2021-12-25 · +1d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1314

137 of 137 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+1.86%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

51.1%

in alpha space · 44.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+0.74%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	51,009.40	50,976.77	-0.06%	50,987.30	-0.04%	0.0070	✓	0.98	8,566	2021-12-26
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	17.47	17.4519	-0.10%	18.67	+6.87%	0.0580	✗	1.28	14.6M	2021-12-26
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.290047	0.289648	-0.14%	0.291987	+0.67%	0.0007	✓	0.99	35.1M	2021-12-26
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	37.02	36.9686	-0.14%	37.29	+0.73%	0.0012	✓	1.00	22.7M	2021-12-26
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	4,097.43	4,091.57	-0.14%	4,065.91	-0.77%	0.0138	✓	1.02	768.5M	2021-12-26
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	455.36	454.6948	-0.15%	451.86	-0.77%	0.0137	✓	1.00	13.1M	2021-12-26
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		128.21	128.0118	-0.15%	127.5	-0.55%	0.0111	✓	0.97	3.2M	2021-12-26
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	195.44	195.1146	-0.17%	194.3	-0.58%	0.0109	✓	0.92	12.0M	2021-12-26
XMR	Monero	Monero	211.35	210.9517	-0.19%	216.57	+2.47%	0.0196	✗	0.91	2.8M	2021-12-26
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.31	2.3056	-0.19%	2.289	-0.91%	0.0153	✓	1.09	3.3M	2021-12-26
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	16.46	16.4257	-0.21%	17.11	+3.95%	0.0326	✗	1.12	4.9M	2021-12-26
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.4542	1.4511	-0.21%	1.4549	+0.05%	0.0050	✓	1.03	120.7M	2021-12-26
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	50,428.31	50,320.48	-0.21%	50,801.79	+0.74%	0.0021	✓	1.00	750.8M	2021-12-26
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.55	3.5424	-0.21%	3.61	+1.69%	0.0118	✗	0.96	1.2M	2021-12-26
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5524	3.5444	-0.22%	3.4826	-1.96%	0.0169	✓	-0.09	384k	2021-12-26
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	3.331	3.3235	-0.23%	3.279	-1.56%	0.0197	✓	0.84	99k	2021-12-26
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2174	0.216908	-0.23%	0.219	+0.74%	0.0034	✗	0.85	756k	2021-12-26
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05902	0.058879	-0.24%	0.05866	-0.61%	0.0115	✓	1.05	16k	2021-12-26
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.92	22.8647	-0.24%	22.898	-0.10%	0.0108	✓	1.66	20.1M	2021-12-26
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	28.86	28.7877	-0.25%	31.34	+8.59%	0.0760	✗	1.22	77.3M	2021-12-26
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	9.001	8.9781	-0.25%	9.232	+2.57%	0.0184	✗	1.28	455k	2021-12-26
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.47	5.4558	-0.26%	5.487	+0.31%	0.0011	✓	0.63	846k	2021-12-26
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.5192	2.5124	-0.27%	2.4928	-1.05%	0.0159	✓	1.09	147k	2021-12-26
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.12333	0.122989	-0.28%	0.12458	+1.01%	0.0049	✗	1.08	29k	2021-12-26
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.05	4.0387	-0.28%	4.113	+1.56%	0.0130	✗	0.71	473k	2021-12-26
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	34.44	34.3409	-0.29%	34.4	-0.12%	0.0030	✓	0.63	611k	2021-12-26
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.11267	0.112344	-0.29%	0.11329	+0.55%	0.0041	✗	0.58	113k	2021-12-26
SOL	Solana	Solana	193.06	192.5015	-0.29%	198	+2.56%	0.0214	✗	0.91	257.1M	2021-12-26
XEM	NEM	native	0.137	0.136599	-0.29%	0.1412	+3.07%	0.0254	✗	1.05	199k	2021-12-26
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.952	1.9462	-0.29%	1.942	-0.51%	0.0118	✓	1.30	7.9M	2021-12-26
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.13	3.1207	-0.30%	3.08	-1.60%	0.0225	✓	1.27	3.2M	2021-12-26
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	228.44	227.7333	-0.31%	235.5	+3.09%	0.0257	✗	1.06	239k	2021-12-26
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	25.62	25.5403	-0.31%	25.82	+0.78%	0.0057	✗	0.70	2.7M	2021-12-26
