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2022-01-05 · +1d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1849
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.70%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
47.1%
in alpha space · 59.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.81%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.28131.2821+0.06%1.2262-4.30%0.0371✗0.924.1M2022-01-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV114.04114.0718+0.03%111.16-2.53%0.0182✗0.943.0M2022-01-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1589360.158935-0.00%0.160007+0.67%0.0156✗1.094.6M2022-01-06
UNIUniswapEthereum17.1117.1096-0.00%17.06-0.29%0.0073✗1.2514.1M2022-01-06
COMPCompoundEthereum204.79204.7638-0.01%204.52-0.13%0.0080✗1.13211k2022-01-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.846.8379-0.03%6.77-1.02%0.0048✓0.64778k2022-01-06
AAVEAaveEthereum230.12229.9717-0.06%220.94-3.99%0.0310✓1.1214.0M2022-01-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin33.0933.0599-0.09%32.98-0.33%0.0061✗1.0422.7M2022-01-06
ETHEthereumEthereum3,539.003,535.55-0.10%3,406.03-3.76%0.0290✓1.02619.8M2022-01-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0204890.020468-0.10%0.020968+2.34%0.0341✗1.232.4M2022-01-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8083.8041-0.10%3.876+1.79%0.0243✗0.69454k2022-01-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5331.5314-0.11%1.537+0.26%0.0147✗1.365.7M2022-01-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7274.722-0.11%4.805+1.65%0.0224✗0.61498k2022-01-06
XLMStellarStellar0.266040.265752-0.11%0.2675+0.55%0.0148✗1.0124.9M2022-01-06
XYMSymbolnative0.19040.190192-0.11%0.1919+0.79%0.0141✗0.64441k2022-01-06
QNTQuantEthereum166.2166.0179-0.11%178.46+7.38%0.0800✗0.957.9M2022-01-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.18320.182992-0.11%0.1812-1.09%0.0025✓0.90503k2022-01-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.198.1801-0.12%8.21+0.24%0.0087✗0.61828k2022-01-06
XMRMoneroMonero206.96206.6756-0.14%205.35-0.78%0.0013✓0.953.2M2022-01-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.7126.6719-0.14%26.71+0.00%0.0117✗1.2771.0M2022-01-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,436.0443,372.21-0.15%43,083.76-0.81%0.0015✗1.00727.0M2022-01-06
ADACardanoCardano1.23041.2285-0.15%1.2794+3.98%0.0493✗1.0797.2M2022-01-06
SUSHISushiEthereum7.647.6282-0.15%7.45-2.49%0.0131✓1.2918.2M2022-01-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0792.0756-0.17%2.026-2.55%0.0151✓1.122.5M2022-01-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash399.79399.1124-0.17%400.02+0.06%0.0104✗1.009.0M2022-01-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.79773.7912-0.17%3.77-0.73%0.0065✓-0.11364k2022-01-06
XTZTezosTezos4.50934.5014-0.18%4.455-1.20%0.0005✓1.344.9M2022-01-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030370.000030313-0.19%0.00003079+1.38%0.0257✗1.241.7M2022-01-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.078.0545-0.19%8.15+0.99%0.0178✗0.74771k2022-01-06
KSMKusamaHydration266.77266.2563-0.19%269.76+1.12%0.0221✗1.111.3M2022-01-06
SOLSolanaSolana154.44154.1425-0.19%150.23-2.73%0.0176✓0.99211.5M2022-01-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.693.6829-0.19%3.49-5.42%0.0456✓1.003.3M2022-01-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.0673.0609-0.20%3.064-0.10%0.0138✗1.571.5M2022-01-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.28734.2784-0.21%4.451+3.82%0.0499✗1.274.5M2022-01-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05010.049993-0.21%0.05212+4.03%0.0504✗1.0716k2022-01-06
NANOnanopayBase3.38543.3774-0.23%3.3664-0.56%0.0054✗1.06754k2022-01-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,578.7632,500.34-0.24%35,933.69+10.30%0.1059✗0.6720.1M2022-01-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche97.3697.1192-0.25%95.14-2.28%0.0119✓1.07115.7M2022-01-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.111.1072-0.25%1.12+0.90%0.0196✗1.001.9M2022-01-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.13.0923-0.25%3.01-2.90%0.0164✓1.303.0M2022-01-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.85032.843-0.26%3.0021+5.33%0.0642✗1.202.7M2022-01-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.322.314-0.26%2.35+1.29%0.0238✗1.023.8M2022-01-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.109130.108837-0.27%0.10779-1.23%0.0007✓1.1026k2022-01-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.40.398923-0.27%0.386-3.50%0.0272✓0.7139k2022-01-06
