2022-01-03 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2349

138 of 138 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+9.66%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

82.6%

in alpha space · 97.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-20.53%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.8413	0.674906	-19.78%	0.4666	-44.54%	0.0247	✓	1.71	31.9M	2022-02-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.64	0.544588	-14.91%	0.5361	-16.23%	0.3039	✗	1.39	650k	2022-02-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.17	3.6661	-12.08%	2.18	-47.72%	0.2901	✓	1.00	3.4M	2022-02-02
HIVE	Hive	native	1.6303	1.4333	-12.08%	0.9455	-42.00%	0.0991	✓	1.38	5.5M	2022-02-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19941	0.176249	-11.61%	0.19118	-4.13%	0.4415	✗	1.57	6,519	2022-02-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	39.29	34.7277	-11.61%	26.33	-32.99%	0.0683	✓	0.91	43.4M	2022-02-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02216	0.019599	-11.55%	0.00607	-72.61%	0.9424	✓	1.00	29.0M	2022-02-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.5394	1.372	-10.88%	1.0423	-32.29%	0.0565	✓	0.95	3.7M	2022-02-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	39.23	35.0583	-10.63%	18.01	-54.09%	0.2530	✓	1.80	5.7M	2022-02-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.467	3.111	-10.27%	2.582	-25.53%	0.1803	✗	1.60	1.9M	2022-02-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6942	0.624539	-10.03%	0.4277	-38.39%	0.0742	✓	1.32	2.9M	2022-02-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2506	2.9343	-9.73%	2.537	-21.95%	0.0708	✓	0.94	5.9M	2022-02-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	41.84	37.9408	-9.32%	26.55	-36.54%	0.0219	✓	1.65	2.8M	2022-02-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	7.19	6.5253	-9.24%	5.33	-25.87%	0.0593	✓	1.14	3.3M	2022-02-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	12.81	11.6569	-9.00%	5.77	-54.96%	0.5648	✓	0.60	1.3M	2022-02-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0456	1.864	-8.88%	0.8664	-57.65%	0.3348	✓	1.88	1.5M	2022-02-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3005	0.274123	-8.78%	0.1803	-40.00%	0.1192	✓	1.30	4.6M	2022-02-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.2437	1.1366	-8.61%	0.6281	-49.50%	0.2716	✓	1.40	1.9M	2022-02-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.3019	1.1909	-8.53%	0.81012	-37.77%	0.0197	✓	1.76	1.3M	2022-02-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.374	0.342115	-8.53%	0.278	-25.67%	0.0210	✓	0.99	293k	2022-02-02
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.89	3.5599	-8.49%	1.9	-51.16%	0.3239	✓	1.32	11.2M	2022-02-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0025	0.921447	-8.09%	0.8666	-13.56%	0.1684	✗	1.00	146k	2022-02-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	11.56	10.6263	-8.08%	6.53	-43.51%	0.5254	✓	-0.17	2.3M	2022-02-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.94026	0.866564	-7.84%	0.5718	-39.19%	0.1588	✓	1.12	2.8M	2022-02-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.1235	0.114046	-7.66%	0.0786	-36.36%	0.1425	✓	1.00	35.9M	2022-02-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01573	0.014539	-7.57%	0.00983	-37.51%	0.1720	✓	0.96	817k	2022-02-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	3.381	3.1253	-7.56%	2.235	-33.90%	0.1411	✓	0.85	41k	2022-02-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	6.53	6.0468	-7.40%	3.11	-52.37%	0.3543	✓	1.35	29.3M	2022-02-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	88.92	82.3781	-7.36%	47.6	-46.47%	0.3187	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.13	3.8396	-7.03%	3.4	-17.68%	0.1081	✗	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.29	10.5108	-6.90%	5.22	-53.76%	0.5072	✓	0.84	1.2M	2022-02-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	191.896	178.671	-6.89%	73.5972	-61.65%	0.6201	✓	1.16	574k	2022-02-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.14	1.0618	-6.86%	0.64	-43.86%	0.2765	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	