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.28	4.2665	-0.31%	4.37	+2.10%	0.0180	✗	0.81	719k	2021-12-26
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	22.12	22.0498	-0.32%	22.99	+3.93%	0.0327	✗	1.22	69.7M	2021-12-26
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.081715	0.08145	-0.32%	0.081508	-0.25%	0.0063	✓	0.94	655k	2021-12-26
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.5748	1.5696	-0.33%	1.6079	+2.10%	0.0165	✗	1.03	33.5M	2021-12-26
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.302	1.2977	-0.33%	1.317	+1.15%	0.0078	✗	0.94	3.7M	2021-12-26
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	8.05	8.0231	-0.33%	7.96	-1.12%	0.0125	✓	0.63	1.0M	2021-12-26
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.639	1.6335	-0.34%	1.668	+1.77%	0.0114	✗	1.29	4.8M	2021-12-26
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.75	5.7303	-0.34%	5.85	+1.74%	0.0122	✗	1.15	3.0M	2021-12-26
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0895	0.089182	-0.36%	0.0896	+0.11%	0.0031	✓	1.05	19k	2021-12-26
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.79	29.6838	-0.36%	32.17	+7.99%	0.0742	✗	0.85	39.4M	2021-12-26
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	27.29	27.1922	-0.36%	26.72	-2.09%	0.0276	✓	1.37	24.1M	2021-12-26
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	263.91	262.9568	-0.36%	268.05	+1.57%	0.0116	✗	1.03	11.4M	2021-12-26
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	293.74	292.6715	-0.36%	322.4	+9.76%	0.0889	✗	1.06	1.5M	2021-12-26
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.57	12.5238	-0.37%	12.67	+0.80%	0.0136	✗	-0.27	4.9M	2021-12-26
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,196.71	31,082.09	-0.37%	31,193.34	-0.01%	0.0004	✓	0.54	7.7M	2021-12-26
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.88	5.8579	-0.38%	6.24	+6.12%	0.0551	✗	1.09	4.6M	2021-12-26
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.65	7.6209	-0.38%	7.93	+3.66%	0.0297	✗	1.36	15.1M	2021-12-26
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.023808	0.023717	-0.38%	0.024422	+2.58%	0.0203	✗	1.22	2.2M	2021-12-26
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	38.1	37.9524	-0.39%	37.92	-0.47%	0.0082	✓	1.00	5.9M	2021-12-26
METRONOME	METRONOME		5.1706	5.1505	-0.39%	4.9306	-4.64%	0.0486	✓	0.68	28k	2021-12-26
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	2.0162	2.0083	-0.39%	2.0712	+2.73%	0.0256	✗	0.71	1.3M	2021-12-26
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04956	0.049365	-0.39%	0.05082	+2.54%	0.0225	✗	0.89	11.3M	2021-12-26
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.73	2.7192	-0.40%	2.76	+1.10%	0.0077	✗	0.97	4.4M	2021-12-26
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.190748	0.189982	-0.40%	0.190018	-0.38%	0.0079	✓	1.10	6.1M	2021-12-26
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.952	9.9111	-0.41%	9.727	-2.26%	0.0237	✓	0.67	388k	2021-12-26
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.5838	4.5649	-0.41%	4.8691	+6.22%	0.0552	✗	1.27	5.4M	2021-12-26
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	9.34	9.3005	-0.42%	9.4	+0.64%	0.0052	✗	0.74	934k	2021-12-26
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.389	6.3618	-0.43%	6.7502	+5.65%	0.0538	✗	0.74	4.3M	2021-12-26
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01675	0.016678	-0.43%	0.01668	-0.42%	0.0067	✓	0.92	1.3M	2021-12-26
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	10.0526	10.0091	-0.43%	9.8982	-1.54%	0.0212	✓	1.37	309k	2021-12-26
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2424	0.24135	-0.43%	0.2394	-1.24%	0.0117	✓	0.49	393k	2021-12-26
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	158	157.308	-0.44%	155.96	-1.29%	0.0187	✓	1.37	56.9M	2021-12-26
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.3389	1.333	-0.44%	1.3324	-0.49%	0.0131	✓	1.72	1.6M	2021-12-26
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	17.01	16.9339	-0.45%	16.92	-0.53%	0.0058	✓	0.68	1.4M	2021-12-26