ZECZcashZcash136.6136.2241-0.28%137.22+0.45%0.0177✗1.289.4M2022-01-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana109.9722-0.28%10.01+0.10%0.0099✗0.751.2M2022-01-06
KCSKuCoinnative21.22621.1669-0.28%20.968-1.22%0.0035✗1.5913.6M2022-01-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,367.5043,246.10-0.28%43,220.90-0.34%0.0074✗0.9810k2022-01-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.7629.6749-0.29%29.35-1.38%0.0057✓0.65385k2022-01-06
API3Api3Ethereum4.144.1278-0.29%4-3.38%0.0233✓1.00962k2022-01-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.1711.1675-0.30%1.1841+1.12%0.0218✗0.9521.2M2022-01-06
QTUMQtumQtum8.23288.2081-0.30%8.3621+1.57%0.0297✗1.36268k2022-01-06
IMXImmutableEthereum4.414.3964-0.31%4.15-5.90%0.0495✓1.002.5M2022-01-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.36710.365952-0.31%0.3708+1.01%0.0247✗1.413.4M2022-01-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.076530.07629-0.31%0.07678+0.33%0.0164✗1.2220.3M2022-01-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.33.2895-0.32%3.23-2.12%0.0104✓0.96995k2022-01-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.2814.2341-0.32%14.5+1.54%0.0241✗0.681.1M2022-01-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08190.081636-0.32%0.0802-2.08%0.0094✓1.0318k2022-01-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.17561.1717-0.33%1.1802+0.40%0.0213✗1.731.1M2022-01-06
DASHDashDash122.47122.0645-0.33%124.32+1.51%0.0285✗1.251.9M2022-01-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.6838.6538-0.34%8.508-2.02%0.0115✓0.67286k2022-01-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4651.46-0.34%1.42-3.07%0.0171✓1.313.4M2022-01-06
GTGateEthereum6.18546.1644-0.34%6.2776+1.49%0.0246✗0.793.9M2022-01-06
STORJStorjEthereum1.62911.6235-0.34%1.6476+1.14%0.0216✗0.85668k2022-01-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3954.3798-0.35%4.338-1.30%0.0034✓0.761.1M2022-01-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum80.3780.09-0.35%79.02-1.68%0.0051✓1.026.3M2022-01-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.13574.1213-0.35%4.04-2.31%0.0143✓0.6917k2022-01-06
UOSUltraEthereum1.36011.3553-0.36%1.4075+3.48%0.0458✗0.983.6M2022-01-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.1781.1738-0.36%1.163-1.27%0.0018✓0.912.4M2022-01-06
XVSVenusEthereum15.1715.1159-0.36%14.53-4.22%0.0303✓1.133.5M2022-01-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum33.8233.699-0.36%33.11-2.10%0.0027✓1.835.4M2022-01-06
TRXTRONTron0.0711530.070896-0.36%0.071075-0.11%0.0101✗0.94556k2022-01-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.083690.083384-0.37%0.08065-3.63%0.0216✓1.452.8M2022-01-06
LSKLiskEthereum2.18862.1804-0.38%2.1524-1.66%0.0044✓1.05100k2022-01-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.8667.836-0.38%7.686-2.29%0.0095✓1.21336k2022-01-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.55621.5501-0.39%1.5631+0.44%0.0172✗1.0930.0M2022-01-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.10170.101302-0.39%0.1019+0.20%0.0140✗1.0030.6M2022-01-06
CBKCobakEthereum2.8612.8497-0.39%2.816-1.57%0.0048✓0.8839k2022-01-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.2225.1165-0.41%25.39+0.67%0.0203✗1.1769.2M2022-01-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.9631.8266-0.42%31.67-0.91%0.0032✓1.003.6M2022-01-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.45.3775-0.42%5.41+0.19%0.0172✗1.3729.4M2022-01-06
GITCOINGITCOIN13.4613.4037-0.42%13.09-2.75%0.0232✓0.0682k2022-01-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19040.189596-0.42%0.1871-1.73%0.0035✓1.194.8M2022-01-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.62980.627065-0.43%0.6365+1.06%0.0247✗1.1911.4M2022-01-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.17230.17154-0.44%0.1662-3.54%0.0217✓1.222.1M2022-01-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.102190.101727-0.45%0.10088-1.28%0.0029✓0.6755k2022-01-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum22.6322.526-0.46%22.55-0.35%0.0069✗0.711.2M2022-01-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.018340.018255-0.47%0.01705-7.03%0.0601✓1.0029.0M2022-01-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.561.5526-0.48%1.65+5.77%0.0744✗1.66928k2022-01-06
LUNATerraTerra 278.4178.0361-0.48%78.39-0.03%0.0127✗1.007.4M2022-01-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum10.7410.6877-0.49%10.32-3.91%0.0359✓-0.112.0M2022-01-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.6460.642842-0.49%0.6385-1.16%0.0034✓1.255.0M2022-01-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.046810.04658-0.49%0.046-1.73%0.0053✓0.898.2M2022-01-06