148.43	138.2544	-6.86%	108.36	-27.00%	0.0659	✓	1.35	38.3M	2022-02-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.57	4.2581	-6.82%	3.03	-33.70%	0.1105	✓	1.00	2.5M	2022-02-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0636	0.059269	-6.81%	0.035872	-43.60%	0.1827	✓	1.39	7.5M	2022-02-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.7949	1.6761	-6.62%	0.9235	-48.55%	0.3407	✓	1.11	30.0M	2022-02-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.796	2.611	-6.62%	1.696	-39.34%	0.1966	✓	1.02	1.9M	2022-02-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	63.44	59.3725	-6.41%	38.13	-39.90%	0.0964	✓	1.51	837k	2022-02-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3186	1.2343	-6.39%	1.0268	-22.13%	0.0678	✗	1.10	98.5M	2022-02-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.605	4.3121	-6.36%	3.3042	-28.25%	0.1073	✓	0.69	18k	2022-02-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.1828	5.7939	-6.29%	4.6307	-25.10%	0.0518	✓	1.20	577k	2022-02-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0731	0.068515	-6.27%	0.034	-53.49%	0.3795	✓	1.40	1.7M	2022-02-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.11092	0.10406	-6.18%	0.07379	-33.47%	0.1966	✓	0.64	55k	2022-02-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1352	0.126926	-6.12%	0.0794	-41.27%	0.2227	✓	1.07	310k	2022-02-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.8521	1.7389	-6.11%	1.1125	-39.93%	0.2622	✓	0.80	689k	2022-02-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	13.72	12.8896	-6.05%	7.54	-45.04%	0.5367	✓	-0.00	3.7M	2022-02-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	38,753.93	36,421.08	-6.02%	23,029.36	-40.58%	0.3198	✓	0.60	15.7M	2022-02-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		13.612	12.8006	-5.96%	7.564	-44.43%	0.5390	✓	-0.06	98k	2022-02-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.6	8.0918	-5.91%	6.05	-29.65%	0.1156	✓	0.76	773k	2022-02-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05248	0.04938	-5.91%	0.02927	-44.23%	0.3171	✓	0.90	8.2M	2022-02-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3948	1.313	-5.87%	1.8613	+33.45%	0.6017	✗	1.10	926k	2022-02-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.01731	0.016296	-5.86%	0.00978	-43.50%	0.2365	✓	1.19	2.2M	2022-02-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.27	8.7375	-5.74%	5.49	-40.78%	0.2085	✓	1.12	3.9M	2022-02-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.18	14.3093	-5.74%	14.09	-7.18%	0.1421	✗	0.69	1.2M	2022-02-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.02023	0.01909	-5.64%	0.0126	-37.72%	0.2671	✓	0.65	36k	2022-02-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.904	0.853294	-5.61%	0.465	-48.56%	0.2689	✓	1.47	8.1M	2022-02-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	108.09	102.0359	-5.60%	67.87	-37.21%	0.1516	✓	1.11	119.6M	2022-02-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003307	0.000031219	-5.60%	0.00002064	-37.59%	0.1276	✓	1.25	1.7M	2022-02-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.3842	1.307	-5.57%	0.8404	-39.29%	0.2265	✓	0.94	21.2M	2022-02-02
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.5062	1.4229	-5.53%	0.37	-75.43%	1.1592	✓	0.82	4.5M	2022-02-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.56	2.4193	-5.50%	1.63	-36.33%	0.1517	✓	1.06	4.0M	2022-02-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	170.13	160.7979	-5.49%	101.99	-40.05%	0.2103	✓	1.07	217.0M	2022-02-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.64	0.604966	-5.47%	0.316	-50.63%	0.3596	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2052	0.194007	-5.45%	0.1092	-46.78%	0.2897	✓	1.24	4.8M	2022-02-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	434.61	411.6499	-5.28%	278	-36.03%	0.1601	✓	1.01	9.1M	2022-02-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01736	0.016447	-5.26%	0.00952	-45.16%	0.2504	✓	1.29	2.2M	2022-02-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0855	0.081014	-5.25%	0.0418	-51.11%	0.3822	✓	1.22	20.9M	2022-02-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	94.38	