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2021-12-23 · +30d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2796
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.28%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
80.1%
in alpha space · 97.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-31.03%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,557.5631,282.08-0.87%22,897.64-27.44%0.1195✓0.526.9M2022-01-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,984.8050,499.60-0.95%34,807.70-31.73%0.0065✓0.9810k2022-01-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0241130.023882-0.96%0.014961-37.95%0.0197✓1.212.1M2022-01-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1849340.182673-1.22%0.133158-28.00%0.0965✗1.115.5M2022-01-22
XEMNEMnative0.13930.137548-1.26%0.0944-32.23%0.0314✗1.10202k2022-01-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.158.0416-1.33%4.8-41.10%0.2795✓0.641.1M2022-01-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1574.101-1.35%2.804-32.55%0.1142✓0.72487k2022-01-22
UNIUniswapEthereum18.1817.9159-1.45%11.16-38.61%0.0142✓1.3114.2M2022-01-22
TRXTRONTron0.082610.081273-1.62%0.05675-31.30%0.0010✓0.96708k2022-01-22
XMRMoneroMonero210.04206.3633-1.75%152.34-27.47%0.0649✗0.992.8M2022-01-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.289.1089-1.84%5.63-39.33%0.2289✓0.681.1M2022-01-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08980.088074-1.92%0.0594-33.85%0.0120✓1.0922k2022-01-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.26910.0443-2.19%5.8-43.52%0.3151✓0.63455k2022-01-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.60673.5275-2.20%3.6015-0.14%0.0113✓-0.09384k2022-01-22
COMPCompoundEthereum230.55225.0009-2.41%120.3-47.82%0.2182✓1.10239k2022-01-22
GTGateEthereum6.2596.1041-2.47%5.6708-9.40%0.2234✗0.804.6M2022-01-22
XLMStellarStellar0.2877760.280597-2.49%0.19237-33.15%0.0031✓1.0137.2M2022-01-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV129.81126.5162-2.54%89.24-31.25%0.0182✓0.993.1M2022-01-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,842.2049,540.74-2.56%35,066.43-31.03%0.0259✓1.00750.8M2022-01-22
QNTQuantEthereum195.7190.5937-2.61%98.78-49.52%0.3089✓0.9412.0M2022-01-22
KSMKusamaHydration291.44283.7444-2.64%190.08-34.78%0.0050✓1.091.5M2022-01-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.3342.2692-2.78%1.366-41.47%0.0953✓1.113.4M2022-01-22
NANOnanopayBase3.75053.6424-2.88%2.0461-45.44%0.1812✓1.06819k2022-01-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.1921.531-2.97%15.86-28.53%0.1806✗1.3169.7M2022-01-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.45.239-2.98%3.665-32.13%0.1157✓0.65936k2022-01-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot29.1728.2553-3.14%18.26-37.40%0.0282✓1.2577.3M2022-01-22
XYMSymbolnative0.25180.243712-3.21%0.1498-40.51%0.3115✓0.47410k2022-01-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.23095.0591-3.28%3.0068-42.52%0.0154✓1.365.2M2022-01-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3011.2581-3.30%0.711-45.35%0.2114✓0.974.4M2022-01-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin37.3536.1043-3.34%19.01-49.10%0.2635✓1.0223.1M2022-01-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9831.9162-3.37%1.161-41.45%0.0131✓1.317.6M2022-01-22
XTZTezosTezos4.77314.6121-3.37%2.9521-38.15%0.0344✗1.295.4M2022-01-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3314.1819-3.44%3.059-29.37%0.0027✓0.83714k2022-01-22
SUSHISushiEthereum7.37.046-3.48%4.42-39.45%0.0436✗1.3714.6M2022-01-22
XVSVenusEthereum16.1615.5967-3.49%7.59-53.03%0.2977✓1.145.3M2022-01-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.11264.9343-3.49%2.9642-42.02%0.2314✓0.7530k2022-01-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.120790.116525-3.53%0.07873-34.82%0.0164✓1.1030k2022-01-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.096750.093233-3.64%0.04896-49.40%0.0948✓1.485.9M2022-01-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.2140.206202-3.64%0.1394-34.86%0.0691✓0.87776k2022-01-22
ETHEthereumEthereum4,113.083,961.01-3.70%2,411.90-41.36%0.1070✓1.05768.5M2022-01-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6451.5839-3.72%0.87-47.11%0.1136✓1.315.2M2022-01-22
AAVEAaveEthereum247.2237.9587-3.74%147.18-40.46%0.0847✓1.0711.4M2022-01-22
CBKCobakEthereum3.1112.9896-3.90%1.979-36.39%0.0975✓0.85101k2022-01-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.059280.056952-3.93%0.03631-38.75%0.0349✓1.1217k2022-01-22
