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2022-01-03 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2618
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+22.13%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
83.3%
in alpha space · 96.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-20.53%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UNIUniswapEthereum18.4718.4922+0.12%10.53-42.99%0.2745✗1.2614.1M2022-02-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,018.2045,587.64-0.94%37,883.40-17.68%0.0384✗0.9710k2022-02-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV122.18120.9535-1.00%90-26.34%0.0806✓0.943.2M2022-02-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1701030.168172-1.14%0.137104-19.40%0.0461✗1.094.7M2022-02-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,459.5645,723.71-1.58%36,923.39-20.53%0.0160✗1.00727.0M2022-02-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.0834.4952-1.67%20.19-42.45%0.2986✓1.0322.7M2022-02-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.79143.7278-1.68%4.1355+9.08%0.0781✗-0.11374k2022-02-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2652.2244-1.79%1.589-29.85%0.0813✓1.112.7M2022-02-02
ETHEthereumEthereum3,766.043,696.30-1.85%2,682.66-28.77%0.0873✓1.02654.8M2022-02-02
QNTQuantEthereum178.99175.429-1.99%113.54-36.57%0.2200✓0.948.7M2022-02-02
XLMStellarStellar0.2902880.284373-2.04%0.193151-33.46%0.1552✓1.0124.9M2022-02-02
XMRMoneroMonero231.81226.9783-2.08%145.08-37.41%0.2330✓0.933.2M2022-02-02
COMPCompoundEthereum222.2217.2691-2.22%121.22-45.45%0.3280✓1.11210k2022-02-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.217.0465-2.27%5.04-30.10%0.1892✓0.64861k2022-02-02
XEMNEMnative0.1270.123996-2.37%0.1015-20.08%0.0430✗1.06115k2022-02-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6821.6404-2.47%1.279-23.96%0.0602✗1.356.0M2022-02-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot30.0929.3416-2.49%18.76-37.65%0.1579✓1.2672.5M2022-02-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19840.193212-2.62%0.1348-32.06%0.1566✓0.89527k2022-02-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1525.0106-2.75%3.998-22.40%0.0903✓0.59598k2022-02-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4140.402402-2.80%0.25-39.61%0.3102✓0.7241k2022-02-02
AAVEAaveEthereum267.25259.6298-2.85%151.26-43.40%0.2901✓1.0912.6M2022-02-02
TRXTRONTron0.0769880.074787-2.86%0.058639-23.83%0.0306✓0.93552k2022-02-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0220530.021407-2.93%0.014783-32.97%0.0901✓1.222.4M2022-02-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.898.618-3.06%6.02-32.28%0.2217✓0.60869k2022-02-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.7222.9885-3.08%15.79-33.43%0.0886✓1.2569.2M2022-02-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1524.0222-3.13%3.03-27.02%0.1308✓0.66483k2022-02-02
KCSKuCoinnative22.36321.6566-3.16%17.776-20.51%0.1728✗1.6114.1M2022-02-02
SOLSolanaSolana170.13164.7224-3.18%101.99-40.05%0.2567✓0.97217.0M2022-02-02
XTZTezosTezos4.81564.6599-3.23%3.7524-22.08%0.0858✗1.324.9M2022-02-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash434.61420.4766-3.25%278-36.03%0.1858✓0.999.1M2022-02-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.68.3138-3.33%6.05-29.65%0.1503✓0.73773k2022-02-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.562.4733-3.39%1.63-36.33%0.1835✓1.024.0M2022-02-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.253.1388-3.42%1.87-42.46%0.2217✓1.293.0M2022-02-02
SUSHISushiEthereum8.518.2171-3.44%4.09-51.94%0.4004✓1.2917.7M2022-02-02
ADACardanoCardano1.31861.2704-3.65%1.0268-22.13%0.0319✓1.0798.5M2022-02-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.056590.0544-3.87%0.03913-30.85%0.0891✓1.0515k2022-02-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.433.2961-3.90%2.41-29.74%0.0893✓0.97995k2022-02-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.121060.116318-3.92%0.08941-26.14%0.0146✓1.0826k2022-02-02
KSMKusamaHydration289.65278.1537-3.97%162.31-43.96%0.2891✓1.091.3M2022-02-02
XYMSymbolnative0.20580.19726-4.15%0.1756-14.67%0.0228✓0.61428k2022-02-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5110.0695-4.19%9.36-10.94%0.0985✗0.751.3M2022-02-02
UOSUltraEthereum1.53941.4733-4.29%1.0423-32.29%0.1275✓0.953.7M2022-02-02
BANDBandEthereum5.565.3187-4.34%3.37-39.39%0.1918✓1.152.1M2022-02-02
NANOnanopayBase3.57923.4231-4.36%2.1064-41.15%0.2452✓1.05754k2022-02-02