89.4696	-5.20%	49.12	-47.96%	0.3787	✓	0.96	6.3M	2022-02-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,766.04	3,572.75	-5.13%	2,682.66	-28.77%	0.0480	✓	1.04	654.8M	2022-02-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	31.64	30.071	-4.96%	23.57	-25.51%	0.0880	✓	0.68	385k	2022-02-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		122.18	116.1457	-4.94%	90	-26.34%	0.0360	✓	0.95	3.2M	2022-02-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.616	1.5364	-4.92%	0.883	-45.36%	0.2571	✓	1.29	3.4M	2022-02-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1177	2.9644	-4.92%	3.0352	-2.65%	0.2990	✗	1.20	3.1M	2022-02-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1004	0.095484	-4.90%	0.0599	-40.34%	0.1531	✓	1.36	1.6M	2022-02-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7048	0.670351	-4.89%	0.5398	-23.41%	0.0750	✗	1.27	5.3M	2022-02-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011648	0.000110787	-4.89%	0.00007582	-34.91%	0.1537	✓	0.98	7.4M	2022-02-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.56	5.291	-4.84%	3.37	-39.39%	0.1774	✓	1.19	2.1M	2022-02-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.8156	4.5841	-4.81%	3.7524	-22.08%	0.1064	✗	1.33	4.9M	2022-02-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.6279	4.4071	-4.77%	3.1357	-32.24%	0.0436	✓	1.29	5.0M	2022-02-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	150.55	143.3814	-4.76%	98.35	-34.67%	0.0668	✓	1.35	10.3M	2022-02-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.72	33.0735	-4.74%	26.29	-24.28%	0.0093	✓	1.04	3.9M	2022-02-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.57	3.403	-4.68%	2.46	-31.09%	0.0758	✓	1.08	626k	2022-02-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.7	23.5446	-4.68%	13.76	-44.29%	0.3008	✓	1.03	1.3M	2022-02-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3721	0.354741	-4.67%	0.2314	-37.81%	0.1346	✓	1.27	3.4M	2022-02-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.25	3.1011	-4.58%	1.87	-42.46%	0.2061	✓	1.30	3.0M	2022-02-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.197	0.188107	-4.51%	0.11	-44.16%	0.2643	✓	1.19	2.4M	2022-02-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1984	0.18966	-4.41%	0.1348	-32.06%	0.1332	✓	0.91	527k	2022-02-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.316	7.9506	-4.39%	5.883	-29.26%	0.0108	✓	1.26	354k	2022-02-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033837	0.032359	-4.37%	0.020246	-40.17%	0.2337	✓	1.02	7.8M	2022-02-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.682	1.6086	-4.37%	1.279	-23.96%	0.0835	✗	1.36	6.0M	2022-02-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.43	3.2846	-4.24%	2.41	-29.74%	0.0803	✓	1.00	995k	2022-02-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	36.41	34.8835	-4.19%	20.09	-44.82%	0.2005	✓	1.53	1.1M	2022-02-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.363	21.4326	-4.16%	17.776	-20.51%	0.1882	✗	1.63	14.1M	2022-02-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	8.51	8.1623	-4.09%	4.09	-51.94%	0.3904	✓	1.31	17.7M	2022-02-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	23.72	22.7614	-4.04%	15.79	-33.43%	0.0616	✓	1.32	69.2M	2022-02-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6582	0.631873	-4.00%	0.4048	-38.50%	0.1480	✓	1.29	11.4M	2022-02-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	35.08	33.7099	-3.91%	20.19	-42.45%	0.2735	✓	1.04	22.7M	2022-02-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.52	14.918	-3.88%	7.83	-49.55%	0.3793	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-02-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	222.2	213.597	-3.87%	121.22	-45.45%	0.3033	✓	1.15	210k	2022-02-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	29.28	28.1693	-3.79%	21.59	-26.26%	0.0575	✗	1.41	24.2M	2022-02-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3888	0.37407	-3.79%	0.2783	-28.42%	0.0464	✗	1.49	3.4M	2022-02-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.5792	3.4483	-3.66%	2.1064	-41.15%	0.2480	✓	1.07	754k	2022-02-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.265	