DASHDashDash146.65140.8877-3.93%97.07-33.81%0.0979✗1.272.2M2022-01-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.8528.5021-3.95%6.424-27.43%0.2153✗1.33560k2022-01-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.283.1456-4.10%1.77-46.04%0.0953✓1.293.2M2022-01-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.178.7856-4.19%5.66-38.28%0.1510✓0.78836k2022-01-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.0125.8737-4.21%20.54-23.95%0.2893✗1.4022.9M2022-01-22
QTUMQtumQtum10.04769.6137-4.32%5.5565-44.70%0.0111✓1.45349k2022-01-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.3827.149-4.34%29.27+3.14%0.3963✗0.8641.0M2022-01-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3720.355596-4.41%0.244-34.41%0.0960✓0.7646k2022-01-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.573.412-4.43%2.33-34.73%0.0145✓0.991.3M2022-01-22
SOLSolanaSolana190.07181.6588-4.43%94.78-50.13%0.2718✓1.02265.5M2022-01-22
FTTFTXEthereum43.0841.1585-4.46%33.44-22.38%0.1858✗1.0621.8M2022-01-22
BANDBandEthereum5.735.4742-4.46%3.49-39.09%0.0064✓1.193.0M2022-01-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash455.7434.788-4.59%291.88-35.95%0.0168✓1.0314.2M2022-01-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.8524.6637-4.59%13.19-48.97%0.2267✓1.072.7M2022-01-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.832.6989-4.63%1.62-42.76%0.1326✓1.024.7M2022-01-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.1832.5507-4.77%21.51-37.07%0.1652✓0.67711k2022-01-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.73360.69854-4.78%0.4163-43.25%0.0408✓1.2814.9M2022-01-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.5635.7489-4.82%24.23-35.49%0.0010✓1.056.2M2022-01-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.8516.0284-4.88%12.62-25.10%0.0177✓0.691.5M2022-01-22
XECeCashnative0.000114420.000108668-5.03%0.00006839-40.23%0.0959✓0.9911.7M2022-01-22
LSKLiskEthereum2.51262.3844-5.10%1.65-34.33%0.0710✗1.18172k2022-01-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.3890.368875-5.17%0.2331-40.08%0.0149✓1.286.4M2022-01-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.9710.4019-5.18%8.68-20.88%0.1059✗0.771.6M2022-01-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.050480.047807-5.29%0.02985-40.87%0.1308✓0.9214.3M2022-01-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.5211.856-5.30%6.06-51.60%0.7758✓-0.285.3M2022-01-22
GITCOINGITCOIN11.76411.1332-5.36%6.944-40.97%0.5070✓-0.09129k2022-01-22
API3Api3Ethereum5.184.9007-5.39%4.82-6.95%0.3549✗1.001.7M2022-01-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.46971.3903-5.41%0.9512-35.28%0.0176✓1.0734.9M2022-01-22
KCSKuCoinnative23.31622.0502-5.43%15.129-35.11%0.2493✗1.6921.7M2022-01-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.075.7313-5.58%3.78-37.73%0.0017✓1.125.3M2022-01-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.38610.363924-5.74%0.2645-31.49%0.2457✗1.524.4M2022-01-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.1134.9744-5.75%18.76-49.45%0.0567✓1.521.4M2022-01-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.51413.3094-5.82%2.7227-22.52%0.2707✗1.254.0M2022-01-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.43811.3536-5.88%1.5039+4.58%0.5054✗1.081.4M2022-01-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.021160.019914-5.89%0.01275-39.74%0.2250✓0.5961k2022-01-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.271.1948-5.92%0.64-49.61%0.2528✓1.002.4M2022-01-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.751.6464-5.92%0.9-48.57%0.0313✓1.711.6M2022-01-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum107.4101.0155-5.94%50.17-53.29%0.3416✓0.969.0M2022-01-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8861270.831067-6.21%0.518861-41.45%0.0685✓1.084.3M2022-01-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin163.74153.5609-6.22%108.41-33.79%0.1681✗1.3959.6M2022-01-22
ADACardanoCardano1.47431.3817-6.28%1.0713-27.34%0.1434✗1.07130.4M2022-01-22
MINAMina Protocolnative3.713.4743-6.35%2.34-36.93%0.0163✓1.02807k2022-01-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.22970.21506-6.37%0.1135-50.59%0.1824✓1.236.8M2022-01-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.81730.765081-6.39%0.5076-37.89%0.0554✓1.257.7M2022-01-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018580.017367-6.53%0.00998-46.29%0.0903✓1.253.5M2022-01-22