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	9.95	9.9053	-0.45%	9.64	-3.12%	0.0320	✓	0.66	1.0M	2021-12-26
DASH	Dash	Dash	150	149.3086	-0.46%	149.09	-0.61%	0.0105	✓	1.23	2.1M	2021-12-26
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	185.5458	184.666	-0.47%	187.2077	+0.90%	0.0065	✗	0.97	704k	2021-12-26
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.862461	0.858361	-0.48%	0.879132	+1.93%	0.0163	✗	1.03	3.4M	2021-12-26
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	169.64	168.8217	-0.48%	167.45	-1.29%	0.0173	✓	1.23	12.7M	2021-12-26
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.4098	1.403	-0.48%	1.3933	-1.17%	0.0147	✓	1.05	1.3M	2021-12-26
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	114.86	114.3018	-0.49%	115.07	+0.18%	0.0012	✓	1.07	136.0M	2021-12-26
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	46.41	46.1811	-0.49%	45.66	-1.62%	0.0250	✓	1.85	8.6M	2021-12-26
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3659	0.364077	-0.50%	0.371	+1.39%	0.0121	✗	0.91	356k	2021-12-26
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.292	4.2705	-0.50%	4.307	+0.35%	0.0011	✓	1.00	3.6M	2021-12-26
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4703	0.467943	-0.50%	0.469	-0.28%	0.0083	✓	1.42	1.1M	2021-12-26
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.941	0.936268	-0.50%	1.002	+6.48%	0.0574	✗	1.42	8.9M	2021-12-26
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.315	1.3084	-0.50%	1.3907	+5.76%	0.0536	✗	1.01	22.8M	2021-12-26
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.27	1.2636	-0.51%	1.28	+0.79%	0.0055	✗	1.00	2.4M	2021-12-26
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.72	4.6961	-0.51%	4.72	+0.00%	0.0023	✓	1.00	2.5M	2021-12-26
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.7241	1.7153	-0.51%	1.6918	-1.87%	0.0211	✓	1.00	6.2M	2021-12-26
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2345	0.2333	-0.51%	0.24	+2.35%	0.0196	✗	1.18	6.2M	2021-12-26
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	2	1.9897	-0.51%	2.196	+9.80%	0.0934	✗	0.72	7.5M	2021-12-26
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.7481	3.728	-0.54%	3.862	+3.04%	0.0288	✗	0.88	8.6M	2021-12-26
HIVE	Hive	native	1.6509	1.642	-0.54%	1.7664	+7.00%	0.0634	✗	1.30	8.6M	2021-12-26
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003772	0.000037516	-0.54%	0.00003825	+1.41%	0.0120	✗	1.00	2.1M	2021-12-26
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	11.18	11.1181	-0.55%	11.25	+0.63%	0.0061	✗	0.77	1.4M	2021-12-26
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.4176	0.415276	-0.56%	0.4225	+1.17%	0.0066	✗	1.44	4.4M	2021-12-26
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.5842	3.5638	-0.57%	3.66	+2.11%	0.0174	✗	1.25	3.4M	2021-12-26
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.7199	0.715745	-0.58%	0.7354	+2.15%	0.0185	✗	1.16	13.2M	2021-12-26
ZEN	Horizen	Base	70.77	70.3585	-0.58%	70.3	-0.66%	0.0112	✓	1.41	1.3M	2021-12-26
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	5.29	5.2589	-0.59%	5.23	-1.13%	0.0129	✓	1.00	6.5M	2021-12-26
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.21629	0.215019	-0.59%	0.20968	-3.06%	0.0369	✓	1.59	23k	2021-12-26
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1406	0.139739	-0.61%	0.1438	+2.28%	0.0209	✗	1.06	413k	2021-12-26
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.91	4.8799	-0.61%	4.79	-2.44%	0.0260	✓	1.00	1.3M	2021-12-26
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	39.41	39.1662	-0.62%	38.9	-1.29%	0.0174	✓	1.44	1.3M	2021-12-26
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.94	1.928	-0.62%	2.22	+14.43%	0.1288	✗	1.66	1.5M	2021-12-26
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.84	5.8038	-0.62%	5.75	-1.54%	0.0188	✓	1.28	28.7M	2021-12-26
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	109.28	108.5969	-0.63%	107.53	-1.60%	0.0170	✓	0.97	8.4M	2021-12-26
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.10179	0.101153	-0.63%	0.09987	-1.89%	0.0236	✓	1.47	4.8M	2021-12-26
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01996	0.019833	-0.63%	0.01958	-1.90%	0.0166	✓	0.51	53k	2021-12-26
