%0.92529-21.60%0.1246✓1.771.1M2022-02-05
XVSVenusEthereum14.5313.8436-4.72%8.67-40.33%0.4227✓1.143.5M2022-02-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.493.3275-4.66%2.31-33.81%0.3252✓1.003.2M2022-02-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08020.076535-4.57%0.0763-4.86%0.0392✓1.0616k2022-02-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.076780.073283-4.55%0.0405-47.25%0.5437✓1.2420.3M2022-02-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4514.2503-4.51%3.3404-24.95%0.1906✓1.274.5M2022-02-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.3528.0285-4.50%28.35-3.41%0.0386✓0.69385k2022-02-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.18411.1326-4.35%0.9491-19.85%0.1381✓0.9721.2M2022-02-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum30.5929.2875-4.26%22.26-27.23%0.2186✓1.4024.4M2022-02-05
LSKLiskEthereum2.15242.0616-4.22%1.8014-16.31%0.0901✓1.13102k2022-02-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.019.6073-4.02%10.1+0.90%0.0800✗0.751.2M2022-02-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.37080.356104-3.96%0.3102-16.34%0.0792✓1.483.4M2022-02-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.233.1036-3.91%2.66-17.65%0.1152✓0.98995k2022-02-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.513.9353-3.89%15.87+9.45%0.1575✗0.691.1M2022-02-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.121.077-3.84%0.77-31.25%0.2679✓1.701.9M2022-02-05
GTGateEthereum6.27766.0404-3.78%7.0234+11.88%0.1843✗0.843.9M2022-02-05
ADACardanoCardano1.27941.2313-3.76%1.1255-12.03%0.0464✓1.0997.2M2022-02-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum35,933.6934,620.14-3.66%25,186.77-29.91%0.2920✓0.6621.4M2022-02-05
IMXImmutableEthereum4.153.9997-3.62%2.89-30.36%0.2852✓1.002.5M2022-02-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.052120.050239-3.61%0.04465-14.33%0.0733✓1.1216k2022-02-05
XYMSymbolnative0.19190.185052-3.57%0.1855-3.34%0.0275✓0.63428k2022-02-05
NANOnanopayBase3.36643.2467-3.56%2.1933-34.85%0.3493✓1.08754k2022-02-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3384.1851-3.52%3.6-17.01%0.1199✓0.771.1M2022-02-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.3924.5107-3.46%17.77-30.01%0.2726✓1.2369.2M2022-02-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.352.2715-3.34%1.79-23.83%0.1959✓1.063.7M2022-02-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash400.02386.7679-3.31%320.74-19.82%0.1467✓1.029.0M2022-02-05
SOLSolanaSolana150.23145.261-3.31%113.8-24.25%0.2009✓1.09203.4M2022-02-05
KCSKuCoinnative20.96820.3523-2.94%19.686-6.11%0.0308✗1.6113.6M2022-02-05
KSMKusamaHydration269.76262.033-2.86%185.88-31.09%0.2981✓1.141.3M2022-02-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.107790.104711-2.86%0.10107-6.23%0.0093✓1.1226k2022-02-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.157.9238-2.78%6.52-20.00%0.1645✓0.77771k2022-02-05
XEMNEMnative0.12320.119819-2.74%0.1129-8.36%0.0181✓1.04111k2022-02-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.22621.1931-2.70%0.4421-63.95%0.9579✓0.883.9M2022-02-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.18120.176309-2.70%0.1551-14.40%0.0917✓0.92490k2022-02-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030790.000029964-2.68%0.00002254-26.79%0.2354✓1.241.7M2022-02-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.012.9331-2.55%2.17-27.91%0.2490✓1.323.0M2022-02-05
TRXTRONTron0.0710750.069308-2.49%0.064762-8.88%0.0301✓0.95589k2022-02-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.218.0063-2.48%6.46-21.32%0.1899✓0.62811k2022-02-05
QNTQuantEthereum178.46174.2079-2.38%132.93-25.51%0.2320✓0.977.9M2022-02-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5371.5007-2.36%1.519-1.17%0.0667✗1.375.5M2022-02-05
XTZTezosTezos4.4554.3603-2.13%3.9423-11.51%0.0470✓1.354.9M2022-02-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.7126.1765-2.00%21.35-20.07%0.1524✓1.2971.0M2022-02-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8054.711-1.96%4.51-6.14%0.0187✓0.63498k2022-02-05
ETHEthereumEthereum3,406.033,340.55-1.92%3,014.50-11.50%0.0611✓1.05619.8M2022-02-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0209680.020572-1.89%0.016433-21.63%0.1764✓1.212.5M2022-02-05
XLMStellarStellar0.26750.262541-1.85%0.213222-20.29%0.1677✓1.0224.9M2022-02-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.776.6447-1.85%5.47-19.20%0.1691✓0.64743k2022-02-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8763.805-1.83%3.231-16.64%0.1363✓0.68454k2022-02-05
SUSHISushiEthereum7.457.3148-1.82%4.68-37.18%0.3947✓1.3118.2M2022-02-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin32.9832.4187-1.70%21.97-33.38%0.3472✓1.0522.1M2022-02-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3860.379542-1.67%0.265-31.35%0.3307✓0.7239k2022-02-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0261.9928-1.64%1.761-13.08%0.0788✓1.132.5M2022-02-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,083.7642,404.49-1.58%41,404.85-3.90%0.0159✗1.00743.8M2022-02-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.773.7168-1.41%4.7941+27.16%0.2502✗-0.11364k2022-02-05
COMPCompoundEthereum204.52201.7535-1.35%136.68-33.17%0.3434✓1.16199k2022-02-05
XMRMoneroMonero205.35202.5842-1.35%168.71-17.84%0.1424✓1.023.2M2022-02-05
AAVEAaveEthereum220.94218.1773-1.25%166.2-24.78%0.2261✓1.1616.0M2022-02-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV111.16110.3482-0.73%96.73-12.98%0.0936✓0.962.8M2022-02-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,220.9043,006.98-0.49%41,460.80-4.07%0.0024✓0.9810k2022-02-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1600070.15957-0.27%0.147026-8.11%0.0382✓1.104.6M2022-02-05
UNIUniswapEthereum17.0617.212+0.89%11.27-33.94%0.3726✗1.2814.1M2022-02-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.