RADRadworksEthereum10.529.8295-6.56%5.06-51.90%0.3101✓0.951.7M2022-01-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.29521.2099-6.59%0.78-39.78%0.0520✓1.0423.6M2022-01-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.8911.1045-6.61%6.96-41.46%0.4800✓-0.034.6M2022-01-22
ZECZcashZcash167.41156.3026-6.63%94.59-43.50%0.0117✓1.3213.6M2022-01-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13940.129971-6.76%0.0732-47.49%0.1808✓1.06445k2022-01-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000038680.000036004-6.92%0.00002053-46.92%0.1902✓1.002.1M2022-01-22
IMXImmutableEthereum4.774.4373-6.98%2.46-48.43%0.2184✓1.002.5M2022-01-22
XVGVergenative0.018430.017122-7.10%0.00935-49.27%0.1637✓1.192.8M2022-01-22
SCSiacoinnative0.017050.015815-7.24%0.0094-44.87%0.1720✓0.941.5M2022-01-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.089950.083358-7.33%0.05051-43.85%0.0509✓1.2122.6M2022-01-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.113740.105383-7.35%0.06237-45.16%0.3113✓0.57143k2022-01-22
ZENHorizenBase72.4567.0907-7.40%35.28-51.30%0.0806✓1.511.5M2022-01-22
UMAUMAEthereum9.839.0815-7.61%6.11-37.84%0.0050✓1.084.1M2022-01-22
DODODODOEthereum0.9550.881117-7.74%0.496-48.06%0.0288✓1.4710.8M2022-01-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.063190.058116-8.03%0.036765-41.82%0.0870✗1.479.8M2022-01-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.194.766-8.17%2.89-44.32%0.0105✓1.3228.7M2022-01-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07010.064359-8.19%0.0326-53.50%0.1984✓1.302.5M2022-01-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche121.37111.1504-8.42%59.8-50.73%0.1981✓1.14148.6M2022-01-22
MOVRMoonriverBase189.2792173.1259-8.53%83.9941-55.62%0.3011✓1.14728k2022-01-22
STORJStorjEthereum2.08461.9061-8.57%1.0381-50.20%0.3454✓0.711.3M2022-01-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.22120.202253-8.57%0.0799-63.88%0.5019✓1.154.3M2022-01-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0390080.035644-8.62%0.020108-48.45%0.1926✓1.0213.0M2022-01-22
CELLCellframeEthereum1.371.2517-8.63%0.7106-48.13%0.1947✓1.00193k2022-01-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6890.629365-8.66%0.319-53.70%0.2176✓1.243.2M2022-01-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.7510.7247-8.73%5.61-52.26%0.4502✓0.532.7M2022-01-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11160.101718-8.85%0.0543-51.34%0.1198✓1.373.1M2022-01-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon2.23562.0348-8.98%0.4454-80.08%1.2707✓0.678.3M2022-01-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.925.3858-9.02%2.1-64.53%0.5703✓1.006.6M2022-01-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.34251.2182-9.25%0.71467-46.76%0.1226✗1.771.8M2022-01-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.90386.2629-9.28%4.2394-38.59%0.0529✓1.19876k2022-01-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.10940.999128-9.94%0.5834-47.41%0.0133✓1.482.7M2022-01-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47680.429113-10.00%0.5658+18.67%0.8075✗1.431.3M2022-01-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8383.4518-10.06%2.567-33.12%0.0753✓1.003.6M2022-01-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.943.5424-10.09%2.08-47.21%0.1610✓1.0012.1M2022-01-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.78340.700226-10.62%0.4385-44.03%0.0086✓1.286.5M2022-01-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.36280.323498-10.83%0.2179-39.94%0.0577✓0.91401k2022-01-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.9722.6313-11.46%1.506-49.33%0.1930✓0.982.3M2022-01-22
LRCLoopringEthereum2.3162.047-11.62%0.7316-68.41%0.3042✓1.952.2M2022-01-22
MANADecentralandEthereum3.67983.2393-11.97%2.0434-44.47%0.1324✓0.889.0M2022-01-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.31310.275213-12.10%0.1764-43.66%0.0317✓1.286.6M2022-01-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.217130.190232-12.39%0.15638-27.98%0.4066✗1.6229k2022-01-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum49.5443.2926-12.61%16.11-67.48%0.2991✓1.869.4M2022-01-22
UOSUltraEthereum1.69081.4639-13.42%0.80696-52.27%0.2255✓1.007.2M2022-01-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.4338.366-13.65%23.84-46.34%0.1616✗1.725.2M2022-01-22
HIVEHivenative1.65031.3952-15.46%0.7987-51.60%0.0666✓1.3211.4M2022-01-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.66650.55929-16.09%0.5482-17.75%0.6311✗1.7512.6M2022-01-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023680.019429-17.95%0.00793-66.51%0.5246✓1.0035.6M2022-01-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.