XVSVenusEthereum15.5214.8311-4.44%7.83-49.55%0.3762✓1.143.5M2022-02-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.141.0891-4.46%0.64-43.86%0.3019✓1.001.9M2022-02-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.1814.4943-4.52%14.09-7.18%0.1269✗0.681.2M2022-02-02
LSKLiskEthereum2.35452.2469-4.57%1.6005-32.02%0.0998✓1.04100k2022-02-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033070.000031552-4.59%0.00002064-37.59%0.1383✓1.251.7M2022-02-02
GTGateEthereum6.43926.1435-4.59%6.8016+5.63%0.2817✗0.783.9M2022-02-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.62794.4133-4.64%3.1357-32.24%0.0450✓1.295.0M2022-02-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche108.09103.0118-4.70%67.87-37.21%0.1752✓1.05119.6M2022-02-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum29.2827.8991-4.72%21.59-26.26%0.0615✗1.3824.2M2022-02-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.6430.131-4.77%23.57-25.51%0.0972✓0.65385k2022-02-02
API3Api3Ethereum4.133.9319-4.80%3.4-17.68%0.0844✗1.001.0M2022-02-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0860.081719-4.98%0.0643-25.23%0.0018✓1.0420k2022-02-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.11772.9606-5.04%3.0352-2.65%0.3003✗1.203.1M2022-02-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.50621.4294-5.10%0.37-75.43%1.1533✓0.864.5M2022-02-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.30191.2344-5.19%0.81012-37.77%0.0259✓1.721.3M2022-02-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.4368.9461-5.19%5.754-39.02%0.2932✓0.64302k2022-02-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.3167.883-5.21%5.883-29.26%0.0116✓1.22354k2022-02-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.7774.5248-5.28%3.166-33.72%0.1858✓0.751.2M2022-02-02
STORJStorjEthereum1.85211.7533-5.33%1.1125-39.93%0.2693✓0.81689k2022-02-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum38,753.9336,647.34-5.44%23,029.36-40.58%0.3230✓0.6215.7M2022-02-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.241.1711-5.56%0.719-42.02%0.2759✓0.922.5M2022-02-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.020230.019105-5.56%0.0126-37.72%0.2845✓0.5736k2022-02-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.38880.366589-5.71%0.2783-28.42%0.0503✓1.423.4M2022-02-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110920.10456-5.73%0.07379-33.47%0.2000✓0.6555k2022-02-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4673.2658-5.80%2.582-25.53%0.1318✗1.601.9M2022-02-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.052480.04939-5.89%0.02927-44.23%0.3220✓0.888.2M2022-02-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6161.52-5.94%0.883-45.36%0.2481✓1.283.4M2022-02-02
IMXImmutableEthereum4.574.2958-6.00%3.03-33.70%0.1193✓1.002.5M2022-02-02
CBKCobakEthereum3.3813.1755-6.08%2.235-33.90%0.1584✓0.8441k2022-02-02
QTUMQtumQtum9.20528.618-6.38%6.025-34.55%0.0479✓1.35273k2022-02-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.65820.615933-6.42%0.4048-38.50%0.1463✓1.1911.4M2022-02-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.6054.3066-6.48%3.3042-28.25%0.1203✓0.6318k2022-02-02
GITCOINGITCOIN13.61212.6993-6.70%7.564-44.43%0.5219✓-0.0298k2022-02-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.173.8901-6.71%2.18-47.72%0.3494✓1.003.4M2022-02-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.38421.2893-6.85%0.8404-39.29%0.2186✓0.9121.2M2022-02-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20520.190603-7.11%0.1092-46.78%0.2804✓1.204.8M2022-02-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.79491.6669-7.13%0.9235-48.55%0.3447✓1.0730.0M2022-02-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.721.5951-7.26%1.36-20.93%0.2280✗1.691.0M2022-02-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.090080.083534-7.27%0.05325-40.89%0.1161✓1.453.0M2022-02-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.12350.114504-7.28%0.0786-36.36%0.1465✓1.0035.9M2022-02-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.722.8975-7.30%13.76-44.29%0.3490✓0.701.3M2022-02-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.70480.653267-7.31%0.5398-23.41%0.0950✗1.245.3M2022-02-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.5610.705-7.40%6.53-43.51%0.5302✓-0.162.3M2022-02-02
DASHDashDash139.05128.6967-7.45%93.05-33.08%0.0413✓1.231.9M2022-02-02
SCSiacoinnative0.015730.014516-7.72%0.00983-37.51%0.1725✓0.95817k2022-02-02