MANADecentralandEthereum2.91412.8996-0.50%3.3872+16.24%0.1634✗0.985.6M2022-01-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.553.5323-0.50%3.49-1.69%0.0014✓1.3110.7M2022-01-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.018560.018468-0.50%0.01816-2.16%0.0119✓0.6033k2022-01-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09120.090732-0.51%0.0923+1.21%0.0284✗1.381.5M2022-01-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin135.32134.6152-0.52%135.9+0.43%0.0204✗1.3336.7M2022-01-06
SCSiacoinnative0.014460.014384-0.53%0.0145+0.28%0.0158✗0.96783k2022-01-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum30.6330.4646-0.54%30.59-0.13%0.0154✗1.3824.2M2022-01-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.186070.185057-0.54%0.18217-2.10%0.0031✓1.556,3502022-01-06
LRCLoopringEthereum1.80481.7949-0.55%1.841+2.01%0.0408✗1.891.4M2022-01-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.24981.2425-0.58%1.3048+4.40%0.0578✗1.10922k2022-01-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.35540.353328-0.58%0.341-4.05%0.0253✓1.253.0M2022-01-06
DODODODOEthereum0.8290.824087-0.59%0.822-0.84%0.0090✗1.428.1M2022-01-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.60045.5672-0.59%5.6388+0.68%0.0221✗1.15522k2022-01-06
XECeCashnative0.000104690.000104047-0.61%0.00010344-1.19%0.0022✓0.997.2M2022-01-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06760.067169-0.64%0.0701+3.70%0.0538✗1.361.6M2022-01-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4422.4264-0.64%2.573+5.36%0.0672✗1.041.9M2022-01-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.031940.031734-0.65%0.030651-4.04%0.0264✓1.027.3M2022-01-06
FTTFTXEthereum38.0637.8123-0.65%38.64+1.52%0.0299✗1.0219.4M2022-01-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.376.3285-0.65%5.96-6.44%0.0509✓1.123.3M2022-01-06
XEMNEMnative0.12970.128851-0.65%0.1232-5.01%0.0367✓1.00115k2022-01-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5950.591099-0.66%0.591-0.67%0.0101✗1.262.2M2022-01-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.4233.1988-0.66%33.16-0.78%0.0107✗1.461.1M2022-01-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8265020.821001-0.67%0.798009-3.45%0.0196✓1.092.8M2022-01-06
XVGVergenative0.016010.015902-0.67%0.01576-1.56%0.0007✓1.192.2M2022-01-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.3113.2197-0.68%13.1-1.58%0.0081✓0.123.9M2022-01-06
ZENHorizenBase60.3359.9203-0.68%57.79-4.21%0.0247✓1.41807k2022-01-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.6738.3998-0.70%40.04+3.54%0.0493✗0.9243.4M2022-01-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.33050.327934-0.78%0.3346+1.24%0.0284✗1.02293k2022-01-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.6430.637915-0.79%0.6492+0.96%0.0284✗1.342.8M2022-01-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.95030.942733-0.80%0.9504+0.01%0.0162✗1.00144k2022-01-06
HIVEHivenative1.51491.5027-0.80%1.4868-1.85%0.0004✓1.365.2M2022-01-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.1811.0892-0.81%10.9-2.50%0.0120✓0.641.2M2022-01-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12290.121882-0.83%0.1215-1.14%0.0057✓1.09304k2022-01-06
BANDBandEthereum6.236.176-0.87%5.83-6.42%0.0491✓1.052.1M2022-01-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.0991.0889-0.92%1.0704-2.60%0.0057✓1.401.7M2022-01-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.27870.276131-0.92%0.2811+0.86%0.0284✗1.294.6M2022-01-06
RADRadworksEthereum10.089.9855-0.94%9.59-4.86%0.0332✓0.881.2M2022-01-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.55930.553818-0.98%0.553-1.13%0.0101✗1.42650k2022-01-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017680.017505-0.99%0.01706-3.51%0.0155✓1.262.2M2022-01-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.73890.731578-0.99%0.7786+5.37%0.0764✗1.7335.9M2022-01-06
MOVRMoonriverBase198.6558196.6428-1.01%185.613-6.57%0.0501✓0.94574k2022-01-06
MINAMina Protocolnative3.863.8204-1.03%3.68-4.66%0.0294✓0.99626k2022-01-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0675530.066671-1.31%0.062116-8.05%0.0605✓1.267.4M2022-01-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum42.4441.8446-1.40%41.84-1.41%0.0129✓1.602.8M2022-01-06
UMAUMAEthereum11.0110.8001-1.91%9.76-11.35%0.0934✓0.963.9M2022-01-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.