2.1824	-3.65%	1.589	-29.85%	0.0597	✓	1.12	2.7M	2022-02-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	30.09	29.0071	-3.60%	18.76	-37.65%	0.1398	✓	1.29	72.5M	2022-02-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.51	10.1377	-3.54%	9.36	-10.94%	0.0918	✗	0.75	1.3M	2022-02-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.72	1.6594	-3.52%	1.36	-20.93%	0.1961	✗	1.72	1.0M	2022-02-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	178.99	172.7224	-3.50%	113.54	-36.57%	0.1994	✓	0.96	8.7M	2022-02-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.436	9.107	-3.49%	5.754	-39.02%	0.3189	✓	0.61	302k	2022-02-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.3545	2.2725	-3.48%	1.6005	-32.02%	0.0924	✓	1.12	100k	2022-02-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.24	1.1975	-3.42%	0.719	-42.02%	0.2939	✓	0.94	2.5M	2022-02-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.21	6.9642	-3.41%	5.04	-30.10%	0.1768	✓	0.64	861k	2022-02-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.22	38.8563	-3.39%	42.9	+6.66%	0.3413	✗	1.05	19.4M	2022-02-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7914	3.6677	-3.26%	4.1355	+9.08%	0.0945	✗	-0.11	374k	2022-02-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.414	0.400633	-3.23%	0.25	-39.61%	0.3035	✓	0.73	41k	2022-02-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.09008	0.087173	-3.23%	0.05325	-40.89%	0.1587	✓	1.45	3.0M	2022-02-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.152	4.9885	-3.17%	3.998	-22.40%	0.0827	✓	0.60	598k	2022-02-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.290288	0.281087	-3.17%	0.193151	-33.46%	0.1416	✓	1.02	24.9M	2022-02-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	267.25	258.867	-3.14%	151.26	-43.40%	0.2775	✓	1.13	12.6M	2022-02-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	139.05	134.7541	-3.09%	93.05	-33.08%	0.0792	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	46,459.56	45,043.11	-3.05%	36,923.39	-20.53%	0.0310	✗	1.00	727.0M	2022-02-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	289.65	280.8653	-3.03%	162.31	-43.96%	0.2920	✓	1.12	1.3M	2022-02-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.2052	8.9388	-2.90%	6.025	-34.55%	0.0693	✓	1.42	273k	2022-02-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.127	0.123482	-2.77%	0.1015	-20.08%	0.0567	✗	1.10	115k	2022-02-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05659	0.055071	-2.68%	0.03913	-30.85%	0.0890	✓	1.10	15k	2022-02-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.12106	0.117822	-2.67%	0.08941	-26.14%	0.0229	✓	1.10	26k	2022-02-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.89	8.6527	-2.67%	6.02	-32.28%	0.2239	✓	0.60	869k	2022-02-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.170103	0.16599	-2.42%	0.137104	-19.40%	0.0619	✗	1.10	4.7M	2022-02-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.086	0.08414	-2.16%	0.0643	-25.23%	0.0226	✓	1.07	20k	2022-02-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.076988	0.07534	-2.14%	0.058639	-23.83%	0.0347	✓	0.94	552k	2022-02-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2058	0.201417	-2.13%	0.1756	-14.67%	0.0001	✓	0.60	428k	2022-02-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.777	4.6774	-2.09%	3.166	-33.72%	0.2157	✓	0.76	1.2M	2022-02-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022053	0.021599	-2.06%	0.014783	-32.97%	0.1024	✓	1.20	2.4M	2022-02-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4392	6.3199	-1.85%	6.8016	+5.63%	0.2667	✗	0.84	3.9M	2022-02-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	231.81	228.4586	-1.45%	145.08	-37.41%	0.2233	✓	1.00	3.2M	2022-02-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	18.47	18.2326	-1.29%	10.53	-42.99%	0.2542	✓	1.28	14.1M	2022-02-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.152	4.1208	-0.75%	3.03	-27.02%	0.1552	✓	0.66	483k	2022-02-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	46,018.20	45,973.14	-0.10%	37,883.40	-17.68%	0.0312	✗	0.98	10k	2022-02-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.