ZECZcashZcash150.55138.596-7.94%98.35-34.67%0.0507✓1.2710.3M2022-02-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.37210.342412-7.98%0.2314-37.81%0.0994✓1.273.4M2022-02-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.7231.9066-8.10%26.29-24.28%0.0355✓1.003.9M2022-02-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.1970.180979-8.13%0.11-44.16%0.2256✓1.192.4M2022-02-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin148.43136.251-8.21%108.36-27.00%0.0761✓1.3338.3M2022-02-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.08550.078466-8.23%0.0418-51.11%0.3540✓1.2020.9M2022-02-02
DODODODOEthereum0.9040.829475-8.24%0.465-48.56%0.2497✓1.438.1M2022-02-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.7212.5876-8.25%7.54-45.04%0.5036✓0.043.7M2022-02-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum39.2335.9734-8.30%18.01-54.09%0.2788✓1.805.7M2022-02-02
FTTFTXEthereum40.2236.8264-8.44%42.9+6.66%0.3837✗1.0119.4M2022-02-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum36.4133.3226-8.48%20.09-44.82%0.1704✓1.461.1M2022-02-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.640.58542-8.53%0.316-50.63%0.3317✓1.242.2M2022-02-02
XVGVergenative0.017310.015833-8.54%0.00978-43.50%0.2085✓1.192.2M2022-02-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum94.3886.286-8.58%49.12-47.96%0.3411✓0.976.3M2022-02-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.39481.2752-8.58%1.8613+33.45%0.6269✗1.08926k2022-02-02
XECeCashnative0.000116480.000106484-8.58%0.00007582-34.91%0.1160✓0.977.4M2022-02-02
LUNATerraTerra 288.9281.2263-8.65%47.6-46.47%0.3047✓1.005.3M2022-02-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos39.2935.8648-8.72%26.33-32.99%0.1009✓0.9143.4M2022-02-02
MANADecentralandEthereum3.25062.9633-8.84%2.537-21.95%0.0610✓0.945.9M2022-02-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.199410.181691-8.89%0.19118-4.13%0.4059✗1.556,5192022-02-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.7962.5446-8.99%1.696-39.34%0.1745✓1.011.9M2022-02-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10040.091269-9.09%0.0599-40.34%0.1056✓1.371.6M2022-02-02
HIVEHivenative1.63031.4813-9.14%0.9455-42.00%0.1372✓1.365.5M2022-02-02
ZENHorizenBase63.4457.6379-9.15%38.13-39.90%0.0880✓1.42837k2022-02-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0338370.030721-9.21%0.020246-40.17%0.1811✓1.037.8M2022-02-02
CELLCellframeEthereum1.00250.909213-9.31%0.8666-13.56%0.1817✗1.00146k2022-02-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum7.196.5185-9.34%5.33-25.87%0.0575✓1.133.3M2022-02-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.940260.851597-9.43%0.5718-39.19%0.1525✓1.072.8M2022-02-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.8111.6012-9.44%5.77-54.96%0.5615✓0.601.3M2022-02-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.640.577983-9.69%0.5361-16.23%0.2444✗1.39650k2022-02-02
MOVRMoonriverBase191.896173.0178-9.84%73.5972-61.65%0.6218✓1.01574k2022-02-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.06360.057335-9.85%0.035872-43.60%0.1592✓1.357.5M2022-02-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.18285.5705-9.90%4.6307-25.10%0.0768✓1.14577k2022-02-02
LRCLoopringEthereum2.04561.843-9.90%0.8664-57.65%0.3287✓1.851.5M2022-02-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017360.015638-9.92%0.00952-45.16%0.2058✓1.262.2M2022-02-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.3740.336577-10.01%0.278-25.67%0.0373✓0.99293k2022-02-02
UMAUMAEthereum9.278.334-10.10%5.49-40.78%0.1609✓1.123.9M2022-02-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.69420.622599-10.31%0.4277-38.39%0.0725✓1.322.9M2022-02-02
RADRadworksEthereum11.2910.1226-10.34%5.22-53.76%0.4686✓0.841.2M2022-02-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum6.535.8468-10.46%3.11-52.37%0.3267✓1.3329.3M2022-02-02
MINAMina Protocolnative3.573.1947-10.51%2.46-31.09%0.0195✓1.05626k2022-02-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.893.4637-10.96%1.9-51.16%0.2965✓1.3211.2M2022-02-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022160.019685-11.17%0.00607-72.61%0.9467✓1.0029.0M2022-02-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07310.064916-11.20%0.034-53.49%0.3255✓1.401.7M2022-02-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13520.120004-11.24%0.0794-41.27%0.1666✓1.07310k2022-02-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum41.8436.9468-11.70%26.55-36.54%0.0472✓1.642.8M2022-02-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.30050.265199-11.75%0.1803-40.00%0.0906✓1.294.6M2022-02-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.24371.0848-12.77%0.6281-49.50%0.2250✓1.401.9M2022-02-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.84130.725346-13.78%0.4666-44.54%0.0528✓1.6931.9M2022-02-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.