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011988	0.000119118	-0.64%	0.00012144	+1.30%	0.0121	✗	0.98	11.6M	2021-12-26
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.78	3.7558	-0.64%	3.8689	+2.35%	0.0220	✗	1.04	819k	2021-12-26
XVG	Verge	native	0.01838	0.018261	-0.65%	0.01937	+5.39%	0.0503	✗	1.18	2.8M	2021-12-26
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.59	3.5666	-0.65%	3.81	+6.13%	0.0587	✗	0.99	787k	2021-12-26
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	5.2814	5.2464	-0.66%	5.3426	+1.16%	0.0082	✗	1.35	5.4M	2021-12-26
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7916	0.78623	-0.68%	0.7893	-0.29%	0.0051	✓	1.22	7.7M	2021-12-26
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1109	0.110141	-0.68%	0.113	+1.89%	0.0155	✗	1.37	3.0M	2021-12-26
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.06464	0.064186	-0.70%	0.06404	-0.93%	0.0127	✓	1.41	9.2M	2021-12-26
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	13.23	13.1358	-0.71%	13.1	-0.98%	0.0066	✓	0.52	2.7M	2021-12-26
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	42.74	42.4346	-0.71%	42.59	-0.35%	0.0037	✓	1.00	21.2M	2021-12-26
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	98.4	97.6938	-0.72%	99.78	+1.40%	0.0138	✗	1.00	6.1M	2021-12-26
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.2841	2.2676	-0.72%	2.3444	+2.64%	0.0191	✗	1.92	1.9M	2021-12-26
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	44.57	44.243	-0.73%	43.55	-2.29%	0.0284	✓	1.71	4.2M	2021-12-26
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.7869	0.781083	-0.74%	0.8093	+2.85%	0.0261	✗	1.27	4.0M	2021-12-26
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.1181	1.1098	-0.75%	1.1705	+4.69%	0.0423	✗	1.48	2.4M	2021-12-26
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.08801	0.087352	-0.75%	0.08785	-0.18%	0.0031	✓	1.19	21.7M	2021-12-26
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.721	0.71561	-0.75%	0.73	+1.25%	0.0110	✗	1.21	3.0M	2021-12-26
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.2058	0.204232	-0.76%	0.2011	-2.28%	0.0239	✓	1.14	4.2M	2021-12-26
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3183	0.315733	-0.81%	0.3303	+3.77%	0.0358	✗	1.26	5.8M	2021-12-26
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	3.134	3.1071	-0.86%	3.19	+1.79%	0.0193	✗	0.96	2.2M	2021-12-26
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01881	0.018648	-0.86%	0.01869	-0.64%	0.0068	✓	1.22	2.9M	2021-12-26
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.1799	1.1697	-0.86%	1.0806	-8.42%	0.0866	✓	1.00	184k	2021-12-26
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.08	10.984	-0.87%	10.61	-4.24%	0.0417	✓	0.95	2.0M	2021-12-26
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3974	0.393869	-0.89%	0.4265	+7.32%	0.0702	✗	1.27	5.3M	2021-12-26
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0826	0.081865	-0.89%	0.084	+1.69%	0.0161	✗	1.31	2.3M	2021-12-26
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.78	9.6915	-0.90%	10.41	+6.44%	0.0635	✗	1.08	4.1M	2021-12-26
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02284	0.022617	-0.98%	0.02201	-3.63%	0.0346	✓	1.00	35.6M	2021-12-26
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.86	6.7912	-1.00%	6.8179	-0.61%	0.0043	✓	1.12	819k	2021-12-26
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.037845	0.037451	-1.04%	0.03765	-0.52%	0.0023	✓	1.03	11.6M	2021-12-26
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	5.01	4.9574	-1.05%	5.75	+14.77%	0.1409	✗	1.00	12.1M	2021-12-26
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.7354	0.727212	-1.11%	0.7068	-3.89%	0.0413	✓	1.73	17.7M	2021-12-26
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	16.15	15.9626	-1.16%	15.17	-6.07%	0.0511	✓	0.03	5.1M	2021-12-26
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		16.057	15.87	-1.16%	15.136	-5.74%	0.0471	✓	-0.03	134k	2021-12-26
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.536	0.52808	-1.48%	0.494	-7.84%	0.0720	✓	0.72	45k	2021-12-26

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.